Market question: Will another coalition win the most seats in the French election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: france, French Election, Global Elections, Politics

French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes up the National Assembly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party/coalition other than National Rally, the New Popular Front, or Ensemble wins the most seats in the National Assembly as a result of the next French legislative election.

If voting in the next French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".

In the case of a tie between a coalition/party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the one whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/) , however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.



Outcome: No