SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                   
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO                                                 
230 PM MST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES ARE TEMPS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND                 
THREAT OF CLOUDS/PRECIP FOR MIDWEEK.                                            
CURRENTLY: TEMPERATURES MODERATED NICELY MOST AREAS WITH ONLY                   
SCT-BKN CIRRUS CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS.  18Z RUC AND SAT SHOW                    
VORT MAX OVER MONTANA FORECASTED TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST TO KANSAS BY                
SUNDAY 12Z. THIS WILL BRING A SURGE OF COLDER AIR WITH 700MB TEMPS              
GOING FROM PLUS 3C TO MINUS 12C OVERNIGHT. SURGE DOESN'T LAST LONG              
WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING ON MONDAY.                                                
TNGT: SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR TO PERHAPS PARTLY CLOUDY                   
DEPENDING ON CIRRUS COVERAGE. MAY SEE SOME INCREASE IN LOW CLOUDS               
ALONG LOWER ARKANSAS AND EASTERN ZONES PER 12Z ETA THAT SHOWS AN                
INCREASE IN RH BEHIND COLD SURGE WITH SHALLOW NORTH TO NORTHEAST                
WIND. EXPECT COLD FRONT TO PASS THROUGH COS EARLY THIS EVENING AND              
THROUGH CWA BY 09Z. WILL ADD MENTION OF NORTH WINDS TO EASTEN ZONES             
BUT JUST 10 TO 20 MPH.                                                          
SUN THRU MONDAY: COOLER TEMPS BEHIND WEAK SURGE SHOULD BRING 10 TO              
15 DEGREE COOL DOWN ESPECIALLY EAST OF MOUNTAINS. MONDAY MORNING                
LOWS SHOULD DROP SHARPLY AS SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN AND RADIATIONAL             
COOLING KICKS IN. MODELS SEEM TO HAVE THIS WELL IN HAND ALTHOUGH ETA            
AND AVN FLIP/FLOP A BIT. WILL STAY CLOSER TO AVN GUIDANCE NUMBERS.              
TEMPS REBOUND SOME ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.                                       
EXTENDED(TUE-SAT): THIS IS WHERE THINGS GET INTERESTING. AVN AND MRF            
SUGGESTING A SIGNIFICANT SHIFT IN UPPER FLOW PATTERN. WEAK RIDGE                
OVER THE AREA MONDAY MOVES EAST AS LONG WAVE TROF DEVELOPS OVER                 
EAST PAC. UPPER LOW OVER SRN CA MOVES EAST AND TAPS INTO SOUTHERN               
MOISTURE AS IT LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY. MOVEMENT OF               
LOW SEEMS REASONABLE CONSIDERING RIDGE OVER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY                  
AND TROF OVER WEST COAST. AVN PROBABALY OVERDOING THE RH BUT SHOULD             
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO PROVIDE MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS AND               
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE. WILL HOLD OFF ON MENTION OF PRECIP               
OTHER THAN MOUNTAINS UNTIL LATER RUNS. BY FRIDAY...SPLIT FLOW                   
DEVELOPS OVER WRN US AND UPPER LOW OVER SRN US SLIDES TO THE EAST.              
THIS SHOULD DRY THINGS OUT AGAIN. KEPT CHC SNOW SHOWERS OVER                    
MOUNTAINS WED-FRI BUT KEPT THINGS DRY ON SATURDAY AS WRLY FLOW                  
DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA.                                                         
.PUB...NONE.                                                                    
FORTUNE                                                                         
</PRE></TT></td>   co                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL                                        
845 PM EST SAT JAN 06 2001                                                      
SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TROUGH OVER CENTRAL GA AND EXTENDING NE.            
HIGH PRES RIDGE CONTINUES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO RESULTING IN WEAK             
SW FLOW OVER THE SWRN FL CWA AND SE FLOW ALONG NE FL COAST. DEWPOINT            
HAS RISEN 15 DEG SINCE THIS AFTERNOON AT JAX PRESENTLY AT 36. LOWER             
DEWPOINTS LITTLE FURTHER INLAND WITH GNV AND OCF AT 29 AND 27                   
RESPECTIVELY. RUC AND MESO-ETA INDICATE HIGH PRES RIDGE ESTABLISHING            
OVER SPINE OF NRN FL BY LATER TONIGHT WHICH SHOULD AID IN PRIME                 
COOLING CONDITIONS. TEMPS HAVE ALREADY DROPPED INTO THE LOWER 40                
RANGE IN THE SRN COUNTIES AT THIS HOUR. WILL GO WITH LIGHT FREEZE               
WARNING DOWN TO MARION COUNTY WITH LOWS NEAR 30. DURATIONS SHOULD BE            
RATHER SHORT OF AROUND 2-4 HOURS. THANKS FOR COORD TBW.                         
MARINE...ONLY MINOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR UPDATE.                                 
.JAX...                                                                         
.GA...FREEZE WARNING GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165 TONIGHT.                        
.FL...FREEZE WARNING FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040 TONIGHT.                    
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED...             
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL                             
1137 AM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                      
AFTER COORD WITH FIRE WX FORECASTER AND KMLB...HAVE DECIDE TO                   
UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...POLK...             
DESOTO...HARDEE...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES TO A RED FLAG WARNING AS DRY           
AIR (DEW PTS IN THE 30S) COMBINES WITH TEMPS IN THE 60S RESULTING IN            
4 OR MORE HOURS OF LOW RH VALUES AOB 35% THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...HAVE     
ALSO POSTED A FIRE WX WATCH THROUGH SUNSET FOR HERNANDO...PASCO...              
HILLSBOROUGH...MANATEE...AND SARASOTO COUNTIES FOR MARGINALLY LOW RH            
DURATIONS. THESE CHANGES HAVE BEEN REFLECTED IN THE LATE MORNING                
SMOKE DISPERSION UPDATE.  REST OF DISCUSSION UNCHANGED.                         
CURRENTLY...JUST A FEW CLOUDS NOTED ALONG THE FL WEST COAST FROM                
KTPA SOUTH TO VENICE AND OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS ALONG A WEAK             
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL FA EARLY THIS MORNING...                  
OTHERWISE M.SUNNY SKIES PREVAILED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA. DRY            
NWLY FLOW WITH A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL WORK ITS WAY           
SOUTH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY IN WAKE OF THE FRONT...SO AMPLE SUNSHINE           
IS EXPECTED. RATHER BRISK WINDS (20-30 KNOTS) NOTED ON 12Z RAOB DATA            
IN THE 2-4KFT RANGE...SO AS MIXING TAKES PLACE SURFACE WINDS SHOULD             
INCREASE SOME (10-15 MPH RANGE) LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE PM HOURS.           
ONGOING ZONES COVER ALL OF THIS AND WITH 850 TEMPS SUPPORTING ONGOING           
EXPECTED MAX TEMPS...NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED.                                    
MARINE...BUOY TRENDS BEGINNING TO SHOW A SLOW DECREASE IN WINDS                 
AND SEA STATES FROM TARPON SPRINGS NORTH WHERE SCEC IS CURRENTLY IN             
EFFECT. LATEST RUC DEPICTS A CONTINUED DECREASE IN WINDS THROUGH THE            
PM HOURS...SO PLAN TO DROP SCEC IN 1030 AM CWF UPDATE OTHERWISE NO              
OTHER CHANGES ARE EXPECTED.                                                     
FIRE WEATHER...CURRENTLY FIRE WX WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LEVY...CITRUS...           
