Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
217 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WARM AND DRY WEATHER IN PLACE INTO SATURDAY.
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WV IMAGERY SHOWING LOWER AMPLITUDE TROF RIDGE TROF PATTERN FROM W TO E ACROSS THE CONUS. SFC HAS WEAK HIGH P OVR WRN WY WITH WEAK LOW P EAST AND A WEAK TROF/FRONT DRAPED FROM N TO S OVR ERN WY.
305 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015 REGIONAL ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS MUCH OF KS UNDER THE INFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE, WHILE A STEADY STREAM OF GULF MOISTURE LIFTS NORTH AND EAST AROUND THE RIDGE ACROSS CO INTO NE. THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT ACROSS WESTERN NE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S BY LATE AFTERNOON TRANSLATE TO HEAT INDICES IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.
SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE FORECAST DATA AND 00Z OPERATIONAL MODELS POINT TOWARD THE BEST INSTABILITY OVER THE WRN HALF HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST MEAN MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG ALONG THE WI BORDER. DEEP LAYER SHEAR ORIENTED PERPENDICULAR TO THE COLD FRONT GENERALLY RUNS BETWEEN 35-40 KTS OVER THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF UPPER MI FROM 21-00Z. TEMPS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WITH A TROUGH IN THE WESTERN U.
130 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST FOR SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
318 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015 EXPECT A WARM WEEKEND OVER THE AREA WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80S AS A BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE.
650 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL KEEP THINGS DRY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA WILL BE UNDERNEATH A WEAK RIDGE TODAY. CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA ARE UNDERNEATH A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE.
151 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING AND BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO FAR WESTERN NEW YORK. WARM AND MORE HUMID WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE AFTERNOON EXCEPT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND FINGER LAKES REGION WHERE A CHANCE FOR AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE SATURDAY NIGHT BUT WITH ONLY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
326 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
301 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY. LOWS WILL SETTLE VERY CLOSE TO LAST NIGHTS READINGS FROM THE LOW TO MID 60S. AT THE START OF THE PERIOD BROAD UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SPRAWLED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NORTH THROUGH THE PLAINS STATES. WE WILL BE ON THE NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE IN WEAK NW FLOW.
1134 AM MDT FRI JUL 24 2015 18Z TAF CYCLE UPPER HIGH CENTER TO THE EAST OF NEW MEXICO SHIFTING WWD.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TOMORROW. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR STORMS WILL OCCUR IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS ALONG THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. LOWS TONIGHT WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S. THE HIGHEST VALUES WILL BE SEEN IN BARBER COUNTY WHERE DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES.
WITH DECREASING CLOUDS FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. 925 MB TEMPS ACTUALLY LOOK A TAD WARMER TOMORROW. KEEPING IT A BIT COOLER THERE.
NEEDED RAINFALL EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES THIS WEEKEND KEEPING A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS. A LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND WHICH IN TURN WILL KEEP A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST STEERING FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THE GFS SHOULD THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE EAST FURTHER INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS WITH A WEAK LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE TROUGH AND MOVING NORTHEAST UP THE EASTERN UNITED STATES SEABORAD TAKING THE DEEPER MOISTURE WITH THE LOW.
350 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY.
103 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
309 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2015 An upper level ridge was centered across the Texas/Oklahoma panhandles this afternoon. Temperatures will again be very warm on Saturday, with highs in the low to mid 90s over central and southern Missouri, and the mid to upper 90s over western Missouri and southeastern Kansas.
222 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015 Subtropical ridge is centered across the S Plains today resulting in a se-e mid level component which pushes the mid level theta-e ridge axis farther w.
255 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST FOR SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THROUGH TONIGHT. A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
240 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015 A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM MINNESOTA INTO CENTRAL KANSAS WILL PUSH SLOWLY EASTWARD TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN RECENT NIGHTS. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT DROPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST.
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL KEEP THINGS DRY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY, HOWEVER DURING SATURDAY THE UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL RETROGRADE SLIGHTLY NORTHWEST ALLOWING A FEW AFTERNOON STORMS TO DEVELOP IN ACADIANA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONE OR TWO DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY'S TEMPS, HOWEVER MIXING ONCE AGAIN WILL ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO FALL INTO THE LOW 70S TO MID 60S AWAY FROM THE COAST.
354 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015 STOUT UPPER RIDGING OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BUILD E TO THE MS RIVER OVERNIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY. 850MB RIDGING OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON HAS RESULTED IN A NULL CU FIELD OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. RIDGING OVERHEAD SHOULD RESULT IN MAX TEMPS ONCE AGAIN NEARING/REACHING THE CENTURY MARK SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
358 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT.
