# Presentation: 664220

## National Weather Service2nd Quarter Review 

***June 28, 2002***

## Spending Plan-OR&F

**Spending**** ****Plan-OR&F**

|  | 2000 |  |  |  | 2001 |  |  |  | 2002 |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Plan |  114.6  |    232.0  |    395.3  |    554.0  |    154.4  |    303.3  |    437.2  |    586.0  |    148.6  |    319.2  | 479.6  |    640.0  |
| Actual |    101.7  |    250.6  |    389.7  |    552.2  |    125.6  |    271.4  |    409.5  |    580.0  |    132.3  |    285.1  |  |  |
| % Variance | 11.2% | -8.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 18.7% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% |  |  |

## Spending Plan-PAC

**Spending Plan-PAC**

|  | 2000 |  |  |  | 2001 |  |  |  | 2002 |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Plan |  16.8 |      15.3  |      26.1  |      50.0  |      36.7  |      38.1  |      58.7  |      59.7  |     18.8  |      30.1  |    53.7  |      68.0  |
| Actual |      11.9  |      15.4  |      27.0  |      47.4  |        6.4  |      17.1  |      31.2  |      57.8  |        8.4  |      20.9  |  |  |
| % Variance | 29.0% | -0.8% | -3.6% | 5.3% | 82.6% | 55.1% | 46.8% | 3.3% | 55.3% | 30.6% |  |  |

## FTE

**FTE**

|  | 2000 |  |  |  | 2001 |  |  |  | 2002 |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Plan |  1,090  |    2,337  |    3,524  |    4,739  |    1,246  |    2,466  |    3,641  |    4,703  |    1,181  |    2,445  |    3,629  |    4,792  |
| Actual |    1,223  |    2,432  |    3,643  |    4,848  |    1,185  |    2,371  |    3,555  |    4,743  |    1,186  |    2,343  |  |  |
| % Variance | 12.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | -4.2% |  |  |

## Performance Metrics

**Tornado Lead Time**

| Goal |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 11.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 3.4 | 4 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.36 | 10.9 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 10.0 |  |  |  |  |  |
| # Events | 667 | 661 | 1009 | 1261 | 1252 | 1189 | 1421 | 1128 | 1244 | 1269 | 1176 | 1544 | 1603 | 1045 | 1205 |  |  |  |  |  |

## Performance Metrics

| Goal |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 45.0 | 46.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 48.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 7.8 | 9.2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 13.5 | 16.5 | 22.0 | 17.9 | 26.6 | 42.6 | 50.3 | 51.0 | 44.3 | 42.7 | 46.6 |  |  |  |  |  |
| # Events | 934 | 436 | 1367 | 2320 | 2015 | 1722 | 2108 | 2190 | 2437 | 2793 | 3229 | 3142 | 2713 | 2324 | 2779 |  |  |  |  |  |

**Flash Flood Lead Time**

## Performance Metrics

**Tropical Prediction Center*****Yearly average 48 Hour Track Forecast Error, Atlantic Basin***

## Performance Metrics

**Aviation Ceiling and Visibility Forecast for Instrument Flight Rules **
**(500- 1000 ft. ceiling/ 1-3 miles visibility)**

**Actual**

**Actual**

**Goal**

**Goal**

| FAR | 72 | 71 | 72 | 78 | 72 | 77 | 71 | 66 | 64 | 62 | 66 | 64 | 69 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| POD | 42 | 47 | 46 | 47 | 49 | 45 | 42 | 46 | 47 | 49 | 46 | 49 | 47 |

**2001**

**2002**

**Fiscal Year**

| 71 | 70 | 68 | 66 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 45 | 46 | 47 | 49 |

## Performance Metrics

**Global Weather Model Performance**
**(Anomaly Correlation at 500mb)**

**Northern **
**Hemisphere**

**Southern **
**Hemisphere**

**1= Perfect**
**0.6= No skill**

## Performance Metrics

**Global Weather Model Performance**
**(Anomaly Correlation at 500mb)**

**Northern **
**Hemisphere**

**Southern **
**Hemisphere**

## Performance Metrics

**Global Weather Model Performance**
**(Anomaly Correlation at 500mb)**

**Northern **
**Hemisphere**

**Southern **
**Hemisphere**

## Performance Metrics

**Climate****Seasonal Temperature-Forecast Skill**

**Scores**
**0:       Chance**
**20:     Good**
_**>**_** 30:  Outstanding**

**Actual**

**Thru Mar.**

**Goal**

## Safety and Environmental Compliance

***Overall Accomplishments***
**Established  safety and environmental compliance as a top priority for NWS managers and employees**
**Reallocated resources in FY01 and FY02 to fund safety and environmental compliance needs**** **
***Safety Accomplishments***
**Published NWS Safety Policy and Procedures (FY01)**
**Completing Safety and Fall Protection/Rescue Training in FY02**** **
***Environmental Compliance Accomplishments***
**Published NWS Environmental Policy & Completed Training (FY01)**
**Updating Oil Spill Prevention Plans for 113 NWS Sites by FY03.   ****As of May 2002, 34% Complete.**

## Safety and Environmental Compliance

***Program Spending***
**40% spending increase from FY00 to FY02:**
*FY 2000: $1.99M*
*FY 2001: $3.04M*
*FY 2002: $3.36M*
***Performance Measures***

| Audits: Average Findings Per Site |  |  |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
|  | FY99 | FY00 | FY01 | FY02 thru May 31 | Goal by FY05 |
| Safety | 9.20 | 9.00 | 9.25 | 4.50          *2 of 8 FY02 sites | 4.50 |
| Environmental | 1.60 | .70 | .75 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Safety-Employee Accidents Per Year |  |  |  |  |  |
| Accident | 47 | 27 | 44 | 32 | TBD |

## Safety and Environmental Compliance

**Safety: $2.658 M**

**Environmental: $0.701 M**

**Safety and Environmental Compliance**

## Safety and Environmental Compliance

***Challenges***
***  ******Culture***
***  ******Resources***
***  ******Data Reporting - Accidents***