The 2018 London Borough Elections The Travers Gordon Clark 10th anniversary Pointless Quiz

17 NOVEMBER 2018 LONDON COUNCILS SUMMIT

Professor Tony Travers, LSE London Robert Gordon Clark, Executive Chairman, London Communications Agency London Boroughs’ political control

On the eve of the elections…

…after 3 May 2018

| 2018 result | Changes from 2014 | |-------------|------------------| | Lab | 21 Gain 1 (TH) | | Cons | 7 Lose 2 (Rich. & King.) | | LD | 3 Gain 2 (Rich. & King.) | | NOC | 1 No change (Havering) |

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NOW GIVE US A REAL BREXIT! The “Travers Gordon Clark 10th Anniversary Pointless Quiz” Council political control Quiz Questions #1 and #2 – political control

Q1: How many London boroughs have never changed party control since 1964?

A: Four

Q2: Which are they?

A: • Barking & Dagenham (LAB) • Newham (LAB) • Kensington & Chelsea (CON) • Westminster (CON) | London borough control, 1964 - 2018 | |-----------------------------------| | **1964** | **1968** | **1971** | **1974** | **1978** | **1982** | **1990** | **1994** | **1998** | **2002** | **2006** | **2010** | **2014** | **2018** | | Barking and Dagenham | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Barnet | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | NOC | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | | Bexley | LAB | CON | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | | Brent | LAB | CON | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | | Bromley | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | | Camden | LAB | CON | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Croydon | NOC | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | | Ealing | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Enfield | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Greenwich | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Hackney | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Hammersmith and Fulham | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Harrow | CON | CON | NOC | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | | Havering | NOC | CON | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | | Hillingdon | LAB | LAB | NOC | CON | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | NOC | | Hounslow | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Islington | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LD | NOC | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Kensington and Chelsea | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | | Kingston upon Thames | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | NOC | LD | NOC | LD | LD | LD | CON | LD | | Lambeth | LAB | CON | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Lewisham | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Merton | NOC | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Newham | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Redbridge | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | LD | LD | LD | CON | LD | CON | LD | CON | LD | | Richmond upon Thames | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | LD | LD | LD | CON | LD | CON | LD | CON | LD | | Southwark | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Sutton | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | NOC | LD | LD | LD | LD | LD | LD | LD | LD | LD | | Tower Hamlets | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Waltham Forest | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | | Wandsworth | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | NOC | LAB | LAB | | Westminster | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON | London boroughs - three main parties’ performance 2014/2018/previous best

| | 2014 | 2018 (+/- on 2014) | Previous all time best | |----------------|------|--------------------|------------------------| | | Boroughs | Seats | Boroughs | Seats | Boroughs (year) | Seats | | Labour | 20 | 1,060 | 21 (+1) | 1,123 (+63) | 21 (1971) | 1,221 (1971) | | Conservative | 9 | 612 | 7 (-2) | 511 (-101) | 28 (1968) | 1,438 (1968) | | Liberal Democrats | 1 | 116 | 3 (+2) | 154 (+38) | 4 (2006) | 323 (1994) | Councils seats won and lost Net change in seats, London vs rest of England (2014-2018)

London

Rest of England\*

- the 150 councils up for election in 2014-2018, minus London

NB: Number of English councillors has fallen between 2014 and 2018, accounting for some of the losses. London councillors specifically fell from 1,851 to 1,827 after the 2018 elections (-24, or -1.3%) Quiz Questions #3 and #4 – change in seats

Q3: Three boroughs changed control and saw the biggest change of seats controlled by the winning party. Which were these?

A:

- Richmond (LD +24)
- Kingston (LD +21)
- Tower Hamlets (LAB +21)

Q4: Besides these, which other borough saw the winning party increase its number of seats most?

A: Redbridge (LAB +16) Quiz question #5 – one party states

Q5: Newham and B&D were the Labour “one party states” in 2014 - 2018. Which borough has now joined them in that… exclusive club?

A: Lewisham (LAB +1) London’s 32 Local Authorities – Councillors per Borough 2018 Votes won and lost Quiz Questions #6 and #7 - turnout

Q6: Which borough had the highest turnout in 2018?

A: Richmond (51.4%)

...now compare this to 2014

...Tower Hamlets (47.2 %)

Q7: ...and which had the lowest?

