+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
|        | **Assumptions/Methodology** | **Actions**                  |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | **([yellowed]{.mark} items  | **[Blue]{.mark} -- Load      |
|        | indicate TSG approved       | Modeling Subgroup,           |
|        | Assumptions or methods)**   | [Red]{.mark} -- Modeling     |
|        |                             | Team,**                      |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             | **[Yellow]{.mark} --         |
|        |                             | Transmission Subgroup,       |
|        |                             | [Green]{.mark} -- Generation |
|        |                             | Subgroup**                   |
+========+=============================+==============================+
| **Load | []{.mark}                   | -   **[LM]{.mark}** will     |
| Fore   |                             |     propose and the TSG will |
| cast** | []{.mark}                   |     approve the load         |
|        |                             |     forecast to be used.     |
| **Load | [The WECC 2004 L&R for 2008 |                              |
| Fore   | will be used for the load   | **(COMPLETED)**              |
| cast** | forecast.]{.mark}           |                              |
|        |                             | -   To disaggregate the WECC |
|        | -   WECC load forecasts     |     load forecast to         |
|        |     include monthly peak    |     accommodate the topology |
|        |     and annual energy for   |     (bubbles), **CAISO**     |
|        |     each WECC region. The   |     will disaggregate PG&E   |
|        |     topology adopted for    |     loads, the **Council &   |
|        |     this planning process   |     BPA** will disaggregate  |
|        |     is more detailed than   |     NW loads, and **RMATS**  |
|        |     the WECC topology. The  |     will be used for Rocky   |
|        |     regions in the material |     Mountain state loads     |
|        |     published by WECC are:  |     (**[LM]{.mark}** is      |
|        |     Northwest Power Pool    |     lead). For other         |
|        |     Area US systems, NWPP   |     divisions from regions   |
|        |     Canadian systems, Rocky |     into bubbles, hourly     |
|        |     Mountain, Arizona-New   |     load data (FERC 714) and |
|        |     Mexico-Southern Nevada, |     the RMATS study load     |
|        |     California, and Mexico. |     divisions will be used   |
|        |     The published WECC data |     to provide ratios to be  |
|        |     must be divided into    |     used for the divisions   |
|        |     the RMATS bubbles. The  |     from regions into areas  |
|        |     RMATS bubbles were      |     (bubbles).               |
|        |     further divided, i.e.   |                              |
|        |     two bubbles instead of  | ```{=html}                   |
|        |     one for NW, two bubbles | <!-- -->                     |
|        |     instead of one for      | ```                          |
|        |     PG&E, and consistent    | -   The **[Modeling          |
|        |     with RMATS, multiple    |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
|        |     additional bubbles for  |     distribute loads to the  |
|        |     the Rocky Mountain      |     bus bar using GridView   |
|        |     states. Therefore, [the |     and the seasonal power   |
|        |     WECC load forecast must |     flow cases               |
|        |     be disaggregated to     |                              |
|        |     accommodate the SSG-WI  | -   **[Load                  |
|        |     topology]{.mark}        |     Modeling]{.mark}**       |
|        |                             |     should remove generator  |
|        | []{.mark}                   |     loads from the power     |
|        |                             |     flow case (generator     |
|        | -   [The WECC 2008 HS2A     |     loads are netted against |
|        |     power flow case will be |     plant generation)        |
|        |     used to distribute      |     **(COMPLETED)**          |
|        |     loads to the bus bars.  |                              |
|        |     Before this             | -   **Doug Smith** will      |
|        |     distribution,           |     coordinate a review of   |
|        |     generation station      |     the power flow cases by  |
|        |     service should be       |     the [Transmission        |
|        |     removed from the power  |     Subgroup]{.mark} to      |
|        |     flow base case loads so |     ensure they reflect      |
|        |     the load forecast       |     incremental transmission |
|        |     information is          |     additions for 2008 **--  |
|        |     consistent with the     |     Modeling Team**          |
|        |     distributed loads.      |     coordinating further     |
|        |     Also, the power flow    |     review of transmission   |
|        |     case should be          |     representation in the    |
|        |     modified, as            |     2008 HS2A PF case.       |
|        |     appropriate, to capture |                              |
|        |     incremental             | -   **[Load                  |
|        |     transmission additions  |     Modeling]{.mark}** will  |
|        |     (now to 2008).]{.mark}  |     recommend to the TSG the |
|        |                             |     basis to be used for     |
|        | []{.mark}                   |     determining hourly load  |
|        |                             |     shapes**. (COMPLETED)**  |
