Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
MAIN HIGHLIGHT FOR THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN THE LOWER VALLEY. THIS INDICATES SOME LINGERING MOISTURE IS STILL OVER THE LOWER VALLEY AS OF 19Z THIS AFTERNOON. DRY AIR ABOVE 5000 FEET IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE REGION AS BROAD MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO TEXAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. LATEST 12Z NAM AND GFS MODEL RUN CONTINUE TO DEPICT A LIGHT E TO SE WIND ACROSS THE AREA WITH DEWPOINTS INCREASING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S. MODELS SUGGEST LOWER POPS TODAY IN THE LOWER VALLEY AND OVER THE GULF WATERS AND EVEN SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS OVER A SLIGHTLY LARGER AREA MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 69C THURSDAY. ANOTHER ELEMENT OF THE HIGH DEW POINTS WHICH IS HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME DEVELOPING IS FOG.
724 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFF THE COAST TONIGHT. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH ON THURSDAY AND CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH BROUGHT A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS TO CENTRAL AREAS TODAY WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A SMALL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING THIS FRONT WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT AS THE STRATOCUMULUS DISSIPATES. TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.
Mostly clear skies will continue tonight through the majority of tomorrow as upper level ridging to the west and troffing in the east places western Kansas under dry northwest flow aloft. Dry conditions continue through the weekend as upper level ridging shifts eastward and into the Plains.
THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT REX BLOCKING PATTERN HAS SET UP ALONG THE PAC COAST SLOWING DOWN THE UPPER FLOW. LONG WAVE TROUGH IS SITTING ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS. A COLD FRONT IS SITTING ACROSS NEAR THE MT/CNDN BORDER INTO NRN ND. COOLER TEMPS EXPECTED THU WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S.
1231 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH LATE WEEK.
1210 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY RIDGE INTO THE REGION FROM THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT. THE NEXT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TEND TO BUILD ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. BUT A TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THE RIDGE WILL BE SHORT LIVED BUT WILL BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SEASONABLE HIGHS ON THURSDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WITH THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON THUS FAR WILL PRESS IN QUICKLY THURSDAY EVENING.
WINDS WILL ORGANIZE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND NORTHERN GULF. WITH AMPLE CAPE AND MOISTURE IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE THERE IS LITTLE INHIBITION TO SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA WITH LEE TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. MAIN STORY FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL BE A COLD FRONT THAT IS STILL EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THU. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW CAUSING WINDS TO BE NORTHEASTERLY AND STRONGER AROUND 15 TO 20 KTS.
755 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT.
A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN MANITOBA AND SASKATCHEWAN AS OF 19 UTC THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROPAGATE SOUTH ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY MORNING.
LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTH AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES.
633 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 A STRONG AREA OF PACIFIC CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR A POTENTIAL FIRST FREEZE OF THE FALL SEASON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY. WITH HIGHS ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. THE STRONGEST COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO NORTHERN/NORTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE HIGHS WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
THE SPREADING OF ANY FIRES THAT DO OCCUR OR ARE ONGOING PRESENT A CONCERN THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE IN THE LOWER TEENS WITH VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE.
THEN SOME CLEARING WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ANY CLEARING WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING AND INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.
UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY FOR CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
Weak high pressure centered just to our west will drift across the area overnight while a cold front, currently over eastern South Dakota, will track towards the forecast area late tonight. 1020 MB high pressure over western IA and ridging south into the Ozarks will drift east into the mid MS river valley overnight and into central KY/mid TN by sunrise Thu. An unseasonably mild day is expected Thursday ahead of a strong cold front, with widespread high temperatures in the 70s. Guidance has continued to trend drier along the cold front as it crosses the forecast area late Thursday afternoon into the evening.
Expect similar temperatures on Thursday, although record highs are a few degrees warmer at both sites. /ISSUED 339 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015/ (Today and Tonight) Dry conditions will continue for the next 24 hours, with afternoon highs today slightly warmer than yesterday. Thus, highs today will likely be a couple degrees warmer, especially given sunny skies and relatively light surface winds.
813 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2015 An upper level ridge will begin to strengthen over the next several days, bringing warm and dry weather.
UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY BECOMES LESS PRONOUNCED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE AREA.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BUT THERE WILL BE LITTLE IMPACT. COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPILL INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY.
1056 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
A cold front is expected to dip into northeast Oklahoma later tomorrow afternoon.
