Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
1239 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Tonight through Thursday night) Weak ridging over TX is keeping skies clear to partly cloudy this afternoon. Seasonal temperatures are expected to continue through tomorrow night with highs ranging from the low 80s to the low 90s. Tonight, expect lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s, but with some weak low level moisture return over the next 24-36 hours and increasing high clouds streaming in from the WSW it will be a couple degrees warmer for Thursday night.
Today will be dry, with temperatures reaching the upper 70s to low 80s as warm air advects in ahead of a more impactful cold front. The cold front, associated with a longwave digging through south central Canada and the Great Lakes region, will pass this evening into overnight.
308 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 First strong cold front of the fall season pushing through the upper Midwest and is on the doorstep of the Twin Cities. Temperatures in the 20s and 30s in Manitoba! Key message: Strong cold front arrives today! Today: Strong cold front will be pushing into our nw cwa later this morning and then exiting our southeast counties this afternoon. But before that, ahead of the front, temperatures will be pushing into the lower to mid 70s south of Highway 30. Tonight: North winds diminish and along with clear to partly cloudy skies temperatures will be much cooler. Lows should range from the mid to upper 30s north to the lower 40s south.
357 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 One more mild day is ahead before a strong cold front moves across the area.
The primary feature influencing our weather through the end of the week is a mid/upper level trough that currently extends from north-central Mexico to the Upper Midwest. This front will quickly push through the area late Thursday night into early Friday morning bringing much cooler air into the region.
401 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Clouds and seasonable temperatures will prevail today with a passing trough, though a cold front Friday will introduce rain chances and provide for a much cooler weekend ahead. A cold front will encroach upon the northwestern zones by the late overnight hours. A surface cold front will enter northwestern counties around the beginning of the forecast period on Friday morning. The forecast period will initiate with building high pressure and cold air aloft with the arrival of a continental polar airmass behind the aforementioned cold front.
A broad area of low pressure over southern Arizona and northwest Mexico through the weekend with easterly flow, moisture will push back westward for slight chance of showers and thunderstorms primarily over northwest Arizona and southeast California.
Breezy to gusty northeasterly winds will also weaken through the day as aforementioned Canadian high pressure works into the area. By late tonight, the high should be centered over the forecast area. As the high moves off to the southeast, return flow will lead to a warming trend through the weekend with highs bouncing back into the 60s. Models are pretty consistent in a trough off Canadian upper low pressure bulldozing the ridge. Deterministic models seem to have trended more towards the idea of low pressure splitting off the trough and become cut- off in the southwest CONUS. This solution brings a less amplified and more progressive trough through the forecast area. The end result being lower end precipitation chances and warmer air than otherwise would be advected in.
211 AM MDT Thu Oct 6 2022 A short wave in NW flow aloft is currently moving through NE Montana early this morning behind a cold front. High pressure moves into the area today with clearing skies and cooler temperatures that will be in the 50s for highs in most areas and upper 40s in the east. The high moves to the east on Friday and warmer temperatures move in with an upper ridge over the weekend.
An upper level trough will dig into the northern plains Thursday night. Ahead of the associated cold front, temperatures will warm nicely into the 70s Thursday afternoon. The aforementioned cold front will arrive in southwestern Nebraska Thursday evening and western Kansas Thursday night. Chances for rain will increase by early Friday morning as the surface cooler air arrives and the mid level thermal gradient increases. Those locations that experience rain during the early to mid afternoon could stay cooler, with highs possibly only in the upper 40s.
An upper level trough will dig into the northern plains Thursday night. Ahead of the associated cold front, temperatures will warm nicely into the 70s Thursday afternoon.
(Today through Friday) High pressure will remain over the Southeastern United States, as a weak cold front washes out to the south over the Florida Keys.
(Today and tonight) Weak surface ridging over the southeast US will keep our weather tranquil with light west to northwest winds.
219 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Clouds and seasonable temperatures will prevail today with a passing trough, though a cold front Friday will introduce rain chances and provide for a much cooler weekend ahead. Additionally, winds have been calm, and are anticipated to stay that way through the morning under a high pressure ridge axis. That system is emerging from a longwave trough/strong cold front which is projected across the Great Lakes and over the Upper Ohio by Thursday night into Friday morning.
245 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Issued 245 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022) Today through Friday: A few sprinkles will be possible early this morning across southeastern Wisconsin, as an upper level trough pushes southeastward into central Indiana. Attention then turns to the strong cold front that will pass through the area today. A band of showers is also expected to develop along the front, with the highest concentration over the eastern half of the area. Cool and breezy conditions are expected on Friday, though winds will start to decrease by afternoon as high pressure builds into the area.
