GOP will win in November

On the turnout argument, your still missing my point. I'm sorry I misspoke(typed?). But, simply because the Democrats are receiving more votes now does not mean that they will win the general. They simply have a more heated rivalry which is drawing more people to the polls. This does not mean it will be the case in November. On fundraising, yes, the celebrity candidates have raised more money. My point with Huckabee is that money and winning are not correlative. Obama won while outspending, Huckabee and McCain won while being outspent. The Dems may not have received money, but they are endorsed more. My evidence shows that democrats receive more funds from big groups. Edwards may not receive money from lobbyists, just employees of lobbysists or union workers and not unions, there is a delicate line that the voters don't see. The evidence I provided proves that the Republicans funds, though smaller, have come from a larger base of voters, indicating that funds are not indicative of votes. My point is that there is no correlation or substance to the entire argument in general. You are trying to swing this argument two ways. First, funds are not indicative of voter support. Second, funds are an advantage, but can be overcome, as we have seen lately. I don't think there is any denying that the rivalry between the Democrats, especially Obama and Hillary is undeniable. Did you watch the CNN debate on Mon.? All the candidates did was bicker. The media is flooded, as are the voters, with this animosity. Regardless of how close the candidates are on the issues, the rivalry between democratic personality's is clearly the most divisive. The only thing that comes to the table in the debates is voting records and spouses and professional history. If the Dems agreed on the issues, you wouldn't know it, because they never have time to talk about them over the pathetic bickering. Ask any pundant or voter, liberal or conservative. John Edwards admits that the biggest factor in him jumping in the polls is his ability to capture the anti-hillary vote. None of the republicans draw the inner-party hatred that each of the dems do. this rivalry will alienate many independents and split the base. Obama admitted this in the debate, as did Edwards. On the surge, I would expect a liberal editorialist to put a democrat spin on the surge working. This is not a logical conclusion and we don't have any reason to believe voters are coming to this conclusion other than this unqualified, biased journalist's opinion. If the surge is working, the logical conclusion is that staying there would bring more positive results. Obviously, this conclusion would benefit the Republicans. On the economy, the poll you cited proves my point. Over 70% of Americans think they are better off or the same as last year. Even among the low income, 61% think that. This would benefit the GOP. If a majority of people think they are better or the same, the incumbent party has the upper hand on the economy. Wealth distribution and the economy are two seperate issues. The concept that the bush taxes cuts are for the rich is a false one. The bush tax cuts, as well as the Republican platform, cut taxes proportionally across the board. On Bush, the republicans, especially the current heir-apparent John McCain, are starting to run against Bush just as much. McCain said Bush wasn't a conservative. Rudy said it was hard to call him a republican at times. If the republicans can convince voters that Bush is not an accureate reflection of the party, their popular messages like small government and lower taxes can come through. First, let me say, of course the washington post is going to say the democrats are favorites. And they are. I can't KNOW that the republicans will win in November. But, they have a SHORT list of important things to do in order to win the election. If they can unidentify the party with Bush, preach popular messages like lower taxes, and let the democrats ruin it for themselves, they can win in November. The point is, support for the democrats doesn't mean much now. The current issues are looking better (not necessarily good) than they were. The Republicans are starting to distance themselves from Bush. Most importantly, the democrats are running themselves into the ground with this bitter rivalry. Each side has about 44% of the vote gauranteed (virtually). The remaining indpenedents are being driven from the democrats by the day. I don't care how much you disagree on the issues, if there is one thing the common voter hates its political BS and bickering. We are getting a textbook example in the democratic primaries. The Democrats are looking less moderate and any nominee will alienate a large part of the base strictly because of their personality and the fact that the other two lost. The Republicans are not the favorite now, and shouldn't be. But, the future looks brighter for the GOP nominee than the Democrats based on the bitterness within the left and the increasing positive sentiment on the status quo.