Voluntary Report - public distribution

**Date:** 8/4/2008

**GAIN Report Number:** IN8088

IN8088

**India**

**Agricultural Situation**

**Monsoon Update (5)**

**2008**

**Approved by:**

![](media/image1.wmf)Oliver Flake

U.S. Embassy

**Prepared by:**

A. Govindan

**Report Highlights:**

Most parts of peninsular India with the exception of Kerala received
normal or above normal rainfall during the week ending on July 30,
bringing to an end the long dry spell in the region. The Agriculture
Ministry's weekly progressive planting report for the week ending on
July 25 shows that with the exception of rice and soybeans, planting is
lagging behind last year's pace for most crops.

Includes PSD Changes: No

Includes Trade Matrix: No

Trade Report

New Delhi \[IN1\]

\[IN\]

Rainfall during the week ending on July 30 showed a significant
improvement with 20 of the 36 weather subdivisions receiving normal or
above normal rains compared with 13 a week ago. However, total weighted
precipitation during the week was six percent below the long-tern
average. Most parts of peninsular India with the exception of Kerala,
received normal or above normal rainfall during the week, bringing to an
end the long dry spell in this region (Figure 1). Gujarat, West Madhya
Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh, which were experiencing dry conditions during
the past three to four weeks, also received excellent rains. However,
additional rains are required to achieve normal crop production. East
Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West Bengal, and north eastern states received
significantly below normal rains after heavy rains in the past several
weeks. Weather subdivisions which received significantly below normal
rains during the week include Kerala, Punjab, Haryana, Jammu and
Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarkhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West
Bengal, East Madhya Pradesh, and north eastern states.

All India cumulative rainfall during the first two months of the monsoon
season (June-September), although 2 percent below the long-term average
at 436.7 mm, was normal or above normal in 26 of the 36 weather
subdivisions, compared with 21 a week ago. Ten subdivisions, which
include most parts of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Telangana region of Andhra
Pradesh, Kerala, Assam, and parts of Karnataka, recorded deficient rains
(Figure 2).

The Agriculture Ministry's weekly progressive planting report for the
week ending on July 25
(<http://agricoop.nic.in/ncfcweather/ncfcasJuly-25-2008.pdf>) shows that
with the exception of rice and soybeans, planting is lagging behind last
year's pace for most crops. With improved rainfall last week, the
planting operation is expected to gain momentum, although the window of
opportunity for planting of most crops will be over in the next two
weeks. Continued well distributed rains during the second half of the
monsoon season is a pre-condition to achieve normal harvests of most
crops.

**Figure 1. India Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Monsoon Rains --
2008**

<table style="width:100%;">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 37%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
<col style="width: 3%" />
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td rowspan="2"><strong>Weather Zones</strong></td>
<td colspan="4"><strong>June</strong></td>
<td colspan="5"><strong>July</strong></td>
<td colspan="4"><strong>August</strong></td>
<td colspan="5"><strong>September</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>4</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>11</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>18</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>25</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>2</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>9</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>16</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>23</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>30</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>6</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>13</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>20</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>27</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>3</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>10</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>17</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>24</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
<td><blockquote>
<p><strong>30</strong></p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Andaman &amp; Nicobar Islands</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Arunachal Pradesh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Assam &amp; Meghalaya</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Nagaland, Manipur &amp; Mizo</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Sub Himalayan West Bengal</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Gangetic West Bengal</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Orissa</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Jharkhand</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Bihar</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>East Uttar Pradesh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Plains of W. Uttar Pradesh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Uttaranchal</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Haryana, Chandigarh &amp; Delhi</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Punjab</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Himachal Pradesh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Jammu &amp; Kashmir</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>West Rajasthan</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>East Rajasthan</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>West Madhya Pradesh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>East MP</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Chhattisgarh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Gujarat Region</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Saurashtra &amp; Kutch</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Konkan &amp; Goa</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Madhya Maharashtra</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Marathwada</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Vidarbha</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Coastal Andhra Pradesh</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Telangana</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Raylaseema</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Tamil Nadu</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Coastal Karnataka</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>North Interior Karnataka</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>South Interior Karnataka</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Kerala</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Lakshadweep</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="19"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><strong>Excess (&gt;20%)</strong></td>
<td colspan="3"></td>
<td colspan="12"><strong>Deficient (-20% to -59%)</strong></td>
<td colspan="3"></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><strong>Normal (+19% to -19%)</strong></td>
<td colspan="3"></td>
<td colspan="12"><strong>Scanty (-60% to -100%)</strong></td>
<td colspan="3"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Source: Indian Meteorological Department

**Figure 2. Cumulative Rainfall, June 1 to July 30, 2008**

![](media/image2.jpeg){width="6.0in" height="8.477777777777778in"}