# Presentation: 249654

## NWS Climate Services

Climate Analysis, Monitoring, 
and Services Meeting 

Fiona Horsfall
OCWWS/Climate Services Division

October 24, 2003

- Climate Analysis, Monitoring,
- and Services Meeting
- Fiona Horsfall
- OCWWS/Climate Services Division
- October 24, 2003

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****Outline**

- Definition
- Vision
- CSD
- Role of Regional and Field Offices

## Real-time monitoring
Forecasting products and services
Models and technology, model output
Observations
Customer education, assistance, and outreach
Developing partnerships

- Forecasting products and services
- Models and technology, model output
- Observations
- Customer education, assistance, and outreach
- Developing partnerships

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****Definition**

- The timely production and delivery of useful climate data, information, and knowledge to decision makers
- A Climate Services Vision: First Steps Toward the Future, 2001, NRC

## Real-time monitoring of climate variability (including drought conditions) coast to coast down to the county level

New forecast products
Linking weather and climate on intraseasonal time scales
Downscaled to local levels
Reflecting new insight into warm season precipitation, drought, and the Southwest monsoon
Extending beyond a year to a decade or more 

_**New forecast products**_
- Linking weather and climate on intraseasonal time scales
- Downscaled to local levels
- Reflecting new insight into warm season precipitation, drought, and the Southwest monsoon
- Extending beyond a year to a decade or more

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****Vision**

## User-friendly provider to the private sector of NWS climate models, climate forecast model output, climate guidance products, and know-how

Capacity to ensure the accuracy and continuity of the U.S. historical record

Fully-mobilized regional and field offices for
Customer outreach
Downscaling climate forecasts
Product and information dissemination
Integration and quality control of surface observations

- Capacity to ensure the _**accuracy and continuity**_ of the U.S. historical record
_**Fully-mobilized regional and field offices**_ for
- Customer outreach
- Downscaling climate forecasts
- Product and information dissemination
- Integration and quality control of surface observations

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****Vision**

## To provide vision, direction, and resources to ensure NWS climate services are easily accessible, well understood, optimally used, and reflect customer needs

**To provide vision, direction, and resources to ensure NWS climate services are easily accessible, well understood, optimally used, and reflect customer needs**

## Provide direct staff and monetary assistance
Produce guidelines and directives
Ensure availability of training
Coordinate requirements
Facilitate partnerships

- Produce guidelines and directives
- Ensure availability of training
- Coordinate requirements
- Facilitate partnerships

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****CSD -- Roles**

**Notes:**
Provide resources to accomplish goal
Champion their cause to ensure they have the resources to do their job
NOAA has a very complicated budget process....PPBS....we will exploit this to protect our existing resources

**	**

**Bob Reeves**
**Technical Consultant**

**Marina Timofeyeva**
**Visiting Scientist**

- Contract

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****CSD -- Personnel**

**Notes:**
Barb Mayes
Customer Liaison/
Budget Officer

## CSD Chief and CPC Director sit on NCO Board
Matrix link to other LOs directly and through NOAA Climate Office (NCO)
Develops and champions NWS climate budget initiatives

- Matrix link to other LOs directly and through NOAA Climate Office (NCO)
- Develops and champions NWS climate budget initiatives

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****CSD -- Key External Activities**

## NWS CLIMATE SERVICES

**NOAA Climate **
**Office**

**Interagency Climate**
**Office**

**Climate Board**

**NCEP**

**NMFS**

**EMC**

**NOS**

**OAR**

**NESDIS**

**NWS**

**Focal **
**Points**

**CPC**

**CSD**

**WFOs/**
**RFCs**

**Regional**
**Manager**

**RCCs ****CWISE**

**OCWWS**

**Regions**

**NGDC**
**NCDC**
**NODC**

**OGP, CDC, **
**GFDL, **
**Sea Grant**

**RISAs, IRI,**
**Extension**

**Matrix Link**

**CSC, ****OCRM,**
**CWISE **

**FY 2001**

**FY 2003**

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES**
**NWS Climate Services Team**

