Market question: Will Joe Biden's 538 disapproval rating be greater than 55.5% on December 29?
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, Joe Biden, approval ratings, polls, approval rating, All

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's disapproval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than 55.5% for the day of December 29, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's disapproval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 29 as soon as a datapoint for December 30 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the December 30 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for December 29 is available by January 1, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous disapproval rating to December 29.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome: No