Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
357 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure continues across the North Country this weekend with mild days, cool nights, and plenty of sunshine.
(Today through Sunday afternoon) An upper level low/trough is centered over northern Texas and will lift northeast over Arkansas this evening. A broad upper trough will be over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico on Sunday.
335 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Dry weather will continue under high pressure through most of the weekend.
1146 PM EDT Fri Oct 28 2022 Dry weather will continue under high pressure through most of the weekend.
The closed low over East Texas will slowly migrate northeast into Arkansas this evening.
103 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure centered near Montreal will drift to the east over the next several days, continuing our string of pleasantly mild and dry mid-autumn days. The lower clouds along the MD border have shrunk back into the Virginias for the most part. Expect another morning of fairly widespread frost with mins around sunrise in the low to mid 30s.
132 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure will allow for dry conditions through Saturday night.
(Today through Sunday Night) Mid/upper level low lingering off to our north will take its time to move off to the northeast today and tonight, and this will allow the current mostly cloudy to cloudy skies to linger across a majority of our area probably into this evening and maybe even a little longer. As the low edges off to the northeast tonight and tomorrow, we should see decreasing cloud cover which will help tonight's inland low temperatures to fall into the low to mid 50s and will allow Sunday's high temperatures to warm into the low to mid 70s. Sunday night looks quiet and cool (probably partly cloudy skies for parts of the area) with lows ranging from the upper 40s far north to the low 60s at the beaches.
Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 30s as clouds clear. Sunday will see temps similar to today as a cooler thermal profile moves in on westerly winds offsetting the increased solar from the clear skies. The trend for this period continues to be generally for warmer temperatures and dry conditions.
1144 PM EDT Fri Oct 28 2022 Clear skies and light easterly winds for the overnight period as high pressure governs conditions. Western periphery of a strong 1035 mb high pressure system will maintain dry weather today under mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will push into the lower 60s given full solar insolation, barring any late dissipation of dense fog development. Higher-level warming with this upper-level tropopause undulation over the low-level baroclinic zone will help induce circulation near the surface. The resultant weak low pressure system is expected to develop over east Texas through the afternoon, with the system gradually pushing into ArkLaTex before steering towards the Ohio River Valley by Sunday. Gulf moisture will advect north with the low as the intensity of the associated upper-level wave decreases.
351 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 A mid/upper trough continues to spin across the Arklatex region with a large shield of rain across eastern Texas, eastern Oklahoma and much of Arkansas. As this trough begins to lift northeast across Arkansas today we could see some showers impact far southeast KS.
1135 PM MDT Fri Oct 28 2022 High pressure ridge aloft over Colorado with dry and stable airmass in place. Models show the upper ridge now in place to transition into weak upper troughing through the day Saturday. The low level winds should adhere to normal diurnal patters. A weak upper trough will move across Colorado Saturday night and Sunday with seasonable temperatures across the North Central and Northeastern Colorado.
/Issued 1218 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022/ /Through Sunday/ It will be a cool and cloudy Saturday with areas of light rain and drizzle through the morning until our upper low shifts eastward. A few breaks in the clouds late in the day will probably allow highs to climb into the low/mid 60s, but largely overcast skies will hold temperatures in the 50s for the majority of the day. Additional clearing will take place heading into Sunday morning as the low translates eastward, and it should be a pleasant second half of the weekend as temperatures climb back into the upper 60s and 70s with partly cloudy skies.
1053 PM CDT Fri Oct 28 2022 Winds have become fairly light across the FA now, but the high thin clouds remain. This will help keep temperatures on the warmer side overnight as lows only reach down into the mid to upper 30s.
Early morning low temperatures are expected to drop further into the low 30s with similar dewpoints.