341 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE, WILL KEEP MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, PLEASANT AND DRY INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS PARKED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH NORTHWEST TO NORTH OVER MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST WHERE RETURN FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE HAS GENERATED SOME CLOUD COVER.
243 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WEAKENS OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH A WEAK BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE OVERSPREADING FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.
1117 AM MDT FRI JUL 24 2015 VIRTUALLY NO CHANGE IN THE LARGE SCALE FLOW WITH A STATIONARY UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CONUS FLANKED BY TROUGHS NEAR THE WEST AND EAST COASTS. THE LATEST SHORT RANGE MODELS REFLECT LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE WITH THE UPPER RIDGE PARKED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CONUS.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE REMAINS THE DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. 850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER TOMORROW AND APPROACH 25C ACROSS ZAPATA CONTINUING THE HOT TEMPERATURES.
AND DESPITE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM THE ENE THROUGH THIS LAYER. FAIRLY IN LINE WITH THE TRENDS OF VARIOUS STATISTICAL GUIDANCE WHICH HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWING HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS. THIS WILL BE COURTESY OF THE MID/UPPER TROUGH WHICH WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH THE TROUGH AXIS OFFSHORE.
329 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD IN ON SATURDAY.
149 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE, WILL KEEP MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, PLEASANT AND DRY INTO SATURDAY.
COASTAL CONVERGENCE AND A DIGGING UPPER TROUGH WILL LEAD TO SHOWERS/STORMS NEAR KAPF LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
1133 AM MDT FRI JUL 24 2015 UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER NWRN TX TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAX TEMPS TODAY JUST A COUPLE DEGF COOLER MOST LOCATIONS WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER N TX WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EW THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
A RIDGE ALOFT WILL KEEP CLOUDS TO A MINIMUM. /ISSUED 330 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015/ A MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.
LOWERED TEMPS BY A DEGREE BUT AS CLOUDS START TO SCATTER SHOULD NOT HAVE A PROBLEM REACHING THE HIGH TODAY.
THE WRN USA TROF WILL DEEPEN THIS WEEKEND WITH CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING FROM THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES MON-TUE. AS THIS LOW HEADS FOR HUDSON BAY WED-THU. THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH WILL RETROGRADE INTO THE SW USA WITH A TROF DEVELOPING OVER THE E. TEMPS WILL AVERAGE NEAR NORMAL THRU TUE AND THEN TURN A LITTLE COOLER THAN NORMAL.
139 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WEAKENS OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH A WEAK BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE OVERSPREADING FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.
304 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST FOR SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
128 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER OHIO WILL MOVE TO THE EAST COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
317 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015 AN EXPANDING UPPER RIDGE SQUARELY OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY SUPPRESS MOST CONVECTION FOR THE FA TODAY.
258 PM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015 CURRENTLY - AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS SPREADING SOUTHWARD THROUGH NORTH FLORIDA. FORECAST - LIGHT TO GENTLE WEST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTING SOUTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE KEYS.
MVFR CEILINGS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION SETS UP BUT SHOULD RETURN TO VFR BY MIDMORNING. 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND EXTENDED OVER THE BRO CWFA WILL COMBINE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1. WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S ARE ASSURED DUE TO THE RELATIVE LACK OF CLOUD COVER AND THE PROXIMITY AND OPPRESSIVENESS OF THE HIGH.
A SHORT WAVE TROF THAT PRODUCED SCT SHWRS/TSTMS ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA EARLIER IN THE DAY HAS PUSHED INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA.
/ISSUED 1130 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015/ THE MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE UPPER RIDGE HAS AMPLIFIED N INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS WAS TIED TO A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED AROUND HE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.
COLD FRONT HAS FINALLY PUSHED THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL SD.
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS LAST EVENING SHOWED A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND A RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY. HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL TEXAS AND WINDS ACROSS OUR CWA WERE LIGHT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TODAY AND THE UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AND THEN TURN WESTERLY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE WESTERLY TODAY AND THEN TURN TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST.
FREEZING FOG FINALLY DIMINISHING ACROSS THE AREA. CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 52 34 51 33 / 0 0 0 0 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 47 32 45 30 / 0 10 0 0 OAK RIDGE, TN 47 31 46 31 / 0 10 0 0 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 44 30 39 23 / 0 10 20 0.
509 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016 THE 07Z MSL ANALYSIS SHOWED LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR WITH A FRONT TRAILING THROUGH WISCONSIN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WITH THE RIDGE AXIS NEAR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES. THE MILD WEATHER IS DUE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND A PLUME OF WARM AIR ALOFT /H850 MB TEMPS OF 7C TO 12C/.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC OCEAN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TONIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE KEPT ABOVE ALL NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS FOR THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE APPROACH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT.
