Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
High pressure will follow for this afternoon into early this week. This rain was associated with the wave of low pressure and upper level disturbance moving NE through GA/SC into far SE NC. High pressure to the north will bring a clear to partly cloudy (SE) night with lows in the mid 30s to around 40. High pressure will build directly overhead Monday before moving offshore. A reinforcing high pressure over the Midwest will build back into the region late Monday night.
We'll remain precipitation free across most of the area today with high temperatures in the low to mid 60s.
An attendant cold front looks to swing across northern Michigan Sunday night/early Monday morning. Precip chances will diminish by late morning/early afternoon south of the bridge and linger into tonight across the eastern U. A trough moving by well to our north will knock down heights/bring in cooler air aloft Monday which will put a temporary pause on the well advertised warmup (don't worry it's still on the way).
Cooler temperatures and precipitation return sometime over the second half of the week.
309 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 A cold front swept into the region late last evening. Strong zonal flow aloft will prevail over the region today with with some modest low amplitude ridging taking place tonight into Monday.
349 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 Dry and warming conditions are expected to end the weekend as heights rise under a building ridge to our south.
635 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 Aviation -- Dry and Becoming a Little Warmer -- Virga is occurring early this morning with clouds and lift around 700 mb / 10,000 feet and dry air beneath. Another wave of virga is expected over central Michigan this evening with the mid-level trough passing through. Another breezy day on Monday but a little warmer with highs climbing into the mid 50s.
944 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will dominate through Monday.
617 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 MORNING UPDATE: The High Wind Warning for southwest Phillips was allowed to be cancelled early due to a consistent decrease in winds over the last couple hours. -Zanker MORNING DISCUSSION: Today: A chinook cold frontal passage overnight will continue to influence the area with gusty winds today. The High Wind Warning will remain in place there for now, but a gradual decline in intensity is likely within the next several hours.
354 AM CST Sun Nov 12 2023 KEY MESSAGES: - Warmer than normal temperatures and very little chances for precip through this week. By midweek, upper flow will become more zonal and allow occasional dry cold fronts to move through for the rest of the forecast period.
557 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 (Today through Monday) Overall a relatively quiet end to the weekend is expected as high pressure remains the dominant influence across South Florida. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s today and Monday with peak heat index values in the lower 90s.
413 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will be building across our CWA today leaving plenty of sunshine and light winds in place to close out the weekend. Have backed of high temperatures just a bit today as a result in some of the valleys but mid elevation locations should see a good jump up in temperatures as warmer air arrives aloft. A strong system dropping through the EPac will push the ridge axis to the East on Monday turning wind aloft to the Southwest. Deep southwest flow remains in place across eastern Utah and western Colorado through mid to late week as a strong cut-off low spins off the West Coast.
337 AM CST Sun Nov 12 2023 KEY MESSAGES: - Warmer than normal temperatures and very little chances for precip through this week. By midweek, upper flow will become more zonal and allow occasional dry cold fronts to move through for the rest of the forecast period.
A frontal boundary will push through the area overnight as high pressure to the north builds in, tightening the pressure gradient across the area and increasing winds.
High pressure will follow for this afternoon into early this week. The highest rain totals were observed across southern portions of Richmond, Scotland, Hoke, Cumberland and Sampson counties, with a 0. Highs today are favored to reach the upper 50s to lower 60s, with some cooler mid 50s possible in the SE where cloud cover will hang on the longest. High pressure will build directly overhead Monday before moving offshore. A reinforcing high pressure over the Midwest will build back into the region late Monday night.
- Warmer than average weather is expected through this coming week.
455 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will build in from the west today, crest over the area tonight, then exit across the Maritimes Monday.
640 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 (Today and tonight) The current low cloud deck over the region should gradually lift throughout the near term as relatively drier air begins to intrude at the low to mid-levels. This will transition us to a brief dry period as some weak mid-level ridging moves across the region. Expect daytime highs generally in the 60s across SE Alabama and SW Georgia and in the low to mid 70s across the FL Panhandle and Big Bend. SE AL will generally be in the low 50s, SW GA will vary from the upper 40s to mid 50s, and FL counties will range from the mid to upper 50s, perhaps near 60 for the eastern Big Bend.
--------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Message: - Dry --------------------------------------------------------------------- A strong ridge of high pressure from Quebec through the Ohio Valley to Texas will provide the region with a quiet weather day. Winds will be very light today thanks to that ridge overhead, but afternoon dew points in the upper 20s and lower 30s with high temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s will lead to dew point depressions on the order of thirty degrees, fostering drying of surface vegetation and leaf litter. Low temperatures will generally be in the lower and middle 30s, with the usual caveat of cooler readings in low-lying rural locations.
