Market question: Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: German Election, Politics, Die Linke

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to tale place February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Left (Die Linke) makes it into the Bundestag as a parliamentary group (Fraktion) as a result of the 2025 German Parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

Under current German parliamentary rules, this requires the party to win at least 5% of the national vote or a minimum of three direct constituency seats

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).