Market question: OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
Category: Politics
Tags: OpenAI, Altman, sam altman, AI, Science, X risk, Business, Politics, Mira Murati, Murati, Mira, anthropic, AGI, ex risk, Elon vs. OpenAI

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.

If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur.

The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.