# Presentation: 432254

## NOAA Climate Mission Goal

**NOAA Climate Mission Goal**

**Climate Observation & Analysis **
**(COA) Program**
**A PPBES Case Study**
**NOAA Leadership Seminar (NLS)**
**August 29, 2007**

- John A. Jensen
- National Climatic Data Center (NCDC)

## Case Study

**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**
** ****Have you participated in the PPBES process?**
**	****Which Phases?  **
**	****Which Goal/Program?**
** ****Why did you pick this case study session?**
** ****What do you expect to learn?**
** ****What do you want me to address during this session?**

**COA Program**

## Case Study

**Objectives**
** ****You leave with a better understanding of “How To” succeed using PPBES through this Interactive Dialog**** **
** ****Continuous Feedback Loops between each PPBES Phase**
** ****How internal/external influences impact each phase**
** ****Examine Real World Example - “The Process”**
**	****Coordination/Collaboration/Challenges**
** ****Lessons Learned**
** ****I learn something from you**

**COA Program**

## NOAA Planning, Programming, Budget, and                                                          Execution System (PPBES)

**NOAA *****Planning, Programming, Budget, and                                                          Execution System (PPBES)***

**Stakeholders Meeting**
**NOAA Strategic Plan**
**Annual Guidance Memo**
**PPI PGMs**
**Program Ops Plan (POP)**

**Goal SPA**
**Goal Program Plan**
**Quad Charts**
**PA&E BGMs**
**Program Decision Memo **
**(PDM) w/ Budget Adj.**

**Enacted Budget**
**LO Prgm. Adj. Narratives**
**DOC/OMB Passbacks**
**AOPs**

**Executing Line Offices/**
**Project Mgrs **
**Implement POA&Ms**

**JAN-JUN**

**JUN-DEC**

**NOV-FEB**

**OCT-SEP**

**Should Do**

**Can Do**

**Will Do**

**Does**

## COA Program 

**COA Overview**
**COA Performance Objective & Linkages **
**Requirements Drivers**
**Mission Requirements**
**Capabilities and Outcomes**
**Capabilities and Projects**
**Case Study**
**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**

## COA ProgramPerformance Objective – Climate Goal Linkage

- Climate Programs   Goal Performance Objective & Outcomes

**Increase [number and use] availability**** ****of climate products and services to enhance**** ****public and private sector decision making**

**  ****Regional Decision Support**

***Climate Goal:     Understand climate variability and change to enhance ******	******	******  society’s ability to plan and respond***

## COA Program OverviewRequirements Drivers

**COA Program Overview*****Requirements Drivers***

**COA Program Drivers**

## COA Program DescriptionCOA Program CharterMission Requirements

**Establish an Agency Records Center for U.S. Weather and Climate records.**** **(*Federal Records Act)** *
**Provide long-term preservation of the Nation’s Climate Record.**** ***(Federal Records Act, Data Quality Act, National Climate Program Act, NARA Records and Guidelines, ICSU World Data Center Guidelines & Policy, and U.S. Ocean Action Plan)*
**Provide climate data and information that meets rigorous scientific standards for quality.**** ***(Data Quality Act, Coastal Zone Management Act, and U.S. Ocean Action Plan)*
**Provide access to Climate Data and Information.**** ***(Federal Records Act, National Climate Program Act, NARA Records and Guidelines, ICSU World Data Center Guidelines & Policy, Consolidated Appropriations Act, and U.S. Ocean Action Plan)*
**Provide monitoring, assessment, and analysis of the climate system.**** **(*Global Change Research Act, National Climate Program Act, National Weather Service Organic Act, Coastal Zone Management Act, and U.S. Ocean Action Plan)*

## COA Program DescriptionCapabilities and Outcomes

**Data  Management**

**Analysis of Climate System**

** ****Foundation for other 2 capabilities**
** ****Critical to understanding climate**

** ****Essential for fidelity of archived records**
** ****Provides archive, access, stewardship **

** ****Dependent upon first 2 capabilities**
** ****Critical to societal benefits**

** ****Enable policymakers & resource managers to  make informed national & global policy decisions. **
**Easy access to new & historical national & global obs. & climate analyses that meet rigorous scientific standards for quality. **
**Documentation of the State of the Climate system through a network of integrated climate observing and data management systems.**

