Donald Trump will most likely run for president in 2020

Imabench is right--Donald Trump's campaign is unique. For this reason, it is important not to treat Trump like a regular candidate. The fact of the matter is is that Donald Trump is not campaigning in order to become President. He is campaigning on behalf of his brand. The Baltimore Sun writes that in running, Trump "is striving to broaden the Trump brand, piggybacking on the political process to enhance his ability to make millions as a wildly successful deal-maker."http://tinyurl.com...It is for this reason that Trump lied about how much money he makes. It is for this reason that Trump alienated Hispanics and Latinos from his campaign--the second largest ethnic voting block. It is for this reason that Trump descended on a gold-plated escalator, and freely insults women. It's why he talks about "beating" China, and how wonderful Trump Tower is. That's why he won't apologize. All of these actions are signs of business ambitions rather than political ambitions. http://tinyurl.com...http://tinyurl.com...http://tinyurl.com...Trump is making hundreds of millions of dollars off of the Trump brand name being associated with being a 'winner'--someone successful, with lots of wealth and power. We can observe this objective woven into Trump's favorite insult: "Loser." It is within this context--of Trump's trying to associate his name with "winner"--that Trump's campaign for President makes sense. And it is exactly for this reason that Trump will not run for President in 2020.0. If Trump resigns.Immabench forgot to consider this most important possibility. So far, Trump has risen to the top of the campaign, but what will happen if it appears that Trump will lose? Trump's brand relies on his being seen as a 'winner,' and if he loses his brand would be badly damaged. For this reason it is almost certain that Trump would withdraw from the campaign rather than face a defeat. In this instance, Trump would claim that he was "treated unfairly," like he claimed at the Fox News debate before boycotting them for several days. In that situation, he'd likely claim that he is above the political process, that politics is for "dummies," and that he has no need of them. In that case, he'd absolutely not re-run for President, since that would destroy his image of being a "winner."http://tinyurl.com...http://tinyurl.com...1. If Trump losesAs I said before, it is extremely likely that Trump will withdraw from the election before he has the chance to lose. However, if for some reason he hangs on until the end, he'd likely give the same excuse--that politics is for dummies--for why he "didn't-lose." In that case, he'd almost certainly not run again.Moreover, of the 40 instances of bids for Presidency in the GOP, only 6 were instances of sequential vies for re-election. That is to say, even if Trump does vie for re-election like a normal candidate, there is an 85% chance he would at least wait for four years for voters to forget about his recent failure.As far as his response to Kanye's quote goes, Trump was merely talking smack, like a "winner." This does not mean he is actually planning to run in 2020.2. If Trump wins the nomination.For the same reasons as 1, Trump would not re-run, and definitely not in 2020. Moreover, it is even LESS likely that he'd run in 2020, because he's branding campaign would have already been accomplished. If he re-ran, people would get bored of him, and bored of the Trump brand.3. If he wins.No President has ever been elected without prior political or military experience. Moreover, Trump would have to win without Hispanics and women. This simply won't happen.Other reasons to resign:There are many thinks we can't know about the future that could prevent Trump from running--from deaths of family members to sickness. There are some things we can know--Trump is a businessperson, so he'd likely need to run his businesses, which would be impaired by a campaign.