# Presentation: 686133

## U.S. Natural Gas and LNG Markets: Status and Outlook

**28 February 2005**
**Doha, Qatar**

**Guy F. Caruso**
**Energy Information Administration**
**Guy.Caruso@eia.doe.gov**

**U.S. Natural Gas and LNG Markets: Status and Outlook**

## Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Imports,

**1970-2025 (trillion cubic feet)**

**15%**

**28%**

**Net imports**

**Consumption**

**Production**

**Natural Gas Net Imports, 2003 and 2025**
**(trillion cubic feet)**

- Source: *Annual Energy Outlook 2005*

## U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Sector, 1990-2025(trillion cubic feet)

**History**

**Industrial***

**Electric Generators**

**Residential**

**Commercial**

**Transportation****

**Projections**

- Source: *Annual Energy Outlook 2005*

-  * Includes lease and plant fuel

- ** Includes pipeline fuel

## Electricity Generation Capacity Additions by Fuel Type, 2001-2025 (gigawatts)

*Natural gas*

*Coal*

*Renewables*

- Source: *Annual Energy Outlook 2005*

## U.S. Dry Natural Gas Production, 1990 - 2025 (trillion cubic feet)

**History**

**Projections**

**Associated/Dissolved**

**Non-associated Offshore**

**Nonassociated**
**Onshore Conventional**

**Onshore Unconventional**

**Alaska**

- Source: *Annual Energy Outlook 2005*

## Net U.S. Imports of Natural Gas, 1970-2025(trillion cubic feet)

**History**

**Projections**

**Canada**

**Liquefied Natural Gas**

**Mexico**

- Source: *Annual Energy Outlook 2005*

## U.S. LNG Imports by Country, 1992-2003

**Nigeria**

**Qatar**

**Other**

**Australia**

**Trinidad and Tobago**

**Algeria**

- Source: EIA

## Current U.S. LNG Import Terminals

## U.S. LNG Imports, 1990-2025(trillion cubic feet)

**History**

**Projections**

**New terminals**

**Existing terminals**

- Source: 2005 *Annual Energy Outlook*

## Regional LNG Imports at New Terminals,2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025 (billion cubic feet)

**Regional LNG Imports at New Terminals,****2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025 (billion cubic feet)**

**Mid **

**FL**

**South**

**New**

** ****South**

**East**

**AZ/NM**

**Mountain**

**WA/OR**

**CA**

**Mexico into US**

**(2007)**

**(2006)**

**(2007)**

**(2010)**

**(2016)**

**(2020)**

**(2020)**

**(20xx) – Start year of first new terminal**

- Source: A*nnual Energy Outlook 2005*

**Florida**

**South Atlantic**

**Middle Atlantic**

**New England**

**East South Central**

**West South Central**

**Central**

**Atlantic**

**Atlantic**

**West **

**England**

**Central**

**South**

**West **

**North**

**Central**

**Central**

**North**

**East**

## Lower 48 Natural Gas Wellhead Prices, 1970-2025 (2003 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

**1995**

**2025**

**(nominal dollars)**

**$1.55**

**$8.23**

**History**

**Projections**

- Source: *Annual Energy Outlook 2005*

- Reference case
- $4.79

- Rapid technology
- $4.35

- Slow technology
- $5.18

## Summary

**Nearly all of the increase in net U.S. imports from through 2025 is expected to come from LNG, as Canadian imports peak and decline.***** ***
**A substantial boost in supplies from production or imports will take time and will require additional infrastructure.**
**The first new U.S. LNG terminal in more than 20 years is expected to begin operation on the Gulf Coast this year.**

**Summary**

##      “Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case,” Annual Energy Outlook 2005

**Guy F. Caruso**
**Energy Information Administration**
**Guy.Caruso@eia.doe.gov**

**   *****Annual Energy Outlook 2005*****, December 9, 2004**
**   *****Short-term Energy Outlook*****, monthly**
**   *****International Energy Outlook 2004*****, April 14, 2004**
**   **_**Special Reports:**_
**    *****The Global Liquefied Natural Gas Market: Status and Outlook,    ***
***    *****December 2003**
**   “****Qatar LNG: Status and Development,” *****International Energy Outlook    ***
***   ******2004 ***
***    ***** “****Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case,” *****Annual Energy Outlook 2005***
**    **

**www.eia.doe.gov**