# Presentation: 153646

## Global Ocean Monitoring: Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions

- Prepared by
- Climate Prediction Center, NCEP
**February**** 6, 2009**

**http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/GODAS/**

## Outline

** ****Overview**
** ****Recent highlights**
** ****Pacific/Arctic Ocean**
** ****Indian Ocean**
** ****Atlantic Ocean**
** ****CFS SST Predictions**

## Slide 3

## Global SST Anomaly (0C) and Anomaly Tendency

_**Global SST Anomaly (**__**0**__**C) and Anomaly Tendency**_

## Global SSH Anomaly (cm) and Anomaly Tendency

_**Global SSH Anomaly (cm) and Anomaly Tendency**_

## Slide 6

## Sea Surface Temperature

- CAMS Land Temperature

## Tropical Pacific Ocean

## Evolution of Pacific NINO SST Indices

_**Evolution of Pacific NINO SST Indices**_

**Nino 3**

## C

**C**

**C**

## Jun 08

**Jun 08**

## Evolution of Equatorial Pacific SST (oC), 0-300m Heat Content (oC), 850-mb Zonal Wind (m/s), and OLR (W/m2)‏ Anomaly 

_**Evolution of Equatorial Pacific SST (oC), 0-300m Heat Content (oC)**__**, **__**850-mb Zonal Wind (m/s), and **__**OLR (W/m**__**2**__**)**__**‏**__** Anomaly**__** **_

_**La Nina**__** **_

**Notes:**
Have a single plot?

## Evolution of Equatorial Pacific Surface Zonal Current Anomaly (cm/s)

_**Evolution of Equatorial Pacific Surface Zonal Current **__**Anomaly (cm/s)**_

## North Pacific & Arctic Ocean

## Slide 15

## PDO index

## Slide 17

##  2008 upwelling season is above-normal.

** ****200****8**** upwelling season is ****above-****normal****.**
** ****The ****above-normal upwelling**** season is associated with the negative PDO phase.**
** ****Upwelling has been extremely strong during winters of 2007 and 2008, and likely continue in winter of 2009.**

## http://coastwatch.pfel.noaa.gov/FAST 

- http://coastwatch.pfel.noaa.gov/FAST

## Tropical Indian Ocean

## Evolution of Indian Ocean SST Indices

_**Evolution of Indian Ocean SST Indices**_

## Slide 22

## Slide 23

## Slide 24

**Notes:**
Make one plot ... zero lines

## Tropical Atlantic Ocean

## Evolution of Tropical Atlantic SST Indices

_**Evolution of Tropical Atlantic SST Indices**_

## Slide 27

## North Atlantic Ocean

## Slide 29

## Slide 30

## Slide 31

## CFS SST Predictions and Ocean Initial Conditions

## CFS Niño3.4 SST Predictions from Different Initial Months

**Notes:**
Also look at the prediction of other prominent SST anomalies

## CFS DMI SST Predictions from Different Initial Months

**Notes:**
Also look at the prediction of other prominent SST anomalies

## CFS Tropical North Atlantic (TNA) SST Predictions from Different Initial Months

**Notes:**
Also look at the prediction of other prominent SST anomalies

## CFS Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) Index Predictions from Different Initial Months

**Notes:**
Also look at the prediction of other prominent SST anomalies

## Slide 37

## Backup Slides

## Data Sources and References

**  ****Optimal Interpolation SST (OI SST) version 2 (Reynolds et al. 2002) **
**  ****SST 1971-2000 base period means (Xue et al. 2003)**
**  ****NCEP CDAS winds, surface radiation ****and**** heat fluxes**
**  ****NESDIS Outgoing Long-wave Radiation**
**  ****PMEL TAO equatorial temperature analysis**
**  ****NCEP’s Global Ocean Data Assimilation System temperature, heat content, ****currents (Behringer and Xue 2004)**
**  ****Aviso Altimetry Sea Surface Height**
**  ****Ocean Surface Current Analyses – Realtime (OSCAR)****‏**