Market question: Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?
Category: Politics
Tags: Gaza, hamas, Middle East, Politics, Israel, Geopolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Yahya Sinwar has left Gaza for any length of time between September 10, 2024, and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Yahya Sinwar may have exited Gaza airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country/territory other than Gaza for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Sinwar leaves Gaza on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Yahya Sinwar left Gaza, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome: No