**Observations**

**COA Program Description*****Capabilities and Outcomes***

##  COA In situ observations (oceans obs., SSTs, soil 	moisture, etc.) 
Used in CPP for initializing Earth System Models 
Used to validate/verify CPP models and data assimilation systems
CPP modeling 
CPP systems can provide a basis for OSSE framework for designing optimal observational network
Model integrations used for attribution and detection
COA Historical reanalysis
Provides a baseline verification for the CPP model simulations 
COA Reanalysis & obs. (COADS etc.) leads  to improved climate predictions under CPP
COA collaborates with CPP on archival of some models (e.g., NOMADS)

***Several example linkages***

** ****COA In situ observations (oceans obs., SSTs, soil ****	****moisture, etc.)**
- Used in CPP for initializing Earth System Models
- Used to validate/verify CPP models and data assimilation systems
**CPP modeling **
- CPP systems can provide a basis for OSSE framework for designing optimal observational network
- Model integrations used for attribution and detection
**COA Historical reanalysis**
- Provides a baseline verification for the CPP model simulations
- COA Reanalysis & obs. (COADS etc.) leads  to improved climate predictions under CPP
**COA collaborates with CPP on archival of some models (e.g., NOMADS)**

## COA Projects & Assigned ResourcesCurrent status with budget resources

## COA Projects & Assigned Resource

**Observations Capability**
- 16 Projects
**Data Management Capability**
- 13 Projects
**Analysis of the Climate System Capability**
- 	7 Projects
*Number of COA projects may vary depending on “ear mark” funding*

## COA Program

**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**
** ****Planning Phase ****(Program Charter, Strategic Plan, AGM, PPI **
**      ****PGMs, PIRS Current Budget Profile, Climate Goal Budget by Program & AAPs)**
** ****Program Project Activity (PPA) Manager develops mini-POP**
** ****Develop COA CasaNOSA Program Operating Plan (POP)**
** ****POPs reviewed by PPI and released to PA&E for review**
** ****Output:**** FY 10 POP**

**COA Program**

## COA Program Case Study

**Excerpt from** *"Support To Program*” section:
**Weather & Water (WW),** ***Local Forecast & Warning (LFW)*** FY 10 CasaNOSA POP.

| STI Support to Legacy COOP  |  |  |  | [delete] | Attached Documents [0]  |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organization: | NOAA/NWS/STI |  |  |  |  | Matching Funds?   |  | No |
| Description: | The Science, Technology and Infusion program provides support to the Legacy COOP program through the NERON project.  These funds exist under the NWS "COOP Observer Modernization (NERON) budget line, which has been directed to modernize the Historical Climate Network (HCN), part of the national COOP program.  Funds are not executed within the LFW program. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|   | FY07 | FY08 | FY09 | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |
| Funding ($K) |  $4,234 |  $6,234 |  $6,234 |  $6,234 |  $8,234 |  $8,234 |  $8,234 |  $8,234 |
| FTE |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |
| Days At Sea |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |
| Flight Hours |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |

## COA Program Case Study

**Excerpt from** *"Support To Program*” section:
**Weather & Water (WW),** ***Science, Technology & Infusion (WWS)*** FY 10 CasaNOSA POP.

| WW-WWS |  |  |  |  | Attached Documents [0]  |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organization: | NWS |  |  |  |  | Matching Funds?   |  | No |
| Description: | Decision pending w.r.t. how much of the NERON budget will be used to support Modernization of U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN).  NEP/NEC directed NERON to have a climate focus.  Climate and W&W Goal leaders IRT FY 09 PA&E BGM Serial # 3 recommended entire NERON budget be reflected under CL-COA Observations capability in the PIRS.Currently $495K of the $4,200K NERON budget is reflected in the CL-COA PIRS. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|  | FY07 | FY08 | FY09 | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |
| Funding ($K) | $3,705 | $3,705 | $3,705 | $3,705 | $3,705 | $3,705 | $3,705 | $3,705 |
| FTE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Days At Sea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Flight Hours | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

| Current Program Outputs   | FY07 | FY08 | FY09 | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WW-WWS-RDV Research, Development and Acquisition for Observations  |  |  |  |  |  |   |  |  |
|  Deploy HCN-M systems  |  - |  - |  65 |  50 |  40 |  30 |  25 |  15 |

| 100% Requirement Outputs  | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WW-WWS-RDV Research, Development and Acquisition for Observations  |  |  |  |  |  |
| Deploy HCN-M systems  |  175 |  200 |  200 |  200 |  75 |