1032 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 A SHARPENING COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 30S WITH LOWS TONIGHT DIPPING BACK INTO THE LOWER 20S. GOOD DEAL OF INSOLATION PRECEDING THE LOW LEVEL FRONT HAS ALLOWED TEMPS TO REACH INTO THE MID 30S. UPR LEVEL FLOW WILL DEAMPLIFY EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS A COUPLE OF SHRTWVS MOVE EAST FROM THE PACIFIC AND BREAK DOWN WEST COAST RIDGE.
302 AM MST THU JAN 28 2016 AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE REGION TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WHICH WILL PUT MOST LOCATIONS ABOVE 50 DEGREES ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO. THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING.
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S INLAND TO THE LOWER 40S NEAR THE COAST.
WE WILL SEE FEW/SCT MIDDECK OR CIRRUS WITH A AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH OVER AR. /ISSUED 448 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016/ WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER TROF AXIS SHIFTING EAST OF THE FOUR-STATE REGION WITH DEEP NW FLOW ALOFT SETTING UP AMID THE TRANSITIONING UPPER PATTERN. THIS SHIFTING PATTERN PORTENDS A NICE WARMING TREND AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC MOVES FARTHER EAST LATER TODAY.
603 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 A SHARPENING COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 30S WITH LOWS TONIGHT DIPPING BACK INTO THE LOWER 20S. UPR LEVEL FLOW WILL DEAMPLIFY EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS A COUPLE OF SHRTWVS MOVE EAST FROM THE PACIFIC AND BREAK DOWN WEST COAST RIDGE.
635 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN LAKES TODAY. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TODAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
520 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016 FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM CONTINUE TO BE HOW WARM TEMPERATURES WILL GET WITH GLANCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR TODAY.
This first system will bring with it a series of concerns: periods of moderate to heavy snowfall above ~5000 ft, strong winds for the mountains and exposed mountain passes, occasional gusty winds for the lower terrain, periodic blowing snow with low driving visibilities for mountains/mountain passes, wet and raw backcountry conditions, and rain for the valleys. This system will bring a stronger cold front, moderate to heavy snowfall, and additional breezy winds to the area.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NW AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH LATER TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES NEWD IN THE WRN ATLC FROM LATE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY. COOLER FOR FRIDAY.
TEMPS HAVE FALLEN TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS DOWN INTO THE INTERIOR COASTAL BEND. INFRARED SURFACE TEMPS INDICATE THERE COULD BE BELOW FREEZING TEMPS IN COLD AIR DRAINAGE AREAS IN THE NUECES RIVER WATERSHED AND CREEKS IN THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. MOST AREAS ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S WITH LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. WILL NOT ISSUE FREEZE WARNING SINCE ANY FREEZING TEMPS ARE NOT EXPETED TO BE WIDESPREAD. THE MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALONG THE COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TODAY WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT USHERING IN A VERY DRY AIR MASS. THIS WILL LEAD TO WARMER TEMPS THAT WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS FRIDAY WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMING OVER WEST TEXAS.
CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THIS AFTN AS TEMPS WARM INTO THE LOWER/MID 60S. /ISSUED 523 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016/ HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL PUSH EAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE HIGH WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES AND A LIGHT NW WINDS THIS MORNING. SURFACE RIDGING STRETCHING FROM SOUTH TEXAS TOWARDS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE EAST TODAY. THIS WILL HELP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS THE REGION.
448 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016 WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER TROF AXIS SHIFTING EAST OF THE FOUR-STATE REGION WITH DEEP NW FLOW ALOFT SETTING UP AMID THE TRANSITIONING UPPER PATTERN. THIS SHIFTING PATTERN PORTENDS A NICE WARMING TREND AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC MOVES FARTHER EAST LATER TODAY.
630 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 SNOW SHOWER CHANCES RETURN WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. WARM ADVECTION IS INCRSG MID LVL CLOUDINESS AND MAY GENERATE SOME LGT SNOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT TODAY. A BETTER CHC FOR SNOW SHOWERS IS EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT THIS EVE. COLD UPR TROFG. MARGINAL LLVL LAPSE RATES AND TROF PROGRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT ACCUMULATION TO AROUND A COUPLE OF INCHES FOR AREAS ALNG AND N OF I 80 AND IN THE RIDGES. SNOW SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AS THE TROF EXITS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ON FRI AFTN.
523 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL PUSH EAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE HIGH WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES AND A LIGHT NW WINDS THIS MORNING. SURFACE RIDGING STRETCHING FROM SOUTH TEXAS TOWARDS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE EAST TODAY. THIS WILL HELP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS THE REGION.
