Market question: Will another candidate win the New Hampshire Democratic primary?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Joe Biden, Politics, democratic primary, dean phillips, marianne williamson, Elections, All

Due to disagreements between the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and the New Hampshire Democratic Party, Joe Biden did not file a Declaration of Candidacy for the New Hampshire Primary and thus will not appear on the Primary ballot. Biden's campaign is pushing for a flood of write-ins to try to win the state's Primary.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Joe Biden, Dean Phillips, or Marianne Williamson wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary. If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will also resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome: No