# Presentation: 754130

## International Energy Outlook 2005

**Administrator**
**Energy Information Administration**
**Center for Strategic and International Studies**
**Washington, DC**

**September 14, 2005**

***International Energy Outlook 2005***

## West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Price, 2004-2006

**(dollars per barrel)**

*Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2005*

- History

- Projections

## Natural Gas Spot Price, 2004-2006

**(dollars per thousand cubic feet)**

*Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2005*

- History

- Projections

## International Energy Outlook 2005 indicates that over the next two decades...

**Worldwide energy consumption will grow by 57 percent between 2002 and 2005, an average annual growth rate of 2 percent, with the strongest growth in the emerging economies, particularly in Asia.**
**World oil demand will grow from 78 to 119 million barrels per day, with the United States and emerging Asia, including China and India, accounting for 64 percent of the growth.**
**Natural gas will be the fastest growing energy source worldwide, at a average growth rate of 2.3 percent.**
**Although the slowest growing energy source, nuclear power will increase, particularly in emerging Asia, where its use will triple.**
**Carbon dioxide emissions will increase at a rate of 1.9 percent, with the fastest growth in the emerging economies.**

## World Marketed Energy Consumption in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025(quadrillion Btu)

**Reference Case**

**Low Economic**
**Growth Case**

**High Economic **
**Growth Case**

**708**

**645**

**586**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

- History

- Projections

## World Gross Domestic Product in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025 (billion 2000 U.S. dollars)

**Reference Case**

**High Economic**
**Growth Case**

**Low Economic **
**Growth Case**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

- History

- Projections

## World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu)

**Mature Market **
**Economies**

**Transitional Economies**

**Emerging **
**Economies**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

**46%**

**42%**

**12%**

**Share of**
**World **
**Total**

- History

- Projections

## World Population by Region, 1970-2025(millions)

**Mature Market **
**Economies**

**Transitional Economies**

**Emerging **
**Economies**

- United Nations, *World Population Prospects, The 2002 Revision.*

**81%**

**14%**

**5%**

**Share of**
**World **
**Total**

- History

- Projections

## Energy Intensity by Region, 1970-2025(thousand Btu per thousand dollars of GDP)

**Mature Market **
**Economies**

- Transitional Economies

**Emerging Economies**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

- History

- Projections

## World Energy Use per Capita by Region, 2002-2025(million Btu per person)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu)

**Oil**

**Natural Gas**

**Coal**

**38%**

**25%**

**8%**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

**Renewables**

**Nuclear**

**24%**

**5%**

**Share of **
**World**
**Total**

- History

- Projections

##  Share of Energy Consumption by Region and Fuel, 2002 and 2025 (percent)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

**Mature Market**
**Economies**

**Transitional**
**Economies**

**Emerging**
**Economies**

## World Oil Consumption by Region and Country Group, 2002 and 2025 (million barrels per day)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## Transportation Sector Energy Use by Region, 2002-2025 (quadrillion Btu)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

##  World Oil Consumption and Production, 2002, 2010, and 2025 (million barrels per day)

**Consumption**

**Production**

**OPEC**
**Transitional Economies**
**Other**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

**78.2**

**94.6**

**119.2**

**78.1**

**94.3**

**118.9**

## Persian Gulf Oil Productive Capacity by Country,2002 and 2025 (million barrels per day)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2005(billion barrels)

*Oil & Gas Journal*, "Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production,“ Vol. 102, No. 47 (December 20, 2004).

**World Total =**
**1,278 Billion Barrels**

## World Natural Gas Consumption by Region, 1980-2025(trillion cubic feet)

- History

- Projections

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## World Natural Gas Reserves by Region, as of January 1, 2005 (trillion cubic feet)

*Oil & Gas Journal*, "Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production,“ Vol. 102, No. 47 (December 20, 2004).

**World Total =**
**6,040 Trillion Cubic Feet**

##  World Coal Consumption by Region,1980, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (billion short tons)

**Mature Market**
**Economies**

**Transitional**
**Economies**

**China and**
**India**

**Other**
**Emerging**
**Economies**

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## World Net Electricity Consumption by Region, 2002-2025 (billion kilowatthours)

- History

- Projections

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## Electricity Consumption per Capita by Country Group, 2002 and 2025 (kilowatthours per person per year)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*

## Shares of Energy Use for Electricity Generation, 2002-2025(percent)

*International Energy Annual 2003 *and* International Energy Outlook 2005*

- History
- Projections

## World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 1990-2025 (billion metric tons)

*International Energy Outlook 2005*