Market question: Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?
Category: Other
Tags: Israel, Middle East, Gaza, Iran, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome: No