<table style="width:100%;">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 18%" />
<col style="width: 0%" />
<col style="width: 7%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 7%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 7%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 17%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 23%" />
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="12"><p><strong>User Request Form</strong></p>
<p><strong>For a NESDIS</strong></p>
<p><strong>Satellite Product or Service</strong></p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="12"><strong>NESDIS INPUT</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><p><strong>1. Tracking Number:</strong></p>
<p><strong>0409-2</strong></p></td>
<td colspan="4"><p><strong>Amendments Date(s):</strong></p>
<p><strong>Sept 8, 2004</strong></p></td>
<td colspan="7"><p><strong>2. Requirement Title:</strong></p>
<p>Near-surface sea temperature profiles</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="12"><strong>USER INPUT</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"></td>
<td colspan="3"><strong>Name</strong></td>
<td colspan="4"><strong>Agency &amp; Mailing Address</strong></td>
<td><strong>Phone And Fax</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>E-mail</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>3. Approval Authority</strong></td>
<td colspan="3">Eric Bayler</td>
<td colspan="4">ORA/ORAD</td>
<td><p>P:301-763-8102</p>
<p>F:</p></td>
<td colspan="2">Eric.bayler@noaa.gov</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><strong>4. User Project Leader</strong></td>
<td colspan="3">Alan Strong</td>
<td colspan="4">ORA/ORAD</td>
<td><p>P:</p>
<p>F:</p></td>
<td colspan="2">Alan.e.strong@noaa.gov</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="4"><strong>5. Operational Points of
Contact</strong></td>
<td colspan="3"><strong>Name</strong></td>
<td colspan="4"><strong>Agency &amp; Mailing Address</strong></td>
<td><strong>Phone And Fax</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>E-mail</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="3">John Sapper</td>
<td colspan="4">OSDPD/IPD</td>
<td><p>P:301-457-0194</p>
<p>F:</p></td>
<td colspan="2">John.sapper@noaa.gov</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="3"></td>
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td><p>P:</p>
<p>F:</p></td>
<td colspan="2"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="3"></td>
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td><p>P:</p>
<p>F:</p></td>
<td colspan="2"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="4"><strong>6. Technical Points of
Contact</strong></td>
<td colspan="3"><strong>Name</strong></td>
<td colspan="4"><strong>Agency &amp; Mailing Address</strong></td>
<td><strong>Phone And Fax</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>E-mail</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="3">William Skirving</td>
<td colspan="4"><p>ORA/ORAD</p>
<p>Coral Reef</p>
<p>Watch</p></td>
<td><p>P:301-713-2857</p>
<p>F</p></td>
<td colspan="2">William.skirving@noaa.gov</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="3"></td>
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td><p>P:</p>
<p>F</p></td>
<td colspan="2"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="3"></td>
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td><p>P:</p>
<p>F:</p></td>
<td colspan="2"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>7. Requirement Title:</strong></td>
<td colspan="10">Near-surface sea temperature profiles</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><strong>8. General Description of Need:</strong></td>
<td colspan="10">The flagship for the NOAA Coral Reef Watch Project is
the HotSpot product suite. These products are utilized by thousands of
users (including many of the world’s coral reef managers) to predict the
onset of thermally-induced mass coral bleaching. At present, the
algorithms that these products are based on have no choice but to use
the satellite estimate of temperature at one meter to infer the ambient
temperature of corals at various depths from zero to fifty meters depth.
Clearly, this is thwarted with problems and inaccuracies. The current
satellite SST product needs to be modified to include estimates of
temperature at all depths between zero and twenty meters (fifty if
possible).</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="2"><p><strong>9. Benefits:</strong></p>
<p><strong>Value Range (check):</strong></p></td>
<td colspan="10">This product would vastly improve the accuracy of
estimates of thermal stress on corals at various depths. HotSpot
products derived from depth profiles would provide a significantly more
accurate picture of thermal stress for corals, allowing for a better
understanding of the thermal environment of corals, leading to vastly
improved algorithms for predicting coral bleaching via satellite
measurements.</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td></td>
<td colspan="4">Less than $100K</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="2">$100K to $1 Million</td>
<td>x</td>
<td>Greater than $1 Million</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>10. Shortcomings of Existing
Capabilities:</strong></td>
<td colspan="10">Currently the existing SST products estimate the
temperature at a single point, one meter below the surface. This
estimate is derived from an actual satellite measurement of the skin
temperature and uses an empirical relationship to derive the water
temperature at one meter depth. This works well on average, but breaks
down during times of extreme temperature (e.g. during a coral bleaching
event). Not only is this single point estimate not accurate during the
anomalous SST events (crucial for the HotSpot products), but it is not
realistic to use a single depth estimate of SST to calculate the heat
stress of corals that vary in depth from zero to fifty meters
depth.</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><strong>11. Need Date:</strong></td>
<td colspan="10">End of 2006</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>12. Termination Date:</strong></td>
<td colspan="10"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="4"><strong>13. User Priority:</strong></td>
<td colspan="4"><strong>Check Appropriate Box Below</strong></td>
<td colspan="6"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="4">X</td>
<td colspan="6"><strong>Mission Critical:</strong> Cannot meet
operational mission objectives without this requirement</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td colspan="6"><strong>Mission Optimal:</strong> Requirement not
critical but would provide significant improvement to operational
capability</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td colspan="6"><strong>Mission Enhancing:</strong> Requirement needed
to enhance state of knowledge or assess potential for operational
