Market question: Will JD Vance say "Trans" during the debate?
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Mentions, VP Debate, Politics, USA Election, Walz

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says "trans" any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts).

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Outcome: No