**Table 26.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **large coastal shark complex and sandbar (VIMS CPUE
series removed)** with the Prager form are compared to those reported by
one of the reviewers. Predictions of alternative harvesting policies are
also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Punt's review**                         **Prager form**                    **Punt's review**                                           
                  form**                                                                                                                                                                  

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                **EV**                 **CV**      **EV**            **CV**                                     

                  *Large                                                                                          *Sandbar*                                                                
                  coastal*                                                                                                                                                                

  K               9410         0.22              \-\--               \-\--                 3999                   0.48        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  r               0.08         0.66              0.08                \-\--                 0.12                   0.85        0.13              \-\--                                      

  C~0~            308          0.42              \-\--               \-\--                 133                    0.56        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~         1123         0.29              \-\--               \-\--                 2197                   0.79        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~/K       0.12         0.26              0.19                \-\--                 0.50                   0.45        0.64              \-\--                                      

  MSC             169          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 104                    0.74        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  RY~1998~        64           0.46              96                  \-\--                 75                     0.48        85                \-\--                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                           

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                              **Prager form
                               *(Large                                                                                                                                                    *(Sandbar)***
                               coastal)***                                                                                                                                                

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**               **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.21              0.42                0.56                  1                                  0.67              1.35                0.05                  1

  \(2008\)        10           0.16              0.31                0.79                  0.62                               0.65              1.31                0.06                  0.97

                  20           0.09              0.18                0.93                  0.16                               0.63              1.25                0.09                  0.91

                  30           0.03              0.07                0.99                  0.03                               0.60              1.20                0.11                  0.84

                  40           0.01              0.02                1                     0                                  0.57              1.14                0.14                  0.75

                  50           0.01              0.02                1                     0                                  0.54              1.09                0.17                  0.67

  20-year         0            0.37              0.73                0.20                  1                                  0.79              1.57                0.02                  1

  \(2018\)        10           0.24              0.47                0.57                  0.69                               0.75              1.49                0.04                  0.97

                  20           0.09              0.17                0.87                  0.19                               0.70              1.40                0.08                  0.92

                  30           0.02              0.03                0.97                  0.03                               0.66              1.31                0.11                  0.85

                  40           0.01              0.01                1                     0                                  0.61              1.22                0.16                  0.76

                  50           0.01              0.02                1                     0                                  0.56              1.13                0.20                  0.68

  30-year         0            0.51              1.02                0.08                  1                                  0.85              1.71                0.01                  1

  \(2028\)        10           0.32              0.64                0.45                  0.71                               0.80              1.61                0.03                  0.98

                  20           0.10              0.21                0.83                  0.20                               0.75              1.50                0.07                  0.93

                  30           0.02              0.04                0.97                  0.03                               0.69              1.38                0.12                  0.85

                  40           0.01              0.01                1                     0                                  0.63              1.26                0.17                  0.76

                  50           0.01              0.02                1                     0                                  0.58              1.15                0.22                  0.68
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 27.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **large coastal shark complex and blacktip (split all
commercial and recreational CPUE series including 1993 in 1993)** with
the Prager form are compared to those reported by one of the reviewers.
Predictions of alternative harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Punt's review**                         **Prager form**                     **Punt's review**                                           
                  form**                                                                                                                                                                   

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                **EV**                 **CV**       **EV**            **CV**                                     

                  *Large                                                                                          *Blacktip*                                                                
                  coastal*                                                                                                                                                                 

  K               10309        0.23              \-\--               \-\--                 10639                  0.55         \-\--             \-\--                                      

  r               0.07         0.68              0.08                \-\--                 0.15                   0.87         0.15              \-\--                                      

  C~0~            306          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 275                    0.40         \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~         2770         0.37              \-\--               \-\--                 7170                   0.81         \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~/K       0.27         0.30              0.28                \-\--                 0.57                   0.49         0.54              \-\--                                      

  MSC             168          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 360                    0.95         \-\--             \-\--                                      

  RY~1998~        128          0.51              143                 \-\--                 184                    0.49         173               \-\--                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                            

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                               **Prager form
                               *(Large                                                                                                                                                     *(Blacktip)***
                               coastal)***                                                                                                                                                 

