# Presentation: 674213

## Brian McInerneyHydrologistNational Weather ServiceHydrologic OutlookJanuary 2005

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Temperature

## June Salt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 1.2 degrees warmer than average

## July Salt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 3.2 degrees warmer than average

## August Salt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 1.4 degrees cooler than average

## SeptemberSalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 0.2 degrees cooler than average

## OctoberSalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 1.4 degrees warmer than average

## NovemberSalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 0.6 degrees cooler than average

## DecemberSalt Lake City Temperature Departure from Normal

- 2.5 degrees warmer than average

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Precipitation

## Precipitation

## Seasonal Precipitation2005 Water Year

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Water Supply Forecast

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volumes

- Much Above Normal
- Above Normal
- Normal
- Below Normal
- Much Below Normal

- January 1st 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
- Utah Area River Basins

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Bear River Basin**

- Logan

- 87%

- Bear River

- Bear Lake

- Woodruff

- 92%

- Ut/Wy
- Stateline

- 111%

- Blacksmith Fork

- Hyrum

- 94%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st, 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Weber River Basin**

- Pineview Res.

- 105%

- Gateway

- 100%

- East Canyon Res.

- 97%

- Ogden River

- Lost Creek Res.

- 92%

- Weber River

- Chalk Creek

- 100%

- Oakley

- 110%

- Rockport Res.

- 108%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st, 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Six Creeks River Basin**

- Jordan River

- Little Cottonwood Creek

- 112%

- Big Cottonwood Creek

- 105%

- Mill Creek

- 100%

- Parleys Creek

- 92%

- Dell Fk.

- 93%

- City Creek

- 102%

- Emigration Ck.

- 98%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st, 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Provo River Basin**

- Utah Lake

- Woodland

- 108%

- Jordanelle Res

- 111%

- Deer Creek Res

- 112%

- American Fork

- 116%

- Castilla

- 94%

- 108%

- Provo River

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st, 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Green River Basin**

- Lake Powell Res.

- 98%

- Green River

- 98%

- Price River

- Strawberry Res.

- 110%

- Starvation Res.

- 115%

- Scofield Res.

- 97%

- Colorado River

- Duchesne

- 114%

- Myton

- 136%

- Upper Stillwater

- 122%

- Randlett

- 157%

- Moon Lake

- 132%

- Tabiona

- 105%

- Red Fleet Res.

- 124%

- Flaming Gorge Res.

- 92%

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st, 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Sevier River Basin**

- Hatch

- 140%

- Kingston

- 136%

- 147%

- Cedar City

- 138%

- Sevier River East Fork

- Piute Res.

- 140%

- Minersville

- 16%

- Beaver River

- Beaver

- 137%

- Clear Creek

- Sevier River

- Sevier

- 141%

- Gunnison

- 130%

- Salina Creek

- Ephraim Creek

- Sevier Lake

## Forecasted Utah Spring Snowmelt Runoff Volume

- January 1st, 2005
- April Through July Volume Forecast
- Percent of 30 Year Average Flows
**Virgin River Basin**

- Santa Clara River

- Virgin River North Fork

- Virgin River East Fork

- Pine Valley

- 182%

- Littlefield, AZ

- 176%

- Virgin

- 172%

- Hurricane

- 175%

## Hydrologic Outlook

- Long Range Forecast

## Equatorial Ocean Surface Phases

## El Nino ConditionsNovember 30th 2004

## El Nino’s Effects on Utah

## Summary

- Snowpack is very healthy
- Soil moisture is much improved over last year
- Approximately three months remaining in snow collection season
- Long range forecast skill is weak
- Looks promising at this point in time

## Contact Information

- http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/Saltlake/river/presentations
- Additional Information
- Contact
- Brian McInerney
- Hydrologist
- National Weather Service
- 801-971-2033 c
- brian.mcinerney@noaa.gov