A cold front will move through the CWA Thursday evening, ushering in cooler and drier air.
A MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP QUICKLY THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT. CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. TEMPS ARE REALLY THE ONLY FOCUS FOR THE UPDATE WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. AREA OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH WESTERN MINNESOTA AND THE DAKOTAS THIS EVENING. URBAN AREAS SHOULD REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER IN THE 40S. SECONDARY ISSUE IS THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES AS A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL DROP TO SOME OF THE COOLEST READINGS SO FAR THIS YOUNG SEASON.
639 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 AN AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING OVER ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DRY ON THURSDAY.
807 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 A WEAK SFC TROF WAS JUST MOVING INTO NW WI AT 01Z. SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS PERSISTED WITH THE TROF. MOSTLY CLEAR BEHIND THE TROF. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING SOUTH OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL REACH NORTHERN MINNESOTA TOMORROW MORNING. FALLING BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHLAND BY THE EVENING HOURS. LATEST NAM/GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW CAPE IN THE SATURATED LAYER ABOVE THE FREEZING LEVEL. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT WITH A DUSTING OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LAKE AND COOK COUNTIES. THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL DIVE SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THURSDAY NIGHT.
Low temperatures tonight should be a few degrees warmer than the previous night for most of the forecast area, and close to seasonal normals for mid October. Look for lows tonight a few degrees warmer than this morning with lows generally in the 40s. temperatures will rebound very quickly ahead of a fast approaching cold front. Highs will range from the mid 70s across northeast Missouri to the low 80s from central Missouri into portions of the St.
THE MAIN 500 MB TROUGH AXIS MOVES OFF THE EASTERN SEA BOARD.
Light winds and seasonably cool airmass will allow temperatures to fall into the lower 50s overnight.
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING THURSDAY.
614 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 1020 MB high pressure over western IA and ridging south into the Ozarks will drift east into the mid MS river valley overnight and into central KY/mid TN by sunrise Thu. An unseasonably mild day is expected Thursday ahead of a strong cold front, with widespread high temperatures in the 70s. Guidance has continued to trend drier along the cold front as it crosses the forecast area late Thursday afternoon into the evening.
1128 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY WILL SEND A COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS TOMORROW.
548 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2015 12Z H5 ANALYSIS SHOWS EXTENSIVE PHASING OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF NOAM TRANSITIONING TO STRONG RIDGING OFF THE THE LEFT COAST. THE REX LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN UNDER THE RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTLINE. THE STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
928 PM MST WED OCT 14 2015 A SLOW MOVING PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
1004 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFF THE COAST OVERNIGHT. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH ON THURSDAY AND CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH BROUGHT A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS TO CENTRAL AREAS TODAY WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A SMALL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING THIS FRONT WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT AS THE STRATOCUMULUS DISSIPATES. TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.
SECONDARY CONCERN IS A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE LOWER- LEVELS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY AS THE FRONT PASSES. WILL COME CLOSE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TO THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN HIGHS 2-3 DEGREES COOLER AND WE SHOULD SEE SOME UPPER 60S ACROSS THE NORTH. HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT WILL BEGIN AGAIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A VORT MAX SWINGS THROUGH THE UPPER TROUGH AND ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.
A WEAK TROUGH WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE AREA AND THERE IS SOME WEAK FORCING IS PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST IOWA. THE COMBINATION OF THE CLOUD COVER AND THE WIND SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY WILL KEEP TEMPS SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER OVERNIGHT THAN WE HAD SEEN THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF NIGHTS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE VALLEYS AND SO MODEL BLENDS WERE TWEAKED TO BE A LITTLE COOLER IN VALLEYS. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE A PATTERN CHANGE TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AS WESTERN TROF ADVANCES INTO THE MIDWEST. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ADVECT SOUTHWARD INTO THE MIDWEST BEHIND THE SYSTEM WITH THE COOLEST AIR OF THE FALL SO FAR.
AN UNSEASONABLY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS HAS OVERTAKEN THE REGION AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SEWD OVER N CENTRAL FL. SKIES EXPECTED TO BE CLEAR WITH LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
823 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
630 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING SOUTH OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL REACH NORTHERN MINNESOTA TOMORROW MORNING. FALLING BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHLAND BY THE EVENING HOURS. LATEST NAM/GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW CAPE IN THE SATURATED LAYER ABOVE THE FREEZING LEVEL. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT WITH A DUSTING OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LAKE AND COOK COUNTIES. THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL DIVE SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THURSDAY NIGHT.
