Market question: Will the Constitutional Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2024 Japanese general election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Politics, Global Elections

Early general elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on 27 October 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Constitutional Democratic Party (立憲民主党, Rikken-minshutō) controls a greater number of seats in the House of Representatives of the National Diet of Japan than any other party after the results of the 2024 Japanese general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order using the English translation version of party names.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government, specifically the Central Election Management Council. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Outcome: No