Market question: Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?
Category: Politics
Tags: Cybertruck, Politics, Matthew Livelsberger

On January 3, Shawn Ryan posted an alleged manifesto sent by the Cybertruck perp (see: https://x.com/ShawnRyan762/status/1875278600284635341).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger.

This market will resolve to "No" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was not written by Matthew Livelsberger.

This market will resolve once there have been definitive statements from the FBI confirming whether the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. If there has been no definitive statement by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the FBI believe was most likely based on official statements.