Market question: U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?
Category: Politics
Tags: Middle East, Politics, Iran, Geopolitics, war, OSINTdefender, Creators

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between October 22, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an U.S. missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome: Yes