# Presentation: 003377

## Guest SpeakersSpeaking on:  Forum Outcomes	 

- Dr Elbert W. (Joe) Friday
- WeatherNews, Professor of Meteorology and
- Founding Director of Sasaki Applied
- Meteorology Research Institute, University of Oklahoma
- Dr Paul D. Try
- Senior Vice President, Science
- and Technology Corporation

## 		   Searching For a System Solution 

**	****	****   **_**Searching For a System Solution**_** **

##   How do we optimize the solution?

_**Objective function:**_ Minimize adverse effects of accidents and terrorism events
_**Constraints:**_  _Irreducible uncertainties_
- 	   -   Meteorological dispersion parameters
- 	   -   Hazardous materials releases
_**Issues**_
- 	   -   Model development
- 	   -   Measurement data quality
- 	   -   Urban test beds

## Consistent Message for a Complex Problem

_**Consistent Message:**_
**-- Simplify Message to Funding Agencies**
**      ****(better define “Urban Meteorology”– new term?)**
**-- Focus on End-to-End System**
**-- Emphasize Impact to Society (Cost-Benefit Terms)**
**-- Improve Collaboration and Facilitate Partnerships**
**-- Develop an Integrated/Coordinated Program (Plan)**** **

## Complex Problem – Many Components & Issues

**-- Conference Identified Many Issues **
**	****	****within this Complex Problem**
**-- Data, Databases, Instruments, Siting, 4DDA, Models, **
**	****Comm, Formats, Applications, Users, Demos, etc.,**
**	****_____________________________________**
**-- Tractable and Manageable **
**	****with Focus and Coordinated Planning **
**-- Integrated Concept/Strategic Plan can help define:**
**	****a)  Urban Met Observation Strategy**
**	****b)  Outreach and Societal Response**

## Issues for consideration

- Policy issues
- Who’s in charge; agency responsibilities
- How much do you tell the public?
- Incentives for good behavior
- Information and data needs
- Consistent, reliable
- User centric
- Preloaded

## More things to consider

- Communications issues
- Science coordination mechanism
- User/producer linkage; met advisor
- Appropriateness – enough info, but not too much
- Ecosystem approach
- Humans are a part of the ecosystem
- Ecosystem is dynamic

## Urban Met Observation Strategy

**(Conceptual/Proposed)**

**Response to Collective Requirements/Applications**
**	****(5 focus areas/ Wx, HS, AQ, WQ, & Climate) **
**   ****-- High Resolution a) Urban **_**Area**_**, and  b) Incident **_**(on-site)**_** Response**
**	****(vs obs strategy for each requirement application/user)**
**Urban **_**Area**_**:**
**   ****-- Add Instruments for Urban Perimeter Sfc/BL BCs**
**	****   ****(Couple to Broader Synoptic/Mesoscale Flow)**
**   ****-- Utilize Existing Urban Network Data (e.g., WxBug, etc.,)**
**   ****-- Facilitate National Urban Morphological Database  **
**   ****-- Establish High Resolution **_**Demo/Test Bed Projects (user feedback)**_** **
**	****to provide data for improved Canyon-scale models & UserOutput**
**   ****-- Use Synoptic/Mesoscale Flow & Perimeter BCs**
**	****to drive urban canyon-scale  model for high res output for users**

## Urban Met Observation Strategy

**    ****-- Use Urban Area output as 1st guess**
**    ****-- Add Instrumentation to Mobile EM Response CP **
**        ****for on-site & BL Data **
**	****(e.g., cost effective scanning lidar, sodar, rass, profiler, etc.,?)**
**    ****-- Adapt Models to use updated on-site BL & area scan data.**
_**Collective Requirement to Better Define Uncertainties/Errors **_
**	**_**for Both Observational Data and Model Output**_
_**Remote sensing including the potential URBSAT**_

_**Urban Met Observation Strategy**_
**(Conceptual/Proposed)**

## Outreach and Societal Response

**-- Must focus on, fund and develop **_**improved methods**_** **
**to communicate results of new, more complex urban met **
**higher resolution, probability based output to all Societal sectors as well as governmental decision makers. **
**-- Focus on handling uncertainty as well as on improving current methods and terminology (e.g., watch/warning, cones of error, ensemble results, etc.,) **
**-- Response and educational issues to be included **

## Conclusion

**Greater Collaboration, Strategic Planning and Outreach**
**Should Facilitate Development of Improved **
**End-to-End System Urban Meteorological Support System**