Market question: Will Arizona be Trump's best state on March 19?
Category: Other
Tags: All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has the highest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump in the March 19, Republican Primaries among the states participating. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the next highest vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. 

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.


Outcome: No