Market question: Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Category: Politics
Tags: Middle East, Politics, Israel, Geopolitics, Lebanon, Gaza, Hezbollah, war

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between August 6, 2024 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: Yes