000
WTPZ24 KNHC 100237
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192006
0300 UTC FRI NOV 10 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.9N 105.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.3N 106.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 106.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 105.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 100237
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192006
0300 UTC FRI NOV 10 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.9N 105.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.3N 106.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 106.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 105.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH