Table 8.  Growth factors from the Mean of U.S. Lower 48 Annual Growth Factors - 1996 model.								


					"Multipliers, for Forecasts"			
Years Since Discovery	Annual Oil Factors	Annual Gas Factors	Cumulative Oil Factors	Cumulative Gas Factors	30-Year Oil	30-Year Gas	80-Year Oil	80-Year Gas
0	2.00003	1.85752	1.00000 	1.00000 	4.86792	5.35267	7.07487	20.04353
1	1.16938	1.21431	2.00003 	1.85752 	2.46683	2.93657	3.56203	11.27496
2	1.11420	1.08080	2.33880 	2.25561 	2.12890	2.45298	3.08729	9.33281
3	1.04605	1.06812	2.60588 	2.43786 	1.93702	2.31354	2.80441	9.39381
4	1.02333	1.08568	2.72589 	2.60394 	1.87148	2.20255	2.71196	9.78555
5	1.05029	1.05208	2.78947 	2.82704 	1.85270	2.03949	2.67935	10.83116
6	1.05372	1.06774	2.92975 	2.97428 	1.78554	1.97726	2.56035	12.47188
7	1.04254	1.01472	3.08715 	3.17577 	1.71365	1.87461	2.46880	12.52569
8	1.03074	1.04187	3.21847 	3.22253 	1.65700	1.87244	2.38841	14.60375
9	1.03545	1.03103	3.31741 	3.35746 	1.61237	1.81074	2.33151	15.88762
10	1.02741	1.05154	3.43502 	3.46164 	1.57227	1.76444	2.25016	15.21895
11	1.02730	1.03539	3.52918 	3.64005 	1.54083	1.68907	2.18403	15.50666
12	1.01787	1.02532	3.62552 	3.76887 	1.50960	1.65142	2.13635	15.92179
13	1.02758	1.03017	3.69030 	3.86431 	1.49637	1.62827	2.10564	16.86093
14	1.01610	1.02162	3.79206 	3.98092 	1.46593	1.60154	2.05778	18.05605
15	1.01615	1.03306	3.85311 	4.06696 	1.45827	1.57865	2.05863	19.37719
16	1.02081	1.01586	3.91536 	4.20140 	1.44155	1.54452	2.03085	19.19005
17	1.02835	1.01417	3.99685 	4.26803 	1.42480	1.54122	2.00565	19.30618
18	1.01073	1.02145	4.11016 	4.32852 	1.39566	1.53287	1.95036	19.03636
19	1.02319	1.01511	4.15426 	4.42138 	1.38490	1.51704	1.92966	18.63655
20	1.01788	1.01976	4.25059 	4.48820 	1.35796	1.51146	1.88592	18.35912
21	1.00865	1.01961	4.32657 	4.57688 	1.33962	1.50300	1.85280	18.00339
22	1.01698	1.01391	4.36402 	4.66665 	1.33568	1.48638	1.83691	17.65709
23	1.01451	1.02110	4.43812 	4.73155 	1.31931	1.48331	1.80624	17.41486
24	1.01363	1.01571	4.50252 	4.83139 	1.30736	1.46501	1.78040	17.05499
25	1.01292	1.01162	4.56390 	4.90728 	1.29768	1.46305	1.75646	16.79125
26	1.01537	1.01778	4.62288 	4.96432 	1.28490	1.45485	1.73405	16.59832
27	1.01621	1.01146	4.69395 	5.05260 	1.27166	1.44765	1.70779	16.30831
28	1.01038	1.02287	4.77006 	5.11052 	1.25608	1.43339	1.68054	16.12349
29	1.01003	1.02396	4.81959 	5.22740 	1.25073	1.41700	1.66327	15.76298
30	1.01352	1.01907	4.86792 	5.35267 	1.24468	1.40147	1.64676	15.39407
31	1.00919	1.01435	4.93375 	5.45472 	1.23227	1.38215	1.62479	15.10606
32	1.01377	1.01936	4.97908 	5.53297 	1.22765	1.37500	1.61000	14.89242
33	1.01066	1.01688	5.04764 	5.64008 	1.21601	1.37568	1.58813	14.60961
34	1.01306	1.00530	5.10144 	5.73531 	1.21286	1.37335	1.57138	14.36703
35	1.01222	1.01998	5.16806 	5.76573 	1.20240	1.38924	1.55112	14.29124
36	1.01130	1.01231	5.23119 	5.88093 	1.20035	1.36219	1.53240	14.01127
37	1.00807	1.01355	5.29031 	5.95334 	1.20540	1.37180	1.51528	13.84087
38	1.00298	1.00754	5.33300 	6.03399 	1.20722	1.38116	1.50315	13.65586
39	1.00970	1.00467	5.34889 	6.07948 	1.21416	1.38562	1.49868	13.55368
40	1.00686	1.00662	5.40080 	6.10787 	1.20818	1.41572	1.48428	13.49069
41	1.00648	1.01231	5.43786 	6.14830 	1.20901	1.48827	1.47416	13.40198
42	1.00895	1.01095	5.47308 	6.22398 	1.21135	1.50211	1.46468	13.23901
43	1.00667	1.01326	5.52206 	6.29216 	1.21056	1.73895	1.45168	13.09556
44	1.01079	1.00701	5.55888 	6.37561 	1.21584	1.73464	1.44207	12.92416
45	1.00450	1.01072	5.61888 	6.42033 	1.21047	1.76857	1.42667	12.83413
46	1.00895	1.01369	5.64418 	6.48916 	1.21264	2.14969	1.42028	12.69801
47	1.00732	1.00868	5.69471 	6.57798 	1.20741	2.79790	1.40767	12.52654
48	1.00294	1.01090	5.73639 	6.63507 	1.21789	2.72866	1.39745	12.41877
