Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
1024 PM EDT SAT SEP 26 2015 AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT.
ANY SHOWERS SHOULD STAY CLOSER TO THE COLD FRONT. TUE WILL CERTAINLY BE COOLER AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS SWINGS THROUGH DROPPING 850MB TEMPS TO AROUND 0C. MAKING THE HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 A BIT COOLER FEELING. THE GFS DOES DEVELOP SOME PRECIP THAT WOULD SKIRT THE SERN CWA MON NIGHT INTO TUE MORNING AS THE TROUGH MOVES IN. THINK THAT LOWS WILL EASILY DROP INTO THE 20S OVER THE INTERIOR W AND INTO THE LOW 30S ELSEWHERE EXCEPT ALONG THE SHORES OF THE GREAT LAKES. A RIDGE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR. EXTENDING FROM HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NEW ENGLAND STATES.
MOISTURE IS ROTATING AROUND UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS.
943 PM EDT SAT SEP 26 2015 A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM, WILL MAINTAIN DRY WARM WEATHER, FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY THE RIDGE CENTERED AROUND BAJA WILL CONTINUE TO BE FLATTENED BY A PASSING TROUGH WELL TO THE NORTH. THE BREAKING DOWN RIDGE COINCIDENT WITH AMPLE MID LEVEL MOISTURE. SUPPORTED BY THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET TO THE NORTH AND A THETA E RIDGE ARCING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE WILL SPELL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT STILL HOLDING STRONG ACROSS THE REGION WITH TROUGH THROUGH PACNW AND ALONG WEST COAST.
WHICH WILL KEEP LOWS SLIGHTLY WARMER THERE. STILL THINK IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO OVERCOME THE LOW LEVEL DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED IN THE LOWER 80S. A MUCH ADVERTISED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO HELP SURGE MOISTURE BACK INTO OUR REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL LEAD TO A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER AND WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. A PASSING TROUGH MAY LEAD TO A SLIGHT DIP IN TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. HIGH CLOUDS ARE CIRCULATION AROUND THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE INTO EASTERN ARIZONA THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK.
317 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 High pressure extending from the Great Lakes to the Gulf of Mexico will continue to control the weather across central Illinois tonight. The Wabash River Valley will remain mostly clear through the entire night and will experience the lightest return flow on the back side of the high. Further west where clouds will increase sooner and southerly flow will be stronger, lows in the Illinois River Valley will remain in the lower to middle 40s.
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WARMER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK. SOME LOCATIONS IN EASTERN VALLEYS WILL SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS SUBSIDE.
POTENT WINTER STORM TO MOVE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN UTAH AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL THEN TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST INTO KANSAS AND NEBRASKA. STRONG LIFT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST.
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY BUT WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO A FAST MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
1155 AM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD RAIN OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY REGION TODAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GIVE A SHORT DRY SPELL TODAY.
The bulk of the sensible weather will occur during this period, especially focused on Wednesday as a vigorous upper level trough intensifies and zips through the area. Operational models continue to deepen the vigorous upper trough on Wednesday as an impressive upper level jet core around 150kts accelerates through the base of the trough, slinging northeast and through the CWA. An associated dryline will force its way east and scour out the low clouds, allowing access to the marginal instability to initiate scattered convection along and just ahead of the dryline.
325 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 COLD FRONT STILL SLOWLY DROPPING SOUTH.
THE AXIS OF THIS RIDGE HAS BEEN TRAVERSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA TODAY, AND LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. THE SURFACE CYCLONE WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR TRACK ACROSS KANSAS INTO IOWA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE IN PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH THE MORNING.
LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
318 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 A VIGOROUS TROUGH IS DIGGING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE TROUGH WILL EJECT TONIGHT WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS KANSAS/NEBRASKA EARLY ON WEDNESDAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO THEN TRACK RIGHT OVER OR NEAR LA CROSSE WITH A DRY SLOT PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTH. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE LOW LIFTS INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE CALM OR LIGHT FLOW TONIGHT. FLOW WILL BECOMING LIGHT SE-S ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST.
237 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 THIS AFTERNOON ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CAN BE SEEN NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE REST OF TODAY SHOULD BE PRETTY QUIET AND WITH PREFRONTAL WARMING THE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S. THE LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE PRETTY WARM. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MIGRATES EAST INCREASED INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION AND SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. BUT MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE WEDNESAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY EVENING. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT.
A potentially stronger and warmer weather system with wind, rain and high elevation snow is expected late in the week. A cold front crossing the Cascades around 12Z will bring a chance of snow and rain showers tot he western zones after 08Z or so.
