is it likely that a god created the universe or not

What I"m trying to say I guess is the universe may have had a beginning but it"s creation does not follow the same laws of creation as everything that we know in the physical world. As you have also stated, these laws do not apply to God as well.If God created the universe is it reasonable to believe he created the laws by which the universe were governed by at that time as well? If so the laws we comprehend now, no longer apply. What we know of cause and effect and creation and destruction should not apply to God or the universe as these things did not exist prior to one or the other or both. What may have created the universe may very well be outside outside of our scope of knowledge and we may be wasting our time applying physical laws and methodology to things that operate under completely different laws or no laws at all. The BoP is to pinpoint the creator of the universe and explain why. Your explanation is that by definition God has no creator and is the most likely candidate create the universe. By definition God has the power to do so but the universe but this can be an argument for anything you attribute these characteristics to. The argument is self confirming as you would have to accept the definition of God as the creator of the universe. Prior to your conclusion your premises have nothing to do with God and do not necessarily have to imply God as the only non-contingent thing able to create universes. Things outside the universe by definition have the ability to create the universe since they are not contingent but why settle the argument at God? It is impossible to know what entities or beings exist outside of the universe so I don't find it fair to call God the only candidate. I acknowledge your point that you aren't required to prove the existence of God but the likeliness of him creating the universe. If we are on those terms than I should be able to define any entity I wish with the characteristics of being outside the universe. I shouldn't need to prove the existence of this entity but his characteristics would be in line with anything capable of creating the universe which is something outside of the universe. "As I affirmed earlier, it is not factual, it is theory. Even if the Big Bang did occur, it has contingent existence... The only point this proves is that it gives God another possible way of creating the universe"The issue I have with this is that the existence of God by your definition is a theory there's no solid evidence to prove the existence of God by your definition nor that he is the the only entity outside of our knowledge and understanding that is capable of being outside of the universe and creating it. It's skips any other alternative and goes straight for God as the only result and I feel that is a flawed method of reasoning. I don't see how you can call it the most likely possibility without considering other possible "first causes" that may exist."There has to be something to start the chain, which does not have a meaning to exist, which would have to be God."What is the meaning for anything outside of the universe to exist? This follows the assumption that God is the only thing outside of the universe. By definition to start a chain is still a start is still a beginning and doesnt a start or beginning warrant a cause?What was the meaning of the big bang to exist or any other theorized possiblities for the creation of the universe.The basis of my argument is that your argument can support a wide vareity of theorized beings that have the potential to fit nicely into your definition. Because these things can't ultimately be proven and don't require to be proven for this argument, It is safe to say the cosmological argument can support anything else you can think of as well as God. To say God is likely to exist is to say the other possibilites that anyone can conceive under similar definitions cannot exist. I would need some evidence to support that something outside of our knowledge does not exist and that God is the only things outside of our scope of knowledge that exist and is capable of creating universes.