**ALL ORANGES 168.0 MILLION BOXES**

The Florida all orange forecast released today by the USDA Agricultural
Statistics Board remains at 168.0 million boxes. No changes were made in
the early-midseason-Navel orange category at 81.0 million boxes, or to
the later maturing Valencia oranges at 87.0 million boxes. In the past
ten non-hurricane affected seasons, the January all orange forecast has
differed from actual production by an average of 3.4 percent, with seven
above and three below.

The Florida citrus growing area has experienced relatively warm, dry
weather over the past several months. Frequent irrigation has helped
keep both the trees and fruit in good condition.

**EARLY-MIDSEASON-NAVELS 81.0 MILLION BOXES**

The early-midseason Navel forecast is continued at 81.0 million boxes,
including 3.1 million boxes of Navels. The final size and drop
measurements for early and midseason fruit were taken in December.
Measurements taken during the month indicate it will take 264 pieces of
fruit at harvest to fill a 90-pound box, seven pieces less than
projected the previous month. Although not as small as expected, final
sizes are the smallest since the 2000-01 season. Final droppage, at 8.0
percent, is less than the 9.4 percent average of the last eight
non‑hurricane affected seasons. The two factors used in regressions
which include the past eight non‑hurricane seasons fully support the
current forecast. Results of the Row Count survey conducted January 2-3
indicate that harvest at 31 percent is behind eight of the past ten
seasons.

Utilization in the early-midseason category reached over five million
boxes the second full week of December. It is expected that this level
of harvest will be maintained throughout January. Estimated utilization
to the first of January is 25.8 million boxes compared to actual
utilization of 27.2 million boxes last season.

**VALENCIAS 87.0 MILLION BOXES**

The Valencia portion of the forecast at 87.0 million boxes is unchanged.
Significant growth was recorded over the past month. It is now projected
that it will take 217 pieces of fruit to fill a 90-pound box at harvest.
Average drop at 13 percent is unchanged from last month.

**FCOJ YIELD 1.60 GALLONS PER BOX**

The all orange FCOJ yield projection remains 1.60 gallons per box. Last
season's final yield was 1.65 gallons per box. The early-mid portion is
projected at 1.53 gallons per box, below last season's final of 1.56
gallons. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.68 gallons, below last
season's final of 1.77 gallons per box.

**GRAPEFRUIT 25.0 MILLION BOXES**

The Florida forecast of grapefruit for utilization (including an
allocation of 700,000 boxes of gift fruit and local sales) is unchanged
at 25.0 million boxes. Making up the forecast are 8.0 million boxes of
white and 17.0 million boxes of colored grapefruit. If realized, this
forecast will be 8.1 percent less than harvested last season, and the
lowest for a non-disaster season since the 24.2 million boxes harvested
in 1949-50.

The principal grapefruit growing regions have experienced dry weather
and warm temperatures most of the season. A short cold snap during the
second week in December was helpful to the fruit and trees to prepare
them for the winter. Reports indicate the overall grapefruit quality has
been good throughout the season.

The fruit size and drop measurements obtained in December are the
primary indicators used in setting this month's forecast. Average fruit
sizes for **white** grapefruit are projected to be among the smallest in
a series dating back to 1968-69 and the smallest since the minimum
recorded in the 1990­-91 season. The expected number of fruit required to
fill a 1-3/5 bushel box at harvest is now at 98 pieces. Projected
droppage, at slightly over 12 percent, is up from last month. Slightly
more white grapefruit has been processed rather than sold as fresh.
Estimated utilization to January 1 is 1.2 million boxes, compared to
actual utilization of 1.1 million boxes the same time last season.

Projected average size of **colored** grapefruit has increased and is
slightly larger than the adopted size used in the December forecast. It
is anticipated it will take 108 pieces of fruit to fill a 1-3/5 bushel
box. The projected drop rate, at 12 percent, is unchanged from last
month. Colored grapefruit have been of good quality this year, and to
this point in time twice as much has gone fresh than has gone to
processing. Estimated utilization to January 1 is 4.0 million boxes,
compared to 4.2 million boxes actually utilized the same time last year.

**ALL TANGERINES 4.8 MILLION BOXES**

The forecast of all tangerines remains at 4.8 million boxes. Forecasts
for the components are 2.6 million boxes for the early varieties
(**Fallglo and Sunburst**) and 2.2 million boxes for the later maturing
**Honey** variety.