1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Tonight through Saturday night) The cold front has moved offshore, resulting in drier air and the cessation of precipitation over the CWA. A strong upper level low pressure system is predicted to move slowly across the Texas tonight through Saturday morning, then lift northeastward toward the Mississippi Valley Saturday afternoon/Saturday night. Cooler temperatures are expected with lows tonight/Saturday night in the 50s, similar to the NBM and HREF/SREF ensemble mean temperature.
239 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 A strong area of high pressure was situated over the Northeast and Great Lakes with westward extension into the Upper Mississippi Valley. A nice weekend is expected with above normal temperatures in the low to mid 60s (normals are mid/upper 50s). There is a chance for light rain across the east-central and southeast counties of the outlook area (in Illinois) on Sunday as a weakening cut-off low meanders through the Mid Mississippi Valley.
Eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, and far northeast Missouri sit on the western edge of high pressure that is centered over northern New England. High pressure at the surface and aloft will push to the east over the next 24 hours as a vertically stacked, closed low over central Texas lifts northeastward into western Arkansas and southwest Missouri. High temperatures on Saturday will be in the lower to mid 60s.
With the aformentioned short-lived ridge overhead today, light winds, full sun, and slightly warmer temperatures are well in place across the entire forecast area. A broad trough expanding across the central CONUS on Sunday leaves the CWA under northwesterly flow aloft.
/NEW/ /Through Sunday/ It will be a cool and cloudy Saturday with areas of light rain and drizzle through the morning until our upper low shifts eastward. A few breaks in the clouds late in the day will probably allow highs to climb into the low/mid 60s, but largely overcast skies will hold temperatures in the 50s for the majority of the day. Additional clearing will take place heading into Sunday morning as the low translates eastward, and it should be a pleasant second half of the weekend as temperatures climb back into the upper 60s and 70s with partly cloudy skies.
344 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 A mid/upper trough continues to spin across the Arklatex region with a large shield of rain across eastern Texas, eastern Oklahoma and much of Arkansas. As this trough begins to lift northeast across Arkansas today we could see some showers impact far southeast KS.
1034 PM MDT Fri Oct 28 2022 Current WV imagery and upper level analysis depicts split flow pattern with a closed upper low over TX/OK and more zonal flow to the north with weak ridging over the Northern Plains. Southerly winds at the sfc and subsidence are bringing about warmer temperatures and clear skies this afternoon. Temperatures are currently in the low to mid 60s.
412 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure will continue to extend into the region through tonight. Weakening low pressure passing west of the area will bring showers Sunday into Sunday night.
1143 PM EDT Fri Oct 28 2022 High pressure will build across the region through the weekend.
Although the lower atmosphere still remains quite dry north of about Interstate 40, short term CAM guidance suggests enough activity to lead to a few hundredths of an inch through this evening (highest amounts further south).
(Today through Sunday) A nearly zonal mid-level flow and high pressure at the surface will ensure dry weather conditions across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley during the period.
1211 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (This evening through Saturday) Rain was ending from NW-SE across the region with the slow departure of a stacked upper cyclone currently over the Concho Valley. Would expect the lingering deformation zone precip to finally wind down across our SE zones a little after sunset with stratus clearing the most aggressively on the Caprock, and likely hanging up somewhere near the Highway 83 corridor. Blustery north winds this afternoon will taper this evening as surface ridging builds south, yet these winds are still shaping up a bit too elevated for fog formation. Modest ridging unfolds on Saturday as the upper low drifts from North Texas to the Ozarks.
The upper low to our south continues to slowly move northeast over Texas. To its north, surface ridging is keeping most of northeast Kansas under clear skies, though a few high clouds are beginning to reach far southern portions of our area.
* Pleasant Halloween - Highs in the low 70s, clear skies and light southerly winds. An upper level closed low will slowly get picked back up into the main flow as a couple disturbances move eastward across the southwest. Today Highs will be warmer than yesterday with highs expected to reach into the upper 60s to low 70s under clear skies and light southerly winds. Sunday will be cooler behind this weak cool front and more dense cloud cover. A deep trough will dig into the western CONUS and will approach from the west for the end of the work-week.
Sunday will be a few degrees cooler than today, but overall, still pleasant and dry.
An area of low pressure over eastern Texas (its surface reflection over SE TX and upper low towards the Metroplex). Clouds, mainly the higher variety were streaming to the north and east of this complex. High temperatures later today should warm into the lower 70s.
Today through Sunday night Ridging over the eastern Pacific leans into our region before the axis approaching the state beginning late Sunday night.
(Today and tonight) Upper level closed low centered over North Texas early this morning will continue to drift slowly eastward today, with flow aloft consequently becoming more northerly. Have therefore trended MaxT downwards today more in line with cooler MOS guidance, with highs across the region generally expected to remain in the lower 60s.
(The rest of today ) Upper level low currently over northeast Texas will pivot into southwest Arkansas this afternoon keeping scattered light to moderate rain showers across the area today.
656 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure continues across the North Country this weekend with mild days, cool nights, and plenty of sunshine.
and Sunday Through Sunday, Wisconsin will reside on the western periphery of a large high pressure ridge that extends from the Great Lakes through the northeast United States. Light southerly winds will continue to pull warmer air into the region, leading to much above normal temperatures. Under mostly sunny skies, temperatures should rise into the lower to middle 60s, except middle to upper 50s near lake Michigan. Low pressure over the Central Plains will drift north into MO/IL on Sunday, with associated mid/high clouds spreading into GRB CWA during the day.
A strong area of high pressure was situated over the Northeast and Great Lakes with westward extension into the Upper Mississippi Valley. A nice weekend is expected with above normal temperatures in the low to mid 60s (normals are mid/upper 50s). There is a chance for light rain across the east-central and southeast counties of the outlook area (in Illinois) on Sunday as a weakening cut-off low meanders through the Mid Mississippi Valley.
1037 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure will continue to extend into the region through tonight. Weakening low pressure passing west of the area will bring showers Sunday into Sunday night.
906 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Dry weather will continue under high pressure through most of the weekend.
714 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure will remain over New England through the rest of this weekend, bringing more seasonable temperatures and dry weather conditions.
Temperatures are ranging between the low 30s in some cool spots in E ND to low 40s in west central MN. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 30s as clouds clear. Sunday will see temps similar to today as a cooler thermal profile moves in on westerly winds offsetting the increased solar from the clear skies. The trend for this period continues to be generally for warmer temperatures and dry conditions.
549 AM MDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Latest GOES imagery shows minimal cloud cover across the CWA with a closed low spinning over eastern TX. Slightly cooler weather expected farther west near Laramie and Rawlins as cloud cover will move overhead earlier in the day keeping temperatures in the upper 40s.
Otherwise, a light southerly wind is holding temperatures in the mid-30s in valley areas to the lower 40s in elevated regions. Soundings indicate mixing at or around 850 mb by mid-afternoon, suggesting downward momentum transfer of winds in the lower 20s knot range. Have leaned towards the warmer side of guidance with highs in the mid-upper 60s in most areas.
Weak ridging will be in place across the waters through the weekend keeping generally E/NE flow.
628 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Today and tonight) Upper level closed low centered over North Texas early this morning will continue to drift slowly eastward today, with flow aloft consequently becoming more northerly. Have therefore trended MaxT downwards today more in line with cooler MOS guidance, with highs across the region generally expected to remain in the lower 60s.
302 AM MDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Latest GOES imagery shows minimal cloud cover across the CWA with a closed low spinning over eastern TX. Slightly cooler weather expected farther west near Laramie and Rawlins as cloud cover will move overhead earlier in the day keeping temperatures in the upper 40s.
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure will remain over New England through the rest of this weekend, bringing more seasonable temperatures and dry weather conditions.
1036 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure continues across the North Country this weekend with mild days, cool nights, and plenty of sunshine.
