Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
641 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE AND A COOL AIRMASS WILL CONTROL THE REGIONS WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL DOWN INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 50S.
624 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 RAISED SKY COVER A LITTLE WITH HIGH CIRRUS SPILLING OVER UPPER RIDGE AND SLIDING SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WARM AIR ADVECTION UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PRODUCE TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD AS A COLD FRONT DRIVES SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT.
526 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS TO OUR SOUTH WITH THE 850MB FRONT PRODUCING A WIDE SPREAD SHIELD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WITH SOME HEAVY ELEMENTS ALONG WITH ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 MORE OR LESS.
849 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 ON THIS MORNINGS WEATHER MAP A LARGE REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED ACROSS THE CENTRAL US WITH A DRY TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS ALBERTA. RAISED SKY COVER A LITTLE WITH HIGH CIRRUS SPILLING OVER UPPER RIDGE AND SLIDING SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WARM AIR ADVECTION UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PRODUCE TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY.
836 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS TODAY. DRY AND COOL SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN. MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN ADVANCE OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AND REINFORCING COLD FRONT. EXPECT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TO REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY UNTIL TROUGH SHIFTS EAST. BEST MOISTURE WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH AND RIDGES WHERE CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL DIMINISH TOWARD SUNRISE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
409 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 COLD FRONT NOW SLICING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF ALABAMA CONTINUED TO PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH.
345 AM MST SAT NOV 7 2015 A RETURN TO WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS OF THE AMERICAN SOUTHWEST. WARM TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MONTANA TOWARDS THE EDGE OF INFLUENCE FROM THE RIDGE.
/ISSUED 526 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015/ THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS TO OUR SOUTH WITH THE 850MB FRONT PRODUCING A WIDE SPREAD SHIELD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WITH SOME HEAVY ELEMENTS ALONG WITH ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 MORE OR LESS.
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN TO THE REGION STARTING THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COAST LATER TODAY BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON STARTING AROUND THE ORCA BORDER AND MOVING SOUTHWARD.
638 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS TODAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CLIMB VERY LITTLE AS THE THERMAL TROUGH POSITIONS OVERHEAD WITH WINDS MIXING DOWN THE COLDER AIR. EVERYWHERE ELSE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE AT LEAST BROKEN CLOUD COVER AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THIS EVENING. INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS NORTH OF I-80 AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY SHUT DOWN PRECIPITATION EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
MAIN WEATHER FEATURE IS LEE SIDE TROFFING WHICH WILL CAUSE BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE WESTERN ZONES.
835 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS TODAY. DRY AND COOL SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN. MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN ADVANCE OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AND REINFORCING COLD FRONT. EXPECT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TO REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY UNTIL TROUGH SHIFTS EAST. BEST MOISTURE WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH AND RIDGES WHERE CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL DIMINISH TOWARD SUNRISE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
909 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 A COLD FRONT CROSSED THE REGION OVERNIGHT. WITH GUSTY WINDS USHERING IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE FOR TODAY. EVEN COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. GUSTY W/NW WINDS HAVE CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. WE'LL SEE SOME UPSLOPE CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SPRINKLES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ELSEWHERE IN GUSTY DOWNSLOPE FLOW. BROAD UPPER LONG WAVE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS IN PLACE IN THE EAST AND AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO THE WEST COAST DIGGING LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS WILL MEAN HIGH PRESSURE BECOMING CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEAST WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND WITH SUNNY DAYS AND CLEAR NIGHTS THROUGH MIDWEEK. LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL SEAS THROUGH MIDWEEK UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
542 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 AT H5 UPPER HIGH TO THE EAST OF FLORIDA AND A TROUGH FROM EASTERN CANADA THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS INTO WESTERN CANADA. WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT AT 850MB AND LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SEE TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 50S. THE NORTHERN STREAM RIDGES NORTH INTO CANADA WHILE THE SOUTHERN STREAM TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES.
934 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 Lift in association with a small wave sliding across TX and ahead of a southeastward advancing longer wave upper trough brought some very light rain to portions of SE OK this morning.
UPPER AIR PLOTS AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING WEAKENING UPPER RIDGING OVER THE STATE WITH LONGWAVE TROUGH THROUGH THE PLAINS STATES FOR WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AS WESTERN GULF MOISTURE SLOWLY ADVECTS TOWARDS THE REGION. COLD FRONT OVER THE DEEP SOUTH KEEPING WARM AND MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS IN PLACE WITH SE-SW FLOW. COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST REGION TODAY TO KEEP SE-S WINDS OVER E GULF WATERS. EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TODAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.
