Anyone know anything about this "mathematical equation that can predict human history?"  Apparently Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is being featured in a history channel special saying he can predict the future of world societies through some kind of equation he derived historically.  I was trying to find the theoretical basis for this online but haven't come across anything at all, nor the actual equation.

http://www.history.com/shows.do?action=detail&episodeId;=389122