Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND EXTENDS EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THIS RIDGE IS CONTROLLING WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST NEAR 10 KNOTS AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS.
A LESSER FOCUS IS ON THE ARCTIC FRONT WHICH WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY. SATURATION IN THE LOWER LEVELS IS CHALLENGED. THE HIGHEST POPS WILL BE TIED TO THE BEST FORCING.
COULD SEE SOME SNOW MIX WITH THE RAIN WITH SOME WETBULBING COOLING TEMPERATURES IN THE BUFFALO RIDGE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THIS MORNING. THEN TURN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A POTENT AND FAST MOVING COLD FRONT. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RUSHES TOWARDS THE HIGHWAY 14 CORRIDOR TOWARDS DAYBREAK AND MAY BRING A SECOND DROP IN READINGS OVERNIGHT. WITH COOLER AIR ARRIVING SOONER.
CIRRUS IS ON THE INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC SHIFTS INLAND.
1252 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016 COLD FRONT WHIPS THROUGH LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING MONDAY.
1056 AM PST SUN FEB 28 2016 A strong cold front will arrive around mid-day today bringing gusty winds, afternoon showers, and snow to the mountains.
1205 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016 COLD FRONT WHIPS THROUGH LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE LOWER TO UPPER 70S WITH THE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT PROGRESSING SOUTHWARD WITH A LATEST POSITION THROUGH ABILENE. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW WITH THIS FRONT IS ALREADY EXITING THE CENTRAL PLAINS AT THE CURRENT TIME AND LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE HAS THE FRONT STALLING JUST NORTH OF THE CWA OVERNIGHT. ANY POTENTIAL FOG AND LOW-CLOUDS WILL MIX-OUT BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S WITH THE HIGHER VALUES ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA.
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE EAST COAST SHOULD BE WARMER THANKS TO MOIST ATLANTIC AIR WHILE PORTIONS OF INLAND PALM BEACH AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WILL SEE THE CHILL OF TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 50S TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM WESTERN IOWA TO EASTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON MONDAY. A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER NEW MEXICO WILL WEAKLY DAMPEN OUT AS IT MOVES EAST ALONG THE RED RIVER MONDAY. A STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL BE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SWEEPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN PRODUCING A BAND OF RAIN. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST.
AN H5 LONGWAVE TROF IS SWINGING EWD THRU THE NRN-CENTRAL PLAINS. THE TROF AXIS LOOKS TO PASS OVER THE AREA EARLY AFTN AND PUSH THE BULK OF THE PRECIP OFF TO THE E. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROF AND ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE MARCHING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THE HIGH TEMPS FOR MONDAY WERE LOWERED SIGNIFICANTLY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE PASSAGE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IN WESTERN WI AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS SWINGS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
S/W TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR MID/HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS OUR AREA THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS MEXICO CURRENTLY AND WILL TAKE THOSE CLOUDS EAST ALONG WITH IT FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. FAIRLY STOUT INVERSION ON THE 12Z BRO SOUNDING WITH MODERATE SOUTHEAST FLOW UNDERNEATH IT ADVECTING IN MOISTURE THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER COMPARED TO TONIGHT.
As a cold front shifts across the area late this afternoon and evening, winds will begin to decrease in speed. For Monday, fire weather will again take main stage as south to southwest winds increase across the Osage Plains behind an exiting center of high pressure. Relative humidity values will range from the low to mid 20s.
THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES ON MONDAY AS SURFACE PRESSURES FALL IN THE PLAINS AHEAD OF ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.
1134 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016 POTENT SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE ROCKIES EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION.
ATTENTION TOMORROW EVENING THEN TURNS TO A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINALS /COLLEGE STATION BETWEEN 00 TO 03Z. /ISSUED 843 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016/ COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN THIS EVENING AS EFFECTIVE COLD FRONT /REINFORCED BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM ACTIVITY MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/ HAS PUSHED TO NEAR THE LA COAST.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGIONS WEATHER WITH DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THE OVERNIGHT TEMPS WILL DIP TOWARD FREEZING OR LOWER ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS.
CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WILL THEREFORE LINGER LOW POPS OVER MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ELONGATED UPPER LOW ANCHORED OVER MN AND THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL ALLOW FOR A WEAK TROWAL TO WRAP INTO OUR CWA FROM THE EAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
/ISSUED 241 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016/ RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
704 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SAGGING SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
AS COOLER TEMPS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH FROPA.
gradually falling into the high end MVFR range during the day on Friday as an upper level disturbance approaches. with cigs in the low end MVFR range with those. Showers and thunderstorms will push east and south during the day and evening as the cooler air continues to move further into the area.
1003 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 THE NEAR TERM SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST OVER KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE DEEP SOUTH LATE FRIDAY AND TRACK TOWARDS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES.
LATEST HRRR RUNS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH THESE STORMS FORMING JUST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE BREEZY AND COLDER BEHIND THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE. AREAS OF DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN MAY FORM BEHIND THE THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE. /ISSUED 241 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016/ RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
720 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 AVIATION A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND WILL BE FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE WEEKEND. PREDOMINATELY DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE ANTICIPATED. BUT WILL HOLD ON TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN/SNOW TONIGHT AS SFC COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE.
ahead of a cold front currently dropping south southeast through the Central Plains. cloud cover is expected to increase over Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas as the cold front nears the CWA. winds should remain light ahead of the approaching cold front.
LOCALIZED DENSE FOG IS EVEN POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER COASTAL TERRAIN.
1151 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 ELONGATED WEST-EAST RUNNING REGION OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY SINKS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE NEARS THE CANADIAN/U.
UPPER RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA STARTING FRIDAY.
MORE SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL OCCUR EARLY FRIDAY EVENING AT THE TAF SITES AS SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FORM ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONT. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWED A SHALLOW TROUGH ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY WITH NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS TEXAS. THERE IS A SHARPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE MAIN PATTERN OFF THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO. FRIDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH NORTH TEXAS AND A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER PATTERN CONTINUING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
1151 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 AVIATION A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND WILL BE FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE WEEKEND. PREDOMINATELY DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE ANTICIPATED. BUT WILL HOLD ON TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN/SNOW TONIGHT AS SFC COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE.
SHORT TERM UPDATE (OVERNIGHT) - LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE DUE TO THE NEARBY RIDGE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO SETTLE DOWN A FEW MORE DEGREES INTO THE LOWER 70S. A BROAD RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING ACROSS THE BAHAMAS INTO SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS WILL KEEP WEAK EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS FLORIDA KEYS WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.
422 PM PDT THU MAR 17 2016 A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION. WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION FOR SOME AREAS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS AMPLIFYING OVER THE WEST COAST AHEAD OF A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR 45N/150W. AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND MOVES SLOWLY INLAND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM.
THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ON THE COLD FRONT AND WIND SHIFT. WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SECOND BAND OF SHRAS PUSHING ACRS THE NRN PENINSULA ASSOCD WITH A WEAK H100-H85 TROF. A WEAK HI PRES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE NRN BAHAMAS INTO THE ERN THOUGH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTH ACRS THE BREVARD WILL FORCE A TEMPORARY SHIFT IN THE ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW TO THE NORTH.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECASTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE THROUGH KGUY AND KDHT BY 06Z. LOW CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT. WILL PREVAIL UNTIL A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE DALHART AND GUYMON TAF SITES AROUND 05Z TO 09Z FRIDAY.
BEFORE THE APPROACH OF A STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF TSRA/SHRA AND A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT TO THE TERMINALS. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA HAS BEGUN TO SHEAR OUT AS IT HAS MOVED TOWARD THE MAINLAND MEXICAN COAST.
640 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 ELONGATED WEST-EAST RUNNING REGION OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY SINKS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE NEARS THE CANADIAN/U.
930 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY.
SHOULD GO TO ALL SNOW ONCE THE LOWER LEVELS HAVE TIME TO WEB BULB. THIS PESKY UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY START TO PUSH EAST SAT AND BY 00Z SUN WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OVER THE OHIO VALLEY BY SUN MORNING. AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THINK THAT TEMPS ON WED AFTERNOON WILL ALSO PUSH 80 SOUTHEAST OF THE KS TURNPIKE. BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT.
