Market question: U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?
Category: Politics
Tags: Lebanon, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel, Hezbollah

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation is otherwise confirmed by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this markets time frame will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the market's timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

Outcome: No