# Presentation: 125900

## 
Kay Metcalf
NOAA GOES DCS Program Manager
Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution

**Kay Metcalf**
**NOAA GOES DCS Program Manager**
**Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution**

- NOAA’s Satellite and Information Service

**GOES DCS:**
**NOAA RISK MANAGEMENT PROJECTS FOR THE GOES DCS**

## WHY IS RISK MANAGEMENT NECESSARY?

-  28,000 PLATFORMS ASSIGNED
- MOST ARE FOR EMERGENCY WARNING CAPABILITY
- LIFE OR DEATH APPLICATIONS
- SOMETIMES THE ONLY MEANS OF COMMUNICATION OR WARNING FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
- PACIFIC ISLANDS
- CARIBBEAN
- CENTRAL AMERICA
- SOUTH AMERICA
- LOW COST, LOW MAINTENANCE FITS MOST BUDGETS
- EMERGENCY WARNING AGENCIES IN U.S. DEPEND ON GOES DCS
- USERS HAVE EXPRESSED CONCERN IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS

## RISK Identification(As Identified by STIWG)

**DAPS FAILURE**
**PILOT FAILURE**
**WALLOPS GROUND SYSTEM FAILURE**
**INABILITY TO MEET CAPACITY DEMANDS**
**LACK OF AWARENESS OF CRITICAL APPLICATIONS BY NOAA MANAGEMENT**

## MITIGATION TECHNIQUES

**ATTEMPTED ONE BIG PROJECT:  **
- RESULT:  FAILURE
**MULTIPLE SMALLER PROJECTS**
**MODULAR APPROACH**
- TRY SOMETHING AND MAKE SURE IT WORKS
- MOVE ON TO NEXT STEP

## DAPS FAILURE

**RISKS**
- 1989 VINTAGE SYSTEM
- INCREASING NUMBER OF FAILURES
- DIMINISHING SERVICE EXPERTISE
- REPLACEMENT PARTS MORE DIFFICULT TO FIND
**MITIGATION**
- LRGS SYSTEMS FED FROM DAMS-NT
- DADDS READY TO DISSEMINATE DOMSAT & NWSTG
- TESTED
- HAS PERFORMED WELL IN RECENT CRITICAL FAILURES

## DAPS FAILURE...CONTINUED

**LONG TERM STRATEGY**
- DADDS FUNCTIONALITY BASED ON DIGITAL DEMODULATORS
- DEVELOP MODULAR FUNCTIONALITY
- EXPAND TO FULL DAPS REPLACEMENT SYSTEM
- PROJECTED TIME FRAME 2007-EARLY 2008

## DADDS FEATURES

**ENHANCED SIGNAL PROCESSING CAPABILITY**
**BETTER MONITORING OF INDIVIDUAL PLATFORMS**
**BETTER OVERALL SYSTEM VIEW**
**DATA-BASE FOCUS ALLOWS EASIER QUERYING AND REPORTING**
**BETTER GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION**
- CHANNEL ASSIGNMENTS
- CHANNEL ACTIVITY
- ERROR CONDITIONS
- PLATFORM PERFORMANCE
- SYSTEM PERFORMANCE

## PILOT FAILURE

**RISK**
- EQUIPMENT IS AGING
- PERCEIVED UNIDENTIFIED FLUCTUATIONS
**MITIGATION**
- NOAA IS ANALYZING PILOT STATUS AND PILOT PERFORMANCE
- NO FORMAL PLAN YET
- EMERGENCY PILOT CAN BE OPERATED FROM WBU
- NOT TESTED OR CERTIFIED
**LONG TERM STRATEGY**
- POSSIBLE FUTURE SCENARIO
- MULTIPLE PILOTS AT MULTIPLE FREQUENCIES FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS

## Wallops Ground System Failure

**RISK**
- SINGLE POINT OF FAILURE OF GRAVE CONCERN TO USERS
**MITIGATION**
- NOAA BACKUP PLANS
- ENOUGH EQUIPMENT ON HAND TO DEPLOY FULL CHANNEL BACKUP
- DADDS SOFTWARE CAN BE REPLICATED WHEN READY
- PARTIAL BACKUP CAN BE DEPLOYED IN FEW MONTHS
- LONG TERM STRATEGY
- AS DADDS EXPANDS BACKUP WILL BE EXPANDED

## Wallops Ground System Failure(Continued)

**MITIGATION**
- USER BACKUP PLANS
- EDDN BEING DEVELOPED BY USGS
- COOPERATING WITH OTHER DCS USERS TO PROVIDE COMPLETE DATA STREAM WHEN NECESSARY
**LONG TERM STRATEGY**
- STIWG AGENCIES WILL COOPERATE TO SUPPORT EDDN TO SUPPORT ALL USERS
- NOAA SUPPORTIVE OF THIS CONCEPT

## INABILITY TO MEET GROWING CAPACITY DEMANDS

**RISK**
- GROWING NUMBERS OF NEW USERS AND APPLICATIONS, AND INCREASED NUMBER OF PLATFORMS/OBSERVATIONS/SENSORS FOR EXISTING USERS
**MITIGATION**
- 100/300 AUTO DETECT FOR CAREFULLY SELECTED CHANNELS
- HDR TRANSITION WELL UNDERWAY
- MORE EFFICIENT ASSIGNMENT STRATEGIES
- CERTIFICATION FOR NBT ALMOST COMPLETE
- LONG TERM REALLIGNMENT WILL DOUBLE CHANNELS
**LONG TERM STRATEGY**
- CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE WAYS TO MAKE MORE EFFICIENT USE OF BANDWIDTH

## INSUFFICIENT UNDERSTANDING OF CRITICAL DCS APPLICATIONS BY NOAA MANAGEMENT

**RISK**
- USE OF GOES DCS FOR EMERGENCY WARNING HAS GROWN IN USER COMMUNITY WITHOUT FULL AWARENESS BY NOAA
**MITIGATION**
- NEW NOAA DCS STEERING GROUP (DSG) AT MANAGEMENT LEVEL TASKED WITH EDUCATING NOAA AND NESDIS ABOUT CRITICAL USES
**LONG TERM STRATEGY**
- EDUCATE NOAA MANAGEMENT, IMPROVE STRATEGIC PLANNING AND SUPPORT FOR GOES DCS