1218 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (This evening through Thursday) The closed low over southern New Mexico has begun to slowly lift north, and will continue doing so through the overnight with a slight shift westward as well. The ongoing activity is associated with the best lift out ahead of the circulation and elevated arm of baroclinic instability that will gradually shift west and north through the afternoon and evening as the upper low moves into central New Mexico. The highest rainfall totals will continue to be along the state line, though as mentioned earlier, a little farther south than previously thought.
(Now through Friday) A fairly zonal flow aloft prevails over the area through the period while a large and broad upper trof evolves over interior eastern states. Highs on Thursday range from the lower 80s well inland to the mid 80s elsewhere. Lows Thursday night range from the mid 50s well inland to the lower 60s at the immediate coast, then highs on Friday will be in the mid to upper 80s.
1210 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (This afternoon through Thursday Night) Stacked high pressure was bringing another nice day with very dry air, full sunshine, and temps in the 70s. Surface winds will become south southwest on Thursday as a cold front approaches. The cold front will move through late Thursday night with no significant wx thanks to a continued very dry airmass.
1154 PM EDT Wed Oct 5 2022 Clouds and seasonable temperatures will prevail today with a passing trough, though a cold front Friday will introduce rain chances and provide for a much cooler weekend ahead. Additionally, winds have been calm, and are anticipated to stay that way through the morning under a high pressure ridge axis. That system is emerging from a longwave trough/strong cold front which is projected across the Great Lakes and over the Upper Ohio by Thursday night into Friday morning.
Mid aftn readings ranged fm the mid 70s to the lower 80s. The fnt wl eventually work to the south of AR on Fri, with a reinforcing shot of cooler/drier to follow. The main push of cooler air wl be noted just beyond this PD as we head into the weekend.
Scattered fair weather cu has managed to form in the slightly elevated moisture layer between about 3-5kft this afternoon, but this likely won't last long after sunset as high pressure at the surface and weak ridging aloft again stabilize the atmosphere.
On track to be slightly warmer than average today with highs in the mid 70s with a few upper 70s down south. Water vapor imagery showing us in northerly flow aloft with an upper low spinning off to the northeast. Tomorrow a strong cold front comes through and will lead to a large temperature gradient from north to south across the CWA. Unlike a typical cold front rain and winds will lag behind the front with winds expected to pick up more during the afternoon. Friday will see much cooler temperatures on the backside of the cold front with highs only in the 40s and 50s.
A strong cold front will move through late tonight/early Thursday ushering in much cooler temperatures for the end of the work week. Thursday's high temperature will likely occur in the early morning hours as it tops out in the low to mid 50s before gradually cooling throughout the afternoon hours. Thursday night will be cold with most locations dropping into the low to mid 30s. The urban heat island core will be warmer but not much warmer with lows a degree or two above freezing.
High pressure will keep temperatures above average through the weekend. Skies will remain mostly clear under the ridge. Today, the ridge axis will remain west of the Northern Rockies with a trough of low pressure over the northern Midwest. This setup will put the Northern Rockies under northwest flow aloft with a tightening pressure gradient as the ridge amplifies northwards and the trough digs south. Expect gusts of about 20 mph in the higher terrain along the Continental Divide.
332 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Dry high pressure will remain in place through the weekend and keep a general NE/E flow across the area with winds turning to the N/NW near the coast in the afternoons.
229 AM MDT Thu Oct 6 2022 A cold front was dropping through the area from the north and east overnight, bringing breezy northeasterly winds and ushering in cooler temperatures.
1222 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (This evening through Thursday night) 18z WV satellite reveals a longwave positively tilted upper trough over the central CONUS with an upper low over NM. At the surface, a cold front has pushed southward, with temperatures largely in the 60s as a result. A series of disturbances moving northeastward around the NM upper low have kicked off showers in the Panhandles with a few rumbles of thunder to our south near LUB. Today into tonight, expect shower potential to continue to focus on a smaller and smaller area of the Panhandles as the upper low over NM shifts southwestward, depriving much of our area of sufficient lift for showers. Thursday, expect temperatures to continue to be around or cooler than normal as 700mb moisture remains supportive of at least partly cloudy conditions.
205 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Aviation - Band of showers and isolated thunderstorms Thursday Models are in relative agreement on tracking the cold front south southeastward through the CWA during the day on Thursday. which is where the SPC HREF 24 hr QPF LPMM is the highest.
High pressure remains the dominant weather pattern for the next several days. Strong warm ridge remains anchored over the Western States. Overnight remain relatively mild with many locations staying above freezing.
725 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Clouds and seasonable temperatures will prevail today with a passing trough, though a cold front Friday will introduce rain chances and provide for a much cooler weekend ahead. A cold front will encroach upon the northwestern zones by the late overnight hours. A surface cold front will enter northwestern counties around the beginning of the forecast period on Friday morning. The forecast period will initiate with building high pressure and cold air aloft with the arrival of a continental polar airmass behind the aforementioned cold front.
