Market question: Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Category: Politics
Tags: Macro Geopolitics, Hezbollah, Middle East, Israel, Syria, Geopolitics, Politics, Iran, Assad

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Syria between September 12, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, the Golan Heights count as Israeli territory.

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Syria, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: Yes