The forecast of utilization for early tangerines is unchanged since the
initial October forecast. **Fallglo** tangerine harvest is nearly
complete at 650,000 boxes and **Sunburst** tangerine estimated harvest
as of January 1 is 1,487,000 boxes.

The **Honey** tangerine forecast is unchanged at 2.2 million boxes. The
size and drop surveys conducted in December are the main indicators used
in setting this month's forecast. The Honey variety experienced a
significant size increase in December, and droppage was higher than
anticipated. These two indications offset each other. Regressions
compared to previous years signify the forecast will still be realized.

**TANGELOS 1.3 MILLION BOXES**

The tangelo forecast continues at 1.3 million boxes (including an
allocation of non-certified use of 100,000 boxes). Weekly utilization
for tangelos has been averaging about 100,000 boxes the last several
weeks. The Row Count survey, conducted January 2-3, 2008, showed
49 percent of the rows were harvested. Orlando tangelos are harvested
earlier in the season primarily for the fresh market, and transition to
processing later in the season. Minneolas, a later variety, will be
harvested starting this month, primarily for the fresh market.

<table>
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 16%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 0%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 0%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 6%" />
<col style="width: 4%" />
<col style="width: 4%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 6%" />
<col style="width: 0%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 5%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 1%" />
<col style="width: 7%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20"><p><strong><span class="smallcaps">Unadjusted Maturity
Tests</span></strong>: Average of regular bloom fruit from sample</p>
<p>groves, 2006-07 and 2007-08 seasons</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td rowspan="2"><p>Fruit type</p>
<p>(No. groves)</p>
<p>test date</p></td>
<td colspan="3">Acid</td>
<td colspan="5"><p>Solids</p>
<p>(Brix)</p></td>
<td colspan="4">Ratio</td>
<td colspan="4"><p>Unfinished juice</p>
<p>per box</p></td>
<td colspan="3"><p>Solids</p>
<p>per box</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2">2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td colspan="3">2006-07</td>
<td colspan="2">2007-08</td>
<td colspan="3">2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td colspan="3">2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td colspan="2">2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td rowspan="2"> </td>
<td colspan="4"><em>Percent</em></td>
<td colspan="5"><em>Percent</em></td>
<td colspan="4"></td>
<td colspan="4"><em>Pounds</em></td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Pounds</em></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="19"><em>Juice and solids per box are unadjusted and not
comparable to plant test results.</em></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="20"><strong><span
class="smallcaps">Oranges</span></strong>:</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20"><blockquote>
<p>Early (72-75)</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Sep 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.72</td>
<td>1.78</td>
<td colspan="3">9.41</td>
<td colspan="2">9.42</td>
<td colspan="3">5.55</td>
<td>5.43</td>
<td colspan="3">43.09</td>
<td>41.34</td>
<td colspan="2">4.04</td>
<td>3.89</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Oct 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.19</td>
<td>1.28</td>
<td colspan="3">9.52</td>
<td colspan="2">10.27</td>
<td colspan="3">8.25</td>
<td>8.17</td>
<td colspan="3">49.07</td>
<td>45.88</td>
<td colspan="2">4.68</td>
<td>4.71</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Nov 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">0.94</td>
<td>0.90</td>
<td colspan="3">10.30</td>
<td colspan="2">10.16</td>
<td colspan="3">11.23</td>
<td>11.51</td>
<td colspan="3">50.04</td>
<td>51.01</td>
<td colspan="2">5.15</td>
<td>5.18</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Dec 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">0.86</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td colspan="3">10.79</td>
<td colspan="2">10.90</td>
<td colspan="3">12.82</td>
<td>13.19</td>
<td colspan="3">52.36</td>
<td>52.09</td>
<td colspan="2">5.64</td>
<td>5.67</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Jan 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">0.75</td>
<td>0.75</td>
<td colspan="3">11.67</td>
<td colspan="2">11.79</td>
<td colspan="3">15.80</td>
<td>15.96</td>
<td colspan="3">50.50</td>
<td>51.02</td>
<td colspan="2">5.89</td>
<td>6.01</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20"><blockquote>
<p>Midseason (44-49)</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Sep 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.80</td>
<td>2.01</td>
<td colspan="3">9.26</td>
<td colspan="2">9.63</td>
<td colspan="3">5.27</td>
<td>4.87</td>
<td colspan="3">42.48</td>
<td>41.64</td>
<td colspan="2">3.94</td>
<td>4.01</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Oct 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.31</td>
<td>1.51</td>
<td colspan="3">9.51</td>
<td colspan="2">9.60</td>
<td colspan="3">7.43</td>
<td>6.48</td>
<td colspan="3">50.48</td>
<td>46.14</td>
<td colspan="2">4.80</td>
<td>4.43</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Nov 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.05</td>
<td>1.01</td>
<td colspan="3">10.32</td>
<td colspan="2">10.32</td>
