in-crop-weather

State
Indiana Crop Weather

Week Ending Date  
November 16, 2008

IN-CW111608

                        AGRICULTURAL SUMMARY

Many producers are now finished with both corn and soybean harvest,
according to the Indiana Field Office of USDAs National Agricultural
Statistics Service. Rain showers during the week did slow the remaining
harvest and other field activities. High input costs are causing farmers
to make tough decisions for next years cropping season. The recent
rains should prove beneficial to the 2009 winter wheat crop. Other
activities during the week included cleaning and storing equipment,
drying and storing grain, hauling grain to market, fall tillage,
cleaning fence rows, applying fertilizer and lime, fall herbicide
applications, hauling manure and taking care of livestock. 

                         FIELD CROPS REPORT 

There were 4.0 days suitable for field work. Ninety-three percent of the
corn acreage has been harvested compared with 97 percent last year and
92 percent for the 5-year average. By area, 90 percent of the corn
acreage has been harvested in the north, 95 percent in the central
region and 94 percent in the south. Moisture content of harvested corn
continues to average about 17 percent. 

Ninety-eight percent of the soybean acreage has been harvested compared
with 100 percent last year and 98 percent for the 5-year average. By
area, 99 percent of the soybean acreage has been harvested in the north,
98 percent in the central region and 97 percent in the south. Moisture
content of harvested soybeans continues to average about 11 percent. 

Ninety-nine percent of the 2009 winter wheat acreage has been planted at
this time. Ninety-four percent of the winter wheat acreage has emerged
compared with 98 percent last year and 92 percent for the 5-year
average. 

                 LIVESTOCK, PASTURE AND RANGE REPORT 

Livestock remain in mostly good condition. Hay supplies are adequate in
most areas. However, some producers had to start feeding hay early in
the fall causing concerns of running short by spring. 

                    Crop Progress Table
-------------------------------------------------------
                       : This : Last : Last : 5-Year
     Crop              : Week : Week : Year :  Avg
-------------------------------------------------------
                             Percent               
Corn Harvested            93     89     97     92
Soybeans Harvested        98     97    100     98
Winter Wheat Planted      99     98    100     99
Winter Wheat Emerged      94     89     98     92

                    Crop Condition Table
-----------------------------------------------------------
                    : Very :      :      :      : Excel-
     Crop           : Poor : Poor : Fair : Good :  lent
----------------------------------------------------------- 
                             Percent
Winter Wheat            1      2     23     60     14

        Soil Moisture & Days Suitable
             for Fieldwork Table
----------------------------------------
               : This  : Last  : Last :
               : Week  : Week  : Year :
----------------------------------------
                      Percent
Topsoil
  Very Short       4       8     N/A
  Short           20      37     N/A
  Adequate        68      54     N/A
  Surplus          8       1     N/A
Subsoil
  Very Short      10      13     N/A
  Short           29      36     N/A
  Adequate        57      49     N/A
  Surplus          4       2     N/A
Days Suitable    4.0     6.3     N/A

Contact Information
--Greg Preston, Director
--Andy Higgins, Agricultural Statistician
E-Mail Address: nass-in@nass.usda.gov
http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Indiana
------------------------------------------------------------------------

                     Other Agricultural Comments And News

                    NOVEMBER CROP REPORTS ABOUT AS EXPECTED 

-November 10, 2008.

In the final production forecasts of the season, the USDA projected 
the 2008 U.S. corn crop at 12.02 billion bushels and the 2008 soybean 
crop at 2.921 billion bushels. Those forecasts reflected U.S. average
yields of 153.8 and 39.3 bushels, respectively. 

The forecast size of the corn crop is 13 million bushels smaller than
the revised October projection and 46 million smaller than the average 
trade guess. The average yield forecast is 0.1 bushels below the 
October forecast. The Illinois yield forecast is two bushels above the
October forecast. At 179 bushels, the expected yield is only one bushel
below the record of 2004. The forecast yield for Ohio is seven bushels
below the October forecast.

For the corn supply and demand balance sheet, some revisions were made
in both the 2007-08 estimates and the 2008-09 projections. For last 
year, the estimate of the amount of corn used for ethanol was increased
by 26 million bushels, offset with a 25 million bushel reduction in the
estimate of feed use. For the current year, the projection of exports
was reduced by 50 million bushels, to only 1.9 billion. That forecast 
is 536 million, or 22 percent, below the record exports of last year.
The lower projection reflects the sluggish pace of exports and export
sales experienced so far this year and the large grain crops outside
the U.S.  Cumulative U.S. corn export inspections through November 6 
were 36 percent smaller than shipments of a year ago, while unshipped
sales as of October 30 were 43 percent smaller than outstanding sales
of a year earlier. Coarse grain production outside of the U.S. is now
projected at a record 767.9 million tons, two million tons larger than
the October forecast and 41 million tons larger than last years 
production. Wheat production outside the U.S. is projected at 614.3 
million tons, 2.2 million tons larger than the October forecast and
60 million tons larger than last years production. 

