(TIF) Figure S6 Baseline simulations and reference interventions. a Average daily number of symptomatic notified cases as predicted by the model in the absence of interventions (baseline scenario, blue line, scale on the left) and 95% CI (grey area) by assuming B~50 ha {1 , compared to the actual daily number of symptomatic notified cases (black points). Red line represents the overall average daily number of symptomatic cases as predicted by the model. Green line represents the average density of mosquitoes (scale on the right). b Histogram of the cumulative number of symptomatic cases as predicted by the model in the absence of interventions. c and d As a and b respectively but for assuming an intervention resulting in the following reductions: 40% as for breeding sites and eggs, 90% as for larvae and 95% as for adults (reference scenario).