Market question: Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January?
Category: Politics
Tags: Iran, pakistan, war, Politics, international relations, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan officially declares war against Iran, or Iran officially declares war against Pakistan by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made from Pakistan or Iran against the other by the specified date. 

Only Iran and Pakistan themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if Pakistani militant group Jaish al-Adl declared war against Iran it will not count for this market. 

Outcome: No