Market question: Will the Palisades fire burn less than 20k acres in total?
Category: Other
Tags: Wildfire

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 20,000 acres in total. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the total number of acres the Palisades fire burnt once it is no longer active (100% contained). If the fire is still active as of December, 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT, this market will resolve based on total number of acres burnt at that point. 

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Outcome: No