Market question: Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?
Category: Politics
Tags: international relations, Iran, refinery, oil industry, Politics, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any listed major Iranian oil refinery is damaged to the point of inoperability for any length of time due to violent or military action by November 30, 2023 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The major Iranian oil refineries considered for this market are:

Abadan Refinery
Isfahan Refinery
Arak Refinery
Bandar Abbas Refinery 
Tehran Refinery

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and/or Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: No