Market question: Israel military action against Yemen by Friday?
Category: Politics
Tags: Israel, houthis, Politics, Geopolitics, Iran, Middle East

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between September 15, 2024, and September  20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome: No