Market question: Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Category: Politics
Tags: Geopolitics, Hezbollah, Israel, Politics, Lebanon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Bint Jbeil in Lebanon for military operations between September 29 and October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Bint Jbeil will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome: No