Market question: Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Category: Politics
Tags: Ukraine, Geopolitics, Politics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between September 4 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was   intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.  



Outcome: No