FORECAST MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLES TOMORROW.
AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL TROF TONIGHT. BRIEF RIDGING DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A QUICK MOVING DISTURBANCE THAT DROPS INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR ALOFT AND DIGGING LEE SIDE TROF WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING WINDS OVER WESTERN FOOTHILLS.
/ISSUED 512 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2015/ AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE WESTERN U. BY WEDNESDAY, THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION. THE FORCING FROM THE LARGE SYSTEM ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE WILL BRING A SMALL CHANCE FOR TSRA DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT, GENERALLY EAST OF I-44 FOR WEDNESDAY, WITH THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
318 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE COULD MOVE AS FAR SOUTH AS THE TREASURE VALLEY AND OWYHEE MOUNTAINS LATER THIS MORNING FOR A CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES /ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW/ AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST.
AS THE H500 TROUGH WRAPS UP AND LIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES. AS THE H500 TROUGH WRAPS UP AND LIFTS E/NE INTO ERN KS THROUGH DAYBREAK. MADE NO CHANGE TO THE HIGH WIND WATCH. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE NW/N OK MAY DIP AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING FRI MORNING.
221 PM MST TUE NOV 10 2015 TODAY - SURFACE RIDGING WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THIS EVENING AND GIVE WAY TO AN APPROACHING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS SOMETIME AROUND 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION COULD REACH THE LOW 40S BRIEFLY.
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST INTO THE NEW ENGLAND AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM THIS SYSTEM MOVING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE COOLER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS AS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. AMPLE SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY WILL HELP TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 80S CENTRAL AND SOUTH. UPPER RIDGING OVER THE REGION TO FLATTEN AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES STATES WITH ZONAL FLOW OVER THE AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EAST TO THE CAROLINAS LATE TONIGHT. WHILE A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
/ISSUED 327 AM EST TUE NOV 10 2015/ LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NE FL AND PUSHING EASTWARD. WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
ANOTHER DRY DAY TOMORROW WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOWER AND MID 70S.
REACHED AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S STATEWIDE. HIGH PRESSURE IS OFF TO THE EAST AND A SOUTH WIND FLOW HAS RETURNED TO THE REGION. ALOFT NEARLY ZONAL TO A BIT OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE REGION.
OUR MORNING STARTING TEMPERATURES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY WARMER THAN ON PREVIOUS DAYS JUDGING FROM CURRENT UPSTREAM OBS. VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES TONIGHT BEFORE CLOSING OFF AS IT EMERGES ON THE LEE SIDE EARLY WEDNESDAY. LOW LEVEL GULF MOISTURE WILL BEGIN STREAMING NORTH FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND WILL THE MOISTURE ADVECTION INCREASING AS THE LOW STRENGTHENS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WILL BE WATCHING AREA WITH PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WITH WINDS BACKING TO THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF IT TO PRODUCE EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES IN THE 200-300 M2/S2 RANGE. THIS LOW LEVEL HELICITY WILL HELP ENHANCE ROTATING UPDRAFTS IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY IS REALIZED AND CREATE A TORNADIC THREAT. AN INTENSE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND PRESSURE RISES WILL FOLLOW THE LOW WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT.
234 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 DEVELOPING HIGH PRESSURE WILL HELP END THE RAIN THIS EVENING AND BRING DRY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.
A DEEPENING SFC TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINAL SITES THIS AFTERNOON. THEN A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SRN HIGH PLAINS LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. /ISSUED 431 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2015/ A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE INTER- MOUNTAIN WEST TODAY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY AND TOMORROW. WINDS ON ON WEDNESDAY WILL REALLY PICK UP AS THE UPPER- LEVEL LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS AND SLIDES OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO AND KANSAS. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 25 TO 40 MPH BEHIND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT THAT RUSHES THROUGH THE PANHANDLES LATE TONIGHT. WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LIKELY ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TOMORROW.
253 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE MID STATE WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S AT MID AFTERNOON. WARMER WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS UPPER 60S PLATEAU AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE. PROGRESSIVE VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH STRENGTHENS AS IT PULLS OUT INTO THE PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY WITH STRONG JET DYNAMICS ACROSS ARKANSAS.
201 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPPER LEVEL LOW DEPARTS. HIGH PRESSURE WEDNESDAY.
1247 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
1254 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY. A DRY AIRMASS WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERING OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT.