|        | Hourly load shapes are a    |     The shapes use           |
|        | key determinant in modeling |     historical data. **State |
|        | transmission congestion.    |     energy offices** and     |
|        | Load shapes must be         |     **liaisons for           |
|        | determined for each bubble  |     sub-regional** studies   |
|        | (all buses within a bubble  |     will be given the        |
|        | will use the same hourly    |     opportunity to review    |
|        | shape). [2002 load shapes   |     proposed hourly shapes   |
|        | from WECC historical hourly |     before the TSG adopts.   |
|        | load data will be used to   |                              |
|        | shape the loads in each     | ```{=html}                   |
|        | bubble. If conversion to    | <!-- -->                     |
|        | 2002 is too difficult or    | ```                          |
|        | time consuming, the same    | -   [**The Modeling Team**   |
|        | shapes will be used as in   |     will calculate losses    |
|        | the RMATS study.]{.mark}    |     using Grid View loss     |
|        | The Load Modeling group     |     modeling and delete      |
|        | understands the RMATS study |     losses from the load     |
|        | used historical year 2000   |     forecast as directed by  |
|        | hourly shapes               |     the TSG.]{.mark}         |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | Losses in the WECC forecast | [**Load Modeling**]{.mark}   |
|        | are grossed up to           | will estimate the amount of  |
|        | generation output. [Losses  | existing conservation and    |
|        | will be left in the load    | other DSM in the load        |
|        | forecast for the initial    | forecast, using RMATS        |
|        | 2008 run. Grid View will    | survey, state energy office  |
|        | calculate losses. A         | and other existing           |
|        | decision on whether or not  | information sources. (This   |
|        | to remove losses will be    | work can be delayed until    |
|        | made following the initial  | after other actions are      |
|        | run.]{.mark}                | completed for the 2008       |
|        |                             | study.)                      |
|        | -   [DSM embedded in the    |                              |
|        |     load forecast will be   | -   **[Modeling              |
|        |     estimated using         |     Team]{.mark}** will load |
|        |     existing information    |     the load forecast (as    |
|        |     sources. New DSM is     |     distributed down to the  |
|        |     assumed to be included  |     bus level and with       |
|        |     in load forecasts.      |     hourly shapes) and the   |
|        |     Interruptible loads     |     associated hydro         |
|        |     will not be]{.mark}     |     generation into GridView |
|        |     [modeled]{.mark}        |                              |
|        |                             | ```{=html}                   |
|        | ```{=html}                  | <!-- -->                     |
|        | <!-- -->                    | ```                          |
|        | ```                         | -   **[Load                  |
|        | -   For hydro modeling, the |     Modeling]{.mark}** will  |
|        |     GENESYS model requires  |     work with the            |
|        |     annual energy load      |     **[Modeling              |
|        |     forecasts. It then      |     Team]{.mark}** (**J.     |
|        |     constructs hourly loads |     Fazio**) to review and   |
|        |     for the entire year     |     agree on NW load results |
|        |     based on such factors   |                              |
|        |     as day of week, month   | -   **Mary Johannis --**     |
|        |     and temperature.  The   |     will prepare a write-up  |
|        |     conversion in HELM is   |     for TSG describing the   |
|        |     based on historical     |     NW load and generation   |
|        |     load shapes for the     |     modeling using GENESYS   |
|        |     Northwest and an        |     and HELMS                |
|        |     historic relationship   |                              |
|        |     between load and        | -   **[Modeling              |
|        |     temperature for each    |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
|        |     month. The net result   |     include the load results |
|        |     is regional hourly      |     from GENESYS in GridView |
|        |     demand for 2008 given a |                              |
|        |     particular temperature  |                              |
|        |     scenario (from the      |                              |
|        |     1929-78 historical      |                              |
|        |     record). [The GENESYS   |                              |
|        |     model will be used to   |                              |
|        |     calculate NW loads and  |                              |
|        |     load shapes.]{.mark}    |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | []{.mark}                   |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   The original plan was   |                              |
|        |     to use GENESYS to       |                              |
|        |     produce low and high    |                              |
|        |     hydro generation cases  |                              |
|        |     for the NW, including   |                              |
|        |     associated loads.       |                              |
|        |     However, due to the     |                              |
