# Presentation: 666447

## National Weather Service3rd Quarter Review 

***September 19, 2002***

## FY 2000 Spending Plan-OR&F

**FY 2000 Spending**** ****Plan-OR&F**

| Plan | 114.6 | 232.0 | 395.3 | 554.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 101.7 | 250.6 | 389.7 | 552.2 |
| % Variance | 11.2% | -8.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Actual Variance | 12.9 | -18.6 | 5.7 | 1.8 |

## FY 2001 Spending Plan-OR&F

**FY 2001 Spending**** ****Plan-OR&F**

| Plan | 154.4 | 303.3 | 437.2 | 586.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 125.6 | 271.4 | 409.5 | 580.0 |
| % Variance | 18.7% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Actual Variance | 28.8 | 31.9 | 27.8 | 6.0 |

## FY 2002 Spending Plan-OR&F

**FY 2002 Spending**** ****Plan-OR&F**

| Plan | 148.6 | 319.2 | 477.1 | 634.7 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 132.3 | 285.1 | 443.2* |  |
| % Variance | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% |  |
| Actual Variance | 16.2 | 34.1 | 34.0 |  |

***Thru June 2002**

## FY 2003 Spending Plan-OR&F

**FY 2003 Spending**** ****Plan-OR&F**

| Plan | 160.6 | 345.0 | 518.4 | 691.7 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

## FY 2000-2003 Spending Plan-OR&F

**FY 2000-2003 Spending**** ****Plan-OR&F**

| Plan | 114.6 | 232.0  |   395.3  |    554.0  |  154.4  |   303.3  |  437.2  |  586.0  |   148.6  |   319.2  | 477.1 |  634.7 | 160.6 | 345.0 | 518.4 | 691.7 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 101.7  | 250.6  |   389.7  |    552.2  |   125.6  |    271.4  |   409.5  |   580.0  |    132.3  |   285.1  | 443.2 |  |  |  |  |  |
| % Variance | 11.2% | -8.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 18.7% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% |  |  |  |  |  |

## FY 2000 Spending Plan-PAC

**FY 2000 Spending**** ****Plan-PAC**

| Plan | 16.8 | 15.3 | 26.1 | 50.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 11.9 | 15.4 | 27.0 | 47.4 |
| % Variance | 29.0% | -8.0% | -3.6% | 5.3% |
| Actual Variance | 4.9 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 2.6 |

## FY 2001 Spending Plan-PAC

**FY 2001 Spending**** ****Plan-PAC**

| Plan | 36.7 | 38.1 | 58.7 | 59.7 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 6.4 | 17.1 | 31.2 | 57.8 |
| % Variance | 82.6% | 55.1% | 46.8% | 3.3% |
| Actual Variance | 30.3 | 21.0 | 27.5 | 1.9 |

## FY 2002 Spending Plan-PAC

**FY 2002 Spending**** ****Plan-PAC**

| Plan | 18.8 | 30.1 | 44.7 | 67.9 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 8.4 | 20.9 | 41.7* |  |
| % Variance | 55.3% | 30.6% | 6.6% |  |
| Actual Variance | 10.4 | 9.2 | 3.0 |  |

***Thru June 2002**

## FY 2003 Spending Plan-PAC

**FY 2003 Spending**** ****Plan-PAC**

| Plan | 20.9 | 33.4 | 59.6 | 75.6 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

## FY 2000-2003 Spending Plan-PAC

**FY 2000-2003 Spending Plan-PAC**

| Plan | 16.8 | 15.3  | 26.1  | 50.0  | 36.7  | 38.1  | 58.7  | 59.7  | 18.8  | 30.1  | 44.7  | 67.9  | 20.9 | 33.4 | 59.6 | 75.6 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 11.9  | 15.4  | 27.0  | 47.4  | 6.4  | 17.1  | 31.2  | 57.8  | 8.4  | 20.9  | 41.7 |  |  |  |  |  |
| % Variance | 29.0 | -0.8 | -3.6 | 5.3 | 82.6 | 55.1 | 46.8 | 3.3 | 55.3 | 30.6 | 6.6 |  |  |  |  |  |

## FY 2000 FTE

**FY 2000 FTE**

| Plan | 1,090 | 2,337 | 3,524 | 4,739 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 1,223 | 2,432 | 3,643 | 4,848 |
| % Variance | 12.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Actual Variance | 133 | 95 | 119 | 109 |

## FY 2001 FTE

**FY 2001 FTE**

| Plan | 1,246 | 2,466 | 3,641 | 4,703 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 1,185 | 2,371 | 3,555 | 4,743 |
| % Variance | -4.9% | -3.9% | -2.4% | 0.8% |
| Actual Variance | -60 | -96 | -86 | 40 |

## FY 2002 FTE

**FY 2002 FTE**

| Plan | 1,181 | 2,445 | 3,604 | 4,753 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 1,186 | 2,343 | 3,531 |  |
| % Variance | 0.5% | -4.2% | -2.0% |  |
| Actual Variance | 5 | -102 | -73 |  |

