Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AND EVEN DRIFT BACK NORTHWARD. LIGHT SLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME NWLY AT 5-10 KTS AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THE WATER VAPOR IS SHOWING SOME DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE YUCATAN AROUND AND UPPER LOW WHICH IS HEADED TO THE NW AND WILL MEET UP WITH THE COLD FRONT WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER OVERRUNNING THE FRONT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BUT WITH MUCH MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE IN THE I-30 CORRIDOR AS THIS MORNINGS FRONT HAS EASED ON BY MORE OR LESS.
UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CANADIAN PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SWING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REACH THE 50S MOST AREAS WITH COOLER READINGS IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA WHERE CLOUDS WILL THICKEN EARLIER. HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA EARLY SATURDAY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM REBOUNDING TOO QUICKLY. BUT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON SUGGESTS HIGHS REACHING AT LEAST THE LOW TO MID 50S LOOK REASONABLE.
817 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 77 62 67 47 / 60 90 90 20 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 76 61 63 42 / 40 90 90 10 OAK RIDGE, TN 76 60 62 41 / 60 90 80 10 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 76 59 63 38 / 40 90 80 10.
523 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015 Expansive ridging building in behind last night's cold front has brought rapid clearing to the region, with mostly clear skies expected most of the day today across the region. Northwesterly winds will keep temperatures about 10 to 14 degrees cooler than yesterday, but still right around average for early November with highs in the upper 50s. The passage of a weakening upper-level trough axis will bring an increase in clouds overnight along with the possibility of a few light rain showers or sprinkles, mainly across far northern Missouri.
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. /ISSUED / COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
Temperatures have warmed above freezing, and are on track to reach into the 60s and 70s area-wide this afternoon. /issued 253 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015/ With cool and dry air over the area will continue the Freeze Warning this morning for northern Lea county New Mexico as temperatures are already below freezing and will continue for the next several hours.
507 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOLER.
HOWEVER IT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS MOISTURE WILL BE CONVERGING ALONG A COLD FRONT BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTORMS TO NORTH GA THIS AFTERNOON. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT BECOMES PARALLEL WITH THE UPPER FLOW. 17 THE GFS/ECMWF MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION OF THE COLD FRONT IN SOUTHEAST GA ON SATURDAY NIGHT.
WITH THE COOL CLOUD TOPS ALONG THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO TEXAS. CLOUDS SHOULD START TO BREAK UP LATE TONIGHT AS H500MB HEIGHT RISES PROMOTES WEAK SUBSIDENCE AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION. ALONG WITH A WARMING TEMPERATURE TREND AS RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF A DEEPENING TROUGH.
LEADING TO THE ONE OF THE COOLER NIGHTS OF THE SEASON THUS FAR. HAD A TENDENCY TO FAVOR THE WARMER RAW GUIDANCE READINGS AS OPPOSED TO MOS TYPE VALUES.
728 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
856 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015 LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS EXITED THE REGION TO THE EAST IS NOW USHERING IN DRIER AIR AND CONTINUED COOLER TEMPERATURES.
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THIS CYCLE WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT. COLD FRONT IS FORECASTED TO SLOWLY SAG INTO THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. BY SUNRISE SATURDAY THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE STRETCHED FROM JUST OFF THE COAST OF SE TX AND EASTWARD ACROSS LOWER ACADIANA. ALSO FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE SOUTH WITH A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR DURING THE AFTERNOON. A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN AS THIS OCCURS ENDING RAIN CHANCES DURING THE NIGHT.
652 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 AVIATION A COLD FRONT WAS CROSSING THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL TAKE THE RAIN WITH IT. THE FRONT WILL ALSO BRING COOLER AND BREEZY WEATHER.
Deep-layer ridging will continue over the forecast area today continuing the unseasonably warm and humid pattern we have seen since late last month.
CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS AND LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S.
