# Presentation: 370842

## MEPAGFEBRUARY 2008 

- MEPAGFEBRUARY 2008

** ****Alan Stern**
**Associate Administrator/SMD**

## SMD’s Science Program Leads The World

** ****$4.441B/yr budget.**
** ****Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs.**
** ****53 flight missions in operation.**
** ****41 flight missions in development.**
** ****3000+ operating R&A grants.**

** ****These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.**

## Slide 3

## SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months

## But SMD’s Science Over-Runs Are Debilitating

**COST OVERRUNS AND UNEXPECTED MISSION EXPENDITURES**

##  FY09 SMD Budget Overview

** ****Recent MEP History**
** ****Mars Next Decade**
** ****MSL Issues**
** ****Thought Questions**

- PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

## FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: OVERVIEW

## We will get more science done within our budget.

We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds.

We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines.

We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to, 
   the public.

We will create a better workplace.

- We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds.
- We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines.
- We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to,
-    the public.
- We will create a better workplace.

**SMD MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES**

## SMD’S CROSS-CUTTING FY09 BUDGET OBJECTIVES

- Accelerate the Earth Science Decadal Survey mission queue.
- Increase space science R&A/MO&DA to get better value from our flight missions.
- Increase the number of planned missions in all four of SMD’s science theme areas.
- Support NRC Decadal Survey priorities.
- Initiate an SMD lunar robotic science program.
- Increase space science suborbital research programs to foster PI on-ramps, technology demonstration, and accomplish more science.

## NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: FY09-FY13

## SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCE THEME

## MAJOR FY09 BUDGET  INITIATIVES

- _Increased commitment to Earth Science over 5 years._
- _Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in the past four budgets combined; at least one per SMD science area_:
- _Earth Science:_ SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015 launches)
- _Astrophysics_: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015)
- _Heliophysics_: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015)
- _Planetary:_ Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017) small lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunar mini-landers (launch by 2014).
- _Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, and planetary science R&A/MO&DA_.
- _Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons._

- Baseline Plan

## SMD PLANETARY DIVISION’S CENTRAL ORGANIZING THEME THAT STRETCHES ACROSS THE SOLAR SYSTEM

**SMD PLANETARY DIVISION’S ****CENTRAL ORGANIZING THEME THAT STRETCHES ACROSS THE SOLAR SYSTEM**

## SELECTED FY09 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS: PLANETARY

- Fund a new start for the outer planets flagship mission (LRD 2016/2017); fund Cassini through 2011.
- Initiate a new lunar robotic science flight mission line, with first launch (LADEE small orbiter) by 2011, second launch (two ILN landers) by 2014.
- Continue all existing Mars missions; launches in 2009, 2013, 2016; also fund US ExoMars participation for 2013 launch; initiate sample return studies leading to 2018 and 2020 MSR missions; augment Mars DA and R&A (58% FY08, 7% FY09, 11% by FY10).
- Fully fund Juno (2011 launch) and New Frontiers 3 (2016 launch), as well as GRAIL (launch by 2011) and the next Discovery launch in 2014.
- Augment general planetary R&A 29% in FY09.

- Baseline Plan

## SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2007

## SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2008

## NEWLY STARTED MISSIONS

- New Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year—
- Whichever is Later.

## FY09 MARS 
PROGRAM PLAN

**FY09 MARS **
**PROGRAM PLAN**

##  MSR   

-  MSR

## PLANETARY BUDGET CHANGES

## PLANETARY DIVSISION BUDGET SPLITS

## MARS BUDGET HISTORY

## MARS PROGRAM CONTENT

-  _Existing Flight Missions (5)_
- Mars Odyssey
- Mars Recon Orbiter
- MER-Spirit
- MER-Opportunity
- Phoenix
-  _Missions in Development (3)_
- MSL Flagship ($1830M)
- Mars Scout 2 ($475M)
- ExoMarsx2    ($61M)
-  _Additional Missions Funded in FY09 Budget (2)_
- Mars 2016 Ramp Up ($220M)
- Mars Sample Return ($68M: studies & tech)

## COMPARE TO ALL OTHER PLANETARY CONTENT

-  _Existing Flight Missions (4)_
- Cassini
- New Horizons
- MESSENGER
- Dawn
-  _Missions in Development (2)_
- _Outer Planets Flagship_
- _LADEE Lunar Micro-Orbiter_
-  _Additional Missions Funded in FY09 Budget (3)_
- Discovery 2014
- Lunar micro-landers 2014
- New Frontiers 2016

## PLANETARY BUDGET RUNNOUT TO 2020

- 2.4%/yr SMD Growth Line

## RECENT MEP BUDGET HISTORY

## MEP ’07-08 

**BUDGET EVENTS**

_**Jan**_**: PHX $25M Build Cost Increase.**
_**June**_**: MSL Sample Caching, $2M Added.**
_**May**_**: MEP Next Decade MSR Re-Focus.**
_**Aug**_**: Phoenix launch.**
_**Sep**_**: Phoenix $5M Mission Ops Increase.**
_**Sep**_**: MSL $62M Re-baseline.**
_**Sep**_**: Funded New MER Extensions **
**   ****Thru FY08 ($10M) With Commitment for**
**   ****FY09 ($10M) If Still Operating.**
_**Feb**_**: FY09 Budget Request Released. **
**   ****R&A Increased. No Mars Cancellations.**