|        |     difficulty of           |                              |
|        |     distributing the        |                              |
|        |     simulated hydro         |                              |
|        |     generation to the       |                              |
|        |     individual plants,      |                              |
|        |     recent historical hydro |                              |
|        |     generation will be      |                              |
|        |     used: [1999 represents  |                              |
|        |     a wet year, 2002        |                              |
|        |     represents an average   |                              |
|        |     year and 2003           |                              |
|        |     represents a dry        |                              |
|        |     year.]{.mark} The       |                              |
|        |     Council will use        |                              |
|        |     historical temperatures |                              |
|        |     for these years to      |                              |
|        |     adjust the 2008 and     |                              |
|        |     2015 load forecasts to  |                              |
|        |     ensure that the hydro   |                              |
|        |     and load data are       |                              |
|        |     correlated.             |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **N    | Power flow cases: [Only the | -   **[D. Davies w/ Modeling |
| etwork | 2008 HS2A PF case will be   |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
| Repr   | used to distribute loads    |     create a matrix for the  |
| esenta | for the 2008 base           |     TSG that shows whether   |
| tion** | case.]{.mark} (We may use   |     two power flows or four  |
|        | multiple seasons for the    |     are necessary            |
|        | 2015 base case).            |     **(COMPLETED)**          |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Topology: the WECC     | -   [**WECC (D.              |
|        |     22-bubble will be used, |     Davies**)]{.mark} will   |
|        |     with these              |     propose power flow cases |
|        |     exceptions:]{.mark}     |     to the TSG for decision. |
|        |                             |     Not required for 2008    |
|        |     -   [The single NW      |     case. May do this for    |
|        |         bubble will be      |     the 2015 base case)      |
|        |         split into west and |     **(COMPLETED)**          |
|        |         east NW             |                              |
|        |         bubbles]{.mark}     | -   ABB will assist the      |
|        |                             |     **[Modeling              |
|        |     -   [The single PG&E    |     Team]{.mark}** in moving |
|        |         bubble will be      |     WECC's GE-based power    |
|        |         split into three    |     flows into GridView. Not |
|        |         bubbles, to         |     required for the 2008    |
|        |         accommodate         |     base case. May pursue    |
|        |         variations in load  |     this for the 2015 case.  |
|        |         types and           |                              |
|        |         shapes]{.mark}      | ```{=html}                   |
|        |                             | <!-- -->                     |
|        |     -   [The RMATS topology | ```                          |
|        |         will be used for    | -   **[Modeling              |
|        |         the Rocky Mountain  |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
|        |         states, except that |     revise topology chart to |
|        |         the Montana bubbles |     reflect these changes    |
|        |         will be reduced     |     (J. Austin)              |
|        |         from 2 to 1]{.mark} |                              |
|        |                             |     -   **[Modeling          |
|        | [With these changes, the    |         Team]{.mark}** will  |
|        | SSG-Wi topology will        |         clarify how GridView |
|        | include 33 bubbles.]{.mark} |         models control       |
|        |                             |         areas: what data is  |
|        | -   Control areas: Up to    |         required, what logic |
|        |     present, the modeling   |         it applies, what     |
|        |     has optimized dispatch  |         results it produces, |
|        |     and production costs on |         and                  |
|        |     a west-wide basis,      |         issues/impediments   |
|        |     without taking into     |         it poses. The Team   |
|        |     account rate pancaking  |         will also test the   |
|        |     and other               |         model's approach and |
|        |     inefficiencies in       |         capabilities with a  |
|        |     system operations.      |         simple 2 control     |
|        |     GridView provides some  |         area split. Results  |
|        |     new capability to model |         will forwarded to    |
|        |     dispatch, operating     |         TSG for decision on  |
|        |     reserves, and wheeling  |         whether to proceed   |
|        |     rates by control area,  |         with control area    |
|        |     but the model's         |         modeling (assigned   |
|        |     approach and algorithm  |         to **K. Granat**)    |
|        |     is not fully            |                              |
|        |     understood. [A high     | .                            |
