Market question: Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
Category: Other
Tags: All

In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.

Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo. For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."

The domestic gross for 'Oppenheimer' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/. The domestic gross for 'Barbie' can be found here under the heading "domestic": https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/. The domestic grosses for each movie will be combined for the total Barbenheimer domestic gross. In the event that BoxOfficeMojo ceases to be available or reliable, then other websites that numerically track box office totals may be used.

Outcome: Yes