Market question: Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? 
Category: Politics
Tags: Geopolitics, Politics, maduro

On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes."

Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome: Yes