# Presentation: 291607

## Unconventional Gas: Challenges, Successes, and Future Outlook

**EIA Midterm Energy Outlook**
** ****and Modeling Conference**
**Washington, DC**
**April 12, 2005**

**Ted McCallister**
**Energy Information Administration**
- _[ted.mccallister@eia.doe.gov](mailto:ted.mccallister@eia.doe.gov)_
**202-586-4820**

***Unconventional Gas Production Projections in***
*** ******the Annual Energy Outlook 2005: An Overview***

## Natural Gas Production by Source 1990-2025(Trillion Cubic Feet)

**History**

**Projections**

**Lower 48 Non-Associated Unconventional**

**Lower 48 Non-Associated Conventional Onshore**

**Lower 48 Non-Associated Offshore**

**Lower 48 Associated-Dissolved**

**Alaska**

## Unconventional Gas Share of Production

## U.S. Unconventional Natural Gas Production, 1990-2025 (trillion cubic feet)

**History**

**Projections**

**Tight sands**

**Coalbed methane**

**Gas shales**

## Cumulative Unconventional Gas Production by Region, 2003-2025 (Trillion Cubic Feet)

- DC

**Cumulative Unconventional Gas Production by Region, 2003-2025 (Trillion Cubic Feet)**

**    ****Northeast**

**      ****West Coast**

**  ****Rocky Mountain**

**    ****Midcontinent**

**   ****Southwest**

-   **Gulf Coast**

**Coalbed Methane**

**Gas Shales**

**Tight Sands**

## Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) - Northeast Region

- WI

- IL

- OH

- IN

- KY

- WV

- VA

- NC

- GA

- MI

- PA

- NJ

- NY

- CT

- MA

- VT

- NH

- ME

- TN

- SC

- MD

- DE

- RI

- DC

**Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) - Northeast Region**

**Appalachia**
**    ****(10 Tcf)**

**Illinois**
**(1 Tcf)**

## Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) - Gulf Coast Region

- TX

- FL

- AL

- MS

- LA

**Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) - Gulf Coast Region**

**Black Warrior**
**        ****(2 Tcf)**

**Cahaba**
** ****(1 Tcf)**

## Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) – Midcontinent Region

- NE

- MN

- IA

- MO

- AR

**Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) – Midcontinent Region**

- OK

- KS

- TX
- RR10

**Midcontinent**
**       ****(8 Tcf)**

## Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) - Rocky Mountain Region

- ID

- MT

- WY

- UT

- CO

- AZ

- NM
- WEST

- ND

- NV

- SD

**Coalbed Methane Basins (and Resources) - Rocky Mountain Region**

**Powder River**
**      ****(24 Tcf)**

**Greater Green River**
**            ****(2 Tcf)**

**Uinta**
**(6 Tcf)**

**Piceance**
**   ****(8 Tcf)**

**Raton**
**(6 Tcf)**

**San Juan**
**  ****(33 Tcf)**

## Coalbed Methane Production by Basin

**San Juan**
**   ****(-1.4%)**

**Powder River**
**      ****(+1.7%)**

**Non-Rocky Mountain**
**(0.6%)**

**Uinta-Piceance**
**(3.9%)**

**Other Rocky Mountain**
**              ****(0.5%)**

## Gas Shales Basins (and Resources) - Northeast Region

- WI

- IL

- OH

- IN

- KY

- WV

- VA

- NC

- GA

- MI

- PA

- NJ

- NY

- CT

- MA

- VT

- NH

- ME

- TN

- SC

- MD

- DE

- RI

- DC

**Gas Shales Basins (and Resources) - Northeast Region**

**Appalachia**
**    ****(19 Tcf)**

**Michigan Antrim**
**        ****(13 Tcf)**

**New Albany**
**     ****(2 Tcf)**

## Gas Shales Basins (and Resources) - Southwest Region

**Gas Shales Basins (and Resources) - Southwest Region**

**Fort Worth Barnett**
**          ****(45 Tcf)**

- NM
- EAST

