# Presentation: 419672

## Perspective on

**FEWS NET Analytical Approaches in the Greater Horn of Africa**

**Gideon Galu**
**ggalu@fews.net**

## Perspective:

**Background/Context**
**Framework**
**Network Partners**
**Monitoring & Analytical Approaches**
**Monitoring  field and remotely sensed data**
**Livelihoods based analysis**
**Development of new decision support tools**
**Regular region-wide field assessments**
**Capacity Building at National/District level**
**Technical support in food security monitoring and analysis**
**Major challenges**
**Availability & reliability of data / Partnership**
**Understanding livelihoods**
**Accurate identification of chronic vulnerable communities and response..**

## FEWS NET Africa - Coverage

**FEWS NET    has resident representatives in 18 African countries: Regional Offices in Bamako, Johannesburg and Nairobi.**

**FEWS NET is now going Global – Afghanistan and Central America**

## THE FEWS NET VISION

**To provide decision makers and planners with ****accurate, timely, and actionable information**** to prevent hunger-related deaths, mitigate food insecurity and to ****strengthen livelihoods...**

## FEWS NET Mission Statement (cont.)

**FEWS NET Mission Statement (cont.)**

## FEWS NET  FRAMEWORK

**MONITORING Variables: **
**Weather/Climate**
**Crop & Livestock production**
**Markets & Trade**
**Welfare – Health, Conflict**
**Policy**
**Natural Resources**
**Interventions**

**VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS**
**    **

**Understand livelihoods and local economies – geographically *****(where?)***** and economic status focus *****(who?)***

**NET WORKING**
**Government**
**Donors**
**NGOs**
**Institutions**
**Communities**

**Monitor hazards, shocks, that cause a change in how people normally  live**

**=   Risk / Outcome**

**The analysis of how different types of hazards or changes affect different households**

**Baseline****	****   **

**Early Warning    + **

**Capacity Building**
**Develop skills**
**Workshops**
**Software**

**Decision Support/ Response Planning**
**Preparedness**
**Numbers affected**
**Actions needed**

## Available Resources: Remotely Sensed Products & Tools

- _[http://earlywarning.usgs.gov/ADDS/](http://earlywarning.usgs.gov/ADDS/)__ & __[www.fews.net](http://www.fews.net/)_

-  MODIS/NDVI at 250m
-  Spot/NDVI

## Monitoring and Analyzing Food Security

**Monitoring and Analyzing Food Security**

| THE LATEST FIELD & REMOTE SENSING DATA; AS WELL AS MARKETS, PRODUCTION, AND OTHER DATA
 | INNOVATIVELOCAL LIVELIHOODANALYSIS
 | UPDATED ANALYSES OF WHO NEEDS WHAT WHERE? |
| --- | --- | --- |

- =

- +

- (NOAA/RFE Anomalies)

- (FEWS NET/Djibouti)

## Continuous Monitoring & Early Warning

**Continuous Monitoring & Early Warning**

- _[http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/fews/africa/briefing.html](http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/fews/africa/briefing.html)_

- Rangeland

- NDVI

## Monitoring Trade and Markets

**Monitoring and Analyzing Food Security**

- (FEWS NET/Kenya)

- (RATIN)

## (FEWS NET/Ethiopia)

***..Working with decision makers to use the analysis***

## Drought Tendencies in Ethiopia

- (FEWS NET/Ethiopia)

**Drought Tendencies in Ethiopia**

**Notes:**
This graphic shows the time series of March-Sept rainfall at a national scale (right column) and for four regions (left and center).  The black bars show seasonal rainfall.  Heavy colored lines show running 7-year means.  Colors have been added to describe long-term variation patterns.  Orange lines denote rainfall tendencies likely to increase food insecurity.

## Decision Support Tools 

- (FEWS NET / Kenya)

## Collaboration with ICPAC & Other Partners: Translation of Seasonal Forecasts into Food Security Outlook Scenarios

**Most-likely Scenario**

**Worst-case Scenario**

**Current Food Security Status: Sept.’06**

## Capacity Building: Over 500 Local Personnel Trained(Applications of Remotely  Sensed Products in agriculture and water resources, GIS modeling and applications and stream flow forecasting and flood early warning)

**S. Sudan: **
**12 participants trained on **
**USGS/FEWS NET tools and products**

**Ethiopia: 27 participants trained on **
**Remote Sensing and GIS applications**
**15 participants trained on flood early warning**

**Somalia: 26 local participants trained on **
**USGS/FEWS NET products & Tools**

**Uganda: 14 participants trained on **
**USGS/FEWS NET products & Tools, ****15 participants were also trained flood early warning and forecasting**

**Rwanda: 22 participants trained on **
**Remote Sensing and GIS applications**

**Regional Workshops: Over 200 participants trained on USGS/FEWS NET products and tools, ArcView GIS applications, ****flood early warning and stream flow forecasting**** **

**Tanzania: 12 participants trained on **
**River flow forecasting and flood early warning**

**Djibouti: 29 participants trained on **
**Remote Sensing and GIS applications**

## Regular Field Assessments/Product Validation

**Regular Field Assessments/Product Validation**

## Regional Reports

**Early and Timely Information for Better Decisions**

- Country Reports

- Executive Overview

- Alert Statements

- Market/Trade
- Info/Special Reports

***Disseminating the Analysis***: INFORMATION PRODUCTS

## Challenges

**Major challenges**
**Availability & reliability of data / Partnership**
**Understanding livelihoods**
**Accurate identification of chronic vulnerable communities and response..**

## Famine Early Warning Systems Network FEWS NET

**Famine Early Warning Systems Network FEWS NET**

- International & Local Partners GHA

***Gideon Galu: USGS/FEWS NET***
***Email: ggalu@fews.net***

## Thank you...

**Thank you...**