606 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
954 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
WITH INFLUX OF COOLER AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT HIGHER IN THE WEST AND COOLER IN THE EAST DUE TO INCREASED MIXING/RETURN FLOW IN THE WEST. MON: WITH LOW PRESSURE DEEPING TO THE WEST. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHERLY LATE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE TRANSLATES EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE AREA.
445 AM PST SAT NOV 7 2015 A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUATION OF DRY WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL TRANSITION EAST ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY.
617 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 A COLD FRONT CROSSED THE REGION OVERNIGHT. WITH GUSTY WINDS USHERING IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE FOR TODAY. EVEN COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. WE'LL SEE SOME UPSLOPE CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SPRINKLES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ELSEWHERE IN GUSTY DOWNSLOPE FLOW. BROAD UPPER LONG WAVE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS IN PLACE IN THE EAST AND AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO THE WEST COAST DIGGING LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS WILL MEAN HIGH PRESSURE BECOMING CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEAST WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND WITH SUNNY DAYS AND CLEAR NIGHTS THROUGH MIDWEEK. LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL SEAS THROUGH MIDWEEK UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS HAS HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BUT WITH AN EXTENSION EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST. OVER E IOWA/W ILLINOIS WINDS WERE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST AND TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S FOR MOST AREAS.
557 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2015 MVFR CIGS PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES AND THESE CIGS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AS MOISTURE OVERRUNS A SHALLOW COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE ALONG THE GULF COAST.
WEAK IMPULSES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHER PRECIPITATION COVERAGE THAN RECENT DAYS. COOLER ALOFT WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER PCPN COVERAGE THAN RECENT DAYS AND PERHAPS A FEW AFTN TSRA'S. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OVER THE WESTERN ATLC WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD WITH THE APPROACH OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATE TODAY.
436 AM MST SAT NOV 7 2015 12Z TAF CYCLE COLD FRONT TO MOVE TO THE EAST SLOPES CENTRAL MT CHAIN AND INTO THE RGV 12Z-15Z WITH ELY WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30-35KT NEAR WEST FACING CANYONS AND PASSES.
Regional radars show that most of the rain associated with the cold front and developing frontal wave in the Gulf is remaining west of our forecast area thus far this morning.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ACROSS UTAH TODAY WILL SLIDE OFF TO EAST OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY.
1020 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE AND A COOL AIRMASS WILL CONTROL THE REGIONS WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. MAINLY OF THE HIGH VARIETY. TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. ONLY REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL DOWN INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS OF 50-55F SHOULD BE REACHED ON MOST OF THE PLAINS ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE JUST A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER THAN THAT WHERE DEEPER INVERSIONS EXIST AROUND FORT COLLINS-GREELEY.
MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING REMAINS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL PRODUCE A MORE SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST ONSHORE WIND FLOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS. THE HIGHEST COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES LATE AFTERNOON AS IT CONVERGES WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RIDGE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF WATERS.
156 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE NORTH TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS SOUTH FROM THE NORTH AND STALLS OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS COULD KEEP TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN YESTERDAY.
1217 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2015 /18Z TAFS/ The low clouds we saw across West Central Texas this morning have largely lifted at the terminal locations and expect VFR conditions for the remainder of the afternoon and evening. Afternoon highs today will range from the upper 80s, along our Interstate 10 corridor, to the lower 90s north of our Interstate 20 corridor.
THE MAIN FEATURE TO WATCH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY THAT IS PROGGED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. MODELS HAVE THE CENTER OF THIS LOW OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND THIS FEATURE SHOULD HELP WITH THE CONTINUED CHANCES OF CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. BUT WOULD EXPECT THE BEST AREAS TO BE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE UPPER LOW. TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL BE PRETTY PERSISTENT WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOR SUNNY AND WARM WEATHER.
149 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH A FEW SHOWERS. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THICK CLOUDS OVER THE AREA JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FROM WATERTOWN TO ERIE. COLD FRONT SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE AREA BY NOON THEN DRIER AIR COMES IN FROM THE NORTH CLEARING THE SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL DROP IN TONIGHT THEN MOVE EAST EARLY SATURDAY.
301 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A DEEP LAYER MEAN ANTICYCLONE PERSIST OVER THE ENTIRE REGION WITH DEEP EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW PREVAILING OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
BOOKENDING THIS ZONAL FLOW WERE TWO UPPER LEVEL LOWS. SHOULD SEE REDEVELOPMENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE COLD FRONT.
334 PM MDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BUILD INLAND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LOW. THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO FALL IN A SWATH ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOT AND HUMID AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SRN PLAINS STATES. AS THE MID LVL RIDGE SHIFTS FARTHER EAST TOWARD MID WEEK. WITH SFC DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
255 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A DEEPENING TROUGH MOVING OVER THE STRONG RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. WARM AIR COMING OVER THE RIDGE COMBINED WITH REMAINS OF BILL AND A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT- WAVE WILL KEEP IT UNSETTLED HERE.
