Market question: Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May?
Category: Other
Tags: rafah, Gaza, Middle East, Israel, mahmoud abbas, icj

On May 24, 2024, the ICJ ordered Israel to halt its military assault on the city of Rafah, in the Gaza strip. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel announces that they are halting offensive ground operations in Rafah by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

An announcement by Israel that they are halting offensive ground operations will suffice for a “Yes” resolution even if the operation continues in practice.


Outcome: No