Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY FILL IN BELOW THE HIGH CLOUDS. IT WILL BE A LITTLE BIT COOLER FRIDAY. LAPSE RATES START OUT UNIMPRESSIVE AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE THE STUBBORN SHORTWV RIDGE WEDGED BETWEEN THE DEEP TROUGH ACROSS THE NE U. AND THE UPPER LOW OFF THE CA COAST.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM THE NW BY LATE FRI. A DRY COLD FRONT HAS STRUGGLED TO MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS INTO THE STATE TODAY.
THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL MOVE TO THE EAST INTO THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA LATE FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES FROM THE NORTH THIS WEEKEND.
A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT IS EVIDENT AS A FINE LINE ON RADAR THAT HAS JUST PASSED THROUGH TCL AND EET.
/issued 234 PM CDT THU APR 7 2016/ There is a broad upper level trough over the eastern conus that is centered over the Great Lakes, and there is an upper low just off the coast of southern California. A cold front is currently moving southward across West Texas with winds already becoming gusty out of the northeast across Lea and Eddy Counties as well as the northern Permian Basin. The upper trough off the west coast will start to allow for moisture to move over New Mexico and West Texas as the trough expands eastward on Friday.
THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW EXITED CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH A WEAKENING BAND OF LIGHT RAIN STRETCHING FROM MARENGO COUNTY NORTHEASTWARD TO CHEROKEE COUNTY. UPDATED HOURLY TEMPS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MUCH COOLER POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS AREA WIDE. 19 A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE MOVING OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON TO THE SOUTHEAST. DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.
AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. SKIES WILL CLEAR ON THURSDAY WITH TRANQUIL AND INCREASINGLY WARMER WEATHER EXPECTED INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION AS SFC/GROUND TEMPS REMAIN NEAR/ABOVE FREEZING. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A PERIOD OF PARTIAL CLEARING THIS EVENING UNTIL THE UPPER LOW PASSES TO THE WEST AND STRATUS FILLS BACK IN. UPPER LOW WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM THE REGION ON THURSDAY. UNCERTAINTY GROWS TOWARD END OF PERIOD WITH MOVEMENT OF THIS LOW SO PERSISTENCE WARRANTED WITH POPS REMAINING BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR NOW.
900 AM PST WED DEC 2 2015 FAIR AND WARMER THROUGH THURSDAY WITH PERIODS OF LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND ON COASTAL SLOPES.
THE LOW CHANCES OF RAIN IN OUR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS MORNING AND AROUND NOON WERE REMOVED. DESPITE EMERGING SUNSHINE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WILL KEEP HIGHS A BIT COOLER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
256 PM CST WED DEC 2 2015 Our large upper low was located near Chicago at mid afternoon. Last of the surface boundaries rotating around the low extended from about Rantoul to Taylorville on the most recent observations, with the snow quickly tapering off west of it. Most accumulations have been minor as temperatures remained above freezing, but some localized reports around an inch were received mainly along and north of I-74. Clearing trends behind the low will be a bit tricky. The upper low will depart well to the east of Illinois on Thursday, as ridging builds into the Midwest.
445 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 LOW PRESSURE WILL REDEVELOP ALONG THE MAINE COAST LATE TONIGHT THEN TRACK TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA ON THURSDAY.
133 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 A WARM FRONT OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC ON ITS HEELS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
A dry cold front has passed through the area. An increase in cloud cover will likely affect NW AR and perhaps far NE OK on the back side of the departing low pressure system and vort max. and winds will become light and variable allowing temps to drop into the lower 20s to lower 30s. /ISSUED 330 AM CST WED DEC 2 2015/ Weak cold front has pushed through western AR with the associated cooling being offset somewhat by full sun and downslope northwesterly flow.
246 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HEAVY SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN THE CASCADES.
AFTER THE WEAK LOW LEVEL TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS ACTIVITY ADVANCES TO THE SOUTHEAST HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER OUR REGION OVERNIGHT.
PV ANALYSIS AND FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW SHOULD GRACE THE FORECAST DISTRICT THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS ALONG A SOUTHERN ARIZONA TO NORTH-CENTRAL MONTANA AXIS BY 12Z THURSDAY. THE FORECAST FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK CONTINUES TO BE WARM AND DRY WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION. WITH 30S AND 40S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1225 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AS MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S FOR MOST AREAS.
