# Presentation: 518372

## Outlook for Canadian

**Washington, DC**
**April 25, 2005**

**Guy F. Caruso**
**Administrator**
**Energy Information Administration**

***Outlook for Canadian***
***Oil and Natural Gas Imports***

## World Oil Price, 1970-2025

**(2003 dollars per barrel)**

***Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

**History**

**Projections**

## U.S. Petroleum Production, Consumption, and Net Imports,

**U.S. Petroleum Production, Consumption, and Net Imports,**
**1970-2025 (million barrels per day)**

**56%**

**58%**

**Net Imports**

**Consumption**

**Production**

**68%**

**Reference**

**High B**

**Reference**

**High B**

***Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

**History**

**Projections**

## World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2005

**"Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production."*****Oil & Gas Journal*****, December 20, 2004**

## Canadian Conventional and Oil Sands Production in Two Cases, 1990-2025 (million barrels per day)

**History**

**Projections**

**Oil sands**

**Conventional**

**Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers and *****Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

**High B**

**High B**

**Reference**

**Reference**

## U.S. Gross Imports of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products from Canada, 1973-2025(million barrels per day)

**History**

**Projections**

**Petroleum Products**

**Crude Oil**

***Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

## Lower-48 Natural Gas Wellhead Prices, 1970-2025(2003 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

**1995**

**2025**

**(nominal dollars)**

**$1.55**

**$8.23**

**History**

**Projections**

***Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

**Reference Case**
**$4.79**

**Rapid Technology**
**$4.35**

**Slow Technology**
**$5.18**

## U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and

**Net Imports, 1960-2025 (trillion cubic feet)**

**15%**

**28%**

**Net Imports**

**Consumption**

**Production**

**Natural Gas Net Imports, 2003 and 2025**
**(trillion cubic feet)**

***Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

**Projections**

**History**

## U.S. Net Imports of Natural Gas, 1970-2025(trillion cubic feet)

**History**

**Projections**

**Canada**

**Liquefied Natural Gas**

**Mexico**

***Annual Energy Outlook 2005***

## Existing, Proposed and Potential North American

- 26

_**CONSTRUCTED**_
**A. Everett, MA :  **1.035 Bcfd  (Tractebel - DOMAC)
**B. Cove Point, MD :  **1.0 Bcfd  (Dominion - Cove Point LNG)
**C. Elba Island, GA :  **0.68 Bcfd  (El Paso - Southern LNG)
**D. Lake Charles, LA :  **1.0 Bcfd  (Southern Union - Trunkline LNG)
**E. Gulf of Mexico:** 0.5 Bcfd,  (Gulf Gateway Energy Bridge - Excelerate Energy)
_**APPROVED BY FERC**_
**1. Lake Charles, LA:**  1.1 Bcfd (Southern Union - Trunkline LNG)** **
**2. Hackberry, LA : **1.5 Bcfd,  (Sempra Energy)
**3. Bahamas : ** 0.84 Bcfd,  (AES Ocean Express)*
**4. Bahamas : ** 0.83 Bcfd,   (Calypso Tractebel)*
**5. Freeport, TX : ** 1.5 Bcfd,   (Cheniere/Freeport LNG Dev.)
**6. Sabine, LA :  **2.6 Bcfd (Cheniere LNG)
**7. Elba Island, GA:  **0.54 Bcfd (El Paso - Southern LNG)
_**APPROVED BY MARAD/COAST GUARD**_
**8. Port Pelican:** 1.6 Bcfd,  (Chevron Texaco)
**9. ****Louisiana Offshore : ** 1.0 Bcfd (Gulf Landing - Shell)
_**PROPOSED TO FERC**_
