# Presentation: 223680

**Rapid Prototyping Candidates: ****A Langley Perspective**
**Richard Eckman**

## NASA Strategic Plan (2006)

_**Sub-goal 3A: Study Earth from space to advance scientific understanding and meet societal needs**_
- NASA’s ***Applied Sciences Program*** will continue the Agency’s efforts in benchmarking the assimilation of NASA research results into policy and management decision-support tools that are vital for the Nation’s environment, economy, safety, and security.

## Next Generation Missions

## Assumptions

- RPC Experiments must align with agency, administration (e.g., CCSP/CCTP, US GEO), and international (GEOSS) programs goals & objectives.
- Engage researchers with experience in analyzing NASA satellite and model products (many partially funded by SMD R&A program)
- For next generation missions, must connect with instrument science teams for OSSE-generated simulated data sets
- Utilize systems engineering, visualization, and analysis expertise in a regional or national collaboratory setting

## Assumptions (cont’d.)

- Where appropriate, use current NASA satellite products or climatologies to explore suitability of next generation products in specific application (e.g., TRMM or GPCP for GPM, Aura for NPP, JASON for OSTM)
- Identify and, if possible, engage Decision Support Tool owners/agencies at an early stage

## Biofuel Crop Production Assessment 

_**RAPID PROTOTYPING V&V**_
_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS**_

- Observations

_**VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Next Generation Missions***

**Atmosphere: *****MODIS*****, *****SSE, TRMM, AMSR,**** ****CALIPSO, CloudSat, GPM, Glory, NPP, LDCM, ******“A-Train”***
**Land :*** ****Terrestrial Networks, ARM, SURFRAD***

**Climate Models:***** ******GISS Model E***
**Earth System & Climate Change: *****MAP 05*****, *****GEOS*****, *****GMAO Analysis***
**Seasonal Prediction Models:***** ******NSIPP Analysis***
**Aerosol Transport Models:***** RAQMS******, ******GMAO fvCAM***
**Atmospheric Analysis Projects: *****ISCCP, GPCP***
***Project Columbia (Supercomputing)***

**Biofuel Crop Production Assessment**** **

**Cloud systems**
**Soil Moisture**
**Tropical/Global Precipitation**
**Total Aerosol Amount**
**Trace gas profiles**
**Land Surface Topography**

**Crop Production Potential Models (e.g., Ecosys)**
**RFF Haiku Energy Model**
**Assess applicability of spaceborne measurement for crop production potential models**
**Use simulated next generation mission datasets to assess differences in model predictions of precipitation and downwelling solar radiation**
_***Interagency Alignment***_**: Climate Change Technology Program (CCTP), APPC**

** ****Global/Regional scale model products**
** ****Regional differences in precipitation, solar radiation wrt climatology**
** ****12 – 18 month seasonal forecasts**
** ****10 – 20 year forecasts**

** ****Optimize production of biofuel-relevant crops**
** ****Assess optimal mix of energy sources**

_**Draft For Discussion Purposes**_
**Richard Eckman 4/14/06**

***Potential ***
***Partners***

***Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor***

## NASA Spaceborne Measurements To Assess Efficacy of Carbon Sequestration

_**RAPID PROTOTYPING V&V**_
_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS**_

- Observations

_**VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Next Generation Missions***

**Atmosphere: *****Emission databases, ground-based measurements, airborne field missions, SSE, AMSR, AURA,**** ****OCO, Glory***
**Land :*** ****Terrestrial Networks, Field missions***

**Climate Model:***** ******GISS Model E. Hadley Centre***
**Earth System & Climate Change: *****CASA, GEOS***
**Regional Models**
**Project Columbia (*****Supercomputing)***

**NASA Spaceborne Measurements To Assess Efficacy of Carbon Sequestration**

**Natural & anthropogenic aerosols, black carbon**
**Global CO****2**
**CH****4****, other GHGs**

**CQUEST model**
**MiniCAM model**
**Use simulated data from OCO, Glory to assess improvements in earth system and regional models**
_***Interagency Alignment***_**: Climate Change Technology Program (CCTP), Climate Change Science Program (CCSP)**

** ****Global/Regional scale model products**
** ****12 – 18 month seasonal forecasts**
** ****Long-term forecasts**

** ****Carbon budget models**
** ****Carbon sequestration: assessment, monitoring, validation**
** ****Carbon credits, compliance**
** ****Policy decisions**

_**Draft For Discussion Purposes**_
**Richard Eckman 4/14/06**

***Potential ***
***Partners***

***Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor***

## Texas Air Quality Study Rapid Synthesis Experiment

_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS**_
_**RAPID PROTOTYPING V&V**_

- Observations

_**VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Next Generation Missions***

**Atmosphere: *****OMI, AIRS, TES, MODIS, AURA, ******CALIPSO, NPP, OCO***
**Field Mission: *****INTEX-B / Milagro***

**Regional Models (e.g., RAQMS)**

**Texas Air Quality Study Rapid Synthesis Experiment**

**Ozone**
**NO****2**
**CO**
**Aerosols**

**Air Quality Forecast Models**
**CMAQ model**
**Assess value of next generation missions in contributing to future coordinated experiments**
**Use spaceborne, surface, and airborne measurements and model data products for verification & validation of air quality modeling tools used in the Texas state implementation plan**

