Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
MAIN COLD CORE AND TROUGH AXIS IS STILL TO THE WEST THOUGH INITIAL FRONT WAVE OF DEVELOPMENT HAS HAD A WANING TREND. THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD LOOKS DRY AND MILD AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING TRANSITS THE REGION BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
High pressure returns Tuesday resulting in dry and mild weather for the remainder of the week. Only a few showers lingering in the area this morning as upper ridge begins to build into the area.
607 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 AREA CURRENTLY BETWEEN A COUPLE MID-LEVEL TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED RAIN SHOWERS. EXPECTING THIS FOG TO GET PROGRESSIVELY DENSE WITH LIGHT WIND FLOW AND CONTINUED SLOW COOLING OF THE LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING RANGED FROM THE UPPER 30S ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL WI TO THE LOWER/MIDDLE 40S ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF OF THAT TROUGH OVER CENTRAL MN TODAY WITH WEAK UPWARD MOTION. TUESDAY LOOKS INTERESTING AS THE COLD FRONT PUNCHES THROUGH DURING PEAK HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON.
637 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 DRIER AIR HAS MOVED IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND FLYING CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. WE DO EXPECT A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT IMPACT TEMPERATURES GREATLY.
UPPER LOW WITH COLD AIR ALOFT AND SOME SURFACE HEATING LEADS TO SOME INSTABILITY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. ALREADY SEEING A COUPLE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY OF ALABAMA WITH SOME COLDER TOPS NOTED ACROSS THE LOWER CUMBERLAND REGION.
THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS HAS BEEN PUSHED INTO THE FL STRAITS THIS MORNING, BUT SOUTH FLORIDA STILL REMAINS UNDER ITS INFLUENCE WITH THE SOUNDING SHOWING TWO INVERSIONS AROUND 750MB AND 650MB RESPECTIVELY, THOUGH NEITHER ARE AS STRONG AS WE'VE SEEN IN THE PAST WEEK. MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE PREVENTING MUCH SOUTHWARD PROGRESS OF THE BOUNDARY BEYOND THE LAKE OR SO. DRY WEATHER AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THIS WEEK.
A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT. /ISSUED 543 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016/ WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF TO THE EAST. AS ANOTHER NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW OVERRUNNING THE SHALLOW WEDGE OF RELATIVELY COOL AND STABLE AIR THAT IS NOSING DOWN INTO THE REGION FROM THE HIGH OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE NEXT WAVE ALOFT /OVER NW TENN THIS MIDDAY/ WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB THE RIDGE AND MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. WITH REX BLOCK FORMATION WITH CLOSED UPPER HIGH OVER MANITOBA. AN OCCLUDED LOW IS FCST TO DRIFT N ACROSS WI WITH AN OCCLUDED COLD FRONT ARCING DOWNSTREAM AND PUSHING E ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS/MID-ATLANTIC STATES. MEAN TROUGH THAT COULD SUPPORT A STRONGLY DEVELOPING SFC SYSTEM IN THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. CONCERNING THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH EVOLUTION LATER IN THE PERIOD. A SE TO EAST FLOW OF COOL AIR FROM HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL PREVAIL INTO TUESDAY MORNING. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND.
Temperatures will climb into the lower 70s out east to the middle and upper 70s out west. A dry cold front will be moving in by the afternoon which will kick up breezy and gusty winds by the afternoon.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL KEEP STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING DRY AND WARMER DAYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MODELS SHOW A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE FORMING ALONG AND JUST OFF THE WEST COAST WED/THU.
THERE IS A GOOD AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. AS COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. CLOUDS SHOULD HOLD DOWN HIGHS SUNDAY TO THE UPPER 40S FAR NORTH TO THE LOWER 50S ELSEWHERE.
156 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016 A fast moving dry cold front will move thru the area this evening. Temperatures are in a hurry to warm back though courtesy of lee troughing/thermal ridging with temperatures back into the 80s in most places by Tue with gusty s and sw winds.
322 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN LAKES WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST LATE TONIGHT.
/ISSUED 912 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016/ SKIES ARE SUNNY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF ADDITIONAL COOLING BEFORE SUNRISE. MORNING LOWS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WILL RANGE FROM NEAR FREEZING TO THE MIDDLE 40S. DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 60S ARE EXPECTED TO MAKE THEIR WAY INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI CONTRIBUTING SURFACE BASED CAPE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG.
