# Presentation: 564967

## The future of Fermilab

**Evening Forum**
**PANIC05**
**Santa Fe, NM**
**October 24, 2005**
**Pier Oddone**

## The  “ships of the line”

- In the near term:
- Tevatron Program CDF and D0
- The neutrino program MiniBoone and MINOS
- Large Hadron Collider and CMS
- In the future:
- International Linear Collider
- Neutrino Initiatives: NOvA

## Tevatron: key is luminosity

- Luminosity history
- for each fiscal year

- Integrated luminosity
- for different assumptions

- Integrated Luminosity
- Per detector by Oct 09

*Top Line: all run II upgrades work*
*Bottom line: none work*
*( pink/white bands show the *
*doubling times for the top line)*

## Tevatron Program

- Greatest window into new phenomena until LHC is on
- 1500 collaborators, 600 students + postdocs
- Critically dependent on Luminosity
- Doubling time a major consideration

## Sensitivity to low mass Higgs, or
Severely constrain mass

- Severely constrain mass

**Supersymmetry**

- Closing in on the the SM Higgs

**LEP Excluded**

## And the non-SM Higgs

- Explore the majority of allowed parameters
- for the lightest supersymmetric Higgs

## Other Windows to New Physics

- Discovery Potential over most of Bs mixing expected region
- SUSY Chargino Sensitivity to 270 GeV!

**Observation of B****s**** mixing**

## Present Neutrino Program

- Minos Far detector

- Minos near detector

-    MINOS program is just starting:
- 	- 2 GeV neutrinos
- 	- 5.4 Kiloton far detector and
- 	  1.0 Kiloton near detector
- 	-Most precise measurements
- 	 in the atmospheric region
- 	-disappearance

## Present Neutrino Program

- MiniBooNE
- 	- 1 GeV neutrinos
- 	   (Booster)
- 	- 800 ton oil cerenkov
- 	- Operating since 2003
- 	- e appearance
- 	- first results this fall:
- 	  all hell will break loose if
- 	  positive signal

## Protons on target

## LHC: delivering on the promise

- Huge increase in physics reach: 7 times the energy, 100 times the luminosity of the Tevatron
- US Construction Collaboration has been successful: Fermilab + LBNL + BNL.
- With increase in energy and luminosity come special challenges (e.g., 300 Megajoules of stored energy in the beam!)

## CMS: Compact Muon Detector

- Coming together: aimed at completion by end of 2007

- Muon detectors

- Magnet cold mass

## In the future: U.S. contribution

**2005**

**2015**

**2010**

**= secondary**

**= leading**

**Neutrino**
**Frontier**

**Flavor**
**frontier**

**Energy**
**Frontier**

**Domestic accelerator program with new and redirected investment**

**X**

## Completing the Energy Frontier

## The Energy Frontier (ILC)

- Goals:
- Establish all technical components, costs, engineering designs, management structures to enable “early” decision (by 2010) as part of the global effort.
- Position US (and Fermilab) to host the ILC.
- Position US (and Fermilab) to play major roles in detector development and physics analysis.
- This is the highest priority initiative for the laboratory, WHEREVER the ILC is finally built

## The Energy Frontier: why ILC?

- We expect the greatest richness at the energy frontier
- Few phenomena will manifest themselves in only one machine

- theories

- Purely ILC

- Purely LHC

- We will build on the foundation of LHC to make major discoveries at ILC

## ILC/LHC one example : new particle

- LHC experiments find a new heavy particle, Z’
- Able to show that Z’ mediates a new force of nature
- This is a great discovery

- Notice peak is 1⁄2 event per bin per fb-1

## LHC/ILC Physics: new particle 

- ILC measures couplings of Z’ to find out what it means
- If  here, related to origin of neutrino masses
- If here, related to origin of Higgs
- If here, Z’ comes from an extra dimension of space
- These are great discoveries!

## ILC Research and DevelopmentRoadmap at Fermilab

- RDR

- LHC or
- Tevatron
- Discovery

## A resilient strategy for the ILC requires a broader physics program in the US

- Understanding the Neutrino matrix:
- What is *sin**2**2*****
- What is the Mass Hierarchy
- What is the CP violation parameter 
- Fermilab is in a position to make vital contributions to answer these questions

## New Initiatives: neutrinos 

- Most powerful beam in the world at 200 KW
- Upgrades (by 2008) would give 440 KW
- When we stop the Tevatron, we’ll have 600+ KW, the same as JPARC after 2010+
- Further improvements: aimed at 2 MW proton beam power

## Neutrinos: two approaches

- Develop Proton Driver
- R&D helps develop base of SC RF technology
- Extremely flexible operations = much simplified complex
- Accelerator energy is 2% of ILC
- Also develop alternatives
- No Tevatron means we have recycler, accumulator and  debuncher to play with
- We have VERY EARLY creative ideas on how to deliver 1-2 MW at 120 GeV.

## Neutrino Initiative – Proton Driver

## Neutrino Initiative: NOvA

- In addition to Beam power: detector mass and detector sensitivity: NOvA is 30 ktons, totally active
- NOvA is the only experiment sensitive to matter effects (hence the mass hierarchy).
- We want to start a long term R&D program towards massive totally active liquid Argon detectors for extensions of NOvA.
- Improvement is proportional to (Beam power) x (detector mass) x (detector sensitivity)

## NOvA Physics Reach

## Neutrino Program 

*2005*

*2010*

*2015*

**detectors**

**accelerators**

*Minos run*

*MiniBoone run*

*NOvA R&D and Construction*

*NOvA run*

*NOvA II run*

*NOvA II R&D and construction*

*Proton plan first stage*
*0.2 MW moving to 0.4 MW*

*Proton plan 2**nd** stage*
*(If no proton driver)*

*1-2 MW at 120 GeV*
*Depending  on investment*

**ILC RDR**

- ILC RDR

-      ILC TDR

- Decision

-             Construction

## Neutrino Program 

*2005*

*2010*

*2015*

**detectors**

**accelerators**

*Minos run*

*MiniBoone run*

*NOvA R&D and Construction*

*NOvA run*

*Proton Driver Construction*
*(if and only if ILC delayed)*

*ILC R&D and*
*Proton Driver R&D*

*NOvA II run*

*NOvA II R&D and construction*

*Greater than 2 MW *
*any energy*

**ILC RDR**

**DELAYED ILC?**

## Interlinked Roadmap

- Establishes the main trunk and branches for the laboratory.
- It supports a vital role for the US community in the global program
- Requires “strong focusing” now, which narrows the  program....
- But it establishes the strong base on which breadth and “texture” can flourish as we move forward.