The GOP will likely nominate a candidate with little to no major public office experience

I will argue that the GOP will likely (meaning probable, or >50% chance) nominate a candidate with 'little to no', 'major' public office experience, with 'little to no' being defined as Whoever accepts this debate may NOT dispute either definitions I have put forth here. Current GOP candidates, their polling averages, and their experience holding a major public office:Leaders:Donald Trump = 24.0% = 0 years in public officeBen Carson = 16.3% = 0 years in public officeCarly Fiorina = 11.8% = 0 years in public officeJeb Bush = 9.8% = Governor for 8 yearsMarco Rubio = 9.3% = Senator for 4 yearsMiddle of the pack:Ted Cruz = 6.5% = Senator for 2 yearsChris Christie = 3.5% = Governor for 5 yearsMike Huckabee = 3.5% = Governor for 11 yearsJohn Kasich = 3.0% = Governor for 4 yearsRand Paul = 2.3% = Senator for 4 yearsThose polling at under 1%George Pataki = 0.5% = Governor for 11 yearsRick Santorum = 0.5% = Senator for 12 yearsBobby Jindal = 0.3% = Governor for 7 yearsLindsey Graham = 0.0% = Senator for 15 yearsJim Gilmore = 0.0% = Governor for 4 yearsTotal = 91.3%Undecided therefore = about 8.7%All other candidates not listed are polling at very close to 0% and therefore have not been listedhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com...Arguments:1) Candidates with little to no experience hold a majority of the GOP voteCandidates who have little to not experience in the race are doing substantially better than candidates who have substantial public office experience at a major public office level. In fact, the top 3 inexperienced candidates alone (Trump, Carson, Fiorina) account for 52.1% of the entire vote. Throw in Cruz and that bumps up to 58.6% of the entire vote. So if ALL candidates who have 4 or more years in a major public office all pooled their voting bases together, AND if all undecided voters decide to back candidates with 4 or more years of major public service for whatever reason.... Combined they all only hold 41.4% of the GOP voting base, and thats assuming all undecided voters support someone who has >4 years experience in the first place. The numbers suggest that unless voters supporting inexperienced candidates suddenly start shifting to candidates who DO have experience (unlikely to happen since the top 3 candidates in the GOP primary all have literally no public office experience at any level), then the GOP will likely, ultimately elect someone who has little major public office experience. 2) Polling of candidates with no experience vs little experience vs major experience vs very lengthy experience indicates a correlation between experience and level of supportIf we break all the candidates into four different groups based on their experience in office (0 years, 1 to 3 years, 4 to 7 years, 8+ years in major public office) then here are the averages:0 years (Trump, Carson, Fiorina) = 52.1% total, 17.37% average0 to 3 years (Cruz) = 6.5% total, 6.5% average4 to 7 years (Rubio, Christie, Kasich, Paul, Jindal) = 18.4% total, 3.68% average8+ years (Bush, Huckabee, Pataki, Santorum, Graham, Gilmore) = 14.3% total, 2.38% averageThere is an actual pattern shown among the candidates here indicating that the MORE experience they have working in a major public office, the LESS that GOP voters support them in the GOP primary race. This clearly indicates that as more and more candidates with lesser support drop out, voters will lean towards candidates with lesser experience, since those candidates most likely to drop out next are those who have substantial experience in public office. 3) Those who have already dropped out had sizable public experience, along with those who are the most likely to drop out nextThere have been 2 major candidates who have dropped out of the race, Scott Walker and Rick Perry. Walker has been the Governor of Wisconsin for the past 4 years, and Rick Perry was the Governor of Texas for 15 years, more than any other major candidate in the GOP race. If candidates with major experience are some of the first ones to drop out of the race, then it MIGHT suggest that other candidates with major experience will be the next ones to drop out.And the link suggests exactly thatThis is a list of candidates, their level of support in the polls, and their experience, who appeared in the recent CNN 'Happy Hour' debate:George Pataki = 0.5% = Governor for 11 yearsRick Santorum = 0.5% = Senator for 12 yearsBobby Jindal = 0.3% = Governor for 7 yearsLindsey Graham = 0.0% = Senator for 12 yearsSo not only have candidates who had lengthy public office experience already dropped out of the race, but the 4 candidates who are the most likely ones to drop out next have substantial experience as well, indicating a clear and undeinable anti-experience sentiment for GOP voters, since the candidates with no experience whatsoever rank #1, #2, and #3 Sources: (The length of experience for all candidates was pulled from their wikipedia pages)