Market question: U.S. recession before May 2025?
Category: Other
Tags: National Bureau of Economic Research, Business, Economy, Macro Single

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point in 2024 or later, with the announcement made between September 25, 2024, and April 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER.