Market question: Will one member of The Squad lose their primary?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Politics, Elections, All, ilhan omar, aoc, ayanna pressley, jamaal bowman, rashida tlaib

"The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for leftist, progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly one listed member of The Squad loses their 2024 primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of members in The Squad are as follows:
-Greg Casar (TX-35, won his primary on March 5)
-Summer Lee (PA-12, primary on April 23)
-Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14, primary on June 25)
-Jamaal Bowman (NY-16, primary on June 25)
-Cori Bush (MO-1, primary on August 6)
-Rashida Tlaib (MI-12, primary on August 6)
-Ilhan Omar (MN-5, primary on August 13)
-Ayanna Pressley (MA-7, primary on September 3)

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if more than one squad member loses.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from each relevant state's Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome: No