STRONG PUSH BY A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS TO ABOUT 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25-30KTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
1240 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2015 A COLD FRONT MOVED OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY PASSES OVER THE AREA THURSDAY.
1112 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 A STRONG AREA OF PACIFIC CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR A POTENTIAL FIRST FREEZE OF THE FALL SEASON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY. WITH HIGHS ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. THE STRONGEST COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO NORTHERN/NORTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE HIGHS WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
WITH ALI AND VCT EXPECTED TO HAVE THE LOWEST CONDITIONS. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST OF THE AREA WILL KEEP WEATHER PATTERN QUIET AND DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD. EAST-SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER SURFACE-85H LAYER INTO THE COASTAL BEND THURSDAY. LEANED TOWARD THE COOLER NAM FORECAST HIGHS FOR THURSDAY.
A BIT WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SURFACE MAP THIS AFTERNOON FEATURES HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER IA WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHERN MN. WILL BE WATCHING THAT COLD FRONT MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION BY SUNRISE WHILE A MID-LEVEL TROUGH ROTATES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE RIVER REGION. AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH/STRONG 500-300MB PV ANOMALY PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PLAN ON HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO THE LOWER 60S.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH TOMORROW.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA WITH LEE TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. MAIN STORY FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL BE A COLD FRONT THAT IS STILL EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THU. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE IS STILL OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
AS DEW POINTS INCREASE UP TOWARDS A COOLING TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 60S. BEFORE LARGER HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS NOSING OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.
959 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
LOOK FOR INCREASES IN MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER AS THE UPPER LOW DRAWS NEARER TO THE STATE AND A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT PUSHES IN FROM THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HANG ON FOR ONE MORE DAY BEFORE A STRONG BACKDOOR COLD FRONT PLOWS THROUGH EASTERN NEW MEXICO THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT.
958 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WITH VERY DRY AIRMASS (00Z LCH SOUNDING PRECIP H20 0. AFTERNOON TEMPS THAT HAD REACHED THE LOWER/MID 90S ALREADY FALLEN INTO THE 60S THIS EVENING DUE TO THE DRY AIRMASS. CLEAR SKIES & CALM WINDS AND THE DRY AIRMASS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO CONTINUE FALLING INTO THE LOWER/MID 50S BY DAYBREAK. EXPECTING HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S.
1027 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON. THE HIGH PRESSURE AXIS WILL WORK FROM KENTUCKY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. AT THE SAME TIME A COLD FRONT WILL WORK EWD FROM THE MS VALLEY TOWARDS THE FA. THURSDAY STARTS OFF WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF A SHOWER IN THE LOWER SCIOTO VALLEY.
629 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY. WITH HIGHS ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. THE STRONGEST COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO NORTHERN/NORTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE HIGHS WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
730 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON. AN AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS KENTUCKY TONIGHT. IN GENERAL MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 40S. THE HIGH PRESSURE AXIS WILL WORK FROM KENTUCKY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. AT THE SAME TIME A COLD FRONT WILL WORK EWD FROM THE MS VALLEY TOWARDS THE FA. THURSDAY STARTS OFF WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF A SHOWER IN THE LOWER SCIOTO VALLEY.
SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER AIR WILL OOZE SWD ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. COULD SEE A FEW U50S IN NORMALLY COOLER SHELTERED AREAS NEAR LAKE GEORGE AND THE OCALA FOREST.
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 49 77 52 73 / 0 0 0 0 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 48 73 48 70 / 0 0 0 10 OAK RIDGE, TN 47 74 49 68 / 0 0 0 20 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 41 69 44 68 / 0 0 10 20.
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. MIXED DEWPOINTS ARE ALSO DOWN INTO THE LOW/MID 20S. HOWEVER WITH THE HIGH CENTER STILL TO THE WEST WINDS FROM THE JAMES EAST WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH WITH ENOUGH MIXING TO STALL THE TEMPERATURE DROP FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS.
1201 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2015 SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AGAIN TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT.
1115 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY THE LATEST RAP ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MANITOBA. WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN ONTARIO. HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AS THE LOW DROPS SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LOW PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT. A RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES SOUTH OF THE LOW. THEN DEEPER MOISTURE WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LOW OVER ONTARIO AND FILTER SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 50S TO LOW 60S. THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BECOME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD UPPER TROUGH AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN STATES.
