**October 11, 2006 FEMA Emergency Management Higher Education Project
Activity Report**

\(1\) DISASTERS AS A GROWTH BUSINESS:

Associated Press. \"U.N. Natural Disasters Already Affected Millions
This Year.\" October 10, 2006. Accessed at:

[[http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2006-10-10-un-disasters_x.htm]{.underline}](http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2006-10-10-un-disasters_x.htm)

\[Excerpts: \"The world has witnessed an \"explosion in misery\" over
the past three decades as a result of natural disasters, the United
Nations\' emergency relief coordinator {Jan Egeland} said on the eve of
an international day aimed at raising awareness about the need to plan
for such events\.... \'In the last generation - 30 years - five times
more people have become affected by natural disasters. This is an
explosion in misery. This is an explosion in danger that is only slowly
now sinking in,\' he said. \'Why has it become so terrible?\' asked
Egeland. \'There are two reasons. The climate is changing \... (and)
many more people live much more exposed\' on beaches where a tsunami
could hit and in earthquake-prone regions.\"\]

\[BWB Note: Am aware of no-one who has speculated that this situation
will do anything but get worse \-- much worse \-- here and abroad \--
with no light at the end of the tunnel in sight. Thus, this is one
reason that emergency management collegiate education is a growth
business as well.\]

\(2\) GLOBAL WARMING:

Allianz Group and World Wildlife Fund. Climate Change and Insurance: An
Agenda for Action in the United States. 10 Oct 2006, 45 pages.

[[http://www.allianz.com/azcom/dp/cda/0,,1260008-44,00.html]{.underline}](http://www.allianz.com/azcom/dp/cda/0,,1260008-44,00.html)

\[From Press Release: \"\...climate change poses serious risks to
insurers and their customers in the US. Insurers can do more to address
risks and ensure affordable coverage for consumers\.... The report
examines the latest scientific findings about climate change,
specifically on forest fires, storms and floods, and the potential
impact on the insurance industry and its customers\.... As detailed in
the report, climate change has the potential to significantly alter and
intensify destructive weather patterns in the US, leading to increased
flooding, forest fires, and storm damage.\"\]

\[Also on the Allianz website noted above is an interview with Allianz
spokesman, Clement Booth, who states that: "Losses from natural
catastrophes have been doubling every ten years\.... The insurance
industry has suffered tens of billions of dollars in payouts and many
companies have gone out of business as a result of weather-related
losses such as Hurricane Andrew in 1992. Climate change is expected to
exacerbate these economic challenges\.... Insurers can start to help
address this by taking a proactive approach to influencing land use
development and planning, and also by working with governments on
introducing better building codes to prevent large-scale damages.

Insurers can also work with their customers to educate them about the
true risks involved with building along US coastlines and fire-prone
areas.\"\]

\[From the WWF Press Release accessed at:

[[http://www.worldwildlife.org/news/displayPR.cfm?prID=317]{.underline}](http://www.worldwildlife.org/news/displayPR.cfm?prID=317)

\"\'Global warming is the greatest environmental threat facing the
world, and the people and animals that inhabit it. The cost of doing
nothing carries a price tag none of us can afford,\' says Carter
Roberts, President and CEO of WWF-US.

Coile, Zachary. \"Senator Fights the Tide, Calls Warming by Humans a
Hoax.\" San Francisco Chronicle, 11Oct06.

<http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2006/10/11/MNGEJLMT8A1.DTL>

\(3\) KATRINA:

Received from the Brookings Institute\'s Metropolitan Policy Program, a
note that October Findings for the Katrina Index are now accessible on
the Brookings \"Cities and Suburbs\" page at:

[[http://www.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/200512_katrinaindex.htm]{.underline}](http://www.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/200512_katrinaindex.htm)

There is a three-page summary of October findings on the website, as
well as access to the entire updated Katrina Index. The summary contains
headings for Population, Housing, Economy, and Status of Evacuees.

