Market question: Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?
Category: Other
Tags: Science, Hurricanes, Weather

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

Outcome: No