|        |     level split of control  |                              |
|        |     area modeling will be   |                              |
|        |     included if the impact  |                              |
|        |     on congestion and       |                              |
|        |     production costs is     |                              |
|        |     significant]{.mark}     |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **     | -   [The Transmission       | -   **[Transmission          |
| Transm |     Subgroup started with   |     Subgroup]{.mark}** will  |
| ission |     the WECC path rating    |     collect additional       |
| Path   |     catalog, and applied    |     nomograms for possible   |
| R      |     modifications to        |     modeling. **Marv         |
| atings |     capture operating       |     Landauer** will provide  |
| &      |     limits for a number of  |     a new nomogram for N. of |
| Nomog  |     paths (see path ratings |     John Day                 |
| rams** |     chart).]{.mark}         |                              |
|        |                             | -   **D. Perry** will        |
|        | -   [Derates to recognize   |     continue to investigate  |
|        |     historical OTC          |     schedule vs. actuals on  |
|        |     limitations will be     |     key paths, and recommend |
|        |     applied to specified    |     additional constraints   |
|        |     paths. See Notes for    |     for modeling             |
|        |     the March 29, 2005 TSG  |     **(COMPLETED)**          |
|        |     meeting for details.    |                              |
|        |     Transmission            |                              |
|        |     reliability margin may  |                              |
|        |     be used to lower the    |                              |
|        |     path ratings below      |                              |
|        |     TTC]{.mark}             |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | []{.mark}                   |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Nomograms take         |                              |
|        |     seasonal derates into   |                              |
|        |     consideration.          |                              |
|        |     Additional nomograms    |                              |
|        |     will be collected for   |                              |
|        |     possible modeling.      |                              |
|        |     Nomograms to be         |                              |
|        |     included are listed in  |                              |
|        |     Notes for the March 29, |                              |
|        |     2005 TSG                |                              |
|        |     meeting.]{.mark}        |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | []{.mark}                   |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Derates to reflect     |                              |
|        |     historical operational  |                              |
|        |     scheduling limitations, |                              |
|        |     will not be applied in  |                              |
|        |     the 2008 study.]{.mark} |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | []{.mark}                   |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **     | -   [GridView's ability to  |                              |
| Transm |     model transmission      |                              |
| ission |     forced outages will not |                              |
| Forced |     be used in this         |                              |
| Out    |     study.]{.mark} Reason:  |                              |
| ages** |     transmission            |                              |
|        |     maintenance outages     |                              |
|        |     typically occur during  |                              |
|        |     off peak usage only     |                              |
|        |     (low impact) and forced |                              |
|        |     transmission outages    |                              |
|        |     occur infrequently.     |                              |
|        |     (Transmission Subgroup, |                              |
|        |     Sacramento, Feb 3 2005) |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Wh   | -   The ABB model allows    | -   **[Modeling              |
| eeling |     use of wheeling rates   |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
| r      |     in conjunction with     |     further examine          |
| ates** |     multiple control areas. |     GridView's requirements  |
|        |     Wheeling rates must be  |     and capabilities for     |
|        |     modeled at the path,    |     modeling wheeling rates. |
|        |     not line, level. The    |     **(COMPLETED)** A test   |
|        |     rates help to mimic the |     will be conducted, and   |
|        |     inefficiencies of       |     the Team will propose an |
|        |     multiple control areas  |     approach to the TSG      |
|        |     and seams               |                              |
|        |                             | -   **[Trans SG]{.mark} --** |
|        | -   [GridView's             |     Identify the interfaces  |
|        |     capabilities will be    |     to represent with        |
|        |     tested before deciding  |     wheeling rates and the   |
|        |     to use wheeling rates   |     wheeling rate that       |
|        |     in the 2008             |     should be used.          |
|        |     study.]{.mark} It may   |                              |
