Market question: Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Politics, argentina, presidential election, javier milei, election forecasting, Elections, sergio massa, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the second round of the 2023 Argentina Presidential election by a margin of more than 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by each candidate in the election. Valid votes are defined as votes cast for either Sergio Massa or Javier Milei, excluding votes that are blank, null, etc. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each candidate receives by the sum of all valid votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Milei receives 53% of the valid votes, and Massa receives 47% of the valid votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the Milei margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (Milei% - Massa% = Margin of Victory).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine).

Outcome: Yes