Market question: 2024 July hottest on record?
Category: Other
Tags: Science, Global Temp

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for July 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2024 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes."

Note: If 2024 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2024 is provided by NASA by November 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Outcome: Yes