Market question: Biden helped off stage at the debate?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Presidential Debate, Politics, USA Election, Joe Biden, Biden

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is physically helped off the stage at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, from his first appearance during the official broadcast, to when he exits the debate stage after the completion of the closing remarks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Biden is physically guided or supported, such as having a hand on his back, locked arms, or otherwise being physically helped to move or maintain balance, this market will resolve to “Yes.”

Biden holding another person's hand will not automatically result in a "Yes" resolution; however, if the hand-holding helps guide or support Biden, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The recent incident involving Obama guiding Biden off of a stage with his hand on his back would qualify for a "Yes" resolution (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wTCdeJ-6Ik). 

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.

Outcome: Yes