WARM FRONT HAS MOVED OVER THE RGV INCREASING MOISTURE CONTENT WITH A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER NORTHERN NM WILL TRAVEL EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SENDING A COLD FRONT SOUTH SUNDAY. PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND THE SHIFT IN THE WINDS KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING SOME OF THE HIGHEST MODEL GUIDANCE NUMBERS SO KEPT HIGHS ON THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE AND THIS MIGHT BE A FEW DEGREES TO WARM. AS THE HIGH SURGES SOUTHWARD THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS REMAIN AT AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT INLAND WITH MORE BREEZE ALONG THE COAST. TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
Water vapor imagery shows an trough upstream. Have the highest pops along the Oklahoma border. As with the lower precipitation amounts comes lower snow amounts. Models are trending warmer too with the thermodynamics, so that will cut down snow totals as well. Lows will be mainly in the 20s, save south- central Kansas were readings will be a few degrees warmer.
AS A WARM FRONT GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH TWD SOUTH CENTRAL LA. /ISSUED 353 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016/ FORECAST REMAINS GENERALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL CAUSE RAIN CHANCES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PARTS OF THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA BASIN COULD SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL BETWEEN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
349 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 A DRY AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.
641 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN LAKES WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST LATE TONIGHT.
145 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDLANDS WILL MOVE NORTH SUNDAY AS A WARM FRONT. WEAK AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE WILL HAVE SOME INCREASE IN MOSTLY MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN CENTRAL SASK MOVES SOUTHEAST. COLD FRONT TO DROP SOUTHEAST THRU THE FCST AREA ON SUNDAY. TIMING OF COLD FRONT WILL DEPEND IF GFK HITS 50 OR NOT.
353 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016 AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS IT MOVES FROM IOWA THIS AFTERNOON NORTHEAST TO UPPER MICHIGAN/LAKE HURON BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THIS LOW POPS SHOULD SLOWLY TAPER OFF AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA ON SUNDAY. WITH HIGHS SO FAR ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S OVER MINNESOTA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL QUICKLY BACK BELOW FREEZING OVER MINNESOTA THIS EVENING TO ALLOW ALL SNOW TONIGHT. BUT HOVER RIGHT AROUND FREEZING OVER WISCONSIN.
LOW-MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL CREEP BACK INTO SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THIS WEEKEND, WITH LAST NIGHT'S SOUNDINGS AT KEYW AND KMFL ALREADY SHOWING THE EVIDENCE WITH LOWER PWATS AND A DEVELOPING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT 700MB. THE MOVEMENT OF THE RIDGE WILL RESULT IN AN OVERALL NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE NEXT FEW UPPER LEVEL WAVES/LOWS TO THE PANHANDLE/NORTH FLORIDA ALONG WITH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.
WITH BROAD TROUGHING ACROSS THE LOWER CONUS PLACING THE REGION IN WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A COLD FRONT WAS ANALYZED STRETCHING FROM THE PERMIAN BASIN NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY/SOUTHERLY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT TONIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION AND KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S /10 TO 15 DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS MORNING/.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN ACROSS THE PAC NW WILL LEAD TO VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TAF SITES THROUGH 18Z/SUN.
250 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
334 PM MDT SAT MAR 26 2016 THE TROUGH WAS SHIFTING EAST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LAST SHOWERS EXPECTED TO END OVER THE SE MTNS AROUND SUNSET. HIGH CLOUDS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST AND THE NEXT COLDER TROUGH DROPS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 50S. WE WILL HAVE INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. EVEN WITH THE HIGH AFTERNOON POPS.
332 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016 COMPACT SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE REGION THIS EVENING. A LOW LEVEL JET WILL FORM AS THIS TROUGH NEARS RESULTING IN STRONG OMEGAS ALONG MOIST ISENTROPIC SURFACES. MID LEVEL COOLING WILL BE FAIRLY MINIMAL THIS FAR SOUTH OF THE LOWEST HEIGHT FALLS. A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WHILE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING.