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**                **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.41              0.82                0.04                  1                                   0.72              1.43                0.04                  1

  \(2008\)        10           0.37              0.74                0.09                  0.92                                0.69              1.39                0.07                  0.97

                  20           0.33              0.65                0.20                  0.65                                0.66              1.33                0.12                  0.88

                  30           0.28              0.55                0.34                  0.39                                0.63              1.26                0.17                  0.79

                  40           0.23              0.45                0.50                  0.21                                0.60              1.20                0.21                  0.71

                  50           0.18              0.36                0.63                  0.10                                0.57              1.14                0.25                  0.64

  20-year         0            0.56              1.12                0.01                  1                                   0.82              1.64                0.01                  1

  \(2018\)        10           0.48              0.96                0.06                  0.94                                0.78              1.56                0.04                  0.98

                  20           0.39              0.77                0.21                  0.68                                0.73              1.45                0.10                  0.90

                  30           0.28              0.57                0.43                  0.41                                0.67              1.34                0.17                  0.80

                  40           0.19              0.37                0.64                  0.21                                0.62              1.24                0.23                  0.71

                  50           0.11              0.22                0.79                  0.10                                0.58              1.16                0.27                  0.64

  30-year         0            0.68              1.35                0                     1                                   0.88              1.77                0                     1

  \(2028\)        10           0.57              1.14                0.05                  0.95                                0.83              1.66                0.03                  0.98

                  20           0.43              0.87                0.22                  0.69                                0.76              1.53                0.09                  0.90

                  30           0.29              0.58                0.48                  0.41                                0.69              1.39                0.17                  0.80

                  40           0.17              0.33                0.70                  0.21                                0.63              1.26                0.24                  0.72

                  50           0.09              0.18                0.84                  0.11                                0.58              1.17                0.29                  0.64
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 28.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and blacktip
(all data points in commercial and recreational CPUE series extending
beyond 1992 removed)** with the Prager form are compared to those
reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions of alternative harvesting
policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Punt's review**                         **Prager form**                    **Punt's review**                                           
                  form**                                                                                                                                                                  

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                **EV**                 **CV**      **EV**            **CV**                                     

                  *Large                                                                                          *Sandbar*                                                                
                  coastal*                                                                                                                                                                

  K               10179        0.23              \-\--               \-\--                 3072                   0.40        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  r               0.07         0.68              0.09                \-\--                 0.08                   0.72        0.09              \-\--                                      

  C~0~            305          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 153                    0.60        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~         2588         0.40              \-\--               \-\--                 483                    0.76        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~/K       0.26         0.33              0.31                \-\--                 0.16                   0.59        0.27              \-\--                                      

  MSC             169          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 54                     0.53        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  RY~1998~        123          0.53              163                 \-\--                 27                     0.76        48                \-\--                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                           

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                              **Prager form
                               *(Large                                                                                                                                                    *(Sandbar)***
                               coastal)***                                                                                                                                                

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**               **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.39              0.78                0.07                  1                                  0.27              0.54                0.43                  0.99

  \(2008\)        10           0.35              0.70                0.15                  0.89                               0.23              0.46                0.53                  0.71

                  20           0.30              0.60                0.28                  0.60                               0.18              0.37                0.64                  0.45

                  30           0.25              0.50                0.42                  0.34                               0.14              0.29                0.73                  0.27

                  40           0.20              0.41                0.56                  0.18                               0.11              0.22                0.80                  0.17

                  50           0.16              0.31                0.68                  0.09                               0.09              0.17                0.85                  0.10

  20-year         0            0.54              1.07                0.02                  1                                  0.42              0.83                0.22                  1

  \(2018\)        10           0.45              0.91                0.10                  0.92                               0.32              0.65                0.40                  0.76

                  20           0.36              0.71                0.28                  0.63                               0.23              0.46                0.57                  0.48

                  30           0.25              0.50                0.50                  0.36                               0.16              0.32                0.71                  0.29

                  40           0.16              0.32                0.68                  0.18                               0.11              0.21                0.81                  0.17

