Market question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 30-35%
Category: Politics, Election
Tags: Trump, Politics, iowa caucus, Elections, 2024 election, election results, us elections, All

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome: No