# Presentation: 739828

## International Energy Outlook 2004

- Administrator
- Energy Information Administration
- Rocky Mountain Natural Gas Strategy Conference
- & Investment Forum
- Denver, Colorado

**August 9, 2004**

***International Energy Outlook 2004***

## International Energy Outlook 2004 indicates that over the next two decades...

- Energy use will grow strongly, especially among the developing countries (2.7% per year in the developing world)
- The developing world accounts for 58% of the growth in world energy demand between 2001 and 2025
- Developing Asia will account for 70% of the overall growth in the developing world’s energy use and 40% of worldwide growth.
- There will be continued reliance on fossil fuels through 2025; oil remains the dominant fuel type (39% of total world energy use)
- Natural gas is the fastest growing source of primary energy (2.2% per year)
- Coal will continue to be the predominant source for electricity generation, but natural gas will be an important supply source for power generation in many parts of the world, given its efficiency and environmental benefits.

## World Marketed Energy Consumption in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025

- 710

- 623

- 542

## World Gross Domestic Product in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025

## Energy Intensity by Region, 1970-2025

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2004*

## World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025

- World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025

## Energy Consumption in the Developing World, 1970-2025

- Energy Consumption in the Developing World, 1970-2025

## World Population by Region, 1970-2025

- World Population by Region, 1970-2025

## World Energy Use per Capita by Region, 1970-2025

- World Energy Use per Capita by Region, 1970-2025

## World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025

- Share of
- World
- Total

|  |  |
| --- | --- |

## Developing World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025

- Share of
- Developing
- World
- Total

|  |  |
| --- | --- |

## World Oil Consumption by Region, 2001, 2010, and 2025

## World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2004

- Source:  "Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production."*Oil & Gas Journal*,
- Vol. 100, No. 49 (December 22, 2003), pp. 46-47.

## Natural Gas Consumption by Region, 2001, 2010, and 2025

## World Natural Gas Reserves by Region, as of January 1, 2004

*Vol. 100, No. 49, December 22, 2003, pp. 46-47*

## Coal Consumption by Region, 2001, 2010, and 2025

## World Recoverable Coal Reserves as of January 1, 2001

## World Net Electricity Consumption by Region, 2001-2025

## Shares of Energy Use for Electricity Generation, 2001-2025

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2004*

## World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 1990-2025

- World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 1990-2025

## International Energy Outlook 2004 indicates that over the next two decades ...

- Energy use will grow fastest in the developing world
- Oil remains the dominant fuel type
- Natural gas will be the fastest-growing primary energy source
- Resources will be sufficient to meet demand through 2025
- Electricity will increase rapidly in the developing world
- Carbon dioxide emissions will continue to grow