Total War: USA (pro) v (con) China.

Premise I: US v China MilitaryTo set up the debate, let’s address the Military powers as are. The US is first place in the Global Firepower ranking [1]. China, however, is third [2]. The number of Chinese soldiers outweigh US soldiers, but the value of each is different. China only spends $30,000 per soldier, while the US spends $230,000 per soldier.The US has 5x as many aircraft. The US also has 10x as many AFV (Armoured Fighting Vehicle). 20x as many Aircraft Carriers. And almost 3x as many Destroyers. Con may mention areas where China has greater numbers, but these are often outdated (China has more frigates, but their frigates are outdated, whereas Destroyers are far stronger.)[1] http://tinyurl.com...[2] http://tinyurl.com...Premise II: US v China EconomyThe US economy stands at a tall $17.4 trillion USD [3], while China stands at $17.6 trillion USD. However, three features of China’s economy gives the US a clear advantage. China's GDP per capita is $12,800, while the US’s is $54,000, thus the US still has a far stronger economy. The second issue is that China’s economy is built on a massive ‘triple bubble’ that is beginning to pop [4]. Since June of this year, the Chinese stock market went from 5,200 to 3,000. Over a 40% drop [5]. China is barely making it through the popping of the first bubble, and if they lost all trade with the US + a massive global war, their economy would plummet.The third, and second biggest, issue for China is that too much of their economy is built on US corporations. A large number of China's workforce work for US industries, and many of the rest are employed to China's industries built around exports to the US. When war breaks out, the baseline for much of China's workforce will be pulled from under them as US companies move out. Not only would employing Chinese workers become highly unpopular and likely illegal, it'll also be harder since the Chinese government would likely be harsh on US employers in their nation. It's likely that they will either employ more in the US (boosting our economy), or they will employ more in India instead. This is good because India is a US ally.China also has higher tax inefficiency, bringing in only $1.8 trillion [6], despite having a higher tax rate than the US [7]. And only 1/3rd of China's tax revenue goes to the central government [6]. To make things worse, because of their Progressive tax, and the fact that their economy is further stretched, a much higher percent of the taxable income is in low tax brackets. Whereas in the US, a far higher percentage of US Income is in higher tax brackets, boosting US tax revenue to levels China would bankrupt themselves trying to achieve.[3] http://tinyurl.com...[4] http://tinyurl.com...[5] http://tinyurl.com...[6] http://tinyurl.com...[7] http://tinyurl.com...Argument I: US Allies v Chinese AlliesIn the case of a war with the US and China, alliances will matter a lot. Especially with NATO. NATO, being made up largely of European nations, will be fast to assist the US. Europe is terrified of China, holding a worse opinion of China than the US does [8]. If a war broke out, even if they don't go to war along side the US, Europe and NATO would be quick to aid the US in a number of other ways to ensure a US victory.The US also has a strong alliance with India, who is on bad terms with China. Both have built up militarily on the borders to abnormal degrees [9]. China's problem is that it has no allies. The closest they have to an alliance is the SCO. However, the SCO, unlike NATO, isn't formed of states who are not friendlywith one another. The two largest states under China (including India, who will enter in 2016), are India and Russia, both of whom strongly dislike China. India, as already mentioned, prefers the US to China. We can see the weak bond in the organization, as it will include Pakistan and India soon, both of whom have perhaps one of the worse foreign relations in the world today. The weakness in each nations bond would cripple in a war with the US. Especially with pre-existing US military operations in the region putting pressure on states like Pakistan.Using the Global Firepower website, the worst possible outcome is the second and third military powers (Russia and China) vs the first, fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh, ninth, and tenth [10].Geography is also in the US's favor. With Japan and South Korea, the US would have China surrounded with insanely powerful US allies.[8] http://tinyurl.com...[9] http://tinyurl.com...[10] http://tinyurl.com...Argument II: The US Navy.China and the USA are separated by one large obstacle... the Ocean. Even in the year 2015, this is a large issue... For China. Not for the US. The US's navy is simply impassable. To win, China must be able to get to the US. This simply isn't possible, as the US Navy is literally too powerful. China has 1 Aircraft Carrier, the Liaoning. It is petty in size. The average US Carrier, the Nimitz Class, is larger, has more aircraft, and has larger aircraft. And the US has ten of these. And then the US has 10 more Aircraft Carriers [11]. The Liaoning isn't even a good Aircraft Carrier. It a refurbished Soviet Carrier, and has had a number of problems since being released. Getting to the US through it's navy would be physically impossible. It should be understood that US classified military technology is assumed to be 15 years ahead of the rest of the world, so even if China fills the gap, the US can quickly make a new one. To make matters worse for China, Japan has 3 Aircraft Carriers as well, and India has 2. Europe has 6, and South Korea has 1 [12]. China is simply outmatched. No doubt, given their locations, South Korea and Japan would be quick to aide the US. The US is even building two new Supercarriers, and is planning on replacing it's current generation with even larger ships.US industry is also built around heavy building. Chinese industry is centered on exports, building toys and other small items for consumers, while the US's manufacturing power is capable of mass producing entire navies in a matter of years if needed.The US also has something over China. It's Missile Defense. This includes satellite tracking systems, and a number of ways to stop any long range missile. This includes in personal conflicts between ships, as the US maintains a mobile fleet of Aegis Ballistic Missiles (used on ships)[12].[11] http://tinyurl.com...[12] http://tinyurl.com...[13] http://tinyurl.com...Conclusion:For now, I will conclude this round, and let Lannan have a shot. I have plenty left that I simply didn't have the work schedule to use right now.