Market question: Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: USA Election, Politics, Kamala, Trump, Derivatives

This market will resolve to "Kamala" if Kamala Harris is the odds-favorite on Polymarket the day before the election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is the odds-favorite the day before the election.

The odds-favorite the day before the election will be determined by taking an average of Kamala and Trump's odds in the 12-hour period between noon (12 PM ET) and midnight (12 AM ET) on November 4, 2024. 

The average will be calculated using prices in every 10 minute interval within the 12-hour period, and averaging them once midnight has passed.

This market description will be updated with those data points and averages once they have been calculated.

The resolution source for this market is https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024, specifically the markets for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.



Outcome: Trump