# Presentation: 050226

**Armenia National Voter Study**

**International Republican Institute,**
** ****Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization,**
**Armenian Sociological Association**
**with funding from the**
**United States Agency for International Development**

**May 2006**

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY

- This national representative survey was carried out from April 30 to May 7, 2006.
- 1200 Armenian residents (voters) aged 18 years and over were interviewed face-to-face. The margin of error does not exceed 3%.
- The survey was carried out on behalf of IRI.
- It was funded by the United States Agency for International Development. The study was designed, coordinated and analyzed by The Gallup Organization (Dr. R.Alisauskiene).
- The fieldwork was carried out by Armenian Sociological Association (ASA).

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## MOOD OF THE COUNTRY

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the country: 55% of Armenians think that the country is on the wrong track while 32% think the country is going in the right direction.

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the Country: 42% of Armenians see improvement in the country’s economy while 23% think it is declining

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the country: 23% of Armenians say their household’s financial situation has improved while 28% say it has declined

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the country: 37% of Armenians are satisfied with the development of democracy while 58% are not

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the country: Overall majority of Armenians think that it will take a long time for things to get better in the country 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the Country: Expectations

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Mood of the Country

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Attitude towards the way things are developing in Armenia over the last year became:

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## ISSUES

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Most important issues Armenia is facing (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Most important issue towns/villages in Armenia are facing (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Most important issue households in Armenia are facing (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Issues

- On the personal/household level, social issues are most pressing.
- On the community level, unemployment is the most important problem.
- On the national level, social problems and territorial integrity/security issues are most important.

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Fear the Most (%) 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Fears of the People

- The biggest fears are related to instability/security: (territorial integrity of the country, war) and social instability (unemployment, economic problems).

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## POLITICS

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Interest in Politics (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## What is the primary thing the Armenian government should do to attract the support of the majority of the Armenian population? (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Do you plan to vote in the next Parliamentary elections? 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Why do you plan to vote ? (N=860, planning to vote, %)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Why do you plan not  to vote ? (N=228, not planning to vote, % )

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Characteristics/Attributes Most Important in Parliamentary Candidate (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## When considering which party to vote for, what is more important?

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## All other things being equal, who would you vote for?

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## All other things being equal, who would you vote for?

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Most liked features of Armenian politicians or parties (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Most disliked features of Armenian politicians or parties (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Major mistakes and failures of Armenian authorities over the last year (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## The wrongdoing and corruption of political leaders and authorities is ...(%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Evaluation of Relations With...

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## International Relations: Partners and Threats 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## How important is it for Armenia to solve the problems related to Nagorno Karabakh in the near future?  

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Thinking about the future of Nagorno Karabakh, do you think it should ... (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Do you think that the current situation in regard to the status of Nagorno Karabakh should be resolved through  negotiations and peaceful means or, if necessary, the use of force? (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Does it concern you that the President of Azerbaijan has pledged to increase defense spending dramatically? 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Do you think that a peaceful settlement on Nagorno Karabakh can be reached with Azerbaijan without military force being used? 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## In your opinion, does the presence of the Russian military base in Armenia have a positive or negative influence on Armenian independence and stability? 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 42

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 43

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Do you have friends or relatives working abroad? 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Do you personally benefit from remittances being sent from friends or relatives working abroad? (Of those interviewed, 737 have friends or relatives abroad)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## How do you feel about the living standard of ethnic Armenians in Georgia? (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Do you think Russia is a trustworthy ally of Armenia? (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Should Armenia in the future... (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## INSTITUTIONS

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Confidence in Institutions (%)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## HEROES OF OUR TIME

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Heroes of our time Of the prominent characters in Armenian history and folk culture, who is most suitable to be a national hero or leader in current times? (Open-ended question, %)

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## VALUES OF ARMENIAN PEOPLE (Mean scores, where 1 - “Important to me”, 9 - “Most important to me”

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Tolerance

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Trust in elections 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Trust in elections 

- Parties’ electorate

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Trust in elections 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Trust in elections 

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 60

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 61

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 62

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 63

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006

## Slide 64

- IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization, ASA           ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, May 2006