VALLEY TEMPS LOOK LIKE THEY CAN DIP INTO THE MID 30S TONIGHT WITH THE RIDGES STAYING IN THE 40S. AND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM WINDS TONIGHT WE WILL SEE VALLEY TEMPERATURES FALL TO THE MID 30S WITH RIDGES STAYING IN THE LOWER 40S. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL NOT SEE AS BIG A RIDGE VALLEY TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE. AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
VERY LIGHT HIGH BASED SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER THE NRN CWA VIA 925-850 MB FRONTOGENESIS AND THE WEAK W-E UPPER TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL WI. THE SFC COLD FRONT HAS ACCELERATED DOWN THE LAKE FRONT AND IS NOW ENTERING NRN RACINE COUNTY. THE WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SE WI WILL SLIDE TO THE ESE WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING SE TO NW ACROSS THE AREA TNT INTO FRI. SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS ARE FORECAST OVER THE SW CWA AS THE WEAK W-E UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER SRN MN AND NRN IA. THE NELY WINDS AND MO CLOUDY SKIES WILL MAKE FOR MUCH COOLER HIGH TEMPS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S OVER FAR ERN WI TO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S TO THE WEST. AS NLY WINDS ADVECT COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION.
1131 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE HOW THE ELONGATED H5 TROUGH FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE DAKOTAS AND THE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS AFFECTS OUR LOCAL WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND. PROMINENT FEATURES ON THIS MORNING/S UPPER AIR CHARTS WERE THE BROAD H5 TROUGH THAT ENCOMPASSES A LARGE PART OF THE COUNTRY.
732 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF A FRIDAY COLD FRONT. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING SNOW CHANCES LATER IN THE WEEKEND.
843 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN THIS EVENING AS EFFECTIVE COLD FRONT /REINFORCED BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM ACTIVITY MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/ HAS PUSHED TO NEAR THE LA COAST. BEFORE THE APPROACH OF A STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF TSRA/SHRA AND A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT TO THE TERMINALS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND MILD WEATHER TO NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON THROUGH FRIDAY.
SHOULD GO TO ALL SNOW ONCE THE LOWER LEVELS HAVE TIME TO WEB BULB. THIS PESKY UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY START TO PUSH EAST SAT AND BY 00Z SUN WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OVER THE OHIO VALLEY BY SUN MORNING. AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THINK THAT TEMPS ON WED AFTERNOON WILL ALSO PUSH 80 SOUTHEAST OF THE KS TURNPIKE. AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY.
636 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE HOW THE ELONGATED H5 TROUGH FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE DAKOTAS AND THE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS AFFECTS OUR LOCAL WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND. PROMINENT FEATURES ON THIS MORNING/S UPPER AIR CHARTS WERE THE BROAD H5 TROUGH THAT ENCOMPASSES A LARGE PART OF THE COUNTRY.
BROAD UPPER TROUGH REMAINS FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHEAST CONUS. SHOULD GO TO ALL SNOW ONCE THE LOWER LEVELS HAVE TIME TO WEB BULB. THIS PESKY UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY START TO PUSH EAST SAT AND BY 00Z SUN WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OVER THE OHIO VALLEY BY SUN MORNING. AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THINK THAT TEMPS ON WED AFTERNOON WILL ALSO PUSH 80 SOUTHEAST OF THE KS TURNPIKE. BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT.
717 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING BEFORE A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA BRINGS A BURST OF SNOW SHOWERS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
925 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016 WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF A FRIDAY COLD FRONT. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING SNOW CHANCES LATER IN THE WEEKEND.
643 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A CONTINUED CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 83 CORRIDOR. CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH TROUGH PUSHING TO THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE CANADIAN ROCKIES WITH MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS PLACES ELONGATED TROUGH STRETCHING OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST WITH HIGH SETTLING OVER MANITOBA. SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL OVER THE AREA ON THE BACKSIDE OF AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH. PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA AS WEST SIDE OF UPPER TROUGH STARTS TO CLOSE OFF OVER SOUTH DAKOTA LATER TONIGHT.
