Market question: Will Chip Roy announce he won't seek reelection?
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, Trump Presidency, Trump, Gov Shutdown

On December 19, Donald Trump described Chip Roy as a "very unpopular “Congressman”", during ongoing negotiations to pass a government funding bill (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113681162508337560).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chip Roy announces that he will not seek reelection to Congress, announces that he will resign from his position as a U.S. congressman, or otherwise ceases to be a U.S. congressman for any length of time, between December 18, 2024 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement that he will not seek reelection or of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down or runs again.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Chip Roy or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.