## MARS NEXT DECADE

## MARS PROGRAM PLAN

## Mars Program - Next Decade

## MSL

## MSL COST GROWTH HISTORY

**Program ****added $32M**** to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve).**
_**Late ’06/early ’07**_**: ****~$20M in descopes**** were taken to control cost growth:**
**TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude performance.**
_**June ’07**_**: ****MSL descopes and cash of $62M.**** Sources of growth included:**
**Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systems cameras.**
**Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/Sample Processing and Handling**
**Actuator Design**
**Thermal Protection System testing**
**Parts Procurements**
**Fabrication Services/Labor**
_**Jan ’08:**_** ****MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash.**** Sources of growth include:**
**Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing**
**Parts, Subsystems, Testing**
**Fabrication Services/Labor**

## MSL GROWTH BY SUBSYSTEM

- Largest contributors to growth

- NOTE:  See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4

## MSL Development Flow Compression

- ATLO
- w/EMs

**ATLO**

**ATLO**

**KSC**

- Flt. Avionics

- Descent Stage

- Drill

- Radar

**CDR**
**June 2007**

**Launch**
**Sept. 2009**

**July 2008**

**March 2008**

**Ship**
**May 2009**

**Deliveries**

**As of Jan. 2008**
**EAC increased > $200M**
**Since June 2007**

**KSC**

**Deliveries**

**Jan. 2009**

**MSL Development Flow Compression**

- Flt. Heatshield

- Flt. Avionics

- Descent Stage

- Drill

**As of June 2007**
**CDR **

- Possible delays but
- flexibility available

- Flt. Heatshield

## Original content marked “SBU”; deleted for publication

**Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)**

## MSL PROJECT BUDGET 

- GROWTH HISTORY

- Blue line $1699M
- corresponds to
- the 70% on
- SRB’s S-curve
- development
- cost predicted at
- confirmation

## SOME THOUGHT QUESTIONS

##  What does a balanced planetary program look 

**    ****like?**
** ****What should we fly for MEP 2016?**
** ****What Mars efforts could be proposed to Discovery **
**    ****and New Frontiers?**
** ****What Mars-Moon flight program synergies exist?**
** ****Is MSR the right central organizing theme?**
** ****Is there a serious science loss if MSL arrival    **
**    ****slips?**

## BACKUP

## LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE

**FY08**

**FY09**

**FY10**

**FY11**

**FY12**

**FY13**

**FY14**

**FY15**

**B**

**C & D**

**E**

**LADEE Launch Goal**

**Mini Lander Launch Goal**

**Lunar Research and Analysis**

**ILN  Operation Start Goal**

***Mission of Opportunity***
***Science-Funding-Opportunity Driven***

**A**

**Node I & II Operations**

***Science Definition ***

- Cruise

**B**

**E**

**A**

***Launch date to be set during Phase A***

***TBD during Phase A***

**LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE**

***LADEE***

***Mini Lander***

***LRO***

**E+**

***Possible Intl. Partner ***
***Early Operations ***

**E**

**C/D**

***ESMD ***

***SMD ***

**B**

**C & D**

**E**

***SMD-Discovery Mission ***

- Cruise

***GRAIL***

**SDT**

**B/C/D duration finalized during A**

- 020308

***SMD-Full Moon Missions***

***Science Definition ***

**SDT**

## PLANETARY PROGRAM BUDGET CONTENT

## {

- --           --            --

- --           --

-  --

**FY2007**

**FY2008**

**FY2009**

**FY2010**

**FY2011**

**FY2012**

**FY2013**

***Mars Exploration***

- 634.9

- 553.5

- 386.5

- 299.6

- 344.5

- 341.1

- 413.8

*2009 Mars Science Lab*

- 416.8

- 305.5

- 223.3

- 69.0

- 54.6

- 37.6

*Mars Scout (2013)*

- 5.3

- 57.7

- 6.7

- 68.5

- 152.5

- 170.7

- 121.8

*Mars Research and Analysis*

- 14.2

- 27.4

- 24.9

- 25.9

- 26.7

- 27.1

- 27.5

*Operating Missions and Data Analysis*

- 171.8

- 149.4

- 131.6

- 136.2

- 110.7

- 105.7

- 264.5

- Mars Sample Return

- 10.0

- 20.2

- 31.0

- 160.2

- Mars Technology Program

- 5.0

- 13.0

- 23.0

- 18.0

- 13.7

- ExoMars

- Mars-16

- 5.0

- 35.0

- --

- --

- --

- 6.0

- 6.0

- 3.0

- 9.2

- 10.0

- 10.0

- 10.0

- 10.0

- 10.0

## Slide 43