**PPI**

## Special projects
Statistical downscaling of CPC outlooks for Western (WR), Alaska (AR), and Eastern (ER)  Regions
Definition of new homogeneous Climate Divisions for the United States (CDC/CIRES)
Development of an organizational model for regional climate services (CDC/CIRES)

- Special projects
- Statistical downscaling of CPC outlooks for Western (WR), Alaska (AR), and Eastern (ER)  Regions
- Definition of new homogeneous Climate Divisions for the United States (CDC/CIRES)
- Development of an organizational model for regional climate services (CDC/CIRES)

## NWS CLIMATE SERVICESThe Five Pillars

**NWS CLIMATE SERVICES****The Five Pillars**

- Climate Services    of the          National Weather Service

**Guidelines & Tools**

**Observations & Data**

**Climate Monitoring & Prediction Products**

**Education & Outreach**

**Partnerships**

**Notes:**
Field offices are the primary entry point of requests for climate services.  They are our interface with the public. It is our responsibility to give you tools to deliver services, and provide you with information on who you can refer people to when you need to.  

## 	Goal 1:  Organize and equip the regional and local offices with guidelines and tools to enhance climate services

	Assume ownership of program, self organize (dedicated Program Manager at RHQ, designated focal points at field offices), and commence planning and training in FY03.

- 	Goal 1:  O*rganize and equip the regional and local offices with guidelines and tools to enhance climate services*
- 	Assume ownership of program, self organize (dedicated Program Manager at RHQ, designated focal points at field offices), and commence planning and training in FY03.
*	*

## 	Goal 2:  Provide reliable, timely, accurate, and secure observations and metatdata for the climate record

	Ensure standards, rigorous metadata reporting, timely exchange of QC information with partners.

- 	Goal 2:  *Provide reliable, timely, accurate, and secure observations and metatdata for the climate record*
- 	Ensure standards, rigorous metadata reporting, timely exchange of QC information with partners.

- Jack Kelly:  Our legacy will be our data

**Notes:**
We want you to be the local conscience of NWS to preserve the historical record. Caretakers of the data. 

## 	Goal 3:  Enhance and extend CPC’s product suite to increase the use and effectiveness of regional and local climate information

	Involvement in CPC team activities; local studies, conditional probabilities, and statistical downscaling; feedback for product requirements; product development; testbed participation.

- 	Goal 3:  *Enhance and extend CPC’s product suite to increase the use and effectiveness of regional and local climate information*
- 	Involvement in CPC team activities; local studies, conditional probabilities, and statistical downscaling; feedback for product requirements; product development; testbed participation.
*	*

## 	Goal 4:  Conduct outreach to regional and local decisionmakers and users of climate services products

- 	Goal 4:  *Conduct outreach to regional and local decisionmakers and users of climate services products*

**Notes:**
Field offices are the one who understand their customers, observing sites, so we want you to be intersted in downscaling.  

## 	Goal 5:  Establish strong partnerships with the climate community to facilitate collaborations in the delivery of regional and local climate services

- 	Goal 5:  *Establish strong partnerships with the climate community to facilitate collaborations in the delivery of regional and local climate services*
*	*

## NOAA Climate Transition Program (NCTP)
 Developed in collaboration with OAR/OGP
 Develops a deliberate bridge for research     to applications 
Proposal process
Climate-sensitive research 
Transition to applications
Provides funding
Open to all 
For expanding regional/local climate services

** ****Developed in collaboration with OAR/OGP**
** ****Develops a**** ****deliberate bridge**** ****for research     to applications **
_**Proposal process**_
_**Climate-sensitive research**_** **
_**Transition to applications**_
_**Provides funding**_
_**Open to all**_** **
_**For expanding regional/local climate services**_

**NOAA Climate Transition Program**** *****Research to Applications***

**Notes:**
Leverage Existing Infrastructures

## NOAA Climate Transition Program Unit Model

**NOAA Climate Transition Program**** *****Unit Model***

**Notes:**
This represents a unit:

## Criteria for Proposal
Clearly defined roles	
Research 
Operations 
Decisionmaker
Extension	
Defined participant contributions

**Clearly defined roles****	**
**Research **
**Operations **
**Decisionmaker**
**Extension****	**
**Defined**** **_**participant contributions**_