<td colspan="3">9.99</td>
<td>10.43</td>
<td colspan="3">50.83</td>
<td>51.14</td>
<td colspan="2">5.24</td>
<td>5.28</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Dec 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">0.89</td>
<td>0.97</td>
<td colspan="3">10.87</td>
<td colspan="2">11.22</td>
<td colspan="3">12.35</td>
<td>11.74</td>
<td colspan="3">52.62</td>
<td>50.59</td>
<td colspan="2">5.72</td>
<td>5.67</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Jan 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">0.84</td>
<td>0.87</td>
<td colspan="3">12.07</td>
<td colspan="2">12.29</td>
<td colspan="3">14.73</td>
<td>14.55</td>
<td colspan="3">51.74</td>
<td>52.06</td>
<td colspan="2">6.25</td>
<td>6.40</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20"><blockquote>
<p>Late (150-149)</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Sep 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">NA</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td colspan="3">NA</td>
<td colspan="2">NA</td>
<td colspan="3">NA</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td colspan="3">NA</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td colspan="2">NA</td>
<td>NA</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Oct 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">2.50</td>
<td>2.62</td>
<td colspan="3">8.91</td>
<td colspan="2">9.47</td>
<td colspan="3">3.59</td>
<td>3.66</td>
<td colspan="3">45.75</td>
<td>43.86</td>
<td colspan="2">4.08</td>
<td>4.15</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Nov 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">2.02</td>
<td>1.95</td>
<td colspan="3">9.82</td>
<td colspan="2">9.27</td>
<td colspan="3">4.94</td>
<td>4.82</td>
<td colspan="3">48.78</td>
<td>48.85</td>
<td colspan="2">4.79</td>
<td>4.53</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Dec 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.70</td>
<td>1.70</td>
<td colspan="3">9.88</td>
<td colspan="2">10.11</td>
<td colspan="3">5.89</td>
<td>6.02</td>
<td colspan="3">51.66</td>
<td>52.22</td>
<td colspan="2">5.10</td>
<td>5.28</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Jan 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="2">1.40</td>
<td>1.36</td>
<td colspan="3">10.88</td>
<td colspan="2">11.14</td>
<td colspan="3">7.85</td>
<td>8.27</td>
<td colspan="3">51.81</td>
<td>53.58</td>
<td colspan="2">5.63</td>
<td>5.97</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20">NOTICE: All samples were run through an FMC 091 machine
using mechanical pressure only. This machine utilizes a .040 short
strainer and standard 5/8-inch orifice tube. The beam settings are also
identical to past tests and no restrictors are used.</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="20"><strong><span class="smallcaps">Maturity test averages
by areas, January 1, 2008</span></strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2">Fruit type</td>
<td colspan="4"><p>Groves</p>
<p>sampled</p></td>
<td colspan="2">Acid</td>
<td colspan="3"><p>Solids</p>
<p>(Brix)</p></td>
<td colspan="4">Ratio</td>
<td colspan="3"><p>Unfinished</p>
<p>juice per box</p></td>
<td colspan="2"><p>Solids</p>
<p>per box</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"> </td>
<td colspan="4"><em>Number</em></td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Percent</em></td>
<td colspan="3"><em>Percent</em></td>
<td colspan="4"><em> </em></td>
<td colspan="3"><em>Pounds</em></td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Pounds</em></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20"><strong><span
class="smallcaps">Oranges</span></strong>:</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="20"><blockquote>
<p>Early</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><blockquote>
<p>Indian River District</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="4">8</td>
<td colspan="2">0.76</td>
<td colspan="3">11.95</td>
<td colspan="4">15.85</td>
<td colspan="3">52.75</td>
<td colspan="2">6.33</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><blockquote>
<p>Other Areas</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="4">67</td>
<td colspan="2">0.75</td>
<td colspan="3">11.77</td>
<td colspan="4">15.97</td>
<td colspan="3">50.81</td>
<td colspan="2">5.97</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="20"><blockquote>
<p>Midseason</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><blockquote>
<p>Indian River District</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="4">11</td>
<td colspan="2">0.85</td>
<td colspan="3">12.46</td>
<td colspan="4">14.82</td>
<td colspan="3">52.78</td>
<td colspan="2">6.57</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><blockquote>
<p>Other Areas</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="4">38</td>
<td colspan="2">0.87</td>
<td colspan="3">12.24</td>
<td colspan="4">14.47</td>
<td colspan="3">51.85</td>
<td colspan="2">6.35</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="20"><blockquote>
<p>Late</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="2"><blockquote>
<p>Indian River District</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="4">25</td>
<td colspan="2">1.41</td>
<td colspan="3">11.07</td>
<td colspan="4">7.92</td>
<td colspan="3">53.88</td>
<td colspan="2">5.96</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="2"><blockquote>
<p>Other Areas</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td colspan="4">124</td>
<td colspan="2">1.35</td>
<td colspan="3">11.15</td>
<td colspan="4">8.34</td>
<td colspan="3">53.52</td>
<td colspan="2">5.97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