1050 AM PDT FRI JUN 19 2015 Today will be cooler and the day to watch for scattered showers and thunderstorms across the northern mountains, and gusty winds combining with low relative humidity levels.
A WEAK TROUGH AXIS AT 200MB IS STILL OVERHEAD BEFORE WE ARE MOVED INTO A SUBSIDENCE ZONE AT THIS LEVEL TOMORROW. RIDGING AT 500MB IS STILL TRYING TO WORK ITS WAY OVER THE AREA COUNTER ACTING THE EFFECT OF THE HIGHER LEVEL TROUGH. MID LEVEL CLOUD OVER OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER AND WELL SHORT OF CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES. THE UPPER RIDGE AT 500MB WILL BUILD IN MORE FOR TOMORROW WITH THE HIGHER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SHIFTING EAST. SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS LITTLE BY LITTLE EACH DAY. FORTUNATELY THE CORE OF THE LOW WILL BE WEST OF US SO THAT TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT GET TOO FAR ABOVE NORMAL.
1230 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD PROVIDE TRANQUIL WEATHER TODAY AND INTO THE EVENING.
208 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A COLD FRONT OVER THE AREA SHOULD DRIFT TO THE OHIO RIVER BY LATE IN THE DAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO LAKE ERIE. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS SATURDAY.
TAKING HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE REGION. LOWS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S ACROSS THE AREA. THE NAM IS FURTHER NORTH WITH THE LOW TRACK. WITH MODEST UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AHEAD OF THE LOW AND FRONT. WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES NEAR THE LAKE WITH A LAKE BREEZE LATE IN THE DAY.
245 PM MDT FRI JUN 19 2015 AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WITH A DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER COLORADO.
LOW TEMPERATURES TNGT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 70S INLAND TO THE UPPER 70S COAST. FLATTENING THE DEEP LAYER RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE SOUTHEASTERN U. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS CENTERED SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015 RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES FROM SOUTHERN CANADA THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY THIS FRIDAY. SLIGHTLY WARMER WEST WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER BY AFTERNOON. 0-1KM BULK SHEAR IN THE 15 TO 20 KTS RANGE COINCIDENT WITH 0-1 KM HELICITY VALUES NEARING 150 M2/S2 IS ON THE LOWER END OF BEING SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL TORNADOES WHEN COUPLED WITH EXPECTED LOW LCL HEIGHTS. WITH SFC DEWPOINTS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
321 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AS WELL AS SIERRA NEVADA FOOTHILLS ARE GENERALLY RUNNING BETWEEN 4 AND 6 DEGREES COOLER COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WHICH INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW BRINGING COOLER AIR FROM THE DELTA INTO THE VALLEY. THIS COOLER AIRMASS HAS NOT HAD ANY IMPACT ON THE DESERT LOCATIONS. WITH PLACES SUCH AS INYOKERN AND RIDGECREST RUNNING BETWEEN 3 AND 5 DEGREES WARMER COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO.
THE TN VALLEY WILL START TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF THE REMNANTS SINCE THE RIDGE THAT WAS ANCHORED OVER THE REGION HAS MOVED OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC AND WEAKENED. BASED ON BETTER MIXING WITH THE HIGHER WIND GUSTS AND CURRENT TEMP TRENDS NUDGED AFTERNOON TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO AROUND THE AREA. OBSERVED SOUNDINGS THIS MORNING FROM BNA/BMX SHOW DRIER AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS. THIS DRIER AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS IS ALSO REFLECTED IN THE MODEL SOUNDINGS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD LIMIT THE MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF STORMS.
528 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC ON SATURDAY.
518 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A DEEPENING TROUGH MOVING OVER THE STRONG RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. WARM AIR COMING OVER THE RIDGE COMBINED WITH REMAINS OF BILL AND A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT- WAVE WILL KEEP IT UNSETTLED HERE.
156 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES BRINGING A COOLER BUT DRIER AIRMASS.
LATEST CAM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA (STRONGEST FORCING ON NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET.
WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARDS AND BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, A DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED EAST OF THE AREA WITH LEE TROUGHING CONTINUING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TONIGHT. THIS WILL HELP PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN KANSAS TOWARDS MORNING THEN SOUTHWARD INTO OUR CWA BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING. THE MAIN WESTERLY JET WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES AS AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE BECOMES ELONGATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND EXTENDS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE ECMWF AND GFS INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY FOR CONVECTION MAINLY TIED TO THE OROGRAPHIC LIFT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES REGION WITH LITTLE EASTWARD PROPAGATION AND ALONG A BAROCLINIC ZONE MAINLY POSITIONED JUST NORTH OF THE FLAT RIDGE IN NEBRASKA.