WITH A THURSDAY NIGHT COLD FRONT BRINGING THE BEST SHOWER CHANCES. LOWS NEAR FREEZING ARE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND. JUST A TREND TOWARD CLEARING A COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY. FRIES ALL AREAS SHOULD BE PARTLY CLOUDY MUCH OF THU AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
Gusty north to northeast winds will develop following the passage of a cold front late Thursday and Thursday evening, with gusts over 20 knots at times. A cold front is expected to dip into northeast Oklahoma later tomorrow afternoon.
643 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 FOR 00Z TAFS /ISSUED 239 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015/ THE 19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED THAT THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WAS REMAINING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WITH SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. AND IN THE LOW-MID 80S IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA.
A WARM FRONT STRETCHED ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE OKLAHOMA/KANSAS STATE LINE OVERNIGHT, MAINTAINING EASTERLY SFC WINDS ACROSS TERMINALS IN NORTHWEST AND FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA, WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS OUR REMAINING TERMINALS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN BE ADVANCING BACK ACROSS OUR AREA AS A COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CHANCES FOR TSRA POPS ALONG THE COLD FRONT REMAIN TOO LOW AT THIS POINT FOR ANY PROBS TO REPORT IN THE TAFS.
NO RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS AS SFC RIDGING DOMINATES THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. AND 1000-850MB THICKNESS VALUES SUPPORT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S EAST TO UPPER 80S WEST ON THURSDAY.
MADE A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WINDS AND A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER TONIGHT IN THE NORTHEAST CORNER. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES WILL HELP PUSH A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHEASTERN COLORADO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND PRODUCE GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ON THE PLAINS AND PALMER DIVIDE WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY WITH HIGH IN THE 60S. AS MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL FLIRT WITH THE FREEZING MARK ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER.
GENERALLY COOLER AROUND THE LOWER 50S OVER EASTERN SECTIONS.
625 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 WEATHER CONCERNS EARLY THIS EVENING IS WHETHER -SHRA/SPRINKLES DEVELOP ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR MOVING ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN QUARTER OF MINNESOTA.
/ISSUED 339 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015/ (Today and Tonight) Dry conditions will continue for the next 24 hours, with afternoon highs today slightly warmer than yesterday. Thus, highs today will likely be a couple degrees warmer, especially given sunny skies and relatively light surface winds.
QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED JUST TO OUR WEST. THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLE SHOULD ENTER OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES MID TO LATE AFTERNOON BRINGING A NORTH- NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHIFT AND WE ARE ALSO EXPECTED SOME INCREASE IN HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDINESS LATE IN THE DAY. BUT THE REALITY CHECK IS THAT THE STACKED LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS PATTERN CHANGE IS STILL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN CA WITH 3 MORE DAYS IN THE BALANCE BEFORE IT PHASES WITH A VIGOROUS TROUGH EXITING THE GULF OF ALASKA AND MOVES EAST.
637 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER WEST TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE INCREASING SURFACE WINDS DUE TO A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL COAST THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH.
819 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2015 COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS NATRONA AND FREMONT COUNTIES THIS EVENING. TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH AND WEST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BRINGING COOLER AIR. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER. THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO WASH SOUTH AND WEST THURSDAY NIGHT. BRINGING A COOLER AND SLIGHTLY WETTER AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA. THOUGH THE FRONT WILL BRING COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A FROST IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS EAST OF THE DIVIDE.
931 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD THROUGH THURSDAY.
946 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE SLIDING TO THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
620 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2015 SURFACE MAP THIS AFTERNOON FEATURES HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER IA WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHERN MN. WILL BE WATCHING THAT COLD FRONT MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION BY SUNRISE WHILE A MID-LEVEL TROUGH ROTATES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE RIVER REGION. AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH/STRONG 500-300MB PV ANOMALY PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PLAN ON HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO THE LOWER 60S.
901 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2015 A COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY PASSES OVER THE AREA THURSDAY.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
MODELS CONTINUE THEIR TREND OF SLOWING THE ARRIVAL OF THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH TONIGHT AND COLD FRONT TOMORROW. HAS SHOWN A WARM BIAS SO TRENDED TOWARD THE COOLER GUIDANCE FOR THE MINS. COLD FRONT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT ARRIVES UNTIL LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON.