# Presentation: 008364

## Better-Informed Decision Making through LED 

- Using LED to Inform Local Workforce Investment Board’s Planning and Implementation

## Training Partners

- ETA / DOL
- U.S. Census Bureau (LED Program)
- Jacob France Institute
- National Center on Education and the Economy
- TATC Consulting
- Advanced Workforce Systems
- Corporation for a Skilled Workforce

## Participant Introductions

- Who is Here?
- Name, Organization, Local Area, etc.
- What information needs do you have beyond what you are currently receiving (from LMI/other sources)?
- What do you know about the LED program?
- Have you seen/used any of the data?

**Notes:**
“Who is here” is meant to introduce the various people in the room (Ray, Mark, Ed, Gary, Jim, others) and why.

As part of who is here, mention the LMI training that just took place and that LMI participants will be in our session through the end of the first afternoon 

## Course Learning Objectives

- Participants will:
- gain understanding of the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) program with particular emphasis on the Quarterly Workforce Indicators
- become familiar with the information available on the Internet templates and how to develop template queries of the Indicators
- gain understanding of customizable applications of LED data
- gain experience in applying LED data for practical uses in their communities
- provide feedback to ETA and Census that helps to improve the LED Program and related training content

**Notes:**
Set up to appear one at a time for emphasis

## Agenda

- Module 1: Introduction to LED
- Wednesday afternoon
- Welcoming Reception
- Wednesday evening
- Module 2: WIB Template
- Thursday morning
- Module 3: Employer Template, Customized Tools, and Other Workforce Information
- Thursday afternoon
- Module 4: Product Development and Next Steps
- Friday morning

## Interaction is Essential

- We want to hear from you throughout!!!
- Facilitated discussions
- Planning for use and marketing
- Computer exercises
- Feedback by module on LED data, LED web-based templates
- Evaluation

**Notes:**
Stress that we want their constant feedback throughout to improve the value of this information for WIBs, your partners, and your customers

They are beta testers and we need their help to improve this training for others, therefore the feedback by module is important, as is the evaluation at the end of the training.

To help with the evaluation, encourage them to fill it out after each module

## Module 1

- Introduction
- To Local
- Employment
- Dynamics (LED)

## Module 1: Learning Objective

- Participants will become familiar with the Local Employment Dynamics and the Quarterly Workforce Indicators and potential application of the data for use by Local Workforce Investment Boards

## Module 1: Agenda

- Introduction to LED
- What’s in it for Local Workforce Investment Boards?
- The Role of State Labor Market Information in the LED Program
- Introduction to Quarterly Workforce Indicators
- Feedback
- Evening Reception

## What is LED?

- Local:
- State, County, sub-County, Metro Area, Workforce Investment Area
- Employment:
- Demographics (age, gender)
- Industry (NAICS, SIC)
- Earnings
- Dynamics:
- Timing (quarterly, historical back to 1990)
- Worker employment change (new hires, separations, turnover rates)
- Firm employment change (firm job gains and losses)

**Notes:**
NAICS – North American Industrial Classification System

SIC – Standard Industrial Classification

## What LED is Not...

- Is not... a picture of “today” but rather about 9 months rear view image
- Is not... occupation specific but rather industry-based
- Is not... distinguishable by race or other demographic characteristics other than age and gender
- Is not... a static program or web page (pending new web screens, new nomenclature, new tools, new state partners, etc.)

## LED Quarterly Workforce Indicators

- Total Employment
- Net Job Flows
- Job Creation
- New Hires
- Separations
- Turnover
- Average Monthly Earnings
- Average New Hire Earnings

**All Quarterly Workforce Indicators can be analyzed at the detailed industry level**

**Notes:**
This list is not intended to supplant or replace the list that has been previously brainstormed.  But we want to share it with you today to see if anything makes sense.

