Project Mogul is NOT the Cause of the Roswell Incident

"8.The project was top secret; a breech occurred when a farmer found debris and contacted the local sheriff. The sheriff contacted Roswell AAF. The military responded." Just how "Top Secret" was Project Mogul? The only thing secret about Project Mogul was the purpose (described by Con). The balloon itself was of little importance. They had been left to drop in populated areas and were recovered by average civilians on several occasions. Sometimes they were left to rot. Mogul balloons had reward notices and questionnaires from New York University attached to them were they to be recovered by civilians (http://www.scribd.com... -- among many other sources [pg. 45]). Mogul had even been in the newspaper at the time, albeit with the cover story of being launched for the purpose of cosmic ray research (http://www.roswellproof.com... [project title not publicized, but constituent elements identical]). More newspaper coverage from the time period covering similar balloon constructions with radar targets can be viewed here: http://www.roswellproof.com... The great lengths to which the military went to silence the civilian witnesses as well as their own men is entirely inconsistent with the recovery of a Mogul balloon considering the materials were unclassified and completely mundane, it had been publicized in the newspaper (PM title not specified though, of course) and had attatched reward notices and questionairres. It is important to note that all launches were announced in advance in Notices to Airmen (NOTAMs) because of the fact that the long balloon trains could pose a threat to airborne navigation in the area. So, the officers at Roswell were undoubtedly aware of the Mogul flights. (http://kevinrandle.blogspot.com...) Charles Moore, one of the lead Project Mogul scientists, even admitted to traveling to Roswell to ask the base officers for assistance in tracking their balloons. Presumably the commanding officer of the RAAF, Colonel William "Butch" Blanchard, or one of his subordinate officers, refused the request. (http://kevinrandle.blogspot.com...) The neoprene balloons used for PM were of the same variety launched by the weather department at Roswell 4 times a day. (http://kevinrandle.blogspot.com...) They were easily recognizable and extremely common. The Rawin radar targets used for Mogul weren't quite as common, but certainly nothing extraordinary. They consisted of balsa wood struts (that could easily be snapped -- contrary to the claims of Moore and others), cloth-backed aluminum foil (that even Irving Newton [the weatherman who identified the materials in General Roger Ramey's office as a weather balloon] said could easily be torn), and string tying all the constituent elements together. These were all elements that would have been readily identifiable to any soldier. Many standard meterological packages of the time were identical, albeit much smaller (i.e. one balloon, one rawin radar target) so there was nothing out of the ordinary about them. William "Mack" Brazel, the sheep rancher that originally came across the debris, should have been able to identify the conventional material immediately. Mack had recovered balloons previously that consisted of identical material, on at least two occasions. Brazel stated that what he found out on the ranch was nothing like what he found previously, but if it was Mogul, it would have been identical to what he had found previously. (http://www.roswellinvestigator.com...) And, even if Brazel couldn't identify it, surely Marcel or Cavitt would have been able to identify it. And if not them, base commander William Blanchard surely could have identified the material. With the fact that all of the above witnesses were familiar with the material that a Mogul balloon consisted of, the notion that all of them were absolutely mystified by debris from a Rawin radar target is patently ludicrous. It's an insult to their intelligence, as well as ours. Engineer Robert A. Galganski went about attempting to verify the claims of Charles Moore that they covered the balsa wood struts with glue to strengthen them which Moore said accounted for reports by Roswell witnesses of I-beam like debris that could not be cut, broken or burned. Galganski's experimental analysis of this claim can be read here: http://www.cufos.org... Galganski found that even after coated with both tested adhesives, the balsa wood struts still looked like wood. "All beams soaked in Elmer's Glue-All failed at a lower force level (average force equal to 4.3 newtons) than their untreated counterparts (7.4 newtons) a strength reduction of more than 40%." National Casein 8580 Glue exhibited a higher average breaking force than both raw and Elmer's Glue treated wood, but "they could still be easily broken by hand." Both the glue treated and control specimens failed the combustibility test. All three were combustible. All three also failed cut resistance tests. All could be cut with a knife. Galganski also did a mathematical analysis of the surface area of the Mogul balloon trains Flight 4 and Flight 9 comparative to the size of the reported debris field. Even allowing for an immense margin for error, Galganski found Mogul to be an absolute mathematical impossibility. (http://www.cufos.org...) Summary of Galganski's Mathematical Analysis: "A rectangular field shape is implicit—but by no means certain—in Marcel's description. For that configuration, the debris would have littered an area equal to 250 ft (average width) x 4,000 ft (about ï¿½ of a mile) long = 1,000,000 ft2 (nearly 23 acres). . . . The unknown debris distribution is approximated by equations which attempt to simulate the major elements contained in the most reliable first-statement, firsthand, and secondhand witness testimony. My objective was to generate a conservative approximation of that pattern—one that would estimate the smallest possible amount of on-ground thin-shell material—to minimize the risk of unfairly biasing the evaluation outcome against the Mogul hypothesis. . . . The model's parabolic field has the same overall dimensions described by Major Marcel: 250 feet wide (at its far end) by 4,000 feet long. But it encompasses only 667,000 ft2 (about 15 acres) of pasture, 33% less ground area than that contained in the rectangular configuration. . . . Let Area 1 denote the model-estimated surface area of on-ground, thin-shell debris. This parameter . . . is equal to 6,880 ft2. . . . To give the Mogul hypothesis a fighting chance, assume that all three targets landed on the pasture and were broken apart and shredded into pieces of varying size. The total laminate surface area (Area 2) is equal to 3 targets x 18 ft2 / target = 54 ft2. . . . Compare the two surface areas by dividing Area 1 by Area 2. We obtain 6,880 ft2 / 54 ft2 = 127.4. This number tells us that it would take more than 127 Flight 4 balloon trains — more than 381 radar targets — to litter the field! Mercy. . . . The model's debris coverage density is 6,880 ft2 / 667,000 ft2 = 0.0103 (1.03% overall coverage)—at the lower end of the arbitrary acceptable range. Nearly 99% of the simulated field is debris-free or uncovered, confirming the desired conservative nature of the model. . . . The smallest length listed in Table 1—250 feet —assumes that Marcel completely butchered his estimate, imagining the debris to be scattered over an area 16 times longer than it actually was. Even for this mind-numbing scenario—a pasture with less area than a football field—it would still take 10 Mogul Flight 4 launches to supply the thin-shell material found on the ground. Alternatively, one Mogul train would account for only 10% of the debris." More to come.