SUMTER...AND MY INTERIOR ZONES (POLK...HARDEE...DESOTO...AND                    
HIGHLANDS) FOR MARGINALLY LOW RH DURATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WATCH           
MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED OR UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER THIS MORNING             
AS MUCH DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES DOWN THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE WX FCSTR                
WILL EVALUATE THIS THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND WILL ADJUST THE             
WATCH AREA OR ISSUE WARNINGS IN THE SMOKE DISPERSION UPDATE AS                  
CONDITIONS WARRANT.                                                             
.TBW...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEVY...CITRUS...                   
       SUMTER...POLK...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...AND DESOTO COUNTIES.                
MCMICHAEL                                                                       
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL                                           
1025 AM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                      
CURRENTLY...MSAS SURFACE PRESSURE TENDENCY ANALYSIS ALONG WITH GULF             
OF MEXICO AND COASTAL ATLANTIC WEATHER BUOY REPORTS INDICATES THAT              
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FRONT HAS JUST ABOUT CLEARED OKEECHOBEE AND            
MARTIN COUNTIES. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DRY MID AND                
UPPER LEVEL AIR MASS EXPANDING OVER THE PENINSULA. VERTICAL                     
PROFILERS AT CAPE CANAVERAL SHOW DECREASING WINDS SINCE 7 AM.                   
CANAVERAL BUOYS RECORDING 3 FOOT SEAS AT 20NM AND 10 FOOT SEAS AT               
120NM AND DIMINISHING WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT.                                   
ZONE UPDATE...CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE. DO NOT                      
ANTICIPATE ANY CHANGES FOR NOW.                                                 
MARINE UPDATE...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE                      
AFTERNOON. SEAS OFFSHORE WILL RESPOND A LITTLE SLOWER SO FOR NOW                
WILL WORD FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR SEAS WELL OFFSHORE AND                   
DECREASE THEM TO EXERCISE CAUTION CRITERIA LATE AFTERNOON.                      
FIRE WX...MID 30 DEGREE DEWPOINTS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER SOUTHWARD             
BEHIND FNT/SFC TROF TODAY. SOUNDINGS SUPPORT DROP TO NEAR 30 DEGREES            
GIVEN ENOUGH VERTICAL MIXING. LATEST RUC SHOWING ABOUT 10 MPH THIS              
AFTERNOON...WITH DOWNWARD TREND CONFIRMED BY NASA PROFILERS. RED                
FLAG CONDITIONS NEAR CERTAIN OVER N HALF TODAY AS TEMPS RAPIDLY WARM            
INTO THE 60S. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS AND MAY NEED TO                   
UPGRADE TO WARNING FARTHER SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING.                            
.MLB...SCA FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OFFSHORE LEGS                         
    ...RED FLAG TIL SUNSET LAKE/VOLUSIA/ORANGE/SEMINOLE/OSCEOLA                 
    ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH TIL SUNSET OKEECHOBEE/BREVARD/                        
       INDIAN RIVER/ST. LUCIE/MARTIN                                            
PUBLIC/MARINE...WIMMER                                                          
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...SPRATT                                                  
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION                          
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL                             
953 AM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
CURRENTLY...JUST A FEW CLOUDS NOTED ALONG THE FL WEST COAST FROM                
KTPA SOUTH TO VENICE AND OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS ALONG A WEAK             
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL FA EARLY THIS MORNING...                  
OTHERWISE M.SUNNY SKIES PREVAILED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA. DRY            
NWLY FLOW WITH A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL WORK ITS WAY           
SOUTH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY IN WAKE OF THE FRONT...SO AMPLE SUNSHINE           
IS EXPECTED. RATHER BRISK WINDS (20-30 KNOTS) NOTED ON 12Z RAOB DATA            
IN THE 2-4KFT RANGE...SO AS MIXING TAKES PLACE SURFACE WINDS SHOULD             
INCREASE SOME (10-15 MPH RANGE) LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE PM HOURS.           
ONGOING ZONES COVER ALL OF THIS AND WITH 850 TEMPS SUPPORTING ONGOING           
EXPECTED MAX TEMPS...NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED.                                    
MARINE...BUOY TRENDS BEGINNING TO SHOW A SLOW DECREASE IN WINDS                 
AND SEA STATES FROM TARPON SPRINGS NORTH WHERE SCEC IS CURRENTLY IN             
EFFECT. LATEST RUC DEPICTS A CONTINUED DECREASE IN WINDS THROUGH THE            
PM HOURS...SO PLAN TO DROP SCEC IN 1030 AM CWF UPDATE OTHERWISE NO              
OTHER CHANGES ARE EXPECTED.                                                     
FIRE WEATHER...CURRENTLY FIRE WX WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LEVY...CITRUS...           
SUMTER...AND MY INTERIOR ZONES (POLK...HARDEE...DESOTO...AND                    
HIGHLANDS) FOR MARGINALLY LOW RH DURATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WATCH           
MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED OR UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER THIS MORNING             
AS MUCH DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES DOWN THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE WX FCSTR                
WILL EVALUATE THIS THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND WILL ADJUST THE             
WATCH AREA OR ISSUE WARNINGS IN THE SMOKE DISPERSION UPDATE AS                  
CONDITIONS WARRANT.                                                             
.TBW...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEVY...CITRUS...                   
       SUMTER...POLK...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...AND DESOTO COUNTIES.                
MCMICHAEL                                                                       
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL                                         
930 AM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
LATEST WV/RUC 500-MB COMPOSITE HAS SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITING THE                 
MID-ATLANTIC COAST W/ UPSTREAM RIDGING OVER THE SERN CONUS. 13Z                 
HAND SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED BOUNDARY MARKING REINFORCEMENT OF                  
COOLER/DRIER AIRMASS OVER CENTRAL FL PENINSULA. MORNING SOUNDINGS               
REFLECT MOISTURE GRADIENT W/ TBW PWAT 0.45"...TLH & JAX PWAT 0.17 &             
0.16" RESPECTIVELY. PREVAILING WINDS WERE LIGHT NWLY. LOW TEMPS                 
BOTTOMED OUT IN THE MID-UPR 20S AT THE COLDEST INLAND LOCATIONS (TLH            
27) W/ 30S W OF AQQ RIVER BASIN & ALONG THE COAST. SKIES WERE CLEAR             
CWFA-WIDE. MID MORNING TEMPS ON THE REBOUND W/ 30S TO LOWER 40S.                
HAVE ALREADY MIXED OUT STEEP (15-DEG) INVERSION NEAR 250 FT. SECOND             
INVERSION AROUND 900 FT SHOULD MIX OUT THIS AFTN W/ TEMPS IN THE LOWER          
60S. CURRENT TEMPS RUNNING SEVERAL DEGS BELOW MOS...BUT INSOLATION &            
LIGHTER WINDS THAN YESTERDAY SHOULD OFFSET COOL START. NO UPDATES               
PLANNED ATTM.                                                                   
WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA HAVE DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS            
W/ C-MANS AT 5 KTS & BUOYS 10-15 KTS. WILL LIKELY DROP SCA FOR                  
OFFSHORE WATERS AS SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED TO 5-6 FT & EXPECT THIS                   
DECREASING TREND TO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.                      
RED FLAG CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MET W/O DIFFICULTY MOST INLAND FL ZONES           
THIS AFTN AS MUCH DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES DOWN (MIN RH VALUES FALL INTO           
THE 20S). FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR COAST/SE BIG BEND ZONES LOOKS ON TRACK         
W/ MARGINAL DURATIONS OF RH <35%.                                               
.TLH...                                                                         
AL...NONE.                                                                      
GA...NONE.                                                                      
FL...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN INLAND FL BIG BEND/ERN FL                       
     PANHANDLE.                                                                 
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH COAST AND SE BIG BEND ZONES THIS AFTN.                  
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALL BUT ERN PANHANDLE COAST SUNDAY AFTN.                
