# Presentation: 792819

## Outlook for

**Energy Information Administration**

**North American International Powertrain Conference**
**September 21, 2007**
**Arlington, VA**

***Outlook for***
***U.S. and World Energy Markets***

## World Oil Price, 1980-2030

**World Oil Price, 1980-2030**
**(2005 dollars per barrel)**

- History

- Projections

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

**Reference**

**Low Price**

**High Price**

## U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030

**U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030**
**(quadrillion Btu)**

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

- History

- Projections

**Liquid Fuels**

**Natural Gas**

**Coal**

**Nuclear**

**Renewables**

## U.S. Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum Consumption by Sector, 1970-2030 (million barrels per day)

**Industrial**

**Transportation**

**Residential and Commercial**

**Electric Power**

- Projections

- History

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

## U.S. Ethanol Consumption as E85 and Blended with

**Motor Gasoline, 1981-2030 (billion gallons)**

- Projections

- History

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

**Ethanol Blended into Motor Gasoline**

**Ethanol in E85**

## Sales of U.S. Unconventional Light-Duty Vehicles,

**Sales of U.S. Unconventional Light-Duty Vehicles,**
**2015 and 2030 (thousand vehicles sold)**

**Full Hybrids**

**Flex Fuel**

**Turbo Direct Injection Diesel**

**Gaseous**

**Electric**

**Fuel Cell**

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

## U.S. Crude Oil  Production by Source, 1990-2030

**(million barrels per day)**

**Lower 48 Onshore**

**Alaska**

**Deepwater Offshore**

- Projections

- History

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

**Total**

**Shallow Water Offshore**

## U.S. Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (million barrels per day)

**U.S. Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (million barrels per day)**

**Consumption**

**Domestic Supply**

**Net Imports**** **

**60%**

**61%**

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

- History

- Projections

## U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Sector, 1990-2030

**(trillion cubic feet)**

**Transportation****

**Industrial***

**Residential**

**Commercial**

**Electric Power**

- Projections

- History

- * Includes lease and plant fuel

- ** Includes pipeline fuel

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

## U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports,

**1960-2030 (trillion cubic feet)**

**16%**

**21%**

**Net Imports**

**Consumption**

**Production**

**Natural Gas Net Imports, 2005 and 2030 (trillion cubic feet)**

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

- History

- Projections

## U.S. Natural Gas Production by Source, 1990-2030

**(trillion cubic feet)**

**Alaska**

**Lower 48 Non-Associated Unconventional**

**Lower 48 Non-Associated Offshore**

**Lower 48 Associated-Dissolved**

**Lower 48 Non-Associated Conventional Onshore**

- Projections

- History

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

## U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1980-2030

**(billion kilowatthours)**

**Petroleum**

**Renewables**

**Coal**

**Natural Gas**

**Nuclear**

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

- History

- Projections

## U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1980-2030

**U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1980-2030**
**(million metric tons)**

**6,214 in 2010**

**6,944 in 2020**

**Carbon Dioxide Emission Intensity, 1980-2030**
**(metric tons per million 2000 dollars of GDP)**

**486 in 2010**

**407 in 2020**

- History

- Projections

*Annual Energy Outlook 2007*

**7,950 in 2030**

**353 in 2030**

## World Marketed Energy Use, 1980-2030(quadrillion Btu)

**Liquids**

**Natural Gas**

**Coal**

**Renewables**

**Nuclear**

**34%**

**8%**

**28%**

**6%**

**Share of **
**World**
**Total**

**24%**

**38%**

**26%**

**23%**

**7%**

**6%**

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

- History

- Projections

##  World Energy Consumption,2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu)

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

**2004**

**2015**

**2030**

**240**

**207**

**265**

**294**

**298**

**404**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

##  World Liquids Consumption,2004, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day)

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

**2004**

**2015**

**2030**

**49**

**33**

**52**

**46**

**57**

**61**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

##  World Natural Gas Consumption,2004, 2015, and 2030 (trillion cubic feet)

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

**2004**

**2015**

**2030**

**51**

**48**

**62**

**67**

**70**

**93**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

##  World Net Electricity Generation,2004, 2015, and 2030 (billion kilowatthours)

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

**2004**

**2015**

**2030**

**9,455**

**6,969**

**11,120**

**11,169**

**13,190**

**17,174**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## World Electricity Generation by Fuel, 2004 and 2030(billion kilowatthours)

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

##  World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (million metric tons)

*International Energy Outlook 2007*

**2004**

**2015**

**2030**

**11,399**

**9,847**

**13,457**

**13,465**

**14,692**

**19,197**

**1990**

**16,654**

**26,226**

**OECD**

**Non-OECD**

## www.eia.doe.gov

**guy.caruso@eia.doe.gov**

**   ****Periodic Reports**
***   ******Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports*****, weekly*****  ***
***   ******Short-Term Energy Outlook*****, monthly**
***   ******Annual Energy Outlook 2007*****, February 2007**
***   ******International Energy Outlook 2007*****, May 2007**
**   ****Examples**** of ****Special Analyses**
**    “****Economic Effects of High Oil Prices,” *****Annual Energy Outlook 2006***
**    *****Analysis of Oil and Gas Production in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge*****, **
**           ****March 2004**
**    *****The Global Liquefied Natural Gas Market: Status and Outlook, *****December 2003**
**    “****Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case,” *****Annual Energy Outlook 2005***
***    ***
**    **

**www.eia.doe.gov**