\(4\) MATERIALS RECEIVED FOR REVIEW:

Pine, John C. Technology in Emergency Management. Wiley, 2007, 283
pages. \[Note: Dr. Pine is the Director of the Disaster Science and
Management Program at Louisiana State University as well as the
developer of the \"Technology and Emergency Management\" upper division
college course for the FEMA EM HiEd Project \-- and accessible under the
\"Free College Courses\" tab on the EM HiEd homepage. For information on
this book, and others in the Wiley \"Emergency Management\" series, go
to:
[[http://www.wiley.com/go/pathways]{.underline}](http://www.wiley.com/go/pathways).
Click on the \"Emergency Management\"

tab and then on the title of the book. There are sample chapters and
additional information on this website \-- and info on how to get a free
copy if one is an academic.\]

Potter, Dennis L. and Terry J. Manwaring. Law Enforcement Incident

Command: Crisis To Consequence. LawTech Custom Publishing Co, 2006,

444 pages. Book and order information at:
[[http://www.LawTechCustomPublishing.com]{.underline}](http://www.LawTechCustomPublishing.com/)
\[Note: Comes with a CD ROM. The website notes that \"This textbook is
appropriate for criminal justice, criminal investigation, and homeland
security programs. It is also suited for programs in emergency
management, corporate security, psychology, emergency medical services
and healthcare, police academy programs, and continuing professional
development.\" An Instructor Manual is also available from the website
which includes a syllabus, PowerPoint presentations, a question bank,
and discussion questions.

Some other books developed by LawTech and noted on its website are:

\* Biological Evidence

\* Bombs and Other Weapons of Mass Destruction

\* Homeland Security Principles, Planning & Procedures

\* Mass Casualty Management

\* Psychological Support in Disasters

\(5\) NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION:

Akya, Chan. \"Not a Major Planet.\" Asia Times, October 11, 2006.

Accessed at:
[[http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/HJ11Dg02.html]{.underline}](http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/HJ11Dg02.html)

\[Excerpt: \"In my view, the three states with the greatest potential
for launching first strikes are Pakistan, Iran and North Korea. Add a
United States that misunderstands its role in the world and the effect
of its policies, and the four horsemen of the apocalypse, as the Bible
so lovingly puts it, are in place\.... North Korea will use its nuclear
weapons as a bargaining chip, with sales likely to the highest bidder
whenever it needs extra money. There will be no economic reforms, and
the world will in essence have to pay a tax to the North Koreans to keep
the current leadership dynasty in power\.... In all three countries, the
case is strong that nuclear weapons will be used to keep the
establishment in place, mainly by focusing people\'s minds on illusory
external threats\... this is not different from the strategy used by all
Arab dictators to stay in place; the only variation is that while Arab
dictators are preserving their personal wealth, dictators in North
Korea, Iran and Pakistan are trying to save their lives\.... I have left
the last of the four horsemen, and admittedly the one whose malcontent
policies started it all, to the last. The United States may not realize
this today, but the existence of the crescent mentioned above in essence
destroys its claims to be the sole superpower\.... Both Iran and North
Korea are capable of gambling - and desperate enough to do so\.... A
country that cannot stomach civilian losses and is limited from engaging
in massive retribution will in essence have to rethink its strategic
paradigm. In a matter of a few years, the US will go back to defending
itself domestically from hostile forces, rather than projecting its
power globally. It is the end of the American century.\"\]

Carter, Jimmy. \"Solving The Korea Stalemate, One Step At A Time.\" New
York Times, October 11, 2006. Accessed at:

[[http://www.cartercenter.org/news/editorials_speeches/nytimes_101106.html]{.underline}](http://www.cartercenter.org/news/editorials_speeches/nytimes_101106.html)

CBS News. \"Nukes For Sale?\" October 10, 2006. Accessed at:

<http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/10/10/cbsnews_investigates/main2079190.shtml>

Center for Nonproliferation Studies. \"North Korea Conducts Nuclear
Test.\" Monterey Institute of International Studies, 9 pages, 10 Oct
2006. At:
[[http://www.cns.miis.edu/research/korea/index.htm]{.underline}](http://www.cns.miis.edu/research/korea/index.htm)

Cordesman, Anthony H. \"The Meaning of the North Korean Nuclear Weapons
Test.\" Washington DC, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 4
pages, October 9, 2006. Accessed at:

<http://www.csis.org/component/option,com_csis_pubs/task,view/id,3525/type,1/>

Garamone, Jim. \"North Korea Proliferation at Heart of Nuke Test
Issue.\"