## COA Program Case Study

**Excerpt from** “*Support To Program*” section:
**Climate,** ***Observations and Analysis (COA)*** FY 10 CasaNOSA POP

| WW-WWS-COA  |  |  |  |  | Attached Documents [0]  |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organization: |   |  |  |  |  | Matching Funds?   |  | No  |
| Description: | The COA program provides support to WWS for the development of the NOAA Environmental Real Time Observation Network (NERON), which will provide the United States with a network of accurate, real-time surface weather data obtained with state-of-the-art measurement, monitoring, and communication equipment. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|   | FY07 | FY08 | FY09 | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |
| Funding ($K) |  $0 |  $3,000 |  $3,000 |  $3,000 |  $5,000 |  $3,000 |  $0 | $0 |
| FTE |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |
| Days At Sea |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |
| Flight Hours |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |  0 |

| Current Program Outputs |  | FY07 | FY08 | FY09 | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CL-COA-OBS Observations |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|  | USHCN Sites Modernized (Cumulative Total #) | 7 | 81 | 155 | 229 | 329 | 467 | 505 | 643 |  |
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |

**100% Requirement Outputs**

| 100% Requirement Output | FY10 | FY11 | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CL-COA-OBS Observations |  |  |  |  |  |
| USHCN Sites Modernized (Cumulative Total #) | 293 | 469 | 646 | 823 | 1,000 |

## COA Program

**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**
** ****Programming Phase                                        **
**     ****(PA&E Programming Serials and Budget Guidance Memos)**
** ****Goal Strategy Plan (formerly Strategic Portfolio Analysis – SPA)**
** ****Briefed to PPI**
** ****Goal Program Plan w/individual program sections and Quad charts**
** ****Briefed to PPI, NEP, and NEC**
** ****Goal/Programs respond to PA&E BGM questions and issues**
** ****NEC sends recommendations to NOAA Leadership for endorsement**
** ****Output:**** NOAA Program Decision Memo (PDM) w/budget profile adjustments**

**COA Program**

## Joint Climate and W&W                                                      FY 09 Program Adjustment                                                U.S. Historical Climatology Network Modernization (USHCN-M)

**PROGRAM: Observations and Analysis (COA)**
**CAPABILITY:  FY07-FY13 focus of NERON on HCN-modernization**
**REQUIREMENTS: Executed by NESDIS/OAR with NWS coordination (as in**
**Climate Reference Network) responds to Serial 3 FY09 Program Guidance**
**DESCRIPTION OF ADJUSTMENT: By FY 13 complete deployment of**
**~1,000 modernized observing stations that meet climate requirements **
**PERFORMANCE MEASURES:  PM: Attain Regional Explained Variance**
**(%) requirements target for annual average temperature & precipitation using**
**modernized USHCN & USCRN stations.**
**Outcomes: 1) Increased quality of and confidence in observations and **
**information supporting decision makers and scientific community**
**regarding climate variation and change across the U.S. at the regional**
**scale.**  **2) Comprehensive documentation of the state of the climate **
**system through a network of integrated climate observing systems.  **
**3) Enable policy makers and resource managers to make informed **
**decision using integrated climate observations and analysis.**

**Joint Climate and W&W                                                      FY 09 Program Adjustment                                                ****U.S. Historical Climatology Network Modernization ****(USHCN-M)**

**	****PROGRAM ADJUSTMENT ****	****              FUNDING**

**BENEFITS AND RISKS**

**ACTIVITIES, SCHEDULE & MILESTONES**

**FY 06: **Engineering design of USHCN-M station completed.  Spatial Density Study (Observed Simulation Experiment - OSE) completed.  Ingest, Inventory, QC, Archive & on-line Access processes tested and operational at NCDC.  Six prototype stations installed in AL and operational (ear mark funds).
**FY 07: **Begin site surveys, station site selection and installation, (using USCRN protocol). Complete on-line metadata documentation capability.  Increase  capability for O&M  and site preparation/ installation teams.
**FY 08-13: **Complete deployment of modernization of ~1,000 stations.
**FY 08-13: **Begin Life Cycle O&M.

