EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL                                           
1010 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                     
LCL WX IS DECEPTIVELY QUIET THIS MORNING.  MORNING SOUNDINGS AND                
LATEST RUC80 ANALYSIS INDICATES THE BERMUDA RIDGE AXIS HAS SHIFTED S            
TO THE CENTRAL/SRN FL PENINSULA IN RESPONSE TO A SFC-H50 S/WV                   
SLIDING OFF THE MID ATLC COAST.  DEPSITE A THIN BAND OF DRIER AIR               
WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE PANHANDLE (KJAX/KTLH PW VALUES 1.5"-1.6")              
AMS OVER THE PENINSULA REMAINS VERY MOIST WITH PW VALUES NEAR 2.0"              
AT KXMR/KTBW/KMFL.                                                              
MORNING CONVECTION OVER THE W FL COAST IS ALREADY PRODUCING OUTFLOW             
BOUNDARIES WHICH WILL ACT TO ENHANCE THE WCSB. SWRLY H85-H50                    
STEERING FLOW OVER THE S HALF OF THE PENINSULA WILL PUSH THIS                   
BOUNDARY WELL INLAND BY EARLY AFTN...WHILE PINNING THE ECSB OVER THE            
COASTAL CWA.  LITTLE OR NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER OVER THE CWA THIS            
MORNING WILL ALLOW NEAR MAX SFC HEATING/DESTABILIZATION.  EXPECT                
MORNING SUN TO GIVE WAY TO A SIGNIFICANT MIDDAY CU FIELD...THEN                 
MID/LATE AFTN CONVECTION.  SVR WX NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER...AS TEMPS             
ALOFT ARE RELATIVELY WARM.  H50/H40 TEMPS YIELD VERY HIGH VOD                   
VALUES...AS HIGH AS 75 AT KXMR.                                                 
FCST LOOKS FINE. WILL UPDATE TO REMOVE "AFTN" REFERENCES.                       
MARINE...FCST IN LINE WITH THE LASTEST BUOY/C-MAN OBS. NO                       
HIGHLIGHTS...NO SIG CHANGES.                                                    
.MLB...NONE.                                                                    
PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAGAW                                                          
AVIATION/FIRE WX...CRISTALDI                                                    
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL                                         
855 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                      
SYNOPSIS: RUC H5/WATER VAPOR IMAGERY COMPOSITE SHOWS WEAK ZONAL FLOW            
ALOFT. UPPER LOW DROPPING SEWD INTO IA & UPPER TROF SWINGING THRU               
NEW ENGLAND/CANADIAN MARITIMES. MEAN RIDGE PERSISTS OVER                        
INTERMOUNTAIN W. RELATIVELY WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN EVIDENT               
OVER SERN CONUS. WEAK LOW OVER N/CNTRL GULF STILL DISORGANIZED W/               
CONVECTION ON S SIDE OF CIRCULATION. CONVERGENT BANDS WELL NE OF                
SYSTEM, HOWEVER, ARE PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER OUR                
COASTAL WATERS, MOVING N/NW. A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM SRN KY TO            
SE VA. 12Z TLH RAOB IS SIMILAR TO 24 HRS AGO W/ 1.56" PWAT &                    
UNMODIFIED 2799 J/KG CAPE. SKIES WERE M/SUNNY TO SUNNY W/ TEMPS IN              
THE 70S.                                                                        
ZONES: SEA BREEZE REGIME TODAY WILL BE LIGHT SELY (TYPE 1) 1000-700             
MB FLOW. HOWEVER, W/ FRONT DROPPING S INTO N GA LATER TODAY, LOW                
OVER GULF & S/WAVE ENERGY ROTATING NWWD ACROSS FL, IT MAY BE A                  
DISTURBED DAY. FOR THESE REASONS, WILL LEAVE POPS AS IS, BUT WILL               
UPDATE FORECASTS TO FRESHEN UP WORDING.                                         
MARINE: NO HIGHLIGHTS. OBS SHOW GENERALLY SLY WINDS AROUND 10 KTS &             
SEAS 2-3 FT. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE & HAVE WORDED ACCORDINGLY ON            
LATE MORNING UPDATE.                                                            
FIRE WEATHER: NO CONCERNS.                                                      
.TLH...                                                                         
.AL...NONE.                                                                     
.GA...NONE.                                                                     
.FL...NONE.                                                                     
MAJ                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS                                             
1045 PM CDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                     
UPDATE...                                                                       
COLD FRONT FINALLY MERGING WITH SFC TROUGH AND SPARKING A SCATTERED             
LINE OF ELEVATED CONVECTION. SPC ANALYSIS AND RUC/LAPS ANALYSIS                 
SUGGEST ELEVATED CAPE IN THE RANGE OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG. LAST 30                
MINS OF RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT CURRENT MIX OF FORCING AND                   
INSTABILITY IS NOT ABLE TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFTS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD.             
DO NOT ANTICIPATE SEVERE ACTIVITY DESPITE GREATER FORCING IN THE                
FORM OF ISENTROPIC OMEGA LATE TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF UPPER SYSTEM.               
WILL REMOVE POPS FROM CENTRAL KS BUT WILL LEAVE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SE            
AS IS. NO OTHER CHANGES.                                                        
CO                                                                              
.ICT...NONE                                                                     
FRANTZ                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   ks                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI                                        
1015 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                     
...UPDATED FOR LOWER LOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT...                              
I HAVE LOWERED THE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES OVER THE SRN 1/2 OF               
THE CWA TONIGHT.   THAT IS BECAUSE THE SURFACE HIGH SLOWLY SINKS                
SOUTH FROM NORTHERN TO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT... THE                 
GRADIENT WIND BECOMES NEAR CALM OVER MOST OF THE CWA IN RESPONSE TO             
THAT AND THE NIGHT TIME DECOUPLING.  THE ETA SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE              
1000/500 MEAN RH WILL BE NEAR TO BELOW 20 PCT OVERNIGHT.  THE RUC               
SOUNDING... WHICH ARE MATCHING THE CURRENT TRENDS ON THE GRR VAD                
WIND... SHOWS THE 1000 FT TO 2000 FT BECOMING NEARLY CALM AFTER                 
06Z.  THE AREA OF DEFORMATION ZONE CIRRUS CLOUDS IS DISSIPATING                 
NICELY. FINALLY... SFC DEWPOINTS ARE MOSTLY IN THE 45 TO 52F RANGE.             
GIVEN ALL OF THAT... AND THAT LAST NIGHT WITH MORE WIND AND                     
CLOUDINESS LOWS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 48 TO 54 RANGE... SEEMS LOWS                 
SHOULD BE NEAR 50 OR A LITTLE LOWER IN MOST OF THE CWA.                         
.GRR...NONE.                                                                    
WDM                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI                                           
1000 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                     
GOING FORECAST ON TRACK.                                                        
UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN SOUTHEAST FROM SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA            
INTO CENTRAL IOWA. FLARE UP OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON EASTERN             
SIDE OF LOW THIS MORNING IS IN RESPONSE TO 30-45 KT LLJ EVIDENT BY              
06Z ETA. THIS AREA OF RAIN HAS BEEN MOVING WEST/NORTHWEST AND                   
DISSIPATING AS IT TRAVELS FURTHER INTO THE DRIER AIR FILTERING IN               
FROM THE NORTH. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE AS THE LOW CONTINUES              
ITS SLOW SOUTHERN TRACK PER RUC AND 06Z ETA. IN OUR NECK OF THE                 
WOODS...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR IS                    
DOMINATING THE SENSIBLE WEATHER. SUNNY SKIES...LIGHT/VARIABLE                   
WINDS...AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES SHOULD DO IT THIS AFTERNOON. NO             
UPDATE IS PLANNED.                                                              
.MQT...NONE.                                                                    
CVKING                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   mi                                                           

NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FORECAST DISCUSSION                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV                                                
910 PM PDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                      
SYNOPSIS...RECORD BREAKING HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS               
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL                 
SLOWLY COOL AS THE HIGH SLOWLY WEAKENS THIS WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE           
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN BRINGING A CHANCE             
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR FRIDAY LASTING INTO THE MIDDLE OF              
NEXT WEEK.                                                                      
MASSIVE 5H RIDGE STILL IN PLACE OVER CWA. MANY RECORDS WERE BROKEN              
ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH ALL-TIME RECORDS AT WMC...9BB...AND              
B23. FOR TONIGHT...CONVECTION THAT BLEW UP ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES THIS           
AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS INDICATED BY CURRENT IR                 
IMAGERY. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS DIED DOWN CONSIDERABLY. RUC ANALYSIS            
SHOWS TREND OF THERMAL TROF MOVING TO THE WEST TO THE SIERRAS AS IT             
HAS LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS. EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO PICK UP AGAIN IN           
THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH PERSISTENT PATTERN IN PLACE...AND CURRENT               
FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO                   
PREVIOUS NIGHT. NO UPDATES PLANNED THIS EVENING.                                
.EKO...RED FLAG WARNING FOR FW ZONES 455 AND 457 THROUGH 10 PM PDT.             
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR FW ZONES 451 454 455 457.                                
STROOZAS                                                                        
</PRE></TT></td>   nv                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED CCF                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC                                            
1040 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                     
CAE RADAR IS STILL DOWN AND AWAITING PARTS.  EARLIEST UPTIME WOULD              
BE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.                                                       
FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SOUTH AND IS CURRENTLY NEAR THE NC/SC STATE              
LINE.  RUC AND MESOETA HAVE WK VORT MAX MOVING THROUGH THIS                     
AFTERNOON WITH BEST UVV OVER THE CSRA.  H8 ALSO SHOWS WK COLD AIR               
ADVECTION WITH SHOULD KEEP THUNDERSTORMS OUT OF NORTHERN ZONES.                 
SATPIX SHOW SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND THIS IS WHAT WE WILL NEED             
TO INITIATE ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.  TEMP FORECAST LOOK GOOD BUT            
MAY LOWER THEM A TAD IN THE NORTHERN ZONES.  CHANCE POPS ARE                    
PROBABLY BETTER DUE TO THE EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA SO                
WILL CUT THEM A TAD AS WELL.                                                    
CAE TW 087/068 077/069 081 566                                                  
AGS TW 090/070 080/069 083 577                                                  
SSC TW 087/068 077/069 081 566                                                  
OGB TW 087/068 077/069 081 566                                                  
LKR TW 084/067 075/067 079 455                                                  
27J TW 087/068 077/069 081 566                                                  
S19 TW 090/070 080/069 083 577                                                  
.CAE...                                                                         
GA...NONE.                                                                      
SC...NONE.                                                                      
</PRE></TT></td>   sc                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY                     
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY                                             
1030 AM MDT THU JUL 11 2002                                                     
LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO HANG IN ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN SD PLAINS.                
