**ALL ORANGES 168.5 MILLION BOXES**

The Florida all orange forecast released today by the USDA Agricultural
Statistics Board remains at 168.5 million boxes. Comprising the total
are 83.5 million boxes of the early-midseason-Navel varieties (including
Temples) and 85.0 million boxes of the later maturing Valencia oranges.
If achieved, this forecast will be the most produced since the 242.0
million boxes in 2003-04, prior to the two hurricane seasons. The May
forecast has deviated from final production by an average of 1.3 percent
in the past 10 non-hurricane seasons. During that period, five forecasts
were above and five were below the actual production. The monthly Row
Count survey, conducted April 30 - May 1, 2008, showed 73 percent of the
rows visited to be harvested. At this level of completion, it is a good
indicator and supports the current forecast.

**EARLY-MIDSEASON-NAVELS 83.5 MILLION BOXES**

The forecast of early-midseason-Navel oranges (including Temples) is
final at 83.5 million boxes. Report No. 30 from the Citrus
Administrative Committee shows estimated certifications for the week
ending May 4 totaled fewer than 10,000 boxes. Fresh and processed
utilization plus an allocation for non-certified gift fruit equal the
current forecast. This forecast is greater than the actual production in
any of the past three seasons. The **Navel** portion of the crop is
final at 3.0 million boxes.

  ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  [**Citrus Production:** May 1,                                                        
  2008\                                                                                 
  ]{.smallcaps}Forecasts by                                                             
  varieties and states, with                                                            
  comparisons                                                                           
  ------------------------------ ------------- ------------ ------------- ------------- -------------
  Crop and State                 Production                               Forecast      

                                 2005-06       2006-07                    Apr 9, 2008   May 9, 2008

                                 *- - - 1,000                                           
                                 boxes - - -*                                           

  **[Early, Midseason, and Navel                                                        
  Oranges:]{.smallcaps}**                                                               

  **FLORIDA**^1/^                **75,000**    **65,600**                 **83,500**    **83,500**

  California                     47,000        34,500                     49,500        49,500

  Texas                          1,400         1,600                      1,400         1,400

  Arizona                        250           200                        250           250

  Total Above Varieties          123,650       101,900                    134,650       134,650

  **[Valencias:]{.smallcaps}**                                                          

  **FLORIDA**                    **72,700**                 **63,400**    **85,000**    **85,000**

  California                     13,500                     11,500        16,000        16,000

  Texas                          200                        380           388           388

  Arizona                        200                        100           100           100

  Total Valencias                86,600                     75,380        101,488       101,488

  **[All Oranges]{.smallcaps}**:                                                        

  **FLORIDA**                    **147,700**                **129,000**   **168,500**   **168,500**

  California                     61,500                     46,000        65,500        65,500

  Texas                          1,600                      1,980         1,788         1,788

  Arizona                        450                        300           350           350

  Total All Oranges              210,250                    177,280       236,138       236,138

  ^1/^ Includes Temples                                                                 
  beginning in 2006-07. Historic                                                        
  Temple production on page 2.                                                          
  ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**VALENCIAS 85.0 MILLION BOXES**

The forecast of Valencia oranges remains at 85.0 million boxes. Although
the results of last month's size and drop surveys are considered final,
additional surveys were conducted in April. Fruit size continues to be
smaller than the minimum of the past 10 seasons and is the fourth
smallest on record for a non-freeze season in a series dating back to
the 1960-61 season. The rate of drop accelerated during the past month
placing this measurement between the average and maximum for the past 10
non‑hurricane seasons. The monthly route survey shows harvest to be
nearing the halfway mark with weekly certifications of about 6.0 million
boxes.

  ---------------------------- -------- --------------- ------------ -------------- -------- -----------
  **[Components Used in the                                                                  
  May Forecast                                                                               
  ^1/^]{.smallcaps}**                                                                        

  Type                                  Bearing\        Fruit\       Percent\       Fruit\   
                                        trees           per\         droppage       per\     
                                                        tree                        box      

                                        *(1,000)*                                            

  **[Oranges:]{.smallcaps}**                                                                 

  Early-mid                    24,473                   1,052        8              264      

  Navel                        1,284                    440          10             138      

  Valencia                     33,835                   679          15             221      

  ^1/^ Survey data is                                                                        
  considered final in December                                                               
  for Navels, January for                                                                    
  early-midseason oranges, and                                                               
  April for Valencias.                                                                       
  ---------------------------- -------- --------------- ------------ -------------- -------- -----------

**FCOJ YIELD 1.65 GALLONS PER BOX**

The all orange projection of FCOJ yield at 42º Brix is increased from
1.63 to 1.65 gallons per box, surpassing last season's record 1.64668
gallons per box. The early-midseason portion, final at 1.55335 gallons
per box, is slightly below last season and third highest as reported by
the Florida Department of Citrus. The record of 1.58414 gallons per box
for early-midseason fruit occurred in the 1998‑99 season. The projection
of the Valencia portion is increased from 1.73 gallons per box to 1.76,
second only to last season's record 1.77415 gallons per box.

