Market question: Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?
Category: Politics
Tags: Israel, hamas, Politics, humanitarian pause, conflict resolution, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: Yes