Market question: Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? 
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, Geopolitics, russia, Ukraine, war, donetsk, donbass, putin, zelensky

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Desantnykiv Vulytsia and Shakhtarska Vulytsia in Vuhledar Ukraine by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar2.jpeg

Vuhledar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar1.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oJfHH5ye5Htwun4n7

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


Outcome: No