because it is about 90% based on expectations. Voting day is not about expectations -- it's reality -- but debate success is largely based on expectations. Awesome!!! So our job in addition to volunteering is to communicate the meme of lowering expectations for the debates. You will find the Obama campaign doing exactly that for the next few weeks. This is an important aspect of 4th quarter strategy so that POTUS exceeds expectations and the momentum stays with us so that we get the borderline voter out and votes a straight DEM ticket to get the House back. That's just amazing. WTH though. This is SIGNIFICANT. Why hasn't Nate published this before NOW and why doesn't he graph this out on his blog daily? Plus I don't know why he doesn't show us what the numbers would look like using polls of cellphones and no cellphones combined. I mean it's good news but with these Obama numbers we should all be spending campaign money more wisely on the House elections one would think. What??? The Koch Bros' Americans for Prosperity pac is buying the first 150 cars at 3 Iowa towns gas for $1.84/gal as part of their "Obama's Failed Agenda" Tour. Getting desperate -- and something's wrong with this... I'm being very prolific right now. Here's the opening to yet another new piece for TPV: Slagging on Mitt Romney for his Montgomery Burns impersonation has been all fun and frolic. However, right now I want to pause and thank