# Presentation: 827121

## IntegratedWater Resource Services

- IntegratedWater Resource Services

- Gary Carter
- NOAA Hydrology Program Manager
- Sea Grant Planning Workshop
- May 8, 2007

- Water:* *
*   **when scarce, a precious resource *
*   **when excessive, a source of many hazards*

## Challenge:National Water Resource Impacts

-  Economic Prosperity (energy, transportation, recreation, agriculture)
-  Population Growth and Demand (~1%/yr with dramatic shifts to the highlands and drylands)
-  Water Contamination (increasing by ~4%/yr)
-  Challenges for Ground Water Management and Sustainable Irrigation
-  Drought Risk Mitigation
-  Ecosystem Health

**Challenge:**National Water Resource Impacts

- Where is the water, what is the quality, where is it going?
- How can water resources be managed more efficiently?
- What are the requirements for recovery planning and restoration?

## “Likely to Virtually Certain” Trends for the 21st Century

- Summary for Policymakers - IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (recent trends, assessment of human influence on the trend, and projections for extreme events)
- Warmer and fewer cold days and nights over most land areas
- Warmer and more frequent hot days and nights over most land areas
- Heavy precipitation events - frequency (or proportion of total rainfall from heavy falls) increases over most areas
- Area affected by droughts increases

## NOAA's Role:Data and Science to Augment and Integrate Water Forecasts for Decision Makers 

***Weather and Climate Information:***
***Temperature***
***Precipitation***
***Wind, ...***

- Hydrology and Water Resource Modeling

***Water Management***

***Water Information ***

**“****Summit to the Sea” Decision Support Tools **

**Drought Mitigation**
**Flood Control**
**Public Safety (Flash Floods, Debris Flow)**
**Water Supply**
**River Commerce**
**Power Generation**
**Agriculture**
**Recreation**
**Ecosystem Health**

- Socioeconomic
- Sciences

**NOAA's Role:**Data and Science to Augment and Integrate Water Forecasts for Decision Makers** **

## Long-range Objective: “Summit to the Sea” Life Cycle Water Modeling

***Freshwater Spawning/Rearing***
***♦ ******Snowpack***
***♦ ******Air Temperature***
***♦ ******Nutrients***

***Downstream Migration***
***♦ ******River Flow***
***♦ ******Water Temperature***
***♦ ******Dam Operations***

***Estuary/Early Ocean***
***♦ ******Water temperature and turbidity***
***♦ ******Nutrient Availability and Quality***
***♦ ******Predator Composition and Abundance***

***Model Outputs:***
***♦ ******Probability of Population Extinction***
***♦ ******Annual Population Growth Rate***

## Integrated Water Resource Services - FY 2007/08 Activities

- Demonstrate NOAA IWRS for Arizona in support of the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)
- Leverage NOAA Hydrometeorological Testbed capabilities in support of IWRS
- Coordinate with National Water Quality Monitoring Network Pilots
- Prepare plan for development and testing of the Coastal Estuary River Information System (CERIS)

## Strategies:Establish Paradigm for Integrated Water Resource Services

**Deliver Integrated Information**
**and Products to Inform**
** ****Planning and Decision Making**

- Community Hydrologic Prediction System
- Great Lakes Large Basin Runoff Models
- Interagency Fish Passage Models
- Community Inundation Models
- Community Estuary Models

**Advance and Integrate:**
** ****Hydrological and Ecological**
** ****Monitoring and Modeling**

**Develop Enhanced Applications****:**
** ****Drought and Flood Forecasts**
** ****Water Temperature & Soil Moisture Forecasts**
**Estuary Water Level and Salinity Forecasts**
**Links to Ecological/Biological Forecasts **
**Early Warning &Decision Support Tools**

**Engage and Listen**
** ****To Our Customers**

- Hydromet and Climate Testbeds
- High Resolution Hydrologic Model
- Water Quality Model
- Estuary/Watershed Model
- Ecological Impacts

- Regional Integrated Sciences and
-             Assessments (RISA)
- lOOS Regional Associations
- NOAA Service Offices
- Sea Grant Extension
- Ecosystem Managers
- Water Managers
- Local Agencies

- Outreach/Communications:
- Sea Grant Extension
- Regional Climate Centers
- RISAs
- NOAA Service
-  Offices
- Evaluation Measures
- Unified Web Portals