Many of these should be considered for “Macro Indicators” – those indicators that are unique and innovative but for which you have minimal impact.  These probably include:
Total Employment
Net Job Flows
Job Creation
Average Monthly Earnings

Some of these could reflect TRWIB goals in which you potentially have more than a minimal impact:
New Hires
Separations and Turnover
Average New Hire Earnings

## How Does It Work?

**Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Program**
**(LEHD)**

- Surveys

- Administrative
- Records

- Censuses

*Local*
*Employment*
*Dynamics*

- Local
- Transportation
- Dynamics

- Local
- Immigration
- Dynamics

- Maps

- QWI
- Online

- Reports

**How Does It Work?**

**Notes:**
(NEW)
The LED information is possible because of an innovative system that merges data already collected from various sources. That system is called LEHD or Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics.  By combining data from different administrative sources, censuses and surveys, the Census Bureau produces useful information that was not available before. The LED information is based on state wage and unemployment records submitted each quarter combined with current demographic information.

Mention that LED is a subset of the larger LEHD program

Note that Local Immigration Dynamics does not include data by race. Immigrants are available by birth status, but race is not a demographic in the program

## Indicators

- Businesses
- Economic development agencies
- Chambers of commerce
- Federal, state and local agencies

- Workforce Investment Boards
- Chambers of commerce
- School career counselors
- Job search professionals
- Businesses
- Federal, state, and local agencies

- Businesses
- Transportation planners
- Federal, state and local agencies

**Where are the workers?**
**How much are they paid?**

**Where are the jobs?**
**How much do they pay?**
**Who needs training?**

**How can workers**** get to their jobs?**
**Where should a business **
**locate?**

**Indicators**

*Demography*

*Location*

*Geography*

*Clients*

*Questions*

## Data on Web:        (21 states)
California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, West Virginia

- As of June 2004

- _Data on Web:        (21 states)_
- California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, West Virginia

- _Coming Soon to the Web:_
- Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, D.C., Georgia, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota (map only), North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont

**Notes:**
Numerous state labor market information agencies are partners and more are joining. Once a state signs a Memorandum of Agreement with the Census Bureau, they begin to supply the necessary data for processing.  It generally takes about six months to produce Quarterly Workforce Indicators for the first time.

More than 30 states and the District of Columbia are currently participating.  

## What’s in it for Local Workforce Investment Boards?

- Unique intelligence, also at specific levels of geographic and industrial detail
- Ability to query key indicators at the workforce area level
- Provides answers to....
- “What is my market penetration of job seekers?”
- “Which training programs should I concentrate on?”
- “What are key benchmarks around turnover and retention?”
- “What are the industry sectors in which we should  direct our time and resources?”
- “What is the pattern of new hires in my area?”
- “What is the labor supply pool of recently employed persons in my area?”

**Notes:**
The first point is really two points – the information has never been available before, plus the never before available information is now available at geographic and industry detail

## What’s in it for Local Workforce Investment Boards? p.2

- Provides Answers to...
- “To which industries should I direct displaced workers?”(guide rapid response)
- “What are the industries hiring X type of worker?”
- “Where are the people in relation to the jobs?”
-  “What is the overall labor market activity in my area?”
- “Where should I locate a new one-stop office?”
- ...and many other critical questions

**Notes:**
Note – at end of slide comment that they will have an opportunity to discuss and further add to this list later in the training

## Role of State Labor Market Information Offices

- Traditional LMI available
- Industry and occupational employment and wages for current period, historical, and projected
- Employment, unemployment, and labor force
- Other information varies by state
- LMI Role in the LED Project
- State consortium guiding the LED work
- Technical assistance to Boards, others
- Creation of Customized Reports

**Notes:**
Acknowledge the participation of labor market information staff 

LMI Role in LED Project – briefly mention state consortium of participating state LMI offices, lead partner is the State of Illinois (Ray, in response to your question, the original LMI offices that participated in the pilot for this formed a working consortium, that eventually morphed into all the participants and Julie that meet regularly to discuss program issues)
LMI Analyst Training – mention that it just ended and that this training was discussed and that they are aware you are all going back with likely requests to follow

Role in WIB Training – not just today, but that LMI analysts could play a more focused role down the road in helping WIBs understand and apply LED.

Clearly, LMI has a vital role in the creation of customized reports.  State that we will cover customization in much more detail on Thursday afternoon.

IL is lead state for LMI shops.