344 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 FAIR WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED INTO MIDDAY SUNDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES MAINTAINS INFLUENCE ACROSS THE REGION. DISJOINTED UPSTREAM TROF APPEARS TO BE FAVORING A SIGNIFICANTLY SLOWER SOLUTION WITH RESPECT TO SHRA/TSRA CHANCES SUNDAY. NORTHERN CYCLONE LYSIS WITH LOWER MS VALLEY FRONTAL WAVE FAVORED ON SUNDAY/SUN NIGHT AS IT LIFTS NEWD INTO SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND TO SWRN ONTARIO BY F48. THOUGH ADDITIONAL UPSTREAM TSRA POSSIBLE EVENING/EARLY NIGHT INVOF HIGH 50-55KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND 500-1000 J/KG MUCAPE RESERVOIR PER 4KM NAM IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
VIGOROUS COLD FRONT TO BRING SNOW/WIND TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES Following the pleasant weather this afternoon, clouds will be on the increase early Sunday, ahead of a vigorous cold front to cross the Northern Rockies through Sunday evening.
WE WILL STILL NEED SOME LOW POPS IN THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF OUR AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WITH A FLAT UPPER RIDGE OVER COLORADO.
252 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND.
CLOUD COVER CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION WITH ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING SOUTH TEXAS. OVERNIGHT UPPER LVL TROUGH TO THE NORTH WILL MOVE FURTHER EASTWARD. SHIFTING JET STREAK THAT WAS OVER THE REGION FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST OF SOUTH TEXAS BEFORE THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH SUNDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT CLOUD COVER AND HIGHER MOISTURE WILL MAKE FOR SLIGHTLY WARMER LOWS IN THE 60S. AS COOLER AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT TOMORROW.
1249 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016 High pressure off to the northeast as another wave moves northward over the Plains. High pressure will continue to pull away from the area, while a slow moving storm system approaches from the plains. Southerly low- level flow between these two features will push temperatures warmer than they were yesterday, with most areas topping out in the lower 60s. The high- resolution ARW/NMM are fastest and have almost the entire CWA dry by mid afternoon. Each is indicating only about a 4-6 hour period with the highest rain chances, but high enough that likely PoP's will be included everywhere (mainly west of I-55 in the morning and east in the afternoon).
WE WILL BE DRY FOR ONE MORE DAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT SWEEPS IN FROM THE PLAINS BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIP TOMORROW. STILL NOT CONFIDENT ON THE LOWER VISIBILITIES. HOWEVER WITH THE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE WARM FRONT.
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MAINTAIN A COOL WEDGE ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS INTO SUNDAY WHILE MOISTURE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SOUTHEAST EDGES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.
AFTER A COOL START WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS SUNNY SKIES TODAY WILL HELP WARM TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR 50 ACROSS NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. THE 12Z BISMARCK SOUNDING SHOWS VERY DRY AIR THROUGHOUT THE LOWER LAYERS WITH JUST SOME MID/HIGH MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN AS THERE ARE SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE CANADIAN BORDER. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTHEAST ACROSS SASKATCHEWAN WILL BRING A WARM FRONT THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TODAY.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW AND N TOMORROW MORNING WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES ON THROUGH.
AND WILL BE LIMITED TO PRE COLD FRONTAL AREAS WITH PROBABLY HELP OF DIURNAL HEATING. /ISSUED 332 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016/ BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY TODAY WITH THE HELP OF A DIGGING DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE BEST MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS OUR EASTERN HALF THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY AND THAT IS WHERE THE HIGHEST POPS WILL RESIDE.
UPPER RIDGING WILL HOLD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BEGIN A TRANSITION AS A DIGGING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BEINGS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST.
638 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDLANDS WILL MOVE NORTH SUNDAY AS A WARM FRONT. WEAK AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
IT WILL SUPPLY THE JUICE NEEDED FOR A COLD FRONT TO SPAWN A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL CROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND HEAD TOWARD OUR AREA FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. OVER OUR AREA WE WILL HAVE MODERATE CAPE VALUES, GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG, AND MODERATE SHEAR AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
A cold front push through the I-20 corridor including KABI around 7Z, and KSJT and KBBD around 10Z. /issued 253 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016/ (Today and Tonight) Weather across West Central Texas will transition from warm to cooler, during the next 24 hours. For tonight, another cold front will push south across West Central Texas and bring at least a slight chance for showers, mainly along and northeast of a line from Anson, to Abilene, to Baird.