American Forces Information Service, 10 Oct 2006. At:

[[http://www.defenselink.mil/News/NewsArticle.aspx?ID=1514]{.underline}](http://www.defenselink.mil/News/NewsArticle.aspx?ID=1514)

Ignatius, David. \"We Need A New Deterrent.\" Washington Post, October
11, 2006. Accessed at:

<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/10/AR2006101001282.html>

\[Conclusion: \"We are present at the unraveling. We must \"think about
the unthinkable\" with new urgency. The United States and its allies
must begin constructing a system that can succeed where the
Non-Proliferation Treaty has failed. A terrorist nuclear bomb in
Manhattan or Washington isn\'t a thriller writer\'s fantasy; it\'s a
probability, unless America and its allies establish new rules for
nuclear accountability that are clear and credible.\"\]

Scheer, Robert. \"Dear Leader Brings It On.\" Truthdig, October 10,
2006. Accessed at:

<http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/200601010_robert_scheer_dear_leader_brings_it_on/>

White House. \"Press Conference by the President\" (on North Korea Bomb
Test). October 11, 2006, 14 pages. Accessed at:

[[http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/10/20061011-5.html]{.underline}](http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/10/20061011-5.html)

Williams, Ian. \"Talk To Pyongyang, Not At It.\" Asia Times, October 11,
2006. Accessed at:
[[http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/HJ11Dg01.html]{.underline}](http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/HJ11Dg01.html)

\[Excerpt: \"The comrades in Pyongyang are certainly not the most
cosmopolitan types, so one could almost forgive them for misreading
signals. Israel has 200-plus nuclear warheads, and gets billions of
dollars of free money, with the diplomatic equivalent of a Monopoly game
\"get out of jail free\" card. Pakistan gets lots of support, even as
its prime nuclear scientist is proved to have been disseminating bomb
kits in the Muslim world. India explodes a bomb, and Washington
subsequently rewards it with an offer of civilian nuclear technology.
What conclusion is Kim supposed to reach from this?\.... Both regimes
{Iran & North Korea} are trying to get the US to talk to them, and the
UN, the six-party talks and similar devices are simply fig leaves to
cover up the United States\' refusal to engage in diplomacy. It cannot
bring itself to say publicly that it has no intention of making war on
them.\"\]

\(6\) PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE:

Associated Press. \"Blanco, Lobbyist Say Nursing Homes Better Prepared
to Evacuate.\" October 11, 2006. Accessed at:

[[http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=5521636]{.underline}](http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=5521636)

\[Excerpt: \"Some 21 nursing homes evacuated as Katrina threatened in
August 2005, while managers at 35 chose to weather the storm, said Joe
Donchess, executive director and lobbyist for the nursing home
association\.... \'If the levees hadn\'t broken, their judgment
would\'ve been 100 percent accurate,\' he said in an interview.\"\]

\[BWB comment on Donchess quote. This is like saying of someone killed
in an auto accident whose life could have been saved by wearing a
seatbelt \-- \"If there hadn\'t been an accident then they would have
made the 100 percent accurate decision.\"\]

Geiger, Kimberly. \"States Must Help Save Pets - New Law Puts Funds At
Risk If Animals Are Not In Disaster Plans.\" San Francisco Chronicle,
October 10, 2006. Accessed at:

<http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2006/10/10/MNGQPLLPNI1.DTL&type=printable>

\(7\) RECOVERY:

Frulla, Priscilla. \"Six P\'s on Path To Recovery - Housing Leads the
List of Area\'s Economic Needs.\" Sun-Herald (S. Ms), 11Oct06.