At 1pm EST, the cold front is located along a line stretching from just east of Atlanta to Dothan to Destin. Rain will taper off this evening as the cold front pushes through.
THIS ACTIVITY IS FOCUSED ALONG THE 850 MB COLD FRONT LAGGING BEHIND YESTERDAYS FRONTAL PASSAGE. FREEZING TEMPS NOTED AS FAR SOUTH DALLAS/ FORT WORTH. THIS CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE PUSHED TO THE SE AS RIDGING ALOFT BECOMES ESTABLISHED. AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE SOUTHERN STATES LOOKING FOR CLEAR SKIES WITH CHILLY NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS.
HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A DECAYING OR WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FL LATE TONIGHT, ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF IT.
Warm air aloft will begin working into the region this evening but most of the precipitation will have dissipated, thus the threat for freezing drizzle tonight will be minimal.
1130 AM CST WED DEC 2 2015 The large upper low currently centered over the upper Midwest will continue on its slow journey eastward. Abundant cloud cover remains across the region associated with the low. With the clouds and weak cold air advection, temperatures will be a few degrees cooler today, with readings only reaching the upper 30s to middle 40s.
230 PM CST WED DEC 2 2015 MUCH QUIETER WEATHER SETTLING INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS. UPPER RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE AXIS SLIPPING EAST OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AM CONCERNED ABOUT HOW MOIST THE LOW LEVELS WILL BE OVERNIGHT.
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER TEENS JAMES RIVER VALLEY WITH MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S ELSEWHERE. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA BY THURSDAY EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
1222 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 VFR CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO THE TAF SITES AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.
LEADING EDGE OF COLDER AIR WORKING INTO CENTRAL OHIO AS FIRST AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS MOVED EAST. STILL EXPECT A NARROW SWATH OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE I-80 CORRIDOR NORTH OF THE LOW TRACK WITH INSTABILITY SNOW SHOWERS SOUTH. A BRIEF PERIOD OF MEAN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE RIDGES INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO CHANGE IN EXPECTED ACCUMULATION WITH AN INCH OR MORE ACROSS THE NORTH AND NEAR AN INCH IN THE HIGHER RIDGES. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL OFF INTO THE LOWER 30S OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER RIDGES WITH 850MB TEMPS FALLING TOWARD -7C. LOWS IN THE 20S HIGHER SOUTHEAST RIDGES. AND COMBINED WITH 850MB TEMPS ONLY RISING TO NEAR -5C WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS FROM THE 30S RIDGES TO LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE.
408 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRACK EAST THROUGH THE REGION BRINGING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT.
200 PM PST WED DEC 2 2015 FAIR AND WARMER THROUGH THURSDAY WITH PERIODS OF LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND ON COASTAL SLOPES.
INDICATING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS. SATELLITE ANIMATIONS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS PLACE A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.
NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY MORNING IN THE NORTH BAY.
1131 AM CST WED DEC 2 2015 ALOFT: WV IMAGERY SHOWED THE LOW THAT DOES NOT WANT TO RELEASE ITS GRIP OVER THE REGION OVER WI. THIS LOW WILL FINALLY BECOME MORE MOBILE TODAY AS THE FLOW BECOMES PROGRESSIVE. A RIDGE WAS OVER THE WRN USA AND SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT RISES (150 M) WERE OCCURRING HERE OVER THE PLAINS. BASED ON THIS HIGHS WERE RAISED 3-6F. SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AND HELP KEEP COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTH AS A PROMINENT LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE WEST COAST.
SOME LINGERING CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AND COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS PUSHES TO THE EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PLENTY SUNSHINE IS ANTICIPATED FOR MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO MID 60S ELSEWHERE. AN UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TODAY INTO TONIGHT SHIFTING THE CIRRUS OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS ON THURSDAY. LOWS AROUND FREEZING ARE EXPECTED IN SOME HILL COUNTRY SPOTS.
/ISSUED 330 AM CST WED DEC 2 2015/ Weak cold front has pushed through western AR with the associated cooling being offset somewhat by full sun and downslope northwesterly flow.
231 PM CST WED DEC 2 2015 It appears the GFS is/has been modeling the low layer cloud field/embedded pcpn pertaining to the wrap around spiral bands rotating south of the Low track today.