127 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE HEADS EAST.
CEILINGS WILL LOWER OVERNIGHT WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TO BKN-OVC 030-070.
500 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
BREEZY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED TODAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A PASSING TROUGH.
656 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE TRAVELING TO INDIANA ON SUNDAY WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 ALOFT - A MID LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THE CANADAIN PRAIRIES TO NORTHERN MEXICO. SURFACE - A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO WEST TX. AND ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGED ACROSS FL TO THE EAST GULF. THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH PIVOTS AND LIFTS. THE COLD FRONT TRACKS EAST. REACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THEN OUT OVER THE GULF WHILE THE FRONT ON THE GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST U. THE ATLANTIC HIGH CONTINUES TO RIDGE ACROSS FL BUT BEGINS TO SLIDE EAST. UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS BY TO THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT.
overnight and into Sunday morning a cold front with MVFR ceilings and rain chances will spread across the CWA. south to southeast winds of 5 to 15 mph will aid temps this afternoon to be slightly warmer compared to yesterday with highs in the 60s to mid 70s possible. This wave is expected to push a cold front into and through the CWA this evening and overnight tonight with winds shifting out of the northwest.
1223 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016 AT H5 RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH BROAD TROUGH FROM INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. INCREASED POPS ACROSS NORTHERN SHERIDAN COUNTY THIS MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR SNOW ALONG THE PINE RIDGE. MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ROUNDING TROUGH AND MOVING ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING ON NOSE OF 100KT+ JET STREAM. H850MB TEMPERATURES WILL RISE SEVERAL DEGREES THROUGH THE DAY AS WARMER AIR ADVECTS EASTWARD. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S WEST AND MID 50S EAST.
THIS WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS. WINDS ARE INCREASING THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO A QUICK-MOVING TROUGH. A FAST MOVING AND COLD TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS AREA TODAY. BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. EXPECT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES AS A RESULT. HGHTS RECOVER SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS A LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE STATE. EXPECT WARMER AND DRY CONDITIONS.
338 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016 (Tonight and Easter) A cold front in the Texas Panhandle this afternoon will into Haskell and Throckmorton counties by late evening, moving along the I-20 corridor 1 to 2 AM, and then south of the I-10 corridor by 7 AM. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms late evening and overnight, mainly north of the I-20 corridor, due to lift along the front and support from an upper trough that will pass north of the region. Low clouds are expected to develop after midnight as moisture moves up from South Texas and overrides the cold front. Low clouds should break up by late morning as drier air moves in behind the cold front, allowing temperatures to rise into the mid and upper 60s.
136 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MAINTAIN A COOL WEDGE ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS INTO SUNDAY WHILE MOISTURE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SOUTHEAST EDGES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.
A HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED IN THE MID ATLANTIC TODAY WILL EXTEND TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THANKS TO THIS RIDGE.
215 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.
128 PM PDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEKEND.
FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE FURTHER OVERNIGHT WITH LOWERING CLOUD DECKS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
/ISSUED 426 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2016/ S/WV TROUGH EXITING REGION WITH SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS EXITING OUR CWA AT THIS TYPING. STALLING AHEAD OF NEXT TROUGH.
ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS WILL OCCUR AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF OUR NEXT APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WARMER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BENEATH INVERSION. SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HI RES MODELS ARE INDICATING A THIN LINE OF WEAK SHOWERS POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY MORNING.
MILDER WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AS UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES INLAND AND THROUGH OUR AREA. COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH OUR ZONES SUNDAY WITH SHOWERS.
124 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE NORTHEASTERN US THROUGH THE DAY. ON SUNDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MIDWEST AND REACH LAKE ERIE SUNDAY EVENING.
NWLY WINDS WL USHER COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. WINDS WL DIMINISH LATER SUN NGT AS THE HIGH PRES CENTER SHIFTS INTO WRN AR.
1038 AM PDT SAT MAR 26 2016 High pressure will build over the Inland Northwest today bringing dry weather to the entire region and slightly milder temperatures.
400 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2016 HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE TRAVELING TO INDIANA ON SUNDAY WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AT 19Z AND WILL MOVE SOUTH TONIGHT AND BE CENTERED OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA BY SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MODIFY LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND A WEAK CLIPPER MOVES TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
AS WELL AS THE LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY. NEXT UPPER TROF OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL DROP TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AND SNOWPACK SHOULD LIMIT MIXING/WARMING THOUGH AND THINK MOST LOCATIONS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET MUCH ABOVE FREEZING ONCE AGAIN.