- TX

## Gas Shales Basins (and Resources) - Rocky Mountain Region

- ID

- MT

- WY

- UT

- CO

- AZ

- NM
- WEST

- ND

- NV

- SD

**Gas Shales Basins (and Resources) - Rocky Mountain Region**

**San Juan**
**  ****(11 Tcf)**

**Williston**
**   ****(4 Tcf)**

## Gas Shales Production by Basin

**Michigan Antrim**
**        ****(-1.3%)**

**Fort Worth Barnett**
**           ****(5.3%)**

**Appalachia**
**     ****(2.6%)**

**San Juan**
**    ****(7.0%)**

## Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Northeast Region

- WI

- IL

- OH

- IN

- KY

- WV

- VA

- NC

- GA

- MI

- PA

- NJ

- NY

- CT

- MA

- VT

- NH

- ME

- TN

- SC

- MD

- DE

- RI

- DC

**Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Northeast Region**

**Appalachia**
**    ****(64 Tcf)**

## Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Gulf Coast Region

- TX

- FL

- AL

- MS

- LA

**Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Gulf Coast Region**

**Gulf Coast**
**   ****(30 Tcf)**

**East Texas**
**    ****(50 Tcf)**

## Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Midcontinent Region

- NE

- MN

- IA

- MO

- AR

**Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Midcontinent Region**

- OK

- KS

- TX
- RR10

**Anadarko**
**   ****(11 Tcf)**

**Arkoma**
**  ****(6 Tcf)**

## Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Southwest Region

**Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Southwest Region**

**Permian**
** ****(13 Tcf)**

- NM
- EAST

- TX

## Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Rocky Mountain Region

- ID

- MT

- WY

- UT

- CO

- AZ

- NM
- WEST

- ND

- NV

- SD

**Tight Sands Basins (and Resources) - Rocky Mountain Region**

**Greater Green River**
**           ****(99 Tcf)**

**Uinta**
**(10 Tcf)**

**Piceance**
**  ****(31 Tcf)**

**San Juan**
**  ****(22 Tcf)**

**Wind River**
**    ****(27 Tcf)**

**Denver**
** ****(8 Tcf)**

**Williston**
**(6 Tcf)**

## Tight Sands Production by Basin: Rocky Mountain Basins

**Greater Green River**
**            ****(3.3%)**

**Other Rocky Mountain**
**              ****(1.7%)**

**San Juan**
**  ****(-1.6%)**

**Uinta-Piceance**
**          ****(6.8%)**

## Tight Sands Production by Basin:Non-Rocky Mountain Basins

**East Texas**
**     ****(0.6%)**

**Texas Gulf**
**    ****(-3.0%)**

**Permian**
** ****(-1.9%)**

**Appalachia**
**      ****(1.7%)**

**Midcontinent**
**     ****(-3.2%)**

## Coalbed Methane Production Growth by Basin, 2025 vs 2003

**Non-Rocky Mountain**
**(32 Bcf)**

**Uinta-Piceance**
**(129 Bcf)**

**San Juan**
**(-236 Bcf)**

**Powder River**
**     ****(135 Bcf)**

**Other Rocky Mountain**
**(8 Bcf)**

## Gas Shales Production Growth by Basin, 2025 vs 2003

**Appalachia**
**  ****(101 Bcf)**

**San Juan**
**(144 Bcf)**

**Michigan Antrim**
**      ****(-38 Bcf)**

**Fort Worth Barnett**
**         ****(623 Bcf)**

## Tight Sands Production Growth by Basin, 2025 vs 2003: Rocky Mountain Basins

**Greater Green River**
**          ****(761 Bcf)**

**Other Rocky Mountain**
**              ****(144 Bcf)**

**San Juan**
**(-152 Bcf)**

**Uinta-Piceance**
**     ****(760 Bcf)**

## Tight Sands Production Growth by Basin: Non-Rocky Mountain Basins

**Appalachia**
**   ****(146 Bcf)**

**Gulf Coast**
**  ****(-455 Bcf)**

**Permian**
**(-99 Bcf)**

**Midcontinent**
**   ****(-217 Bcf)**

**East Texas**
**  ****(117 Bcf)**