Market question: 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Politics, 2024 presidential election, gop, election results, election, presidential election, presidential race, 2024 election, points: politics, Elections, u.s. politics, points lead. tags: 2024 presidential election, election forecasting., democrats, electoral votes: politics, electoral votes, us politics, electoral votes: tags: politics, republicans, All, Margin of Victory, US Election

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 1 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Outcome: No