MAJ                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI                                             
1015 PM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                      
FZDZ HAS BEEN MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS N LOWER THIS EVENING. LATEST RUC            
SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE MOISTURE FIELDS WITH <55% RH IN            
THE 700-500 LAYER AND AROUND 95% AT 850. KAPX 88D SHOWING A BROAD               
AREA OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS NC LOWER ATTM. OBS HAVE BEEN SHOWING               
THAT THE DRIZZLE DOES TRY TO TURN TO FLURRIES MAINLY AROUND TVC ON              
THE BACKSIDE OF THE DRIZZLE.                                                    
RUC SUGGESTS THAT THE MAIN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (BELOW 850) WILL BE IN            
NE LOWER AND AREAS IN NW LOWER MAINLY NORTH OF M-72. MID AND UPPER              
LEVEL MOISTURE (700-500) DOESN'T RETURN UNTIL AROUND 12Z WHEN THE               
MOISTURE SINKS SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SFC LOW AND HELPS TO                
CHANGE THE DRIZZLE BACK TO SNOW. WILL BE ISSUING WINTER WEATHER                 
ADVISORY FOR THE FREEZING DRIZZLE FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WILL                
LEAVE THE PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FLURRIES WORDING FOR THE SOUTHERN                  
ZONES, BUT LEAVE THEM OUT OF THE ADVISORY.                                      
.APX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...OVERNIGHT...                                   
       MIZ016>019-021>024-029-030.                                              
LUTZ                                                                            
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI                                           
1005 PM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                      
FCST CONCERN IS ENDING FZDZ AND LES OVERNIGHT.                                  
TRICKY UPDATE TONIGHT AS THERE ARE MANY DIFFERENT FACTORS THAT WILL             
LEAD TO THE SENSIBLE WX TONIGHT. THE 850 LOW IS BY ALL ACCOUNTS                 
NORTH OF MQT (NW-W WINDS ON THE VWP) AND THAT HAS KEPT THE CLOUD                
LAYER WARMER THAN -10C...AND FZDZ HAS RESULTED. COLDER AIR IS MOVING            
SOUTH AND THIS SHOULD CHANGE ALL OF THE FZDZ TO SNOW IF THAT HASN'T             
HAPPENED ALREADY. WILL FRESHEN WORDING TO REFLECT THIS ON THE UPDATE.           
AS FOR THE LES...THE DEVIL IS IN THE DETAILS. ON WV LOOP...A                    
SIGNIFICANT SHRTWV IS OVER YQT AND WILL MOVE OVER THE LAKE                      
OVERNIGHT. HOW MUCH EFFECT THIS WILL HAVE ON THE LES IS A BIG                   
QUESTION AND WILL ULTIMATELY GOVERN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. AT THE SFC...THE LO       
HAS TURNED INTO MORE OF AN ELONGATED TROUGH STRETCHING FROM P59 TO              
TVC. H8 TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO DROP TO -15C BY 12Z WHICH IS MARGINAL              
FOR LES...BUT THE AIR IS MOIST AND THERE WILL BE SOME ENHANCEMENT               
FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED SHRTWV. ONE THING THAT CERTAIN IS THAT THE              
WHOLE PATTERN IS SLOWER BY 3-6HRS THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THE WINDS            
WILL EVENTUALLY TURN NE AROUND 09Z AT MQT AND IWD PER 00Z RUC. PER              
RADAR TRENDS AT 03Z...LES CONVERGENCE BANDS ARE STARTING TO FORM AND            
STRENGTH...SO WILL LEAVE ACCUMULATIONS THE SAME. NO CHANGES MADE                
PAST FIRST PERIOD.                                                              
.MQT...NONE.                                                                    
ALTOE                                                                           
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI                                           
325 PM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
FCST CONCERN IS POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT.                           
WV IMAGERY SHOWS A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES OVER UPPER LAKES REGION. ONE            
MOVING ACROSS LK HURON WITH THE OTHER OVER SW ONTARIO. AT THE SFC...            
LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER SW LK SUPERIOR. MUCH OF THE SNOW TODAY WAS                
GENERATED IN RESPONSE TO FIRST SHORTWAVE IN COMBINATION WITH                    
ISENTROPIC LIFT. IR/VIS IMAGERY SHOWS HIGHER CLOUDS DEPARTING FA...             
AND KMQT RADAR SHOWS -SN DIMINISHING AS WELL. SOME ENHANCED CLOUDS              
NOTED WITH SHORTWAVE IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM...AND THIS WILL BE THE                
PLAYER IN POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT ACROSS THE N. LATEST             
KMQT RADAR IMAGES SHOW TELLTALE SIGNS OF POSSIBLE -FZDZ SPREADING IN            
FROM THE W...AND SPOTTER REPORTS CONFIRM THIS. DRY SLOT HAS SWEPT               
INTO FA AND WITHOUT ICE SEEDING FROM ABOVE NOW...LINGERING LIFT IS              
RESULTING IN -FZDZ AS SUBFREEZING TEMP PROFILE WITHIN LOW LEVEL                 
MOISTURE LAYER IS WARMER THAN -10C PER LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS. THUS...            
SUPERCOOLED WATER DROPS INSTEAD OF ICE CRYSTALS. WILL INCLUDE -FZDZ             
ALL ZONES THIS EVENING UNTIL DEEPER MOISTURE RETURNS.                           
MODELS SHOW UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE MOVING OVER LK SUPERIOR TO E UPPER MI            
OVERNIGHT. FOR A BETTER LK ENHANCEMENT SETUP...WOULD LIKE TO SEE IT             
TRACK A BIT FARTHER S FOR BETTER LIFT AND LESS DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN             
THE VERTICAL WIND PROFILE OVER S LK SUPERIOR. AS IT IS NOW...KMQT               
88D VWP SHOWS CONSIDERABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW            
STEADILY VEERING TO W BY 9KFT MSL. ETA FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW LGT/VRBL             
WIND UP TO 6KFT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING. WITH LK-850MB DELTA-T ONLY             
14-15C TONIGHT...WILL NEED SOME ENHANCEMENT TO GET ANY SORT OF                  
DECENT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. SO CONFIDENCE IN ADVY TYPE SNOWFALL HAS              
DECREASED...AND THUS ADVY WAS DROPPED EARLIER THIS AFTN. WILL COUNT             
ON CIRCULATION EVIDENT N OF KINL ON SATELLITE IMAGERY TO BE THE                 
INSTIGATOR OF SHSN AS IT CROSSES LAKE LATER THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.             
WITH NE FLOW DEVELOPING...GOOD DEPTH OF MOISTURE AND INVERSION                  
RISING TO AROUND 7KT FT FOR A TIME...LOOKS LIKE 1-4 INCH TYPE SNOWS             
OVER W/NCNTRL. PROBABLY ANOTHER 1-3 ON SUN BEFORE SHSN REALLY                   
DIMINISH AS INVERSION CRASHES TO 3KT FT WITH NOTABLE DRYING AROUND              
850MB MAKING PROGRESS SE ACROSS LK.                                             
LK-850MB DELTA-T REMAINS FAVORABLE AROUND 15-16C RIGHT INTO MON                 
MORNING WITH N/NE FLOW PERSISTING. HOWEVER...LOW INVERSION AROUND               
3KFT AND DRY AIR FLOWING ACROSS LK WILL KEEP LES LIGHT WITH LITTLE              
ACCUMULATION.                                                                   
AWAY FROM THE LAKE...A QUIET COUPLE OF DAYS EXPECTED WITH LITTLE TO             
TRIGGER MUCH MORE THAN SOME FLURRIES.                                           
IN THE EXTENDED...MUCH LOWER CONFIDENCE TODAY THAN YESTERDAY.                   
