Market question: Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: German Election, Politics

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins over 30% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).