WILL PREVAIL UNTIL A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE DALHART AND GUYMON TAF SITES AROUND 05Z TO 09Z FRIDAY.
COOLER/HIGHER HUMIDITY AIR WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT DOWN INTO NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA/WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
627 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 A COLD FRONT SAGGING SOUTH THROUGH THE NORTHLAND WILL LEAD TO SNOW SHOWERS GRADUALLY WINDING DOWN TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH WILL RESULT IN SOME CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. EXPECT THE DRIER AIR FROM THE HIGH BUILDING IN TO WIN OUT RESULTING SNOW SHOWERS TO END FRIDAY MORNING. UNDER A COOLER AIRMASS TEMPS WILL NOT BE MUCH WARMER THAN TODAY DESPITE SOME SUN. CONVECTIVE SNOW/SLEET SHOWERS HAVE BEEN ONGOING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 2 IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN ALONG THE COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. COLD FRONT STALLS OUT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS PERSISTING.
320 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION TODAY WILL SHIFT TO OUR SE TONIGHT AND WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN. DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SEND MOISTURE NORTHWARD THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL GET PICKED UP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SE TOWARD THE JKL AREA.
HIGH PRESSURES IS BEGINNING TO SLIDE TO THE SOUTHEAST. LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A GOOD 5 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT WITH A LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND KEEPING THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED AND THE WARM AIR ADVECTION.
400 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY.
215 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 WEAK WARM FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT.
258 PM CST WED JAN 13 2016 QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH LL RIDGE AXIS OVERHEAD. CLOUD COVER WILL HAMPER THE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURE REACHING MORE THAN THE LOWER 60S.
214 PM CST WED JAN 13 2016 STILL QUIET ACROSS THE MID STATE TODAY THANKS TO THE PASSING COLD FRONT YESTERDAY AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. AS THE HIGH SLIDES EAST. THE APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST WILL AID IN SUPPORTING SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND WARM UP TEMPS A BIT TO FINISH THE WORK WEEK.
1125 AM CST WED JAN 13 2016 FOR 18Z TAFS /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED JAN 13 2016/ THE COLD FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM JUST SOUTH OF ATLANTA(GA) THROUGH BIRMINGHAM(AL). DESPITE THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT HAVING JUST PASSED THROUGH OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY MAKE IT INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
1207 PM CST WED JAN 13 2016 ARKANSAS IS STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE JUST TO THE EAST OF THE STATE. /ISSUED 1137 AM CST WED JAN 13 2016/ HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES JUST EAST OF ARKANSAS TODAY. WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE STATE TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER TONIGHT. WITH MOST AREAS REMAINING ABOVE FREEZING.
THE COLD FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM JUST SOUTH OF ATLANTA(GA) THROUGH BIRMINGHAM(AL). DESPITE THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT HAVING JUST PASSED THROUGH OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY MAKE IT INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S. A WIND DIRECTION CHANGE FROM NORTHERLY TO SOUTHERLY IS EXPECTED AFTER 23/17Z AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEAST.
SEEING A RAPID WARMUP THIS MORNING AFTER A RATHER CHILLY START IN THE LOW TO MID 30S WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST. /ISSUED 318 AM CST WED JAN 13 2016/ CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S ARE THE RULE THIS EARLY AM ACROSS THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER OUR REGION. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES TO OUR EAST ON THURSDAY.
CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL SETTLE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST BY THURSDAY.
A QUICK MOVING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRANSLATE THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. BEING PUSHED EAST BY A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTHERN CA/PAC NW. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT.
VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AMID GENERALLY LIGHT SFC WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES WWD ALONG THE GULF COAST. SEEING A RAPID WARMUP THIS MORNING AFTER A RATHER CHILLY START IN THE LOW TO MID 30S WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST. /ISSUED 318 AM CST WED JAN 13 2016/ CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S ARE THE RULE THIS EARLY AM ACROSS THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER OUR REGION. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES TO OUR EAST ON THURSDAY.
