# Presentation: 323100

## Where We Have Been.

**Where We Have Been.**

**Where We Are Now.**

**Where We Are Going.**

**This Presentation Is Available On the NSP Web Site.**

## Where Have We Been?

**1980  --  92**

**1985 -- 135**

**1990 -- 190**

**1995 -- 305**

**2000 -- 525**

**Average**
**+44%**
**Each 5 years**

**Over-All**
**Average**
**+55%**
**Each 5 years**

**Average**
**+66%**
**Each 5 years**

## Where Have We Been?

**Level A Simulators**

**Where Have We Been?**

## Where Have We Been?

**Level B Simulators**

**Where Have We Been?**

## Where Have We Been?

**Level C Simulators**

**Where Have We Been?**

## Where Have We Been?

**Level D Simulators**

**Where Have We Been?**

## 760

**760**

**1100**

**1595**

**With an Average Increase of 44% each 5 years.**

## 2400

**870**

**1445**

**2400**

**With an Average Increase of 66% each 5 years.**

## 2000 -- 523

**2000 -- ****523**

**2001 -- ****591**

**2002 -- ****668**

**2003 -- ****755**

**2004 -- ****853**

**2005 -- ****964**

**How are the projections so far...?**

- Lets project the highest increase...

**Where Are We Now?**

## Mitigating Factors

**Affecting These Numbers**

**Influences on the Use of Simulation**

## Training Requirements

**New Hire**

**Plus the Additional Segments**

**=  14 Training Segments**
**     ****for each retirement.**

## Number of Pilots to be Trained

**120,000**

**35% Retire**

**42,000**

**240,000**

**“****Airline” Pilots**

** ****162,000 new hires**

**7**

**14 Training Segments**
**for every replacement**

**X**

**42,000**

**=**

**294,000**

**4**

**7 Training Segments**
**for every additional**

**X**

**120,000**

**=**

**480,000**

**120,000 additional**

**Estimated to double in 3 -5 years**

**774,000**

**(Mostly) Initial Training**
**Segments**

## The NTSB.

**The Vice President’s Council on**
**Aviation Safety.**

**The Aviation Safety Summit Conferences.**

**Influences on the Use of Simulation**

## Influences on the Use of Simulation

**“****...The [NTSB] believes that (the FAA should)**
**reconsider ... the perspective that a training simulator**
**is a luxury aid to flight crew training programs that can**
**be utilized when affordable.”**

**- NTSB Letter to FAA, November, 1994.**

**“****...training and checking in flight simulators, whether**
**conducted under Part 121 or Part 135, should be the**
**standard, where possible, not the exception.”**

**- The Vice President’s Council on Aviation Safety.**

**...****simulation should be used when ever and where **
**ever possible.**

**- The Aviation Safety Summit Conferences.**

**Consensus -- simulation should be required...**

## “Require the Use of Simulation”

**Influences on the Use of Simulation**

**Mitigating Factors**
**Affecting These Numbers**

**774,000**** ---**
**           ****mostly Initial Training Segments**
**              ****(Plus Recurrent Training Requirements...)**

## What Are We Doing About It?

- 1. Annual Recurrent Evaluations --
- 		*(for most simulators)*

## Annual Recurrent Evaluations -- 

- Effective January 1, 2001, began to reflect annual
- evaluation cycle...

- ...basically, authorized 6-month extension for
- approximately 1/2 of existing simulators.

- Validity period for recurrent evaluations changed
- to 12 months.

***Sponsor requirements do not change***

- Allows NSP flexibility--

- Conduct of QA audits.

- Increased focus on simulators not under QA.

- Conduct of “no notice” evaluations.

## What Are We Doing About It?

- 1. Annual Recurrent Evaluations --
- 		*(for most simulators)*

- 2. Instituting A Quality Assurance Program --

## Instituting A Quality Assurance Program -- 

- Effective January 1, 2001, sponsors began to
- incorporate a Quality Assurance program...

- QA is a voluntary program...

- Designed to be sponsor specific --

- Say what you do...

- Do what you say...

- Keep good records.

- FAA Audits / Company Self-Audit

## 3. Cursory QTG Reviews --

- 		*(may return some QTG’s)*

**What Are We Doing About It?**

- 1. Annual Recurrent Evaluations --
- 		*(for most simulators)*

- 2. Instituting A Quality Assurance Program --

## Cursory QTG Reviews --

- What and Why?