Stocks of U.S. corn at the end of the current marketing year are 
projected at 1.124 billion bushels, 500 million less than the inventory
on September 1, 2008, but 36 million larger than the October forecast.
The 2008-09 U.S. average farm price is forecast in a range of $4.00 to
4.80, compared to the average of $4.20 received for the 2007 crop.

The forecast size of the 2008 U.S. soybean crop is 17 million bushels
smaller than the October forecast and about five million larger than 
the average pre-report guess. The U.S. average yield forecast is 0.2
bushels below the October forecast and the lowest yield in five years.
The Illinois average yield forecast was increased by one bushel from 
the October forecast, to 46 bushels, while the Indiana forecast was 
increased by two bushels to 44 bushels. Yield forecasts were lowered
by one bushel in Minnesota and Nebraska; two bushels in North Dakota, 
Ohio, and Wisconsin; and three bushels in South Dakota.

The USDAs projection of the 2008-09 domestic soybean crush was reduced
by 15 million bushels, resulting in an unchanged forecast of year 
ending stocks. The projection of marketing year exports was left 
unchanged at 1.02 billion bushels in spite of the fast start to the 
2008-09 export program. The projection is 12 percent smaller than the
record shipments of a year ago. Through the first 9.5 weeks of the 
year, export inspections were about three percent larger than those of
a year ago. Unshipped sales as of October 30 were 27 percent larger 
than the outstanding sales of a year earlier. The forecast size of the
2009 Brazilian soybean crop was reduced by 92 million bushels. That is
about 37 million less than the 2008 harvest. The projection of 
Brazilian soybean exports during the current marketing year was reduced
by 55 million bushels. Argentine production in 2009 is still projected
to be 158 million bushels larger than in 2008. The projection of
2008-09 Argentine soybean exports was increased by about 30 million 
bushels from the October projection. 

The 2008-09 U.S. average farm price of soybeans is now projected in a
range of $9.10 to $10.60, $.60 lower than the October projection. The 
average price received last year was $10.10. 

The final production estimates for U.S. corn and soybeans will be
released in January. Until then, prices will be influenced by the
development of Southern Hemisphere crops; the pace of consumption; and
general demand prospects as reflected in the financial, currency, and
energy markets. Stabilization of the financial markets and energy 
prices provide some support for corn and soybean prices for now, but 
recovery in those markets will be required to fuel a meaningful
post-harvest recovery for those crops. 

Issued by Darrel Good, Extension Economist, University of Illinois.    
       
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The INDIANA CROP & WEATHER REPORT (USPS 675-770), (ISSN 0442-817X) is
issued weekly April through November by the USDA, NASS, Indiana Field
Office, 1435 Win Hentschel Blvd, Suite 110, West Lafayette IN
47906-4145. For information on subscribing, send request to above 
address. POSTMASTER: Send address change to the USDA, NASS, Indiana 
Field Office, 1435 Win Hentschel Blvd, Suite 110, West Lafayette IN 
47906-4145. 
------------------------------------------------------------------------