844 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOLER.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. BRINGING AN END TO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE TRAVERSES THE AREA. WITH A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL ACROSS THE AREA. LOWS OVER THE WEEKEND ARE LIKELY TO BE AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.
WHILE A FEW VALLEY LOCATIONS MAY ACTUALLY BE COOLER ON SATURDAY THAN TODAY.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE EAST. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN BY THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE LOW 20S OVERNIGHT.
SHORT TERM: (Through Late This Afternoon) Cold front moving through STL metro area as of 08z Friday with winds veering to the west to northwest behind the boundary.
/ISSUED 521 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015/ COLD FRONT IS SITUATED JUST WEST OF THE OHIO & MISSISSIPPI RIVERS THIS HOUR, WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE EAST. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN BY THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE LOW 20S OVERNIGHT.
934 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY AND DRIVE TEMPERATURES BACK TO SEASONAL LEVELS FOR THE WEEKEND.
However, it will be notably cooler than yesterday as a cold front will have passed through the region overnight. Still, these cooler temperatures will be much closer to normal for early November than we have seen the past few days.
930 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MILD AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SATURDAY WILL SEE MORE CLOUDS AND CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS PLAGUED THE REGION OVER THE LAST WEEK WILL PERSIST WITH A FEW CLOUDS HERE AND THERE. BUT ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY SPARSE GIVEN LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENT AIRMASS WITH THE RIDGE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS LESS THAN 3 FEET.
545 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015 BROAD RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH UPPER HIGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. BROAD TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL CONUS WITH RIDGE OFF THE PACIFIC COAST. INCREASING CLOUDS THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 20S WITH SOME TEENS OVER SHERIDAN COUNTY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRANSLATE QUICKLY WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS WEEKEND.
230 AM PST FRI NOV 6 2015 OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY CANYON WINDS.
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 77 62 67 47 / 60 90 90 20 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 76 61 63 42 / 60 90 90 10 OAK RIDGE, TN 76 60 62 41 / 70 90 80 10 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 76 59 63 38 / 40 90 80 10.
1034 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 MARINE A COLD FRONT WAS CROSSING THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL TAKE THE RAIN WITH IT. THE FRONT WILL ALSO BRING COOLER AND BREEZY WEATHER.
LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS EXITED THE REGION TO THE EAST IS NOW USHERING IN DRIER AIR AND CONTINUED COOLER TEMPERATURES.
933 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
547 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY. COOLER AIR WILL SPILL IN BEHIND THE FRONT. STILL THINK LIGHTNING WILL BE HARD TO COME BY LATER ONCE PREFRONTAL RAIN STABILIZES THE LOW LEVELS. BUT COOLER NW FLOW AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY INDUCE SOME LOWER CLOUD DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT.
SECONDARY UPPER WAVE DIVING SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS MORNING AS MAIN UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. MIN TEMPS HAVE DROPPED BELOW FREEZING AT LEAST BRIEFLY OVER MOST OF THE CURRENT FREEZE WARNING AREA. WITH TROUGH SINKING SLOWING INTO NM THIS EVENING. BUT SUSPECT A FEW CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS TODAY SHOULD RUN NEAR TO A FEW DEGF COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. SUSPECT A LONG AWAITED HARD FREEZE WILL FINALLY END THE GROWING SEASON OVER ALMOST ALL OF THE PLAINS AS MINS FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S AT MOST LOCATIONS.
644 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS.
/ISSUED 411 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015/ A COLD FRONT IS RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE MIDSOUTH. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOW ITS PROGRESS DURING THE DAY TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE PARALLEL TO IT.
THE WATER VAPOR IS SHOWING SOME DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE YUCATAN AROUND AND UPPER LOW WHICH IS HEADED TO THE NW AND WILL MEET UP WITH THE COLD FRONT WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER OVERRUNNING THE FRONT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BUT WITH MUCH MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE IN THE I-30 CORRIDOR AS THIS MORNINGS FRONT HAS EASED ON BY MORE OR LESS.
