I once read about a mathematician who worked out the statistical answer to "how long is a piece of string?" given just a tiny sample. The tolerance is massive but this can still be useful, he used this to predict that the Berlin wall would probably come down in his lifetime. Using this same method and given that there is no evidence of any alien visits to date the chances of a visit in the next million years is miniscule. Hi WB, Long time no see! Good points, there is also the other part of the "when we are" question. With the life cycle of stars likely to have life-supporting planets in the "goldilocks zone" being quite defined, any civilisation reaching the point of being able to travel to the stars (supposing they're not wiped out by asteroids, supernovae, nuclear war, disease etc first) would probably also have a fairly small window of opportunity to do so before getting bored of space travel (you know, just like international travel after several years) and finding the perfect place to settle down and evolve into pure energy DrBubb, on 06 August 2012 - 06:05 AM, said: We now know many things where we have been lied-to by the Mainstream Media. What makes you think they have been telling the truth about this important matter? Erm, because most journalists are self-serving, egotistical, career chasing, dog-eat-dog wanabees that would sell their own grandmother for a good story, and because to break a story such