SUNNY ACROSS THE HILLS AND NE WY. 12Z ETA AND LATEST RUC SHOW SLOW              
EROSION OF CLOUDS FROM WEST TO EAST THRU THE DAYTIME HOURS. SOME                
DECREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS NW SD NOW...BUT LOOKS LIKE CLOUDS WILL                
LINGER ACROSS E ZONES MUCH OF THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT OVER SOUTH               
CENTRAL SD.                                                                     
WILL UPDATE ZONES FOR CLOUD COVER. WILL ALSO LOWER HIGH TEMPS                   
SEVERAL DEGREES ACROSS SD PLAINS.                                               
.UNR...NONE.                                                                    
ST                                                                              
</PRE></TT></td>   sd                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL                                      
234 AM CDT FRI JUL 12 2002                                                      
CURRENT DATA COMPARED TO 00Z MODEL DATA INDICATE MODELS ARE NOT                 
HANDLING THINGS WELL AT ALL. 03Z RUC IS THE CLOSEST BUT STILL HAS               
PROBLEMS. CUTOFF H5 LOW TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH INTO MISSOURI DURING THE          
NEXT 2 DAYS TAKING PRECIP THREAT WITH IT. IN VERY SHORT TERM RUC KEEPS          
RESPECTABLE OMEGA ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA/NORTHERN MISSOURI THAT JUST              
CATCHES FAR SOUTHERN CWFA (ALONG WITH LOWERED CONDENSATION                      
PRESSURE DEFICITS) THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING BEFORE BEING PUSHED INTO        
MISSOURI. BASED ON THIS AND WITH RADAR TRENDS WILL KEEP MENTION OF              
PRECIP IN SOUTHERN MOST TIER OF COUNTIES. BEYOND THAT CLOUDS TO SLOWLY          
PUSH SOUTH OUT OF CWFA AS RIDGE BUILDS IN. WINDS TO DROP OFF TONIGHT            
WITH CLEAR SKIES TO ALLOW TEMPS TO PLUMMET. DAMP GROUND MAY ALLOW               
FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN IOWA. CAVEAT AGAINST THIS IS THAT DEW             
POINTS SHOULD SLOWLY FALL AS WELL. THEREFORE WILL KEEP MENTION OF FOG           
OUT FOR NOW BUT WILL PASS ON CONCERNS TO DAY SHIFT. SURFACE RIDGE TO            
SETTLE ACROSS CWFA FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.                                       
TEMPS TO BE TRICKY BASED ON CLEARING TRENDS TODAY. FWC/MAV ARE CLOSE            
WITH MAV JUST A LITTLE COOLER. MINS NEXT FEW NIGHT TO BE TRICKY AS              
WELL. DAMP GROUND TO ALLOW COOLING BUT MAY ALSO HELP KEEP TEMPS UP AS           
MOISTURE GETS CONTINUOUSLY ADDED TO BOUNDARY LAYER.                             
COORDINATED WITH DSM AND LSX.                                                   
.DVN...                                                                         
IA...NONE.                                                                      
IL...NONE.                                                                      
MO...NONE.                                                                      
86                                                                              
</PRE></TT></td>   il                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA                                          
330 AM PDT FRI JUL 12 2002                                                      
FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS IS THE MOISTURE ADVECTED INTO THE AREA AROUND           
THE GREAT BASIN HIGH FROM THE SOUTH. THIS GENERATED SOME THUNDERSTORM           
ACTIVITY LAST EVENING... AND WITH THE AVIATION AND RUC MODELS IN                
PARTICULAR SHOWING AMPLE INSTABILITY DRAWN UP WITH IT TODAY... IT               
WOULD NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION TO SEE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS             
FROM IT THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE THE CLOUDS FROM THIS MASS ARE MOVING             
OVER OR SOUTHERN VALLEY AND DELTA ZONES, THE INSTABILITY IS HIGHER              
NORTH... SO HAVE LEFT IT OUT OF THE LOWER ELEVATION SOUTH AREAS. THE            
ETA AND AVIATION LINGER THIS SCENARIO AROUND UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING             
...BUT AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE           
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND BREAKS THE HIGH DOWN... THIS MONSOONAL FLOW            
WILL BE EAST OF OUR AREA, AND THE MOISTURE FROM THE SYSTEM TO THE               
NORTH WILL REMAIN NORTH. OTHER NOTABLE WEATHER IS THE ENDING OF OUR             
EXTREME HEAT WAVE. MAXIMA WILL STILL BE QUITE WARM, ESPECIALLY THE              
NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY... BUT TEMPERATURES ARE SLOWLY DECREASING            
TOWARD SEASONAL NORMS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO A COMBINATION           
OF SOME CLOUDS TODAY... DECREASING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE REGION... AND             
THE RESURGENCE OF THE DELTA FLOW. A SERIES OF PROGGED SHORT-WAVE                
TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL HELP MODERATE OUR               
TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT WEEK. WILL NOT TOUCH THE RED FLAG WARNING             
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF OUR FIRE WEATHER AREA AND LET THE           
DAY FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER ASSESS THE THREAT TO DETERMINE IF THEY              
NEED TO EXTEND THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OR BEYOND. Randy Hartley                  
.STO...NONE.                                                                    
BLU BB 084/070 083/067 082 69211                                                
RBL BU 105/070 102/065 099 69100                                                
SAC UU 097/063 096/062 094 69-00                                                
</PRE></TT></td>   ca                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL                                         
1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 12 2002                                                     
RADAR IMAGES SHOW EXTENSIVE LAND BREEZE CONVECTION ALREADY BEGINNING            
TO MOVE ONSHORE. LAND BREEZE CONVERGENCE IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE               
WEAK CLOSED LOW SW OF APALACHICOLA THAT CAN BE SEEN IN THE RADAR                
REFLECTIVITY LOOP. FURTHER N...METAR DATA SHOW A RATHER STRONG COOL             
WEDGE COMING DOWN FROM THE NE...WITH RADAR DETECTING ISENTROPIC                 
PRECIPITATION MOVING E OVER THIS WEDGE ACROSS OUR NRN ZONES.                    
LOCAL SOUNDINGS JUICY WITH PWATS AT OR ABOVE 1.9". BASED ON RADAR               
TRENDS WILL RAISE POPS FOR SOME COASTAL ZONES.                                  
MARINE: RUC PROGS SURFACE CIRCULATION TO REMAIN CENTERED OVER OUR               
WRN COASTAL WATERS...SO HAVE GONE VARIABLE W OF AAF. SHOULD LOSE LOW            
LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH ONSET OF SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT                 
RADAR STILL INDICATES A LOT OF CONVECTION WELL OUT INTO THE GULF SO             
WILL KEEP MENTION OF CONVECTION.                                                
.TLH...                                                                         
.AL...NONE.                                                                     
.GA...NONE.                                                                     
.FL...NONE.                                                                     
TJT                                                                             
</PRE></TT></td>   fl                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE                                               
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS                                            
1020 AM MDT FRI JUL 12 2002                                                     
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE CLEARED OUT IN WESTERN PORTION OF THE CWFA.             
THICKER LOW CLOUDS STILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN CWFA. SO WILL UPDATE           
TO TAKE OUT MORNING CLOUDS AND WORDING WHERE IT HAS CLEARED...AND               
PUT IN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE EASTERN CWFA. LATEST RUC AND                
OBSERVATIONS WOULD INDICATE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVER ALL                   
BUT EXTREME SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST LOCATIONS...AND WILL ADJUST. BASED ON           
CURRENT TEMPS AND LATEST GUIDANCE...WILL UP TEMPS IN EASTERN                    
COLORADO 3 TO 5 DEGREES. REST OF TEMPS LOOK CLOSE.                              
.GLD...NONE.                                                                    
BULLER                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   ks                                                           

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION                                                        
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA                                          
1040 AM EDT FRI JUL 12 2002                                                     
CURRENT FCST ON TRACK. LOOKS LIKED TEMPS WL BE CLOSE TO FCST MAXES              
THIS AFTERNOON. ALG BEACHES TEMPS MIGHT HOLD IN THE 70S. SOME CLDS              
TRYING TO MOVE INTO SW PART OF THE AREA. THESE CLDS SEEM ASSOCIATED             
W/ SW TROF TO W DEPICTED WELL BY RUC. RUC DOES NOT MOVE THIS FEATURE            
E THRU 00Z AND KEEPS THE MOISTURE NR WHERE IT IS. THE SATL SHOWS THE            
CLSD MOVE NE THEN ENCOUNTER DRY AIR AND DISSIPATE. SO CONTINUING A              
MSTLY SUNNY FCST.                                                               
NO UPDATE PLANNED FOR ZONES AT THIS TIME.                                       
JAB                                                                             
...PREVIOUS AFD............................                                     
