# Presentation: D2SZIKCBX3XQRCHF3EMQGMGUTOS6TD3B

## IOOS & Hurricanes & Fish – Oh My!Scott Glenn – Rutgers University

-  Demand for Fish

- Hurricane Forecasting

- Regions

- The Rise of the Regional Scale!

## U.S. IOOS Mid-Atlantic Region - MARACOOS

- 1000 km
- Cape to Cape

- Mid-Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System

-  Cape Cod

-  Cape Hatteras

- People

- Ports

- Critical Habitat

- Offshore Energy

## MARACOOS Satellite Data Network

**Coldest Dark Pixel SST**

**Plankton Blooms**

**River Plumes**

## MARACOOS HF Radar Network

_**Mid-Atlantic HF Radar Network**_
**16 Long-Range CODARs**
**  ****7 Medium-Range CODARs**
_**17**_** Short-Range CODARs**
**41 Total**
**Triple Nested, Multistatic, Dual-Use**

## MARACOOS Glider Network

- Satellite Ocean Color

- Satellite SST

- Subsurface
- Glider
- Data

- MARACOOS
- MURI
- Intl. Missions
- EPA & NJDEP
- Cblast
- Endurance
- OSSE
- SW06

- Many Missions,
- Many Agencies

## MARACOOS Operations Center

- CODAR Network

- Glider Fleet

- Satellite Data Acquisition Stations

- 3-D Forecasts

- Rutgers University - Coastal Ocean Observation Lab** **

## Hurricane Irene approaches MARACOOS Network

- Before

- After

- Track accurately forecast days in advance.
- Intensity overpredicted.

- August 27, 2011

## Post-Hurricane Irene Sea Surface Temperatures

**SST Difference**

**Global **
**SST**

**Regional**
** ****SST**

- But when did the Cooling occur?

## Hurricane Irene Glider Tracks & Temperature

- Mixing & Cooling Occurs Rapidly as the Eye Approaches

## Hurricane Irene SST Sensitivity Hindcast

| Maximum Wind Speed Skill Score | Official Forecast
 | Warm SST Hindcast
 | Warm SST +  OML Model Hindcast | Cold SST Hindcast
 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RMS Error | 9.43 | 7.13 | 7.09 | 3.61 |

- Global Warm SST

- Regional Cold SST

## But What About the Fish?

- Large
- Summer-Winter SST Differences

- Produce Migratory Fish Species

## ‘Butterfish’ Fall modeled as metabolic thermal response 

- ‘Butterfish’ Fall modeled as metabolic thermal response

- NOAA Fisheries + MARACOOS = Fish Habitat Models

- 1998

- 2006

- Favorable

- Unfavorable

## Gliders with integrated Fish-Tag Receivers

- Satellite Salinity

- Glider Salinity

- Tagged-Fish found
- in the freshwater river plume

## Thermal Structure of the Regional Scale Ocean:1) Feedback on Weather Forecasts2) Structure Large Marine       Ecosystems

- 64 Large Marine Ecosystems   produce 80%
- of the
- World’s Annual Fisheries Yields

## Current Global Population: 7 Billion

- But: 800 Million without Clean Water 1.0 Billion without Adequate Food 1.4 Billion without Electricity

## 2050 Global Population: 9 Billion

- Growth is Concentrated in Developing Countries

- Migration is towards Coastal Megacites

## Future Water Scarcity

- Climate Change
- Only
- Population Growth
- +
- Climate Change

## What do we need most?

- Educated Young People

- How do we take these students to sea?
- How do we reduce the barriers to participation?
- How do we build a diverse global community?

## The Ocean is our Classroom - Telepresence

- Interactive Science
- & Education through Cyber-Telepresence

## The Ocean is our Classroom - Omnipresence

- Global Challenger Glider Mission

- 16 Legs with
- 16 Global-Class Gliders

- Creating the Next Generation of Ocean Explorers