2014 United States House of Representatives elections
Competitive districts
The following are the predictions for House districts where at least one out of the Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, the Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Real Clear Politics did not agree that the district was "safe Democratic" or "safe Republican." Incumbents not running for re-election have parentheses around their names, while incumbents with a caret (^) sought re-election, but were defeated in the primary election.

2014 United States House of Representatives elections

Section Title: Competitive districts
Table Section Text: The following are the predictions for House districts where at least one out of the Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, the Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Real Clear Politics did not agree that the district was "safe Democratic" or "safe Republican." Incumbents not running for re-election have parentheses around their names, while incumbents with a caret (^) sought re-election, but were defeated in the primary election.

District	CPVI	Incumbent	2012	Cook (November 3, 2014)	Daily Kos Elections (November 4, 2014)	Rothenberg (October 29, 2014)	Sabato (October 30, 2014)	Real Clear Politics (November 2, 2014)	Winner

Alaska at-large	R+12	Don Young (R)	63.9% R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Young

Arizona 1	R+4	Ann Kirkpatrick (D)	48.8% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Kirkpatrick

Arizona 2	R+3	Ron Barber (D)	50.4% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	McSally

Arizona 9	R+1	Kyrsten Sinema (D)	48.5% D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Sinema

Arkansas 2	R+8	(Timothy Griffin) (R)	55.2% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Hill

Arkansas 4	R+15	(Tom Cotton) (R)	59.5% R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Westerman

California 3	D+3	John Garamendi (D)	53.7% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Garamendi

California 7	EVEN	Ami Bera (D)	51.1% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Bera

California 9	D+6	Jerry McNerney (D)	54.1% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	McNerney

California 21	D+2	David Valadao (R)	59.9% R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Valadao

California 24	D+4	Lois Capps (D)	54.8% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Capps

California 26	D+4	Julia Brownley (D)	51.7% D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Brownley

California 31	D+5	(Gary Miller) (R)	55.2% R	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Aguilar

California 36	R+1	Raul Ruiz (D)	51.4% D	Lean D	Lean D	Safe D	Lean D	Lean D	Ruiz

California 52	D+2	Scott Peters (D)	50.2% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Peters

Colorado 6	D+1	Mike Coffman (R)	48.7% R	Lean R	Tossup/Tilt R	Tossup/Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Coffman

Connecticut 5	D+3	Elizabeth Esty (D)	51.5% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D	Esty

Florida 2	R+6	Steve Southerland (R)	52.7% R	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Graham

Florida 18	R+3	Patrick Murphy (D)	50.3% D	Likely D	Lean D	Safe D	Likely D	Lean D	Murphy

Florida 26	R+1	Joe Garcia (D)	53.6% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Curbelo

Georgia 12	R+9	John Barrow (D)	53.7% D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Allen

Hawaii 1	D+18	(Colleen Hanabusa) (D)	54.6% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Takai

Illinois 8	D+8	Tammy Duckworth (D)	54.7% D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Duckworth

Illinois 10	D+8	Brad Schneider (D)	50.5% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Dold

Illinois 11	D+8	Bill Foster (D)	58.1% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Lean D	Foster

Illinois 12	EVEN	Bill Enyart (D)	51.5% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Bost

Illinois 13	EVEN	Rodney L. Davis (R)	46.6% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Lean R	Davis

Illinois 17	D+7	Cheri Bustos (D)	53.3% D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Bustos

Indiana 2	R+6	Jackie Walorski (R)	49.0% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Walorski

Iowa 1	D+5	(Bruce Braley) (D)	56.9% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Blum

Iowa 2	D+4	Dave Loebsack (D)	55.6% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Loebsack

Iowa 3	EVEN	(Tom Latham) (R)	52.3% R	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Young

Iowa 4	R+5	Steve King (R)	53.2% R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	King

Kansas 2	R+8	Lynn Jenkins (R)	57.0% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Jenkins

Kansas 3	R+6	Kevin Yoder (R)	68.4% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Yoder

Maine 2	D+2	(Mike Michaud) (D)	58.1% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Poliquin

