# Presentation: 736687

## Using the Climate Analysis Indicators Tool (CAIT)for Policy AnalysisNational Renewable Energy LaboratoryAugust 12, 2004

- Using the Climate Analysis Indicators Tool **(CAIT)**for Policy Analysis**National Renewable Energy Laboratory****August 12, 2004**

**Tim Herzog & Jonathan Pershing**
**Climate, Energy, and Pollution Program****World Resources Institute****http://www.wri.org         ****	**cait@wri.org

## Overview

- Introducing CAIT
- Indicators in CAIT
- Analysis in CAIT
- Demonstration
- Q&A

## CAIT Overview

- Comprehensive collection of emissions & socio-economic indicators
- Designed to address key principles in Climate Convention
- Supports decision-making, capacity building, improved information access
- Policy neutral
- Excel-based, user-friendly, interactive

## Indicators in CAIT

- All major greenhouse gases
- Country-level cross-sectional and time-series data
- 185 Countries + EU
- Major geographic, economic & political groups (e.g. Asia, OECD, EITs, Annex I)
- Projections (SRES, IEA, EIA, POLES)

## Key Features

- Tables display indicators, relative rank
- Compare indicators, countries, regions
- Graph trends over time
- Create aggregate indices
- Recognized sources:  IEA, CDIAC, EPA, World Bank

## Key Features (cont.)

- Time horizon:  select target year/range
- Emissions inventories:  CO2, non-CO2 gases, land use change
- Units of measurement
- Country/region level and per capita
- Yearly and cumulative
- C and CO2
- Intensity measures

## Application

- Available to International Community
- Developed vs. Developing Countries
- Support Discussion of Long-term Policy Scenarios

## Some Caveats...

- Some indicators incomplete
- Some indicators subject to significant gaps & uncertainties
- Some indicators are composites of multiple data sources
- Indicator values do not at all suggest specific policy recommendations

## GHG Emissions Indicators

## GHG Indicators

- Yearly & cumulative CO2 emissions (1850-2000, CDIAC, IEA)
- Relative contributions to CO2 concentration & temperature increase
- CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC, SF6(1990, 1995, 2000, EPA)
- CO2 from land use change (Houghton)

## GHG Indicators

- GHG Emissions in 2000: Top 25 Countries
- (CO2, CH4, N2O, PFCs, HFCs, SF6)

## GHG Indicators

- GHG Emissions in 2000: Top 25 Countries
- (CO2, CH4, N2O, PFCs, HFCs, SF6)
- Per Capita

## GHG Indicators

- “Development” Levels and Emissions

## GHG Indicators

- Cumulative CO2 Emissions, 1950-2000

## GHG Indicators

- Cumulative CO2 Emissions, 1850-2000 vs 1990-2000

## Socio-Economic Indicators

## Socio-Economic Indicators

- Income:  GDP/PPP (WDI, World Bank)
- Health:  Healthy Life Expectancy (WHO)
- Education:  Literacy Rate/Enrollment Ratio (UNDP)
- Governance (World Bank/Kaufmann)

## Energy Use Indicators

- Energy Use (ktoe)  (IEA, UN)
- Carbon Intensity Indicators
- Energy Use (C/ktoe)
- Electricity Production (C/kwH) (IEA)
- Economy (C/$US)

## Emissions and Size of Economy

## Emissions and Energy Use

## Emissions & Energy Use Trends

## Energy Use Trends

- Carbon Intensity of Energy Use, 1992-2000

## Natural Factors

## Indicators of Natural Factors

- Temperature: heating/cooling degree days
- Natural Endowments:  fossil fuel reserves (BP Statistical Review of World Energy)
- Land Area  (USGS)
- Population (World Bank)

## Future CAIT Research

- UNFCCC Data Support
- Sector Analysis
- Technology Indicators
- Vulnerability & Adaptive Capacity

## For More Information:

- Download CAIT at: _[http://cait.wri.org](http://cait.wri.org/)_
- Questions/comments:
- _[therzog@wri.org](mailto:therzog@wri.org)_
- _[kbaumert@wri.org](mailto:kbaumert@wri.org)_