Winds will become nearly calm by Thursday morning as high pressure moves nearly overhead.
LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE/SNOW SHOWERS ADDED TO SOUTHERN HIGHLAND AND CENTRAL MOUNTAIN AREAS THIS MORNING AND PROGRESSING EASTWARD INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. ACTIVITY IS THE RESULT OF A LOW LEVEL TROUGH ADVANCING GRADUALLY EASTWARD ACROSS IDAHO TODAY.
332 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN INLAND THURSDAY AND PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH FORMS OFFSHORE. A MID LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED VORT MAX SWINGING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THE FRONT SHOULD BE OFFSHORE BY 06Z WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WORKING ITS WAY IN BEHIND IT. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM.
339 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 RAIN WILL FINISH MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRANSLATES UP THE APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST.
AHEAD OF AN ELONGATED TROUGH ORIENTED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVER THE STATE. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. WEAK RIDGING AND SUBSIDENCE WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY UNDER A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WHILE GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR ONE MORE DAY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.
1011 AM MST WED DEC 2 2015 LITTLE CHANGE FROM DAY TO DAY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS HEIGHT RISES INDICATE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. INVERSIONS ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE THOUGH TEMPERATURES DO LOOK TO BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN SEEN YESTERDAY. THE FIRST WAVE IN THIS PERIOD IS A STRONG MOIST TROUGH THAT BECOMES DIFFUSED WHEN IT REACHES THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
1132 AM EST WED DEC 2 2015 SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OF THE RIDGES THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE EXITS. DRY SLOT ACROSS WESTERN OHIO WILL ATTEMPT TO DECREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON BUT CLEAR AREA IS SHRINKING AS CLOSED LOW ALOFT ALREADY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. AXIS OF THE UPPER-LEVEL CLOSED LOW SWINGS THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. THE CLOSED LOW WILL BEGIN TO FILL AND BECOME AN OPEN WAVE. WITH SOME ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE RIDGES IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF MEAN NORTHWEST FLOW. BUT NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE MORNING HOURS NORTH OF PIT AND ALONG THE RIDGES.
EXPECT RELATIVELY CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO BRING OUR REGION TEMPERATURES AT LEAST A BIT BELOW NORMAL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THE LOW CHANCES OF RAIN IN OUR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS MORNING AND AROUND NOON WERE REMOVED. DESPITE EMERGING SUNSHINE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WILL KEEP HIGHS A BIT COOLER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. KTW THE COLD FRONT AND RAIN IS NOW WELL EAST OF THE AREA.
224 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 RAIN WILL FINISH MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRANSLATES UP THE APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST.
Temperatures are much warmer (10-15 degrees milder compared to 24 hours ago) early this morning due to all the cloud cover.
259 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 RAIN WILL FINISH MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRANSLATES UP THE APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST.
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. BUT SOME MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE IN THE LOW LEVELS. TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL OF THE RAIN THE PAST FEW DAYS IS ALL BUT GONE TO START THE PERIOD. TROUGH EXITS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER THURSDAY NIGHT DUE TO CLEAR SKIES AND DRIER AIR.
310 PM CST WED DEC 2 2015 DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING EAST TOWARDS THE PANHANDLES.
/issued 400 AM CST WED DEC 2 2015/ (Today and tonight) A weak cold front with northwest winds around 5 mph was pushing through West Central Texas early this morning.
320 PM CST WED DEC 2 2015 QUIET WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIODS AS HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALOFT IN RESPONSE TO AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 5-10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON TO DECREASE AFTER 03/00Z AND GRADUALLY BECOME MORE VARIABLE AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY.
Scattered snow showers will not amount to much given surface temperatures are above freezing.
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1258 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015 A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
With the clouds, and weaker winds/less mixing on Thursday, shaved a few degrees off high temperatures expected, with highs mainly in the lower 50s.
240 PM CST WED DEC 2 2015 REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AND DRY AIR MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS OUR EXTREME SERN PORTIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SEWD INTO OUR REGION TONIGHT. AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN OVER THE SERN CONUS.