|        |     be that this modeling   |                              |
|        |     will need to be         |                              |
|        |     deferred to the 2015    |                              |
|        |     studies.                |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Pl   | -   [A planning margin of   |                              |
| anning |     about 15 % will be      |                              |
| Ma     |     modeled on a            |                              |
| rgin** |     sub-regional basis for  |                              |
|        |     those areas that are    |                              |
|        |     capacity-constrained.   |                              |
|        |     For areas that are      |                              |
|        |     energy-constrained,     |                              |
|        |     resources will be added |                              |
|        |     in the same proportion  |                              |
|        |     of installed capacity   |                              |
|        |     as is in the current    |                              |
|        |     case]{.mark}            |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | []{.mark}                   |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Gene | -   [Generation forced      | -   **[Modeling              |
| ration |     outages will be modeled |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
| forced |     probabilistically using |     conduct this modeling in |
| and    |     GridView's Monte Carlo  |     coordination with Gen SG |
| sch    |     capability. The         |                              |
| eduled |     approach used will be   |                              |
| out    |     repeated between the    |                              |
| ages** |     cases]{.mark}.          |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| *      | -   [Existing resources     | -   **[Gen SG]{.mark}** (Tom |
| *Resou |     will be determined on a |     Carr) has lead to define |
| rces** |     draft basis by          |     existing, new and        |
|        |     comparing and           |     retired generator units  |
|        |     reconciling SSG-WI      |     for the 2008 case. Tom   |
|        |     2003, WECC, CEC, and    |     is coordinating with the |
|        |     other data bases. The   |     states.                  |
|        |     unit level of detail    |                              |
|        |     will be                 | -   **Modeling Team** will   |
|        |     collected.]{.mark}      |     complete the Unit        |
|        |                             |     Commitment template      |
|        | -   ["Sustainable capacity" |     using information from   |
|        |     will be used for        |     existing sources. This   |
|        |     existing resources      |     will be checked against  |
|        |     rather than nameplate   |     Tom Carr's unit          |
|        |     capacity]{.mark}        |     definition work. **SPG   |
|        |                             |     liaisons** will          |
|        | -   [Retirements and new    |     coordinate the review of |
|        |     resources (present      |     unit representation and  |
|        |     to 2008) will be        |     unit commitment data for |
|        |     determined              |     their subregions.        |
|        |     through:]{.mark}        |                              |
|        |                             | ```{=html}                   |
|        | [- IRP and other resource   | <!-- -->                     |
|        | planning sources]{.mark}    | ```                          |
|        |                             | -   **[Gen SG]{.mark}**,     |
|        | [- RPS requirements]{.mark} |     with Michael Milligan    |
|        |                             |     (NREL), will determine   |
|        | [- Target planning          |     wind locations, amounts  |
|        | margin]{.mark}              |     and shapes               |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Sizing and location of |                              |
|        |     wind resources will be  |                              |
|        |     optimized (within IRP   |                              |
|        |     parameters)]{.mark}     |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [New DSM will be        |                              |
|        |     treated discretely,     |                              |
|        |     tracked as a resource   |                              |
|        |     but subtracted from     |                              |
|        |     load]{.mark}            |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Resources under 10 MW  |                              |
|        |     will not be             |                              |
|        |     included.]{.mark}       |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Initial 2008 studies   |                              |
|        |     will be run using the   |                              |
|        |     Modeling Team's initial |                              |
|        |     Unit Commitment         |                              |
|        |     template information,   |                              |
|        |     coordinated with Tom's  |                              |
|        |     review,, but prior to   |                              |
|        |     completion of the SPG   |                              |
|        |     review process.]{.mark} |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Where unit level of    |                              |
