Market question: Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, Geopolitics, Venezuela

This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel from a country other than Venezuela conduct officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations on the ground within the sovereign territory of Venezuela intended to establish increased national security or stability between July 20, 2024 and August 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping and/or security operations must involve that country's physical police or military presence within the sovereign territory of Venezuela. For the purposes of this market, "police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance or intelligence performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc.

Security actions undertaken by a country exclusively to protect, evacuate, or maintain the safety of its embassy and personnel within Venezuela will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".

Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign police, military, peacekeeping, or security intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.

A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.

Outcome: No