Market question: Hezbollah enters Israel in August?
Category: Politics
Tags: Geopolitics, Middle East, Politics, Lebanon, Israel, Gaza, war

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights.  

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Outcome: No