Market question: Haiti intervention by April 30?
Category: Politics
Tags: global politics, Politics, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel from countries other than Haiti conduct officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations on the ground within the sovereign territory of Haiti intended to establish increased national security or stability between March 20, 2024 and April 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping and/or security operations must involve that country's physical police or military presence within the sovereign territory of Haiti. For the purposes of this market, "police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance or intelligence performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc.

Security actions undertaken by a country exclusively to protect, evacuate, or maintain the safety of its embassy and personnel within Haiti will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".

Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign police, military, peacekeeping, or security intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.

A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.

Outcome: No