Market question: Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?
Category: Politics
Tags: Trump, Politics

On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections.

This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.

Outcome: No