![](media/image1.jpeg){width="8.5in"
height="3.5027777777777778in"}**U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY**

**Office of Energy Assurance**

**ENERGY ASSURANCE DAILY**

**October 20, 2004**

**Highlights / Major Developments**

**300,000+ Lost Power in San Francisco Area from Storm About 40,000 Also
Lost Power in Los Angeles Area** Pacific Gas and Electric Company crews
worked through the night to restore power from yesterday's storms. As of
9:00 pm Tuesday, approximately 24,000 customers were still without
electricity. Over 39,000 customers also lost power on Monday in Los
Angeles county from storms.
<http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/041020/sfw081_1.html>
<http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/041019/sftu159_1.html>
<http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/gate/a/2004/10/19/weather19.DTL>
<http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-rain18oct18,1,633441.story>

**Electricity**

# Duke Energy Declares Unusual Event at Nuke Plant in SC

In South Carolina, Duke declared an unusual event for one of its nuclear
units on Oct. 19 due to a water level decrease in the spent fuel pool
related to the ongoing refueling outage at unit 3. This was probably for
the 846 Megawatt Oconee 3 nuke plant. Reuters, 1347 October 20, 2004

####### TXU Sees Texas Monticello 1 Coal Unit Back Soon

Dallas-based TXU Corp.\'s 565-megawatt Monticello 1 coal-fired unit in
Texas shut on Oct. 19 for boiler repairs and will likely return to
service on Oct. 21-22, the company told Texas regulators in a few
reports.

Reuters, 0828 October 20, 2004

**OPG\'s 840 Megawatt Bruce 5 Nuke Plant Restarted** Reuters, 1347
October 20, 2004

**OPG's 490 Megawatt Nanicoke 2 Coal-fired Unit Restarts** Reuters, 1347
October 20, 2004

# OPG's 535 Megawatt Lennox 4 Oil-fired Unit Shuts

Reuters, 1347 October 20, 2004

**Petroleum**

**Hurricane Ivan Oil Production Shut-in Statistics** This shut-in oil
production is equivalent to 25.22% of daily production of oil in GOM,
which is approximately 1.7 million BOPD. The 429,158 barrels per day
that is currently shut-in is approximately 2.18% of the 19.7 million
barrels consumed in the U.S. each day. The cumulative shut-in oil
production for the period 9/11/04-10/20/04 is 22,565,383 bbls, which is
equivalent to 3.730% of the yearly production of oil in the GOM which is
approximately 605 million barrels.
<http://www.mms.gov/ooc/press/2004/press1020.htm>

# U.S. Heating Oil Price Hits Record for Third Week

The average price U.S. homeowners pay for heating oil set a record for
the third week in a row, confirming the government\'s forecast that
consumers will face higher heating bills this winter even before the
cold weather sets in, the Energy Department said on Wednesday. The
national price for heating oil increased 8 cents over the last week to
\$1.988 a gallon, up 61 cents from a year ago, the Energy Information
Administration said in its weekly survey of heating fuel costs. NYMEX
heating oil futures surged to a record high Wednesday as a
larger-than-expected drop in distillate supplies reignited worries over
supply ahead of winter. Heating oil for November delivery scaled a
record peak of \$1.5620 a gallon, gaining 5.35 cents. U.S. distillate
stocks, which include heating oil, fell for the fifth straight week,
with stocks down 1.9 million barrels in the week to Oct. 15 at 119.0
million barrels, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration
data released earlier.

Reuters, 1338 October 20, 2004

Reuters, 1202 October 20, 2004

**U.S. Retail Diesel Prices Hit Record High \-- AAA**

U.S. retail diesel fuel prices hovered at record highs this week, with
Wednesday\'s national average price hitting a record \$2.205 a gallon,
according to the AAA motorist group\'s daily survey. U.S. distillate
stocks were forecast to have fallen for the fifth straight week last
week amid rising demand ahead of winter, industry analysts said in a
Reuters poll on Tuesday. In a survey of 11 analysts, the average
expectation was for a decline of 1.1 million Reuters, 0950 October 20,
2004

**Natural Gas**

**Hurricane Ivan Gas Production Shut-in Statistics**

This shut-in gas production is equivalent to 12.55% of the daily
production of gas in the GOM, which is approximately 12.3 BCFPD. The
1,544.08 MMCF per day that is currently shut-in is approximately 2.57%
of the 60.184 BCF consumed in the U.S. each day. The cumulative shut-in
gas production 9/11/04-10/20/04 is 94.088 BCF, which is equivalent to
2.114% of the yearly production of gas in the GOM which is approximately
4.45 TCF. <http://www.mms.gov/ooc/press/2004/press1020.htm>

# November Natural Gas Futures Surged to a New Contract High

The futures hit a 20-month spot high early Wednesday, driven by bullish
technicals and better weather-related demand this week that firmed the
cash, traders said. The spot month climbed to another fresh high of
\$7.70.

