2015 and assume that all generation 1 development costs only apply to generation 1 volts. The reality is that generation 1 development costs should be amortized over all future product lines that incorporate voltec powertrains. Of course this is an uknowable number of product lines, and unit sales, but even reasonable assumptions (e.g. 20% of all GM vehicles by 2020)lead to profits for GM. As GM (and Bob lutz) have stated publicily that the Volt is at break even ( see Bobs Forbes article)at these sales levels (3000 a month), you are making a fairly bold statement by disagreeing with them. Especially given the huge holes in your assumptions on worldwide sales having to stay at or below 60% of the current levels and assuming that the 2014 Cadi based on the Voltec ( out next summer ) will be cancelled... come on really? and then you stop at 2015, no way really? Your assumptions are making Fox news look good, althought I did notice that you did point to the fox news story that double counts the tax incentive ( thier 10K headline includes the leasing company claming the $7500 EV tax credit as part of the lease). If you want some real numbers on this just go ask someone who leased a volt, some of them have even posted thier great deals up on http://gm-volt.com/, a Volt user forum. The best deal so far is $12,500 off, a lease deal of course where the lease company is claiming