# Presentation: 876466

## Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) 2008 IHC Update

**Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) 2008 IHC Update**

**USWRP**

**Jiann-Gwo Jiing****JHT Director****NHC**

**Shirley Murillo**
**NOAA/HRD**

**Chris Landsea**
**NHC**

**5 March  2008**

## Outline

**Status of Third Round Projects (FY05-06)**
**Status of Fourth Round Projects (FY07-08)**
**Challenges for 2008**

## Status of 3rd round JHT projects(FY05-07)

- NOAA projects completed in April 2007
- Non-NOAA projects completed in August 2007
- TPC/NHC POC provided evaluation and feedback
- JHT staff conducts IT evaluation
- JHT staff prepares final evaluations and reports to TPC Director

## Status of 3rd round JHT projects(FY05-07) 

- Center Directors’ decision on project acceptance
- 15 projects completed (August 2007)
- 11.5 projects accepted for operational implementation
- 3.5 projects require further evaluation
- Status of implementation
- 10 accepted projects implemented

## JHT Third Round (FY05-06) ProjectsDynamical model upgrades, observational, and assimilation projects

| Proposal Title | PIs | NHC POC | S |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Hurricane Model Transition to Operations at GFDL/NOAA | Bender | Pasch, Rhome | I |
| Hurricane Model Transition to Operations at GFDL/NOAA | Tuleya | Pasch | I |
| Drag Coefficient and Wind Speed Dependence in TCs | Powell | Franklin | I |
| Dynamic Initialization to Improve TC Intensity and Structure Forecasts | Liou | Pasch | P |
| Operational SFMR-NAWIPS Airborne Processing and Data Distribution Products | Carswell, Black, Chang | Beven, Mainelli, Sisko, Lauer | P/I |
| Mapping of Topographic Effects on Maximum Sustained Surface Wind Speeds in Landfalling Hurricanes | Miller | Beven | I |
| Assimilating Moisture Information from GPS Dropwindsondes into the NOAA Global Forecast System | Aberson | Franklin, Blake | I |
| WSR-88D-derived Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Changes Near Landfall | Lee, Harasti | Stewart, McAdie | I |

## JHT Third Round (FY05-06) Projects Intensity, structure, and track projects

| Proposal Title | PIs | NHC POC | S |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Improved Statistical Intensity Forecast Models | Knaff, DeMaria, Kaplan | Avila, Sisko | I |
| Enhancement of SHIPS Using Passive Microwave Imager Data | Cecil | Stewart, Sisko | P |
| Eastern Pacific Ocean Heat Content Estimates for SHIPS Forecasts | Shay, DeMaria | Avila, Mainelli | P |
| Continued Development of Tropical Cyclone Wind Probability Products | Knaff, DeMaria | Lauer | I |
| Estimating Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Utilizing an Empirical Inland Wind Decay Model | Kaplan | Stewart,  | I |
| Prediction of Consensus TC Track Forecast Error and Correctors to Improve Consensus TC Track Forecasts | Goerss | Beven | I |
| Development and Implementation of NHC/JHT Products in ATCF | Sampson | Sisko | I |

## Highlights of Implemented 3rd Round Projects

**Highlights of Implemented 3****rd**** Round Projects**

## Topographic Speed-up Mapping Tool

**Topographic Speed-up Mapping Tool**

## Status of 4th round (2007-2009) projects

- Application (28) Review completed in January 2007
- JHT & TPC Director sent recommendations (10 projects) to NOAA in early March 2007
- USWRP sent notifications to PIs on March 16
- Funding for NOAA PIs transferred in June 2007
- Funding for Navy and private PIs transferred in late September

## 4th Round (FY07) Recommended Funding DistributionTotal $1.04M ($1.5M announced)

**Private Companies 24%**

**NOAA 20%**

**State and Private Universities 33%**

**Navy (NPS, NRL) 11%**

**NASA 12%**

## 4th Round Recommended Project Focus Areas

| Primary Area of Focus | # of Projects |
| --- | --- |
| Improvements to dynamical models (for track, intensity, and precipitation forecasts) | 5 |
| Statistical intensity forecast guidance | 1 |
| Enhancements to observed data, assimilation | 0 |
| Tropical cyclone structure/wind/wave distribution | 2 |
| Track forecast guidance | 1 |
| Enhancements to operational environment | 1 |
| Total | 10* |