HAVE ALREADY SET NEW RECORD LOW TEMPS AT SBY FOR BOTH 7/11 AND                  
7/12...ALSO CLOSE TO RECORD LOW AT RIC ATTM AND LIKELY TO TIE OR                
BREAK IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. NICE TO SEE LOWS IN THE 50S MOST PLACES            
(EXCEPT L-M60S ALG SE CST) THIS TM OF YR. BLO NORM TEMPS/HUMIDITY               
CONT NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT RMNS LTL CHC FOR SIGNIFICANT...MUCH NEEDED             
RAINFALL AS WELL.                                                               
AS UPR TROF SHIFTS FURTHER OFF EAST CST TDY...UPR FLOW BCMS                     
PREDOMINATELY WNW. LOW LVL WEDGE DOMINATES E OF THE MTNS WITH                   
RESULTANT LGT ONSHORE FLOW. HIGHS TEMPS A FEW DEGS WARMER THAN YEST             
DUE MORE STRONG SUNSHINE...MNLY 80-85F EXCEPT M-U70S ALG SHORELINE.             
LYRD SC/AC TRYING TO INVADE SW ZONES PER LTST IR LOOP/SFC OBS...MAY             
AFFECT SRN ZONES THIS AM B4 MIXING OUT BY AFTN. OTRW...MNLY                     
SUNNY/PLEASANT CONDS TDY.                                                       
ANTHR COOL/COMFY NIGHT AHD WITH LGT WINDS/MOCLR SKIES. CUD REACH                
ANTHR RECORD LOW AT SBY (7/13 - 53F/1933) BUT GENERALLY A FEW DEGS              
MILDER THAN THIS MORN GIVEN SLOW LOW LVL THICKNESS RECOVERY.                    
SOME WEAK UL ENERGY ROTG ARND MID MSVLY UPR CUTOFF PUSHES THRU SE               
STATES ON SAT. OLD FNTL BNDRY WL PROVIDE A FOCUS BUT MOST PCPN SHUD             
RMN WELL S OF AKQ FA. FOR CONTINUITY PURPOSES...WL LIMIT LOW CHC                
POPS TO NC ZONES ONLY BUT GIVEN DRIER MDL TRENDS...LTR SHIFTS MAY BE            
ABLE TO REMOVE POPS ENTIRELY. HIGH TEMPS SAT A FEW DEGS WARMER STILL            
BUT MAY BE TAPERED A BIT BY MID/HI LVL CLOUDS...ESP SRN ZONES.                  
EXNTDD: WEAK SFC WAVE PASSES WELL OFF OTR BANKS SAT NIGHT INTO                  
SUNDAY AS UPR HEIGHTS BUILD ALG MID ATLC CST. UPR TROF PASSES OFF NE            
CST ON MON...BEST DYNAMICS/MOISTURE PASS WELL N OF AKQ FA SO NO POPS            
MENTIONED. STRONG UPR RDG BUILDS E THRU MIDWEEK WITH RETURN OF 90+              
HEAT. MAY SEE ISOLD/SCT AFTN DEEP CONVECTION FIRING ON ANY WEAK                 
CONVERGENT BNDRYS...BUT NO WIDESPREAD/ORGANIZED AREAS PCPN SEEN ATTM.           
FCSTID = 20                                                                     
SBY   80  52  82  58 /  10  10  10  10                                          
OXB   76  56  77  63 /  10  10  20  10                                          
ECG   81  63  82  66 /  10  20  30  20                                          
ORF   80  62  81  67 /  10  10  20  10                                          
PHF   81  59  82  64 /  10  10  20  10                                          
AKQ   85  55  85  62 /  10  10  20  10                                          
RIC   83  57  85  63 /  10  10  20  10                                          
FVX   84  55  85  61 /  10  10  20  10                                          
.AKQ...                                                                         
MD...NONE.                                                                      
NC...NONE.                                                                      
VA...NONE.                                                                      
CULLEN                                                                          
</PRE></TT></td>   va