**NOAA Climate Transition Program**** *****Unit Model***

**Notes:**
Other commitments

## Criteria for Proposal cont’d
Formal agreement between participants
Statement of duration and timeline
Benefit analysis (socio-economic and other quantative analyses, ecosystem benefits, etc.)
Address post audit (validation, verification, refinement, maintenance)
Expected outcome clearly defined

_**Formal agreement**_** ****between participants**
**Statement of**** **_**duration and timeline**_
_**Benefit analysis**_** ****(socio-economic and other quantative analyses, ecosystem benefits, etc.)**
**Address**** **_**post audit**_** ****(validation, verification, refinement, maintenance)**
**Expected**** **_**outcome clearly defined**_

**NOAA Climate Transition Program**** *****Unit Model***

**Notes:**
Other commitments

## Managed by NOAA Climate Office
Program manager
Cross line office Advisory Panel; NCO Director is approving official
Priorities set by Climate Board in response to recommendations from regions
Letter of Intent in response to Request for Proposal
Submission of Proposal
Review
Scaled recommendations of merit reviewers
Funding allocations
Recommendations of Advisory Panel
Benefits to regional/local climate-sensitive decisionmaking processes

**Program manager**
**Cross line office Advisory Panel; NCO Director is approving official**
**Priorities set by Climate Board in response to recommendations from regions**
**Letter of Intent in response to Request for Proposal**
**Submission of Proposal**
**Review**
**Scaled recommendations of merit reviewers**
**Funding allocations**
**Recommendations of Advisory Panel**
**Benefits to regional/local climate-sensitive decisionmaking processes**

**NOAA Climate Transition Program**** *****Proposal Process***

**Notes:**
Climate Board has cross-line office representation

## NCTP provides a NOAA backbone for 
	Cores for Regional Collaboration
Collaborate on projects for transition of regional products (including NCTP projects)
Build on existing partnerships (eg, in the west, RISA’s, CPC, CDC, WRCC) and develop new ones (WRHQ)
Channel regional climate information into useful regional and local products
Data and information sharing
Quality control

***	******Cores for Regional Collaboration***
**Collaborate on projects for transition of regional products (including NCTP projects)**
**Build on existing partnerships (eg, in the west, RISA’s, CPC, CDC, WRCC) and develop new ones (WRHQ)**
**Channel regional climate information into useful regional and local products**
**Data and information sharing**
**Quality control**

**NOAA Climate Transition Program**** *****What’s next?***

## Climate Cores

**Climate Cores**

**CORE**

**SCs**

**RCC**

**NOAA**

**Federal **
**research**

**Oversight/management**

**NWS**

**NESDIS**

**NOS**

**NMFS**

**OAR**

**RISAs**

**Non-profit**

**Private **
**Sector**

**Extension**

**Academia**

**State **
**entities**

**Federal **
**operations**

**PPI**

**County**
**Offices**

## Climate Cores

**Review consistencies **
**across regions**

**Identify policy issues**

**Establish collaborations**

**Identify operational issues**

**Set planning guidelines**

**Facilitate transition of **
**research to operations**

**Communicate funding **
**opportunities**

**Maintain dialogue for**
**regional issues**

**Make recommendations for**
**regional/local priorities**

**Climate Cores**

## A 3-step process
Gather information, needs
Regional conferences
Domain defined by issues, not politics
Develop a capacity for working
Research
Funding
Transfer
Operations
Extension
Delivery and improvement

***Gather information, needs***
**Regional conferences**
**Domain defined by issues, not politics**
***Develop a capacity for working***
**Research**
**Funding**
**Transfer**
**Operations**
**Extension**
***Delivery and improvement***

**Climate Cores**

## Synergistic Core Development

**Time**

**New**

**RISA **

**Development**

**Core**

**Meetings**

**FYO6**

**Frequency**

## Summary

**Climate Services – in the national spotlight**
**NWS – perfectly poised to deliver climate services**
**Implementing climate services**
**Developing partnerships**** **
**NOAA – leadership role in climate services**
**NCTP provides a mechanism for transfer of research to operations with funding attached**
**Climate Cores – enabling collaborations with regional and local climate communities**

**Thank You**