# Presentation: 231020

## Security and Risk Management in the Middle East

**In Presentation to:**

**Security and Risk Management in the Middle East**

**Middle East Business Forum**

## The Steele Foundation Overview

**The Steele Foundation Overview**

**MANAGING RISKS TODAY IS MORE COMPLEX THAN EVER BEFORE.**
- The Steele Foundation’s enterprise model enables you to focus on your core business while we focus on ours – managing your risks.
- With offices on five continents, Steele eliminates your need to manage multiple risk management vendors – we partner with your organization to provide the most professional deliverables in the industry, backed by unparalleled response times and global resources.
- Over 400 corporate customers rely on Steele to protect their company’s interests 24/7 – proactive and comprehensive, our service eliminates business risks that affect your bottom line before they happen.

**We ****enable**** business by protecting **
**    ****people, property and ****profit**

**لاشك أن التعامل مع الأخطار اليوم لهو أشد تعقيدا****مما كان في أي وقت مضى.** ان النموذج الذي تمثلهستيل للشركات الكبرى يمكنك من التركيز على جوهرعملك في الوقت الذي نركز نحن فيه على جوهر عملنا ـ**التعامل مع الأخطار المحدقة بك****.**
- ومن خلال مكاتب موجودة على القارات الخمس، تخلصكستيل من الحاجة لادارة العديد من موفري التعامل معالأخطار لأننا نتشارك مع مؤسستك لتوفير النتائج الأكثراحترافا في هذا المجال والمدعومة بأوقات تجاوب لا مثيللها وبموارد عالمية.
- ان أكثر من 400 شركة من عملائنا يعتمدون على ستيللحماية مصالح شركاتهم لمدة 24 ساعة في كل يوم منأيام الأسبوع ـ ان خدماتنا الفعالة والشاملة تنهي أخطارالعمل التي تؤثر على وضعكم المالي قبل أن تبدأ.

## Look for Comprehensive Support

**Look for Comprehensive Support**

- Market Analysis
- Competitive Intelligence
- Due Diligence
- Counterfeiting
- Mergers & Acquisitions
- Employee Misconduct
- Fraud • Theft
- Product Diversion
- Trademark Infringement

- Threat Management
- Profiling
- Forensic Analysis
- Training
- Aberrant Communication

- Vulnerability Testing
- Cybercrime
- Policy Creation
- Implementation
- Architecture & Design
- Forensic • Training
- Managed Services

- Executive / Dignitary Protection
- Workplace Violence Protection
- Estate Security
- Corporate Security
- Labor Dispute Management
- Environmental Terrorism
- High Threat Security Force
- Special Events

- Gap Analysis
- Kidnap & Ransom Programs
- Business Recovery and Continuity
- Workplace Violence Preparedness
- Functional Company Assessment
- Personal Security Vulnerability Assessment (PSVA)
- Executive Security Program Design
- Counter-Terrorism Programs
- Facility Assessments
- Business Practice Risk Analysis
- Management Consulting

- Security & Risk Management Training Programs
- Executive & Dignitary Protection Training
- Protective Driving & Motorcade Operations
- Advanced Protective Firearms Training
- High Risk Environment (HRE) Training
- Surveillance & Counter surveillance
- General Safety & Security Training
- Pre-Incident / Crisis Management Training
- Self Applied Protective Measures
- Security Awareness
- Mobile Training Teams (MTT)

## بغداد Baghdad Iraq

**Develop Multiple Bases of Support **

**The largest geographic footprint in the region:**
**الرياض** **Riyadh**** Saudi Arabia**
- Corporate headquarters for Middle East region
**الكويت** **Kuwait City**** Kuwait**
**عمان** **Amman**** Jordan**
**بغداد** **Baghdad**** Iraq**
**Corporate Offices:****  San Francisco**** USA,  ****Los Angeles**** USA,  ****New York**** USA, **
**London ****England, ****New Delhi**** India, ****Hong Kong**** China, ****Mexico City**** Mexico**
**Branch Offices:** Boston, Denver, Washington D.C., Chicago, St. Louis, Seattle, Minneapolis, Sao Paulo, Vancouver, and Manila

## 
Geographically - The ME region lies between east and west and is an intersection between Asia, Africa and Europe 

Culturally – The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is home to Islam and it will remain the centre of the Islamic world

Economically – The ME contains two-thirds of the world’s proven reserves of oil. In 2000, the ME supplied 21.7 mb/d representing 28% of world total demand which represent 47% of the total world oil import and - This importance will increase – The ME will produce 35 mb/d of oil in 2020, representing 33% of world total demand. Due to its production capacity, the ME will remain the stabilizing force in the world oil market 

Politically and Strategically – Past tensions in the ME have had an impact worldwide and have led to the deep involvement of foreign forces in the region. It will remain important - the impact of the ME will increase due to the fact that the region is in the midst of accelerating and transformational change. This outcome of the shift remains to be determined but the strains on the present system will increase.

