Based on current evidence we can conclude abortion lowers crime

===Definitions=== If my opponent wants this definition I am fine with this, however the former definition was made as it was actually more in pros favor. ===My opponents hypothetical=== My opponent has agreed to have the BOP, sadly his case offers no proof to his assertion. My opponents reason for the hypothetical is this: 1) evidence is flawed, 2)it's simpler. Even if it is simpler, he must provide data for his hypothetical or it is just a bare assertion. Numbers pulled from thin air are not high enough in quality to be sufficient in debate. Further something being "simple" is not always superior. His logic on flawed statistics is a blatant misunderstanding of statistics. The statistics I will post are mainly academic studies which use regressions too control for other factors and, therefore, make it hardr to claim other factors played a role. As we see the heart of my opponents hypothetical is flawed. But there is one fatal flaw it it: it assumes an abortion crime effect exists. Therefore, all I need to prove in my entire rebuttal is this: the assumed effect doesn't exist. If this is proven I win the debate and this argument is hindered invalid. When looking at the abortion crime effect, however, we see no such effect is existent. In a 2007 study by John Lott and John Whitley we see most research on the subject is incomplete. And that the actual data shows abortions many societal effects--fit example increased out of wedlock births--increases the crime rate (murder rises 7%) and most areas of crime remain non effected [1][2]. To be clear here are some abortion effects: • Increase in pre-marital sex • Sharp rises in out-of wedlock births • Drop of number for adoption • Decline in marriages amongst previously pregnant woman The hypothesis is abortion lowers unwanted children. But the data is opposite this claim. Although more of them get aborted, pre marital sex is MORE common as the risk of pregnancy is perceived as lower. As Lott puts it, "Academic studies have found that legalized abortion, by encouraging premarital sex, increased the number of unplanned births, even outweighing the reduction in unplanned births due to abortion."[2] The increased pre marital births increases the amount of unwanted and abused children--leading to more crimes--and at best no effect [1]. This data is supported by an earlier study in 2001, conducted by the same authors. Their results conclude many factors led to the 1990 decrease in crime, in particular less drug usage, more arrests & convictions, and conceal carry laws. They claim if abortion was still illegal the drop in crime would have been larger, meaning abortion legalization increases crime rates [3]. ________________________________________________________________________________ I see little need to continue as my opponent has provided nothing outside hypotheticals which, really, prove nothing in a factual manner. It merely assumes such an abortion effect exists, when it is clear it does not. Based on this alone pro has failed to meet his burden and a con vote is warranted. [1] http://papers.ssrn.com... [2] http://www.lewrockwell.com... [3] (PDF) http://digitalcommons.law.yale.edu...