not the only scenarios, just those where it's possible for Federer to finish No. 1... Federer would need some help at Paris and WTF... Federer has to efficiently win all his matches, without getting stuck in too many three setters. Federer cannot afford to lose any match." I'm being realistic, not jumping with my eyes closed the way you misrepresent it. This tennis. The ball is round. Anything can happen. I have outlined what needs to happen. I did not say it will definitely happen. If it happens, it happens. If it doesn't, nobody dies. If you understand tennis history better, you might realize that even more unexpected things have happened in the past. Just like what I predicted earlier this year has happened. Your post reminds me of the same type of limited, small-minded thinking I encountered earlier this year by other 'tennis lovers' trapped by the reverberations of their own fossilized mindsets (see link, and start with Dave's posts). My scenarios were plausible then... and they turned into reality. When you assert that that such scenarios are "virtually impossible" to happen, then not only do you not understand tennis, you simply do not understand sports and I can't take your views seriously. http://www.tennis-x.com/xblog/2012-03-03/8986.php A lot can happen before the YECfor Fed to lose. And, by the same token, a lot can happen for him to win. Fed enjoys proving his detractors wrong, so it's possible that his steely determination will prevail. This thread has now turned away from