|        |     detail is unavailable   |                              |
|        |     for thermal resources,  |                              |
|        |     assumptions will be     |                              |
|        |     made based on type and  |                              |
|        |     vintage of plant,       |                              |
|        |     cooling technology,     |                              |
|        |     etc.]{.mark}            |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | []{.mark}                   |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Cr   | -   [To be considered for   | -   Liaisons have been       |
| iteria |     the 2008 study,         |     appointed to coordinate  |
| for    |     resources must be under |     all resource assumptions |
| Re     |     construction --some     |     with SPGs                |
| source |     leeway may be           |                              |
| Addit  |     appropriate for new     | (**D. Perry**):              |
| ions - |     wind resources since    |                              |
| 2008** |     they have a shorter     | -   SWAT -- **Peter          |
|        |     lead time]{.mark}       |     Krzykos**                |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [Resources must be in   | -   STEP -- **J. Miller**    |
|        |     operation by beginning  |                              |
|        |     of 2008 unless the      | -   NTAC -- **M. Landauer**  |
|        |     resources are critical  |                              |
|        |     for resource adequacy   | -   RMATS -- **Ray Brush &   |
|        |     and the states are      |     Jim Tucker**             |
|        |     convinced that the      |                              |
|        |     resources will be       | -   CCPG -- **John Collins** |
|        |     on-line to meet peak    |                              |
|        |     needs.]{.mark}          | ```{=html}                   |
|        |                             | <!-- -->                     |
|        | -   []{.mark}               | ```                          |
|        |                             | -   State and provincial     |
|        |                             |     energy offices and other |
|        |                             |     experts will be asked to |
|        |                             |     give careful review and  |
|        |                             |     comment on all resource  |
|        |                             |     assumptions (D.          |
|        |                             |     Larson, T. Carr)         |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Unit | -   [Thermal unit           | -   **[Modeling              |
| Commit |     commitment will be      |     Team]{.mark}** has       |
| ment** |     modeled]{.mark}. This   |     created a template to    |
|        |     is an advance over      |     collect thermal unit     |
|        |     previous studies        |     data in the level of     |
|        |                             |     detail and format        |
|        | -   Data requirements for   |     required by GridView.    |
|        |     unit commitment         |     **[Gen SG]{.mark} and    |
|        |     includes capacity       |     the Modeling Team** will |
|        |     information, planned    |     populate the template as |
|        |     and forced outage       |     best as possible using   |
|        |     assumptions, heat rate  |     2003 SSG-Wi, SPG, CEC,   |
|        |     curves, ramp rates,     |     PNWPCC, and other data   |
|        |     minimum up/down times,  |     sources                  |
|        |     must-run status,        |                              |
|        |     start-up costs,         | -   **[Gen SG]{.mark}** will |
|        |     non-fuel VOM, and       |     coordinate then the      |
|        |     emission                |     draft template with      |
|        |     rates/constraints       |     SPGs, state and          |
|        |     information             |     provincial energy        |
|        |                             |     offices via D. Perry     |
|        |                             |     and D. Larson            |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             | -   **[Modeling              |
|        |                             |     Team]{.mark}** will load |
|        |                             |     the draft template into  |
|        |                             |     GridView, and initial    |
|        |                             |     studies for the March 29 |
|        |                             |     meeting will be based on |
|        |                             |     this draft information   |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| *      | -   [Recent historical      | -   J. Fazio will work with  |
| *Hydro |     hydro generation that   |     the **[Gen SG]{.mark}**  |
| Mode   |     is fairly reflective of |     to select the historical |
| ling** |     the latest Biological   |     streamflows to be used   |
|        |     Opinion]{.mark} [will   |     for the L, M, and H      |
|        |     be used to model hydro  |     cases and to provide     |
|        |     generation for the      |     associated temperatures  |
|        |     NW]{.mark}              |     to allow for load        |
|        |                             |     forecast that are        |
|        | -   [Federal hydro data     |     correlated with hydro to |
|        |     will be updated using   |     be used for the          |
|        |     the latest hydrology    |     Northwest.               |
|        |     and projections for     |     **(COMPLETED)**          |
