Market question: House control after 2024 election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Politics, Elections, 2024 election, house of representatives, us politics, USA Election, All, House Races, US Election

The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested.

This market will resolve to "Democratic" if following the 2024 U.S. House elections, the majority of voting House members are Democrats. It will resolve to "Republican" under the same conditions for Republicans.

A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.

If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the US House is selected following the 2024 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with / intends to caucus with at the time of their election to that position.

Determination of which party controls the House after the 2024 US House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2024 election results.

Outcome: Republican