# Presentation: 541272

## Disaster Assessment Consortium:On the MapLocal Employment DynamicsAnnual Workshop

- George W. PutnamIL Department of Employment SecurityFebruary 1, 2007

## Disaster Assessment

- Illinois experience
- Disaster Assessment Consortium:
- Getting started
- LED information leverage

## Jerome, IL:Tornado Disaster- 1⁄2 mile path of destruction

**Tornado Path**

**Jerome Village**

- Border: Iles Ave. (north), MacArthur Blvd. (east), Wabash Ave. (south), and
-             Chatham Rd. (west)

**Notes:**

	pinpoints local geo- March 12 tornadoes moved through the southwest portion of the state causing damage in Randolph, Greene, Scott, Morgan, Sangamon and Logan counties; these counties were officially declared federal disaster areas on March 28 and residents became eligible for state Disaster Unemployment Assistance on March 30; the southern portion of Springfield was among the hardest hit areas, with two tornados accompanied by 120 mph winds; Jerome Village is a small 1,400 person community in the southern portion got hit particularly hard and did not open the streets for through traffic for five days following the disaster

## Jerome Village, IL:Where Employees Live

- Almost 70% of Jerome employees live in Springfield and nearby unincorporated areas

**Notes:**
	maps where employees live- even though small community where do Jerome employees live? Live mostly within the community? Or, live outside the community?  Roads are closed- what are the most likely travel routes for Jerome employees?  What is the most efficient strategy for opening roads for workers but to minimize road traffic?; almost 70% of Jerome private-sector employees live in Springfield and nearby unincorporated areas and 73% live in Sangamon county; only 13 employees live in Jerome therefore outside commute but from local distances

## Jerome Village, IL:Labor Market Challenges

- Retention of current workforce
- Small-sized firms concentrated in retail trade and food 	    service
- Average monthly earnings of all workers is only $2,098	    (44% of workers earn $1,200 per month or less)
- Partial multiplier effect from rebuilding
- Commuter workforce
- Recruitment of replacement workforce
- Average monthly earnings of new hires ($1,246)

**Notes:**
	stable jobs- remember those jobs held by workers for at least three consecutive quarters; separations from stable jobs nearly equal to new hires into stable jobs, suggests a fluid movement of the workers and impacts slightly less than 10 percent of workers; average monthly earnings for new hires significantly below the average for all workers; thus if workers unable to get to work in Jerome for one week, employers may have a problem with retaining workforce, workers may not be able to sustain the financial hit of no work for one week when monthly earnings so low; also with depressed new hire earnings may have problem with attracting replacement workers

employers, jobs, industries- 48 employers and 537 private-sector employees therefore average firm size is 11; 46.4% workers in retail trade and 16% in food service
	worker age- 51.4% in age 31 to 54, typical
	worker earnings- 43.6% earn no more than $1,200 per month (not surprising given the concentration of workers in retail trade and food service and suggests mostly part-time)

## Disaster Assessment Consortium:Getting Started

- Project teams
- Hurricane- Florida and Louisiana
- Flooding- North Carolina
- Hazardous waste- Illinois, New Jersey, and Missouri
- Real-time and context information
- National sources
- 	State sources

## Disaster Assessment Consortium:LED Information Leverage

- Estimation of disaster-related initial claim
- Understanding employment conditions as a determinant of 	    claims workload
- Estimation of disaster-assessment scenarios with adjustable parameters
- Understanding the confluence of local labor markets and 	    mobile disasters