Market question: Will Trump say "trans" in his next speech?
Category: Other
Tags: Trump, Mentions, Pop Culture

A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is ten minutes (600 seconds) or greater in length. Only a live speech will qualify for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts).

If Donald Trump makes no speech by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Outcome: No