# Presentation: 444963

## Overview of the 2006 NASA

**Overview of the 2006 NASA**
** ****Modeling, Analysis and Prediction  Project**
**MAP’ 06:**
**In Support of NASA**
** ****Earth Science and Technology**** **
**Bill Lapenta (NASA/MSFC)**
**Michele Rienecker (GMAO/GSFC)**
**Mike Seablom (SIVO/GSFC)**
**Updated July 2006**

## NASA Conducts Observation Driven Modeling....

**Satellites provide global coverage of Earth system parameters **
**Satellites characterize variability at seasonal-to-interannual timescales**
**Satellites provide information to initialize and validate coupled model systems**
**NASA emphasizes the optimal use of these data for analysis and prediction**

**NASA Conducts Observation Driven Modeling....**

**Improved scientific understanding**
**Hypothesis testing**
**Prediction**

**Models used for:**

## The 2006 NASA Modeling and Analysis Project

_**Objective:**_** **
**	****Application of NASA’s satellite remote sensing technologies and earth system modeling capabilities to improve understanding and prediction of tropical cyclones**
_**Science Questions:**_
**Can satellite data assimilation improve prediction (out to 5 days) of easterly waves, tropical cyclogenesis and hurricanes? **
** ****What impact is gained with increased model resolution?**
**What role do aerosols play in tropical cyclogenesis in the Atlantic basin?**
**What roles do land – ocean – atmosphere interactions play in the structure and evolution of easterly waves as they propagate off the western African coast?**

## The Approach....

**Employ global (GEOS-5) and regional (WRF) modeling systems**
**Conduct data assimilation using GSI with GEOS-5 **
**Satellite DA and model assessment/evaluation using multiple satellite sensors/missions ****(AIRS, MODIS, AMSU, TRMM, CloudSat/CALIPSO)**
** ****Conduct global assimilation and simulations during the 2006 hurricane season --- statistically significant assessment of performance**
**Run regional WRF on demand with GEOS-5 initial and lateral boundary data**
**Formed a Science Working Group to coordinate experiments and subsequent analysis**
**Enabled by NASA High End Computing **

## NASA Conducting Tropical Cyclone Campaign:

**Leverages off AMMA SOP-3 and will be based in Cape Verde**
**Multidisciplinary approach involving Weather, Water & Energy, Composition foci**
**Platforms:  DC-8, Aerosonde, TOGA & NPOL radars, micropulse lidars**
**Partnering with European consortium, NOAA HRD**
**NAMMA-06 science in line with CCSP objectives**

**NASA Conducting Tropical Cyclone Campaign:**
** ****N-AMMA-06**

## GEOS5: Realizing the power of Columbia

**GEOS5: Realizing the power of Columbia**

**1 degree resolution**

**0.5 degree resolution**

**0.25 degree resolution**

**0.25 degree resolution**

**1 degree resolution**

**0.5 degree resolution**

**Verifying Analysis from NOAA/NCEP**

**Precipitation Rate**

**Sea Level Pressure**

**Columbia allows high resolution and rapid time-to-solution**

## Weather Research and Forecasting Model

**Regional modeling component a new addition for MAP06**
**Developed capability to initialize with GEOS-5/GSI analyses**
**Can run with ARW core with plans to include NMM**
**Focus on air-sea interactions with MODIS 1-km SST composites**
**Land-atmosphere interactions using the Land Information System (LIS) & cloud microphysics (GCE)**
**Conduct regional DA experiments**
**Cloud processes evaluation using Cloudast/Calipso**

## Proposed MODIS SST Composite for MAP’ 06

**Proposed MODIS SST Composite for MAP’ 06**

## WRF used as “Model of Opportunity”

**WRF used as “Model of Opportunity”**

_**Normal Ops**_
**N-AMMA Region**
**Florida/Gulf Coast**
**CloudSat Overpass**
_**Special Ops**_
**Tropical storms**
**Hurricane-US coast**

## Access to High End Computing

**Access to High End Computing**

- Test

- G5DAS

- G5, WRF

- G5DAS

## Visualization Techniques

**Web-based VMS**

**HyperWall Technology**

## Summary

** ****Project focused on scientific issues**
**Assimilation perspective—GSI framework**
**Assessment of FV dynamics within GEOS-5**
**Model assessment and evaluation**
**Includes process study perspective**
**Cross cuts several Interagency and NASA programs**
**Relevant to NASA-NOAA Research and Operations**
**Building links between JCSDA (NCEP/GMAO) and the NASA SPoRT activities**
**Coordination with US-AMMA Activities**
**Provide support to N-AMMA**
**DA Sensitivity studies complement those proposed by J. Dunion at AMOL/HRD**
**Provides supplemental track and intensity forecasts to TPC and FSU**
**Global and regional modeling PI’s working together on common scientific problems and interests**