- Readable information / who prepared / reviewed?

- Test results:   All required tests present?

- Properly identified / marked?

- Procedures for manual testing?

- Readily allow comparison with
-        validation data?

- Results in appropriate sequence?

- Tests different from standards?

- Timely Submission -- 45 days / 14 days / (30 days)

## 4. Staffing Adjustments --

*	**	**(top-down revision, additional members)*

- 3. Cursory QTG Reviews --
- 		*(may return some QTG’s)*

**What Are We Doing About It?**

- 1. Annual Recurrent Evaluations --
- 		*(for most simulators)*

- 2. Instituting A Quality Assurance Program --

## Staffing Adjustments --

- Restructuring Management Staff

- 1 manager and
- 2 supervisors

- 1 manager, 1 supervisor
- and 3 team leaders

- Requesting Additional Staff

- 17 pilots and
- 3 engineers

- 20 pilots and
- 6 engineers

- 3 clerical/
- administrative

- 5 clerical/
- administrative/LAN

## Staffing Adjustments --

- Project Managers

- (Simulator Evaluators)

- One for Each Group of 30 Simulators

- Discrepancy Follow-up

- Primary Point of Contact

- Risk Management

- (with Team Leader)

- Team Leaders

- (Three “Teams”)

- 2 for Evaluations

- 1 for Engineering / Project Development

- (FTD / QA / International )

## What is the Future for  ....

**Level B**

**Level C**

**Level D**

**What is the Future for  ....**

**...****. Likely to be Eliminated**

**...****.Likely to be **

**“****Grandfathered.”**

**Restricted application.**

- Function Replaced with Level 6 FTD
- Equipped with Motion and Visual Systems

**Dinosaur.**

**Where Are We Going?**

## Where Are We Going?

**Level D**

**What are the Differences?**

**Visual System**

**Motion System**

**Sound System**

**Data**

**Where Are We Going?**

## A  SIMULATOR

**A Reaching Guess**

**A  SIMULATOR**

**Where Are We Going?**

## ...Where Technical Capabilities

- ...**Where Technical Capabilities**
**(e.g., Daylight Visual System, **
**Specific Scene Content, **
**Equipment Installation, etc.)**
**are governed by the Requirements for**
**Training, Testing, and Checking**

***We are training Flight Crew Members....***
***...******not advancing technology.***

## To Achieve This, 

**It Will Be Necessary...**

**...****to Define **
**Specific Task Requirements for **
**Pilot Training, Testing, Checking...**

**...****and Define**
**Simulation Requirements**
**To Meet The Needs Of Those Tasks.**

## Additional Rule-Making Efforts

**Part 60 Project:**

**Sub-Part “Y” Project:**

**Sub-Part “Z” Project:**

**What Else Are We Doing?**

## Slide 31

## Part 60 Project:

**1. Part 60 Rule Language.**

**2. Qualification Performance Standards.**

**4 Documents   -- Airplane Simulators.**
**	****	****       ****-- Airplane FTD’s.**
**	****	****       ****-- Helicopter Simulators.**
**	****	****       ****-- Helicopter FTD’s.**

**3 Contents      -- Paraphrased Rule.**
**	****	****      ****-- QPS Requirements.**
**	****	****      ****-- Information.**

## Sub-Part “Y” Project:

**1. Sub-Part “Y” Rule Language.**

**2. Qualification Performance Standards.**

**3 Documents   -- Pilots.**
**	****	****       ****-- Flight Engineers.**
**	****	****       ****-- Flight Attendants.**

**3 Contents      -- (Paraphrased) Rule.**
**	****	****      ****-- QPS Requirements.**
**	****	****      ****-- Information.**

- (Sub-Part “P” – Dispatcher Rule & Dispatcher QPS)

## Summary

**of an exciting and significant**
**5 year period.**

**How we respond during this period**
**will shape the following 20 years!**

**To have the best aviation system,**
**We must have the best training.**

**To have the best training,**
**We must have and use correctly**
**the best equipment!**

**Summary**

## To Demand Less...

**Is to Expect Less...**

**Is to Achieve Less !**

**Remember, the bottom line is...**

## www.faa.gov/nsp

**NSP Web Page Address**
**www.faa.gov/nsp**