# Presentation: 169163

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*November 13  2006*

**  ****Intense Attribution Period (IAP) **
**15 November 2006 - 15 April 2007**

##      What Will This IAP Look Like?

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***     ******What Will This IAP Look Like?***

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***                                             ******What is Attribution?***
**Attribution is the action of ascribing a known condition to a particular source or sources.  **
**Attribution is the process of establishing cause and effect. **
**Attribution science involves the comprehensive explanation of current and evolving **
**   ****climate conditions...both variability and change, **
**Attribution seeks to explain the role of forcings...both natural and anthropogenic. **
**Attribution includes the explanation of climate predictions...their success and failure.**

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***                                      ******Why an IAP Now?***

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***                                      ******Why an IAP Now?***

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***                                      ******Why an IAP Now?***

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***                                      ******Why an IAP Now?***

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***                                      ******Why an IAP Now?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***What is the climate impact of the current state of world oceans?***

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***      ******Current Attribution Challenges***
*** ******How do we explain the occurrence of extreme wx events?***

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***        ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***How is US drought evolving as a consequence of this El Ni******ño******?***

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***        ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***How is US drought evolving as a consequence of this El Ni******ño******?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***       ******How do we explain the long-lead seasonal outlooks?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***       ******How do we explain the success/failure of seasonal outlooks?***

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***           ******Current Attribution Challenges***
***       ******How do we explain the success/failure of seasonal outlooks?***