# Presentation: 659453

## Committee for Environmental Services, Operations and Research Needs

- Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research

## AgendaJuly 18, 2007

- Welcome and administrative actions
- Briefings by CESORN
- Working Groups (WGs)
- Joint Action Groups (JAGs)
- Lunch on your own (12-1:30p)
- Agency Presentation of Hydrometeorological Needs
- Summary of the day (adjourn 4:00p)

## AgendaJuly 19, 2007

- Briefings by CESORN
- Working Groups (WGs)
- Joint Action Groups (JAGs)
- Briefings & Discussion on Probabilistic/Uncertainty Weather Forecasts
- Agency presentations
- Summary of the meeting (adjourn 12:00p)

## Welcome and Administrative Actions

- Welcome!
- Mr. Samuel P. Williamson, Federal Coordinator
- Introductions
- Administrative Remarks
- Life Support
- Coffee, Tea, Sodas (6th floor)
- Emergency Exits *

## Emergency Exit

**Elevators**

- MEN

- WOMEN

**Toilet**

**Kit**

**Copier**

**Fax**

**DFC**

**USN**

**USAF**

**FAA**

**FC**

- Meeting
-  room

## Welcome and Administrative Actions

- Restrooms *
- grab a key at the front desk
- Phones *
- Incoming messages: 301- 427- 2002
- Incoming faxes:  301- 427- 2007
- Dial 9 for commercial, 4 for DSN on DSN line
- Recording in Progress

## Restrooms

**Elevators**

- MEN

- WOMEN

**Toilet**

**Kit**

**Copier**

**Fax**

**DFC**

**USAF**

**FAA**

**FC**

**USN**

- Meeting
-  room

## Phones

**Elevators**

- MEN

- WOMEN

**Toilet**

**Kit**

**Copier**

**Fax**

**DFC**

**USN**

**USAF**

**FAA**

**FC**

- Meeting
-  room

## Administrative Issues

- Membership Update
- New agency representatives
- Membership listing
- Terms of Reference
- Update?
- Add tsunami?

## CESORN

- Terms of Reference
- Collecting and consolidating agency needs
- Identifying forecast problems and supporting research needs
- Planning and executing strategies for addressing deficiencies
- Empowering JAGs to work on projects
- Elevating to ICMSSR matters as needed
- Monitoring and assessing national programs

## Update on Hurricane and Winter Storms Operations and Research

- Interagency Strategic Plan for Tropical Cyclones: The Way Ahead
- Dr. Frank Marks
- Highlights from IHC, National Hurricane Operations Plan, and SFMR WC-130J Upgrade
- Mr. Robert Dumont

## Break

- 10-10:15a

## Working Issues for the Working Group for Natural Disaster Reduction/Post-Storm Data Acquisition

- National Post-Storm Data Acquisition Plan Update
- Mary M. Cairns (for Robert Mason, USGS)
- DOD/USAF-Auxilliary DOC/OFCM MOU
- Mary M. Cairns

## National Post-Storm Data Acquisition Plan Update

- Reasons to update:
- Enhanced-Fujita scale implemented by NWS
- Outdated instructions for CAP, etc.
- Inclusion of other areas, e.g., coastal surveys (not well defined)
- Update of wind experts (& others?)
- Action required:
- Concurrence to move ahead with NPSDAP update

## DOD/USAF-Auxilliary DOC/OFCM MOU

- DOC and DOD MOU signed May 4, 2007
- Agency use of CAP
- All but NWS
- NWS in process to resolve issue for use
- Action required:
- OFCM provide agencies with “how to”
- NWS complete exemption

## Update on the Weather Information for Surface Transportation Activities & Symposium

- Mr. Frank Estis

## Update on the Multifunction Phased Array Radar Research and Development Activities

- Dr. Mark Weadon

## Working Issues for the Satellite Telemetry Interagency Working Group

- Ms. Bonnie Wyatt
- Review of Issues
- Update of the GOES DCS Operational Plan
- Action required:
- Concurrence to move ahead with the Plan update

## National Wildland Fire Weather Needs Assessment

- Validated Needs of the Wildland Fire Weather Community
- Dr. Allen Riebau
- Action required:
- Support formation of a Working Group for Wildland Fire Weather (WG/WFW) to monitor progress towards meeting the needs and ensure new needs are appropriately addressed as they arise