313 AM MDT Sat Oct 29 2022 A weak upper level trough will move across the area later today and tonight. On Sunday, a weak upper level trough will be located along the CO/KS border with a dry and relatively weak northwesterly flow over the forecast area. The high temperatures on Sunday will be near normal for this time of year.
630 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Today through Sunday) A closed upper low is moving across the Arklatex region this morning. The limited instability will probably keep actual rainfall amounts on the lighter side of what we could see, but the path of the upper low will keep the deeper moisture and showers over us for a prolonged period of time. (Sunday Night through next Saturday) By Sunday night the closed low will open up into a broad wave and slowly push east.
Similar conditions are expected again Saturday night as light east to southeast flow from high pressure continues to funnel into the area over the Great Lakes. Highs will eventually reach into the lower 60s.
630 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Today through Sunday) A nearly zonal mid-level flow and high pressure at the surface will ensure dry weather conditions across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley during the period.
A very weak upper level trough will move through today bringing a slight increase in winds as well as partly to mostly cloudy skies.
630 AM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 A mid/upper trough continues to spin across the Arklatex region with a large shield of rain across eastern Texas, eastern Oklahoma and much of Arkansas. As this trough begins to lift northeast across Arkansas today we could see some showers impact far southeast KS.
513 AM MDT Sat Oct 29 2022 WY will remain pinched between the cutoff low/trough stretching across the southern plains back to the Four Corners and the jet stream currently racing across southern Canada.
201 AM PDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Weak ridging aloft will combine with weak offshore flow to keep the marine layer subdued, and provide dry and warmer weather this weekend.
That said, looking at MIMIC Satellite derived PWat, there is better moisture rounding the southern periphery of a 1000-700 mb layered ridge located along the Eastern Seaboard. Temperatures currently are already in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees with dew points in the lower 70s. Otherwise, temperatures are on track to reach into the lower to mid 80s and winds will remain from the northeast to east while slightly easing into this afternoon. King tides have returned to the Keys, with the highest high tide after midnight Saturday and Sunday. Also, on the back side of the high tides there will be super- low low tides, with stronger than usual ebb currents (outgoing).
646 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure will continue to extend into the region through tonight. Weakening low pressure passing west of the area will bring showers Sunday into Sunday night.
Increased temperatures slightly, especially across the western foothills into the valley where SE downslope winds should keep things warmer than guidance. The closed low over East Texas will slowly migrate northeast into Arkansas this evening.
Upper level low is currently over extreme southwest Arkansas. As the upper low moves closer toward the region this afternoon, rain will increase in coverage and intensity over the entire Mid-South.
Weak southerly flow is being seen aloft, as a cutoff upper low slowly moves north into the Upper Mississippi River Valley. While some moisture increase can be expected, the low should help keep us out of the bulk of moisture return. Looking at model soundings, most of the clouds will be mid-high based, as we are far from saturation in the lowest few kilometers of the atmosphere. Tonight will remain dry throughout the area, with increasing clouds and temperatures in the low-mid 40s. Introducing clouds and some showers should keep temperatures near 60 throughout, with the lower temperatures forecast east of the Mississippi River.
(through Tonight) High pressure will extend down across the east coast, from a low center over the northeast through Tonight. An inverted trough will remain just off the coast this period. The strongest core of the trough will drift north through the night. The best chance for showers this afternoon and evening will be over coastal NE FL, with this chance shifting north through the night with the core of the trough.
151 PM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Cooler temperatures will continue this weekend as modest to strong high pressure fills in over the region.
1203 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Today through Sunday afternoon) An upper level low/trough is centered over northern Texas and will lift northeast over Arkansas this evening. A broad upper trough will be over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico on Sunday.
Pleasant fall day with temperatures very close to seasonal normals, particularly for the lower elevations. A few degrees below normal still for the high country. A weak upper level trough will move across the area later today and tonight. On Sunday, a weak upper level trough will be located along the CO/KS border with a dry and relatively weak northwesterly flow over the forecast area. The high temperatures on Sunday will be near normal for this time of year.
