# Presentation: 129789

## GIS Analysis of Consequences of Land  Use Change

- Lead: Bob Clark
- FY03 funding source/level: GAM 100K + CBP 100K
- Start date: 2002
- Stop date: 2006

**U.S. Department of the Interior**
**U.S. Geological Survey**

## Purpose

- Analyze Land Use/Land  Cover changes to better understand how they effect sediment mobilization over the past 30 years
- 03 Study area, Little Conestoga, has
- 	highest sediment load of all the
- 	Susquehanna tributaries

**Notes:**
Analyze Land Use/Land  Cover changes to better understand how they effect sediment mobilization over the past 30 years – basically a GAM Goal

-  03 Study area, Little Conestoga, has highest sediment load of all the Susquehanna tributaries

## Objective

- Investigate the Scientific Question :
- 		How and where are the Land Use/Land Cover changes
- 		in the Susquehanna Watershed contributing to sediment
- 		mobilization in streams and rivers?

**Notes:**
Investigate the Scientific Question :  
    How and where are the Landcover changes in the Susquehanna Watershed contributing to sediment mobilization in streams and rivers?

## Multi-year Study Area

- Susquehanna: Upper half of Chesapeake Bay  Watershed

- Little Conestoga (FY03)

**Notes:**
The Multi-year Study area is the upper half of the Chesapeake Bay watershed know as the Susquehanna watershed.  This years study area is the Little Conestoga.

## Contribution to Program(s)

- Project advances GAM goals
- 		-  Analyze Land Use/Land Cover practices
- 		-  Analyze, model, and predict the consequences
- 		-  Communicate the research results

**Notes:**
Project advances GAM program goals/objectives through the investigation of the Scientific Question.

	- Analyze land cover/land use practices for the past 30 years and how they contribute to
	  sediment  erosion, transportation , and deposition,(Consequences of Landuse/Landcover change).

	- Analyze, model, and predict the consequences of these changes on the environment at
	  regional scales.

	- Communicate the research results to decision makers so they can develop strategies 
            for enhancing ecosystems sustainability

## Contribution to Program(s)

- The Scientific Question addresses the 04 Director’s Guidance
- 		- Forecasting landscape change
- 		- Monitoring/remote sensing
- 		- Restoration
- 		- Status and Trends
- 		- Water Availability
- 		- Large Rivers

## Contribution to Program(s)

- This Project links the  GAM Program to :
- 	-  Chesapeake Bay Program Goals
-   	-  ER Science Plan
- 	-  College Collaboration
- 	- Integrated Science Studies
- 		-  Geology Discipline – Earth Surface Dynamics Program
- 		-  Water Resources Discipline – CBP

**Notes:**
Project links Program to Chesapeake Bay Program  goals

Project links Program to  ER Science Plan topical issues

Project links Program to F&M collaboration

Program supported scientists participate in integrated science studies
		- Geology Discipline – Earth Surface Dynamics
		- Water Resources Discipline – CBP

## Approach/Methodology

- Adapt the Land Cover Trends techniques  to Regional/local investigations
- Integrate  sediment investigations with Land  Use/Land Cover Change investigations
- Through observation, modeling, and statistics arrive at analytical conclusions
- Uses and adds to TNM layers

**Notes:**
Adapt the Land CoverTrends techniques to Regional/local investigations – techniques primarily based on use of Remotely Sensed data (LRS?)

Integrate WRD and GD sediment investigations with Geography’s Land Use/Land Cover Change investigations

Through observation, modeling, and statistics arrive at analytical conclusions on the relationships between Land Use/Land Cover Change and sediment mobilization and their impacts on the environment/ecology

Uses and adds to The Nation Map layers  - Project is an application of National Map 

## Project Deliverables

- Multi-discipline  authored  Openfile report (S&T – FY03/04)
- Other deliverables planned for FY03
- FY04  Recommendations

**Notes:**
Multi-discipline authored Openfile report offered as an article to Status and Trends Report (FY03/FY04)

Other deliverables planned for FY03 : Poster(s), PPT, Status reports, ...

Recommend FY04 integrated science investigations

##  Geologic Discipline			(ESD)

 Water Resources Discipline 		(CBP)

 Geography
- GAM					$100K
 CBP					$100K

-  Water Resources Discipline 		(CBP)
-  Geography
- - GAM					$100K
-  CBP					$100K

- Advocacy/Support

## FY04 Plans

- Investigate other Susquehanna tributaries
- Investigate tributaries adjacent to Susquehanna Watershed
- Compare and contrast these tributaries
- Fact Sheets, Web pages, Poster(s), Report/Article

**Notes:**
Investigate other Susquehanna tributaries for Landcover/sediment related impacts on the associated environment/ecologies

Investigate other Chesapeake Bay tributaries adjacent to the Susquehanna Watershed

Compare and contrast these tributaries in order to better understand the broader Chesapeake Bay issues (possibly lead to other integrated science research)

Fact Sheets, WEBpages, Poster(s), Report/Article