# Presentation: 866293

## American Statistical Association (ASA) Committee on Energy Statistics

**Guy F. Caruso, Administrator**
**Energy Information Administration (EIA****)**
**Washington, DC**
**October 5, 2006**

## Since the Last Meeting ...

**New Developments with the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS)**
**EIA Finalizes the Redesign of Voluntary Reporting of Greenhouse Gases Program  **
**Recent News:  (Discoveries at Jack #2 Well in the Gulf, Transition to Ultra-low Sulfur Diesel (ULSD), Ethanol and Biodiesel **
**EIA’s Current Budget (FY 2007) Activity **
**External Study Team**
**Progress for Strategic Planning **

##  Next Steps: National Energy Modeling System (NEMS)

**NEMS was developed 15 years ago**
**Currently undertaking major research and development**
**Soliciting input from various groups, such as:**
**Others in DOE**
**Trade associations**
**Research associations**
**Laboratories**

**Notes:**
Another effort launched this year is a project to further develop the National Energy Modeling System. NEMS was first designed and developed about 15 years ago. While extensive medications have been made over the years, we believe it is the appropriate time to request the additional resources to undertake some major research and development projects. You will be hearing more about this shortly. 

## Voluntary Reporting of Greenhouse Gases Program Redesign

**Responds To 2002 Presidential Directive**
**Major program redesign**
**Caused by Revisions to Guidelines**
**Redesign now being finalized**
**Fully implemented during 2007**
**Guidelines call for “Registered Reductions”**
**Encourages entity-wide reporting**
**Anticipate high quality emissions inventory**

## Recent News: Potential Impact on EIA’s Work

**Discoveries at Jack #2 Well in deep waters of the Gulf**
**Does not effect current STEO Outlook for 2007 because production test was a startup effort in exploratory stage**
**Transition to Ultra-low Sulfur Diesel (ULSD)**
**New standard became effective in June 2006**
**Some data are being collected on our supply forms**
**We are proposing that additional elements be collected on our marketing survey forms**

**Notes:**
Many of you have heard the recent news items that are expected to impact EIA data.

## Recent News (cont’d)Renewables Increasingly Important 

**Energy Policy Act (EPACT) 2005, Section 1508, requires the department to collect and publish monthly renewable fuels data on **
**Market prices**
**Quantities that are produced, blended, imported and demanded**
**EIA met with National Agriculture Statistics Service (NASS) to discuss common interests and possibly collaborate on the surveying of ethanol plants**

## Ethanol Issues (cont’d)

**Our goal is to improve the consistency of accounting of energy content of feedstocks **
**EIA is examining ways to **
**Use a consistent accounting approach for all liquid fuels **
**Present data in a consistent fashion across EIA **

## Biodiesel 

**EIA currently has no data on biodiesel **
**In the 2008 budget request, EIA proposed that the Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternative Fuels would construct a frame and begin collecting the data**

## EIA’s FY 2007 Budget

**EIA requested $89.8M  **
**Increase of $4.5M from FY 2006 **
**Funds 375 FTEs **
**Request pending before Congress**
**We anticipate action early 2007**
**Currently, there is no budgeted funding for **
**EIA-182 and EIA-856 (Petroleum Marketing)**
**EIA-767 (Electricity)**

**Notes:**
EIA-182 is the Domestic Crude Oil First Purchase Report 
EIA-856 is the Monthly Foreign Crude Oil Acquisition Report 
EIA-767 is the Steam –Electric Plant Operation and Design Report

## EIA’s Budget ComparisonFY 1998 to FY 2007

**Note:  FY 2007 depicts the Congressional Budget Request**

**EIA’s Budget Comparison****FY 1998 to FY 2007**

## External Study Team Recommendations

**Restore EIA’s ability to perform discretionary analysis to keep data collection and forecasting activities accurate, reliable and relevant**
**EIA’s Information Technology infrastructure should remain separate from DOE to meet the special needs of a statistical agency, including the increasing market sensitivity of EIA’s data releases**
**Make greater use of external market information in data, analysis and forecasting products by fully integrating data from deregulated markets **

**Notes:**
We’ve spoken to you in the past about our External Study Team, which was actually one of your recommendations.  Since the last meeting the team has reported back to EIA with their recommendations.

They recommended that we restore our ability to perform discretionary analysis to keep data collection and forecasting activities accurate, reliable and relevant.  In doing this, they suggested that we increase our interaction with the broader energy research community.

They also suggested that our Information Technology infrastructure should remain separate from DOE to meet the special needs of a statistical agency, including the increasing market sensitivity of EIA’s data releases.  In addition, they think that our market-sensitive data should be given “principal economic indicator” status.

Finally, they suggested that we make greater use of external market information in data, analysis and forecasting products by fully integrating data from deregulated markets.

We may be asking for advice on how to carry out these recommendations.  You will hear more about this in a presentation given by Howard Gruenspecht this afternoon.

## Progress for Strategic Planning 

**EIA is launching its sixth Strategic Plan**
**Plan will cover the period 2007-2011**
**EIA Study Groups to address:**
**Discretionary analysis, Agility, the International program, Working w/other Agencies, Using more market data, the Internet**
**Some of the issues addressed were identified by the External Study Team**

## Slide 13