** ****Regional scale model products for transport**

** ****Assess regional scale influences on Houston and other TX metro area’s air quality**

_**Draft For Discussion Purposes**_
**Richard Eckman 4/14/06**

***Potential ***
***Partners***

***Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor***

## Understanding Ocean Circulation Using NASA Spaceborne Measurements

_**RAPID PROTOTYPING V&V**_
_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS**_

- Observations

_**VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Next Generation Missions***

**Atmosphere: *****AVHRR, TRMM, QuickSCAT, ICESat, ******Aquarius, GPM, OSTM***
**Surface: *****Buoys***

**Climate Models**
**Ocean Models: *****ECCO***
**GPCP**
**NSIPP**

**Understanding Ocean Circulation Using NASA Spaceborne Measurements**

**Sea Surface Salinity**
**Ocean Winds**
**Sea Surface Temperature**
**Global Precipitation**
**Sea Surface Height**

**Use TRMM measurements and Global Precipitation Climatology Project to simulate GPM measurements and assess their utility.**
**Use simulated data from Aquarius, GPM and existing measurements of SST, tropical precip. to estimate next generation mission contributions to water cycle modeling, climate change modeling**

** ****Global/Regional scale model products**
** ****Precipitation Models**
** ****Seasonal-long term model products**

** ****Water Cycle Models**
** ****Ocean Circulation**
** ****Coastal Fisheries**
** ****Coastal Runoff**
_*** ***__***International Alignment***_**: Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission**

_**Draft For Discussion Purposes**_
**Richard Eckman 4/14/06**

***Potential ***
***Partners***

***Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor***

## Operational NWP Data Assimilation 

_**RAPID PROTOTYPING V&V**_

- Observations

_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS / VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Next Generation Missions***

**Atmosphere: Weather, Chemistry and Aerosol data from: GOES, NOAA and MODIS imagers and sounders, AURA, ****CALIPSO/Cloudsat, *****NPP (CrIS, VIIRS), METOP (IASI******), GOES-R (ABI) and the list goes on...***
**Land :***  *

**Aviation Models:***** RUC, WRF RRC, COAMPS***
**Earth System: GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS *****GMAO Analysis***
**Aerosol Transport Models:***** RAQMS******, ******GMAO fvCAM, CMAQ***
**Atmospheric Analysis Projects: **** **

**Operational NWP Data Assimilation***** ***

**Atmospheric Chemistry**
**Total Aerosol Amount**
**Trace gas profiles**
**Basic State Variables**
**Cloud properties**

**Assess applicability of spaceborne measurement for operational global, mesoscale, micro-scale forecast models and nowcast tools for general, aviation severe weather, etc.**
**Use simulated next generation mission datasets to assess impact weather forecast and nowcast models**

** ****Global/Regional scale model products**
** ****Regional differences in precipitation, solar radiation**
** ****12 – 18 month seasonal forecasts**
** ****10 – 20 year forecasts**

** ****NWS WFSO’s, NOAA ADDS, NOAA NSSL Severe Wx Warnings**
**  ****Assist all users of general and ad hoc weather forecasts**

## Aircraft Emissions

_**RAPID PROTOTYPING V&V**_

- Observations

_**DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS / VALUE & BENEFITS**_

_**EARTH SYSTEM MODELS**_

_**EARTH OBSERVATIONS**_

- Predictions

****Next Generation Missions***

**Atmospheric Composition and Climate: ***OMI, TES****, NPP, GPM, Glory, Data from Geostationary orbit***
**Cloud:**** *****CALIPSO, CloudSat***
**Land :***  **land-use data will drive regional emission inventory*

**Climate Models:***** GISS Model E***
**Earth System & Climate Change: *****GMAO Analysis***
**Emission inventory**
**Aerosol Transport Models:***** RAQMS, GMAO fvCAM***
**Air Quality Model **** **

**Aircraft Emissions**

**Atmospheric ****Composition**
**Total Aerosol Amount**
**Basic State Variables**
**Cloud properties**

**Assess applicability of spaceborne measurements for quantifying environmental impacts from enroute and terminal areas operations**
**Use simulated next generation mission datasets to assess**
** ****impact on air quality and climate**
**Impact on cirrus cloud cover**

** ****Global/Regional scale model products**
** ****Regional differences in precipitation, solar radiation wrt climatology**
** ****Local air quality forecast**
** ****12 – 18 month seasonal forecasts**
** ****10 – 20 year forecasts**

** ****Air Quality Models (e.g., CMAQ)**
** ****Climate Models**
** ****Assist JPDO planning for Next Generation Air Transportation System (NGATS)**

## Conclusions

- Utilize R&A expertise of researchers (NASA centers, academia) to brainstorm, design, initiate RPC experiments in collaboration with research, engineering, visualization, and computation expertise of other partners (e.g., SSC, MRC, PNWRC, IAGT, ...)
- Connect with next generation mission science teams for OSSE-produced simulated data sets. Need facility responsible for maintaining this collaboration.