**GRAPEFRUIT RAISED TO 26.3 MILLION BOXES**

The forecast of all grapefruit for utilization (including an allocation
of 700,000 boxes of gift fruit and local sales) is increased from 24.5
to 26.3 million boxes. The forecast includes 9.0 million boxes of
**white** and 17.3 million boxes of **colored** grapefruit. This
forecast, if realized, will be only three percent less than harvested
last season.

The basis for raising the forecast is the relationship between the
estimated utilization, as reported by the Citrus Administrative
Committee, and the percentage of rows harvested, as identified by the
Row Count survey. Weekly utilization throughout the month of April
declined slightly but averaged over 1.1 million boxes per week. The Row
Count survey, conducted April 30 - May 1, showed 94 percent of the rows
harvested. As of May 1, the majority of grapefruit remaining to be
harvested is in the Indian River District.

The **white** grapefruit forecast is raised from 7.5 to 9.0 million
boxes. Utilization to the first of the month, including an allocation
for other use, is 8.4 million boxes. The Row Count survey showed over 10
percent rows of white grapefruit remaining for harvest. The white
grapefruit harvest has primarily been for the processed market.

The **colored** grapefruit forecast is adjusted upward to 17.3 million
boxes. Estimated utilization to May 1, including an allocation for other
use, is 16.9 million boxes. Colored grapefruit utilization remained
strong throughout the month of April at over 500,000 boxes per week. The
Row Count survey showed less than four percent of the rows left to be
harvested, indicating a lesser availability in the next couple of weeks.
Almost equal amounts of colored grapefruit have gone into fresh
shipments as have been processed.

The majority of processing plants receiving grapefruit are expected to
close within the first two weeks of May. This confirms that grapefruit
availability is becoming scarce and harvest is nearing completion.

+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| **[Citrus         |         |         |             |             |
| Productio         |         |         |             |             |
| n]{.smallcaps}**: |         |         |             |             |
| May 1, 2008\      |         |         |             |             |
| forecasts by      |         |         |             |             |
| varieties and     |         |         |             |             |
| States, with      |         |         |             |             |
| comparisons       |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| Crop and State    | Pro     |         | Forecast    |             |
|                   | duction |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
|                   | 2005-06 | 2006-07 | Apr 9, 2008 | May 9, 2008 |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
|                   | *- - -  |         |             |             |
|                   | 1,000   |         |             |             |
|                   | bo      |         |             |             |
|                   | xes - - |         |             |             |
|                   | -*      |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| **[Grapefrui      |         |         |             |             |
| t]{.smallcaps}**: |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > **Florida**-All | **1     | **2     | **24,500**  | **26,300**  |
|                   | 9,300** | 7,200** |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > **White**       | **      | **      | **7,500**   | **9,000**   |
|                   | 6,500** | 9,300** |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > **Colored**     | **1     | **1     | **17,000**  | **17,300**  |
|                   | 2,800** | 7,900** |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > California      | 6,000   | 5,500   | 5,000       | 5,000       |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > Texas           | 5,200   | 7,100   | 6,400       | 6,400       |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > Arizona         | 100     | 100     | 150         | 150         |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| Total Grapefruit  | 30,600  | 39,900  | 36,050      | 37,850      |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| **[Lemon          |         |         |             |             |
| s]{.smallcaps}**: |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > California      | 21,000  | 18,500  | 17,000      | 17,000      |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > Arizona         | 3,800   | 2,500   | 1,500       | 1,500       |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| Total Lemons      | 24,800  | 21,000  | 18,500      | 18,500      |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| [**Temple         | 700     | ^1/^    | ^1/^        | ^1/^        |
| s**:]{.smallcaps} |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| [**Tangelo        | **      | **      | **1,500**   | **1,500**   |
| s**:]{.smallcaps} | 1,400** | 1,250** |             |             |
| **Florida**       |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| **[Tangerine      |         |         |             |             |
| s]{.smallcaps}**: |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > **Florida**-All | **      | **      | **4,800**   | **5,300**   |
|                   | 5,500** | 4,600** |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > **Early ^2/^**  | **      | **      | **2,600**   | **2,600**   |
|                   | 2,850** | 2,400** |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > **Honey**       | **      | **      | **2,200**   | **2,700**   |
|                   | 2,650** | 2,200** |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > California ^3/^ | 3,600   | 3,500   | 5,100       | 5,100       |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| > Arizona ^3/^    | 550     | 300     | 400         | 400         |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| Total Tangerines  | 9,650   | 8,400   | 10,300      | 10,800      |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+
| ^1/^ Included in  |         |         |             |             |
| earl              |         |         |             |             |
| y-midseason-Navel |         |         |             |             |
| oranges.          |         |         |             |             |
|                   |         |         |             |             |
| ^2/^ Fallglo and  |         |         |             |             |
| Sunburst          |         |         |             |             |
| varieties.        |         |         |             |             |
|                   |         |         |             |             |
| ^3/^ Includes     |         |         |             |             |
| tangelos and      |         |         |             |             |
| tangors.          |         |         |             |             |
+-------------------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------+

