Market question: Iran response to Israel by Friday?
Category: Politics
Tags: Israel, world news, global politics, Middle East, All, Iran

On April 1, 2024, Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 5, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e.  Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market even if explicitly claimed by the Iranian government. 

The resolution source will be official sources from the Iranian government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

Outcome: No