Market question: Will 25-49 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
Category: Politics
Tags: Gov Shutdown, Politics

A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 25 (inclusive) and 49 (inclusive) House Republicans vote in favor of the next government funding bill (e.g., Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no vote takes place on a next government funding bill by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve based solely on the first vote for the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: No