Market question: Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Category: Politics
Tags: Ukraine, Geopolitics, Politics, putin, zelensky

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.

The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.



Outcome: Yes