Market question: Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?
Category: Politics
Tags: Middle East, Geopolitics, Politics, Israel, Lebanon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between August 1, 2024 and August 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: No