Thett/ bossy Tournament R1 (ASOIAF) R + L = J is most likely the correct theory.

The argument about timelines is a strawman; never did I argue that Dany was at Dragonstone, or that Viserys was not. My argument was that Dany was smuggled out of Dorne to Viserys in Essos, after having had enough time to develop childhood memories of lemontrees and the house with the red door. This was made explicit in my last round. 'The Daynes, with their strong connections to what remains of the Targaryen political apparatus, smuggle Danaerys out of the country and to Viserys, who lies to her about her past in order to shore up his own claims to the throne and then parades her about as his sister.' Nowhere do I make the claim that Dany was smuggled to Dragonstone or that Viserys never went to Dragonstone, so this counterargument doesn't even address mine. I also never claimed that Rhaella lied about being pregnant or about Dany; Rhaella was long dead by the time Viserys began travelling the Free Cities with his purported 'sister'. As I pointed out in my first argument, the sole source of information on Dany's past has been Viserys; everyone else present is long since dead.My opponent's refutations of the Braavos problems simply do not make a dent. I have quoted guards stationed in Braavos, and well traveled in Essos, discussing the fact that it is impossible for lemon trees to grow in Braavos. Not just complaining about the weather, actively mocking the very idea that a lemon tree can survive there as a foolish misconception. In the real world, lemon trees categorically cannot survive in a place which regularly experiences freezing rain; it would destroy the tree. The lemon tree remains a major stumbling block which my opponent has not explained away in the slightest, as does the fact that wood is explicitly described as being prohibitively expensive, to the point that the people of Braavos will burn dung in their fireplaces in order to preserve it. A house with giant wooden beams is incredibly unlikely. If my opponent had quoted text from the novels pointing out a place in Braavos where Danny's childhood memories could have fit in to the picture, he would have undermined this argument. If he had pointed out some strange, sunny, sheltered nook where lemon trees sprouted and somehow survived the freezing rain, where a serendipitous prevailing wind kept away the smells of the harbor while leaving the air hot, heavy, and perfumed, and where people built houses with immense carved beams despite costs for wood which were so prohibitively high that people thought twice about burning it for warmth, then I would concede defeat. But merely offering conjecture that such a place exists when all evidence points to the complete opposite conclusion is not a compelling argument.When it comes to Viserys' claim, an argument only recently introduced, my opponent is wrong. If Dany were Rhaegar's daughter, she would have a claim to the throne as his only surving child, as Rhaegar was the crown prince. Females can inherit under the Targaryen line; that was the entire point of the Dance of the Dragons, in which Rhaenyra Targaryen was the expected heir to her fathers throne as per his will, but was supplanted by her half-brother Aegon II due to a Hightower-supported coup. At the end of the resulting civil war, her son Aegon III inherited the throne. Aegon III's eldest daughter, Daena, was also considered as a possible candidate for the Iron Throne, but was passed over because her long isolation in the Maidenvault under her brother Baelor's orders had left her without political allies.I hold that there are significant enough problems with Viserys' relation of past events, combined with her visions in the House of the Undying and Quaithe's repeated warnings, to believe that Daenerys is not who she thinks she is. I also believe that there is enough substantial evidence to point to Jon being the son of Ashara Dayne and Brandon Stark, which makes Daenerys being the daughter of Rhaegar and Lyanna the logical conclusion to come to. Simply put, all of the pieces fit: Quaithe's warnings, the visions in the House of the Undying, the holes in Viserys's story when it lines up to Dany's memory, Ned Stark's crushing guilt over broken promises to Lyanna while Robert plotted to assasinate Daenerys, Lady Dayne's suicide, Ned's visit to Starfall, and Edric 'Ned' Dayne's attitude towards Ned Stark. I would not be surprised at all if, when we finally visit the lands of House Dayne in the books, there is a passing mention of a red door.