Market question: Iran response to Israel by Sunday?
Category: Politics
Tags: Middle East, Politics, global politics, Iran, Israel

On June 5, 2024, it was reported Israel allegedly initiated a strike on an Iranian advisor in Aleppo on Monday. The commander of the Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has since threatened a response. You can read more about that here: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/irans-guards-chief-threatens-response-after-adviser-killed-in-alleged-israeli-strike-in-aleppo/

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's strike on the Iranian advisor in Aleppo, Syria by June 9, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's alleged strike in Aleppo, Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

Only a response by Iran, explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.

Outcome: No