## Increasing Value for LMI

- TEGL 01-04 provides an opportunity for LMI shops:
- Stresses market-driven approach
- Fosters planning and decision making by state and local WIBs
- Calls for more access/interpretation of data
- Improves accountability framework
- Builds and maintains products affirmed by consumers and informed by markets and competition
- Customized LED has tremendous potential in this arena

**Notes:**
Option for Ray:  Depending on timing and flow to this point, consider asking for “local area testimonials regarding LMI shops” or something of the like

Note:  After this slide and testimonials if applicable, suggest this as a natural point for a 15 minute break

## Introduction to Quarterly Workforce Indicators

- Permanent Site :
- _[http://lehd.dsd.census.gov/led/01/index.html](http://lehd.dsd.census.gov/led/01/index.html)_
- Development site:
- _[http://lehd4.dsd.census.gov/](http://lehd4.dsd.census.gov/)_
- Search Engine-Friendly (Google, Dogpile, etc., can find via “Quarterly Workforce Indicators”)

**Notes:**
Note – we need to have the URL on their pages already to take them directly there.  Also, should do a quick google or dogpile search to show them how easy it is to get to the page without a bookmark or knowing the URL

## QWI Online

**Notes:**
This slide is from the current site.  Notice that from this general site you can query on a variety of variables including year, quarter, sex, age group, geographic grouping, and detailed industry.  Notice also the guide to various supporting materials in the side left hand box.

Also, use this page as a “bookmark”

State that these screens are “dynamically refreshed” (i.e. don’t need to click “go” but rather it activates after your selections)

SIMPLE EXERCISE:  Identify the number of new hires for the Prince George’s WIA (home of Census) for the 3rd quarter of 2002.  Also find for 2nd Quarter 2002.  Which was higher?

## Indicators and Definitions 

**Indicators and Definitions **

*** ***

**Notes:**
The QWIs are shown in the first column.  The icon in (color) to the left of the indicator name gives you more detail on what each indicator is.

HANDOUT: “Appendix Definitions” from “LMI Training Institute June 16-20, 2003” but with an additional supplement page that gives definitions for the 8 indicators in the slide

VERY IMPORTANT: We need to “slow this part down” to make sure participants are comfortable with all of the definitions that are going to be used throughout the web site.  

SIMPLE EXERCISE:  Compare the Prince George’s MD WIA  turnover rate to that of Frederick County MD WIA.  Which is higher?

## Employed, Hire, Separate, Stable and None of the Above

-      Q1		     Q2		   Q3 (Ref)	        Q4

## Accessing Detailed Industries

## Demographic and Time Queries

**Notes:**
Note that you can query by year, quarter, sex, and age group

Simple Exercise:  Compare Turnover Rate for Prince George’s County between Male 25-34 and Female 25-34 year olds.  What is the difference?

## Accessing Comparison Reports 

**Accessing Comparison Reports **

**Notes:**
Comparison reports (tables) can be viewed by clicking on the char or link at the bottom of the chart.

This graphic doesn’t do the message justice.  So we’ll need to go to the current web site, pull up a local area like “Maryland – Montgomery County”, and click on the detailed comparison report and then choose “Industry” and “New Hire Earnings”

Interestingly enough, doing this actually is a great segue to why the new templates are needed – the information in this particular view is interesting but you need to do a little “concentration” in order to figure out which the top industries are.  The templates on the new test site do that very work for you!!!

## Exercise (for 2003-Q2)

- Identify the job creation for health care, retail trade, and manufacturing in your local area.
- Which is higher? lower?
- Does the industry with the highest job creation change if you limit the query to 25-34 year old males?
- What do these questions tell you about how to place job seekers?  Dislocated workers?

**Notes:**
Dislocated worker question in last bullet can’t be answered explicitly.  But if you tell participants that through customized information, they can tell whether manufacturing workers were more likely not to have high turnover compared to construction workers when being hired for professional jobs, might that help inform training programs for dislocated workers.

## Feedback  

- Wrap-Up and Q&A
- Initial Reactions to LED Data and Internet pages
- Suggestions for future training improvements

**Notes:**
Keeping in mind that you are the training program beta audience, what are your suggestions for future training improvements?

Keep in mind that the second question is focused on LED and related data and site, third question is about the training course itself