get a lot more votes than they had in the past.? In Victoria, which was vacated when New Democrat MP Denise Savoie left for medical reasons, the poll suggests NDP candidate Murray Rankin was well ahead with 47 per cent of the support of the 316 voters surveyed. Green candidate Donald Galloway was in second with 20 per cent ? possibly a spillover from the riding next door where Green Party Leader Elizabeth May is her party?s only sitting MP. Liberal contestant Paul Summerville was tied with Dale Gann of the Conservatives at 16 per cent. The numbers suggest the Conservatives are down significantly from May, 2011, when they garnered 23 per cent of the vote in the riding. Mr. Bozinoff said he believes opposition to the Northern Gateway pipeline in British Columbia could be having an impact on Tory support in that province. The polls are expected to accurately reflect the views of the voting public within five percentage points in Durham and Calgary Centre and six percentage points in Victoria, 19 times in 20. Although the poll was conducted by interactive voice response and not live callers, Mr. Bozinoff says IVR proved more accurate in predicting the outcome in three out of four recent provincial elections than polls that relied on other methodologies. I wouldn't expect the Tories to be leading in either riding as big as they were in 2011, its a by-election during a majority government they always tend to favor the opposition and I will