                  50           0.10              0.20                0.82                  0.09                               0.07              0.14                0.87                  0.10

  30-year         0            0.65              1.31                0.01                  1                                  0.54              1.09                0.12                  1

  \(2028\)        10           0.54              1.08                0.08                  0.93                               0.41              0.82                0.33                  0.77

                  20           0.40              0.80                0.29                  0.65                               0.28              0.56                0.54                  0.48

                  30           0.26              0.51                0.54                  0.36                               0.18              0.36                0.70                  0.29

                  40           0.15              0.29                0.74                  0.19                               0.11              0.23                0.81                  0.17

                  50           0.08              0.16                0.86                  0.09                               0.07              0.14                0.89                  0.10
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 28 (continued).** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means
and coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions
for output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model
analysis. Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and
blacktip (all data points in commercial and recreational CPUE series
extending beyond 1992 removed)** with the Prager form are compared to
those reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions of alternative
harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------
                  **Prager                       **Punt's review**                                                                            
                  form**                                                                                                                      

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                                                                    

                  *Blacktip*                                                                                                                   

  K               13197        0.42              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  r               0.20         0.78              0.22                \-\--                                                                     

  C~0~            326          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~         10599        0.48              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~/K       0.79         0.18              0.79                \-\--                                                                     

  MSC             579          0.74              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  RY~1998~        253          0.22              252                 \-\--                                                                     

                                                                                                                                               

                               **Prager form                                                                                                   
                               *(Blacktip)***                                                                                                 

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**                                

  10-year         0            0.91              1.82                0                     1                                                   

  \(2008\)        10           0.90              1.80                0                     1                                                   

                  20           0.89              1.77                0                     0.99                                                

                  30           0.87              1.75                0                     0.99                                                

                  40           0.86              1.72                0                     0.97                                                

                  50           0.85              1.69                0.01                  0.95                                                

  20-year         0            0.95              1.91                0                     1                                                   

  \(2018\)        10           0.94              1.88                0                     1                                                   

                  20           0.92              1.84                0                     0.99                                                

                  30           0.90              1.81                0                     0.99                                                

                  40           0.88              1.77                0.01                  0.97                                                

                  50           0.87              1.73                0.01                  0.95                                                

  30-year         0            0.97              1.95                0                     1                                                   

  \(2028\)        10           0.96              1.91                0                     1                                                   

                  20           0.94              1.87                0                     1                                                   

                  30           0.92              1.83                0                     0.99                                                

                  40           0.90              1.79                0.01                  0.97                                                

                  50           0.87              1.75                0.01                  0.95                                                
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 29.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and blacktip
(only fishery-independent CPUE series used)** with the Prager form are
compared to those reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions of
alternative harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Punt's review**                         **Prager form**                    **Punt's review**                                           
                  form**                                                                                                                                                                  

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                **EV**                 **CV**      **EV**            **CV**                                     

                  *Large                                                                                          *Sandbar*                                                                
                  coastal*                                                                                                                                                                

  K               9347         0.25              \-\--               \-\--                 3023                   0.41        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  r               0.09         0.72              0.09                \-\--                 0.08                   0.74        0.10              \-\--                                      

  C~0~            394          0.45              \-\--               \-\--                 143                    0.61        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~         1508         0.54              \-\--               \-\--                 551                    0.89        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~/K       0.16         0.44              0.23                \-\--                 0.18                   0.62        0.31              \-\--                                      

  MSC             177          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 55                     0.53        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  RY~1998~        88           0.60              130                 \-\--                 30                     0.76        52                \-\--                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                           

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                              **Prager form
                               *(Large                                                                                                                                                    *(Sandbar)***
                               coastal)***                                                                                                                                                

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**               **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.28              0.56                0.35                  1                                  0.30              0.61                0.36                  0.99

  \(2008\)        10           0.23              0.46                0.53                  0.73                               0.26              0.53                0.46                  0.76

                  20           0.17              0.34                0.70                  0.35                               0.22              0.44                0.57                  0.50

                  30           0.11              0.22                0.82                  0.15                               0.18              0.36                0.65                  0.33

                  40           0.07              0.14                0.90                  0.07                               0.14              0.29                0.73                  0.21

