# Presentation: 700153

## Long-Term Outlook for World Energy Markets

**Energy Information Administration**

**African Oil and Gas Forum**
**December 1, 2006**
**Bethesda, MD**

***Long-Term Outlook for World Energy Markets***

## World Oil Prices,1980-2030

**World Oil Prices,1980-2030**
**(2004 dollars per barrel)**

**Reference**

**High Price**

**Low Price**

- History

- Projections

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

## World and Regional GDP, 2003, andGDP Growth Rates, 2003-2030

**(billion 2000 dollars)**

**(annual average percent)**

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**50,786**

**13,516**

**12,273**

**10,799**

**4,716**

**2,878**

**3,075**

**2,173**

**1,357**

## World Marketed Energy Consumption, 1980-2030(quadrillion Btu)

**Reference**

**High Economic Growth**

**Low Economic Growth**

- History

- Projections

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**835**

**631**

**722**

##  World Energy Consumption,2003, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**234**

**186**

**270**

**294**

**309**

**413**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel, 1980-2030(quadrillion Btu)

**World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel, 1980-2030****(quadrillion Btu)**

**Oil**

**Natural Gas**

**Coal**

**33%**

**27%**

**9%**

**Renewables**

**Nuclear**

**26%**

**5%**

**Share of **
**World**
**Total**

- History

- Projections

**38%**

**24%**

**24%**

**8%**

**6%**

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

##  World Oil Consumption,2003, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**49**

**32**

**54**

**45**

**60**

**58**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2006(billion barrels)

*Oil & Gas Journal*, Vol. 103, No. 47 (December 19, 2005).

**World Total =**
**1,293 Billion Barrels**

## World Liquids Production(million barrels per day)

**Non-OPEC Conventional**

**OPEC Conventional**

**Unconventional**

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

##  World Natural Gas Consumption,2003, 2015, and 2030 (trillion cubic feet)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**50**

**45**

**63**

**72**

**74**

**108**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## World Natural Gas Reserves, as of January 1, 2006, andCumulative Consumption, 2003-2030 (trillion cubic feet)

**World Natural Gas Reserves =**
**6,112 Trillion Cubic Feet**
**World Cumulative Consumption,**
** ****2003-2030 =**
** ****3,671 Trillion Cubic Feet**

**Reserves**

**Cumulative Consumption, 2003-2030**

*International Energy Outlook 2006 *and* Oil & Gas Journal*, Vol. 103, No. 47 (December 19, 2005)

##  World Coal Consumption,2003, 2015, and 2030 (million short tons)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**2,476**

**2,964**

**2,774**

**5,018**

**3,436**

**7,125**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## World Recoverable Coal Reserves as of January 1, 2003(billion short tons)

*International Energy Annual 2003*

**World Total =**
**1,001 Billion Short Tons**

##  World Net Electricity Consumption,2003, 2015, and 2030 (billion kilowatthours)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**8,836**

**5,944**

**10,885**

**10,814**

**13,208**

**16,908**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## World Shares of Energy Use for Electricity Generation,2003-2030 (percent)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

- History
- Projections

##  World Nuclear Power Generation,2003, 2015, and 2030 (billion kilowatthours)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**2,135**

**388**

**2,294**

**647**

**2,307**

**993**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

##  World Renewables Consumption,2003, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**17**

**15**

**22**

**27**

**26**

**37**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

##  World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (million metric tons)

*International Energy Outlook 2006*

**2003**

**2015**

**2030**

**11,378**

**9,846**

**13,150**

**11,878**

**15,020**

**18,643**

**1990**

**17,496**

**26,180**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## www.eia.doe.gov

**guy.caruso@eia.doe.gov**

**   ****Periodic Reports**
***   ******Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports*****, weekly*****  ***
***   ******Short-Term Energy Outlook*****, monthly**
***   ******Annual Energy Outlook 2006*****, February 2006, next release December 5, 2006**
***   ******International Energy Outlook 2006*****, June 2006**
**   ****Examples**** of ****Special Analyses**
**    “****Economic Effects of High Oil Prices,” *****Annual Energy Outlook 2006***
**    *****Analysis of Oil and Gas Production in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge*****, **
**           ****March 2004**
**    *****The Global Liquefied Natural Gas Market: Status and Outlook, *****December 2003**
**    “****Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case,” *****Annual Energy Outlook 2005***
***    ***
**    **

**www.eia.doe.gov**