# Presentation: 937911

## Science Team Meeting(STM5)

- June 7-9, 2005
- USGS Fort Collins Science Center
- National Institute of Invasive Species Science
- Fort Collins, CO

## ORIENTATION

**Session 1***9:00 AM - 30 min*

_**Welcome**_
- Dr. Mark Shasby, Director
- 	USGS Fort Collins Science Center
_**Introductions**_
- Dr. Tom Stohlgren, DirectorUSGS National Instituteof Invasive Species Science
_**Logistics**_
- Dr. Catherine Crosier
- 	USGS Fort Collins Science Center
_**Meeting Overview**_
- Dr. John Schnase
- 	NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## PROJECT OVERVIEW

**Session 2***9:30 AM - 60 min*

_**Topics**_
- History & Status
- Engineering Advances
- Community Engagement
- Remote Sensing Advances
- Where We Go from Here ...
- Update on Invasive Species Science
_**Participants**_
- John Schnase*, Tom Stohlgren
_**Logistics**_
- Presentations, group discussion, & a 15-min break ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & Status 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusUSGS Science / Client DSS Needs 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- On-demand, predictive landscape- & regional-scale models and maps of biological invasions ...
- Integrated access to tailored
- 	NBII / SMD Data ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusUSGS / NIISS Predictive Modeling 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

**Hot spots of native**
**biodiversity**
**Distribution of**
**non-native species**
**Potential spread of**
**invasive species.**
**Barriers to rapid invasions.**
** **
**Corridors that may accelerate invasions.**
**Economic and environmental risk assessments, vulnerability of habitats to invasion.**
**Priorities for control and containment.**

_**Output**_
- GIS - Spatial
- Statistical Dynamic
- Models and Maps

- Final Trend
- Surface Map
- Large - Small
- Scale Variability

- Model Residuals
- Using Co-Kriging

- Model Residuals
- Using * ***Kriging ****
- (Universal,
- Ordinary, other)

- Regression
- Trees
- Classifications

- Testing if Residuals
- Cross-Correlated with
- Other Variables

- Testing if There Is
- Spatial Auto-Correlation
- In the Residuals

- Trend Surface Analysis
- With Stepwise Multiple
- Regression Using
- OLS, GLS, SAR, or * ***Exhaustive Regression ****

- Yes

- No

- No

_**Input Variables**_** (150+)**
**Remotely Sensed data:**
**(ETM, SPOT, MTI, EO1, etc.)**
**Derived Remote Sensing**
**(Vegetation Indices, PCA**
**Tasseled Cap, other)**
**Biotic/Abiotic Data:**
**Topographic Data**
**Species Data**
**Vegetation- Forest Data**
**Soils Characteristics**
**Cryptobiotic Crusts**
**Wildfire Severity**
**Biodiversity**
**Air Pollution**
**Geology, Other**
**Environmental Data**

- Yes

- Yes

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusUSGS / NIISS Predictive Modeling 

**Hot spots of native**
**biodiversity**
**Distribution of**
**non-native species**
**Potential spread of**
**invasive species.**
**Barriers to rapid invasions.**
** **
**Corridors that may accelerate invasions.**
**Economic and environmental risk assessments, vulnerability of habitats to invasion.**
**Priorities for control and containment.**

_**Output**_
- GIS - Spatial
- Statistical Dynamic
- Models and Maps

- Final Trend
- Surface Map
- Large - Small
- Scale Variability

- Model Residuals
- Using Co-Kriging

- Model Residuals
- Using * ***Kriging ****
- (Universal,
- Ordinary, other)

- Regression
- Trees
- Classifications

- Testing if Residuals
- Cross-Correlated with
- Other Variables

- Testing if There Is
- Spatial Auto-Correlation
- In the Residuals

- Trend Surface Analysis
- With Stepwise Multiple
- Regression Using
- OLS, GLS, SAR, or * ***Exhaustive Regression ****