                  50           0.04              0.09                0.94                  0.03                               0.11              0.23                0.79                  0.13

  20-year         0            0.44              0.89                0.12                  1                                  0.45              0.91                0.18                  1

  \(2018\)        10           0.33              0.66                0.37                  0.79                               0.37              0.73                0.34                  0.80

                  20           0.20              0.39                0.65                  0.38                               0.27              0.55                0.51                  0.53

                  30           0.10              0.20                0.82                  0.16                               0.20              0.40                0.64                  0.34

                  40           0.05              0.10                0.91                  0.07                               0.14              0.28                0.75                  0.21

                  50           0.03              0.06                0.96                  0.03                               0.10              0.20                0.82                  0.13

  30-year         0            0.58              1.17                0.05                  1                                  0.58              1.16                0.10                  1

  \(2028\)        10           0.42              0.84                0.29                  0.81                               0.45              0.91                0.28                  0.81

                  20           0.23              0.46                0.63                  0.39                               0.32              0.64                0.48                  0.54

                  30           0.11              0.21                0.83                  0.16                               0.22              0.44                0.64                  0.34

                  40           0.05              0.11                0.92                  0.07                               0.15              0.30                0.76                  0.22

                  50           0.03              0.06                0.97                  0.03                               0.10              0.20                0.84                  0.13
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 29 (continued).** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means
and coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions
for output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model
analysis. Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and
blacktip (only fishery-independent CPUE series used)** with the Prager
form are compared to those reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions
of alternative harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------
                  **Prager                       **Punt's review**                                                                            
                  form**                                                                                                                      

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                                                                    

                  *Blacktip*                                                                                                                   

  K               10994        0.51              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  r               0.14         0.86              0.17                \-\--                                                                     

  C~0~            296          0.41              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~         7409         0.72              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~/K       0.61         0.40              0.70                \-\--                                                                     

  MSC             338          0.87              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  RY~1998~        197          0.42              220                 \-\--                                                                     

                                                                                                                                               

                               **Prager form                                                                                                   
                               *(Blacktip)***                                                                                                 

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**                                

  10-year         0            0.75              1.51                0.04                  1                                                   

  \(2008\)        10           0.73              1.47                0.06                  0.96                                                

                  20           0.71              1.42                0.08                  0.91                                                

                  30           0.69              1.37                0.10                  0.87                                                

                  40           0.66              1.33                0.11                  0.81                                                

                  50           0.64              1.28                0.13                  0.74                                                

  20-year         0            0.84              1.69                0.02                  1                                                   

  \(2018\)        10           0.81              1.61                0.04                  0.96                                                

                  20           0.77              1.54                0.07                  0.92                                                

                  30           0.73              1.46                0.10                  0.87                                                

                  40           0.69              1.39                0.12                  0.82                                                

                  50           0.66              1.32                0.15                  0.74                                                

  30-year         0            0.90              1.79                0.01                  1                                                   

  \(2028\)        10           0.85              1.70                0.04                  0.97                                                

                  20           0.80              1.60                0.07                  0.92                                                

                  30           0.75              1.51                0.10                  0.87                                                

                  40           0.71              1.42                0.13                  0.82                                                

                  50           0.67              1.33                0.16                  0.74                                                
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 30.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and blacktip
(only \"best\" CPUE series \[according to one reviewer\] used)** with
the Prager form are compared to those reported by one of the reviewers.
Predictions of alternative harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Trumble's                               **Prager form**                    **Trumble's                                                 
                  form**                         review**                                                                     review**                                                    

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                **EV**                 **CV**      **EV**            **CV**                                     

                  *Large                                                                                          *Sandbar*                                                                
                  coastal*                                                                                                                                                                

  K               6290         0.48              \-\--               \-\--                 3540                   0.45        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  r               0.33         0.68              \-\--               \-\--                 0.09                   0.59        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  C~0~            285          0.35              \-\--               \-\--                 171                    0.66        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~         3192         0.76              \-\--               \-\--                 1037                   0.84        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~/K       0.50         0.24              \-\--               \-\--                 0.29                   0.54        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  MSC             397          0.32              \-\--               \-\--                 71                     0.59        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  RY~1998~        364          0.24              \-\--               \-\--                 51                     0.62        \-\--             \-\--                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                           

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                              **Prager form
                               *(Large                                                                                                                                                    *(Sandbar)***
                               coastal)***                                                                                                                                                

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**               **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.87              1.73                0                     1                                  0.45              0.91                0.11                  1

  \(2008\)        10           0.84              1.68                0                     1                                  0.43              0.85                0.15                  0.94

                  20           0.81              1.61                0                     1                                  0.39              0.78                0.21                  0.81

                  30           0.77              1.54                0                     1                                  0.35              0.70                0.29                  0.65

                  40           0.73              1.46                0                     0.90                               0.31              0.63                0.36                  0.49

                  50           0.69              1.37                0                     0.89                               0.28              0.56                0.44                  0.36

  20-year         0            0.95              1.91                0                     1                                  0.61              1.22                0.04                  1

  \(2018\)        10           0.92              1.84                0                     1                                  0.55              1.10                0.09                  0.96

                  20           0.88              1.76                0                     1                                  0.48              0.97                0.18                  0.82

                  30           0.83              1.67                0                     1                                  0.41              0.82                0.29                  0.66

                  40           0.78              1.57                0                     0.90                               0.34              0.68                0.40                  0.50

                  50           0.73              1.45                0.10                  0.89                               0.28              0.55                0.51                  0.37

  30-year         0            0.98              1.96                0                     1                                  0.72              1.44                0.02                  1

  \(2028\)        10           0.95              1.89                0                     1                                  0.64              1.29                0.07                  0.96

                  20           0.90              1.81                0                     1                                  0.55              1.10                0.16                  0.83

                  30           0.86              1.72                0                     1                                  0.46              0.91                0.28                  0.67

                  40           0.80              1.60                0                     0.90                               0.36              0.72                0.42                  0.51

                  50           0.73              1.46                0.11                  0.89                               0.28              0.56                0.54                  0.37
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 30 (continued).** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means
and coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions
for output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model
analysis. Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and
blacktip (only \"best\" CPUE series \[according to one reviewer\]
used)** with the Prager form are compared to those reported by one of
the reviewers. Predictions of alternative harvesting policies are also
included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------
                  **Prager                       **Trumble's                                                                                  
                  form**                         review**                                                                                     

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                                                                    

                  *Blacktip*                                                                                                                   

  K               11838        0.47              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  r               0.16         0.83              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  C~0~            302          0.42              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~         8625         0.62              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~/K       0.68         0.30              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  MSC             411          0.85              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  RY~1998~        218          0.33              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

                                                                                                                                               

                               **Prager form                                                                                                   
                               *(Blacktip)***                                                                                                 

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**                                

  10-year         0            0.82              1.64                0.01                  1                                                   

  \(2008\)        10           0.81              1.61                0.02                  0.99                                                

                  20           0.79              1.58                0.02                  0.97                                                

                  30           0.77              1.53                0.03                  0.94                                                

                  40           0.75              1.49                0.04                  0.89                                                

                  50           0.73              1.45                0.05                  0.83                                                

  20-year         0            0.90              1.79                0                     1                                                   

  \(2018\)        10           0.87              1.74                0.01                  0.99                                                

                  20           0.84              1.68                0.02                  0.97                                                

                  30           0.81              1.62                0.03                  0.94                                                

                  40           0.78              1.56                0.05                  0.89                                                

                  50           0.75              1.49                0.07                  0.84                                                

  30-year         0            0.94              1.87                0                     1                                                   

  \(2028\)        10           0.90              1.81                0.01                  0.99                                                

                  20           0.87              1.74                0.02                  0.97                                                

                  30           0.83              1.66                0.04                  0.94                                                

                  40           0.79              1.59                0.05                  0.89                                                

                  50           0.76              1.51                0.08                  0.84                                                
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 31.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and blacktip
(only \"best\" CPUE series and those with \"data problems\" \[according
to one reviewer\] used)** with the Prager form are compared to those
reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions of alternative harvesting
policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Trumble's                               **Prager form**                    **Trumble's                                                 
                  form**                         review**                                                                     review**                                                    