[[http://www.sunherald.com/mld/sunherald/business/15728793.htm]{.underline}](http://www.sunherald.com/mld/sunherald/business/15728793.htm)

\[Excerpt: \"A panel of experts, including the state treasurer, a top
business leader and a nationally renowned economic consultant, told a
crowd of almost 1,000 that the successful and rapid recovery from the
effects of Hurricane Katrina hinges on one issue: housing\...80,000
housing units in five years\...\"\]

\(8\) UNIVERSITY OF LAS VEGAS \-- EXECUTIVE MASTERS OF SCIENCE IN CRISIS
AND EMER.MGMT.:

Received today from Dr. Christine Gibbs Springer, Director of the new
Executive Masters of Science Degree in Crisis & Emergency Management at
UNLV, a description of this new program (which will officially
\"stand-up\" this coming January), for posting in \"The College List\"
on the EM HiEd Project website. Forwarded same to the EMI Webmaster for
posting to the website where it should be accessible soon. In the
meantime, for information, Dr. Springer can be contacted at:
<christine.springer@unlv.edu>

\(9\) WAR ON TERROR:

Hamilton, Lee. \"A Terror Strategy That Gives Hope to Islamic World.\"

Indianapolis Star, October 9, 2006. At:

<http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20061009/OPINION/610090317/1002>

\[Excerpt: \"Since 9/11, we have heard a lot about the enemy. First,
al-Qaida and the Taliban. Then Iraq, Iran and North Korea: the \"axis of
evil\" of hostile regimes allegedly seeking weapons of mass destruction.
Now, President Bush speaks of \"Islamic fascists\" \-- a worldwide
network of radicals espousing a totalitarian ideology, including
al-Qaida, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Sunni insurgency in Iraq, the Iranian
regime, and myriad terrorist and extremist groups. The problem is this
definition conflates different threats into one monolithic enemy. These
groups are different, with different methods, and different \--
sometimes divergent \-- agendas. Al-Qaida is a worldwide network bent on
global jihad, but Hamas is not. Iran supports Hezbollah, but it does not
support the Taliban. Al-Qaida terrorists in Iraq fight on behalf of an
Islamist agenda, but most of the violence in Iraq is sectarian strife
between Shiites and Sunnis, and most attacks on U.S. troops come from
Sunni insurgents who want power within Iraq. Our struggle is not against
a single enemy, and we thus cannot oppose it with a narrow strategy. By
conflating these other groups with al-Qaida \-- a group that must be
pursued with force \-- we have put the weight of our struggle against
terrorism on military power. But our military leaders have repeatedly
said we cannot \"win\" the war on terrorism militarily.\"\]

Porter, Henry. \"Still Wrong On Terror.\" Khaleej Times, October 10,
2006. Accessed at:

<http://www.khaleejtimes.com/DisplayArticleNew.asp?xfile=data/opinion/2006/October/opinion_October30.xml&section=opinion&col>=

\[Excerpt: \"Blair\'s speech dealt with terrorism in the following
sentences. \'This terrorism isn\'t our fault. We didn\'t cause it. It\'s
not the consequence of foreign policy. It\'s an attack on our way of
life.\' He might have said that on 12 September 2001 and he would have
been right, but five years later, it is \...{the} response to the
threat - the invasion of Iraq - that has undeniably provided stimulus to
the growth of terrorism and made the clash of civilisations a
frightening possibility.\"\]

\(10\) WAR ON TERROR \-- IRAQ:

Associated Press. \"Army Plans Current Iraq Troop Levels Until 2010.\"

October 11, 2006. Accessed at:
[[http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15220816/]{.underline}](http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15220816/)

Associated Press. \"Study Suggests Higher Iraqi Death Toll - Bush Says
Report Is Not Credible; Expert Calls It \'Politics\'.\" October 11,
2006. At:
[[http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15215574/]{.underline}](http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15215574/)

Zororya, Gregg. \"Study Estimates 600,000 Iraqis Dead By Violence.\" USA
Today, October 11, 2006. Accessed at:

[[http://www.usatoday.com/printedition/news/20061011/a_iraqdead11.art.htm]{.underline}](http://www.usatoday.com/printedition/news/20061011/a_iraqdead11.art.htm)

B.Wayne Blanchard, Ph.D., CEM

Higher Education Project Manager

Emergency Management Institute

National Emergency Training Center

Federal Emergency Management Agency

Department of Homeland Security

16825 S. Seton, K-011

Emmitsburg, MD 21727

\(301\) 447-1262, voice

\(301\) 447-1598, fax

wayne.blanchard@dhs.gov

[[http://training.fema.gov/EMIWeb/edu]{.underline}](http://training.fema.gov/EMIWeb/edu)

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