Market question: Will Luigi  Mangione plead guilty?
Category: Other
Tags: Pop Culture, UnitedHealthcare, Luigi Mangione, Brian Thompson

On December 9, 2024, police detained Luigi Mangione in Altoona, Pennsylvania, in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mangione pleads guilty to any charges stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Only guilty pleas to charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. a guilty plea to charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify).

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome: No