**FRUIT SIZE COMPARISONS BY TYPES TO PREVIOUS SEASONS**

Size frequency distributions developed from the December size survey are
shown in the following table. The distributions are by percent of fruit
falling within the size range of each 4/5‑bushel container. These
frequency distributions relate to fruit from regular bloom and exclude
summer bloom in all years.

+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Florida Citrus]{.smallcaps}**:   |          |         |         |
| Size frequency distributions        |          |         |         |
|                                     |          |         |         |
| from December measurements          |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| Type of fruit and size              | 2005     | 2006    | 2007    |
|                                     |          |         |         |
| in 4/5-bushel containers            |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
|                                     | *- - -   |         |         |
|                                     | Per      |         |         |
|                                     | cent - - |         |         |
|                                     | -*       |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Early and Midseason              |          |         |         |
| Oranges]{.smallcaps}:**             |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 64 and larger                     | 0.8      | 6.1     | 1.7     |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 80                                | 5.4      | 17.8    | 10.0    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 100                               | 21.1     | 35.2    | 28.1    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 125                               | 37.7     | 27.2    | 34.4    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 163 and smaller                   | 35.0     | 13.7    | 25.8    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Valencia Oranges]{.smallcaps}:** |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 64 and larger                     | 1.7      | 5.9     | 2.6     |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 80                                | 10.3     | 24.9    | 15.1    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 100                               | 32.4     | 38.8    | 35.2    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 125                               | 35.2     | 22.8    | 30.0    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 163 and smaller                   | 20.4     | 7.6     | 17.1    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[White Seedless                   |          |         |         |
| Grapefruit]{.smallcaps}:**          |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 32 and larger                     | 24.9     | 19.1    | 5.1     |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 36                                | 23.3     | 22.4    | 14.5    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 40                                | 23.4     | 23.7    | 20.1    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 48                                | 13.1     | 16.2    | 24.0    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 56                                | 6.9      | 8.1     | 14.5    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 63 and smaller                    | 8.4      | 10.5    | 21.8    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Colored Seedless                 |          |         |         |
| Grapefruit]{.smallcaps}:**          |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 32 and larger                     | 19.0     | 7.0     | 4.1     |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 36                                | 17.6     | 17.2    | 10.1    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 40                                | 21.8     | 25.3    | 17.4    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 48                                | 17.5     | 20.6    | 20.6    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 56                                | 11.9     | 13.8    | 15.9    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 63 and smaller                    | 12.2     | 16.1    | 31.9    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Honey Tangerines:]{.smallcaps}** |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 80 and larger                     | 10.2     | 27.7    | 13.0    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 100                               | 37.3     | 35.6    | 29.6    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 120                               | 33.5     | 21.3    | 28.4    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 176                               | 8.4      | 8.2     | 14.8    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 210 and smaller                   | 10.6     | 7.2     | 14.2    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+

The charts to the right describe the relationships of the fruit size
measurements with those taken in the previous year. The diameter
measurements shown are the minimum values of each eighth inch range,
except for the smallest values.

> **[Chart 1:]{.smallcaps}** Early and midseason oranges (excluding
> Navels) size frequency by diameter from December measurements
>
> ![](media/image2.wmf){width="3.6243055555555554in"
> height="3.3868055555555556in"}
>
> **[Chart 2:]{.smallcaps}** White seedless grapefruit size frequency by
> diameter from December measurements
>
> ![](media/image3.wmf){width="3.6243055555555554in"
> height="4.329166666666667in"}