556 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015 SHRA/ISOLD TSRA WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE SE. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFTING COUPLED WITH THE MEAGER BUT APPRECIABLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT OF THE LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.
426 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015 SNOW HAS BEEN ONGOING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES PUSHES SOUTHEAST INTO THE STATE. WITH THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING AND GOOD UPWARD QG VERTICAL MOTION. AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OVERHEAD LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PERHAPS A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER IN THE COOL NORTHWEST FLOW.
Snow that fell last night across the lower elevations seemed to only accumulate on grassy/cooler surfaces, with little sticking to valley road surfaces. That being said, temperatures fell below freezing across central ID and western MT, which may result in surprisingly slick travel conditions this morning. Winter weather advisories that were initially issued for snow accumulations were transitioned to cover impacts from roads refreezing and any resultant difficult morning commutes. Since most of the impactful weather happened overnight, there will not be much other weather to speak of the rest of the day as high pressure rebuilds over the Northern Rockies.
442 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015 COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
919 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 AVIATION SECTION UPDATED A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. BRINGING AN END TO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE TRAVERSES THE AREA. WITH A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL ACROSS THE AREA. LOWS OVER THE WEEKEND ARE LIKELY TO BE AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.
A DRY TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA BRINING A REINFORCING PUSH OF COOL TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OVER THE STATE BRINGING DRY AND GRADUALLY WARMER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND.
COLD FRONT IS SITUATED JUST WEST OF THE OHIO & MISSISSIPPI RIVERS THIS HOUR, WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL SHIFT INLAND TODAY OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. EXPECT SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE IDAHO SATURDAY MORNING AND A STRONG GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND BLUE MOUNTAINS IN NORTHEAST OREGON. AHEAD OF A STRONG TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.
RAIN AND COLD FRONT HAVE PUSHED EAST OF THE DVN CWA TOWARD EASTERN ILLINOIS. COOLER TODAY BUT MORE SEASONAL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S. LOWS ARE FORECAST IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S WITH LIGHT WINDS AS 850MB HIGH BEGINS TO NUDGE INTO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
320 AM PST FRI NOV 6 2015 MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A SLIGHT WARMING TREND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING SWITCHING THE WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST. SOME CIRRUS IS SEEN IN IR SATELLITE LOOP ASSOCIATED WITH GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING MEAN WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH. OTHERWISE CLEAR SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION ALLOWING FOR EXCELLENT RADIATIVE COOLING CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO OR JUST BELOW FREEZING FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS SEASON AT SOME LOCATIONS. WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TROUGH PUSHING QUICKLY EAST INTO THE ROCKIES. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY INITIALLY BE A WEAK SURFACE RESPONSE IN THE FORM OF A LEE TROUGH OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES THIS AFTERNOON. THE COOL SURGE WITH THIS SECOND TROUGH PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
AND SATURDAY A COLD FRONT BROUGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE AROUND 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY IN MOST AREAS. AN UPPER TROUGH PASSING BY TO OUR NORTH AND WEST NORTHWEST WINDS BLOWING OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL PRODUCE CLOUDS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN TONIGHT BUT THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SHOULD CLEAR OUT. A STEADY BREEZE WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING AS MUCH AS THEY OTHERWISE WOULD BUT EVEN SO MOST PLACES WILL GET DOWN TO FREEZING OR COLDER. 850 MB TEMPERATURES OF -5 TO -8C SHOULD PRODUCE HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S IN MOST PLACES.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL SHIFT INLAND TODAY OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. EXPECT SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS IDAHO SATURDAY MORNING AND A STRONG GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND BLUE MOUNTAINS IN NORTHEAST OREGON. AHEAD OF A STRONG TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.
731 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY AND DRIVE TEMPERATURES BACK TO SEASONAL LEVELS FOR THE WEEKEND.
643 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE LOWER 70S LATER THIS MORNING. LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. BUT AS THE HIGH BECOME MORE ENTRENCHED SATURDAY NIGHT SKIES SHOULD GO CLEAR.