- Yes

- No

- No

_**Input Variables**_** (150+)**
**Remotely Sensed data:**
**(ETM, SPOT, MTI, EO1, etc.)**
**Derived Remote Sensing**
**(Vegetation Indices, PCA**
**Tasseled Cap, other)**
**Biotic/Abiotic Data:**
**Topographic Data**
**Species Data**
**Vegetation- Forest Data**
**Soils Characteristics**
**Cryptobiotic Crusts**
**Wildfire Severity**
**Biodiversity**
**Air Pollution**
**Geology, Other**
**Environmental Data**

- Yes

- Yes

**DSS****Products**

**Analysis & Modeling**

**Data Ingest**

- History & StatusUSGS / NIISS Predictive Modeling

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusEngineering - ISFS Architecture 

- History & Status*Engineering* - ISFS Architecture

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusEngineering - ISFS Architecture 

- History & Status*Engineering* - ISFS Architecture

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusEngineering - ISFS Architecture 

- OLS Regession+/- Kriging
-  Logistic Regression
-  GARP II
- Etc.

- NIISS Tamarisk
-  MODIS
- NBII
- NASA
- Etc.

- T-Map
- Etc.

- History & Status*Engineering* - ISFS Architecture

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusHigh-Performance Computing - Parallel Kriging 

**Jeff Pedelty & Jeff Morisette**
***NASA Goddard Space Flight Center***

**Goal: **
**75% scaling efficiency **
**on 200+ node cluster ...**

**http://ct.gsfc.nasa.gov/milestones.schnase.html**

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- History & Status*High-Performance Computing* - Parallel Kriging

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusRemote Sensing - MODIS NDVI Time-Series 

**Jeff Morisette & Jeff Pedelty**
***NASA Goddard Space Flight Center***

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- History & Status*Remote Sensing* - MODIS NDVI Time-Series

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & StatusRemote Sensing - MODIS NDVI Time-Series 

**Red:****	****Average**
**Green:****	****Amplitude**
**Blue:****	****Phase Shift**

**Analysis by:**
**Jeff Morisette & Jeff Pedelty**
***NASA Goddard Space Flight Center***

- History & Status*Remote Sensing* - MODIS NDVI Time-Series

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## History & Status 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Engineering Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Software**_
*TXN to enterprise architecture ...*
- V2.0a ISFS (Pre-release)
- Prototype NIISS client
- Xgrid ‘Adaptive Kriging’
_**Hardware**_
*TXN to dedicated clusters ...*
- Rio & Rocky installations
_**Documentation**_
*Updates and new ...*
- Requirements & V2.0 Design
- API Programmers Guide
- Users Guide

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Engineering Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Software**_
*TXN to enterprise architecture ...*
- V2.0a ISFS (Pre-release)
- Prototype NIISS client
- Xgrid ‘Adaptive Kriging’
_**Hardware**_
*TXN to dedicated clusters ...*
- Rio & Rocky installations
_**Documentation**_
*Updates and new ...*
- Requirements & V2.0 Design
- API Programmers Guide
- Users Guide

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Engineering Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Software**_
*TXN to enterprise architecture ...*
- V2.0a ISFS (Pre-release)
- Prototype NIISS client
- Xgrid ‘Adaptive Kriging’
_**Hardware**_
*TXN to dedicated clusters ...*
- Rio & Rocky installations
_**Documentation**_
*Updates and new ...*
- Requirements & V2.0 Design
- API Programmers Guide
- Users Guide

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Engineering Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

*Before ...*

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Engineering Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

*After ...*

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Remote Sensing Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Data Assembly**_
*Comprehensive assembly & reduction**of ‘core’ predictors ...*
- MODIS NDVI Time-Series, etc.
- Preliminary TimeSat analyses
- Quantification of ISFS/ISDSdata assembly costs
_**National Tamarisk Map**_
*US habitat suitability map ...*
- Study site expansion
- ISAMS & logistic regression
- Quantification of ISFS P*max*
- Science-driven extension SWE scope
_**Future Directions**_
*RS next steps ...*
- Fire ecology
- Agent-based modeling

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Remote Sensing Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Data Assembly**_
*Comprehensive assembly & reduction**of ‘core’ predictors ...*
- MODIS NDVI Time-Series
- Preliminary TimeSat analyses
- Quantification of ISFS/ISDSdata assembly costs
_**National Tamarisk Map**_
*US habitat suitability map ...*
- Study site expansion
- ISAMS & logistic regression
- Quantification of ISFS P*max*
- Science-driven extension SWE scope
_**Future Directions**_
*RS next steps ...*
- Fire ecology
- Agent-based modeling

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Community Engagement 

- Community Engagement

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Where We Go From Here ... 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Phase 1 (36 months)**_
- Requirements extraction, software design & implementation, evaluation, iterative refinement
- Hardware build, preliminary deployment, & assessment
- Documentation
_**Phase 2 (24 months)**_
- Production hardening
- Operational deployment
- Benchmark, benchmarking, benchmarking ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Where We Go From Here ... 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

_**Operational “core system”**_
- Core ISDS data sets
- Core ISAMS routines
- Core exposed services
- Core user interfaces & clients
- Documentation
_**Operational IT environment**_
- Operational delivery system
- Operational security environment
- Operations staff
_**Operational business context**_
- Operational management
- Operational business development
- Strategy for long-term sustainability

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Invasive Species Science Advances 

**Session 2***Project Overview*

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## TECHNOLOGY DEMOS

**Session 3***11:00 AM - 90 min*

_**Topics**_
- ISFS Engineering
- Rocky / Rio & Xgrid
- ISFS Client Development
- Other NIISS Developments
- Where We Go From Here ...
_**Participants**_
- Neal Most*, Jeff Pedelty, David Kendig, Nathan Pollack, Adrian Ilagan, Angelo Bertolli, Jim Graham, Greg Newman, & Catherine Crosier
_**Logistics**_
- Presentations, demos, & discussion ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## USGS / NASA UPDATES

**Session 4***12:30 PM - 90 min*

_**Topics**_
- FORT Update
- NIISS Update
- NBII Update
- NASA Update
_**Participants**_
- Mark Shasby, Tom Stohlgren*,Kate Kase, John Mosseso,Ed Sheffner, Rodney McKellip
_**Logistics**_
***Working lunch*** - with presentations,discussion, & a break before resumingat 2:00 PM ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## ISFS BENCHMARKING

**Session 5***2:00 PM - 3 hr*

_**Topics**_
- TBD (Benchmarking Team)
_**Participants**_
- Ed Sheffner, Tom Stohlgren, Wim Van Leeuwen*, Verne Kaupp, Sam Drake, Stuart Marsh, Vadilav Nikholitov, Tim Haithcoat, & everyone in attendance ...
_**Logistics**_
- Presentations, DDP demo, identification of client teams, client interviews & breakout sessions as needed, discussions, & breaks as needed ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## TAMARISK CASE STUDY

**Session 6***9:00 AM - 90 min*

_**Topics**_
- Item one
- Item two
- Item three
- Item four
_**Participants**_
- Jeff Morisette*, Tom Stohlgren, Catherine Crosier, Jim Graham, Greg Newman, Paul Evangelista, Neal Most, David Kendig, Nathan Pollack, Adrian Ilagan, Asad Ullah, Angelo Bertolli, ___, ___, ___, ...
_**Logistics**_
- Presentations, group discussion, & a 15-min break ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## OPPORTUNITIES

**Session 7***10:30 AM - 4 hr*

_**Topics**_
- Item one
- Item two
- Item three
- Item four
_**Participants**_
- Jeff Morisette, David Stockwell,Weijei Cai, Jim Quinn, ___, ...
_**Logistics**_
- Presentations, discussion, leisure lunch, & breaks as needed ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## CLOSING SESSION

**Session 8***2:00 PM - 2 hr*

_**Topics**_
- Item one
- Item two
- Item three
- Item four
_**Participants**_
- John Schnase, Tom Stohlgren
_**Logistics**_
- Presentations, group discussion,15-min break ...

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO

## Backup Slides

## Slide 33

- Science Team Meeting - June 7-9, 2005 - Fort Collins, CO