Market question: Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday?
Category: Politics
Tags: pakistan, Iran, Politics, military action, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 16, 12:00 PM ET, and January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military attack" is any use of force executed by Pakistan on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if an Islamic Revolutionary Guard weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Pakistani missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Pakistani federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.

Pakistan striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Iranian territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.

Outcome: Yes