World War III

You had 3 days to post your argument and you claim to be crunched on time? Alright I wont go into detail but here's how WWIII would unravel.... I agree that If World War III were to start then of all the countries listed it would probably be North Korea's fault. Now we all know of North Korea's (limited) nuclear capabilities but it would be quite possible that they would not use them against South Korea immediately. the military intervention would be a symbolic invasion just as much as it would be for an invasion for resources. If you dont believe me consider the years of economic sanctions against North Korea and the shortages of food, fuel, and even electricity that plague the nation. North Korea often is completely dark because the government has to kill the nations power to conserve what little they have. Such shortages do affect the military and their morale. If North Korea were to start WWIII It would be because Kim Jung Il had died, his son came into power, and to solidify his legacy immediately started a military campaign against South Korea. However North Korea is very poor in resources so If they were to invade South Korea it would be to expand its own military potential so nuking every major city in South Korea would not fit well with their expansion for resources. Even though North Korea has on one of the largest standing armies in the world they are armed with AK-47's and very little advanced weaponry, in fact their air force is still primarily Chinese and Russian aircraft left over from the 1950's. A sudden military campaign into South Korea would result in the immediate deployment of US troops already stationed there for such an event (estimated at 30,000) along with the Japanese military standing close by (estimated at 300,000) Should a north Korean campaign break out the US would also dispatch more troops to the peninsula which would result in a quick elimination of North Korean forces. It would be at this stage that we see China enter the field of play. China would try to reinforce their North Korean communist allies to the north (why China became close friends with North Korea is not understood by the west) And thus it would be all out war between the vast but also under supplied Chinese military against a combination of South Korean forces, Japanese forces, and the current number of US forces. China is a very powerful nuclear nation but seeing as how they are only protecting their northern neighbor's sovereignty It would be unlikely that China start launching bombs against The US and Japan. The US and Japan, fearing such an attack, would also hold off on their nuclear arms deployment because that would surely react in a nuclear response from China. You requested I not use the US so I have only used the current US troops stationed in South Korea and Japan. Russia at this point would probably be similar to the Russia shown in Modern Warfare 2. Basically they have had a revolution where nationalism is as abundant as it was in Nazi Germany in the 1940's. So at this point they would start raising hell, however it wouldn't be in Asia. Although Russia has had a long history of expanding to the east, in recent history Russia has always tried pushing to the west, into Europe. The new radical government may see the hostilities in the eastern Hemisphere as an opportunity to invade European countries while the US were preoccupied in the Pacific battles. Russia has a massive military but they have very little infrastructure and limited supply lines, The deployment of troops to neighboring Georgia showed how even in a small country their forces were slow and uncoordinated. Russian invasion into Europe would be very well resisted even in war torn areas of Eastern Europe. To get to say Germany they would first have to go through Ukraine, Poland, The weapon-littered remains of Yugoslavia, Belarus would also be a roadblock. Even though individually such small nations would be inferior to any military invasion, all these countries lined up into a military front resisting Russian advances into Europe would surely do a number on them. Ill end right here so that the Pro can (hopefully) put up a more detailed argument next round but just consider these points. 1) North Korea has a large but technologically inferior military 2) They also have few resources and an inability to supply their own army WITHIN their borders 3) South Korea has a very advanced military, 30x the economic power, and spends far more on their own military then North Korea does 4) They would be fighting against combined Japan, US, and South Korean forces already stationed there that could overwhelm them 5) China and Russia would not immediately come to the aid of North Korea, it is quite possible that they dont come at all and instead just begin to occupy neighboring nations around them. Russia has even held their own sanctions against North Korea so If anyone were to come to their defense it could ONLY be China, and even then maybe. 6) There is no clear circumstance of which nation would be the first to go nuclear 7) There may be no nukes launched because of fear of a retaliation, its happened before during the cold war between Russia and the US 8) You have to consider the possibility of other nations being drawn into this massive fight, although not each nation would necessarily choose sides they would defend themselves against the attackers, whoever they may be 9) Russia has a very large army but very poor infrastructure and a poor ability to supply such an army. 80% of their economy is built on exporting resources http://www.breitbart.com... http://www.telegraph.co.uk... http://www.americanthinker.com... http://www.freerepublic.com... http://www.g2mil.com... http://www.thedailybeast.com... http://www.spacewar.com... http://english.pravda.ru...