# Presentation: 685022

## Natural Gas Data Systems

*Conceptual Framework*
- Measurement and Dissemination
- Current Developments and Changes

*Roy Kass*
*Energy Information Administration*
*August, 2000*

## Slide 2

## Wellhead Production

- Gas
- Processing
- Plant

- Pipeline

- Underground
- Storage

- Local
- Distrib.
- Company

- Residential
- Commercial
- Industrial
- Elect. Util.

- Imports

- Generalized Schematic**Sales **of Natural Gas in U.S.

***Third Party***
***  ******(Marketer, Broker***)

_*Consumers*_

## Measurement and Dissemination of Natural Gas Data

**Production**
**Storage**
**Consumption by Residential, Commercial, Industrial**
**Consumption by Regulated Utilities**
**Consumption by Other Electric Generation**
**Transportation**

## Measurement and Dissemination of Natural Gas Data

- _Overarching Fact of Current Natural Gas Data Surveys_:
*Respondents are companies that physically deliver the gas and who report on a “custody” or physical delivery basis.*

## (NGM)

*Monthly*
*Form*
*EIA-857*
*(NGM**)*

*Monthly Form*
*EIA-191 (NGM)*

*Monthly *
*Form*
*EIA-895*
*(NGM)*

## Natural Gas Production

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Survey of Producing States and Mineral Management Service

- “Evolving Estimate” in *Natural Gas Monthly*.  Full data are not complete until the Fall of the following year

## Underground Natural Gas Storage

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Monthly Survey of Storage Field Operators -- asking injections, withdrawals, base gas, working gas.
**Confidential Survey**

- State- and National-level aggregates published in *Natural Gas Monthly *

## Residential, Commercial and Industrial Consumption

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Monthly Survey of 400 Company/States
-   (Delivered to End Users)
-   ***Confidential Survey***

- Aggregated by State and Nation in *Natural Gas Monthly*
-   Volumes by Sector
-   Price (onsystem sales only) by Sector

## Consumption at Regulated Electric Utilities

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Surveys of Regulated Electric Utilities
-    One focusses on volumes consumed
-    Another focusses on price of fuel consumed

- Aggregated by State and Nation in *Natural Gas Monthly*
-   Volumes consumed by Electric Utilities
-   Price of fuel used in generation by Electric Utilities

## Volumes and Prices: Special Datasets for Monthly Data

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

***Special datasets on Web***
-   Text files for Total United States
-   Flat files with synopsis of State x Sector volumes,                      	prices and percentage onsystem sales

- Monthly Surveys already noted

## Annual State-To-State Flows

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Annual Survey of Entire Natural Gas Industry
***Not Confidential***

- State Level Aggregates -- *Natural Gas Annual*
- Micro Level Responses* -- EIA-176 Query System*

## Measurement and Aggregation of Annual Supply, Disposition, Prices

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Annual Survey of Entire Natural Gas Industry
***Not Confidential***

- National, Regional, and State Level Aggregation -- *Natural Gas Annual* and *Historical Natural Gas Annual*

## Measurement and Respondent-level Dissemination:Annual Supply, Disposition, Prices

- _Measured By_

- _Disseminated Through_

- Annual Survey of Entire Natural Gas Industry
***Not Confidential***

- Micro-level database -- *EIA176 Query System*

## Screens from

*Natural Gas Page*
*of*
*EIA Web Site*

## If the several slides containing captured screen material are not legible, you may go to the EIA web site directly as described in the following table

