000
FLUS42 KTBW 091022
HWOTBW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006

FLZ039-042-043-048-091530-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-
522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NATURE COAST IN WEST
CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL EXIST TODAY ACROSS LEVY AND SUMTER
COUNTIES DUE TO LONG HOURS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT
EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND A RED FLAG WARING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL
BRING A REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL DRY AIR INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA TONIGHT.
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
WHICH WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES
AND AREAS OF FROST OVER THE NATURE COAST LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...AND A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS.
RESIDENT OF LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES SHOULD
TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT TEMPERATURE SENSITIVE PLANTS.
IN ADDITION PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AFTER A COLD START FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
DURING THE AFTERNOON. DURING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY A LOW
PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS
LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF STATE
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY
WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF
THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY ON AN INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY
WIND FLOW. THIS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT...BUT INCREASING LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS COULD
SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY
MATERIALIZES...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS.

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH A STRONG AND COLD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. STRONG COLD
AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL BE ADVECTED SOUTH
INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL SUPPORT FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND LOW
WIND CHILL READINGS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WITH DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ONLY RISING INTO THE MID 50S.

DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

FLZ049>051-055-060-091530-
PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-
522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING IN A REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL DRY AIR. LACK
OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PRECLUDE RAIN CHANCES...BUT
INCREASING WINDS AND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA TONIGHT.
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
30S AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH POCKETS OF FROST POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AFTER A COLD START FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
DURING THE AFTERNOON. DURING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY A LOW
PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS
LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF STATE
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY
WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF
THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY ON AN INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY
WIND FLOW. THIS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT...BUT INCREASING LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS COULD
SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY
MATERIALIZES...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS.

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH A STRONG AND COLD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. STRONG COLD
AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL BE ADVECTED SOUTH
INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE
MID 30S ALONG WITH LOW WIND CHILL READINGS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ONLY RISING
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S.

DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

FLZ052-056-057-061-062-065-091530-
POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL EXIST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY DUE TO
LONG HOURS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND A RED FLAG WARING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE
LOCATIONS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BRING IN A REINFORCING SURGE OF
COOL DRY AIR. LACK OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PRECLUDE
RAIN CHANCES...BUT INCREASING WINDS AND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE AFTERNOON. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH POCKETS OF FROST
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AFTER A COLD START FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY A LOW PRESSURE
AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF STATES LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY
WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF
THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY ON AN INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY
WIND FLOW. THIS MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT INCREASING LOW AND MID
LEVEL WIND FIELDS COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY MATERIALIZES...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD
TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS.

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH A STRONG AND COLD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. STRONG COLD
AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL BE ADVECTED SOUTH
INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S ALONG WITH LOW WIND CHILL READINGS DURING
SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
ON SUNDAY ONLY RISING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S.

DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

JCM/AR