(This evening through Sunday Night) Wrap-around clouds from the mid/upper level low have persisted over much of SE TX this afternoon. But, even with the clouds sticking around and NW winds remaining slight- ly elevated (10kt), overnight lows will fall into the lower 50s for most areas. Sun high temperatures will warm into the lower to mid 70s. Clearer skies and decreased N/NW winds tomorrow night will help keep things cool (or even a little cooler) with temperatures ranging from upper 40s for our more northern counties. the mid and upper 50s for H-Town proper (and surrounding suburbs) to the lower 60s at the beaches.
1229 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Today through Sunday) A nearly zonal mid-level flow and high pressure at the surface will ensure dry weather conditions across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley during the period.
This stems from the low pressure system currently over Louisiana. Meanwhile, sky cover looks to increase with high clouds continuing to stream in from the Low well to our south. The combination of cloud cover and cooler, drier northwesterly flow will mean high temperatures tomorrow will be a bit cooler, only in the mid 60s.
(This afternoon through Sunday Night) It was another nice day with partly sunny skies and temps mainly in the lower 70s. A low pressure system over Arkansas will move northeast to the Ohio Valley over the next couple of days, spinning a swath of deep moisture into the Mid State. Although deep moisture will be available for a time, lift is mediocre and instability is on the low side.
1141 AM MDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Latest GOES imagery shows minimal cloud cover across the CWA with a closed low spinning over eastern TX. Slightly cooler weather expected farther west near Laramie and Rawlins as cloud cover will move overhead earlier in the day keeping temperatures in the upper 40s.
104 PM MDT Sat Oct 29 2022 Latest upper air analysis shows a closed low over the Southern Plains with the jet stream over the US/Canadian border. Water vapor imagery shows dry air over most of the Central Plains between the closed low and the jet stream. Behind the trough winds will turn to the northwest and bring in lower dew points with them. Highs will be warmer than yesterday due to weak WAA moving in behind the closed low over the Southern Plains. Cloud cover will increase over the eastern part of the forecast area as the closed low over the Southern Plains moves northeast. Highs will be a few degrees cooler due to the WAA weakening from today. The light and variable wind combined with the low dew points and clear sky could lead to a favorable setup for radiational cooling.
(This evening through Sunday) Scattered showers continue to push east to west across mainly central/eastern portions of the area on the backside of the closed low centered across the Arklatex region. Highs will be a bit cooler across northern and eastern Oklahoma under cloud cover tomorrow, in the mid 60s, while much of the rest of the area will see temperatures reach near 70 degrees.
1212 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022 (Today and tonight) Upper level closed low centered over North Texas early this morning will continue to drift slowly eastward today, with flow aloft consequently becoming more northerly. Have therefore trended MaxT downwards today more in line with cooler MOS guidance, with highs across the region generally expected to remain in the lower 60s.
(This evening through Sunday) The upper low responsible for yesterday's rain showers will continue to drift north and east into the Texarkana region. Coupled with mostly clear skies, conditions will be good for radiational cooling, allowing for lows across the area to drop into the low to mid 40s. Highs will be slightly warmer than today with most places in the low to mid 70s.
/Tonight through Saturday/ Key Messages: -Quiet and Warm Conditions Continue Through Beginning of This Week -Active Pattern Starts With Winds Mid-Week and Precipitation Late Week Fairly quiet conditions continue across the state today as predominantly high pressure and weak flow keeps the weather calm and seasonably warm.
125 PM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 High pressure continues across the North Country this weekend with mild days, cool nights, and plenty of sunshine.
(This evening through Sunday) Today's splendid fall weather continues uninterrupted through Sunday as broad surface ridging remains over much of the region. A few errant low and mid clouds off the Caprock in the wake of yesterday's upper low will clear out completely this evening making for crystal clear skies and ideal sky gazing. NBM's cooler lows look good in this setup.