Resolved: The USFG should eliminate its nuclear armed ICBM force

=== Debate Scope ===For this debate to be instructive, consider plan vs CP over a fixed timeline. In R2, Pro advocated his plan based on a thirty-year timeline which I accepted. Anything beyond this is a moving goalpost, complicates cost comparisons, and should be rejected. Pro dropped my R3 timeline argument. Judges should therefore consider it binding. === Solvency ===It is impossible for Pro to get a budget advantage as he conceded that a 75% reduction in the Bomber force will yield the same budgetary benefits as his plan. His own source shows that politics are non-unique. Bombers will eventually need to be modernized but outside the debate timeline so managerial complexity is moot. === Weighing Mechanism ===This debate has four main impacts. Weigh them in the following order:1: DeterrenceWeigh deterrence the highest as it is the primary purpose of a nuclear arsenal. Subs are currently hidden but deterrence is about hedging for the future. The Atom Bomb wasn't a threat 30 years before it was dropped. Pro drops that the power of submarine stealth technology and ASW has historically oscillated which gives us a reason to believe that ASW will overtake in the near future.Pro drops that the threat of advancement of ASW is dangerous because of perceptions. This is a massive win for me because perception is key in nuclear detterence. While Pro argues about current sub capability, he ignores that if the world is threatened by ASW advancement, the US nuclear umbrella will be under threat. Pro also drops that in the eyes in the world, the US switching to a dyad while others have triads is a sign of weakness which lowers our deterrent credibility. Pro conceding his perm is telling as it shows he doesn't believe subs alone are a deterrent. He advocates bombers for redundancy. He drops my plethora of reasons why they are a poor choice. They are high value targets, prone to accidents, can be destroyed conventionally and covertly without intruding upon US soverignty and ICBM force symmetric warfare. ICBM and sub survivability complement while subs and bombers don't. 2: SurvivalSlam dunk win for me as Pro drops that credibility of deterrence only works on rational actors, thus survival must be a factor in nuclear policy.Pro drops that the US is vast and relocations will minimize deaths due to environmental degradation. Pro acts like nuclear war is the end of humanity yet says only tens of millions out of 300m will die. I win that ICBM as buffer will save 200+ million lives.Pro drops Presidential succession so I win that nukes can be securely stored in reserve, winning freedom from occupation.3. Conventional WarWeigh survival higher than conventional warfare. 200+ million lives is a massive impact that easily outweighs any impact magnitude from conventional war. With magnitude a win for me, this leaves probability. Conventional war between US and China unlikely; no conventional wars between nuclear states ever. This undermines probability.Pro asserts global economy and peace depend more on conventional than nuclear power. Cold War proves him wrong. Even with lower probability, I should win surival/conventional war impact clash because American casualities in conventional wars like Iraq and Afg number in the thousands while mine's 200+ million. The US could fight hundreds of conventional wars and not reach my impact.4. TerrorismWeigh terrorism the least as a) Pro's warrants for terrorism have been reduced to nothing at his point, b) Cutting nuclear arsenal is not an appropriate response to terrorism which Pro drops. We didn't stop conventional air travel after 9/11. The solution is to improve security which even Pro points out is being done through simulations. Pro has all but conceded that low morale due to ICBM is a cause-corelation fallacy and provides no evidence of unique problems due to ICBM. Prefer my evidence on freezing as a reason for low morale. Pro concedes modernizing ICBM will solve morale problem anyways so this argument self-destructs.