Market question: Will Trump get 84-86m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: turnout, Politics, USA Election, Popular Vote, Trump

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump receives between 84,000,000 (inclusive) and 86,000,000 (exclusive) votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the total number of votes  for Donald Trump in the 2024 Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered.

If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


Outcome: No