2018 Bavarian state election
Opinion polling

2018 Bavarian state election

Section Title: Opinion polling
Table Section Text: None

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CSU	SPD	FW	Grüne	FDP	Linke	AfD	Others	Lead

2018 state election	14 Oct 2018	–	37.2	9.7	11.6	17.6	5.1	3.2	10.2	5.4	19.6

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	10–11 Oct 2018	1,075	34	12	10	19	5.5	4	10	5.5	15

Civey	6–10 Oct 2018	5,063	32.9	11.0	9.8	18.5	5.9	3.9	12.8	5.2	14.4

INSA	2–8 Oct 2018	1,707	33	10	11	18	5.5	4.5	14	4	15

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	1–4 Oct 2018	1,122	35	12	10	18	5.5	4.5	10	5	17

Infratest dimap	1–2 Oct 2018	1,002	33	11	11	18	6	4.5	10	6.5	15

GMS	20–26 Sep 2018	1,004	35	13	10	16	5	4	12	5	19

INSA	21–25 Sep 2018	1,064	34	11	10	17	6	4	14	4	17

Civey	19–23 Sep 2018	5,061	36.0	12.0	8.6	17.9	5.0	3.3	13.2	4.0	18.1

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	17–19 Sep 2018	1,114	35	13	11	18	5	4	10	4	17

