Market question: Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?
Category: Other
Tags: All

If the BEA reports an annual rate of change of more than 2.5% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q4 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2022.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product, scheduled to be released on January 26, 2023.

Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.