capability</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="6"><strong>14. NOAA Users only</strong></td>
<td colspan="10"><strong>What NOAA Mission Goal does this request
support (check all that's appropriate)?</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>X</strong></td>
<td colspan="8"><strong>Ecosystems</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><strong>X</strong></td>
<td colspan="8"><strong>Climate</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>X</strong></td>
<td colspan="8"><strong>Weather and Water</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"></td>
<td colspan="8"><strong>Commerce &amp; Transportation</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"></td>
<td colspan="8"><strong>Goal-wide (please specify which program): Coral
Reef Watch</strong> <strong>Program</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><strong>15. Suggested Solutions
(Optional):</strong></td>
<td colspan="10">Satellites are very good at determining many of the
physical fluxes present at the air/sea interface. Using these and
estimating others from sources such as NCEP analyses, a hydrodynamic
model (one dimensional initially and three dimensional eventually) could
be employed to derive the temperature profile down to 20 to 50 meters
depth. Satellite measurements of SST could be used to nudge these models
and make them more accurate.</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>16. Concept Of Operations
(Optional):</strong></td>
<td colspan="10"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><strong>17. Additional Remarks (Optional):</strong></td>
<td colspan="10">Currently there are efforts to derive blended SST
products that begin to address some of these issues, however all of
these efforts are aimed at average conditions and will likely suffer
similar inaccuracies during anomalous SST events (in a similar manner to
the current SST products), also none of these efforts will derive a
temperature profile, since they all aim to derive a single one meter
depth estimate.</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><strong>18. Email, Mail or Fax Request to:</strong></td>
<td colspan="10"><p>email: Eileen.Maturi@noaa.gov</p>
<p>Fax: Eileen Maturi at 301-763-8572</p>
<p>Mail: Eileen Maturi</p>
<p>NOAA Science Center, Room 601</p>
<p>5200 Auth Road</p>
<p>Camp Springs, Maryland 20746</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="12"><strong>Triage Board Member Initial Technical
Assessment</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="12"><p><strong>19.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Triage Board member:</strong> <strong>Bayler
ORAD</strong></p>
<p><strong>Recommended course of action:</strong> <strong>Joint Center
should fund this proposal- good assimilation task</strong></p>
<p><strong>Triage Board member:</strong> <strong>OSD, Tom Schott (Polar
Product Manager)</strong></p>
<p><strong>Current capabilities:</strong> (see discussion above in user
request)</p>
<p><strong>Comments:</strong> Can this capability be transitioned from
research into ops or do we still need to perform some basic research
development for this capability? Seems like this is a project that might
have fallen in the old research council area vs SPSRB. Is it appropriate
for NESDIS to get into the hydrodynamic modeling business as suggested
in block 15?</p>
<p><strong>Recommended course of action</strong>: <strong>Triage Board
secretary forward request to ORA's Ocean Division and info Ocean POP
with a request to develop product development options for presentation
to the SPSRB on 15 Dec 04. Be sure to identify state of research and
appropriateness of NESDIS doing hydrodynamic modeling for this
project.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Triage Board member</strong>: <strong>Dave Benner,
OSDPD</strong></p>
<p><strong>Current capabilities:</strong> As mentioned, currently we
only produce a temperature at 1 meter depth. There are plans to use
radiative transfer modeling to produce a skin SST and</p>
<p>model the temperatures at other depths from the skin temperature.</p>
<p><strong>Near term improvement plans related to this capability
request:</strong> There are plans to</p>
<p>use radiative transfer modeling to produce a skin SST from satellite
measurements and</p>
<p>model the temperatures at other depths from the skin temperature.</p>
<p><strong>Technical solution options to meet user request:</strong>
Science algorithms need to be</p>
<p>defined by ORA to accomplish this. The hydrodynamic model needs to be
validated.</p>
<p><strong>Recommended course of action:</strong> <strong>Is this a true
satellite product request or a</strong></p>
<p><strong>modeling request? Work on science, show proof of concept.
Coral Reef community must submit user request.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Triage Board member</strong>: <strong>Bates,
NCDC</strong></p>
<p><strong>Current capabilities:</strong> This problem is solved by C
Clayson, S Castro and G Wick. It is being implemented by the GEWEX
Radiation Panel (GRP) and NCDC through the GRP Seaflux effort. There is
no indication that anyone (except Baylor) knows about or has ever been
involved in such work, thus current capability is 0. Required are
surface fluxes of latent, sensible, and net radiation (accompanying
insolation data project is a critical element).</p>
<p><strong>Near term improvement plans related to this capability
request:</strong> No indication of what the PIs would do here. Technical
solution options to meet user request: See Curry et al 2004, BAMS, pp
409-424 for the latest. Implement Seaflux working group methods and
recommendations. See Wick et al 2002, JOAT pp 1834-1849 for details of
how to explicitly account for skin versus bulk SST using surface fluxes
and GOES multispectral data.</p>
<p><strong>Recommended course of action:</strong> <strong>No funding.
There is zero chance anything useful will result from current proposal.
Get people who have solved this problem involved.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Triage Board member:</strong> <strong>Mitch Goldberg,
CRAD</strong></p>
<p><strong>Recommended Course of action: No
recommendation</strong></p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="12"><strong>NESDIS TRIAGE BOARD INPUT</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="12"><p><strong>20. RecommendedAction:</strong> Valid user
request and appears to be technically feasible. Send to Bayler,
ORAD,</p>
<p>to find the appropriate funding mechanism for this request.</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="12">NESDIS SPSRB INPUT</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="12"><strong>21. RecommendedAction:</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="12">NESDIS Resource Updates</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="12"><strong>22. Resource Updates</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>