500MB LOW/TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE WED AFTERNOON WITH THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BUT INCREASE WED NIGHT WITH THE MOISTURE POOLING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND NWP SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A STRONG/DEEP UPPER LOW OVER CALIFORNIA EARLY THIS MORNING. 00Z RAOBS NEAR THE LOW CENTER INDICATED 500 MB TEMPERATURES FROM -28C AT KOAK TO -30C AT KMFR. THESE CLASSIC PATTERNS TYPICALLY PUSH A RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE DRY SLOT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE VERY HIGH WINDS EXPECTED ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
Southerly winds and comfortable temperatures were the rule today as low pressure was developing in Colorado. High pressure had moved off into the Ohio Valley and low level moisture was beginning to increase across the southern plains with 60F dewpoints in northern Texas. A strong upper level trough is currently pushing across Southern California into Arizona. Southerly winds will continue tonight and therefore will keep temperatures warmer than past nights. Current timing expectations: Storms should initiate in SE Kansas between 10am-12pm, reaching the Highway 65 corridor between 2pm- 4pm and our far eastern counties from 4pm-6pm.
403 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE MOVING UP THE COAST TONIGHT.
930 AM PST TUE NOV 10 2015 THE LINGERING ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY END TODAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST.
239 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENSURE FAIR WEATHER WEDNESDAY.
322 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 THIS AFTERNOON ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CAN BE SEEN NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. AND WITH PREFRONTAL WARMING THE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S. THE LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE PRETTY WARM. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MIGRATES EAST INCREASED INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION AND SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. BUT MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY EVENING. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT.
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWED VERY SLIGHT ANTICYCLONIC TURNING OF THE FLOW OVER TEXAS AND A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WEST FROM MONTANA TO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED TO THE EAST AND WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THERE WAS A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM SOUTHERN UTAH TO BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS TO THE EAST AND BRING THE COLD FRONT ALONG.
WHICH ARE APPROXIMATELY 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
344 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP AND DEEPEN WHILE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WEDNESDAY.
1041 AM MST TUE NOV 10 2015 ISSUED A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR THE LOWER YAMPA BASIN AND THE TAVAPUTS PLATEAU IN UTAH. CLOSED LOW CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY. QG DIAGNOSTICS SHOW WELL DEVELOPED DESCENT/ASCENT COUPLET AS THE CLOSED LOW CIRCULATION CROSSES THE WRN SLOPE.
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL REACH AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S STATEWIDE. HIGH PRESSURE IS OFF TO THE EAST AND A SOUTH WIND FLOW HAS RETURNED TO THE REGION. ALOFT NEARLY ZONAL TO A BIT OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE REGION.
205 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPPER LEVEL LOW DEPARTS. HIGH PRESSURE WEDNESDAY.
240 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 SOUTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT TO IGNITE PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY MORNING. UPPER-LEVEL LOW ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO SHIFT EAST-NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI ALLOWING FOR BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO MIGRATE EAST ACROSS THE ARKLATEX.
WILL BE WATCHING VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY IN FAR SOUTHWESTERN U.
1230 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO EXIT THE REGION THIS MORNING.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS AFTER 00Z AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN A WARMER AND MORE HUMID DAY THAN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S. LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO. THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY AND ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
243 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 Southwest flow aloft persists across the region today ahead of an approaching upper trough to the west. Overnight tonight, the upper trough to the west will quickly move east through the Four Corners region then head NE into the Central Plains throughout the day Wednesday. Meanwhile, strong upper jet moving around the base of the trough will move over the region, increasing wind speeds areawide late tonight persisting through Wednesday morning. The area of greatest concern for high winds will be the Guadalupe Mountains, particularly in the highest elevations.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
AS UPPER LEVEL TROF SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION. LEE TROFFING WILL DEVELOP AT THE SFC.
131 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENSURE FAIR WEATHER WEDNESDAY.
1239 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 COLD FRONT HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING SOUTHEAST WITH WIND SHIFT LINE JUST WEST OF ROSEAU TO CROOKSTON TO JUST EAST OF VALLEY CITY. WHILE AREAS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FA WILL REMAIN QUITE A BIT COOLER.
247 PM MST TUE NOV 10 2015 COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE DESERT SOUTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT NEAR GLOBE WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 70 DEGREES ACROSS THE LOWER DESERTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MOISTURE BY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT.
DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT LOCATED BETWEEN KINGMAN AND SELIGMAN WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE STATE TODAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE FLAGSTAFF AREA AROUND NOON MST AND WILL REACH THE NEW MEXICO BORDER BY LATE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT CROSSING NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN HIGH ELEVATION SNOW AND LOW ELEVATION RAIN.
AS THE UPPER LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY MOVES EAST TODAY A RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.
