Market question: Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
Category: Politics
Tags: Trump, Trump Presidency, Politics, Campaign Promises, riot

This market will resolve to "Yes" if less than 250 people receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 20, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, for crimes related to the January 6 Capitol attack. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements that Trump will pardon individuals will not count. Only pardons, commutations, or reprieves actually issued on that date will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for whether any protestor is pardoned will be official information from the US government (e.g. https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.