             Weather Information Table

         Week ending Sunday November 16, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------
                | Past Week Weather Summary Data   
                |---------------------------------
 Station        |      Air      |            | Avg  
                |  Temperature  |  Precip.   |4 in.  
                |---------------|------------|Soil 
                |Hi |Lo |Avg|DFN| Total|Days |Temp 
----------------------------------------------------- 
Northwest (1)                                    
Chalmers_5W      53  21   39  -6   0.71    5     
Francesville     52  21   38  -3   0.57    5     
Valparaiso_AP_I  53  22   40  -3   0.12    4     
Wanatah          55  18   38  -4   0.77    5   44
Winamac          54  21   39  -3   0.91    5   41
North Central(2)                                 
Plymouth         54  23   38  -5   0.59    5     
South_Bend       53  22   40  -2   0.75    6     
Young_America    54  19   38  -5   1.43    5     
Northeast (3)                                    
Columbia_City    54  22   40  -2   1.33    5   46
Fort_Wayne       57  21   41  -2   1.64    5     
West Central(4)                                  
Greencastle      56  24   41  -4   1.50    4     
Perrysville      57  19   40  -4   0.88    4   45
Spencer_Ag       55  26   42  -2   1.37    4     
Terre_Haute_AFB  56  22   42  -2   0.63    4     
W_Lafayette_6NW  55  20   39  -3   0.68    5   41
Central (5)                                      
Eagle_Creek_AP   54  27   42  -3   1.20    5     
Greenfield       53  24   40  -4   2.04    4     
Indianapolis_AP  54  29   42  -2   1.36    4     
Indianapolis_SE  53  23   40  -5   1.88    5     
Tipton_Ag        54  19   40  -2   1.25    6   44
East Central(6)                                  
Farmland         57  18   39  -3   1.91    5   43
New_Castle       57  20   40  -3   1.98    3     
Southwest (7)                                    
Evansville       62  24   46  -2   2.52    4     
Freelandville    57  26   43  -3   2.28    4     
Shoals_8S        58  23   43  -3   1.75    4     
Stendal          61  28   44  -2   2.50    5     
Vincennes_5NE    57  23   44  -2   2.52    5   47
South Central(8)                                 
Leavenworth      63  28   44  -2   1.79    5     
Oolitic          56  24   42  -3   1.81    4   44
Tell_City        64  29   47  -2   2.04    4     
Southeast (9)                                    
Brookville       60  24   43  +0   1.54    4     
Greensburg       59  25   42  -3   2.00    4     
Scottsburg       59  27   43  -3   1.58    4     
-----------------------------------------------------

       Weather Information Table (Continued)

        Week ending Sunday November 16, 2008
-------------------------------------------------
                |        Accumulation           
                |--------------------------------
                |        April 1, 2008 thru       
 Station        |         November 16, 2008     
                |--------------------------------
                | Precipitation   |GDD Base 50oF
                |--------------------------------
                |      |     |    |     |
                |Total | DFN |Days|Total|  DFN   
-------------------------------------------------
Northwest (1)   |
Chalmers_5W     |26.09  -0.09   75  2877  -348
Francesville    |30.90  +4.22   85  2859   -80
Valparaiso_AP_I |19.85  -9.17   71  3088  +138
Wanatah         |34.18  +6.50   89  2714   -79
Winamac         |32.73  +6.05   85  2907   -32
North Central(2)|
Plymouth        |29.48  +1.97   90  2898  -202
South_Bend      |30.97  +3.92   84  3101  +197
Young_America   |30.26  +4.09   74  2972   -65
Northeast (3)   |
Columbia_City   |25.73  -0.36   81  2825   +56
Fort_Wayne      |23.99  +0.19   83  3248  +195
West Central(4) |
Greencastle     |38.62  +8.62   72  3021  -450
Perrysville     |31.78  +3.99   81  3271   +59
Spencer_Ag      |39.78  +9.81   81  3276   +41
Terre_Haute_AFB |31.70  +3.39   64  3481   +36
W_Lafayette_6NW |26.62  +0.28   84  3078   +40
Central (5)     |
Eagle_Creek_AP  |32.72  +6.28   78  3620  +213
Greenfield      |36.50  +7.46   85  3179   -92
Indianapolis_AP |29.57  +3.13   76  3716  +309
Indianapolis_SE |33.71  +6.48   71  3172  -230
Tipton_Ag       |26.41  -0.93   85  3006   +70
East Central(6) | 
Farmland        |25.31  -0.66   77  2906   +44
New_Castle      |30.68  +2.74   76  2943    +7
Southwest (7)   | 
Evansville      |28.03  +0.88   64  4209  +227
Freelandville   |34.68  +6.62   69  3630   +65
Shoals_8S       |34.28  +3.74   68  3290  -168
Stendal         |35.60  +5.50   97  3942  +208
Vincennes_5NE   |28.76  +0.70   62  3799  +234
South Central(8)| 
Leavenworth     |32.76  +2.03  101  3803  +370
Oolitic         |32.83  +3.54   76  3293   +10
Tell_City       |29.02  -1.67   61  4131  +265
Southeast (9)   | 
Brookville      |25.82  -2.20   76  3457  +354
Greensburg      |32.50  +4.19   75  3468  +280
Scottsburg      |30.01  +1.15   93  3662  +115
------------------------------------------------------------------
DFN = Departure From Normal (Using 1961-90 Normals Period).
GDD = Growing Degree Days.
Precipitation (Rainfall or melted snow/ice) in inches.
Precipitation Days = Days with precip of .01 inch or more.
Air Temperatures in Degrees Fahrenheit.

Copyright 2008:  Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc.
                 All rights reserved.

       The above weather information is provided by AWIS, Inc.
For detailed ag weather forecasts and data visit the AWIS home page
                        at: www.awis.com