THE FIRST IN A NEW SEASON OF NWFSC CRI WORKSHOPS.....

***FIRST STEPS OF RECOVERY PLANNING: CRI RISK CALCULATIONS AND ASSESSING
HABITAT OPTIONS***

***Workshop: 19 September 2000***

***Sandpoint Auditorium***

***9 AM to 4 PM***

There has been a hiatus in workshops, while the CRI has been busy
submitting its analyses to scientific journals in order to obtain the
best possible peer review and to disseminate its findings as widely as
possible. A new 'season" begins with this workshop that will report both
old analyses (that have been discussed before) and some new analyses.
There will also be a period for discussion regarding some future
possible directions. Specifically, the workshop includes analyses at
three stages:

(i) methods for estimating risk when the data are corrupted by errors
    (this represents a methodology that has been tested and widely
    reviewed by mathematical biologists -- the point here it to present
    something that is "finished", as opposed to "in development"),

(ii) preliminary results of habitat analyses (by EDT and by NWFSC),

\(iii\) initial thoughts on linking habitat analyses up with risk
calculations and

with monitoring and evaluation (looking to future work and seeking
input).

The format will include short presentations, with at least half of the
time allotted for discussion or answering questions.

###### AGENDA

**9:00 -- 9:15 AM** *Introduction* (Peter Kareiva)

**9:15 -- 9:45 AM** *Lambda rules.* (Eli Holmes) The focus of CRI risk
analysis is "lambda", or the median annual rate of population change.
Eli will present our methods for estimating lambda, and discuss why
NWFSC uses it as the foundation for recovery risk analyses and planning.

**9:45 -- 10:10 AM** *Questions and discussion.*

**10:10- 10:50 AM** *Demonstrating the "nuts and bolts" of EDT.* (Lars
Mobrand).

**10:50 -- 11:10 AM** *Technical question period*. A brief period for
technical questions or questions of clarification. There will be more
opportunity for broader discussion following lunchbreak.

**11:10-11:50 AM** *Linking habitat attributes explicitly to salmon
population data* (Blake Feist and Ashley Steel).

**11:50- 12:10 PM** *Technical question period*. A brief period for
technical questions or questions of clarification. There will be more
opportunity for broader discussion following lunchbreak.

**LUNCHBREAK 12:10 PM -- 1:30 PM**.

**1:30 -- 2: 30 PM** *Discussion*. Audience and "panel" discussion of
how the two approaches to habitat analyses differ in their focus, the
scales at which they best work, and the type of information they
deliver. Because the methods are complementary, and because both
approaches are being used, it is important to have a discussion that
highlights how they can be used in recovery planning. The "panel" will
be Lars Mobrand, Ashley Steel and Blake Feist and Beth Sanderson will
moderate the discussion.

**2:30 -- 3:20 PM** *How can we connect lambda-based risk analyses with
habitat analyses? And what are the key issues for designing monitoring
and evaluation programs aimed at detecting responses to habitat
improvements* (Chris Jordan, Michelle McClure and Tom Cooney).

**3:20 -- 4:00 PM** *Discussion and questions*.