+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
| **[Components  |              |           |               |        |
| Used in the    |              |           |               |        |
| May Forecast   |              |           |               |        |
| ^1/^]          |              |           |               |        |
| {.smallcaps}** |              |           |               |        |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
| Type           | Bearing\     | Fruit\    | Percent\      | Fruit\ |
|                | trees        | per\      | droppage      | per\   |
|                |              | tree      |               | box    |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
|                | *(1,000)*    |           |               |        |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
| *              |              |           |               |        |
| *[Grapefruit:] |              |           |               |        |
| {.smallcaps}** |              |           |               |        |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
| > White ^2/^   | 1,862        | 557       | 18            | 99     |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
| > Colored      | 4,155        | 499       | 12            | 109    |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+
| ^1/^ January   |              |           |               |        |
| data is        |              |           |               |        |
| considered     |              |           |               |        |
| final.         |              |           |               |        |
|                |              |           |               |        |
| ^2/^ Seedless  |              |           |               |        |
| variety only.  |              |           |               |        |
+----------------+--------------+-----------+---------------+--------+

**ALL TANGERINES 5.3 MILLION BOXES**

The forecast of all tangerines is raised to 5.3 million boxes. The early
tangerines are final at 2.6 million boxes. The change is in the later
Honey tangerines, now at 2.7 million boxes.

Harvest of the early varieties (Fallglo and Sunburst) is final at 2.6
million boxes, including an allocation of 200,000 boxes for
non-certified use. **Fallglo** comprised 650,000 boxes of the category,
up three percent from 630,000 boxes last season. **Sunburst** accounted
for three-fourths of the total at 1.95 million boxes.

The forecast of the later maturing **Honey** variety is raised from 2.2
million boxes to 2.7 million boxes. This season is the first on record
where the processed quantity nearly equals the amount sold fresh. The
primary reason is that the small sizes were not as useful for the fresh
market. Harvest throughout the month of April was steady at over 150,000
boxes weekly. Results of the Row Count survey showed 86 percent of the
rows harvested. Typically, harvest of Honey tangerines comes to an end
toward the middle to the last week in May. It is expected that the trend
will continue this season.

**TANGELOS 1.5 MILLION BOXES**

The tangelo forecast is final at 1.5 million boxes, including an
allocation for non-certified use. The first week of April was the last
week certifications were recorded. The majority of tangelos were
processed with only 30 percent sold as fresh this season.