Maryland 6	D+4	John K. Delaney (D)	58.8% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Delaney

Massachusetts 6	D+4	John F. Tierney^ (D)	48.3% D	Lean D	Tossup/Tilt D	Tossup/Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Moulton

Massachusetts 9	D+5	William R. Keating (D)	58.3% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Keating

Michigan 1	R+5	Dan Benishek (R)	48.2% R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Benishek

Michigan 4	R+5	(Dave Camp) (R)	63.1% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Moolenaar

Michigan 6	R+1	Fred Upton (R)	54.6% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Upton

Michigan 7	R+3	Tim Walberg (R)	53.3% R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Walberg

Michigan 8	R+2	(Mike Rogers) (R)	58.6% R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Bishop

Michigan 11	R+4	Kerry Bentivolio (R)	50.7% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Trott

Minnesota 1	R+1	Tim Walz (D)	57.6% D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Walz

Minnesota 7	R+6	Collin Peterson (D)	60.4% D	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Peterson

Minnesota 8	D+1	Rick Nolan (D)	54.5% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Nolan

Montana at-large	R+7	(Steve Daines) (R)	53.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Zinke

Nebraska 2	R+4	Lee Terry (R)	51.2% R	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt D	Tossup/Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Ashford

Nevada 3	EVEN	Joe Heck (R)	50.4% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Heck

Nevada 4	D+4	Steven Horsford (D)	50.1% D	Lean D	Tossup/Tilt D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Hardy

New Hampshire 1	R+1	Carol Shea-Porter (D)	49.7% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt D	Lean R	Tossup	Guinta

New Hampshire 2	D+3	Ann McLane Kuster (D)	50.2% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Kuster

New Jersey 3	R+1	(Jon Runyan) (R)	53.8% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	MacArthur

New Jersey 5	R+4	Scott Garrett (R)	55.5% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Garrett

New York 1	R+2	Tim Bishop (D)	52.2% D	Tossup	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Zeldin

New York 4	D+3	(Carolyn McCarthy) (D)	61.8% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Rice

New York 11	R+2	Michael Grimm (R)	52.8% R	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup/Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Grimm

New York 18	EVEN	Sean Patrick Maloney (D)	51.7% D	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup/Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Maloney

New York 19	D+1	Chris Gibson (R)	53.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Gibson

New York 21	EVEN	(Bill Owens) (D)	50.2% D	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Lean R	Stefanik

New York 23	R+3	Tom Reed (R)	52.1% R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Reed

New York 24	D+5	Dan Maffei (D)	48.4% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Katko

North Carolina 7	R+12	(Mike McIntyre) (D)	50.1% D	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Rouzer

North Dakota at-large	R+10	Kevin Cramer (R)	54.9% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Cramer

Ohio 6	R+8	Bill Johnson (R)	53.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Johnson

Ohio 14	R+4	David Joyce (R)	54.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Joyce

Pennsylvania 6	R+2	(Jim Gerlach) (R)	57.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Costello

Texas 23	R+3	Pete Gallego (D)	50.3% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Hurd

Utah 4	R+16	(Jim Matheson) (D)	49.3% D	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Love

Virginia 10	R+2	(Frank Wolf) (R)	58.8% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup	Comstock

Washington 1	D+4	Suzan DelBene (D)	53.6% D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	DelBene

West Virginia 2	R+11	(Shelley Moore Capito) (R)	69.8% R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup/Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Mooney

West Virginia 3	R+14	Nick Rahall (D)	53.9% D	Tossup	Tossup/Tilt R	Pure Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Jenkins

Wisconsin 6	R+5	(Tom Petri) (R)	62.1% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Grothman

Wisconsin 7	R+2	Sean Duffy (R)	56.1% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Duffy

District	CPVI	Incumbent	2012	Cook	Daily Kos Elections	Rothenberg	Sabato	Real Clear Politics	Winner

Sentence(s)

Dan Maffei (D) lost to Katko (R) in New York 24.

final_sentence: Dan Maffei (D) lost to Katko (R) in New York 24.