Market question: Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
Category: Politics
Tags: Israel, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Middle East, Geopolitics, Politics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon between October 23 and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: No