1001 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. BROAD TROF OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION WITH S/W PIVOTING NE THRU THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE LOWER 70S LATER THIS MORNING. LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. BUT AS THE HIGH BECOME MORE ENTRENCHED SATURDAY NIGHT SKIES SHOULD GO CLEAR.
RIDGING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BRING PLEASANT WEATHER TO CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL MAKE TODAY A VERY NICE FALL DAY WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND AGAIN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
AS SOIL TEMPS ARE STILL ABOVE FREEZING. IT WILL BE DRY ONCE AGAIN WITH TEMPS A BIT WARMER THAN FRI NIGHT.
958 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015 Cold front has now cleared the far southeast CWA and temperatures there are falling through the 50s. However, it will be notably cooler than yesterday as a cold front will have passed through the region overnight. Still, these cooler temperatures will be much closer to normal for early November than we have seen the past few days.
358 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015 SECONDARY UPPER WAVE DIVING SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS MORNING AS MAIN UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. MIN TEMPS HAVE DROPPED BELOW FREEZING AT LEAST BRIEFLY OVER MOST OF THE CURRENT FREEZE WARNING AREA. WITH TROUGH SINKING SLOWING INTO NM THIS EVENING. BUT SUSPECT A FEW CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS TODAY SHOULD RUN NEAR TO A FEW DEGF COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. SUSPECT A LONG AWAITED HARD FREEZE WILL FINALLY END THE GROWING SEASON OVER ALMOST ALL OF THE PLAINS AS MINS FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S AT MOST LOCATIONS.
MAINLY AN ENE/ESE SURFACE WIND FLOW AROUND 10 MPH AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING REMAINS NORTH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA THESE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXCEPT SOME NORMALLY COOLER LOCATIONS WHICH MAY REALIZE U60S LATE OVERNIGHT. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS NORTH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH AN ONSHORE WIND COMPONENT CONTINUING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A cooler and much drier airmass was spreading into southern Missouri behind a frontal system. This air will bring cooler temperatures to the area through the weekend.
304 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015 SNOW HAS BEEN ONGOING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES PUSHES SOUTHEAST INTO THE STATE. WITH THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING AND GOOD UPWARD QG VERTICAL MOTION. AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OVERHEAD LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PERHAPS A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER IN THE COOL NORTHWEST FLOW.
SUSPECT 90 PERCENT OF ANY ONGOING PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE DISSIPATING BY DAYBREAK SO A DRY FORECAST FOR TODAY FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS LOOKS GOOD WITH THE MOUNTAINS DRYING OUT BY THIS AFTERNOON. ABNORMALLY STRONG NORTHERLY JET STREAM BEHIND THIS WAVE IS STEERED QUICKLY TO THE WEST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A VERY ENERGETIC FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC FORCES A WEAKENING RIDGE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
EARLY MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM CENTRAL IL TO NORTHERN TX.
The combination of low level dry air and upper level short wave ridging will bring mainly dry conditions to the area. Temperatures will be cooler than yesterday with highs in the 70s. The highest Pops(likely) will be across the southeast part of the area.
411 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015 A COLD FRONT IS RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE MIDSOUTH. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOW ITS PROGRESS DURING THE DAY TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE PARALLEL TO IT.
DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY WORK INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE IN WACO OVERNIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WHEN A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. AS THE COLD FRONT PROVIDING FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT PUSHES SLOWLY SOUTH OF THE REGION. THE HIGHEST POPS WILL REMAIN OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS. THE COLD FRONT WILL RECEIVE A SECOND PUSH TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW.
/issued 253 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015/ With cool and dry air over the area will continue the Freeze Warning this morning for northern Lea county New Mexico as temperatures are already below freezing and will continue for the next several hours.
IT WILL BE DRY ONCE AGAIN WITH TEMPS A BIT WARMER THAN FRI NIGHT.