## FY 2003 FTE

**FY 2003 FTE**

| Plan | 1,196 | 2,362 | 6,560 | 4,792 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

## FY 2000-2003 FTE

**FY 2000-2003 FTE**

| Plan | 1,090 | 2,337 | 3,524 | 4,739 | 1,246 | 2,466 | 3,641 | 4,703 | 1,181 | 2,445 | 3,604 | 4,753 | 1,196 | 2,362 | 3,560 | 4,792 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 1,223 | 2,432 | 3,643 | 4,848 | 1,185 | 2,371 | 3,555 | 4,743 | 1,186 | 2,343 | 3,531 |  |  |  |  |  |
| % Variance | 12.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | -4.2% | -2.0% |  |  |  |  |  |

## Federal Employees (Positions), Contractors and Grantees

| Fed. Employees | 5,017 | 4,846 | 4,938 | 4,759 | 4,960 | 4,859 | 4,932 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Contractors | 628 | 628 | 695 | 695 | 746 | 746 | 757 |
| Grantees | 58 | 58 | 59 | 59 | 59 | 59 | 59 |

**Planned vs. Actual**

## Administrator’s Metrics

**Tornado Lead Time**

|  | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Goal | 12.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| Actual | 9.8 | 10.0 | 12.0* |  |  |
| # Events | 1045 | 1205 | 770* |  |  |

***Thru June 2002**

## Administrator’s Metrics

**Tornado Lead Time**

| Goal |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 12.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 3.4 | 4 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.36 | 10.9 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 12.0* |  |  |  |  |  |
| # Events | 667 | 661 | 1009 | 1261 | 1252 | 1189 | 1421 | 1128 | 1244 | 1269 | 1176 | 1544 | 1603 | 1045 | 1205 | 770* |  |  |  |  |  |

***Thru June 2002**

**<<**

## Administrator’s Metrics

**Flash Flood Lead Time**

***Thru June 2002**

|  | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Goal | 55.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 46.0 | 47.0 |
| Actual | 42.7 | 46.6 | 59.5* |  |  |
| # Events | 2324 | 2779 | 1,989* |  |  |

## Administrator’s Metrics

| Goal |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 55.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 46.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 48.0 | 48.0 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 7.8 | 9.2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 13.5 | 16.5 | 22.0 | 17.9 | 26.6 | 42.6 | 50.3 | 51.0 | 44.3 | 42.7 | 46.6 | 59.5* |  |  |  |  |  |
| # Events | 934 | 436 | 1367 | 2320 | 2015 | 1722 | 2108 | 2190 | 2437 | 2793 | 3229 | 3142 | 2713 | 2324 | 2779 | 1989* |  |  |  |  |  |

**Flash Flood Lead Time**

***Thru June 2002**

**<<**

## Administrator’s Metrics

**Tropical Prediction Center*****Yearly average 48 Hour Track Forecast Error, Atlantic Basin***

| Goal |  |  | 142 | 120 | 115 | 110 | 108 | 105 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Actual | 132 | 126 |  |  |  |  |  |  |

## Administrator’s Metrics

**Tropical Prediction Center*****Yearly average 48 Hour Track Forecast Error, Atlantic Basin***

**<<**

## Administrator’s Metrics

**5 Day Global Weather Model Performance **
**(Anomaly Correlation at 500mb)**

| NH Operational | 76.3 | 78.5 | 79.5 | 80.5 | 82 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NH Control | 71.4 | 71.6 | 71.8 | 72 | 72 |
| NH % Improvement | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| SH Operational | 71.5 | 75.9 | 78 | 79.5 | 81 |
| SH Control | 61.4 | 63.7 | 64 | 64.7 | 65 |
| SH % Improvement | 16.5% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 24.6% |

## Administrator’s Metrics

| Total Number of Obs. (M/Day) | 2.00 | 2.00 | 95.00 | 575.00 | 575.00 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Processed (M/Day) | 0.96 | 0.96 | 45.6 | 546.25 | 546.25 |
| Assimilated (M/Day) | 0.34 | 0.34 | 16.15 | 103.5 | 115.00 |
| Exponential increase over FY00 | - | 0 | 45x | ~300x | ~340x |

**Usage of Satellite Data**

## Safety and Environmental Compliance

***Safety Accomplishments***
- Achieved 100% response (172 replies) to VADM Lautenbacher’s Safety Self-Inspection Checklist. Provided compiled checklists and analysis to NOAA OFA.
- Completed Safety for 226 employees and Fall Protection/Rescue Training for 668 employees
- Sent 4 NWS Personnel to NOAA sponsored DuPont Training.
- Closed 42 of 46 Safety Assessment Findings.
***Environmental Compliance Accomplishments***
- Updating Oil Spill Prevention Plans for 113 NWS Sites by FY03.   As of June 2002, 34% Complete.
- Trained 40 in Environmental Compliance and provided Refresher training for 22.
- Closed 9 of 9 Environmental Assessment Findings.

## Safety and Environmental Compliance

**Safety and Environmental ****Compliance**

**Budget by Fiscal Year**

**FY 2002 Budget Breakdown**

## Safety and Environmental Compliance