49	1.00329	1.01138	5.75323 	6.70741 	1.21632	2.93771	1.39335	12.28483
50	1.00413	1.01405	5.77215 	6.78371 	1.22569	2.95465	1.38879	12.14665
51	1.00569	1.00833	5.79596 	6.87905 	1.22916	3.04452	1.38308	11.97830
52	1.00452	1.01182	5.82892 	6.93639 	1.23875	3.03489	1.37526	11.87929
53	1.00532	1.00850	5.85524 	7.01837 	1.24811	3.26298	1.36908	11.74052
54	1.00613	1.01435	5.88640 	7.07803 	1.25586	3.60000	1.36183	11.64157
55	1.00295	1.00595	5.92247 	7.17959 	1.26197	4.26489	1.35354	11.47689
56	1.00491	1.01275	5.93995 	7.22232 	1.26284	5.13615	1.34956	11.40899
57	1.00376	1.00150	5.96912 	7.31438 	1.27683	5.43842	1.34296	11.26540
58	1.00608	1.01117	5.99158 	7.32536 	1.28297	6.42439	1.33793	11.24850
59	1.00515	1.01274	6.02799 	7.40722 	1.28311	7.20137	1.32984	11.12419
60	1.00342	1.00502	6.05901 	7.50160 	1.27568	7.02285	1.32304	10.98424
61	1.00541	1.00910	6.07970 	7.53926 	1.26780	7.48681	1.31853	10.92937
62	1.00416	1.01986	6.11257 	7.60785 	1.26712	7.88754	1.31145	10.83083
63	1.00804	1.01516	6.13797 	7.75894 	1.26596	8.39752	1.30602	10.61992
64	1.00433	1.01693	6.18731 	7.87659 	1.26117	9.12573	1.29560	10.46130
65	1.01049	1.00012	6.21408 	8.00997 	1.27648	9.83853	1.29002	10.28710
66	1.01555	1.01945	6.27928 	8.01094 	1.26631	10.06438	1.27663	10.28586
67	1.00960	1.02046	6.37694 	8.16677 	1.25708	10.08959	1.25708	10.08959
68	1.00874	1.01079	6.43813 	8.33389 	1.24513	9.88726	1.24513	9.88726
69	1.00473	1.02649	6.49440 	8.42385 	1.23434	9.78167	1.23434	9.78167
70	1.00755	1.05821	6.52512 	8.64701 	1.22853	9.52923	1.22853	9.52923
71	1.00843	1.02172	6.57441 	9.15036 	1.21932	9.00504	1.21932	9.00504
72	1.00829	1.17035	6.62982 	9.34911 	1.20913	8.81361	1.20913	8.81361
73	1.01106	1.01075	6.68477 	10.94173 	1.19919	7.53075	1.19919	7.53075
74	1.00633	1.02671	6.75869 	11.05940 	1.18607	7.45062	1.18607	7.45062
75	1.00631	1.22853	6.80146 	11.35479 	1.17861	7.25679	1.17861	7.25679
76	1.00460	1.31935	6.84437 	13.94968 	1.17122	5.90690	1.17122	5.90690
77	1.01606	0.98372	6.87585 	18.40455 	1.16586	4.47712	1.16586	4.47712
78	1.00164	1.08835	6.98631 	18.10484 	1.14743	4.55123	1.14743	4.55123
79	1.01102	1.01721	6.99777 	19.70442 	1.14555	4.18177	1.14555	4.18177
80	1.00697	1.04490	7.07487 	20.04353 	1.13307	4.11102	1.13307	4.11102
81	1.01353	1.00514	7.12417 	20.94344 	1.12522	3.93438	1.12522	3.93438
82	1.01211	1.08786	7.22056 	21.05116 	1.11020	3.91424	1.11020	3.91424
83	1.01157	1.11267	7.30797 	22.90079 	1.09692	3.59810	1.09692	3.59810
84	1.01102	1.20169	7.39251 	25.48093 	1.08438	3.23377	1.08438	3.23377
85	1.00364	1.21146	7.47395 	30.62012 	1.07256	2.69102	1.07256	2.69102
86	1.01605	1.07235	7.50119 	37.09490 	1.06867	2.22131	1.06867	2.22131
87	1.00859	1.18307	7.62158 	39.77867 	1.05179	2.07145	1.05179	2.07145
88	1.00619	1.13347	7.68703 	47.06097 	1.04283	1.75091	1.04283	1.75091
89	0.99932	0.98764	7.73459 	53.34212 	1.03642	1.54473	1.03642	1.54473
90	0.99721	1.07142	7.72935 	52.68256 	1.03712	1.56407	1.03712	1.56407
91	1.00487	1.06311	7.70783 	56.44500 	1.04002	1.45982	1.04002	1.45982
92	1.00324	1.08580	7.74538 	60.00722 	1.03498	1.37316	1.03498	1.37316
93	1.00422	1.10319	7.77045 	65.15588 	1.03164	1.26465	1.03164	1.26465
94	1.01652	1.09637	7.80321 	71.87960 	1.02731	1.14635	1.02731	1.14635
95	1.00244	1.02308	7.93213 	78.80634 	1.01061	1.04559	1.01061	1.04559
96	1.00815	1.02201	7.95151 	80.62515 	1.00815	1.02201	1.00815	1.02201
97	1.00458	1.04212	8.01629 	82.39936 	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000
98	1.00000	1.00000	8.01629 	82.39936 	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000
99	1.00000	1.00000	8.01629 	82.39936 	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000
100	1.00000	1.00000	8.01629 	82.39936 	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000	1.00000