Trump's Reelection

We'll thank you Bsh1 for your insights and your thoughtfulness discussion. So, i guess you were ready for a battle and I'm glad to see this. Let's get this show on the road shell we!!!! Let's talk why and how Donald Trump got where he is today. Because it important to understand why he got to be President before we can go forward on his re-election. You did a good job on the numbers part, so i won't get to much involved there. But it's important to realize who he went against and how the numbers are only part of how he won the Presidential election. Yes Trump won 306 to 232 electoral college votes. And yes when you add all that up he only won barely by 77,780 votes. And he lost the popular vote by over 3 millions. But the popular vote doesn't matter if you could win the electoral college votes. That's what trump did, he won the electoral college votes. If you look more closely this past election has the most votes ever standing at 138,847,000. This also tell us "voting age population (VAP) turnout was 55.5%". (13.) https://en.m.wikipedia.org...; This was higher than 2012 election. So people voted this past elections. And trump still won. Now why did he win? Well it pretty simple because he actually went down and dirty. Meaning he went to the swing states and campaign. Unlike his opponent Hillary Clinton she campaign in states where she was already going to win like California and New York. As for Trump he went to "swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Iowa, as well as the three "blue wall" stronghold states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin". (14.) https://en.m.wikipedia.org... Another factor is trump promised changes as for Hillary she didn't promised anything. Hillary didn't challenge trump during their lives debates she didn't say anything meaningful as for trump he promised many, many things and his Republican base brought them. Trump win because a lot of people hated Hillary way more than trump. Trump take full advantage of the attention he was getting, it didn't matter if it was a negative. He turn it to say something meaningful. As for Hillary she just didn't do anything and this hurt her. But now he is in office and it going take a lot to knock him out. People didn't think he would win nevermind doing doing a decent job of being the commander and chief. Now you talk about his approval rating being historically low and this may be true. But i already kinda touch on this in the first round. But i will go though it in more detail now. Can you actually trust these polls or approval ratings? I mean look these polls or approval ratings are a very small sample size when you compare them to the national size. These polls or approval ratings only have like a 1,000 to 10,000 or 100,000 people voted on them. This doesn't mean these polls are correct, when you consider the size of the Nation. These polls most people don't take very seriously. For example look what happened to the Presidential election. Trump took over 62 millions votes. None of theses polls predicted that. The media trying to manipulate these polls and approval ratings to make trump look bad. They try this during the election and what happened? They failed and they are still failing. Another way the media could be manipulating these polls is this way. You have a poll that says do you like trump or you don't like. Then you get only 10 people who voted on this poll. 6 out of 10 say they dislike trump. That would be 60% disliking him. And only 40% liking him. So you could see these polls are very a very small sample. So could you really trust these polling? If you want to have faith in these polls then here one "In October, for example, 44 percent of 2016 voters said they approved of Trump"s performance in office, compared with 37 percent of the general population". (15.) https://www.reuters.com... You want more evidence here "Among Republicans, 82 percent of voters approved of Trump in October, compared with 75 percent of all Republicans". (16.) https://www.reuters.com... Only 15 won two consecutive elections out of 42 men who served as president before the current incumbent. "Among the others, five died during their first terms, seven incumbents declined to run". (17.) https://www.thedailybeast.com... So if you take away the 12 mention then Mr.Trump has a 50% chance to win. Those are pretty good odds. It will obviously matter who he runs against too. I have mentioned in the first round name 5 candidates you think could or should be nominated for the Democratic. This is important, because if you have a candidate like Hillary, trump will win pretty easily. You might be waiting to name these names later in this debate. But i will advise you to name them in the next round. So, i could have a chance to defend my argument better. It would be unfair for me if you name these candidates in your 3th or 4th round, because i would have no way of giving back my responses. Another reason why i think this is important on picking some candidates is this. Only a few candidates have a realistic chance of beating trump or at least giving this next presidential race interesting. The person does matter on who people wanting to vote for. If you give the voter bad choices then you get what happen in 2016. I can only think of two who might be able to beat trump. But the Democratic could failed again on electing them. And give out a poor choice like they did in 2016. You mention that the mid-term election could go toward the Democratic way. And that would have a good insights on who might win the next election. That might be true, but like i said before the person matter more. Not what party or where they came from. People going to vote on the person not the party. So even if the Democratic win this year mid-term election it doesn't guarantee them anything comes 2020. The person who they elect will matter way more. You also mention the Democratic seem more enthusiastic about this coming mid-terms. But i will question again does these new poll numbers really matter anymore? Why do i say this, well i will point to what happen in 2016. All these poll numbers and what ever you wanna add in all suggest Hillary and the Democratic would win. And this didn't happen. It happening again, so how can we be so sure things won't happen the same way as in 2016? Trump new tax plan already a big accomplishment. Here why some bigs company's already putting extra money to their employees. For example, "AT&T, Comcast giving $1,000 bonuses to hundreds of thousands of workers after tax bill". (18.) https://www.cnbc.com... here another company "Walmart to raise its starting wage to $11, give some employees bonuses following tax bill passage". (19.) https://www.cnbc.com... "Apple today announced a new set of investments to build on its commitment to support the American economy and its workforce, concentrated in three areas where Apple has had the greatest impact on job creation". (20.) https://www.apple.com... "Tesla Wants to Build Three More Gigafactories in the United States". (21.) https://www.google.com... This is great news why because the average employees now will have extra money to spend or save. Employees will get extra money that could go right back in the economy. Plus new employees will be employed. So it not just great news for the company, it good for the workforce. So this will help his re-election bid. "Trump won his first term despite record low approval ratings, triumphing over the marginally less unpopular Hillary Clinton. He will probably be able to repeat this feat if necessary". (22.) http://kutv.com... Trump is getting better and better as the President. Rather you like him or not he doing a decent job. Trump"s accomplishments are really just Republican Party accomplishments, and I think that"s the right way to judge him.