Obama will get a second term

Thanks for accepting. C1: Obama has the incumbant advantageIn general, incumbents have structural advantages over challengers during elections. The timing of elections may be determined by the incumbent instead of a set schedule. For most political offices, the incumbent often has more name recognition due to their previous work in the office. [1]So they are at an advantage because:1. Name recognition 2. they have more structure as they have ran national elections, in this case. 3. Money. here's why they get more money:Incumbents also have easier access to campaign finance, as well as government resources (such as the franking privilege) that can be indirectly used to boost a campaign. [1]C2: PollsNewt Vs. obama polls:Gallup: Obama= 50% Newt= 48% [2]PPP polls: Obama = 50% Newt = 42% [3]Newt would lose.C3: Newt is a flip flopperThis is a big disadvantage as obama WILL push this arguemnt. Let me name some:Flip: Used to be for mandateFlop: Now against is Flip: for cap and tradeFlop: against cap and tradeFlip: for human global warmingFlop: thinks it is naturalFlip: against paul ryan budget planFlop: for the planFlip: DO not have a no fly zone over libyaFlop: we need a no fly zoneFlip: no patriot actFlop: yes patriot actFor more info see 4 source.C4; MoneyObamas current money for re-election: They raised a record-high $746 million in 2008. Obama has raised $87 million so far this year for his re-election fight. [5]Will he get a billion dollars? No probably not but will he break 700 million? Maybe. Remember the incumbant has executive powers and has more fundraising ability so he will get a good amount of money, considerably more then the challengers. (most likely)C5: newt and his scandalsfreddie mae and mac: Bloomberg News has reported Gingrich earned between $1.6 million and $1.8 million from the mortgage giant. His critics have said he was lobbying [6]His ethics sanctions: Eighty-four ethics charges were filed against Gingrich during his term as speaker. After extensive investigation and negotiation by the House Ethics Committee, Gingrich was sanctioned $300,000 by a 395–28 House vote. It was the first time in history a speaker was disciplined for ethical wrongdoing. [7]Special Counsel James M. Cole concluded that Gingrich violated federal tax law and had lied to the ethics panel in an effort to force the committee to dismiss the complaint against him. [7]His wives:Gingrich has been married three times. In 1962, he married Jackie Battley, his former high school geometry teacher, when he was 19 years old and she was 26. [7]In the spring of 1980, Gingrich left Battley after beginning an affair with Marianne Ginther. [7]In 1984, Battley told The Washington Post that the divorce was a "complete surprise" to her. According to Battley, in September 1980, Gingrich and their children visited her while she was in the hospital, recovering from surgery, and Gingrich wanted to discuss the terms of their divorce. [7]sounds evil.According to L. H. Carter, Gingrich's campaign treasurer, Gingrich said of Battley: "She's not young enough or pretty enough to be the wife of the President. And besides, she has cancer." [7]that = evil.C6: newt is unelectable6 reasons he is unelectable:Later he told the New York Times “I don’t do foreign policy.” [8]Do you want the leader of the biggest country to be ignorant in foreign policy? No that's why newt fails.“This is petty,” said Gingrich, indicating his displeasure at the way the two were treated. [8]insult to clinton as the source states. I do not liek clinton but still disrespectful tsk tsk tsk.“I’m willing to lead but I’m not willing to preside over people who are cannibals.” - newtinsulting his republican party as the source states, [8].never facced economic troubles is out of touch with middle class [8]Newt had all of those affairs because he loved his country. [8]lol he had affairs for his country, how?And he is to conservative to win. =conclusion=Obama would win a second term vs newt gingrich.soruces:http://en.wikipedia.org... [1]http://www.gallup.com...[2] http://www.rightspeak.net... [3] http://nymag.com... [4]http://m.newsbusters.org... [5]http://content.usatoday.com... [6]http://en.wikipedia.org... [7]http://www.politicususa.com... [8]