MRF/CANADIAN/ECMWF/UKMET STILL SHOW UPPER RIDGE PROGRESSING ACROSS              
NAMERICA NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...ONE CHANGE IS THAT ALL BUT ECMWF SHOW             
A SHORTWAVE TO MOVE THRU RIDGE...PASSING N OF FA ON WED. BEST                   
BAROCLINICITY IS N/NE OF FA...AND WITH SHORTWAVE PASSING JUST TO THE            
N...WILL KEEP WED FCST DRY FOR NOW. BEYOND WED...FCST IS VERY                   
UNCERTAIN WITH ALL THE MODELS HAVING DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS WITH                   
TIMING/STRENGTH AND POSITION OF SHORTWAVES IN SPLIT FLOW. CONTINUITY            
FOR RUN TO RUN HAS ALSO DIMINISHED. AT THIS TIME...WILL NOT DEVIATE             
FROM GOING FCST AS ONE OR MORE SHORTWAVES WILL LIKELY BE HEADING NE             
IN SW FLOW DURING THE LAST HALF OF WEEK. NONE LOOK TO BE                        
PARTICULARLY STRONG AND PRECIP SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT. MIXED PRECIP             
STILL A POSSIBILITY...BUT IT IS JANUARY. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY                   
MENTION OF MIX POTENTIAL UNTIL SIGNAL IS CLEARER.                               
COORD WITH YQT/APX...THANKS.                                                    
.MQT...NONE.                                                                    
ROLFSON                                                                         
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI                                           
1050 AM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                      
12Z RAOBS/WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOW TWO VORT MAXES OF INTEREST...ONE                
OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND ONE OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA. SURFACE                 
ANALYSIS SHOWS LOWER PRESSURE NEAR THE MINNESOTA/ONTARIO BORDER                 
CLOSER TO THE UPSTREAM VORT. LOCAL RADARS/IR SATELLITE/METARS SHOW              
OVERRUNNING PRECIP OCCURRING OVER UPPER MICHIGAN...WITH A BIT OF A              
DRY SLOT WORKING INTO WISCONSIN.                                                
SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST TODAY...REACHING THE SOUTHWESTERN              
CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 850MB LOW TAKES A SIMILAR TRACK                    
ALTHOUGH A BIT FARTHER NORTH...OVER ONTONAGON COUNTY AS OPPOSED TO              
GOGEBIC/IRON COUNTIES. WITH THIS TRACK...EXPECT THE MOST SNOW TO                
FALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CWA.                                                 
12Z RUC SHOWS AN AREA OF 285K MOISTURE/ISENTROPIC LIFT FROM                     
GENERALLY ONT-ESC...WITH LIFT WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS FURTHER            
EAST. ABOUT 2G/KG OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN AREA OF LIFT...BUT ONLY              
PRESENT IN ONE AREA FOR ABOUT 6 HOURS. ADDITIONAL LIMITING FACTOR               
WILL BE DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...PER 12Z                
SOUNDING FROM KGRB SHOWING DRY AIR BELOW 700MB. INITIAL LIFT WILL GO            
TOWARD MOISTENING THE ATMOSPHERE...WHICH IS WHY KERY ONLY REPORTING             
FLURRIES EVEN THOUGH ECHOES UP TO 20 DBZ ARE OVER THE STATION. RUC              
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTENING OCCURRING AT KMQT BETWEEN 12-15Z             
AND AT KERY BETWEEN 15-18Z.                                                     
AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES TO THE SOUTHERN CWA BY 00Z...WINDS WILL                
BACK NORTHEAST...A FAVORABLE LES DIRECTION FOR MARQUETTE-BARAGA                 
COUNTIES. EVEN THOUGH DELTA-TS ARE A MARGINAL 13C...LINGERING                   
SYNOPTIC LIFT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME ENHANCEMENT. WILL CONTINUE SNOW               
ADVISORY THROUGH THE EVENING. WITH CURRENT SNOW A BIT HEAVIER THAN              
EXPECTED /KSAW ALREADY DOWN TO 1/2SM/ WILL HEADLINE SNOW ADVISORY               
FOR THIS AFTERNOON RATHER THAN LATE THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE                      
NORTH-CENTRAL COUNTIES.                                                         
.MQT...SNOW ADVISORY INTO THIS EVENING MIZ001-003>005.                          
JHB                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR CENTRAL/NORTHCENTRAL AND NORTHEAST                 
SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA                                         
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD                                            
940 PM CST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
UPDATED ZONES TO FRESHEN WORDING...AND MAKE A FEW TEMP CHANGES.                 
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT JUST ENTERING FAR NE CWA...BUT MOVING VERY                  
SLOWLY. NICE THERMAL GRADIENT SETTING UP...AND VERY WELL DEFINED PER            
MSAS ANALYSIS.  CHANGED MENTION OF LT SNOW TO FLURRIES IN ZONES...AS            
UPSTREAM 88D'S SHOWING FLURRIES BREAKING OUT IN ND. DOWNWARD MOTION             
SEEN ON ALL 00Z RUC ISENTROPIC SURFACES...SO ANY VERTICAL MOTION WILL           
BE FOCUSED IN VICINITY OF FRONT WITH ASSOCIATED MSTR CONVERGENCE.               
WITH AMPL LL MOISTURE IN PLACE...FRONT SHOULD BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT            
SOME FLURRIES IN COLDER AIR. WITH COLD AIR SLOW TO MOVE SOUTHWEST...            
AND LOW CLOUDS/WINDS...HAVE UPPED MINS IN PIR/MBG ZONES.  DROPPED               
MINS IN FAR EAST...WITH COLDER AIR RACING DOWN THE RED RIVER                    
VALLEY...AND CORE OF LL CAA GRAZING EASTERN CWA...AND TEMPS ALREADY             
IN MID TEENS AT KFAR.  HAVE A WARY EYE ON CLEARING SEEN IN FOG                  
PRODUCT NEAR GRAND FORKS AND MOVING SOUTH...BUT FEEL CLOUDS WILL                
RAPIDLY FILL IN AGAIN WITH TIME.  UPDATED ZONES ALREADY OUT.                    
.ABR...NONE.                                                                    
BINAU                                                                           
</PRE></TT></td>   sd                                                           

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION                                          
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX                                          
254 PM CST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
COOLER WEATHER IN STORE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 20Z SURFACE MAP SHOWS            
A COLD FRONT INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...WITH A LOW PRESSURE NEAR             
KCDS. ETA AND 18Z RUC BRING THIS COLD FRONT INTO THE BIG COUNTRY                
THIS EVENING AND THE REMAINDER OF WC TX AFTER MIDNIGHT. ETA TIME                
SECTIONS INDICATE A FAIR AMOUNT OF POST-FRONTAL CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT            
AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. THIS MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO BE                      
SHALLOW...EXTENDING TO 850 MB. 12Z AMA AND DDC SOUNDINGS SHOWED                 
MEAN SFC-850MB DEWPOINTS OF ONLY -3 TO -5C.                                     
A BROAD UPPER LOW WAS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY....MOVING INTO             
SW NM AT MIDDAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WERE                
STREAMING INTO W TX FROM N MEXICO. AVN AND ETA PROG ONLY MARGINAL               
MID LEVEL LIFT WITH THIS UPPER LOW AS IT FILLS AND CROSSES WC TX                
THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE AND MARGINAL LIFT AT               
BEST...WILL REMOVE THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.               
MAY SEE SOME MORNING DRIZZLE...BUT EVEN THAT APPEARS TO BE AN                   
OUTSIDE CHANCE GIVEN THE QUESTIONABLE MOISTURE.                                 
WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION                
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...COMBO OF MAV TEMPS AND ETA-PROGGED SURFACE             
TEMPS APPEAR BEST. FWC TEMPS APPEAR TOO WARM...EVEN WITH THE                    
NGM-PROGGED LACK OF POST-FRONTAL STRATO CU.                                     
SUNNY SKIES SHOULD ALLOW MAX TEMPS TO RECOVER A FEW DEGREES ON                  
MONDAY. SOUTHERLY RETURN SURFACE FLOW BEGINS BY LATE MONDAY. AVN                
AGGRESSIVELY BRINGS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO WC TX ON TUESDAY...WITH             
QPF BY WEDNESDAY....THIS IN ADVANCE OF A DEEP UPPER LOW PROGGED TO              
ENTER NORTHWEST MEXICO. 12Z AVN IS LESS PROGRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM            
THAN THE 00Z MRF OR THE 12Z/05 ECMWF. APPEARS BEST PRECIP CHANCE                
WILL BE WEDNESDAY. NEXT UPPER SYSTEM APPEARS BY SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH             
THE MRF SOLUTION HAS THE FEATURE POSITIVELY TILTED AND LIFTING                  
THROUGH QUICKLY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH LATE WEEK SHOULD RECOVER TO               
NEAR NORMAL VALUES FOR MID JANUARY.                                             
ABI 035/046/029/050 --00                                                        
SJT 039/049/028/052 --00                                                        
JCT 042/053/028/055 --00                                                        
.SJT...NONE.                                                                    
14                                                                              
</PRE></TT></td>   tx                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED                                              
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT                                          
830 PM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                       
AREA OF LGT SNW HAS BLOSSOMED DURG LAST FEW HRS IN CHMPLN VLY WITH              
SPOTTY LGT SNW/FLRYS ELSW.  MSAS ANALYS SHWG AREA OF WK LL WIND                 
CNVGC ACRS THE RGN ASSCD WITH SFC TROF WHICH IS PRVDG ENUF LIFT TO              
PROD LGT SNW.  KCXX VAD INDCTG N/NW FLOW LWST 8K FT WHICH IS HELPING            
TO ENHANCE SNW IN CHMNPLN VLY/W SLOPES.                                         
HAV UPDATED FIRST PD TO INCL CHC LGT SNW WITH LKLY POPS CHMPLN VLY              
AND ACCUM 1" OR LESS.  XPCT LGT SNW TO CONT MCH OF TNGT AS RUC                  
INDCTG BNDRY RMNG IN PLC...AND WK VORT LOBE AND ASSCD 2ND AREA OF               
LGT PCPN ACRS LKS MVS NE ACRS RGN.                                              
.BTV...NONE.                                                                    
KJC                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   vt                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED                                              
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT                                          
1044 AM EST SAT JAN 6 2001                                                      
WILL OPT TO UPDATE GOING ZFP TO MAKE A FEW CHANGES AND KEEP THINGS              
CURRENT. COORD WITH GYX...THANX FOR THE CALL.                                   
SFC LOW ACRS NRN NY STATE ATTM TO WEAKEN WITH TIME TODAY AS                     
ANOTHER...STRONGER...STORM MOVES TO THE EAST OF NEW ENG. THIS COASTAL           
STORM TO MOVE UP INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONITE. CLIPPER SYS TO             
TRACK ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION TODAY AND TONITE. WK RIDGE OF HI                
PRESS TO BUILD ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST TONITE AS WELL. UPR TROF TO            
MOVE ACRS THE FA TODAY. S/W (AS SEEN IN H2O IMAGERY) TO SLIDE FROM              
THE GREAT LKS REGION TO THE SW OF THE FA TODAY.                                 
09Z RUC SHOWS TEMPS TO GET UP INTO THE UPR TEENS-M20S TODAY. THESE              
READINGS SEEM TO COOL AS MESONET OBS SHOW READINGS ARE ALREADY AT               
OR NEAR THEM ATTM. T1MAX TEMPS ARE 30-35 DEG F TODAY. RUC SHOWS LT              
SFC WINDS ACRS THE FA TODAY AND AGREE WITH THIS. BEST MID-LVL                   
MOISTURE TO BE LOCATED ACRS EXTREME NE VT TODAY. PLENTY OF LOW-LVL              
MOISTURE ACRS MUCH OF THE FA THOUGH TODAY (EXPECT ACRS SRN VT).                 
BEST H85 THETA-E ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS EXTREME NE VT TODAY               
AS WELL. PW VALUES ARE PIDDLY AT LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 0.25". RUC               
SHOWS NO MEASURABLE PCPN ACRS THE FA TODAY. FEEL BEST CHC FOR ANY               
MEASURABLE SN TODAY WILL CONT TO BE ACRS THE NE KINGDOM. HAVE                   
SLIGHTLY REGROUPED CENTRAL VT ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY              
THAT SOME OF THE PCPN PIVOTING ACRS NH ATTM WILL MOVE INTO THAT AREA            
AS WELL THIS AFTERNOON.                                                         
WK H85 CAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TODAY AND TONITE. PLENTY OF LOW-           
LVL MOISTURE TO LINGER ACRS THE FA TONITE AS WELL. BEST LOW-LVL                 
MOISTURE ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE TO THE SW OF THE FA THOUGH. EXPECT             
THAT PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT SFC SYS WILL STAY TO THE WEST OF THE             
FA TONITE.                                                                      
FEW TWEAKS TO FIRST PERIOD TEMPS BASED OF CURRENT OBS. CUT POPS FOR             
THE REST OF TODAY IN A FEW ZONES FOR -SHSN/FLURRIES. OVRNITE SN                 
TOTALS LOOK TO BE A TRACE TO AS MUCH AS 2" IN A FEW SPOTS UP IN NE              
VT. NOT MUCH MORE EXPECTED TODAY. REMOVED MENTION OF PCPN FROM                  
CENTRAL VT ZONES FOR TONITE AS PCPN EXPECTED TO BE OVER BY THEN                 
THERE. REST OF CHANGES TO GOING ZFP COSMETIC.                                   
WORK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 11 AM.                             
.BTV...NONE.                                                                    
MURRAY                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   vt                                                           

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                   
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO                                                 
315 AM MST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                       
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES ARE AFFECTS OF PASSING SHORT WAVE THIS                 
MORNING....AND THREAT OF CLOUDS/PRECIP FOR MIDWEEK.                             
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SAT PICS SHOWING MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE           
AND VORTICITY MAX MOVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO ATTM...WITH                
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF              
THE STATE.  REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING AREAS OF BANDED PRECIP ACROSS               
NORTHEASTERN COLORADO...WITH KDEN REPORTING -SHSN AT 09Z...MOVING               
ESE.                                                                            
TDY...SHORT WAVE FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED...WITH                 
CURRENT RUC SHOWING VORT MAX TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS               
AND INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS BY 16Z. STRONGEST UPPER SUPPORT REMAINS             
NORTH AND EAST OF CWFA...WITH SUBSIDENCE TAKING CONTROL OVER AREA               
AFTER 16Z. WILL MENTION ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES OVER MOST             
OF EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS            
IN THE AFTERNOON.  WITH SHORT WAVE FURTHER WEST...COLDER AIR (H7                
TEMPS -8C TO -12C AT 00Z) WILL BE IN PLACE AND WILL FOLLOW COOLER               
MAV GUIDANCE. WILL ALSO ADD WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WITH                
GOOD CCA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.                                                 
TNGT THROUGH MON...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TNGT IS REPLACED BY WEST                
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING MOVES INTO THE ROCKIES...               