<table>
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 16%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
<col style="width: 8%" />
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="11"><strong><span class="smallcaps">Unadjusted Maturity
Tests</span></strong>: Average of regular bloom fruit from sample<br />
groves, 2006-07 and 2007-08 seasons</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td rowspan="2"><p>Fruit type</p>
<p>(No. groves)</p>
<p>test date</p></td>
<td colspan="2">Acid</td>
<td colspan="2"><p>Solids</p>
<p>(Brix)</p></td>
<td colspan="2">Ratio</td>
<td colspan="2"><p>Unfinished juice</p>
<p>per box</p></td>
<td colspan="2"><p>Solids</p>
<p>per box</p></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td>2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td>2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td>2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
<td>2006-07</td>
<td>2007-08</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td rowspan="2"> </td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Percent</em></td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Percent</em></td>
<td colspan="2"></td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Pounds</em></td>
<td colspan="2"><em>Pounds</em></td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="10"><em>Juice and solids per box are unadjusted and not
comparable to plant test results.</em></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="11"><strong><span
class="smallcaps">Oranges</span></strong>:</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td colspan="11"><blockquote>
<p>Late (69-90)</p>
</blockquote></td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Oct 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>2.53</td>
<td>2.66</td>
<td>8.98</td>
<td>9.50</td>
<td>3.57</td>
<td>3.61</td>
<td>45.55</td>
<td>44.00</td>
<td>4.09</td>
<td>4.17</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Nov 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>2.08</td>
<td>2.00</td>
<td>9.90</td>
<td>9.28</td>
<td>4.82</td>
<td>4.71</td>
<td>48.63</td>
<td>49.23</td>
<td>4.82</td>
<td>4.57</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Dec 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>1.73</td>
<td>1.76</td>
<td>9.91</td>
<td>10.11</td>
<td>5.79</td>
<td>5.81</td>
<td>52.19</td>
<td>52.08</td>
<td>5.17</td>
<td>5.26</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Jan 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>1.43</td>
<td>1.39</td>
<td>10.87</td>
<td>11.15</td>
<td>7.69</td>
<td>8.09</td>
<td>52.76</td>
<td>53.56</td>
<td>5.74</td>
<td>5.97</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Feb 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>1.22</td>
<td>1.28</td>
<td>11.99</td>
<td>12.01</td>
<td>9.92</td>
<td>9.50</td>
<td>54.94</td>
<td>54.58</td>
<td>6.59</td>
<td>6.55</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Mar 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>1.13</td>
<td>1.17</td>
<td>12.59</td>
<td>12.62</td>
<td>11.19</td>
<td>10.87</td>
<td>54.83</td>
<td>54.99</td>
<td>6.91</td>
<td>6.94</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><blockquote>
<p>Apr 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>1.10</td>
<td>1.03</td>
<td>13.27</td>
<td>13.01</td>
<td>12.18</td>
<td>12.76</td>
<td>54.24</td>
<td>55.07</td>
<td>7.20</td>
<td>7.16</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><blockquote>
<p>May 1</p>
</blockquote></td>
<td>0.93</td>
<td>0.92</td>
<td>13.62</td>
<td>13.46</td>
<td>14.92</td>
<td>14.87</td>
<td>55.00</td>
<td>55.37</td>
<td>7.49</td>
<td>7.45</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td colspan="11">NOTICE: All samples were run through an FMC 091 machine
using mechanical pressure only. This machine utilizes a .040 short
strainer and standard 5/8-inch orifice tube. The beam settings are also
identical to past tests and no restrictors are used.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
| **[Maturity    |       |      |       |       |         |          |
| test averages  |       |      |       |       |         |          |
| by areas, May  |       |      |       |       |         |          |
| 1,             |       |      |       |       |         |          |
| 2008]          |       |      |       |       |         |          |
| {.smallcaps}** |       |      |       |       |         |          |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
| Fruit type     | G     | Acid | S     | Ratio | Unf     | Solids   |
|                | roves |      | olids |       | inished |          |
|                |       |      |       |       |         | per box  |
|                | sa    |      | (     |       | juice   |          |
|                | mpled |      | Brix) |       | per box |          |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
|                | *Nu   | *    | *Per  |       | *       | *Pounds* |
|                | mber* | Perc | cent* |       | Pounds* |          |
|                |       | ent* |       |       |         |          |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
| **[Oranges]{   |       |      |       |       |         |          |
| .smallcaps}**: |       |      |       |       |         |          |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
| > Late         |       |      |       |       |         |          |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
| > Indian River | 20    | 0.94 | 13.75 | 14.68 | 56.23   | 7.73     |
| > District     |       |      |       |       |         |          |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+
| > Other Areas  | 70    | 0.91 | 13.38 | 14.92 | 55.12   | 7.37     |
+----------------+-------+------+-------+-------+---------+----------+

+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Florida Citrus]{.smallcaps}**:   |          |         |         |
| Size frequency distributions\       |          |         |         |
| from April measurements             |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| Type of fruit and size              | 2006     | 2007    | 2008    |
|                                     |          |         |         |
| in 4/5-bushel containers            |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
|                                     | *- - -   |         |         |
|                                     | Per      |         |         |
|                                     | cent - - |         |         |
|                                     | -*       |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| **[Valencia Oranges]{.smallcaps}:** |          |         |         |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 64 and larger                     | 4.0      | 14.4    | 6.3     |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 80                                | 13.2     | 30.1    | 19.2    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 100                               | 32.4     | 31.7    | 34.7    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 125                               | 30.4     | 17.1    | 26.5    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+
| > 163 and smaller                   | 20.0     | 6.7     | 13.3    |
+-------------------------------------+----------+---------+---------+

**FRUIT SIZE COMPARISONS BY TYPES TO PREVIOUS SEASONS**

Size frequency distributions developed from the April size survey are
shown in the following table. The distributions are by percent of fruit
falling within the size range of each 4/5‑bushel container. These
frequency distributions relate to fruit from regular bloom and exclude
summer bloom in all years.

> The chart to the right describes the relationship of the fruit size
> measurements with those taken in the previous year. The diameter
> measurements shown are the minimum values of each eighth inch range,
> except for the smallest values.
>
> **[Chart 1:]{.smallcaps}** Valencia orange size frequency by diameter
> from April measurements
>
> ![](media/image2.wmf){width="3.6243055555555554in"
> height="3.3847222222222224in"}