MOST SPOTS ON THE CAPROCK WILL SEE TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW THE FREEZING MARK. THE LATEST GUIDANCE HAS COME IN SLIGHTLY WARMER. THOUGH STILL WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF FREEZING /ON EITHER SIDE/ AT LUBBOCK.
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG CONTINUE ACROSS SW OREGON VALLEYS AND THE LOWER KLAMATH RIVER VALLEY IN SISKIYOU COUNTY. WITH THE ATMOSPHERE BEING FAIRLY STABLE UNDER HIGH PRESSURE, THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE SLOW TO BURN OFF AND WE MAY NOT SEE BLUE SKY UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA NORTH OF CAPE BLANCO FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
A LIGHT SOUTHERLY BREEZE AND MAX TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S IS ON TRACK TODAY. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT DUE TO WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE WILL STILL KEEP THE AREA UNDER ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND MILD TEMPERATURES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO ORGANIZE OVER THE PLAINS TONIGHT WHILE THE HIGH MOVES FARTHER EAST.
Westerly winds will gust up to 30-35 mph for the mid slopes and upwards to 50 mph for the higher terrain along the Divide. A northwesterly flow will setup behind the exiting trough of low pressure, that will be conducive for moderate to strong snow bands to develop.
WITH LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND DRY LAYERS ALOFT THERE WILL BE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBILITIES TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL. THE LACK OF ICE CRYSTALS ALOFT AGAIN WILL SUPPORT SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA IN RESPONSE TO A SLOWER WARMER TRENDING DUE TO THE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING. USHERING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE AVERAGE TODAY AND LOWS IN THE MORNING WITH JUST SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. TOMORROW COULD SEE SOME MORE FOG WITH THE ADVECTION OF WARMER AIR AND THEN HIGHS TOMORROW LOOK TO BE A LITTLE WARMER IN MID TO UPPER 70S. THIS WILL BE MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE DAY WITH SEVERITY DIMINISHING INTO THE EVENING AS OUR WINDS SHIFT FROM W/SW TO W/NW AS THE COLD FRONT SPREADS OVER THE FOUR STATE AREA.
MILD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY OUT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
a cold front/dryline will begin to push into Western Kansas and the Oklahoma Texas Panhandles as the wave reaches into the Central Plains. Mostly cloudy skies combined with these conditions and breezy southerly winds holding overnight will allow for low temps tonight to remain much warmer compared to the previous few nights. the wave is forecast to become more of a closed low as it lifts northeast through the Plains. Behind the cold front/dryline. A colder airmass is forecast to move into the region Wednesday night behind the departing closed low.
322 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM MICHIGAN INTO MISSISSIPPI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST MINNESOTA TO COLORADO. TEMPERATURES RECOVERED QUICKLY INTO THE LOWER AND MID 70S IN MOST AREAS.
A potentially stronger and warmer weather system with wind, rain and high elevation snow is expected late in the week.
CLOSED LOW HAS NOW SHIFTED TO OUR EAST AND GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE MAY KEEP A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AROUND IN CLARK AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE EVERYTHING SHUTS DOWN AS THE LOW TRAVERSES EASTWARD. NOT REAL CONFIDENT THAT BARSTOW-DAGGETT ITSELF WILL HIT THE FREEZING MARK BUT IT WILL COME CLOSE. DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK ALTHOUGH BREEZY NORTH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED DOWN THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.
1221 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015 THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA IN RESPONSE TO A SLOWER WARMER TRENDING DUE TO THE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING. S/SE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TODAY FROM 5-10 KTS BUT INCREASE LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WITH LOW CLOUDS AND FOG LIKELY RETURNING TO ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS AROUND 11/09Z. USHERING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE AVERAGE TODAY AND LOWS IN THE MORNING WITH JUST SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. TOMORROW COULD SEE SOME MORE FOG WITH THE ADVECTION OF WARMER AIR AND THEN HIGHS TOMORROW LOOK TO BE A LITTLE WARMER IN MID TO UPPER 70S. THIS WILL BE MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE DAY WITH SEVERITY DIMINISHING INTO THE EVENING AS OUR WINDS SHIFT FROM W/SW TO W/NW AS THE COLD FRONT SPREADS OVER THE FOUR STATE AREA.
WILL REACH AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S STATEWIDE. HIGH PRESSURE IS OFF TO THE EAST AND A SOUTH WIND FLOW HAS RETURNED TO THE REGION. ALOFT NEARLY ZONAL TO A BIT OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE REGION.
247 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION TODAY ALLOWED FOR SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S WHICH IS ABOUT NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL EJECT NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES.