Market question: JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23?
Category: Other
Tags: covid, health, Science, virus variants, us, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the most COVID-19 cases by proportion in the United States according to CDC's Nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Nowcast Estimates in the United States for 12/23/23 as soon as released (% Total column in graph here https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions). This market will resolve based on the initial information release by the CDC regardless of later information updates. If the CDC stops reporting figures for COVID-19 or ceases to utilize the Nowcast before the end of this market, it will resolve 50-50.

Outcome: Yes