Market question: Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?
Category: Other
Tags: iceland, volcanic eruption, geology, natural disasters, Science, All

On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by December 31, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.

Outcome: Yes