TO THE LOWER 40S ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO. OBSERVATIONS AND WEBCAMS SHOWING SOME NICE FLAKE SIZE IN THE HEAVIER BANDS BUT ONLY WET ROADS THUS FAR AS TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING. INITIAL BOUNDARY LAYER WARM TW ALOFT IN PRE SECONDARY FRONTAL PRECIP SWATCH PLUS ADDITIVE COMPONENT OF WARM MARINE ENVIRONMENT TO PROVIDE INITIAL MIX SHRA/SHSN BEFORE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON SWEEP OF LEADING EDGE OF LOW LEVEL THERMAL TROF WHICH SHOULD DECISIVELY CHANGE PTYPE TO FROZEN. UPPER LOW WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM THE REGION ON THURSDAY. UNCERTAINTY GROWS TOWARD END OF PERIOD WITH MOVEMENT OF THIS LOW SO PERSISTENCE WARRANTED WITH POPS REMAINING BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR NOW.
MARGINAL SATURATION ALOFT SUGGESTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE WHEN THE SNOW TAPERS OFF. ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE REGION. ROAD SURFACE TEMPS NEAR FREEZING INDICATE THERE MAY BE SOME SLICK CONDITIONS FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD REBOUND INTO THE LOW 30S NORTH TO UPPER 30S SOUTH.
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BRING A WARMING TREND THROUGH THURSDAY.
1124 AM CST WED DEC 2 2015 AT H5 UPPER CUTOFF CLOSED LOW HAS MOVED FROM SIOUX FALLS YESTERDAY TO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS MORNING. WEAK RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AHEAD OF CLOSED CUTOFF LOW. LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WITH RIDGE THROUGH WESTERN CONUS.
At 11am EST, the cold front is located along a line stretching from Atlanta to Dothan to Pensacola. Rain and isolated thunderstorms will continue to develop along the cold front this afternoon. Temperatures will be dropping with the rain moving in and will drop further once the cold front passes.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ARE IN THE LOWER 50S AT MOST LOCATIONS WITH UPPER 40S NEAR PARIS TN. /ISSUED 258 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015/ AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER TO THE MIDSOUTH FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO REACH INTO AT LEAST THE LOWER 70S.
642 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING THAT HAS BEEN DOMINATE ACROSS THE REGION FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY RELINQUISH CONTROL ON SUNDAY AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALOFT HEADS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
744 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015 UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG THE FL PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING IN FROM THE ATLANTIC.
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE TRENDS THIS EVENING PLACE AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. /ISSUED 258 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015/ AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER TO THE MIDSOUTH FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO REACH INTO AT LEAST THE LOWER 70S.
A LARGE UPPER LOW WILL KEEP CLOUD COVER HIGH AND TEMPS RATHER LOW.
ELONGATED MID/UPPER LOW NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON EXPECTED TO DRIFT ONLY SLOWLY TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND BE LOCATED ALONG THE UPPER FLORIDA EAST COAST BY LATE SUNDAY. THE LOCATION OF THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AMPLE ATLANTIC MOISTURE (AIDED BY HURRICANE JOAQUIN) INTO THE CAROLINAS AND AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW INTO OUR AREA. WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE FCST AREA EXCEPT FOR MAYBE A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER 60S AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH MOVES INTO WEST TEXAS AND WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION.
OVERALL MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WITH NO PLANNED CHANGES TO THE LOW POPS IN THE FAR WEST. PREV FCST ALREADY ACCOUNTED FOR THICKENING MID/HI CLOUD BRINGING WARMER TEMPS OVER WESTERN ZONES.
1000 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES WILL ADVECT MOISTURE WESTWARD INTO THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY.
A MID/UPPER RIDGE REMAINS PARKED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE A LARGE TROUGH WAS ANCHORED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS AND ANOTHER TROUGH WAS SITUATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES.
821 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WAS OVER SE TEXAS THIS EVENING. HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL OVERSPREAD THE FORECAST AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT. EXPECT SUNDAY TO BE ALMOST A CARBON COPY OF TODAY AS MORNING LOWS RANGE FROM THE 50S INLAND TO 60S ALONG THE COAST AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES REACH THE LOW TO MID 80S.
PREV FCST ALREADY ACCOUNTED FOR THICKENING MID/HI CLOUD BRINGING WARMER TEMPS OVER WESTERN ZONES.
