# Presentation: 114756

##  Transportation and the Delaware Climate Change Action Plan 

**Fifth Annual State and Local **
**Climate Change Partners Conference**
**Annapolis, 20-22 November  2002**

## IPCC Estimates of Reductions in Anthropogenic Emissions Needed to Stabilize Atmospheric Concentrations at Current Levels

**Carbon Dioxide (CO****2****)**

**Source: IPCC. 1996. *****The IPCC Second Assessment Synthesis of Scientific- Technical  Information Relevant to Interpreting Article 2 of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. *****New York, NY: United Nations Environmental Program; Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization.**

**Reduction**
**Required**

**> 60%**
** ****8 - 20%**
**70 - 80%**
**70 - 75%**
**75 - 85%**
**40 - 50%**

**Greenhouse Gases**

**Methane (CH****4****)**

**Nitrous Oxide (N****2****O)**

**CFC-11**

**CFC-12**

**HCFC-22**

## CO2  Emissions per Capita

**CO****2****  ****Emissions per Capita**

## Why Plan From the “Bottom Up”?

**Climate change mitigation requires ****action on all levels**
**Local input is needed to reflect the interests of those ****most directly affected**** **
**Enduring community support can only be obtained by ****involving the community itself**
**Many local planning functions will play a ****critical**** ****role**** in reducing U.S. GHG emissions**

## Delaware Climate Change Consortium

**36-member group**** ****representing a wide cross-section of the State**
**Consensus-based**** ****decision-making**
**Tasks included reviewing and adopting**** ****GHG inventory,**** ****mitigation**** ****measures,**** ****policy options**** ****and developing**** ****education and outreach program**

## Delaware Climate Change Consortium Members

**Community Groups**
**Labor**
**Industry**
**Utilities**
**Research Groups**

**Federal Government **
**State Government**
**Local & Regional Governments**
**State Legislators**

## Aggregate Emissions Target for Delaware Climate Change Action Plan (DECCAP)

**Emissions Target***
**2010 Forecast**** **
**2010 Reduction**

**:  15.11 MT CO****2**
**:  19.66 MT CO****2**
**:****   ****23%**

*** U.S. Kyoto target is a ****7% reduction**** from 1990 emission**
**   ****levels.   Delaware aggregate CO****2**** emissions in 1990 were**
**   ****16.25 mt (metric).**

## DE Climate Change Action Plan 

**Scenario Development Method**

## Delaware CO2 Emissions 

**Delaware CO****2**** Emissions **
**by Sector (1985-2010)***

**“****Business-as-usual” (BAU) forecast using equations based on the Delaware Econometric Model.**

## Sectoral Shares of Energy and CO2 Under the Delaware BAU Forecast for 2010

**Sectoral Shares of Energy and CO****2**** Under the Delaware BAU Forecast for 2010**

**  ****Sectors****	****	****	****      Energy****	****	****  CO****2**
**Industrial****	****	****	****       31.6 %****	****	****21.5 %**
**Residential****	****	****       10.0 %****	****	****  9.9 %**
**Commercial****	****	****         8.7 %****	****	****  9.5 %**
**Transportation****	****	****       24.2 %****	****	****29.6 %**
**Utility (losses only)****	****       25.5 %****	****	****29.6 %**

## DECCAPCO2 Reduction Scenarios

## DECCAPCO2 Reduction Measures for the Transportation Sector

**DECCAP****CO****2**** Reduction Measures ****for the Transportation Sector**

** ****Fuel Efficiency Improvements**
** ****Fuel Substitution**
** ****Transportation Control Measures**

## Data Sources: Transportation Sector

**USDOT / USDOE,***** Transportation Energy Data Book***
**STAPPA / ALAPCO,***** Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A Menu of Options (1998)***
**Interlaboratory Working Group (IWG),***** Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions: Potential Impacts of Energy-Efficient and Low-Carbon Technologies by 2010 (1997)***
**APOGEE Research, *****Costs and Effectiveness of Transportation Control Measures***
**Wisconsin Department of Natural Resource,***** Wisconsin Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Cost Study***
**DELDOT, *****Statewide Long-Range Transportation Plan***

## Cost-Effectiveness Criteria for Selection ofCO2 Reduction Scenarios

**Cost-Effectiveness Criteria for Selection of****CO****2**** Reduction Scenarios**

**	****    ****Payback Period < 5 years**
** ****Cost per ton of CO****2**** Avoided < $75**

## CO2 Reduction Measures: Transportation Sector

**CO2 Reduction Measures: ****Transportation Sector**

**Fuel Efficiency Improvements**
**Modest – 2 mpg for Passenger Cars and Light Duty Trucks**
**Major – 5.9 mpg for Passenger Cars, 3.4 mpg for Light Duty Trucks**
**Full Implementation – 7.7 mpg for Passenger Cars, 6.6 mpg for **
**                                         ****Light Duty Trucks**

**Alternative Fuel Vehicles (AFVs)**
**Modest – 1% Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Fleet Penetration**
**Major – 2% CNG Fleet Penetration**
**Full Implementation – 3.5% CNG & 2.5% Electric Vehicle (EV) Fleet ****	****Penetration**

**Transportation Control Measures (TCMs)**
**Modest – 3% Reduction in Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMTs)**
**Major – 11% Reduction in VMTs**
**Full Implementation – 20% Reduction in VMTs**

## Implementation Scenarios:Transportation Sector

**BAU**

**   ****Modest Commitment**

** ****Full Implementation**

** ****Major Commitment**

**Million Metric Tons CO****2**

## Percent Reduction in CO2 Emissions by Energy End-Use Sector Based on Forecast Emissions for 2010

_**DECCAP Target Reduction for Delaware in 2010 = 23%**_

## Keys to DCCC’s Success

**Adopt ****majority**** citizen group participation **
**Balance membership**** in the DCCC to include constituencies beyond the technical and scientific fields**
**Require ****consensus ****for measure selection and plan adoption**
**Utilize an ****NGO coordinator**

## Citizen Impact

**Measure Selection:**** Members ****vetoed**** gas tax proposal**
**Plan Scope:**** Members ****required**** inclusion of growth management strategies and education and outreach even though quantitative measures of their impacts were not available **
**Planning Process:**** Members ****required**** transparency of Action Planning**

## Conclusions

**Citizens are concerned about ****climate change**** and are prepared to ****plan actions**** **
**Effective planning requires ****capacity-building ****for ongoing and active community involvement**
**Practical, cost-effective strategies**** can be identified through consensus-based stakeholder planning**
**Delaware Climate Change Action Plan taken up in ****State Energy Planning**** process and ****‘Livable Delaware’**** project  **

## Delaware Climate Change Action Plan Available online:www.udel.edu/ceep

## Slide 22