A: B&D (29.5%)

...RBKC (30.3%)\*

\*RBKC saw turnout up to 39.7% this year Turnout across London’s 32 boroughs May 2018

Richmond upon Thames: 51.4% Kingston upon Thames: 47.3% Tower Hamlets: 47.2% Barnet: 43.7% Wandsworth: 42.6% Sutton: 41.2% Merton: 41.0% Harrow: 41.0% Ealing: 41.0% Bromley: 40.0% Kensington and Chelsea: 39.7% Hammersmith and Fulham: 39.0% Redbridge: 38.8% Haringey: 38.7% Hillingdon: 38.3% Enfield: 38.2% Westminster: 38.0% Islington: 38.0% Croydon: 38.0% Waltham Forest: 37.8% Lewisham: 37.7% Camden: 37.3% Brent: 37.2% Hackney: 37.0% Bexley: 37.0% Haringey: 36.8% Hounslow: 36.6% Greenwich: 36.1% Newham: 35.0% Lambeth: 34.3% Southwark: 33.6% Barking and Dagenham: 29.7% Quiz Questions #8 and #9 – count the ballots

Q8: Which borough had the councillor elected with the most votes?

A: Most votes: Wandsworth, where an Independent was elected in West Hill, with 4,002 votes on a 51% turnout for the ward

Q9: …and which borough saw a councillor elected with the least?

A: Tower Hamlets, which saw a Labour candidate elected in Poplar, with 732 votes on a turnout of 45% for the ward Quiz Question #10 – vote share

Q10: Which party won the biggest vote share in a single borough?

A: Labour, in Barking & Dagenham (75.1%) Quiz Question #11 – vote share

Q: In which borough did the Tories win the highest vote share?

A: Hillingdon (51.1%) Quiz Question #12 – vote share

Q: In which borough did the Liberal Democrats win the highest vote share?

A: Kingston (49.7%) Winning parties’ vote share across LBs May 2018

- Barking and Dagenham: 75.1%
- Newham: 68.1%
- Hackney: 62.1%
- Islington: 59.4%
- Brent: 58.7%
- Haringey: 57.0%
- Redbridge: 55.9%
- Hammersmith and Fulham: 53.4%
- Lewisham: 53.3%
- Southwark: 52.9%
- Lambeth: 52.7%
- Hounslow: 52.7%
- Greenwich: 52.5%
- Hillingdon: 52.1%
- Waltham Forest: 51.3%
- Ealing: 51.3%
- Bexley: 49.9%
- Kingston upon Thames: 49.7%
- Kensington and Chelsea: 48.6%
- Enfield: 48.5%
- Camden: 47.6%
- Bromley: 45.5%
- Richmond upon Thames: 45.2%
- Barnet: 45.1%
- Merton: 44.6%
- Croydon: 44.5%
- Tower Hamlets: 43.9%
- Harrow: 43.9%
- Westminster: 42.3%
- Wandsworth: 38.4%
- Sutton: 37.6%
- Havering: 33.2% Council leadership change Quiz Question #13 – award for long service

Q13: Who is the longest-serving London council Leader? Quiz Question #14 – new faces

Q14: How many London authorities have new leaders since May?

A: Nine in total.

1. Enfield (LAB hold)
2. Greenwich (LAB hold)
3. Haringey (LAB hold)
4. Harrow (LAB hold)
5. Havering (NOC hold, CON leader)
6. Kingston (LD gain)
7. Lewisham (LAB hold)
8. Newham (LAB hold)
9. Richmond (LD gain) LB leaders by tenure (years) following 2018 Local Elections

| Party | # of Councils | |-------|--------------| | LAB | 21 | | CON | 7 | | LD | 3 | | NOC | 1 [CON Leader] |

Accurate as of November 2018, years rounded up New LC Leaders Committee composition

The new LC Leaders’ Committee (above) and Executive Committee (below)

- Cllr Peter John OBE (Lab) - Chair of London Councils and executive member for Public Service Reform and Devolution and Finance and Resources

- Cllr. Lib Peck (Lab) - Deputy Chair and executive member Crime and Public Protection

- Cllr Teresa O’Neill OBE (Con) - Vice Chair

- Cllr Ruth Dombey (LD) - Vice Chair

- Catherine McGuinness (Ind) - Vice Chair

- Cllr Ray Puddifoot MBE (Con) - Executive member for Health and Care (including Adult Care Services)

- Cllr Julian Bell (Lab) - Chair of London Councils’ Transport and Environment Committee

- Cllr. Darren Rodwell (Lab) - Executive member for Housing & Planning

- Cllr. Muhammed Butt (Lab) - Executive member for Welfare, Empowerment and Inclusion

- Cllr. Clare Coghill (Lab) - Executive member for Business, Europe and Good Growth

- Cllr. Georgia Gould (Lab) - Executive member for Skills & Employment

- Cllr. Nickie Aiken (Con) - Executive member for Schools & Children’s Services (including Education, Children’s Social Care and Safeguarding) Quiz Question #15 - geography

Q15: Which borough has a ward which is the size of three inner London local authorities combined?

A: Bromley - Darwin Ward at 29 km² is almost as big as the City, RBKC and Islington combined! What’s next? 2020 Mayoral Election… and more to come? Thank you! Mapping London’s new landscape in 2018

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