Market question: Will April 2024 show an increase of between 1.26°C-1.31°C?
Category: Other
Tags: Science, Weather, Global Temp, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."

Outcome: No