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                **EV**                 **CV**      **EV**            **CV**                                     

                  *Large                                                                                          *Sandbar*                                                                
                  coastal*                                                                                                                                                                

  K               9809         0.23              \-\--               \-\--                 3558                   0.26        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  r               0.08         0.70              \-\--               \-\--                 0.12                   0.38        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  C~0~            297          0.42              \-\--               \-\--                 218                    0.50        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~         2218         0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 846                    0.46        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  N~1998~/K       0.23         0.34              \-\--               \-\--                 0.24                   0.34        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  MSC             172          0.43              \-\--               \-\--                 105                    0.48        \-\--             \-\--                                      

  RY~1998~        115          0.54              \-\--               \-\--                 72                     0.43        \-\--             \-\--                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                           

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                              **Prager form
                               *(Large                                                                                                                                                    *(Sandbar)***
                               coastal)***                                                                                                                                                

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**               **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.37              0.73                0.10                  1                                  0.47              0.94                0.01                  1

  \(2008\)        10           0.32              0.65                0.21                  0.87                               0.45              0.90                0.01                  0.99

                  20           0.27              0.55                0.38                  0.57                               0.41              0.82                0.03                  0.97

                  30           0.22              0.44                0.54                  0.32                               0.38              0.75                0.05                  0.93

                  40           0.16              0.33                0.69                  0.15                               0.34              0.68                0.06                  0.89

                  50           0.12              0.23                0.80                  0.07                               0.30              0.60                0.08                  0.86

  20-year         0            0.53              1.05                0.03                  1                                  0.72              1.45                0                     1

  \(2018\)        10           0.44              0.88                0.13                  0.90                               0.68              1.36                0.01                  1

                  20           0.33              0.66                0.35                  0.60                               0.62              1.24                0.03                  0.97

                  30           0.22              0.43                0.59                  0.33                               0.55              1.11                0.04                  0.93

                  40           0.12              0.25                0.77                  0.16                               0.48              0.96                0.06                  0.90

                  50           0.07              0.14                0.88                  0.07                               0.40              0.80                0.10                  0.86

  30-year         0            0.65              1.30                0.01                  1                                  0.87              1.74                0                     1

  \(2028\)        10           0.53              1.06                0.11                  0.91                               0.82              1.65                0.01                  1

                  20           0.38              0.75                0.35                  0.61                               0.77              1.53                0.03                  0.97

                  30           0.22              0.45                0.62                  0.34                               0.70              1.39                0.05                  0.93

                  40           0.12              0.24                0.80                  0.16                               0.61              1.22                0.09                  0.90

                  50           0.06              0.12                0.90                  0.07                               0.51              1.01                0.11                  0.86
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 31 (continued).** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means
and coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions
for output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model
analysis. Results for the **large coastal shark complex, sandbar, and
blacktip (only \"best\" CPUE series and those with \"data problems\"
\[according to one reviewer\] used)** with the Prager form are compared
to those reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions of alternative
harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------
                  **Prager                       **Trumble's                                                                                  
                  form**                         review**                                                                                     

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                                                                    

                  *Blacktip*                                                                                                                   

  K               13020        0.43              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  r               0.19         0.82              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  C~0~            312          0.42              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~         10212        0.51              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  N~1998~/K       0.76         0.23              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  MSC             537          0.80              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

  RY~1998~        240          0.27              \-\--               \-\--                                                                     

                                                                                                                                               

                               **Prager form                                                                                                   
                               *(Blacktip)***                                                                                                 

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**                                

  10-year         0            0.88              1.76                0                     1                                                   

  \(2008\)        10           0.87              1.74                0                     1                                                   

                  20           0.86              1.71                0                     0.99                                                

                  30           0.84              1.68                0.01                  0.97                                                

                  40           0.83              1.65                0.01                  0.95                                                

                  50           0.81              1.62                0.02                  0.91                                                

  20-year         0            0.94              1.87                0                     1                                                   

  \(2018\)        10           0.92              1.83                0                     1                                                   