435 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE BILL TRACKS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC SATURDAY NIGHT.
CONVERGENCE AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE REMNANT OF TROPICAL STORM BILL PASSING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION WITH SOME LINEAR BANDING OF MOSTLY SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS TAKING PLACE.
Winds will veer a bit to the south this evening and increase in speed as a low level jet develops over the lower trans Pecos and Permian Basin regions of west Texas.
WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARDS AND BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, A DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED EAST OF THE AREA WITH LEE TROUGHING CONTINUING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TONIGHT. THIS WILL HELP PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN KANSAS TOWARDS MORNING THEN SOUTHWARD INTO OUR CWA BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING.
235 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY.
342 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE GREAT LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE NIGHT LEADING TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. EXPECT HIGHS FOR SATURDAY GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
1150 AM PDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /ISSUED 312 AM PDT FRI JUN 19 2015/ HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ONLY SMALL DAY TO DAY FLUCTUATIONS IN TEMPERATURE.
521 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 A DEEPENING TROUGH MOVING OVER THE STRONG RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. WARM AIR COMING OVER THE RIDGE COMBINED WITH REMAINS OF BILL AND A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT- WAVE WILL KEEP IT UNSETTLED HERE.
332 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THICK CLOUDS OVER THE AREA JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FROM WATERTOWN TO ERIE. COLD FRONT SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE AREA BY NOON THEN DRIER AIR COMES IN FROM THE NORTH CLEARING THE SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL DROP IN TONIGHT THEN MOVE EAST EARLY SATURDAY.
246 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC ON SATURDAY.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 60S AND HIGHS ON SATURDAY IN THE LOWER 80S. A WEAK COLD FRONT HAD MOVED ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND INTO FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING.
CONTINUED HOT THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE LOW SIDE AGAIN SATURDAY WITH JUST A FEW ISOLATED POP UP THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. /ISSUED 1115 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015/ NW GULF COAST REGION REMAINS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE UNDERNEATH A GENERAL WEAKNESS ALOFT BETWEEN MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERS TO THE EAST AND WEST. ANOTHER STEAMY AND WARM AFTERNOON IS ON TAP AS HIGHS NEAR 90 AMID DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER/MID 70S.
COOLER TEMPERATURES STILL ON TARGET FOR FRI MAXES. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SUN NIGHT DRY DUE TO LACK OF SUFFICIENT RETURN MOISTURE. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF TEMPERATURES END UP WARMER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD INTO KANSAS TODAY.
1237 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION. THE HIGH WILL PASS TO THE EAST TONIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS.
1024 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 HIGH PRESSURE. A COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE WEEKEND.
MOST OF THE LOWER ELEVATION PLAINS WILL OBSERVE PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. /ISSUED 400 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2015/ ANOTHER WARM DAY EXPECTED TODAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING.
935 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND.
WV DEPICTS ADDITIONAL ENHANCEMENT NEAR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND THIS WILL FEED UP THIS WAY THROUGH THE DAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINS ACROSS WRN CHIHUAHUA. /ISSUED 312 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2015/ UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW ATOP THE SONORA/CHIHUAHUA BORDER IS PROGGED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MORE OR LESS EXTENDING FROM ONTARIO INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL SHARPEN AND WILL ENHANCE LIFT LATE THIS EVENING. AS AN UA TROUGH SWINGING ESE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON FRIDAY AIDS IN PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA FRIDAY MORNING.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NW FRIDAY AND BY 18Z TOMORROW.
638 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2015 RATHER MILD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH COLD FRONT LOCATED FROM NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AT 07Z.
SURFACE RIDGING WILL WEAKEN TODAY WITH BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BECOMING MORE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING MOISTURE TO RETURN.
1242 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. A COLD FRONT FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. SHOWERS SHOULD ADVANCE QUICKLY TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD SLIDE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS WEEKEND.
HI-RES SHORT RANGE MODELS STILL INDICATING SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGHEST PEAKS THIS AFTERNOON. CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 83 63 78 60 / 10 10 50 60 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 81 62 76 59 / 10 10 60 70 OAK RIDGE, TN 81 63 76 58 / 0 20 60 80 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 79 58 74 56 / 10 20 70 80.
932 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. A COLD FRONT FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. SHOWERS SHOULD ADVANCE QUICKLY TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD SLIDE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS WEEKEND.
1124 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 HYDRO A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A WARM DAY BY OCTOBER STANDARDS WITH MANY AREAS MAKING IT INTO THE LOWER 70S.
751 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015 AVIATION A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A WARM DAY BY OCTOBER STANDARDS WITH MANY AREAS MAKING IT INTO THE LOWER 70S.