# Presentation: 403682

## NASA Satellite Measurements and Modeling Contributions to Decision Support in the Energy Sector

**Richard Eckman, Paul Stackhouse**
- NASA Langley Research Center
- Hampton, VA
**Mayra Montrose**
- NASA Headquarters
- Washington, DC

## NASA Energy Management Prediction Of Worldwide Energy Resource Project

***NASA POWER Project***
_***Objective:***_*** Improve the Nation’s public and private capability for integrating environmental data into sound management of energy production and energy efficiency systems.***
_***Goals:***_*** ***
***Establish partnerships to facilitate the integration and adaptation of NASA satellite analysis and modeling data into electric power industry Decision Support System’s (DSS) and databases.***
***Target such datasets for Electric Power, ***_***Renewable Energy***_***, Energy-Efficient Building Design and Biomass Crop Development Industries***
***Transition operational capabilities to government and/or private sector entities.***

**Notes:**
Overview of POWER

## NASA Energy ManagementProcess Flow Plan

*Energy Management Process Flow*

## NASA POWER Project: Integrated System Solution

_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS**_

- Observations

_**VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Future Mission***

****Supported Non-NASA Model***

**Atmosphere: ***GOES, POES, TRMM, Terra, Aqua, TOMS, Aeronet, AIRNow, ****INTEX, Aura, CALIPSO, APS, CloudSat, GPM, NPP, GIFTS, HYDROS***
**Land :*** Terra, Aqua, Landsat, Terrestrial Networks, BSRN, ARM, SURFRAD, *

**Earth System & Climate Change: *****GMAO Analysis, NCEP Analysis***
**Seasonal Prediction Models:***** ******NSIPP Analysis, NCEP Analysis***
**Aerosol Transport Models:***** RAQMS******, GMAO fvCAM, NCAR WRF, GFDL FMS Atmosphere***
**Climate Models:***** ******GISS Model II******, GFDL FMS B-Grid Atmosphere ***
**Atmospheric Analysis Projects: *****ISCCP, SRB, CERES-SARB, GVAP, GPCP***

****** ****Optimize renewable energy systems for power production**
**Optimal integration of traditional and renewable energy supply systems into electric power grid**
**Improved prediction of electric power need and supply – mitigate power shortages, prevent price  increase**
**Reduction in greenhouse emissions from energy production**

**NASA POWER Project: *****Integrated System Solution***

**Temperature & humidity profiles**
** ****Cloud systems**
** ****Land cover albedo**
** ****Land surface temperature**
** ****Soil Moisture**
** ****Ocean Surface Winds**
** ****Global Precipitation**
** ****Total Aerosol Amount**
** ****Land Surface Topography**
** ****Trace gas **
**profiles**

**NREL**
**HOMER**
**National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB)**
**Provides data sets for numerous energy management decisions**

**RETScreen**
**Provides common platform for evaluating project proposals while significantly reducing the costs and uncertainties of preliminary studies**
**Reduces the time and errors of a preliminary study**

**EPRI**
**Neural Net Load Forecast Tools**
**Forecasting tool for Energy industry **
**Integration of renewable sources to traditional power grids**

** ****20+ years**
** ****Past 90 days**
** ****1 – 15 day forecasts**
** ****12 – 18 month seasonal forecasts**
** ****10 – 20 year forecasts**

**Notes:**
Systems approach to POWER (could skip this chart and use next one).  One thing this chart does show is the names of the various earth observing platforms and models that could impact POWER datasets and ultimately become part of GEOSS

## POWER Historical Data for Renewable Energy

**POWER Historical Data for Renewable Energy**

**NASA Satellite Measurements, Analysis and Modeling**

**Terra**

**Aqua**

**Surface Meteorology and **
**Solar Energy (SSE) Datasets**
**And Web interface**

**Growing over the last 5 years to nearly 14,000 users, nearly 3.6 million hits and 700,000 data downloads**

**GMAO**

**SRB**

**SSE**

**SSE Web Site**

**http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/sse**/

***Over  200 solar energy and meteorology parameters averaged from 10 years of data***

**Earth-Sun System Science**

**Applied Science Outcome**

**Notes:**
Relationship between Scientific research and the applied science POWER project.  SRB is the Surface Radiation Budget project that is supported by NASA and is associated with the World Climate Research Programme Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX).  I lead the SRB project as well as POWER. The CERES (Clouds and Earth’s Radiant Energy System) will produce surface radiation fluxes on a global scale. 

## NASA POWER Project: Logistical  Approach

**POWER **
- Integration and
- Algorithm Benchmarking

**Forecast Models **
**(Days to Decadal):**
- (NASA GMAO, NSIPP,
- GISS; NOAA Wx,
- SFM, GFDL)

**Data Assimil-**
**ation**
- (GMAO, NOAA
- NCEP)

**Satellite-Based **
**Retrievals and**
**Analysis**
- (ISCCP, SRB, CERES)

***NASA Input Sources***

**Notes:**
A more limited overview to POWER.  Note that this time we’ve identified DSS (Decision Support System) needs in terms of historic, near-term and forecast data sets.

## NASA POWER Partnership Example:RETScreen from NRCAN/CANMET

**Natural Resources Canada**
**RETScreen**

**RETScreen Design System (>68,000 Global Users)**

- Photo Credit: Green Mountain Power
- Corporation/ NRELPix

- Solar Water Heating

**NASA POWER Partnership Example:*****RETScreen from NRCAN/CANMET***

## POWER PlansAdditional Web-based Data and Prototypes

**Historic global datasets and industry prototypes:**
- SSE Release 5 (spanning July ’83 – Oct ‘95): complete
*20+ Year SSE Rel. 6: spring 2006 (Joint Release with RETScreen 4)*
- Sustainable Buildings Prototype: Release 1, complete
- Agroclimatology/Biomass Prototype: Release 1, Dec. 2005
**Near-term global prototype datasets (FLASHFlux/CERES):**
- Prototype operational system (archived up to 6 months from real-time): Limited operations Oct. 1; full operations Dec 1.
**Forecasted datasets:**
- Preliminary discussions w/modeling partners underway; new partners being sought in climate prediction
*Now supporting PNNL’s MINICAM*
- Short-term regional prototype - Summer 2006
- Seasonal prototypes 2006 - 2007

**Notes:**
Here are just some very near-term plans in regards to solar energy data sets.  You might not heard of FLASHFlux (Fast Longwave and Shortwave radiative Fluxes using global CERES and MODIS observations).  This is a new project that I co-lead with another scientist at LaRC.  Just starting the forecasting projects.

## NASA Energy ManagementConclusions and Future Plans

- NASA’s Energy Management Program is aimed at transitioning improved satellite analysis and modeling information to Decision Support Systems (DSS) in the Energy sector
- Energy Management’s POWER project has already demonstrated the value of external partnerships with DSS owners
*POWER/RETScreen plans for continued collaboration and a joint release of respective SSE and RETScreen Software versions*
- Other opportunities for collaboration are possible and being actively sought