Market question: Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Politics, 2024 iowa caucus, Trump, Elections, USA Election, Iowa, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest share of apportioned delegates in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".  

If Trump ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates, the popular vote will be used as a tiebreaker. Namely, if Trump ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates and has the higher final popular vote number, the market resolves to "Yes", and if Trump ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates and doesn't have the higher final popular vote number, the market resolves to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome: Yes