Market question: Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, Trump Presidency, Campaign Promises

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. 

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.