Market question: Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Category: Politics
Tags: ceasefire, war, peace, Politics, international relations, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.


Outcome: Yes