# Presentation: 918832

## U.S. and World Energy Outlook

- Guy Caruso
- Administrator
- Energy Information Administration

**February 17, 2004**

**U.S. and World Energy Outlook**

## 26%

**26%**

**36%**

**Net imports**

## U.S. Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1970-2025

**(quadrillion Btu)**

## U.S. Energy Production by Fuel, 1970-2025

**(quadrillion Btu)**

## U.S. Energy Use per Capita and per Dollar of Gross Domestic 

**1970**

**1980**

**1990**

**2000**

**2010**

**2025**

**0.0**

**0.2**

**0.4**

**0.6**

**0.8**

**1.0**

**1.2**

**History**

**Projections**

**Energy use per **

**dollar of GDP**

**Energy use per **

**capita**

**U.S. Energy Use per Capita and per Dollar of Gross Domestic **

**Product, 1970-2025 (index, 1970 = 1)**

## U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Sector, 1970-2025

**(quadrillion Btu)**

## World Oil Prices in Three Cases, 1970-2025

**(2002 dollars per barrel)**

## U.S. Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Imports, 1970-2025

**1970**

**1980**

**1990**

**2000**

**2010**

**2025**

**0**

**5**

**10**

**15**

**20**

**25**

**30**

**Domestic supply**

**Consumption**

**History**

**Projections**

**Net imports**

**U.S. Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Imports, 1970-2025**

**(million barrels per day)**

**54%**

**70%**

## U.S. Petroleum Consumption by Sector, 1970-2025

**(million barrels per day)**

## U.S. Consumption of Petroleum Products, 1970-2025

**(million barrels per day)**

## U.S. Oxygenate Consumption, 1993-2025 (million barrels per day)

**History**

**Projections**

## U.S. Transportation Energy Consumption by Fuel,

**2002, 2010, and 2025 (quadrillion Btu)**

## Sales of Advanced Technology Light-duty Vehicles by Fuel

**Type, 2010 and 2025 (thousand vehicles sold)**

## U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector,

**U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector,**
**1990-2025 (trillion cubic feet)**

## Lower 48 Natural Gas Wellhead Prices, 1970-2025 (2002 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

**Lower 48 Natural Gas Wellhead Prices,**** 1970-2025 (2002 dollars per thousand cubic feet)**

**History**

**Projections**

**Reference**

**Rapid technology**

**Slow technology**

**Annual Energy Outlook 2004**

## World Commercial Energy Consumption, 1970-2025

**World Commercial Energy Consumption, ****1970-2025**

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2003*

## World Commercial Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025

**World Commercial Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025**

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2003*

## World Oil Consumption and Production, 2001, 2010, and 2025

**World Oil Consumption and Production, 2001, 2010, and 2025**

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2003*

## World Natural Gas Consumption by Region, 1970-2025

**World Natural Gas Consumption by Region, 1970-2025**

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2003*

## World Energy-Related Carbon Emissions by Region, 1990-2025

**World Energy-Related Carbon Emissions by Region, ****1990-2025**

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2003*

## World Energy-Related Carbon Emissions by Fossil Fuel Type, 1970-2025

**World Energy-Related Carbon Emissions by Fossil Fuel Type, 1970-2025**

- Source:  EIA, *International Energy Outlook 2003*

## Summary

**•**** ****U.S. energy demand will grow at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent, less than the 3.0 percent average annual growth expected for the U.S. economy**
**•**** ****U.S. energy consumption growth will outpace increases in production causing import dependence to grow to over one-third of U.S. energy needs by 2025**
**•**** ****U.S. oil import reliance will grow from 54 percent to 70 percent and U.S. natural gas imports will grow**
**•**** ****World oil consumption increases by 1.8 percent annually from 77 million barrels per day in 2001 to 119 million barrels per day in 2025. **
**•**** ****The fastest growing source of worldwide energy consumption is natural gas. Over the 2001-2025 period, gas use is projected to nearly double. **
**•**** ****For the world, coal will continue to be an important source for electricity generation, but efficient natural gas will be the fuel of choice for new generation worldwide**
**•**** ****Nuclear power will expand in several Asian countries, but most industrialized countries are not expected to undertake new construction of nuclear units**