Reuters, 1338 October 20, 2004

[**Proposed Terminals In US Seek \"Hot\"
LNG**](http://www.energyintel.com/DocumentDetail.asp?document_id=133327)\
Dealing with so-called \"hot\" or high Btu LNG has to date been viewed
as a burden by North American gas pipeline operators forced to
accommodate imported LNG into a system that requires relatively low
Btu-gas. But backers of two proposed LNG receiving terminals at either
end of the North American market are including natural gas liquids (NGL)
extraction facilities as part of their projects and treating the liquids
as a potential profit stream. World Gas Intelligence, October 20, 2004.

**Other News**

### News Release

#### IHS Energy's Report on 10-Year Petroleum Trends (1994-2003) Highlights Increased Oil and Gas Production and a Healthy Remaining Global Resource Base

#### A study by HIS shows that over the past 10 years, more oil and gas have been found worldwide than has been pulled out of the ground and used. Hence, reserves of oil and gas are higher today, than they were 10 years ago.

#### [**http://www.ihsenergy.com/company/press/pressreleases/arc2004/pr_101804-trends.jsp**](http://www.ihsenergy.com/company/press/pressreleases/arc2004/pr_101804-trends.jsp)

# Blueprints for Terrorists? 

### Sensitive Nuclear Info Ends Up on NRC Web Site

When David Lochbaum perused a government Web site one day last summer,
he came across documents he thought would be of limited value to the
public \-- but a potential bonanza for terrorists. Included in a Nuclear
Regulatory Commission report on Waterford III Nuclear Power Station near
New Orleans, Louisiana, were diagrams showing all the toxic chemicals
and pipelines near Waterford III \-- including the natural gas pipelines
that lace through the complex. Explicit in detail, the maps even showed
gas line valves, the amount of pressure in the lines, and the proximity
of gas lines to air intakes for the nuclear plant\'s control room.
Lochbaum, nuclear safety engineer for the Union of Concerned Scientists,
a watchdog group, said he did what he always does when he finds
sensitive documents on the NRC\'s Web site: He called the NRC\'s nuclear
safety managers and suggested they remove the diagram. They did.

<http://www.cnn.com/2004/US/10/19/terror.nrc/index.html>

**Energy Prices**

+-------------------------------+-----------+-----------+------------+
|                               | **Latest  | **Week    | **Year     |
|                               | (10       | Ago**     | Ago**      |
|                               | /20/04)** |           |            |
+-------------------------------+-----------+-----------+------------+
| **CRUDE OIL**                 | 54.93     | 53.86     | 30.37      |
|                               |           |           |            |
| **West Texas Intermediate     |           |           |            |
| US**                          |           |           |            |
|                               |           |           |            |
| \$/Barrel                     |           |           |            |
+-------------------------------+-----------+-----------+------------+
| **NATURAL GAS**               | 7.27      | 5.38      | 4.30       |
|                               |           |           |            |
| **Henry Hub**                 |           |           |            |
|                               |           |           |            |
| \$/Million Btu                |           |           |            |
+-------------------------------+-----------+-----------+------------+

> Source: Reuters

**This Week in Petroleum** from the Energy Information Administration
(EIA)

[*http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp*](http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp)

Updated on Wednesdays

**Weekly Petroleum Status Report** from EIA**\
**[*http://www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_petroleum_status_report/wpsr.html*](http://www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_petroleum_status_report/wpsr.html)

Updated after 1:00pm (Eastern time) on Wednesdays

**Natural Gas Weekly Update** from EIA

[*http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/ngw/ngupdate.asp*](http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/ngw/ngupdate.asp)

Updated after 2:00 pm (Eastern time) on Thursdays