**10. Fall River, MA :** 0.8 Bcfd,  (Weaver's Cove Energy/Hess LNG)
**11. Long Beach, CA :** 0.7 Bcfd,  (Mitsubishi/ConocoPhillips - Sound Energy Solutions)
**12. Corpus Christi, TX : ** 2.6 Bcfd,  (Cheniere LNG)
**13. Corpus Christi, TX :  **1.0 Bcfd (Vista Del Sol - ExxonMobil)
**14. Sabine, TX :  **1.0 Bcfd (Golden Pass - ExxonMobil)
**15. Logan Township, NJ :  **1.2 Bcfd (Crown Landing LNG - BP)
**16. Bahamas : ** 0.5 Bcfd,  (Seafarer - El Paso/FPL )
**17. Corpus Christi, TX**:  1.0 Bcfd (Ingleside Energy - Occidental Energy Ventures)
**18.** **Providence, RI :  **0.5 Bcfd (Keyspan & BG LNG)
**19.**** Port Arthur, TX:**  1.5 Bcfd (Sempra)
**20. Cove Point, MD :  **0.8 Bcfd  (Dominion)
**21. LI Sound, NY:  **1.0 Bcfd (Broadwater Energy - TransCanada/Shell)
**22.** **Pascagoula, MS:**  1.0 Bcfd (Gulf LNG Energy LLC)
**23. Bradwood, OR:**  1.0 Bcfd (Northern Star LNG - Northern Star Natural Gas LLC)
**24.** **Pascagoula, MS:**  1.3 Bcfd (Casotte Landing - ChevronTexaco)
**25. Cameron, LA:  **3.3 Bcfd (Creole Trail LNG - Cheniere LNG)
**26. Port Lavaca, TX:  **1.0 Bcfd (Calhoun LNG - Gulf Coast LNG Partners)
_**PROPOSED TO MARAD/COAST GUARD**_
**27. California Offshore**: 1.5 Bcfd (Cabrillo Port - BHP Billiton)
**28. So. California Offshore :** 0.5 Bcfd,  (Crystal Energy)
**29. Louisiana Offshore : ** 1.0 Bcfd (Main Pass McMoRan Exp.)
**30. Gulf of Mexico:**  1.0 Bcfd (Compass Port - ConocoPhillips)
**31. ****Gulf of Mexico:**  2.8 Bcfd (Pearl Crossing - ExxonMobil)
**32. Gulf of Mexico:  **1.5 Bcfd (Beacon Port Clean Energy Terminal** - **ConocoPhillips)
_**POTENTIAL SITES IDENTIFIED BY PROJECT SPONSORS**_
**33. Coos Bay, OR:  **0.13 Bcfd,  (Energy Projects Development)
**34. Somerset, MA: ** 0.65 Bcfd (Somerset LNG)
**35. California - Offshore:**  0.75 Bcfd,  (Chevron Texaco)
**36. Pleasant Point, ME :**  0.5 Bcf/d (Quoddy Bay, LLC)
**37. St. Helens, OR:**  0.7 Bcfd (Port Westward LNG LLC)
**38. Offshore Boston, MA:**  0.8 Bcfd (Northeast Gateway - Excelerate Energy)
**39. Galveston, TX:**  1.2 Bcfd (Pelican Island - BP)
**40. Philadelphia, PA:**  0.6 Bcfd (Freedom Energy Center - PGW)
**41. Astoria, OR:  **1.0 Bcfd (Skipanon LNG - Calpine)
**42. Freeport, TX: ** 1.5 Bcfd, (Cheniere/Freeport LNG Dev. - Expansion)
**43. Offshore Boston, MA:**  0.4 Bcfd (Neptune LNG - Tractebel)
_**CANADIAN APPROVED AND POTENTIAL TERMINALS**_
**44. St. John, NB :**  1.0 Bcfd,  (Canaport - Irving Oil)
**45. Point Tupper, NS**  1.0 Bcf/d  (Bear Head LNG - Anadarko)
**46. Quebec City, QC :  **0.5 Bcfd (Project Rabaska - Enbridge/Gaz Met/Gaz de France)
**47. Rivière-du- Loup, QC:**  0.5 Bcfd (Cacouna Energy - TransCanada/PetroCanada)
**48. Kitimat, BC:**  0.61 Bcfd (Galveston LNG)
**49. Prince Rupert, BC:** 0.30 Bcfd (WestPac Terminals)
**50. Goldboro, NS**  1.0 Bcfd (Keltic Petrochemicals)
_**MEXICAN APPROVED AND POTENTIAL TERMINALS**_
**51. Altamira, Tamulipas : ** 0.7 Bcfd,  (Shell/Total/Mitsui)**
**52. ****Baja California, MX :**  1.0 Bcfd,  (Sempra & Shell)**
**53. Baja California - Offshore :**  1.4 Bcfd,  (Chevron Texaco)
**54. Lázaro Cárdenas, MX :  **0.5 Bcfd (Tractebel/Repsol)
**55. Puerto Libertad, MX:  **1.3 Bcfd (Sonora Pacific LNG)

**Existing, Proposed and Potential North American**
**LNG Terminals**

**As of March 25, 2005**

*FERC*

*Office of Energy Projects*

- A

- 3

- 4

- 44

- 16

- 51

- 12

- 27

- 11

- 29

- 28

- 45

- 46

- 36

- 54

- 9

- 52

- 53

- 18

- B

- 35

- 33

- 1

- 20

- 47

- 30

- 17

- 55

- US Jurisdiction
-     FERC
-        US Coast Guard

- 49

- 48

- *    *US pipeline approved; LNG terminal pending in Bahamas*
*** These projects have been approved by the Mexican and Canadian authorities*

- 50

- 22

- 10

- 34

- 21

- 40

- 15

- 25

- 41

- 7

- C

- 2

- D,1

- 19

- 14

- 31

- 32

- 8

- 5,42

- 13

- 6

- 39

- 43

- 38

- 23

- 37

- E