Deep layer flow will remain southwesterly leading to continued overrunning of the surface boundary but subsidence from the ridging should suppress rain chances. Lows will remain in the mid to upper 50s given the cooler air moving in.
711 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure builds into the area through tonight, sliding offshore on Monday. A cold frontal passage Monday night will give way to high pressure through the middle of the week.
503 AM CST Sun Nov 12 2023 KEY MESSAGES: - Warmer than normal temperatures and very little chances for precip through this week. By midweek, upper flow will become more zonal and allow occasional dry cold fronts to move through for the rest of the forecast period.
The lower level dry air will maintain dry conditions with a noticeable virga signal that can be seen on radar this morning. Return flow around the exiting high pressure will see southeast winds turn southerly this afternoon and then southwest for tonight.
923 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will remain in place across the region through mid week, leading to dry and mild conditions. Mid level ridging building over the Plains will begin to push slowly east tonight into Monday with west to northwest flow continuing aloft across the Ohio Valley. Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 30s with highs on Monday in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
553 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure builds into the area through tonight, sliding offshore on Monday. A cold frontal passage Monday night will give way to high pressure through the middle of the week.
After that, high pressure builds in from the northeast and provides a dry airmass to at least the northern half of the area on Monday. With a little bit more sun on Monday, especially the north, temperatures will be a little warmer.
The tropical moisture could induce brief showers in the Lower Keys and surrounding waters over the next several hours. Temperatures in the lower 80s cover the Florida Keys and dew points in the lower 70s. The temperature, dew point, and RH values will likely cause heat indices to briefly climb to the low 100s this afternoon, with daytime temperatures in the mid 80s.
947 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure builds towards the region today providing fair weather into Monday.
Today through Monday Night: Satellite shows a big trough moving out of the Gulf of Alaska.
349 AM CST Sun Nov 12 2023 - Warmer than average weather is expected through this coming week.
729 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure builds towards the region today providing fair weather into Monday.
406 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 Dry and warming conditions are expected to end the weekend as heights rise under a building ridge to our south.
(Today through Monday) Surface analysis shows a wedge in place across much of northern GA with a weak low pressure center off the east coast of Florida. The low center will continue to push off to the east, lessening the influence of the wedge in place. High pressure will build in from the north, allowing clearing skies and drier conditions to settle over much of Georgia later today into Monday.
608 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will remain in place across the region through mid week, leading to dry and mild conditions. Mid level ridging building over the Plains will begin to push slowly east tonight into Monday with west to northwest flow continuing aloft across the Ohio Valley. Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 30s with highs on Monday in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Moderate east to southeast breezes promoted by high pressure out in the western North Atlantic continue to be recorded by our offshore marine observation platforms. Dewpoints will continue to float around the lower to mid 70s with forecast high temperatures in the mid 80s. Breezes will shift to be out of the northeast to east today as the Atlantic ridge weakens and recedes east allowing the high pressure building along the Eastern Seaboard to take control. Things start to get a little more interesting Monday night as areas of low pressure form on the northern Gulf coast and western Caribbean south of stacked ridging across the eastern US. This combined with being east of deep layer troughing where rising motion is favorable will enhance PoPs and introduce thunder for the middle part of the week.
753 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A wedge of high pressure builds in today and Monday. High pressure moving out of the central Plains will keep things dry and within a few degrees of normal temperature-wise through most of the week.
Mild weather will continue until a potentially wetter and cooler pattern develops toward the end of the work week. High pressure aloft will only shift slightly east over the next several days, allowing for improved vertical mixing and continued above normal temperatures. Model runs had been advertising a robust sub-tropical tap and an active precipitation pattern both ahead of this low and when the low moves onshore, this now looks like a low confidence solution.
511 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will keep dry weather and seasonable temperatures through the most of the week.
At the surface a ridge axis extends NE to SW from northern AR into south central OK, with secondary high over west TX.
918 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will build in from the west today, crest over the area tonight, then exit across the Maritimes Monday.
updated (Today through Monday) Key Messages: - Marginal risk of Excessive Rainfall today and tonight - Minor Coastal Flooding possible today and Monday - Small Craft Advisory and Gale Watch in effect today and Monday A mid-level trough will continue its approach toward west Texas today through Monday night. Temperatures will remain cool today through Monday with highs in the low to mid 60s and lows in the mid to upper 50s.
Tomorrow looks slightly warmer than today as weak upper ridging builds northward from the Gulf Coast, with lows similar to this morning but highs well into the 60s and even low 70s.
