Market question: Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round)
Category: Other
Tags: All

Greece (Hellenic Republic) has scheduled legislative elections for May 21, 2023. During this election all 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament will be contested.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syriza (ΣΥΡΙΖΑ) wins more than 31.000% of votes in the Hellenic Parliament after the results of the first round of voting in the 2023 Greek legislative election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be entirely based off of the first round of voting in the 2023 Greek legislative election. The results of any subsequent rounds of voting will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Whether or not a government forms based on the results of this election will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Outcome: No