Malaysia 370 is Pilot Suicide

When debating over the disappearance of flight MH370, we should consider how best to evaluate a theory’s sustainability. I suggest two criteria: reliability (how much existing data does the theory explain) and probability (the likelihood of that particular event). After refuting my opponent’s arguments, I will advance a theory that much better serves these two criteria. I would like to request that my opponent source his citations in the next round, especially for “Contention 1.”“They ad recovered the log files that Capt Zaharie deleted and discovered that Capt Zaharie, in one log, had flown a B777, out of Kuala Lumpur, and then ended the flight just about on the exact same point where the airplane had gone missing in real life.”First, I would like to factually dispute this, which is why I requested source citations. After researching on the web for fifteen minutes, I can’t find any data that would suggest that the deleted files were recovered and they showed a flight trajectory matching the plane’s radar pings. Second, if the pilot indeed planned to commit suicide, why would he bother hiding the truth by deleting the files? And MORE importantly, why would the pilot bother turning around to the Indian Ocean in order to commit this terrible crime? He could have easily accomplished this in the South China Sea or off the coast of Malaysia after he departed. My opponent’s theory cannot explain this unusually glaring bit of data.“The Boeing 777 is a extremely safe and advanced airliner. The most probable cause for a crash, is Pilot Input.”I think this point is mostly irrelevant because while the Boeing 777 is a safe airliner, this does not mean it is invincible, has never had a safety incident, or that the most probable explanation for a Boeing 777 safety incident is pilot suicide. Wikipedia lists at least 10 aviation accidents and incidents for the Boeing 777 - 7 if you do not count three hijackings. http://en.wikipedia.org... “This isn't the first Pilot Suicide the world has seen.” Just because pilot suicide has occurred in the past, does not mean that it’s a probable explanation for an airliner’s disappearance; weather and technical malfunction incidents far exceed the number of pilot suicides. This fact alone should be a reason why pilot suicide unlikely explains MH370. Now, for my counter-theory, I assert that an electrical fire or other technical malfunction downed MH370, and this better explains the existing data than pilot suicide. I am drawing on theory asserted by Chris Goodfellow in Wired. First, any good pilot should always keep track of the closest airport in case of emergency - airports in front, airports behind. In case of electrical fire or other incident, Kuala Lampur was the closest airport to MH370, which explains why the pilot would have made such a sharp, sudden turn. My opponent cannot explain this data. An electrical also would have caused the pilot to start pulling circuits and busses in an attempt to isolate the fire’s origin, which would also explain the loss in communications. Goodfellow also asserts that in cases onboard emergencies involving technical problems, like fires, pilots would have been trying navigate and aviate, and lastly communicate. Third, an electrical fire also would explain why the plane made it out to the middle of the Indian Ocean. It would have produced thick, horrendous smoke, choking the cabin and incapacitating the pilots. Autopilot would have taken over and the plane would continue to fly until it ran out of fuel or encountered some other serious problem.