Mediterranean Sea Chlorophyll-a trend map from Observations Reprocessing

'''DEFINITION'''

This product includes the Mediterranean Sea satellite chlorophyll trend map based on regional chlorophyll reprocessed (MY) product as distributed by CMEMS OC-TAC (OCEANCOLOUR_MED_BGC_L3_NRT_009_141). This dataset, derived from multi-sensor (SeaStar-SeaWiFS, AQUA-MODIS, NOAA20-VIIRS, NPP-VIIRS, Envisat-MERIS and Sentinel3-OLCI) (at 1 km resolution) Rrs spectra produced by CNR using an in-house processing chain, is obtained by means of the Mediterranean Ocean Colour regional algorithms: an updated version of the MedOC4 (Case 1 (off-shore) waters, Volpe et al., 2019, with new coefficients) and AD4 (Case 2 (coastal) waters, Berthon and Zibordi, 2004). The processing chain and the techniques used for algorithms merging are detailed in Colella et al. (2023). 
The trend map is obtained by applying Colella et al. (2016) methodology, where the Mann-Kendall test (Mann, 1945; Kendall, 1975) and Sens’s method (Sen, 1968) are applied on deseasonalized monthly time series, as obtained from the X-11 technique (see e. g. Pezzulli et al. 2005), to estimate, trend magnitude and its significance. The trend is expressed in % per year that represents the relative changes (i.e., percentage) corresponding to the dimensional trend [mg m-3 y-1] with respect to the reference climatology (1997-2014). Only significant trends (p < 0.05) are included. This OMI has been introduced since the 2nd issue of Ocean State Report in 2017.

'''CONTEXT'''

Phytoplankton are key actors in the carbon cycle and, as such, recognised as an Essential Climate Variable (ECV). Chlorophyll concentration - as a proxy for phytoplankton - respond rapidly to changes in environmental conditions, such as light, temperature, nutrients and mixing (Colella et al. 2016). The character of the response depends on the nature of the change drivers, and ranges from seasonal cycles to decadal oscillations (Basterretxea et al. 2018). The Mediterranean Sea is an oligotrophic basin, where chlorophyll concentration decreases following a specific gradient from West to East (Colella et al. 2016). The highest concentrations are observed in coastal areas and at the river mouths, where the anthropogenic pressure and nutrient loads impact on the eutrophication regimes (Colella et al. 2016). The the use of long-term time series of consistent, well-calibrated, climate-quality data record is crucial for detecting eutrophication. Furthermore, chlorophyll analysis also demands the use of robust statistical temporal decomposition techniques, in order to separate the long-term signal from the seasonal component of the time series.

'''KEY FINDINGS'''

The chlorophyll trend in the Mediterranean Sea for the 1997–2024 period confirms the findings of the previous release, with predominantly negative values observed across most of the basin. On average, the region shows a trend of approximately -0.77% per year, slightly more negative than the overall trend reported previously. As in earlier assessments, weak positive trends persist in specific areas such as the northern Aegean Sea and the Sicily Channel. Compared to the 1997–2023 period, new positive trends are now evident in the Gulf of Lion.
In contrast to the findings of Salgado-Hernanz et al. (2019), which were based on satellite observations from 1998 to 2014, this analysis does not reveal a distinct difference between the western and eastern Mediterranean basins. Notably, the Ligurian Sea now exhibits a negative trend, diverging from the positive trends identified by Colella et al. (2016) for the 1998–2009 period and by Salgado-Hernanz et al. (2019) for 1998–2014. Similarly, the waters of the Northern Adriatic Sea show weak positive trends, differing from the strong negative trend previously reported by Colella et al. (2016), and also representing a shift from the positive values observed by Salgado-Hernanz et al. (2019).

'''DOI (product):''' 
https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00260