# Presentation: 042966

## CAIR/CAMR Update

***Presentation for ***
**CAIR and CAMR Training**
*** ******Mary Shellabarger***
**Clean Air Markets Division**
**U.S. EPA Office of Air and Radiation**
**August 2007**

## 	Emission Caps*	
(million tons)
		2009/2010   	2015

Annual SO2	    3.6	 2.5
(2010)

Annual NOx	    1.5	 1.3
(2009)

Seasonal NOx       .58	 .48
(2009)

	*For the affected region.

- 	**Emission Caps***
*(million tons)*
- 		_**2009/2010**_**   ****	**_**2015**_
- Annual SO2	    3.6	 2.5
- (2010)
- Annual NOx	    1.5	 1.3
- (2009)
- Seasonal NOx       .58	 .48
- (2009)
*	*****For the affected region.*

## CAIR Implementation Timeline

**CAIR NOx Programs **
**Annual:  Jan 1, 2009**
**Ozone:  May 1, 2009**

**CAIR SO2 Program**** **
**Jan 1, 2010**

**CSP Early Reductions**
**(annual CAIR NOx)**
**(‘07 and ‘08)**

- 07

- 08

- 09

- 10

**Abbreviated SIPs due March 31, 2007 **

**NOx Monitoring and **
**Reporting Required**
**(‘08)**

**Record FIP or SIP* allocations**
**September 30, 2007**

**Petitioners’ briefs due**
**March 5, 2007**

**EPA’s brief due**
**June 13, 2007**

**SO2 Monitoring and **
**Reporting Required**
**(‘09)**

- *approved SIPs

## CAIR State Rule Development

- Positions in some States may change, but an April 2007 EPA survey indicates:
- All 29 affected jurisdictions (28 States + DC) are expected to be part of the trading program
- 6 States may impose tighter local controls
- State Plan submissions by deadline
- Sept ‘06:  AL, IA, LA(SO2), NC, TN, TX, WV
- Many other states have since submitted
- Several states plan to remain under the FIP either temporarily or permanently

- _How does EPA expect States Meet the CAIR Requirements?_

- _Which States Met the CAIR SIP Submittal Deadline?_

## CAMR Implementation Timeline

**CAMR Program: Phase I begins **
**Jan. 1, 2010**

**State Plans Due**
**(Nov 17, 2006)**

**Hg Monitoring **
**and **
**Reporting Required**
**(‘09****)**

- 07

- 08

- 09

- 10

**CAMR Federal Plan proposed**
**CAMR model rule changes proposed**
**Dec 22, 2006**

**Record allocations under**
**approved State Plans or Federal Plan**
**December 2007**

**Petitioner’s Briefs Due**
**Jan 12, 2007**

**EPA Briefs Due**
**May 4, 2007**

**Finalize Federal Plan (tent.)**

## CAMR State Rule Development

- There are 53 jurisdictions affected (all 50 States, DC and 2 tribes)
- Positions in some States may change, but an April 2007 EPA survey indicates:
- 5 of 53 have no coal-fired units (zero emissions budgets)
- For the 48 States with coal-fired units, _about_:
- ~ Three-fourths (36 of 48) of these States are planning to have trading:
- ~One-fourth of them plan or have tougher, direct local control requirements in addition to trading
- ~ One-tenth of them will hold back part of emissions budget
- Remaining will do CAMR “as-is”
- ~One-fourth (13 of 48) will only have direct controls, no trading
- Considering the levels of participation in the trading program, EPA believes there will be a viable trading program with reasonable allowance values relative to previously forecasted prices.

- _How does EPA expect States Meet the CAMR Requirements?_

## CAMR State Rule Development (cont.)

- 21 States submitted plans for CAMR by the November 17th deadline
- These States are: Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Texas, Vermont, and West Virginia.
- 3 of the plans came from States without existing coal-fired units
- 18 of these submissions were from a State that has existing coal-fired power plants (47 States have existing coal-fired plants)
- 	Of these 18 CAMR submittals:
- Roughly 10 use the trading program (7 use the CAMR trading program “as-is”, and 3 use the trading programs in conjunction with local controls)
- 8 are direct control programs (mainly in the Northeast)
- EPA continues to work with States as they develop their CAMR rules.

- _Which States Met the CAMR State Plan Submittal Deadline?_