Market question: Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?
Category: Other
Tags: Wildfire, eaton, palisades, California, Weather

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 40,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. 

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.