A nuclear attack will likely take place on US soil in the next ten years

First of all, I would like my opponent to notice that I'm not talking about a nuclear war, but a single nuclear attack. Nuclear attack in this case means an intended, not accidental, explosion of a nuclear weapon in the country of America. Definition of a nuclear weapon: An explosive device whose destructive potential derives from the release of energy that accompanies the splitting or combining of atomic nuclei. (http://dictionary.reference.com...) I, as Pro, must prove that it is likely that at least one intended nuclear attack will take place on US soil within the next ten years. My opponent, as Con, must prove that it is not likely that a nuclear attack will take place in the US soil within the next ten years. (Alaska and Hawaii are a part of America.) My arguments: Much of what is presented below is from a paper presented November, 2002 by the Director of Homeland Security Programs of the major supplier to the Federal Government of radiological detection instruments. Some of it is gleaned from my over 40 years of work in the nuclear industry, including 7 years as Chairman of a Nuclear Technology Program at a major southern college, 2 years at the DOE PANTEX FACILITY, 5 years at Los Alamos National Laboratory and 2 Years at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. There are 4 basic problems concerning nuclear terrorism facing the U. S. today. These are [not in order of importance]: (1) A terrorist act at a domestic nuclear facility such as - A commercial nuclear reactor - A DOE nuclear facility - A commercial nuclear fuel enrichment or fabrication facility - A university nuclear reactor (2) Explosion of a "Dirty Bomb" in a public place such as - A major city - An amusement park - A sports stadium - An airport or sea port (3) Release of radioactive material into and air or water supply - An aerosol or other airborne radioactive material released into the air intake of a major building - Radioactive material released into the water supply of a major city (4) Explosion of a nuclear weapon - There are over 200 documented cases of persons attempting to purchase special nuclear material (stuff to make bombs) or tactical nuclear weapons on the black market - There are over 100 "suitcase bombs" missing from the Soviet nuclear inventory The last one is by far the most important. The former head of Soviet National Security, Alexander Lebed testified to that fact before congress. He stated that the devices measure approximately 24" x 16" x 8" and can be set off by an individual in less than 30 minutes, producing a 1 kilo ton yield. Such a device, set off in New York Harbor would produce a 15 to 20 foot wave that would destroy New York City. Other sources have confirmed that the number of suitcase bombs missing from the Soviet inventory is correct. Question: But how could nuclear bombs get into USA? Answer: There are many possible ways it could come here without anyone ever knowing. It could come in as sea cargo. Less than 5% of sea cargo coming into America are inspected. It could also come in as air cargo. FedEx, UPS and UPSP are not inspected! It could come in across borders. Only a few border guards have equipment to detect radioactive material and even fewer know how to use them! As we saw, the enemy, whether it being a terrorist organisation or anyone else who wishes to strike terror into the hearts of American people, could get for example suitcase bombs easily into America. It would also be possible to smuggle material which can be used to build a nuclear device, such as plutonium or uranium into USA. I think we're in for a good debate :)