WARM FRONTAL SHOWERS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT, WHILE THE SURFACE CYCLONE PULLS FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO LOWER ONTARIO.
SFC ANALYSIS HAS COLD FRONT RIGHT AT KCLL TO KDKR AT 17Z. COLD FRONT IS RATHER WEAK BUT WILL BE HOLDING ONTO CEILINGS AROUND 2000-3000 FEET FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.
WHILE WE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STABLE OVER LAND, A FEW STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WARMER GULF STREAM WATERS AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA.
357 PM CDT WED APR 6 2016 THE COLD FRONT THAT RACED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LAST NIGHT WAS FINALLY LOSING MOMENTUM ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHLY-TILTED UPPER RIDGING WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM WEST-SOUTHWEST IN THE MORNING TO EAST-NORTHEAST BY LATE AFTERNOON.
1028 AM PDT WED APR 6 2016 High pressure will bring a rapid warming trend to the Inland Northwest.
RAPID CLEARING IS EXPECTED FROM 15-17Z AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SHIFTS ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS LAST EVENING SHOWED ZONAL FLOW OVER TEXAS WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM ND TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER THE GULF AND WINDS ACROSS OUR CWA WERE FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THERE WAS A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH TEXAS TODAY AND BRING THE COLD FRONT DOWN FROM THE NORTH. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THE HIGH WILL MOVE QUICKLY OFF TO THE EAST.
AS OBS WERE LAGGING BEHIND (COOLER THAN) THE FCST. WITH THE CURRENT TREND IN THE LOWER CLOUDS MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING HAVE INCREASED SKY COVER FOR A TIME TODAY.
608 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS HAS TROF ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY RESIDES ACROSS THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ROCKIES.
GRAVITY WAVE INDUCED ROLL CLDS HAVE MADE INTO THE RGV AS THE DRY COLD FRONT TO OUR NORTH PUSHES SOUTH. SOME MVFR CEILINGS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR THE RGV AIRPORTS AS THE COLD FRONT GETS CLOSER TO THE REGION.
MEANWHILE, A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH CONTINUES TO ADVECT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ALSO RAPIDLY COOL BY THURSDAY AND LIKELY RESULT IN DAYTIME TEMPERATURES A GOOD 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN COMPARED TO TODAY.
At the surface, low pressure over the Upper Midwest early this morning will track east into the Great Lakes region by the end of the day. This low will drag a cold front across the immediate forecast area this afternoon and early this evening.
MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO THE HOURLY GRIDS BASED OFF OBSERVED TRENDS AND RAISED MAX TEMPS FOR TODAY A TAD TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME OF THE WARMER TRENDS THIS MORNING AND WITH THE LATEST GUIDANCE. /ISSUED 512 AM EDT WED APR 6 2016/ A WEAK AND DIFFUSE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHEASTERN GULF TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WHICH WILL CONTINUE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE CONTINUING TO BE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND EASTERN PENINSULA WHICH IS WHERE THE SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE.
AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK MOVES THROUGH NORTH-CENTRAL TX DURING THE DAY. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD WORK IT/S WAY INTO THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY SUNRISE THIS MORNING. SKIES WILL CLEAR BY MIDDAY WITH WINDY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. DECOUPLING FROM THE BOUNDARY LAYER BY NIGHTFALL AND HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN TONIGHT WILL HELP WINDS DIMINISH QUICKLY WITH A COOL MORNING THURSDAY IN THE 40S.
1203 PM CDT WED APR 6 2016 Still will see showers and scattered thunderstorms moving through the area today as upper trough currently extending from the Dakotas back into the central High Plains will move into eastern Illinois by 00Z tonight according to the NAM/GFS. The showers and scattered storms will be mainly focused ahead of the cold front between 12-18Z where the low level moisture convergence will move from west to east across the the CWA under the ascent ahead of the mid level trough. The rain will begin to end as the upper trough axis begins to move into the the area during the afternoon.