Market question: Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?
Category: Other
Tags: All

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 140 or more House Republicans vote “Yea” on the first vote on passage of “H.R.3746 - Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023” by June 4, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Only the first such vote on passage of the act is considered for this market: namely if less than 140 House Republicans vote “Yea” on the first vote, the market will resolve to “No.”

Note: The vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") by June 4, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET for the market to resolve to “Yes.” Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source will be US governmental sources such as https://www.congress.gov/roll-call-votes however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Outcome: Yes