Market question: Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Category: Politics
Tags: China, taiwan, Politics, military, international relations, All, Geopolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used

Outcome: No