High temperatures will approach 90 degrees for most in the region as thickness/heights increase with the H5 ridge over the western Atlantic spreading west over the Gulf.
953 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 A dry atmospheric column and high pressure both at the surface and aloft will yield another warm, but quiet weather day across the region.
733 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Today through Friday) High pressure will remain over the Southeastern United States, as a weak cold front washes out to the south over the Florida Keys.
743 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Through Tonight) High pressure will be over the area through Tonight, with dry air mass remaining in place.
(Today and tonight) Persistence forecast is in order today with weak upper level ridging in place over west central Texas.
325 AM MDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Temperatures have cooled to near average after a cold front moved through North-central Montana. The cooler air mass moves away to the east on Friday. A backdoor cold front moved into North-central Montana overnight, producing a shift to east-northeast winds and an increase in lower clouds. Aside from this backdoor front today, the overall pattern remains anchored by a high amplitude ridge over the western CONUS.
627 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Today through Friday) This AM, persistent but weakening E Conus surface ridging will be present through today. The low should push SEWD toward N KY today into tonight and drag the cold front SE toward the NW fringes of AL. We should get another shot of cooler air into C AL with the airmass behind the front having a 1030 plus mb ridge.
A low pressure system will linger over northwest Mexico and southern Arizona with a chance of showers and thunderstorms through the coming weekend. Low pressure elongating through western New Mexico and southern Arizona will continue to bring elevated shower and thunderstorm chances. The low ultimately will try to cut off as it sags into northwest Mexico and southern AZ over the next 36 hours. This time of year, with hybrid cooler core lows, precipitable water values between 3/4 and 1 inch are more than sufficient for convection. Friday looks interesting with convective banding in the northeast quadrant of the low setting up for SE AZ.
While most of the area should expect to be dry on Thursday, an inverted trough will move into the off shore waters bringing with it an increase in rain chances across the Gulf during the afternoon. This inverted trough will move closer to our coast further increasing rain chances Thursday night. It should be noted that our rain chances vary from isolated to scattered at most, with the highest chances occurring on early Friday morning through Friday afternoon, east of interstate 69C/US-281. Lows will be in the range of 70's to upper 60's, while the highs will be in the 80's to low 90's. Areas where there is more cloud coverage may see lower temperatures during the day and a bit warmer temperatures at night.
The cold front is now south of our CWA and CAA continues to push south with coldest 850 MB still to our north (set to arrive later today). Signal is for a slight recover to near 50 for some warmer locations on Friday, but many locations still look to hold in the 40s (especially in our east). Guidance struggles with the introduction of a troughs development and track across the northern plains.
High pressure will remain over the area through the first part of the weekend.
An unseasonably dry air mass and surface ridging will continue fair conditions today. Upper ridge axis overhead will boost temperatures back toward the mid 80s this afternoon, which is normal for early October. Lows will be warmer tonight with mid/upper 50s inland and low/mid 60s at the coast. (Through Tonight) High pressure will be over the area through Tonight, with dry air mass remaining in place.
The high pressure will continue to bring dry weather to the area with only a few clouds expected. Afternoon highs will top out in the lower to middle 80s for all locations. Broad high pressure has settled in over the southeast U. and will ridge across the waters producing rain-free conditions through the end of the week.
First strong cold front of the fall season pushing through the upper Midwest and is on the doorstep of the Twin Cities. Temperatures in the 20s and 30s in Manitoba! Key message: Strong cold front arrives today! Today: Strong cold front will be pushing into our nw cwa later this morning and then exiting our southeast counties this afternoon. But before that, ahead of the front, temperatures will be pushing into the lower to mid 70s south of Highway 30. Tonight: North winds diminish and along with clear to partly cloudy skies temperatures will be much cooler. Lows should range from the mid to upper 30s north to the lower 40s south.
However, still can't rule out an isold aftn shower or storm, over the higher terrain, south of I-70. For tonight, a cold front will move across the plains with easterly low level flow developing. The cold front passing through Thursday night will lead to much cooler temperatures for Friday. Middle Park may end up being the warm spot in the CWA with highs in the low to mid 60s.
Temperatures have cooled to near average after a cold front moved through North-central Montana. The cooler air mass moves away to the east on Friday. A backdoor cold front moved into North-central Montana overnight, producing a shift to east-northeast winds and an increase in lower clouds. Aside from this backdoor front today, the overall pattern remains anchored by a high amplitude ridge over the western CONUS.
Pleasant weather continues today with high pressure anchoring over the local area. Slightly below normal temperatures today, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s, and overnight lows in the low 60s across the interior, and mid to upper 60s towards the coast. High pressure will settle into central FL, with light northerly drainage flow veering to a light NE breeze this afternoon.
