Market question: Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?
Category: Politics
Tags: Middle East, Lebanon, Politics, Geopolitics, Hezbollah, Israel

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 26 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count.

Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. 

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome: Yes