Market question: Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, military, Middle East, conflict, Israel, Gaza, All

This market will resolve to “Yes” if by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.


Outcome: No