AHEAD OF NEXT TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WESTERN US COAST. CLEARING                 
SKIES SHOULD ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLER AND COLD TEMPS                   
TNGT...WITH WARMING (5 TO 10F WARMER THAN TODAY) IN STORE FOR                   
MONDAY.                                                                         
IN THE EXTENDED(TUE-SAT): AGAIN THINGS GET INTERESTING IN THE                   
EXTENDED. CURRENT MODELS SHEARS APART UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO                  
WESTERN US...WITH A WEAK ENERGY MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN TIER STATES            
TUESDAY...AND A STRONGER PIECE WHICH CLOSES OFF OVER OLD MEXICO BY              
00Z WED. AVNX AND NEW MRF THEN TAKE LOW OVER OLD MEXICO AND MOVE                
INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO/TX PANHANDLE 00Z THU...AS ANOTHER TROUGH                
DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN US COAST. THIS SCENARIO WOULD TEND TO                 
LEAD TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...           
THOUGH WILL NOT ADD TO THE FORECAST TO AVOID FLIP FLOP.  MRF THEN               
WANTS TO DEVELOP ANOTHER CUT OFF LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN US 00Z             
FRI...WITH INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA.              
AGAIN MRF BRINGS THIS SYSTEM ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND INTO THE OK                  
PANHANDLE SATURDAY. WITH SO MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING OF THESE             
FEATURES...WILL LEAVE THE EXTENDED BROAD-BRUSHED...WITH SLIGHT                  
CHANCES OF SHOWERS FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND NO MENTION FOR THE PLAINS.             
.PUB...NONE.                                                                    
MW                                                                              
</PRE></TT></td>   co                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL                                        
235 AM EST SUN JAN 07 2001                                                      
CURRENT...WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE CWA ATTM. SMALL PATCH OF CI            
DEVELOPED OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS RESULTED FROM A VERY WEAK            
SHORT WAVE AS EVIDENCED BY W/V LOOP AND RUC DATA. TEMPS STILL                   
HOVERING AROUND FREEZING MOST CWA. AS EXPECTED...S INTERIOR CWA                 
LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST WITH UPPER 20S IN OCALA.                                
MODELS...ETA GRAPHICAL GUIDANCE STILL COMING IN...AND AVN MISSING               
THE FIRST 3 DAYS OR SO. HOWEVER...LOOKING AT 18Z MESO ETA..00Z                  
NGM...AND ALL MOS DATA...APPEARS MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON                 
TIMING OF FEATURES. MODELS STILL PHASE S STREAM SHORTWAVE NOW OVER              
THE S PLAINS WITH A N STREAM WAVE DIGGING INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. AN              
AMPLIFIED TROF IS THE RESULT...AND A SFC LOW STILL SLATED TO DEVELOP            
OVER GULF COAST. THIS LOW WILL MOVE NE ACROSS CENTRAL GA. WARM FRONT            
WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE CWA FROM THE SW TONIGHT. NGM HAS               
LESS LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE...AND THUS LESS                 
PRECIP TOTALS. MOISTURE STILL LURKING IN THE GULF...ALTHO DPS ARE               
EVEN IN THE MID 50S THERE. THERE IS MORE OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL                
TROPICAL FEED FROM THE PACIFIC WITH THIS SYSTEM.                                
PUBLIC...PRESENT FCST HANDLES MOST EVENTS FAIRLY WELL...AND WILL                
JUST CONTINUE TO FINE TUNE TIMING AND POPS. WILL INDICATE POPS                  
EITHER AFTER MIDNIGHT OR LATE FOR TONIGHT. WILL CONSIDER BUMPING                
INTERIOR GA ZONES TO 70 POPS FOR MON. MAY ALSO BE SOME LINGERING                
CLOUDINESS IN N ZONES MON NIGHT AS 850 TROF LINGERS.                            
EXTENDED...EARLY PORTION LOOKS FINE. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN              
TIMING ON THE NEXT SYSTEM. EARLY MRF RUN HAD IT REMAINING W OF THE              
AREA THRU SAT. NEWER UKMET AND NOGAPS RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE A MORE              
RAPID PROGRESSION. WILL WAIT FOR NEW MRF AND MOS TO CONFIRM...BUT               
GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN SO FAR THIS SEASON...WOULDN'T BE                  
SURPRISED.                                                                      
MARINE...PRESENT PACKAGE STILL LOOKS PRETTY GOOD. SEE LITTLE TO                 
CHANGE AT THIS POINT. NEW AVN HAS GALES JUST E OF OUR MARINE AREA               
MON AFTN AND EVENING. WILL POSSIBLE KICK UP MON PORTION A BIT MORE.             
UNTIL THEN...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.                                             
FIRE WX...RED FLAG WARNING ALL AREAS FROM NOON TIL SUNSET FOR LONG              
DURATIONS OF HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT.                                   
PRELIM                                                                          
AMG 64/48/62/33 057-                                                            
SSI 61/47/62/39 0361                                                            
JAX 67/47/65/36 0261                                                            
GNV 67/48/67/38 0262 31                                                         
.JAX...                                                                         
.GA...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN OKEFENOKEE NWR.                                
.FL...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN ALL AREAS.                                     
CARROLL                                                                         
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI                                           
525 AM EST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                       
FCST FOCUS IS LES TODAY                                                         
SFC ANALYSIS AT 09Z SHOWS INVERTED 1004MB TROF STRETCHING FM NORTH              
OF YQT TO PRESSURE CENTER OVR NRN LOWER MI. ERLY WINDS OVR ERN UPR              
(ERY AND ISQ) MI WITH NWRLY WINDS OVR CNTRL UPR MI (300 AT ESC) HAVE            
SET UP CONVERGENCE ZONE FM WRN ALGER COUNTY INTO DELTA COUNTY                   
DEPICTED BY SWATH OF 24-28 DBZ RETURNS ON MQT 88D RADAR. AS WINDS               
HAVE NOW SWITCHED MORE NERLY (PER MQT VWP) BAND HAS WEAKENED AND                
MOVED EAST. AT H5...SHRTWV IS NOTED OVR WRN LK SUPERIOR BUT HAS                 
BEGUN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD FA (WARMING CLOUD TOPS ON IR                 
IMGRY) AND LACK OF RETURNS ON CANADIAN RADAR AND IMPROVING VSBYS OVR            
SW ONTARIO PER METARS. INCREASE IN ACTIVITY NOTED OVR KEWEENAW (PER             
CMX/P59 OBS) AND MQT COUNTY (PER 88D REFLECTIVIES) AS LIFT FM WEAKENING         
SHRTWV HELPING TO ESTABLISH DEEPER NE CBL FLW OFF LK SUPERIOR.                  
TODAY...LIFT FM WRN LK SUPERIOR SHRTWV WL BE LIMITED TO 10-15Z TIME             
FRAME FOR WRN AND CNTRL UPR MI...AND SHOULDN/T BE MUCH OF FACTOR BY             
TIME IT REACHES ERN ZONES. SYN LIFT COMBINES WITH DLT T/S AROUND 16C            
BY 12Z PER RUC TO GIVE 3HR PERIOD OF TRUE LK ENHANCEMENT (ENDING BY             
11Z IN CMX AND 14Z AT MQT). BELIEVE THAT DESPITE INVERSION REMAINING            
BTWN 4K-6K FT THAT ANY LK EFFECT BEYOND ERLY MORNING BURST WL BE                
LIGHT (1-2 INCHES ADDITIONAL ACCUM IN HIGHER TERRAIN) AS DLT T/S REMAIN         
AROUND 16C AND DESCENT IN WAKE OF SHRTWV WITH ASSOCIATED H85 DRYING             
(RH FALLING BLO 60 PCT BY 21Z PER 06Z ETA) WL PUT CRIMP ON ONGOING              
ACTIVITY. AWAY FM LK SUPERIOR EXPECT LITTLE ADDITIONAL SNOW AS                  
SHRTWV CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH UPR MI.                          