1150 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 An upper-level ridge axis currently over eastern Kansas will continue to provide subsidence over the CWA through Saturday. This should be contained to the west of the CWA along the periphery of the ridge axis, with resulting abundant sunshine in place over northwest and central Missouri. Overnight lows outside of this affected area will drop into the low 40s, with areas underneath the cloud cover reaching the mid 40s.
ZCZC SFOWRKAFD 000 TTAA00 KMTR 040335 940 PM PDT SAT OCT 3 2015 Storm moving into NorCal will bring cooler weather, windy conditions, and a chance of showers and thunderstorms this weekend.
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS THE 500MB RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS CONTINUES TO PROVIDE SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. H5 RIDGE HAS BUILT INTO THE REGION. RIDGING ALSO DOMINATES THE ENTIRE CENTRAL US. TEMPERATURES LAST NIGHT FELL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S. TEMPS WILL AGAIN FALL INTO THE LOW 60S TONIGHT.
624 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 BIGGEST CONCERN WILL BE IL STRATUS ADVANCING EASTWARD OVERNIGHT WITH BLOCKY WEAK FLOW BETWEEN WRN CONUS TROUGH AND SERN GULF COAST CLOSED LOW KEEPING IA WEATHER UNEVENTFUL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY KEEP CONDITIONS DRY ACROSS CWA WITH WEAK RIDGE STAGNANT ACROSS MID WEST.
/ISSUED 258 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015/ AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER TO THE MIDSOUTH FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO REACH INTO AT LEAST THE LOWER 70S.
1148 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 BIGGEST CONCERN WILL BE IL STRATUS ADVANCING EASTWARD OVERNIGHT WITH BLOCKY WEAK FLOW BETWEEN WRN CONUS TROUGH AND SERN GULF COAST CLOSED LOW KEEPING IA WEATHER UNEVENTFUL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY KEEP CONDITIONS DRY ACROSS CWA WITH WEAK RIDGE STAGNANT ACROSS MID WEST.
646 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015 The long time influence of high pressure has lost ground to the upper low over the southeastern US, and clouds and low level moisture are edging into Central Illinois throughout today. Illinois remains in the col between the weakening southeast upper low and the northern stream for a few more days at mid-levels.
A strong upper trough remained in place across the western half of the CONUS today with several notable short waves rotating through the main long wave system. Each of these pieces of localized energy will enhance shower and thunderstorm activity as they move across the high plains through tonight. This is mainly due to a very dry and persistently reinforced airmass in the low to mid levels across northeast Kansas.
848 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015 UPPER LOW OVER THE REGION WILL SLOWLY PIVOT SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WITH TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE LOW 60S.
745 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015 LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U. OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FINAL DAY OF THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION A MORE SUBSTANTIAL BAND OF RAIN EXTENDING ALONG AN INVERTED TROF FROM ERN KY NORTH TO CENTRAL LAKE ERIE IS FCST BY LATEST HRRR TO MOVE WEST INTO OUR CWA OVERNIGHT. FLOW ALONG ISENT SURFACE TO WANE OVERNIGHT AS RIDGE CENTROID JUST EAST OF JAMES BAY FILLS AND SAGS SWD AND SC COASTAL LOW/ASSOCD WITH SWRN GA MID LVL VORTEX WEAKENS AS CAT 4 JOAQUIN ACCELERATES NEWD. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL TEMPORARILY BUILD UPSTREAM BEFORE A BROAD UPPER TROF GRADUALLY AMPLIFIES LATE THIS WEEK. AHEAD OF THIS AMPLIFYING TROF.
746 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015 A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL THEN BUILD IN GRADUALLY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.
00Z CRP SOUNDING REVEALS A GRADUAL EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE MID LVL RIDGE OVER SOUTH TEXAS NUDGED BY A TROUGH ADVANCING ACROSS NRN MEXICO. /ISSUED 258 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015/ EPIC WEATHER DAY IN SOUTH TEXAS WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND A DRIER AIRMASS IN PLACE, THANKS TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN SATURDAY, BACK CLOSER TO 90F ACROSS A BETTER PART OF THE REGION.
/ISSUED 258 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015/ EPIC WEATHER DAY IN SOUTH TEXAS WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND A DRIER AIRMASS IN PLACE, THANKS TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN SATURDAY, BACK CLOSER TO 90F ACROSS A BETTER PART OF THE REGION.