**IMPACT - ADJUSTMENT MADE: Deliver high quality, timely surface **
**observations for understanding and near-real time monitoring of climate.**
**Support to NIDIS.**
**IMPACT - ADJUSTMENT NOT MADE: U.S. regional scale capability**
**to monitor and assess climate remains degraded and continue to deteriorate. **
**All other surface climate will lose reference calibration at the regional and**
**local scales. **
**RISKS/BARRIERS: Rate of site surveys/site approvals will limit the # **
**of modernized stations deployed each FY.  FY 09-13 budget profile **
**impacts completion date (FY). **
**DEPENDENCIES: Close coordination between OAR/NWS/NESDIS LOs, **
**NWS ROs and WFOs, Regional Climate Centers (RCCs), and State **
**Climatologists (SC). **

**Notes:**
Concise, formatted display of information   
Exact information may vary by issue, goal, program, appropriation, etc. etc.  PAC adjustment may show different info from operational adjustment
Basic format summarizes important information that support recommendations and/or decisions 
There will be one quad chart for each recommended program adjustment
Include all relevant information

## FY 09 Climate Program Plan USHCN-M and NERON

**Definition of NERON (as revised by NEC)**
- 	NERON is a project to integrate a network of observing systems to sustain the Nation’s climate record of land surface measurements essential to monitor and assess the surface climate.
- NEC definition, June 14, 2006

## FY 09 Climate Program Plan           USHCN-M and NERON

**NOAA Program Review Decisions**
_**FY 07 -11 NEP/NEC Decision Briefing for Climate Goal**_“Complete modernization of USCRN and USHCN by FY 13.”
_**NOAA FY 07-11 Program Decision Memorandum (PDM)**_
- Climate - Item 4. Complete deployment of U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) by FY 09 and modernization of U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) by FY 13.
- (PIRS – COA Current Program & Adjustments: *“Complete modernization of the U.S. Historical Climatology Network by FY 13 (~1,000 sites).”*
_**DUS Approval of PPI Memo, NOAA Major Projects, September 9, 2005**_Project:  NOAA’s Environmental Real-time Observation Network (NERON) (formerly known as COOP-Modernization includes U.S. Historical Climate Network and U.S. Climate Reference Network).** **
_**NEC March 22, 2006 meeting**_
** **“The focus of NERON will now be climate.”

## FY09 Climate Program Plan Recommendations

**FY09 Climate Program Plan Recommendations**
**USHCN-M and NERON**

## COA Program

**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**
** ****Budget (formulation) Phase **
**     ****(PDM w/Budget Adjustments, Line Office Guidance)**
** ****Line Office Program Adjustment Narratives written**
** ****LO forwards to NOAA Office Budget & management (OBM)**
** ****NOAA OBM prepares package for submission to DOC**
** ****DOC Passbacks and NOAA responds**
** ****DOC forwards NOAA budget forwarded to OMB**
** ****OMB Passbacks and NOAA responds**
** ****President’s Budget Request forwarded to Congress**
** ****Output:**** Enacted Budget**

**COA Program**

## COA Program

**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**
** ****Execution Phase ****(LO distributes funds to goals/programs)**
** ****Annual Operating Plan (AOP) developed for goal, program, LO**
** ****Includes GPRA and Corporate Performance Measures (CPM)**
** ****Report Quarterly**
** ****Program and Project leaders implement actions to meet **
**  ****performance measures and outputs**
** ****Output:**** Something gets Done!**

**COA Program**

## COA Program

**Modernize U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USNCN-M)**
** ****What Have You Learned?**
** ****What are the Lessons Learned?**
** ****What .........?**
** ****PPI Home Page:****  **_[http://www.ppi.noaa.gov](http://www.ppi.noaa.gov/)_

**COA Program**

## 

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