Market question: Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Derivatives, Politics, USA Election, Kamala, Trump

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 US Presidential election than Donald Trump for any continuous period of 2 hours or greater, between August 22, 2024, 12 PM ET, and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, according to Polymarket. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). 

Note that Harris's odds needs to be strictly greater than Trump's for the continuous 2 hour period for this market to resolve to "Yes."

Outcome: Yes