                  20           0.90              1.79                0                     0.99                                                

                  30           0.87              1.75                0.01                  0.97                                                

                  40           0.85              1.70                0.01                  0.95                                                

                  50           0.83              1.66                0.02                  0.91                                                

  30-year         0            0.96              1.92                0                     1                                                   

  \(2028\)        10           0.94              1.88                0                     1                                                   

                  20           0.92              1.83                0                     0.99                                                

                  30           0.89              1.78                0.01                  0.97                                                

                  40           0.86              1.73                0.02                  0.95                                                

                  50           0.84              1.67                0.03                  0.91                                                
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ------ ------- ------- -------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K

**Table 32.** Estimated expected values (EV) of the means and
coefficients of variation (CV) of marginal posterior distributions for
output parameters from the Bayesian surplus production model analysis.
Results for the **blacktip shark (with the Early Rec CPUE series only,
and with all the other CPUE series except Early Rec)** with the Prager
form are compared to those reported by one of the reviewers. Predictions
of alternative harvesting policies are also included.

  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------
                  **Prager                       **Prager form**                                                                                                                   
                  form**                                                                                                                                                           

  **Parameter**   **EV**       **CV**            **EV**              **CV**                                                                                                         

                  *Early Rec                                         *Other series only*                                                                                            
                  only*                                                                                                                                                            

  K               13342        0.42              6441                0.48                                                                                                           

  r               0.21         0.78              0.11                0.78                                                                                                           

  C~0~            329          0.43              265                 0.43                                                                                                           

  N~1998~         10777        0.47              1886                1.44                                                                                                           

  N~1998~/K       0.79         0.17              0.25                0.70                                                                                                           

  MSC             592          0.73              149                 0.79                                                                                                           

  RY~1998~        255          0.22              88                  0.67                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                                                                    

                               **Prager form                                                                                                                                       **Prager form *(Other
                               *(Early Rec                                                                                                                                         series only)***
                               only)***                                                                                                                                            

  **Horizon**     **TAC^1^**   **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**        **N~fin~/K^2^**   **N~fin~/N~msy~**   **P(N~fin~\<0.2K)**   **P(N~fin~\>N~98~)**

  10-year         0            0.91              1.82                0                     1                           0.41              0.82                0.17                  1

  \(2008\)        10           0.90              1.80                0                     1                           0.37              0.74                0.28                  0.88

                  20           0.89              1.78                0                     1                           0.31              0.62                0.42                  0.62

                  30           0.88              1.75                0                     0.99                        0.25              0.51                0.56                  0.40

                  40           0.86              1.73                0                     0.97                        0.20              0.40                0.67                  0.24

                  50           0.85              1.70                0                     0.95                        0.16              0.32                0.74                  0.16

  20-year         0            0.96              1.91                0                     1                           0.59              1.18                0.05                  1

  \(2018\)        10           0.94              1.88                0                     1                           0.50              1                   0.17                  0.91

                  20           0.92              1.85                0                     1                           0.39              0.77                0.36                  0.66

                  30           0.91              1.81                0                     0.99                        0.28              0.55                0.55                  0.42

                  40           0.89              1.77                0                     0.98                        0.19              0.39                0.70                  0.25

                  50           0.87              1.74                0.01                  0.95                        0.15              0.30                0.78                  0.17

  30-year         0            0.98              1.95                0                     1                           0.72              1.43                0.02                  1

  \(2028\)        10           0.96              1.92                0                     1                           0.60              1.20                0.12                  0.92

                  20           0.94              1.88                0                     1                           0.45              0.89                0.34                  0.67

                  30           0.92              1.84                0                     0.99                        0.30              0.60                0.55                  0.43

                  40           0.90              1.80                0.01                  0.98                        0.20              0.40                0.71                  0.25

                  50           0.88              1.75                0.01                  0.95                        0.15              0.30                0.79                  0.17
  --------------- ------------ ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---- ----------------- ------------------- --------------------- ----------------------

^1^ Total Allowable Catch policy option expressed as a percentage of the
reported 1995 catch

^2^ N~fin~/K is the stock abundance in the final year of management
(2008, 2018, or 2028) as a percentage of K