628 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 Key Messages: *Dry and warm weather rolls on through the period *Relative humidity values drop to around 25 to 30 percent Monday afternoon The latest surface analysis shows high pressure remains parked off to the north near the Ontario and Quebec borders in Canada. This high pressure will lead to weak northeast flow at the surface on Sunday. This will lead to at least a few degree splits, with valleys dropping into the low to mid 30s and mid to upper 30s on the ridges. On Monday, broad high pressure will be in place across the Ohio Valley, and some subtle height rises will be noted in the mid- levels.
145 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A weak and dry cold front will move through the area Monday night. Otherwise, high pressure will remain in control through mid week. Afternoon temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s across interior sections where sunshine is abundant, with some cooler mid 50s possible in the SE where cloud cover will hang on the longest. High pressure will build directly overhead Monday before moving offshore. A reinforcing high pressure over the Midwest will build back into the region late Monday night.
(This evening through Monday) Starting tonight, the NAM, GFS, and ECMWF all indicate a low pressure system (minor disturbance aloft) moving into Texas. Areas along the I-10 corridor appear to have the highest chances for rain and also the higher rainfall totals (around half an inch). Lows will be in the lower 50s Monday morning.
(This afternoon through Monday) Through the remainder of the weekend, the high pressure remains the dominant influence across South Florida. An increase in widespread cloud coverage will keep daytime temperatures slightly cooler and a mild day ahead. Peak highs will be in the low to mid 80s.
302 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will dominate through Monday.
Luckily, dew points are in the lower to mid 70s today as opposed to yesterdays dew points, which were in the mid to upper 70s. These synoptic features include a low that is forecast to develop in the northwestern Gulf, an area of low pressure in the southwestern Caribbean Sea, and an expansive high across the eastern United States. As the low transits eastward through the first half of the week, the ribbon of dry air currently over our area will quickly be replaced by deep tropical moisture that will be pulled northward.
1252 PM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure is directly overhead with little movement aloft. Backed off on high temperatures as per previous shift, keeping it on the cooler side of guidance. This high pressure is transitory and will not be overhead for long as a low pressure trough pushes towards the west coast, allowing southwest flow to develop on Monday. With a deep cutoff low positioned off the West Coast and general ridging over the middle of the country, flow over the Four Corners region will continue to be southwesterly through much of the coming week.
112 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A wedge of high pressure builds in tonight and Monday. High pressure moving out of the central Plains will keep things dry and within a few degrees of normal temperature-wise through most of the week.
Just as daytime temperatures were warmer today. An upper level low over Baja California this morning will advance eastward into the southern Plains causing rising heights and warming temperatures over the forecast area as a weak ridge builds ahead of the disturbance.
A dirty ridge with its southwest flow fluxing with upper level moisture remains in place and will allow for generally cloud skies today over the entire forecast area. Some thinning of this cloud cover may take place at times further to the south as the ridge shows slight amplification with the approach of another weak storm system expected to pass through Monday. /Pelatti 18Z TAFs: Overcast skies brought about by dense middle and high clouds streaming through the southwest flow on the west side of an upper level ridge will prevail over the aviation area.
1048 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 - Decreasing winds over the higher mountains today. Both today's highs and tonight's lows should be a couple degrees warmer, in line with the current forecast. A ridge pattern aloft prevail across northeastern Colorado Monday.
(This evening through Monday) The remnants of an UL trough which was situated over the desert southwest yesterday will move into the south-central CONUS in an area that can be otherwise be categorized as broad ridging. Low cloudiness should slowly dissipate later in the morning though mid-level cloudiness should persist resulting in slightly cooler temps on Monday.
245 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A weak and dry cold front will move through the area Monday night. Otherwise, high pressure will remain in control through mid week. Afternoon temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s across interior sections where sunshine is abundant, with some cooler mid 50s possible in the SE where cloud cover will hang on the longest. At the surface, high pressure over the central/southern Appalachians and NC/VA will slowly weaken and retreat offshore. It will be replaced by a reinforcing shot of cool high pressure digging into the lower OH valley Mon night. This high pressure to our northwest will aid a cold front to move through late Mon night into early Tue. Look for lows to be below normal in the mid to upper 30s, except some low 30s in the typical cooler spots.
A warm front continues to slowly trek north across the forecast area this afternoon with lingering isentropically driven shower activity following suit to the north as well. Trailing moisture-starved cold front is expected to cross west to east tonight with little fanfare. Some low precip chances do re-enter the forecast later this afternoon and evening ahead of that aforementioned cold front.
300 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 The frontal boundary will linger across the area as high pressure builds into the north, bringing gusty winds for the next few days.
1208 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will keep dry weather and seasonable temperatures through the most of the week.