**4th Round Recommended Project ****Focus Areas**

## Challenges for FY08

**Managing 10 projects with wide spread starting dates**
**Review 4****th**** round two-year projects for second year funding**
**Preparation of the Announcement of Opportunity for the 5****th**** round (FY09-10)**
**Real-time Testing and evaluation**
**Implementation of new projects (NHC)**
**Future funding (FY09 - )**

## Summary of JHT Activities2001-2007

**Total projects funded (round 1-4) – 50**
**Number of projects completed (round 1-3) – 39**
**	****(One was denied funding after first year)**
**Number of projects accepted for implementation – 28.5**
**Number of completed projects not accepted – 4**
**Number of completed projects pending further evaluation – 6.5**
**Number of projects implemented – 25**

**Dedicated NHC & JHT staff, and close collaborations between the PIs, **
**NHC forecasters and support staff**

## Acknowledgements

- JHT Steering Committee
- Shirley Murillo, NOAA/HRD, JHT Admin. Asst.
- Chris Landsea, NHC, JHT Admin. Asst.
- Jose Salazar, JHT meteorologist/programmer
- JHT principal investigators and other funded participants
- USWRP
- NHC and EMC forecaster and points of contact
- NHC/Technical Support Branch staff
- NHC admin staff

## JHT Website

- Go to www.nhc.noaa.gov

## Questions?

## Supplemental Slides

## JHT Infrastructure

***Personnel ***
**Quarter-time Director (NOAA FTE)**
**7-member Steering Committee**
**Three from NOAA (one TPC), two from DOD, and two from the academic community**
**TPC member serves as co-Chair**
**Two quarter-time administrative assistants (NOAA FTE) **
**One IT Facilitator**
***Computing Resources***
**Server and workstations**
**Software**

## Factors Considered in TPC Decisionson Operational Implementation

**Forecast or Analysis Benefit:**** expected improvement in operational forecast and/or analysis accuracy**
**Efficiency:****  adherence to forecaster time constraints and ease of use needs**
**Compatibility:****  IT compatibility with operational hardware, software, data, communications, etc.**
**Sustainability:****  availability of resources to operate, upgrade, and/or provide support**

## JHT Fourth Round (FY07-08) Projects Intensity, structure, and track projects

| Proposal Title | PI | TPC POC |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Improving the Hurricane WRF-Ocean Coupled System for Transition to Operations  | Ginis, Isaac (Univ. of Rhode Island)  | Pasch, Mainelli,
Cangialosi
Lozano/Tolman (EMC)  |
| An Improved Wind Probability Estimation Program  | Stan Kidder
(CSU), DeMaria,
Mark (NESDIS)
Harr, Pat (NPS)  | Knabb, Lauer,
Mainelli  |
| Hurricane Model Transitions to Operations at NCEP/EMC  | Tuleya, Bob (SAIC)  | Pasch, Fiorino,
Rhome,
Surgi (EMC)  |
| Web-ATCF, user Requirements and Intensity Consensus  | Sampson, Charles (NRL)  | Knabb, Franklin, Sisko  |
| Evaluation and Improvement of Ocean Model Parameterizations for NCEP Operations  | Shay, Nick (UM) | Avila, Rhome, Baig,
Lozano(EMC)  |

## JHT Fourth Round (FY07-08) Projects Intensity, structure, and track projects

| Proposal Title | PI | TPC POC |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Operational Use of Near-Real Time Surface Directional Wave Spectra Generated from NOAA Scanning Radar Altimeter Range Measurements  | Walsh, Edward (NASA/GFSC)  | Beven, Willis,
Brown, Baig   |
| High Wind Drag Coefficient and Sea Surface Roughness in Shallow Water  | Powell, Mark
(NOAA/AOML) | Franklin, Blake,
Tolman (EMC)  |
| Validation and Processing Tools for the AF Reserves Command 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron WC-130J Multi-Aircraft SFMR Systems  | J. Carswell
(RSS, Inc.)
P. Black
(AOML)  | Beven, Brown,
Sisko, Christensen  |
| Evaluation and Improvement of Spray-Modified Air-Sea Enthalpy and Momentum Flux Paramete-rizations for operational Hurricane Prediction  | J. Bao, 
C. Fairall,
J. Wilczak
(ESRL)  | Pasch, Berg,
Fiorino,
Surgi/Kwon (EMC)  |
| TC Dressing: A Probabilistic Approach to Providing State Dependent, Non-Isotropic Forecast Track Error Guidance  | J. Hansen
J. Goerss
(NRL)  | Franklin, Blake,
Sisko, Mundell  |