Market question: Hunter Biden sentenced to prison before election?
Category: Politics
Tags: Hunter Biden, Politics, Joe Biden, u.s. politics, us politics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of his ongoing federal firearms charges trial, by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No".

If this trial ends (e.g. mistrial) without the rendering of a sentence, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome: No