Market question: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?
Category: Other
Tags: All

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 42.6% for the day of April 17, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 17 as soon as a datapoint for April 18 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the April 18 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for April 17 is available by April 18, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to April 17.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome: Yes