Market question: Will California move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election? 
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: USA Election, Politics, US Election

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of the Republican candidate's percentage of the vote minus the Democratic candidate's percentage of the vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election in California is greater than the corresponding margin in the 2020 U.S. Presidential election. If the 2024 margin is equal to or less than the 2020 margin, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count once the state has certified its votes.

If there is a recount in this state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.



Outcome: Yes