# Presentation: 675980

## Brian McInerneyHydrologistNational Weather ServiceHydrologic OutlookFebruary 2006

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Temperature

## DecemberSalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 1.3 degrees warmer than average

## JanuarySalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 5.2 degrees warmer than average

## FebruarySalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 2.2 degrees warmer than average

## TemperatureWestern US Departure from Normal

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Precipitation

## Precipitation

## Utah and neighboring statesSeasonal Precipitation 2006 Water Year

## Western U.S. Precipitation

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Snowpack

- Courtesy of NRCS

## Bear River Basin Snow

## Weber River Basin Snow

## Provo River Basin Snow

## Duchesne River Basin Snow

## Sevier River Basin Snow

## Virgin River Basin Snow

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Water Supply Forecast

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volumes

- Much Above Normal
- Above Normal
- Normal
- Below Normal
- Much Below Normal

- February 1st 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
- Utah Area River Basins

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Bear River Basin**

- Logan

- 139%

- Bear River

- Bear Lake

- Woodruff

- 124%

- Ut/Wy
- Stateline

- 119%

- Blacksmith Fork

- Hyrum

- 144%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st, 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Weber River Basin**

- Pineview Res.

- 129%

- Gateway

- 152%

- East Canyon Res.

- 161%

- Ogden River

- Lost Creek Res.

- 136%

- Weber River

- Chalk Creek

- 120%

- Oakley

- 124%

- Rockport Res.

- 129%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st, 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Six Creeks River Basin**

- Jordan River

- Little Cottonwood Creek

- 125%

- Big Cottonwood Creek

- 132%

- Mill Creek

- 113%

- Parleys Creek

- 120%

- Dell Fk.

- 119%

- City Creek

- 109%

- Emigration Ck.

- 111%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st, 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Provo River Basin**

- Utah Lake

- Woodland

- 125%

- Jordanelle Res

- 128%

- Deer Creek Res

- 127%

- American Fork

- 141%

- Castilla

- 123%

- 126%

- Provo River

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st, 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Green River Basin**

- Lake Powell Res.

- 105%

- Green River

- 120%

- Price River

- Strawberry Res.

- 119%

- Starvation Res.

- 111%

- Scofield Res.

- 100%

- Colorado River

- Duchesne

- 114%

- Myton

- 119%

- Upper Stillwater

- 115%

- Randlett

- 114%

- Moon Lake

- 107%

- Tabiona

- 110%

- Red Fleet Res.

- 84%

- Flaming Gorge Res.

- 112%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st, 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Sevier River Basin**

- Hatch

- 60%

- Kingston

- 62%

- 84%

- Cedar City

- 65%

- Sevier River East Fork

- Piute Res.

- 61%

- Minersville

- 52%

- Beaver River

- Beaver

- 81%

- Clear Creek

- Sevier River

- Sevier

- 77%

- Gunnison

- 52%

- Salina Creek

- Ephraim Creek

- Sevier Lake

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- February 1st, 2006
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Virgin River Basin**

- Santa Clara River

- Virgin River North Fork

- Virgin River East Fork

- Pine Valley

- 45%

- Littlefield, AZ

- 32%

- Virgin

- 45%

- Hurricane

- 36%

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Long Range Forecast

## La Nina ConditionsFebruary 10th 2006

## Equitorial Sea Surface ForecastMarch – April - May 

## Contact Information

- This presentation can be found at:
- _http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/Saltlake/river/presentations_
- Additional Information
- Contact
- Brian McInerney
- Hydrologist
- National Weather Service
- 801-971-2033 c
- brian.mcinerney@noaa.gov