Market question: Will another party win the most seats in European Parliament?
Category: Election
Tags: All, Global Elections, Elections

The 2024 European Parliament election is scheduled to be held from June 6-9, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the EPP, S&D, ID, Renew, or ECR controls a greater number of seats in the European Parliament than any other party after the results of the 2024 European Parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the official party affiliations at the time of the official announcement of the election results. Any changes in party affiliations by members after the official election results have been declared will not affect the outcome of this market.

In the event of a tie in the total number of seats won between a party and another party, the market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first alphabetically (i.e., ECR would finish ahead of EPP). If the results of this election aren't known by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 


Outcome: No