## Lunch(on your own)

- 12-1:30p

## Crosscutting Assessment of Federal Agency Hydrometeorological Products, Services, and Supporting Research

- Overview
- Mary M. Cairns
- Agency Presentations
- Mr. Glenn Austin, NOAA/NWS
- Ms. Marge Davenport, USGS
- Mr. Eric Luebehusen, USDA

## Break

- 3-3:15p

## Crosscutting Assessment of Federal Agency Hydrometeorological Products, Services, and Supporting Research

- Discussion
- Action required:
- Support the need for a crosscutting assessment of federal agency hydrometeorological products, services, and supporting research
- Establish a Joint Action Group for the National Hydrometeorological Needs Assessment

## CESORN

- Review of today’s action items
- Mary M. Cairns
- Adjourn

## AgendaJuly 19, 2007

- Briefings by CESORN
- Working Groups (WGs)
- Joint Action Groups (JAGs)
- Briefings & Discussion on Probabilistic/Uncertainty Weather Forecasts
- Agency presentations
- Summary of the meeting (adjourn 12:00p)

## Working Issues for the Joint Action Group for Severe Local Storms Operations

- Mary M. Cairns (for John Ferree)
- Update to the National Severe Local Storms Operations Plan
- Communications (VTEC)
- Hail size for severe thunderstorm products (>=1”)?
- Expansion of SLS to include e.g., fire weather, winter storms?

## Working Issues for the Joint Action Group for Severe Local Storms Operations

- Action Required:
- Concurrence to review and update the SLSOP

## Future Opportunities for Lightning Data Requirements 

- Mr. James McNitt and Mr. William Fellows
- Action required:
- Support the need for a requirements study for federal agency lightning data requirements
- Establishment of a Joint Action Group for this activity

## Beginning Discussion on Customer Needs for Probabilistic/Uncertainty Weather Forecasts – Crosscutting Issues

- Overview
- Mary M. Cairns, OFCM
- Aviation Forecasts for the 4-D Weather Cube
- Kevin Johnston, NOAA/NWS

## Overview

- CESORN Terms of Reference (again)
- Collecting and consolidating agency needs
- Identifying forecast problems and supporting research needs
- Planning and executing strategies for addressing deficiencies
- Empowering JAGs to work on projects
- Elevating to ICMSSR matters as needed
- Monitoring and assessing national programs

## Overview (cont.)

- Gained knowledge of issue - crosscutting
- AMS
- OFCM Agency needs (e.g., Aviation, Fire)
- NWS forecaster/SOO
- Reports
- Communicating Uncertainties in Weather and Climate Information (NRC)
- Where the Weather Meets the Road... (NRC)
- Conops for the NGATS (JPDO)
- Completing the Forecast (NRC)
- Wildland Fire Weather Assessment (OFCM/WGA)
- Others.....

## Overview (cont.)

- Activities
- AMS Commission on the Weather and Climate Enterprise
- Ad Hoc Committee on Uncertainty in Forecasts
- JPDO Weather Working Group
- Probabilistic Forecasts meetings
- WAS*IS

**Notes:**
Weather and Society * Integrated Studies (WAS*IS)
Joint Planning and Development Office (JPDO0
American Meteorological Society (AMS)

## Overview (cont.)

- CESORN food for thought...
- Review and compile current agency activities & needs (from existing documentation)
- What areas can CESORN identify and work towards?  Or assist with?
- Other presentations to follow...

**Notes:**
Weather and Society * Integrated Studies (WAS*IS)
Joint Planning and Development Office (JPDO0
American Meteorological Society (AMS)

## Break

- 10-10:15a

## Beginning Discussion on Customer Needs for Probabilistic/Uncertainty Weather Forecasts – Crosscutting Issues

- Challenges in Modeling Probabilistic Forecasts/Uncertainty
- Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
- Climate Services
- Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS
- Customer Needs for Decision Support
- Ken Graham, NOAA/NWS

## Beginning Discussion on Customer Needs for Probabilistic/Uncertainty Weather Forecasts – Crosscutting Issues

- Discussion

## CESORN

- Agency Issues & Open Discussion
- Wrap-up and Next Steps
- Action item review
- Next meeting
- Adjourn