Market question: ICC issues an arrest warrant for Yahya Sinwar?
Category: Other
Tags: Israel, hamas, Gaza, palestine

On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for leaders of Hamas and Israel.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Sinwar, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome: No