Market question: Iran response to Israel by April 19?
Category: Politics
Tags: Israel, Middle East, global politics, Iran, All

On April 1, 2024, it was reported Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 19, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e.  Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Outcome: Yes