The importance of the ME will likely further increase both in terms of the campaign against international terrorism and the war in Iraq. The US role will remain central

**Geographically **- The ME region lies between east and west and is an intersection between Asia, Africa and Europe
**Culturally **– The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is home to Islam and it will remain the centre of the Islamic world
**Economically **– The ME contains two-thirds of the world’s proven reserves of oil. In 2000, the ME supplied 21.7 mb/d representing 28% of world total demand which represent 47% of the total world oil import and - This importance will increase – The ME will produce 35 mb/d of oil in 2020, representing 33% of world total demand. Due to its production capacity, the ME will remain the stabilizing force in the world oil market** **
**Politically and Strategically **– Past tensions in the ME have had an impact worldwide and have led to the deep involvement of foreign forces in the region.** **It will remain important** - **the impact of the ME will increase due to the fact that the region is in the midst of accelerating and transformational change. This outcome of the shift remains to be determined but the strains on the present system will increase.
- The importance of the ME will likely further increase both in terms of the campaign against international terrorism and the war in Iraq. The US role will remain central

**The Middle East Region is the most strategically important region of the **
**globe for the indefinite future**

**Why is the region Important **

## 
Cultural Aspects

Economic Aspects
Labor Market Pressures (5,3 million job seekers by 2010 between age18-35 male and female)

Political Environment
Israel

**Cultural Aspects**
**Economic Aspects**
- Labor Market Pressures (5,3 million job seekers by 2010 between age18-35 male and female)
**Political Environment**
- Israel

**Understanding the Middle East **

**Strong family relationship and responsibility **
**Strong feelings with the past**
**Living by the Letter of the Book**
**Tribal**

**Cultural Aspects – Extreme Factors **

## 
Neither of the approaches attempted in the past have brought about a more stable security environment. Regional powers undeterable. 

Current Regional Security is constructed on a military paradigm based on mutual antagonism, iron-fist strategy. 

Regional Security therefore as a term is a misnomer. There is no common understanding of what a security framework for the region should look like.

**Neither of the approaches attempted in the past have brought about a more stable security environment. Regional powers undeterable. **
**Current Regional Security is constructed on a military paradigm based on mutual antagonism, iron-fist strategy. **
**Regional Security therefore as a term is a misnomer. There is no common understanding of what a security framework for the region should look like.**

**Regional Security – A Historical Perspective **

## 
Major US Presence/US Unilateralism

Presence of large land and Sea forces; distribution of military bases throughout region, military shift towards smaller GCC states and away from Saudi Arabia

Political Reform Program under Greater Middle East Partnership Initiative
Many Arabs stand ready to fight Israel and thus the USA as supporter of Israel

Rising and unprecedented anti-Americanism and anti-Western sentiments dangerous mix
Protests and inciting dialogue in mosques and schools
Mentality being a martyr is more and more  accepted

Iraq instability is affecting the entire region
Increased Radicalism with diffuse violence spreading: The case of Saudi Arabia (war against terrorism fatalities, Security Forces= 39, Nationals = 18, Expatriates = 55, Injuries:439) (May 2003-August 2004)

_**Major US Presence/US Unilateralism**_
**Presence of large land and Sea forces; distribution of military bases throughout region, military shift towards smaller GCC states and away from Saudi Arabia**
**Political Reform Program under Greater Middle East Partnership Initiative**
- Many Arabs stand ready to fight Israel and thus the USA as supporter of Israel
**Rising and unprecedented anti-Americanism and anti-Western sentiments dangerous mix**
- Protests and inciting dialogue in mosques and schools
- Mentality being a martyr is more and more  accepted
**Iraq instability is affecting the entire region**
- Increased Radicalism with diffuse violence spreading: The case of Saudi Arabia (war against terrorism fatalities, Security Forces= 39, Nationals = 18, Expatriates = 55, Injuries:439) (May 2003-August 2004)

**Current Regional Security Situation **

## US/UK Forces in the Region 

| Country | US Stationed Forces | UK Stationed Forces |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Iraq | 146,400 | 11,000 |
| Kuwait | 38,160 | 3,000 |
| Oman | 270 | 33 |
| Qatar | 3,300 |  |
| Bahrain | 4,500 |  |
| UAE | 570 |  |
| Total | 193,200 | 14,033 |

**US/UK Forces in the Region **

## Iran: Under Increasing Pressure 
Domestically: 	Population over 70 million
			- almost 60% below age of 24
			- tremendous pressure on the existing system 
Strategically: 	Iranian nuclear program
			threat of 	 → US/Israeli military action
				 → IAEA to refer case to UN Security Council 

_**Iran: Under Increasing Pressure **_
- Domestically: 	Population over 70 million
- 			- almost 60% below age of 24
- 			- tremendous pressure on the existing system
- Strategically: 	Iranian nuclear program
- 			threat of 	 → US/Israeli military action
- 				 → IAEA to refer case to UN Security Council

_**Iraq: Deteriorating Security – Civil War cannot be excluded**_
**US Casualties****	****	**: 1,039 (Sept. 24, 2004)
**Iraqi Casualties****	****	**: more than 15,000 (conservative estimate)**Kidnappings****	****	**: more than 150 since May 03
**Strength of Resistance**	:** **5,000 (Nov. 2003) (e)
- 			  20,000 (Sept. 2004) (e)
**Political Uncertainty****	**:  Elections – Acceptance, Rejection, 				   Modification

_***Sources***_**: **News Agencies; Brookings Institution, Iraq Index updated September 30, 2004.** **

## Scenarios for the Future 

**Scenarios for the Future **

## Risk vs. Reward 

**  ****Large number of Opportunities**
**  ****Significant opportunities for economic growth and profit**
**  ****Be informed, Be prepared**
**  ****Align with regional culture for long term success**

## Contact Information:

**Speaker – Kenn Kurtz**
**Chief Executive Officer**
**Geoffrey Mann**
**Senior Manager**
**+1 212.561.5190**
**gmann@wwsteele.com**