Market question: Trump grope video released before the election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: USA Election, Politics, Trump, october suprise, bombshell, media, hit piece, tape

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a video of Donald Trump groping a woman is made public between October 23 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying videos must be video footage showing non-consensual physical contact initiated by Trump on a woman's breast, buttocks, or crotch. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered.

The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome: No