652 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 MOISTURE WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFFSHORE/TROUGH ALONG SAVANNAH RIVER AND WITH WEAK RIDGING TO THE NORTH. THIS RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA AHEAD OF DIGGING TROUGH IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AS LONG WAVE TROUGH FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE GULF OF MEXICO AMPLIFIES LATER TODAY AREA UNDER LEFT EXIT REGION OF 250MB JETMAX OVER FLORIDA TO THE CAROLINA COAST. AFTER 18Z AS UPPER TROUGH/JETMAX SHIFTS EAST.
417 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016 UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U. LEESIDE TROUGHING WILL TAKE SHAPE AND CONTINUALLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES AND WINDS.
AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INDICATE THAT A LOW PRESSURE HAS BEEN DEVELOPING AT THE SURFACE OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND REACH THE KEYS EARLY THIS EVENING.
THE NEXT FEATURE IN STORE AFTER A RATHER DECENT DAY WILL BE AN UPPER TROUGH WHICH COULD BRING SOME LOWERING CEILINGS LATER TONIGHT AND A FEW FLURRIES TO TRI.
632 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST TODAY AND AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT.
510 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 A COLD FRONT CROSSES T0NIGHT.
SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH HIGHS JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW TODAY.
/ISSUED 329 AM CST THU JAN 28 2016/ An area of low pressure over the Great Lakes Region. High temps over the CWA should be a few degrees warmer compared to yesterday with highs in the 50s/low 60s forecast.
600 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN LAKES TODAY. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TODAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
A SERIES OF WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST THROUGH TONIGHT.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS BREAKING DOWN THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A VERY MOIST ZONAL FLOW THAT IS TO SET UP FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING THE SECOND SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN ZONES AND EASTWARD WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIP AND A WARM FRONT LIFTING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE DAY AND THEN STALLING.
AS OF 2 AM THE COLD FRONT IS STILL ABOUT 170 MILES OFFSHORE. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO COME BACK AS A WARM FRONT FRIDAY AND WILL PROVIDE WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN.
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AN UPPER TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO NORTH ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. THIS WILL MOVE QUICKLY TO THE APPALACHIANS BY TONIGHT AS AN UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS OVER THE ROCKIES. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS FRIDAY AND NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME ZONAL BY FRIDAY NIGHT. TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WILL GENERALLY BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ON THE HORIZON.
STRONG RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES WITH A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVING EAST INTO THE WESTERN DAKOTAS. A S/WV TROUGH ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA WILL TRACK EASTWARD. WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON ROAD SURFACE TEMPERATURES AS COULD STILL GET ICE ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY MORNING IF ROAD TEMPS ARE AT OR BELOW 32F DESPITE AIR TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. BUT SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH WILL LIKELY COINCIDE WITH MAXIMUM BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING DURING THE AFTERNOON TO AIDE GUSTINESS. SO WE ARE ADVERTISING HIGHS THAT ARE A BIT WARMER THAN THE 00 UTC MODEL CONSENSUS IN THIS SCENARIO.
938 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST AND LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT TO THE EAST THIS MORNING. WITH LOW PRESSURE STARTING TO APPROACH WESTERN NEW ENGLAND FROM THE GREAT LAKES LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TONIGHT WHILE AN OCEAN LOW INTENSIFIES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF MAINE. WITH A TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN THE LOWS. INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AS ANOTHER LOW APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
947 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN LAKES TODAY. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TODAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
Clearing is expected from west to east through the afternoon hours with VFR conditions returning this evening areawide as a drier airmass moves into the area behind a cold front. Areas of light rain are expected to linger through the morning hours as an upper level trough moves through the area.
AN UPPER RIDGE WAS SITTING OVER WESTERN MONTANA THIS MORNING. THIS RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST AND GET FLATTENED TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS THE RIDGE FLATTENS. THE WESTERN UPPER TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. QG FORCING WITH THE TROUGHS PASSAGE. HAVE RAISED POPS QUITE A BIT FOR THE TROUGH PASSAGE TONIGHT. A FLAT UPPER RIDGE REPLACES THE TROUGH FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLE BEHIND THE WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE OF TONIGHT. ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN ZONES AND THE HIGH COUNTRY. ALONG WITH INSTABILITY GET INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY AND SHOULD LEAD TO STRONG SNOW RATES.
354 AM MST THU JAN 28 2016 RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST TODAY WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED. MAY SEE A FEW FLURRIES OVER THE HIGHEST PEAKS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE ROLLS THROUGH.
352 AM MST THU JAN 28 2016 UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE MIGRATES EASTWARD THROUGH THE ROCKIES TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEAK UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE WILL KEEP LEE TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE PLAINS. AND A FEW DOWNSLOPE WARMED AREAS MAY STAY ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE NIGHT.