AS A RESULT A MORE EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW RETURN IN THE LOWER LEVELS INCREASING LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY ACROSS DEEP S TEXAS. LEAN TOWARDS THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE FOR MONDAY MORNING LOW TEMPS AS CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT TEMPS TO REACH THE LOW 40S. AS THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE REGION. COASTAL TROUGH GRADUALLY DEVELOPS INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN SHOWERS/DRIZZLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST.
THIS WOULD SEND A COLD FRONT SE ACROSS KS MON NIGHT WITH THE FRONT REACHING THE RED RIVER ON TUE WITH THE CORRESPONDING WIND SHIFT. ALL SHOULD BE QUIET ACROSS THE KS NEIGHBORHOOD AS A HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER-DECK RIDGE. VFR HAS RETURNED ACROSS THE REGION WITH DIMINISHING NORTHERLY WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA.
446 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.
915 PM MST SAT JAN 9 2016 00Z NAM/RUC/HRRR AND 03Z RUC ARE ADVERTISING THE THREAT FOR FREEZING FOG HAS SHIFTED TO A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BENKELMAN NEBRASKA TO COLBY AND RUSSELL SPRINGS KANSAS OVERNIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH A WNW(DOWNSLOPE) UPPER FLOW AT 500/700MB WILL GIVE THE CWA A WARMER DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S. THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER FROM SUNDAY NIGHT ONWARDS WILL BE THE STRENGTH OF THE WESTERN UNITED STATES HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. BRIEFLY WEAKENING THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. A COLD FRONT SHOULD BE FORCED INTO THE REGION WITH AN ASSOCIATED COOLING OF TEMPERATURES. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE TEMPERATURES SHOULD RECOVER.
CLOUD COVER HAS MOVED BACK IN IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS BEYOND THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. /ISSUED 610 PM CST SAT JAN 9 2016/ LARGE CLOUD SHIELD AROUND BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. /ISSUED 244 PM CST SAT JAN 9 2016/ A SECONDARY COLD FRONT AND MUCH COOLER AIR IS MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND IS LOCATED ROUGHLY FROM KAEX-KLCH AT 09/20Z. SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST TIME DURING THIS PERIOD AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LOOKS TO SETTLE NEAR THE FORECAST AREA PROVIDING LIGHT WINDS.
CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE LOWER 5000 FT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THE BACK EDGE OF BOUNDARY LAYER STRATUS ACROSS NORTH TX THROUGH 09Z. /ISSUED 223 PM CST SAT JAN 9 2016/ LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT. DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS TEXAS ON MONDAY. THE TROUGH SHOULD MOVE THROUGH NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS DRY DUE TO LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
COLDER AIR WILL BE PUSHING IN DURING THE PERIOD BEHIND THE EXITING COLD FRONT. EXPECT ANY LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS TO TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES WITH SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
1142 PM CST SAT JAN 9 2016 HIGH PRESSURE NEAR BISMARCK-MOBRIDGE AT 05Z MOVING SOUTHEAST. SOME WAA DOES DEVELOP AS HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS INTO MN BY AFTERNOON.
WATER VAPOUR HAD UPPER LOW OVER HUDSON BAY AND TROUGH INTO THE PLAINS.
/ISSUED 139 PM PST SAT JAN 9 2016/ WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH WESTERN NEVADA TONIGHT WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS.
233 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHEASTWARD WHICH WILL LIFT A WARM FRONT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA AND THEN DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH. CLOUD COVER WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. IN THE LOWER 50S WEST TO LOWER 60S EAST. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE COOLER THAN NORMAL. DRY WEATHER ON MONDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
332 AM CST SUN JAN 10 2016 06Z SFC DATA HAS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WITH A STRONG ARCTIC HIGH OVER THE PLAINS. LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW APPROACHES. FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
Fairly amplified pattern over North America early this morning as a deep upper level trough extends from a low over Hudson's Bay southward into the northern Mississippi Valley and Midwest. An upper level ridge was situated along the west coast with northwesterly flow in between over the central CONUS.