612 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 One more mild day is ahead before a strong cold front moves across the area.
813 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Clouds and seasonable temperatures will prevail today with a passing trough, though a cold front Friday will introduce rain chances and provide for a much cooler weekend ahead. A cold front will encroach upon the northwestern zones by the late overnight hours. Daytime highs will be much cooler in the 50s as cold air moves in behind the front. The forecast period will initiate with building high pressure and cold air aloft with the arrival of a continental polar airmass behind the aforementioned cold front.
422 AM MDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Ridging will keep seasonal to slightly above normal temps and mainly clear skies around another day. A weak cold front dips out of Canada today, and will slide southwestward across east of the Divide areas through the afternoon. Diurnal heating will act to scatter out the low clouds by mid-day, but given time of year, the sun will have a hard time warming things up once the clouds scatter out. Highs east of the Divide in those Basin locations will be 10 to 12 degrees cooler than today as a result. Precipitation will be minimal with the front, and have kept PoPs on the lower end as a result. Given slightly cooler air with the front, snow would be possible generally above 9000 feet.
Dry high pressure will remain in place through the weekend and keep a general NE/E flow across the area with winds turning to the N/NW near the coast in the afternoons.
Temperatures currently are near 80 degree with dew points in the lower 70s. Given the northeast flow in the lowest levels, a cloud line in name only could develop again over the islands, especially the Lower Keys. However, given the low PWats still in place, will nudge PoPs slightly down for the remainder of the day. High pressure will settle in across the southeastern U. Light to gentle breezes will gradually freshen to moderate to fresh as the high builds over the coming days.
613 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Today and tonight) Weak surface ridging over the southeast US will keep our weather tranquil with light west to northwest winds.
626 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Today through Friday) A cut off upper level low across New Mexico and Arizona early this morning will move southwest into Sonora and Baja California through the day. High temperatures in the mid 80s to low 90s continue today and Friday, with low temperatures modifying slightly warmer Friday morning given the increased cloud cover.
621 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 (Today and tonight) Persistence forecast is in order today with weak upper level ridging in place over west central Texas.
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 A cold front approaches the area later today.
312 PM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 A cold front has moved across central Illinois with gusty northwest winds to ushering in a colder air mass.
105 PM MDT SUN JUN 26 2016 Storms began developing over the SW San Juans shortly after 11 am MDT with some starting to also form along the higher peaks of the SW Colorado valleys such as Sleeping Ute Mountain and the Mancos Ridge south of Cortez. Light steering flow from the north- northwest may cause some storms to drift off the higher terrain late in the day so increased pops to add isolated mention of storms to the SW Colorado valleys with little enhancement over those mentioned peaks. Conditions will be similar Monday as the high becomes centered over central Utah.
244 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2016 High pressure off the east coast will continue the very warm but dry weather for our area today into this evening. A low pressure trough will move through the region Monday and Monday evening with a few showers and storms.
A Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough remains over West Texas near Midland while upper level highs are centered over the Four Corners area and also over southern Arkansas/northern Louisiana. The 3 pm CDT surface analysis indicates that a cold front extended from southwestern Michigan southwestwards through northwestern Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle into central New Mexico.
SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night): Upper low continues to spin across west Texas (near Midland) this afternoon, while deep layer moisture continues to press west into Mexico and become somewhat more diffuse farther south, including Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley.
The latest water vapor satellite imagery shows an upper low centered over west Texas early this morning. Convection to the east of the low continues. The upper low should move little today, with perhaps a slight northward drift. The upper low will weaken while moving farther west on Monday.
329 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016 A cold front will back southwest into extreme northern Nebraska this evening then further west to the high plains this week to be the focus for thunderstorm development. The cold front moving through South Dakota's will move into far northern Nebraska this evening.
123 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2016 High pressure to remain in control of the weather across the North Country through Sunday evening.
242 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2016 High pressure ridging into the forecast area from the northeast will weaken Monday. Moisture will increase Monday night ahead of a cold front.
408 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016 A broad area of high pressure covers the southern half of the conus with a small low pressure center over southwest Texas. This low pressure will continue bringing moisture into the Panhandles. Models vary each day in the eastward extent of the high pressure center, with the NAM being the most limited in extent.
305 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016 19z/2pm surface analysis shows cold front slowly dropping southward toward the I-72 corridor. The cold front should be along or just south of I-70 Monday morning with any lingering threat for showers/storms exiting our southern counties during the morning. Somewhat drier air will slowly filter south into our area during the day but temperatures will not show much affect from the first cold front as afternoon temperatures rise to around 90 far north to the lower 90s central and south. A second cold front is slated to push south into our area later Monday afternoon and evening but with the deeper moisture shunted just south of our area from the first frontal boundary, will continue to keep it dry tomorrow into tomorrow evening.