Market question: Will Harris win California by 25+ points?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Kamala, Politics, USA Election, Margin of Victory

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in California in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 25.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once this state has certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Outcome: No