Market question: Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women? 
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Biden, Kamala, woman, women, female, Politics, USA Election, exit, poll, cat lady, Demographics, US Election

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. 

According to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Joe Biden received 63% of the unmarried women vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results

This market will resolve to “Yes” Kamala Harris's share of unmarried women voters is 64% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on unmarried women voters this market will resolve to 50-50. 

This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution. 

Outcome: No