Market question: Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Polling, Politics, USA Election

This market will resolve to "Harris" if  according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If the Silver Bulletin's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. 

Outcome: Harris