Market question: Will US attack Iran in 2023?
Category: Politics
Tags: us, Iran, Politics, military, international relations, war, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between December 3 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military attack" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.

Outcome: No