Market question: Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?
Category: Politics
Tags: Politics, Trump Cabinet, Trump Presidency, Pete Hegseth

On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market.

Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.