# Presentation: 450213

## NOAA’s National Weather Service:FY05 Budget Update 

**NOAA’s National Weather Service:****FY05 Budget Update**** **

***Brig. Gen. David L. Johnson***** ***NOAA**** ****Assistant Administrator for Weather Services*
*March 2004*

## About the National Weather Service

**Provide climate, water, weather forecasts and warnings to protect**** life**** and**** ****property**** and enhance the economy**** **
**Data and products are used by other government agencies, the private sector, the public, and the global community.**

**A Typical Year Brings:**** **
***7 Hurricanes***
***1,000 Tornadoes***
***5,000 Floods***
***10,000 Violent Thunderstorms***
***Drought Conditions***
***500 Deaths; 5,000 Injuries; ******$14 Billion in Losses***

## About the National Weather Service NWS Priorities

**Leverage collaborative research ****to transfer new science into operations**
**Codify past investment by providing better climate, weather, and ****water forecasts for ****decision-making**

## NWS Service Delivery

***Feedback***

**Respond &**** Feedback**

**NWS Service Delivery**

**Distribute**

**Products & Services**

**Process**

**Observe**

## NWS FY03 Accomplishments

**Implemented Advanced Hydrologic Forecast Services (AHPS) at 366 New Locations (717 cumulative locations)**
**Expanded NOAA Weather Radio population coverage to 95% of U.S.**
**Certified 155 new StormReady communities; 645 at the end of FY03**
**Replaced AWIPS Workstations with new hardware; implemented Linux technology**
**Began use of new central supercomputer system: 2.5 Times the Computational Power of the Previous Computer **
*New computer completes 450B calculations/second (old computer completed 170B calc./second)*
**Outstanding Warning and Forecast Performance during FY 2003:**
*Midwest Tornado Outbreak (May 03); *
- Average lead time: 17 min. (13 Min. Goal)
*Hurricane Isabel (Sept. 03); *
- 48 Hour Track Error: 60 nautical miles (120nm Goal)
*East Coast Winter Storm (Feb. 03); *
- Average lead time: 17 hours (13 hr. Goal)

## NWS National Performance Measures

| Government Performance Requirements Act (GPRA) Performance Measure | Actual  | Goals | Goals |  |  |  |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
|  | 2003 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
| Tornado Warnings - Accuracy (%) | 79 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 75 | 75 | 76 | 76 |
| Tornado Warnings - False Alarm Rate (%) | 76 | 72 | 70 | 69 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 67 |
| Tornado Warnings - Lead Time (Min) | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| Flash Flood Warnings - Accuracy  (%) | 89 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 91 |
| Flash Flood Warnings - Lead Time  (Min) | 41 | 47 | 50 | 53 | 56 | 58 | 58 | 59 |
| Winter Storm Warnings - Accuracy  (%) | 90 | 88 | 89 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 91 |
| Winter Storm Warnings - Lead Time  (Hours) | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| Hurricane Track Forecasts (48 Hours Fcst Error (RMS) | 107* | 130 | 129 | 128 | 128 | 126 | 126 | 125 |
| Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling & Visibility) - Accuracy (%) | 48 | 45 | 46 | 46 | 48 | 50 | 52 | 55 |
| Aviation Forecasts - (Ceiling & Visibility) False Alarm Rate (%) | 64 | 71 | 70 | 68 | 68 | 67 | 66 | 65 |
| U.S. Seasonal Temperature – Skill | 17 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 24 |
| Precipitation Forecast – Day-1 Threat Score  (%) | 27 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Marine Wind Speed Forecasts - Accuracy  (%) | 57 | 54 | 57 | 60 | 63 | 66 | 68 | 69 |
| Marine Wave Height Forecasts - Accuracy  (%) | 71 | 66 | 69 | 72 | 75 | 78 | 80 | 81 |

**Preliminary; will be finalized in April 2004*

## Summary

**Summary**

**NWS Budget Total by Fiscal Year**
*FY 05 PB is $836.8M or 1.4% above FY 04 enacted*

## NWS FY05 Budget Highlights

**Supportive Budget for NWS, Considering the Fiscal Environment**
**Sustains Current Services for NWS**
**Includes $20.1M in mandatory cost increases**
*$12.3M for Federal pay raise and non-labor inflation*
*$7.8M in rescission restoration*
**Transfers $10.5M from OAR (Space Environment Center $5.3M ****and USWRP $5.2M)**
**Funds key program changes (+$13.7M ORF; -$8.8M PAC):**
*Telecommunications Gateway Replacement; Space Environment Center; Maintains Modernized COOP sites; Air Quality; Facilities-Physical Security*
*Continues Alaska and Pacific Facilities Construction Modernization *
*Continues Funding for the new NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (i.e. NWS Camp Springs Relocation)*

## NWS OR&F Highlights

| Program Increase Highlights |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $2.2M | Space Environment Center | Restores funding to maintain operations and provide critical solar warnings and forecasts.  |
| $5.5M | Air Quality Forecasting | Sustain operational Ozone forecasts in Northeastern US and continue  efforts to deliver Nationwide Ozone forecasts by FY 08 (CONUS). |
| $2.0M | Facilities-Physical Security | Provide enhanced security at NWS Weather Forecast Offices and National Prediction Centers to meet Dept of Justice “Level II” Standards. Component of NOAA’s Homeland Security Initiative.  |
| $1.2M | U.S. Weather Research Program | $1.2M increase including International  weather research initiative to improve 1-14 day weather forecast accuracy. |
| $0.2M | Alaska Data Buoys | Program change to restore FY04 reduction. |
| $2.6M | Local Warnings & Forecasts | Needed to maintain current operations. Provides 24x7 weather, flood warning & forecast services for the nation. |
| $13.7M | Total OR&F Program Changes |  |

## NWS PAC Highlights

| Program Increase Highlights |  |  |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $0.9M | NWS Telecommunications Gateway Replacement | Complete replacement & rightsizing of NWSTG Hardware & Software in Silver Spring, MD.  Current system experiencing delays in transmitting critical weather warning messages to private sector and public; throughput capacity insufficient to distribute high-resolution model data to WFOs. |
| $1.4M | Cooperative Observer Network Modernization | Operations & maintenance funding for 460 new COOP stations deployed in N.E. U.S. in FY03-04. Helps NWS forecasters improve drought monitoring capabilities & daily temperature forecasts critical to water resources, agriculture & energy sectors. |
| $2.0M | Coastal Global Ocean Observing System (CGOOS)  | New ocean sensors on existing marine buoys to improve ocean monitoring including salinity, currents, and sea surface temperature. Addresses gaps in buoy network, improving marine warnings & forecasts to mariners. |
| $0.4M | Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) | Continues radar signal improvement program; continues dual-polarization technology development; begins high resolution radar data assimilation investments. |
| -$5.5M | NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards (NWRAH) | Reflects completion of Civil Emergency Message automation investment. |
| -$8.0M | NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction | Planned construction program profile change. |
| -$8.8M | Total PAC Program Changes |  |

## FY05 Program Increase Priorities

|  | NWS priorities | ($M) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Adjustments to Base (ATBs) | $20.1 |
| 2 | NWS Telecommunications Gateway Replacement | $0.9 |
| 3 | Space Environment Center | $2.2 |
| 4 | Cooperative Observer Network Modernization | $1.4 |
| 5 | Air Quality Forecasting | $5.5 |
| 6 | Facilities-Physical Security | $2.0 |
| 7 | Coastal Global Ocean Observing System (CGOOS)  | $2.0 |
| 8 | U.S. Weather Research Program | $1.2 |

## www. weather.gov