Market question: Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?
Category: Politics
Tags: negotiations, hostages, ceasefire, Politics, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel enters a ceasefire in exchange for hostages held by Hamas by November 10, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (UTC + 2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ceasefire will be considered a publicly announced and mutually agreed upon halt in military engagement between Israel and Hamas. For this market to resolve "Yes", the referenced entities must enter the ceasefire and the hostages must be exchanged before the resolution date, regardless of the de facto length of the the ceasefire.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: No