200 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A weak and dry cold front will move through the area Monday night. Otherwise, high pressure will remain in control through mid week. Afternoon temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s across interior sections where sunshine is abundant, with some cooler mid 50s possible in the SE where cloud cover will hang on the longest. At the surface, high pressure over the central/southern Appalachians and NC/VA will slowly weaken and retreat offshore. It will be replaced by a reinforcing shot of cool high pressure digging into the lower OH valley Mon night. This high pressure to our northwest will aid a cold front to move through late Mon night into early Tue. Look for lows to be below normal in the mid to upper 30s, except some low 30s in the typical cooler spots.
KEY MESSAGES: - Warmer than normal temperatures and very little chances for precip through this week. By midweek, upper flow will become more zonal and allow occasional dry cold fronts to move through for the rest of the forecast period.
1234 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A wedge of high pressure builds in tonight and Monday. High pressure moving out of the central Plains will keep things dry and within a few degrees of normal temperature-wise through most of the week.
231 PM CST Sun Nov 12 2023 Key Messages: -Gusty conditions across the area as a trough builds ushering in warm air advection. Potential for a few areas to reach the lower 60s closer to the SD border. Potential is there (40%) for a few locations near the SD border to reach the lower 60s later this afternoon. Winds turn toward the south tomorrow as a ridge builds into the region. Temperatures warm into the 50s once again, with a chance for a few locations to reach the lower 60s near the SD border.
1247 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure builds into the area through tonight, sliding offshore on Monday. A cold frontal passage Monday night will give way to high pressure through the middle of the week.
Otherwise pretty quiet overnight, with temperature dropping into the low 30s across the north and mid to upper 30s across the south.
The development of an upper low pressure center near New Mexico will bring upper level ascent as well as low level cold air advection, keeping cloud cover locked in and "cooler" temperatures. Otherwise, expect light north winds to persist at the surface and an upper-level low pressure system to begin taking shape to our west across Texas heading into tomorrow. /NF/ Hi-res guidance continues to show a low pressure system near the TX Gulf Coast around Monday afternoon.
The low level jet shifts east late tonight into Monday morning as a front currently over the eastern Dakotas moves through. Monday night will be a little cooler than tonight with lows in the low to mid 30s.
Mostly sunny skies can be expected through the afternoon, with higs in the lower to mid 60s. Upper level trough axis will pass quietly across the Ohio River valley region north of us today, while clearing skies give way to a dry November day.
101 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2023 A wedge of high pressure builds in tonight and Monday. High pressure moving out of the central Plains will keep things dry and within a few degrees of normal temperature-wise through most of the week.
High temperatures were bumped up since there is a warming ridge a loft, using the 90th percentile of the NBM.
Mild and dry weather will continue until a pattern change brings cooler and wetter conditions toward the end of the week. Continued high pressure over the southern tier of the United States will facilitate more beautiful weather over Arizona. The impetus for this pattern change is the development of a cutoff low pressure system off the California coast.
Tomorrow will be a transition day as the ridge gets replaced by mid/upper level troughing. This will result in cooler temperatures ranging from the upper 50s along the immediate coast to 60s inland.
As a result, precip has ended and the low cloud deck is beginning to lift/scatter from north to south. Overnight low temperatures will generally be in the lower 40s to around 50 degrees. The overnight period and tomorrow (Monday) will bring a synoptic scale pattern change as an upper-level ridge develops over the Southern Plains, promoting subsidence and high pressure downstream across the Southeast.
Above average temperatures will continue to be in place as high pressure remains over the area. Analysis and Discussion: High pressure has shifted to the east of the region and as a result, warmer temperatures and clear skies are in place. Monday continues to feature much of the same as high pressure continues to be in place. This will allow temperatures to climb into the low to mid-60s across the CWA.
1014 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 High pressure will be building across our CWA today leaving plenty of sunshine and light winds in place to close out the weekend. Have backed of high temperatures just a bit today as a result in some of the valleys but mid elevation locations should see a good jump up in temperatures as warmer air arrives aloft. A strong system dropping through the EPac will push the ridge axis to the East on Monday turning wind aloft to the Southwest. Deep southwest flow remains in place across eastern Utah and western Colorado through mid to late week as a strong cut-off low spins off the West Coast.
1034 AM CST Sun Nov 12 2023 (The rest of today ) A pleasant fall day is underway across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas as high pressure prevails.
As a whole, we can still expect rain chances to increase along and south of I-20 beginning tonight as that low pressure moves into the region. However, as the low pressure meanders along its' path, it has once again taken a southward trend.
1031 AM MST Sun Nov 12 2023 Key messages: 1) Dry and mild again today Detailed discussion: Weak westerly upper flow will continue across srn Colorado today, then ridge builds slightly this evening and overnight with flow turning more swly by Monday morning.