Infratest dimap	5–10 Sep 2018	1,000	35	11	11	17	5	5	11	5	18

GMS	4–10 Sep 2018	1,006	36	12	7	16	6	4	14	5	20

Civey	30 Aug–9 Sep 2018	5,046	35.8	12.1	8.1	16.5	5.8	2.7	13.7	5.3	19.3

INSA	23–27 Aug 2018	1,033	36	13	8	15	6	3	14	5	21

Civey	15–26 Aug 2018	5,049	37.8	11.8	8.1	15.1	6.1	2.5	13.5	5.1	22.7

Civey	30 Jul–13 Aug 2018	5,047	38.1	12.3	7.3	15.0	5.3	2.7	15.2	4.1	22.9

Forsa	25 Jul–9 Aug 2018	1,105	37	12	8	17	5	4	13	4	20

GMS	25–31 Jul 2018	1,004	39	12	8	14	6	3	13	5	25

Infratest dimap	11–16 Jul 2018	1,003	38	13	9	16	5	4	12	3	22

GMS	5–11 Jul 2018	1,007	39	12	7	14	6	3	14	5	25

Forsa	4–6 Jul 2018	1,003	38	12	8	15	6	3	14	4	23

Civey	23 Jun–5 Jul 2018	5,093	42.5	13.7	6.0	13.2	5.2	2.8	13.1	3.5	28.8

INSA	25–27 Jun 2018	1,231	41	13	6	13	5	3	14	5	27

Forsa	21–22 Jun 2018	1,033	40	13	8	14	5	3	13	4	26

Civey	19 May–7 Jun 2018	5,066	41.1	13.4	7.0	12.6	4.8	3.5	13.5	4.1	27.6

GMS	11–16 May 2018	1,005	42	13	7	12	5	2	13	6	29

Civey	23 Apr–11 May 2018	5,082	42.1	13.7	6.6	13.5	5.1	2.9	12.0	4.1	28.4

Infratest dimap	22–27 Apr 2018	1,002	41	12	7	14	6	3	12	5	27

GMS	20–26 Apr 2018	1,002	44	14	6	11	5	3	12	5	30

INSA	17–20 Apr 2018	1,005	42	13	6	13	7	3	13	3	29

Civey	19 Mar–5 Apr 2018	5,048	44.5	14.8	6.5	11.3	4.2	2.8	11.9	4.0	29.7

GMS	16–21 Mar 2018	1,004	43	15	6	11	6	3	12	4	28

Civey	2–15 Mar 2018	5,004	41.4	14.2	8.4	12.0	4.6	3.0	12.1	4.3	27.2

Civey	12–26 Feb 2018	5,040	39.4	13.4	8.6	12.2	5.3	3.5	12.3	5.3	26.0

Forsa	8–22 Feb 2018	1,027	42	14	7	14	6	3	10	4	28

GMS	1–9 Feb 2018	1,510	40	15	6	11	6	3	12	7	25

Civey	6–16 Jan 2018	5,040	39.9	14.8	7.6	11.4	5.8	3.4	13.1	4.0	21.1

Infratest dimap	3–8 Jan 2018	1,002	40	16	7	14	5	3	10	5	24

GMS	27 Dec 2017–1 Jan 2018	1,007	39	15	7	10	7	3	12	7	24

INSA	12–13 Dec 2017	1,003	40	15	7	12	7	4	12	3	25

Civey	24 Nov–13 Dec 2017	5,019	36.7	16.0	8.3	12.1	7.1	2.9	12.9	4.0	20.7

GMS	27–29 Nov 2017	1,006	37	15	7	10	8	3	14	6	22

Civey	16 Oct–16 Nov 2017	5,034	38.8	14.9	6.5	10.8	8.0	3.6	13.5	3.9	23.9

Forsa	6–9 Nov 2017	1,017	38	17	7	11	9	4	11	3	21

INSA	2–3 Nov 2017	1,033	37	17	8	10	8	4	13	3	20

GMS	13–18 Oct 2017	1,004	41	15	6	11	7	3	13	4	26

Civey	25 Sep–13 Oct 2017	5,043	40.7	14.1	7.0	12.4	7.1	3.4	11.3	4.0	26.6

2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	38.8	15.3	2.7	9.8	10.2	6.1	12.4	4.8	23.5

Infratest dimap	4–9 Jan 2017	1,001	45	14	7	13	4	3	10	4	31

GMS	27 Oct–2 Nov 2016	1,005	44	18	6	10	6	2	9	5	26

GMS	8–12 Oct 2016	1,013	45	19	6	10	5	2	9	4	26

GMS	9–14 Sep 2016	1,015	45	18	5	12	5	2	9	4	27

Forsa	4–15 Jul 2016	1,008	43	16	6	14	4	3	8	6	27

Infratest dimap	11–14 Jul 2016	1,000	45	17	5	13	4	–	9	7	28

GMS	8–13 Jul 2016	1,015	47	17	6	11	5	2	7	5	30

INSA	17 May–8 Jun 2016	1,698	47.5	17.5	4.5	11.5	3.5	3.5	7	5	30

Forsa	23 May–3 Jun 2016	1,010	40	16	6	14	4	3	10	7	24

GMS	27 May–1 Jun 2016	1,021	48	17	6	10	5	2	8	4	31

GMS	15–19 Apr 2016	1,018	48	16	6	10	5	2	9	4	32

GMS	14–16 Mar 2016	1,015	48	16	5	11	5	2	9	4	32

GMS	12–17 Feb 2016	1,010	46	17	5	11	4	2	9	6	29

Infratest dimap	7–11 Jan 2016	1,000	47	16	5	12	3	3	8	6	31

GMS	28 Dec 2015–3 Jan 2016	1,019	45	19	6	10	4	3	7	6	26

GMS	12–18 Nov 2015	1,016	46	18	5	11	4	3	8	5	28

GMS	1–7 Oct 2015	1,019	46	18	6	12	6	–	5	7	28

Forsa	23 Sep–2 Oct 2015	1,007	43	19	5	11	4	3	6	9	24

GMS	10–16 Sep 2015	1,007	49	20	6	10	5	–	2	8	29

GMS	16–22 Jul 2015	1,011	47	20	6	10	5	–	2	10	27

GMS	18–24 Jun 2015	1,012	48	19	7	9	5	2	4	6	29

INSA	5–15 Jun 2015	651	46	20	8	8	4	3	4	7	26

GMS	7–13 May 2015	1,008	48	18	7	10	4	–	5	8	30

GMS	9–15 Apr 2015	1,016	48	19	7	10	4	2	4	6	29

Forsa	19–31 Mar 2015	1,266	47	19	7	11	3	2	4	7	28

Infratest dimap	8–12 Jan 2015	1,004	46	19	10	9	3	3	4	6	27

GMS	Nov 2014	2,000	49	18	7	9	2	2	5	8	31

pollytix	13–23 Nov 2014	1,700	47	20	8	10	2	3	6	4	27

Emnid	1 Oct–4 Nov 2014	2,114	48	18	9	9	2	2	5	7	30

2014 European election	25 May 2014	–	40.5	20.1	4.3	12.1	3.1	2.9	8.1	9.0	20.4

Infratest dimap	10–12 Mar 2014	1,002	46	18	12	11	–	–	–	13	28

Infratest dimap	9–13 Jan 2014	1,004	49	19	9	10	4	2	–	7	30

2013 federal election	22 Sep 2013	–	49.3	20.0	2.7	8.4	5.1	3.8	4.3	6.4	29.3

2013 state election	15 Sep 2013	–	47.7	20.6	9.0	8.6	3.3	2.1	–	8.7	27.1

Sentence(s)

The CSU and the SPD both finishing at 37.2% and 9.7% respectively.

final_sentence: The CSU and the SPD both finishing at 37.2% and 9.7% respectively.