On balance, the rise of China is beneficial to the interests of the United States.

Contention 1: Billy and Bobby Hack it UpMy opponent begins the third speech by presenting a false analogy based on two school children. The analogy breaks down because of a phenomena known as reverse engineering. Billy (the Chinese) steals ideas from Bobby (the U. S. ) and then proceeds to learn how they work (reverse engineering) (. http://papers.ssrn.com...) In effect the chinese take our ideas/technology and then, part by part, break them down into their components in order to understand the technology. This allows them to imitate our technology and then build upon it. A better analogy would be, "Billy (a school bully) forces Bobby to waste some time tutoring him in math, and then Billy understands how to do math by the end of the semester. " Thus Billy no longer needs to waste Billy's time getting tutoring, and the chinese no longer need to reverse engineer our secrets. That's not really the important point here though. Remember that my opponent has already proven that hacking is high in the status quo. If China does not rise then my opponent has conceeded that China will keep hacking the United States. There is only a risk that China's rise will result in decreased hacking and more technological innovation. Thus the rise of China only has a risk of being good and is therefor prefereable to the status quo. Finally my opponent argues that hacking and jobs are only correlated. I agree. But, as my source delineates, increased hacking has actually caused increased cyber security (imagine that). Thus hacking does create jobs. Contention 2. China, Definitely Not ScaryMy opponent misses a few key points. He/she suggests that the key component of China's economy is internal construction. This isn't true. 46.8% of China's economy is made up of the conglomerate of mining, energy, construction, and manufacturing (. http://en.wikipedia.org...). But the majority of that is manufacturing and exporting of good (. http://www.treasury.gov.au...). In fact the chinese economy has often been referred to as the "export-driven model of economics". Thus my point stands strong, the Chinese would never act out severe agression against the U. S. because it would dent the major function of their economy. My opponent argues that the chinese economy will soon fall and this will create a war. He/she offers no warrants for this scenario, in fact it appears that internal housing growth is strong and backed by strong cash demand (. http://www.forbes.com...). Consider that the U. S. housing bubble was actually a mortgage crisis or a complex credit crisis. Since most domestic buyers in China are paying with cash this alleviates a potential bubble burst. Moreover consider the ludicrous nature of my opponents logic, the argument is tantamount to saying, "part of China's economy might fall so they will initiate a war that will surely destroy the rest of their economy. " And finally, my position in this resolution proposes that china will rise. My opponent's scenario is contingent on China falling and thus has no bearing on my position. My points about mutually assured destruction and the dollar peg go untouched. These points independently check chinese aggression and are compelling reasons to vote Pro. Contention 3: Please Steal More, You're Helping! My opponent returns to the points made in contention 1, I have already dealt with those. However many of my arguments in this section go unadressed. I have substantial arguments as to how the rise of china will make them more reponsive to international IP regulation; my opponent has already illustrated how this will create millions of U. S. jobs. Moreover I have demonstrated how increased competition is mutually advantageous to both parties and I have offered empirics on increased U. S. exports. Thus I reaffirm my point, China's rise will be hugely beneficial to U. S. interests. Underview: A ReminderIn this debate round my opponent has delineated substantial analysis about how the world currently exists. But that's not what the resolution asks us to examine. The resolution wants to know if "the rise of China" will be beneficial or detrimental. I have used my round to agree with my opponent, the status quo is not optimal, but I have demonstrated how the rise of China will substantially benefit the United States. This is especially true because the Chinese rise will continue to drive competition and thereby create innovation (jobs/technolgies).