Market question: Will Ensemble win less than 50 seats in the French election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: france, Global Elections, election forecasting., Politics, French Election

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ensemble (Together for the Republic, Ensemble pour la République) coalition controls less than 50 seats in the National Assembly as a result of the 2024 French legislative election scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this coalition/party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition/party which comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Ensemble coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome: No