# Presentation: 248953

## Jack HayesNOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, and National Weather Service Director

***13******th****** Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology***
***88th AMS Annual Meeting***
***New Orleans, Louisiana***
*January 21, 2008*

- NWS Vision for
- Aviation Weather

## NWS Mission & Aviation Weather

**Provide climate, water, weather forecasts and warnings to protect life ****and property and ****enhance the economy**
**76 billion observations**
**4 million aviation forecasts**
**94 thousand aviation warnings**

**A Typical Year Brings:**** **
*7 Hurricanes*
*1,000 Tornadoes*
*5,000 Floods*
*10,000 Violent Thunderstorms*
*Drought Conditions*
*500 Deaths; 5,000 Injuries; **$14 Billion in Losses*

## NWS Aviation ServicesFacilities

## NWS Aviation ServicesSeamless Suite of Products

***Minutes***

***Hours***

***Days***

***6 – 10 Days***

***8 – 14 Days***

***Months***

***Seasons***

***Years***

***Forecast ***
***Uncertainty***

**Protection of**
**Life & Property**

**Hydropower**

**Recreation**

**Ecosystem**

**State/Local**
**Planning**

**Environment**

**Flood Mitigation**
**& Navigation**

**Agriculture**

**Reservoir**
**Control**

**Health**

**Space****Operations**

**Fire Weather**

**Energy**

**Outlooks**
**Guidance**
**Threats ****Assessments**
**Forecasts**
**Watches**
**Warnings & Alert ****Coordination**

**Forecast Lead Time**

**Benefits**

**Aviation/**
**Transportation**

**NWS Aviation Services*****Seamless Suite of Products***

## NWS Aviation ChallengesWeather & Traffic Density

**NWS Aviation Challenges*****Weather & Traffic Density***

**Which weather system has greater impact on the NAS?**

## Working to meet challenges
NWS aviation service  improvements
New and experimental products
Next Generation Air Transportation System

**Working to meet challenges**
***NWS aviation service  improvements***
***New and experimental products***
***Next Generation Air Transportation System***

**NWS Aviation Services*****What We’re Doing***

## What We’re DoingToday’s Aviation Service Improvements

**Improved CWSU program**
***Better situational awareness***
- Weather Impacted Traffic Index
***More accurate ******“real time” picture ***
**New products**
***Tactical decision aids***

## Graphical Aviation Forecast (GFA)

**What We’re Doing*****New Products***

## Adding water vapor sensors to MDCRS
Integrating TAMDAR data
Enhancing radar coverage
Planning for future
Networked observations integrated into common operational weather picture
Aircraft becoming nodes in a weather sensing network

**Adding water vapor sensors ****to MDCRS**
**Integrating TAMDAR data**
**Enhancing radar coverage**
**Planning for future**
***Networked observations ******integrated into common ******operational weather picture***
***Aircraft becoming nodes in a ******weather sensing network***

**What We’re Doing*****Improving Observations***

## Improving models
Refining automated digital products
Moving to AWIPS II
Planning for future
Systems enabling meteorologists to add value to digital forecasts
Integration of multiple forecasts into a single weather picture

**Refining automated ****digital products**
**Moving to AWIPS II**
**Planning for future**
***Systems enabling ******meteorologists to add ******value to digital forecasts***
***Integration of multiple forecasts ******into a single weather picture***

**What We’re Doing*****Improving Forecasts***

## Planning 4D Weather Cube
Meteorologist oversight
Digital probabilistic forecasts
Continuous updates
Adding elements to NDFD
Collaboration via JPDO (DOD, FAA, NOAA)

***Meteorologist oversight***
***Digital probabilistic forecasts***
***Continuous updates***
**Adding elements to NDFD**
**Collaboration via JPDO ****(DOD, FAA, NOAA)**

**What We’re Doing*****NextGen: 4D & Digital Data***

## Providing all NAS Managers and Users with common weather picture 
Enabling better collaboration among user groups
Resulting in more consistent decisions
Building confidence with more accurate and timely weather information
Enabling more effective utilization of available airspace
Causing fewer delays and re-routes

***Enabling better collaboration among user groups***
***Resulting in more consistent decisions***
**Building confidence with more accurate and timely weather information**
***Enabling more effective utilization of available airspace***
***Causing fewer delays and re-routes***

- A Common Weather Picture will
- Reduce the Amount of Airspace
- Constrained by Adverse Weather

**What We’re Doing*****NextGen: Decision Support***

## Provide accurate and timely aviation weather services for the safety and efficiency of NAS
Improve observations and forecasts 
Promote common weather situational awareness 
Integrate weather information into decision making

***Improve observations ******and forecasts ***
***Promote common ******weather situational ******awareness ***
***Integrate weather ******information into ******decision making***

**Our Commitment*****Aviation Weather Services*****  **

## Slide 14