Required Report - public distribution

**Date:** 4/28/2005

**GAIN Report Number:** TU5018

TU5018

**Turkey**

**Tobacco and Products**

**Tobacco annual**

**2005**

**Approved by:**

![](media/image1.wmf)Jim Higgiston, Agricultural Counselor

Ankara

**Prepared by:**

Ibrahim Sirtioglu, Agricultural Marketing Specialist

**Report Highlights:**

MY 2005 total tobacco production is estimated to be about 157,000 MT of
which 152,000 MT is oriental tobacco. MY 2004 total tobacco production
was only 112,000 MT due to drought during the season. Oriental tobacco
exports continue to be strong in MY 2004, reaching 111,940 MT. Once
burdensome oriental tobacco stocks are declining due to reduced
production and exports. Non-Oriental tobacco imports remain strong but
the importance of the United States as a supplier has declined. The GOT
cancelled the last tender for TEKEL\'s privatization due to lack of
offers. International cigarette companies are concerned that the high
consumption tax on cigarettes has encouraged smuggling.

Includes PSD Changes: Yes

Includes Trade Matrix: Yes

Annual Report

Ankara \[TU1\]

\[TU\]

+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Turkey**     |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
|                |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| ##             |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| #### **Orienta |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| l Tobacco, Un- |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| manufactured** |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
|                |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| **(HA)(MT)**   |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
|                | **20 | **R  | **20 | **Es | **20 | **Fo | **U  |
|                | 03** | evis | 04** | tima | 05** | reca | OM** |
|                |      | ed** |      | te** |      | st** |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
|                | **   | **   | **   | **   | **   | **   |      |
|                | USDA | Post | USDA | Post | USDA | Post |      |
|                | Offi | Esti | Offi | Esti | Offi | Esti |      |
|                | cial | mate | cial | mate | cial | mate |      |
|                | \    | \    | \    | \    | \    | \    |      |
|                | [Old | [New | [Old | [New | [Old | [New |      |
|                | \]** | \]** | \]** | \]** | \]** | \]** |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Market Year  |      | 01/  |      | 01/  |      | 01/  | MM/  |
| Begin**        |      | 2003 |      | 2004 |      | 2005 | YYYY |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Area         | 19   | 19   | 18   | 18   | 0    | 19   | (HA) |
| Planted**      | 1479 | 6200 | 1479 | 1240 |      | 3780 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Beginning    | 32   | 32   | 28   | 27   | 25   | 22   | (MT) |
| Stocks**       | 2535 | 2535 | 7060 | 9850 | 6783 | 8633 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Farm Sales   | 15   | 15   | 14   | 10   | 0    | 15   | (MT) |
| Weight Prod**  | 7102 | 5453 | 5450 | 7340 |      | 2000 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Dry Weight   | 13   | 12   | 12   | 12   | 0    | 12   | (MT) |
| Production**   | 0395 | 9025 | 9723 | 0723 |      | 6160 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **U.S. Leaf    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | (MT) |
| Imports**      |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Other        | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | (MT) |
| Foreign        |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| Imports**      |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **TOTAL        | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | (MT) |
| Imports**      |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **TOTAL        | 45   | 45   | 41   | 40   | 25   | 35   | (MT) |
| SUPPLY**       | 2930 | 1560 | 6783 | 0573 | 6783 | 4793 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Exports**    | 10   | 11   | 10   | 11   | 0    | 11   | (MT) |
|                | 7870 | 3710 | 0000 | 1940 |      | 5000 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Dom. Leaf    | 5    | 5    | 6    | 6    | 0    | 6    | (MT) |
| Consumption**  | 8000 | 8000 | 0000 | 0000 |      | 0000 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **U.S. Leaf    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | (MT) |
| Dom. Consum.** |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Other        | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | (MT) |
| Foreign        |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
| Consump.**     |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **TOTAL Dom.   | 5    | 5    | 6    | 6    | 0    | 6    | (MT) |
| Consumption**  | 8000 | 8000 | 0000 | 0000 |      | 0000 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **TOTAL        | 16   | 17   | 16   | 17   | 0    | 17   | (MT) |
| D              | 5870 | 1710 | 0000 | 1940 |      | 5000 |      |
| isappearance** |      |      |      |      |      |      |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **Ending       | 28   | 27   | 25   | 22   | 0    | 17   | (MT) |
| Stocks**       | 7060 | 9850 | 6783 | 8633 |      | 9793 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+
| **TOTAL        | 45   | 45   | 41   | 40   | 0    | 35   | (MT) |
| DISTRIBUTION** | 2930 | 1560 | 6783 | 0573 |      | 4793 |      |
+----------------+------+------+------+------+------+------+------+

  ------------------ ---------- ---------- -------------- ---------- ---------------- ----------
                                           **Production                               
                                           table**                                    

                                                                                      

                                **Area**                             **Production**   

  **Product**        **2003**   **2004**   **2005**       **2003**   **2004**         **2005**

                                                                                      

  **Flue-Cured**     1700       1500       1800           3890       3570             4500

  **Burley**         700        600        650            1930       1200             1500

  **Oriental**       196200     181240     193780         155453     107340           152000

  **TOTAL**          198600     183340     196230         161273     112110           158000
  ------------------ ---------- ---------- -------------- ---------- ---------------- ----------

  ------------------------------------ -------------- -------------------
  **EXPORT TRADE MATRIX**                             

  **TURKEY**                           **MY 2004**    

  **UN-MANUFACTURED ORIENTAL TOBACCO**                

                                                      

  **COUNTRIES**                        **METRIC       **US \$ (1000)**
                                       TONS**         

                                                      

  US                                   33,776         134,643

  Germany                              13,745         54,495

  Russia                               10,230         30,250

  Belgium                              5,097          13,272

  Iran                                 3,188          10,137

  Holland                              6,742          26,200

  Indonesia                            5,220          16,570

  Philippines                          4,467          5,745

  Ukraine                              3,215          8,593

  France                               2,554          8,134

  Spain                                2,378          11,069

  Switzerland                          1,793          8,450

  Malaysia                             1,718          6,438

  South Korea                          1,610          5,153

  Czech Republic                       1,481          6,105

  Portugal                             1,370          5,061

  **Total**                            91,914         353,781

  **Total of others not listed**       20,026         59,925

                                                      

  **Grand Total**                      111,940        413,706
  ------------------------------------ -------------- -------------------