254 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NORTH THROUGH THE MARITIMES TONIGHT.
Some pockets of light freezing rain may mix with the snow during this evening.
THE WARM FRONT HAS PUSHED TO THE NORTH AND EAST CREATING A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION WITH JUST SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION STILL OCCURRING OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS. NEXT THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOLLOWED BY THE TROUGH PASSAGE OVERNIGHT. WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND THEN TRANSITION TO WESTERLY WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE SYSTEM'S WARM FRONT HAS LARGELY LIFTED OUT OF THE AREA WITH LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS. LOCATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET AND AT THE LOWEST ELEVATIONS IN THE BASIN REMAIN COOL. THE SYSTEM'S COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN TONIGHT.
THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST WEST OF CHIHUAHUA WILL OPEN INTO A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AS IT MOVES EAST INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON THURSDAY.
/ISSUED 435 AM CST WED JAN 13 2016/ A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL.
LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED IN THE LOWER TREASURE VALLEY /ONTARIO/ BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW HAS BEEN SLOW TO START IN BAKER COUNTY LEAVING LESS TIME TODAY TO ACCUMULATE ADVISORY AMOUNTS BEFORE TEMPS RISE ABOVE FREEZING. THE TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THE PCPN WILL EXIT TO OUR EAST BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY.
LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS CENTERED RIGHT OVER THE MIDDLE OF MT WITH EXTENSIVE MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE SPREAD FROM THE NORTH DAKOTA ALL THE WAY BACK TO EASTERN WA/OR. WHERE WINDS ARE LIGHTER (SOUTHWEST VALLEYS, HILINE AREAS EAST OF CUT BANK), TEMPS ARE STILL IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S, BUT SHOULD GET WELL ABOVE FREEZING THIS AFTN.
231 PM CST WED JAN 13 2016 A pleasant day is underway across the region this afternoon, with southwest winds and sunny skies helping to boost temperatures into the low to mid 50s in many spots. Tonight will feature seasonably mild temperatures, with most places not falling below freezing. Some model guidance is suggesting this, though the current suspicion is that guidance is under-representing the amount of dry air in place in the low levels of the atmosphere. A quick moving upper level wave and associated surface cold front will start to move into the area Thursday night, with scattered rain showers developing along and just behind the front.
238 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 BRIEF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS COLD AND DRY TODAY. CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA. LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW AND RIDGING WILL HELP TREND TEMPERATURES TO NEAR AND ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FOR THE PERIOD.
411 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION THIS EVENING AND ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.
THOUGH SOME THINNING HAS BEEN NOTED OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE INTERIOR RIDGE THAT HAS DOMINATED LOCAL WEATHER FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS. EXPECT WITH BOTH A CONTINUED EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF THE SHORT WAVE AND FURTHER DOWNSTREAM PROPAGATION OF THE RIDGE HIGH OVERCAST WILL BECOME MORE PREVALENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL FOLLOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE WARM ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT UPSTREAM WAVE OVERSPREADS WESTERN UT THURSDAY EVENING.
AS A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WEST. IR SATELLITE INDICATED A WELL DEFINED STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OFF OF THE OREGON COAST WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TOWARDS POINT CONCEPTION. MODELS PROG THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT TO WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AND SLIDE SOUTH AND EASTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. WEAK RIDGING WILL MOVE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
257 PM MST WED JAN 13 2016 THE RIDGE AXIS OVER COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE STATE TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE TROF AXIS FM 06-12Z TNGT. IT WILL BE BREEZY COOLER THU WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY LESS THAN NORMAL.
CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY.
1209 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 BRIEF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS COLD AND DRY TODAY. CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA. BRIEF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY AND COLD CONDITIONS FOR TODAY. LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW AND RIDGING WILL HELP TREND TEMPERATURES TO NEAR AND ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FOR THE PERIOD.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THURSDAY EVENING WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD. A 45-50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT SHEAR/HELICITY SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. CAPE WILL BE NIL TO LOW DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE LOW MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PRECIP WILL QUICKLY END FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES.