2016 United States House of Representatives elections
Competitive districts
The following were the predictions for House districts where at least one out of the Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, the Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and RealClearPolitics did not agree that the district was "safe Democratic" or "safe Republican" (59 races total as of October 27).

2016 United States House of Representatives elections

Section Title: Competitive districts
Table Section Text: The following were the predictions for House districts where at least one out of the Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, the Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and RealClearPolitics did not agree that the district was "safe Democratic" or "safe Republican" (59 races total as of October 27).

District	CPVI	Incumbent	First elected	2014 result	Cook Nov 7, 2016	DKE Nov 7, 2016	Roth. Nov 3, 2016	Sab. Nov 7, 2016	RCP Oct 31, 2016	Winner

Alaska at-large	R+12	Don Young (R)	1973	51.0% R	Lean R	Likely R	Safe R	Lean R	Likely R	Don Young (R)

Arizona 1	R+4	Ann Kirkpatrick (D) (Retiring)	2012	52.6% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tom O'Halleran (D)

Arizona 2	R+3	Martha McSally (R)	2014	50.0% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Lean R	Martha McSally (R)

California 7	EVEN	Ami Bera (D)	2012	50.4% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Ami Bera (D)

California 10	R+1	Jeff Denham (R)	2010	56.2% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Lean D	Lean R	Jeff Denham (R)

California 21	D+2	David Valadao (R)	2012	57.8% R	Lean R	Lean R	Favored R	Lean R	Likely R	David Valadao (R)

California 24	D+4	Lois Capps (D) (Retiring)	1998	51.9% D	Lean D	Lean D	Favored D	Lean D	Lean D	Salud Carbajal (D)

California 25	R+3	Steve Knight (R)	2014	53.3% R	Tossup	Tossup	Favored R	Lean D	Tossup	Steve Knight (R)

California 49	R+4	Darrell Issa (R)	2000	60.2% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean D	Tossup	Darrell Issa (R)

California 52	D+2	Scott Peters (D)	2012	51.6% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Scott Peters (D)

Colorado 3	R+5	Scott Tipton (R)	2010	58.0% R	Likely R	Lean R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Scott Tipton (R)

Colorado 6	D+1	Mike Coffman (R)	2008	51.9% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Mike Coffman (R)

Florida 2	R+18	Gwen Graham (D) (Retiring)	2014	50.5% D	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Neal Dunn (R)

Florida 7	R+2	John Mica (R)	1992	63.6% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Stephanie Murphy (D)

Florida 10	D+9	Daniel Webster (R) Running in 11th district	2010	61.5% R	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Val Demings (D)

Florida 13	D+3	David Jolly (R)	2014	75.2% R	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Charlie Crist (D)

Florida 18	R+3	Patrick Murphy (D) (Retiring)	2012	59.8% D	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Brian Mast (R)

Florida 26	EVEN	Carlos Curbelo (R)	2014	51.5% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Carlos Curbelo (R)

Florida 27	R+1	Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)	1989	100.0% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)

Illinois 10	D+8	Robert Dold (R)	2014	51.3% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Brad Schneider (D)

Illinois 12	EVEN	Mike Bost (R)	2014	52.5% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Mike Bost (R)

Indiana 2	R+6	Jackie Walorski (R)	2012	58.9% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Jackie Walorski (R)

Indiana 9	R+9	Todd Young (R) (Retiring)	2010	62.2% R	Lean R	Lean R	Favored R	Lean R	Likely R	Trey Hollingsworth (R)

Iowa 1	D+5	Rod Blum (R)	2014	51.1% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Rod Blum (R)

Iowa 3	EVEN	David Young (R)	2014	52.8% R	Lean R	Lean R	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	David Young (R)

Kansas 3	R+5	Kevin Yoder (R)	2010	60.0% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Kevin Yoder (R)

Maine 2	D+2	Bruce Poliquin (R)	2014	47.0% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Bruce Poliquin (R)

Maryland 6	D+4	John K. Delaney (D)	2012	49.5% D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	John K. Delaney (D)

Michigan 1	R+5	Dan Benishek (R) (Retiring)	2010	52.1% R	Lean R	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Jack Bergman (R)

Michigan 6	R+1	Fred Upton (R)	1986	55.9% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Fred Upton (R)

Michigan 7	R+3	Tim Walberg (R)	2010	53.5% R	Likely R	Lean R	Favored R	Lean R	Lean R	Tim Walberg (R)

Michigan 8	R+2	Mike Bishop (R)	2014	54.6% R	Lean R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Mike Bishop (R)

Minnesota 2	R+2	John Kline (R) (Retiring)	2002	56.0% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Jason Lewis (R)

Minnesota 3	R+2	Erik Paulsen (R)	2008	62.2% R	Lean R	Lean R	Favored R	Lean R	Lean R	Erik Paulsen (R)

Minnesota 8	D+1	Rick Nolan (D)	2012	48.5% D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Rick Nolan (D)

Montana at-large	R+7	Ryan Zinke (R)	2014	55.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Favored R	Likely R	Likely R	Ryan Zinke (R)

Nebraska 2	R+4	Brad Ashford (D)	2014	49.0% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Don Bacon (R)

Nevada 3	EVEN	Joe Heck (R) (Retiring)	2010	60.8% R	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Jacky Rosen (D)

Nevada 4	D+4	Cresent Hardy (R)	2014	48.5% R	Lean D	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Ruben Kihuen (D)

New Hampshire 1	R+1	Frank Guinta (R)	2014	51.7% R	Lean D	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Carol Shea Porter (D)

New Jersey 5	R+4	Scott Garrett (R)	2002	55.4% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Josh Gottheimer (D)

New York 1	R+2	Lee Zeldin (R)	2014	54.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup	Lee Zeldin (R)

New York 3	EVEN	Steve Israel (D) (Retiring)	2000	54.8% D	Lean D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Lean D	Thomas Suozzi (D)

New York 19	D+1	Chris Gibson (R) (Retiring)	2010	64.5% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	John Faso (R)

New York 21	EVEN	Elise Stefanik (R)	2014	55.1% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Elise Stefanik (R)

New York 22	R+3	Richard L. Hanna (R) (Retiring)	2010	98.4% R	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Claudia Tenney (R)

New York 23	R+3	Tom Reed (R)	2010	61.7% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Lean R	Tom Reed (R)

New York 24	D+5	John Katko (R)	2014	59.5% R	Likely R	Lean R	Favored R	Lean R	Tossup	John Katko (R)

New York 25	D+7	Louise Slaughter (D)	1986	50.2% D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Louise Slaughter (D)

Pennsylvania 6	R+2	Ryan Costello (R)	2014	56.3% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Ryan Costello (R)

Pennsylvania 8	R+1	Mike Fitzpatrick (R) (Retiring)	2010	61.9% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Brian Fitzpatrick (R)

Pennsylvania 16	R+4	Joe Pitts (R) (Retiring)	1996	57.7% R	Lean R	Likely R	Safe R	Lean R	Likely R	Lloyd Smucker (R)

Texas 23	R+3	Will Hurd (R)	2014	49.8% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Will Hurd (R)

Utah 4	R+16	Mia Love (R)	2014	50.9% R	Lean R	Likely R	Favored R	Lean R	Tossup	Mia Love (R)

Virginia 4	D+8	Randy Forbes (R) (Ran in 2nd district)	2001	60.2% R	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Donald McEachin (D)

Virginia 5	R+5	Robert Hurt (R) (Retiring)	2010	60.9% R	Likely R	Likely R	Favored R	Lean R	Likely R	Thomas Garrett Jr. (R)

Virginia 10	R+2	Barbara Comstock (R)	2014	56.5% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Barbara Comstock (R)

Wisconsin 8	R+2	Reid Ribble (R) (Retiring)	2010	65.0% R	Likely R	Lean R	Favored R	Lean R	Lean R	Mike Gallagher (R)

District	CPVI	Incumbent	First elected	2014	Cook	DKE	Roth.	Sab.	RCP	Winner

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