Trump's Reelection

Thank you Bsh1 for your response. I was expecting a strong response and you didn't disappoint. To bad this is the last round. I feel like i could go another round. To begin my last go around, i will discuss how the economy will help trump win his re-election bid. And i will trickle in why the approval rating you desperately want to apply in your argument. Don't hold water now with the upbeat economy. " It rather simple actually, when you see your pay checks higher, and see you have some extra money laying around it will point to trump. Why because he promised this. And he actually deliver on this promise. So many people will be rather happy on getting extra money. Like i said in my last round some big companies have step up on this new tax cut. You could expect more companies to follow suit. Even world economy is talking about this is being good. For example "The International Monetary Fund predicts global growth will accelerate to the fastest pace in seven years as U. S. tax cuts spur businesses to invest". (23. ) . https://www.bloomberg.com... As for your approval rating argument. It doesn't give time on what affect the new tax plan has for the economy nor the tax payers. "The new tax law, which President Trump signed on December 20, 2017 temporarily cuts individual tax rates across the board and permanently slashes the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 21 percent". (24. ) . http://thehill.com...; It barely been a month in for this new tax code to take full affect and already we seeing nothing but positive. You need to give it sometime before his approval rating jump higher or for his unpopularity to go down. A lot of people just don't like how trump run his mouth. But it hard to argue against an upbeat economy that only look better and better within time. Comes 2020 people going to remember he promised more money in people wallets and he delivered on that. Who doesn't want more money in their wallets? Okay you did name a lot of names for the Democratic nomination. But i will only going though some of them. The ones who matter and the ones who actually have a realistic chance of winning the Democratic nomination. But keep in mind just because you win the Democratic nomination doesn't mean you are the best candidate to win the President case in point 2016. First i will talk about the Governor of California Jerry Brown. He will not win the Democratic nomination nevermind being in the presidential race. Why because he pass a very unpopular bill to rise the gas tax. "The backlash against the gas tax could cost Democrats seats in the legislature come election time". (25. ) . http://www.breitbart.com... So how he going win the Democratic nomination if he can't get California. He went underneath to pass this bill without having Californians votes on this bill. So he has no chance here. The second person i will take my attention toward is Senator Elizabeth Warren. "The reasons why more voters don"t embrace Warren are varied. They range from her politics to her unwillingness to compromise to, in some cases, flat-out sexism". (26. ) . http://www.bostonmagazine.com... She does have a good chance of coming out of the Democratic party to go against trump. But she will failed like Hillary did. Why because in the national election voters going to pick out her flaws just like they did with Hillary. This country prove it not ready for a woman being president. At least not in 2016 and not in 2020. And not the ones like Warren or Hillary. Warren going to bring out the sexism card in this race. And unfortunately this will hurt her way more than the Democratic think. It will rub many potential voters the wrong way. So, no she would not be the right pick to go against trump. He would win. Because he would be in a better position than 2016. He would have proven he can govern during his time in office. The third person i will talk about is Senator Kamala Harris. I will admit she seem promising, but i think it to early for her to run in 2020. She will need to build-up her name more. A little more years in the Senate will do her some good. She would have a great chance in 2024, just not in 2020. She would not beat a guy like trump at this stage of her career. Definitely when trump is doing a decent job of being President. Yes he still say stupid things. But he was doing the same thing during his campaign and still got over 62 millions votes to win. The forth and fifth person i will talk about is Bernard Sanders and Joe Biden. Both would be good candidates to go against trump. Both could win the Democratic nomination without much of a problem. Both could stage an upset against trump. It just if both ran against each other, this might not be such a good out come for the Democratic party. Because if both ran against each other it will be tense, a true battle between them. The loser candidate would be sure. The voters of either one would be bitter on losing. And this could cost them votes in the national race like it did with Hillary. So, in this scenarios both would lose out in the long run. Not because they were bad candidate but because they were good candidates. So, if we could assume only one of them run. They might have a better chance to run against trump. In this scenario, lets assume Bernard Sanders won the Democratic nomination. On paper he have a great chance on beating him. But if we look closer he still would be facing an up hill battle. Let me tell you why. First trump approval rating the one you wanna keep mentioning, will only grow. It won't go down any further no matter what trump spurt out of his mouth. One of his biggest complaint against trump is what he say or didn't say. But the Republican base is already over it and voted him in and will likely vote for him again. What trump is doing on policy is what Republican want. The other thing is the economy, when it still up and booming in 2020. This will change his unpopularity to most likely a like, at the very least he doing an decent job. Remember when people say he can't do this or that. Guess what he is doing it. He doing a average job at best and this is good news. Because people though he would be doing horrible. Yes the left side, meaning the Democratic side don't like what he is doing or how is he doing it. But the right side think he doing a great job. They say give him a chance and guess what he holding his on in there. By 2020 arrive he will be in a better position to fight off a guy like Bernard Sanders. Another thing Bernard Sanders would have to tax everything, to get his policy working and this inst going to fly with the majority. Joe biden might have a better chance than a Bernard Sanders in this race against trump. But at the same time he will face the same challenge as Bernard Sanders facing. And that is trump base inst likely to change. Trump will grow in popularity during the next election. So this mean he will get more votes and change some one views on him like my self. Even if trump does nothing else he could still gain with his tax plan. As long as his tax plan keep going smoothly, from now until the next election. Another factor that could be against Joe Biden, is people would get tried of the same old strategy from the left. Biden would have nothing new to add and this could very well hurt his bid as being President. Some people would not wanna go back to Obama policy which biden would wanna preach for. So again this will hurt him because people want to look at the present and the future. During the next election trump will be facing a better popularity than he is today. So it will be a new challenge for any Democratic challenger. The North korea part might seem random. But i have a point on this and it will help trump. During trump first year we all talked about a possible war between us. Trump maximum pressure on the North show his tough strategy is working. It brought the north to the negotiate table. So, again this is a huge plus for trump. It also show he is welling to bring pressure when needed and show he is welling to make a good negotiate deal. So in his next presidential race it will look like a good gamble for trump. A gamble that he won. No war is always a good path. The reason why i mention the Republican polls was this, They won the election for trump. So that's the only good piece of evidence. All the other polls was still wrong, on predicting a Hillary win. You mention the masses of a poll being much closer than the other. This might be true but where was these polls during the election? The media outlets for sure didn't make this available. This is partly why i said this was a failed strategy on the Democratic side. Trying to relay on those false polling. Another failed strategy is the Democratic trying make trump words a weapon for them. They try to use trump own words against him. But this didn't work. And the national votes prove this. Over 62 millions votes. The Democratic still trying run this same strategy. Instead of trying to focus on policy and trying to make things better they are running a failed strategy again. The Democratic trying relay on the same things as they campaign for in 2016 will not work again. In this year mid-terms or the national race in 2020. Need new ideal and policy, not the same old ones. Trump is the favorite to win his re-election bid and nothing you has presented so far prove otherwise. The challenger you mention will failed and i mention on why they will. You haven't convince me on why trump won't win in 2020. The only thing you said is his unapproving rating is low and he is unpopular so this will stop him from being President. But this in fact not true because he was very dislike in 2016. And still won.