- The URL for the Energy Information Web Site is http://www.eia.doe.gov

## Slide 17

## Slide 18

## Slide 19

## Natural Gas Page on EIA Web Site

**Natural Gas Page on EIA Web Site**
**(Upper Screen)**

## Natural Gas Page on EIA Web Site

**Natural Gas Page on EIA Web Site**
**(Lower Screen)**

- Link to
- Next Generation
- Natural Gas

- Link to
- Restructuring

## Natural Gas Data Publications Page: Top Screen

**Natural Gas Data Publications Page: Top Screen**

## Natural Gas Data Publications Page: Lower Screen

**Natural Gas Data Publications Page: Lower Screen**

## Natural Gas Monthly on Monthly Selection: Top Panel

**Natural Gas Monthly on Monthly Selection: Top Panel**

## Natural Gas Monthly on Monthly Selection: Second Panel

**Natural Gas Monthly on Monthly Selection: Second Panel**

- Machine
- Readable
- Extracts of
- Consumption
- By State/Month

*PDF Files of Publication follow below*

## Natural Gas Page: Applications 

**Natural Gas Page: Applications**

- Select
- Applications

- Query System for Company-level Annual Data

## Natural Gas Page: To Import 176 Query System

**Natural Gas Page: To Import 176 Query System**

## Natural Gas

*Data Systems*
*Development*

## Need for Natural Gas Systems Development

*Problems** with EIA’s Current Natural Gas Information Program*

- The data collection program currently in place was designed before industry restructuring
- Changes in the regulatory environment and industry restructuring have challenged EIA’s ability to provide information on the natural gas industry
- EIA captured only 15 % of industrial prices in 1998 compared with 75 % in 1984
- With customer choice program underway for residential and small commercial consumers, coverage of prices paid by those consumers will likely decline as well
- There is currently no coverage of many new transportation and marketing activities which have developed in the energy market.

## Natural Gas Data Systems Development

**With changes in the regulatory and financial environment, EIA’s natural gas systems are increasingly unable to successfully measure the industry**

**  Separation of equity from custody flows*
**  Rise of Actors outside the scope of current systems*
**  Development of new phenomena such as market hubs*

## Percentage of Natural Gas Deliveries For Which Price is Measured, By Sector: 1984 forward

***Percentage of Natural Gas Deliveries For Which Price is Measured, By Sector: 1984 forward***

## NEXT GENERATION * NATURAL GAS (NG)2

- A project to design and implement a new, comprehensive information program for natural gas to meet customer requirements in the
-  post-2000 time frame.

## Next Generation * Natural Gas

- Project Overview

**Data Requirements**

**Information Collection**
**Redesign**

**Cognitive and**
**Pilot Testing**

**Implementation**

**Industry**
**Conceptual**
**Design**

**Focus Group**
**Report**

## Next Generation * Natural Gas

**Data Requirements**

**Determine Initial**
**Requirements**
**4/30/99**

**Refine Requirements**
**(within EIA)**
**8/1/99**

**Finalize Data**
**Requirements**
**4/1/00**

**Secure Buy-In for**
**Data Requirements**
**(Outside EIA)**
**3/1/00**

**Operationalize Data**
**Requirements**
**6/1/00**

**Focus Group**
**Report**

**Quality Assurance**
**Projects**

**Industry**
**Conceptual**
**Design**

## Customer Input
Focus Groups
Executive Interviews

- Focus Groups
- Executive Interviews

**(NG)****2****:  *****Data Requirements***

## (NG)2: Identification of Data Needs

- Market data to assess competitiveness
- Pipeline capacity data
- Roles of storage in deregulated industry
- _More timely data_

## NEXT GENERATION * NATURAL GASWhat we have done

- Published a _Federal Register_ Notice seeking comments on the natural gas information program
- Developed status reports on retail unbundling by state
- Established an Internet Website for information about natural gas retail unbundling
- Refined the data requirements
- Initiated discussions with customers to seek buy-in for data requirements

## NEXT GENERATION * NATURAL GASWhat we have done:  Preliminary approaches to measuring consumer prices in a changed market

- _For Industrial Consumers_
- Test carried out by Census Bureau on EIA’s behalf
- *	Survey of manufacturing establishments
- *	Respondents could answer questions of volume 		purchased and prices paid.
- *	Compared reports of consumers with paired 		responses from their suppliers -- results were 		gratifying

## NEXT GENERATION * NATURAL GASWhat we have done:  Preliminary approaches to measuring consumer prices in a changed market

- _For Residential and Commercial Consumers_
- Developed survey instrument for billers
- *	Currently undergoing testing to assess how well the 	schedule and instructions are interpreted and 		whether questions can be answered from company 	records
- *	Carrying out conversations with marketers, billing 	companies and industry groups to develop buy-in
- *	Plan to field for 3-5 states with January, 2001 data