WITH SFC PARCEL TRAJECTORY OFF 34F LAKE SUPERIOR WL OPT FOR TEMPS IN            
THE 20S ACROSS ENTIRE FA...A BIT ABOVE FWC/MAV GUIDANCE. HAVE ALSO              
MENTIONED GUSTY WINDS BEHIND SHRTWV NEAR SUPERIOR AS WINDS HAVE                 
PICKED UP AT P59/CMX/IWD (P59: CALM AT 05Z WITH 09017G26KT AT 07Z)              
IN WAKE OF VORT MAX.                                                            
TONIGHT...INVERSION HTS FALL TO AROUND 3KFT PER ETA BUT NE FLW                  
THROUGH MIXED LAYER CONTINUES. COULD BE SOME LIFT (RAISING INVERSION            
HTS) PROVIDED BY SHRTWV MOVING INTO FA FM SCNTRL CANADA AFT                     
06Z...HOWEVER MODELS WEAKEN FEATURE AS IT MOVES INTO FA. ETA PINS               
BEST H95 CONVERGENCE OVR NCNTRL UPR MI SO WL GO WITH LIKELY POPS                
HERE. IN THE WEST...OVR WATER INSTABILITY CONTINUING TO REMAIN                  
MARGINAL FOR LES AND NE-N WIND WL JUSTIFY SCT POPS FOR LIGHT SHSN               
ACTIVITY. IN THE EAST...PRONOUNCED DRYING WITH NE DOWNSLOPE FLW OFF             
ONTARIO WL LIMIT LES POTENTIAL...SO WL GO WITH LIGHT LES OR FLURRIES            
FOR ALGER/LUCE.                                                                 
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...00Z MODELS ALL SIMILAR IN DIGGING                     
ELONGATED SHRTWV FM NRN MANITOBA/SASKATCHEWAN INTO ERN TROF. HOWEVER            
THEY AGAIN ARE ALSO SIMILAR IN WEAKENING FEATURE AS IT MOVES INTO               
CONUS BY 12Z MONDAY. WK UVM COULD HELP TO RAISE INVERSION HTS                   
SLIGHTLY BUT BELIEVE THAT H85 TEMPS ARE TOO COLD ON ETA (-16C)                  
COMPARED TO AVN (-11C). SO ANY LK EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY SHOULD BE ON            
LIGHT SIDE WITH LITTLE ACCUM. IN ANY CASE CLOUDS WL REMAIN OVR MUCH             
OF FA WITH TEMPS CHANGING LITTLE FM SUNDAY.                                     
.MQT...NONE.                                                                    
JLA                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI                                             
1237 AM EST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                      
LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW A MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW BAND STREAMING                
ONSHORE OFF OF LAKE HURON INTO ERN SECTIONS OF MACKINAC COUNTY AND              
SE PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA. LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL FROM MACKINAC                 
COUNTY REPORTED 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 3 HOURS AROUND THE             
CEDARVILLE AREA. EXPECT SE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT BEFORE                  
SHIFTING TO THE E AND THEN NE BY SUNRISE. THUS...WILL ISSUE A WINTER            
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES FOR AN                      
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEARLY LAKE              
HURON.                                                                          
WILL ALSO EXTEND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FAR NRN LOWER MI                   
COUNTIES INTO SUNDAY MORNING. LOOK AT THE LATEST RUC SHOWS ARRIVAL              
OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE HOLDING OFF UNTIL CLOSE TO MIDDAY. THUS...                
EXPECT AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TO PERSIST INTO SUNDAY MORNING.                
.APX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...OVERNIGHT...MIZ008-015                         
       WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...               
       MIZ016>019-021>024-028>030.                                              
EME                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO                                         
215 AM CST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                       
FREEZING DRIZZLE POTENTIAL AND TEMPERATURES ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS               
FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE                                                       
SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 06Z PLACED COLD FRONT OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS...           
WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN TEXAS. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUD             
COVER WITH THE FRONT...WITH SOUTHERN EDGE OF LOW CLOUDS FROM SOUTH              
DAKOTA TO NORTHERN IOWA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. WATER VAPOR/WIND                 
PROFILERS/500-300MB RUC VORTICITY SHOW NEXT WAVE TO AFFECT THE                  
REGION OVER WYOMING AT 06Z.                                                     
00Z MODELS CONTINUE THE TREND OF MOVING THE WYOMING SHORT WAVE INTO             
THE OZARKS TODAY WITH THE TROUGH AXIS PASSING OVERHEAD BY 06Z MONDAY.           
WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE AVN AND ETA MODELS FOR THIS FORECAST.                  
PRIMARY CONCERN TODAY IS THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON.           
CURRENT FORECAST HAS DRIZZLE THIS AFTERNOON IN ALL ZONES...BUT GIVEN            
THAT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LOW CLOUDS IS IN NORTHERN IOWA AND NOT             
EXPECTED TO REACH CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL MID AFTERNOON...WILL DROP              
THE MENTION OF DRIZZLE FROM ALL BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS.                          
OTHER FORECAST PROBLEM IS THE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION TONIGHT               
AND MONDAY. FORCING IS WEAK AT BEST IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE...BUT               
MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE. TIME HEIGHT OF TEMPERATURES INDICATES                
THAT THE SATURATED AIR TEMPERATURE WILL BE -5 TO -8 THIS EVENING                
AND COOLING BELOW -10 MONDAY MORNING. WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF              
FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT...AND INCLUDE FLURRIES MONDAY GIVEN THE                
BETTER POTENTIAL FOR ICE CRYSTAL DEVELOPMENT.                                   
DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE 50 DEGREES AGAIN FOR              
SOME TIME. ETA SHOWS COLDEST AIR TO REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF                    
SPRINGFIELD THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. MAV GUIDANCE IS ONCE AGAIN THE             
BEST OF THE BUNCH...BUT MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE NEEDED. LITTLE                
WARMUP EXPECTED FOR MONDAY WITH LOW CLOUDS AND A NORTH WIND                     
CONTINUING. TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST WITH LARGE RIDGE OVER           
THE PLAINS STATES STARTING A BRIEF WARMUP.                                      
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...            
WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND AGAIN           
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED TO THE CURRENT               
EXTENDED FORECAST.                                                              
FCSTID = 008                                                                    
SGF 039 025 028 011 035 / 5 10 10 10                                            
JLN 042 026 031 014 038 / 5 10 10 10                                            
UNO 044 025 031 012 035 / 5 10 10 10                                            
VIH 039 021 025 009 034 / 5 10 10 10                                            
.SGF...                                                                         
MO...NONE.                                                                      
KS...NONE.                                                                      
SUTTON                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   mo                                                           

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION                          
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL                             
1005 AM EST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                      
CURRENTLY...LINGERING AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF            
THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING SHOULD BE GONE IN THE NEXT HOUR            
OR SO WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. AFTER            
LOOKING OVER SATELLITE...12Z RAOBS AND LATEST RUC/MESO-ETA DATA...I             
SEE NO REASON TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO ONGOING ZONES.                             
ON THE MARINE SIDE...BUOY TRENDS SUPPORT ONGOING PACKAGE...SO OTHER             
THAN MINOR WORDING CLEAN UP...NO CHANGES EXPECTED EITHER.                       
FIRE WEATHER...QUICK RECOVERY TO TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH LOW DEW                
POINTS (IN THE 30S AND LOW 40S) WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP BELOW              
35% FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON...THUS NO CHANGES TO THE RED               
FLAG OR FIRE WX WATCHES EXPECTED.                                               
.TBW...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET FOR SUMTER...             
       POLK...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...AND DESOTO COUNTIES.                         
    ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET FOR LEVY...             
       CITRUS...HERNANDO...EASTERN PASCO...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH...AND           
       EASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES.                                                
MCMICHAEL                                                                       
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG, VA                                         
1000 AM EST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                      
SATELLITE PICS SHOWING SHEARED MID/HIGH CLDNS APCHG FROM THE SW THIS            
MORN WITH STANDING WAVE AC DECK ALONG THE BLUE RDG ATTM. WITH                   
MESO-ETA/RUC SHOWING DEEPENING RH SWRN AREAS BY MID/LATE AFTN PLAN              
TO UPDATE AND TREND TWD MSTLY CLDY NW NC AND SW VA GROUPS. ELSW                 
GOING INCRSG CLDY SCENARIO LOOKS GOOD WITH MNLY SCT/BKN AC TIL LATE.            
ALTHO SEEING A FEW ECHOES ACRS THE TN VLY...THINK ENOUGH DRY AIR                
ALOFT OFF MORN RAOBS TO KEEP POPS OUT THIS AFTN AS LATEST MESO-ETA              
APRS TOO FAST WITH PRECIP. OTRW CLDNS A PROBLEM WITH HOW HIGH TO GO             
WITH AFTN TEMPS GIVEN WARMING 85H TEMPS AND THICKNESS VALUES BUT                
LESS HEATING SWRN TIER. PLAN TO LOWER TEMPS A NOTCH ESPCLY W OF THE             
BLUE RIDGE GIVEN SLOW EARLY RISES UNDER CLDNS BUT MAINTAIN WARMER               
LAMP TYPE NUMBERS SE PER MORE INSOLATION.                                       
.RNK...                                                                         
NC...NONE.                                                                      
VA...NONE.                                                                      
WV...NONE.                                                                      
JH                                                                              
</PRE></TT></td>   va                                                           

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION FOR SCA OUTLINE               
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX                                         
925 AM CST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                       
SHORT RANGE...BOTH THE MESO-ETA AND RUC DATA HAVE INITIALIZED WELL              
ON THE 5H TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE BIG BEND AREA ACROSS SOUTH                   
CENTRAL TX.  THE MESO-ETA SHOWS THE CORE OF THE 5H VORT MAX TRACKING            
BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND CRP ALONG THE TX COASTLINE BY 21Z THIS                   
AFTERNOON.  BOTH THE 12Z BRO AND CRP SOUNDINGS MAINTAIN AN LI OF -4             
TO -6 WHICH THE ETA FORECAST SOUNDINGS MAINTAIN THROUGHOUT THE                  
AFTERNOON AS MID LEVEL COOLING AND DIURNAL HEATING CONTINUE TO                  
DESTABILIZE THE ATMS.  SO WILL AMEND THE CURRENT ZONES TO INCREASE              
1ST PD POPS AND INSERT MENTION OF THUNDER.                                      
TIMING OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE FRONT...CLD COVER AND ASSOCIATED              
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL COMBINE TO MAKE AFTER TEMPS A LITTLE TRICKY                
TODAY.  BELIEVE THAT FWC/MAV TEMP GUIDANCE IS TOO WARM FOR HIGHS                
TODAY AND WILL AMEND THE 1ST PD OF THE ZFP ACCORDINGLY.                         
OTHERWISE...THE REST OF THE CURRENT ZFP LOOKS OK ATTM.                          
MARINE...WILL UPDATE THE CWF FOR ISSUANCE OF A SCA AS BUOY020                   
REPORTS A SE WIND FROM 15 TO 20 KTS WITH SWELLS AT 4 FT.  FROPA WILL            
OCCUR OVER THE BAY WATERS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE GULF              
WATERS DURING THE EARLY EVENING.  WILL ALSO INCREASE POPS OVER THE              
BAY AND GULF WATERS AND MSAS AND LAPS LI FIELDS SHOW AN ELONGATE                
AREA OF NEG LIS LYING JUST OFFSHORE OF THE TX COAST.  THE                       
INTERACTION OF THIS FIELD WITH THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND 5H                
TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN THE CONV THREAT OVER THE GULF WATERS.                      
PUBLIC...60/MESO...61/HMT...MARITNEZ                                            
INTERNET ADDRESS...WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO                                         
.BRO...SCA IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ130-150-155-170-175.                 
</PRE></TT></td>   tx                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT                                          
1041 AM EST SUN JAN 7 2001                                                      
WILL UPDATE GOING ZFP TO ADD SOME FLURRIES AND MAKE A FEW OTHER MINOR           
CHANGES.                                                                        
WK SFC/UPR RIDGE TO MOVE ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST TODAY AS A WK                
CLIPPER SYS MOVES DOWN ACRS THE ERN GREAT LKS REGION AND INTO WRN NY            
STATE. AS THE REMNANTS OF THIS CLIPPER SYS TRACKS TO THE SOUTH OF THE           
FA TONITE...WHAT LOOKS LIKE AN INVERTED SFC TROF WILL BE MOVING ACRS            
THE FA FROM THE WEST. UPR TROF TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION                
TODAY. WK S/W TO RIDE TO THE SOUTH OF THE FA TODAY AS WELL. UPR TROF            
TO MOVE ACRS ONT/QUE TONITE.                                                    
12Z RUC SHOWS TEMPS GETTING UP INTO THE UPR TEENS-M20S TODAY. THESE             
VALUES SEEM TOO COOL AGAIN TODAY AS MESONET OBS SHOW READINGS AOA               
THESE TEMPS ATTM. T1MAX TEMPS ARE IN THE U20S-M30S. REALITY WILL MOST           
LIKELY LIE BETWEEN THE RUC AND THE T1MAX VALUES. FEW TWEAKS TO GOING            
FIRST PERIOD TEMP FORECAST BASED ON THIS THINKING. RUC SHOWS LT WINDS           
ACRS THE FA TODAY AND AGREE WITH THIS. MID-LVLS TO REMAIN RELATIVELY            
DRY ACRS THE FA TODAY. PLENTY OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE ACRS THE FA THOUGH            
TODAY. PW VALUES ARE AROUND 0.25". RUC KEEPS MOST OF THE MEASURABLE             
PCPN ACRS NY STATE (TO THE EAST OF LK ONT) TODAY WITH JUST TRACE                
VALUES ACRS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE FA.                                         
BUFCAN/88D MOSAIC SHOWS THAT PCPN ACRS MUCH OF NRN VT HAS DIMINISHED            
THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HRS TODAY. MORE RETURNS MOVING IN FROM THE               
WEST ATTM THOUGH. WILL GO BACK TO THINKING FROM YESTERDAY OF JUST               
SCT/CHC FOR FLURRIES ACRS THE ENTIRE FA FOR THE REST OF TODAY.                  
WK WAA TO DEVELOP ACRS THE FA FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND CONT INTO               
TONITE. WK LOW-LVL MOISTURE ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA                 
TODAY. LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO LINGER ACRS THE FA TONITE. LOW-LVL LAPSE             
RATES TO INCREASE ACRS THE FA TONITE AS WELL. DEEPER MOISTURE TO STAY           
TO THE WEST OF THE FA RIGHT THRU TONITE THOUGH. STILL FEEL THAT                 
THERE/S A BETTER CHC FOR SN ACRS THE FA TONITE AND GOING ZFP                    
CONTINUES TO REFLECT THIS.                                                      
REGROUPED CHAMP VLY ALTOGETHER IN THE UPDATE PACKAGE. REST OF CHANGES           
TO GOING ZFP COSMETIC.                                                          
WORK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 11 AM AFTER QUICK LOOK             
AT LATEST OBS AND RADAR TRENDS.                                                 
.BTV...NONE.                                                                    
MURRAY                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   vt