|        |     2008]{.mark}            |                              |
|        |                             | -   **[Gen SG]{.mark}** will |
|        | -   [Low, average and high  |     use ABB's peak shaving   |
|        |     hydro conditions will   |     algorithm to model       |
|        |     be updated and modeled  |     hourly hydro generation  |
|        |     (see load forecast      |     for the Colorado River   |
|        |     discussion)]{.mark}     |     projects and will use    |
|        |                             |     the hourly hydro         |
|        | -   [The low hydro          |     generation provided by   |
|        |     condition will be       |     WAPA for the Central     |
|        |     selected so that the    |     Valley Project in        |
|        |     analysis will also meet |     California.              |
|        |     the needs of the WECC   |                              |
|        |     Resource Adequacy       | -   **[Gen SG]{.mark}** and  |
|        |     Assessment]{.mark}      |     **[Modeling              |
|        |                             |     Team]{.mark}** will work |
|        | -   [A current Corps of     |     with ABB to integrate    |
|        |     Engineers hourly        |     GENESYS or other hydro   |
|        |     forecast (done for      |     algorithms with GridView |
|        |     WAPA) of generation     |     (longer-term task)       |
|        |     will be used for the    |                              |
|        |     Central Valley Project  |                              |
|        |     in California.]{.mark}  |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [The CEC will provide   |                              |
|        |     non-Federal hydro       |                              |
|        |     generation for the rest |                              |
|        |     of California.]{.mark}  |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   [For Colorado River     |                              |
|        |     Projects, peak shaving  |                              |
|        |     modeling outside        |                              |
|        |     GridView may be         |                              |
|        |     used]{.mark}            |                              |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   []{.mark}               |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Fuel | -   [Gas: \$5/MMbtu, HH, in | -   **[Gen SG]{.mark}** will |
| Pr     |     2004 \$s; sensitivities |     coordinate the           |
| ices** |     @ \$6 and \$4]{.mark}   |     development of coal      |
|        |                             |     price forecast for TSG   |
|        | []{.mark}                   |     approval                 |
|        |                             |                              |
|        | -   Coal: TBD Default may   |                              |
|        |     be the Council's coal   |                              |
|        |     price forecast, to      |                              |
|        |     include locational      |                              |
|        |     adders for              |                              |
|        |     transportation          |                              |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+
| **Ec   | [2008 Base case with high   | -   **[Modeling              |
| onomic | and low hydro sensitivities |     Team]{.mark}** will      |
| Mode   | and high and low gas price  |     create and maintain      |
| ling** | sensitivities. The modeling |     change log               |
|        | will employ the PNWPCC's    |                              |
|        | hydro modeling              | -   Modeling for 2008 Base   |
|        | capabilities, refined wind  |     Case:                    |
|        | generation information,     |                              |
|        | thermal unit commitment     |     -   Verify inputs as     |
|        | logic, and transmission     |         intended             |
|        | losses]{.mark}              |                              |
|        |                             |     -   Populate model with  |
|        |                             |         new inputs and       |
|        |                             |         assumptions          |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   Load forecast    |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   Thermal data     |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   New resources    |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   New transmission |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   Hydro files      |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   Renewables       |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |         -   Fuel Prices      |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |     -   Run 2008 Base Case   |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |     -   Validate Base Case   |
|        |                             |         (**[Modeling         |
|        |                             |         Team]{.mark}, [Gen   |
|        |                             |         SG]{.mark}, [Trans.  |
|        |                             |         SG]{.mark}, [Load    |
|        |                             |         Modeling]{.mark}     |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |      [SG]{.mark}**[)]{.mark} |
|        |                             |                              |
|        |                             |     -   Rerun with           |
|        |                             |         corrections          |
+--------+-----------------------------+------------------------------+