Market question: Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Trending Markets, donald trump, Trump, USA Election, u.s. election, elections 2024, election 2024, u.s. presidential election 2024, us presidential election 2024, world affairs, Politics, american politics, u.s. politics, POTUS, Demographics, US Election

According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll).

This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution. 

Outcome: Yes