Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
Tonight and Saturday will be slightly cooler than yesterday with overnight lows dropping to the low 70s and highs staying in the low 90s. Just in the last hour or so we have seen a quick build up of convection in north Florida associated with a cold front. A cold front stalling over the area will bring in an increase of moisture across the area. This cold front will stick around the area through the weekend which will bring no fire weather concerns for the area.
743 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 A large area of high pressure will keep rain-free weather over the region for most of the weekend.
southerly winds should stay up enough to keep low temperatures slightly warmer compared to this morning with forecast lows in the low to upper 70s. ahead of the much anticipated cold front forecast to move into the CWA Saturday evening. (Tomorrow through Friday) Breezy south to southwesterly winds and an intensifying low level thermal ridge will support a continued warming trend Saturday across the forecast area.
302 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Showers and a few thunderstorms associated with a passing upper level low pressure system will diminish and end from west to east this evening.
931 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure ridges in from the north through the weekend.
841 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 A large area of high pressure will keep rain-free weather over the region for most of the weekend.
The high pressure ridge axis NE of the region will keep an onshore flow across the region on Saturday with isolated to scattered showers and storms along the coast/I-95 corridor, and with daytime heating expecting another day of numerous to widespread storms over inland areas of SE GA/NE FL, with best chances along the I-75 corridor with some isolated strong/severe storms with gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall the main threats once again, but slightly less surface heating/CAPE should lead to less severe storms Saturday afternoon.
With the abundant moisture, afternoon high temperatures will be near or a bit cooler than average. That is until one of the storms develops in the high DCAPE area and kicks out a decent outflow.
Warm to hot afternoon temperatures will continue across the interior while cooler temperatures will occur at the coast. Weak upper level troughing over the area has allowed for the daytime highs to come down slightly when compared to the last several days.
958 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure centered off the Mid Atlantic coast will provide a dry weekend with seasonably warm temperatures.
534 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Showers and thunderstorms developed this morning as the mid-level trough discussed over the past several days began to track eastward across Utah. Satellite and RAP 500 mb analysis indicated the trough extended roughly along a KRWL to KCNY line 21Z. Storms continued to fire along and ahead of the trough where mid-level lift was maximized in the unstable airmass. Models were in good agreement with the progression of the trough and all indicated its axis will shift east of the Continental Divide by 00Z/Sat.
205 PM PDT Fri Jun 24 2022 A weakening upper low will bring chances of thunderstorms to the Silver State but not much moisture for the Weekend. Subtropical ridge of high pressure will shift westward and build over the Great Basin for the the start of the workweek bringing warmer temperatures and dry conditions.
/NEW/ /Tonight through Saturday Night/ No significant changes through the next 24 hours as North Texas will continue to be dominated by mid and upper level ridging.
807 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure centered off the Mid Atlantic coast will provide a dry weekend with seasonably warm temperatures.
749 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies have dominated Upper MI this afternoon as a very weak trough remains over the area. Therefore, with cloud cover moving into the west late tonight, expect to see highs in the low to mid 60s in the west and mid to upper 50s in the east. Expect showers and thunderstorms to move into the far west late tonight/early Saturday morning as the cold front comes in. Troughing will move into the Great Lakes this weekend bringing cooler weather with it.
/issued 318 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022/ Heat indices have remained below 100 degrees so far this afternoon with high temperatures in the low to middle 90s. RH's are in the low to middle 30s. A ridge will continue to build across the Midsouth tonight and tomorrow. High temperatures and heat indices should be a couple of degrees warmer than today.
/NF/ Tonight through tomorrow: Stout upper ridging will remain centered across the Lower Mississippi Valley through tomorrow with an anomalous thermal ridge extending from the Southern Plains into the Gulf Coast states. A pocket of dry air will also continue to linger across eastern Mississippi with dewpoints in the low 60s to upper 50s.
507 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Upper ridge has retreated into the southern plains, and the central plains will come more under the influence of a northern stream trough moving out of the northern Rockies tonight and Saturday. Severe threat will be over by about 06z as main cluster moves east, with only isolated lingering showers/thunderstorms after midnight as the cold front begins making its way through the forecast area. Aforementioned cold front will continue through the area Saturday morning with breezy to windy north winds which continue through the afternoon hours.
627 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 (This evening through Saturday) Like clockwork, temperatures across west central Texas this afternoon were once again in the upper 90s to low 100s as a 590dam mid-level ridge continues to be the main feature across the southern Plains.
502 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 A large area of high pressure will keep rain-free weather over the region for most of the weekend.
744 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure will dominate the forecast across the mid-Atlantic states into North Carolina through the weekend.
Temperatures continue to run several degrees above normal across central California this afternoon under the influence of weak high pressure near the west coast. A weakness in the ridge is progged to sharpen over California Saturday while the ridge strengthens offshore.
427 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Upper trough is crossing the northern Rockies and moving into central Montana. A cold front over northwest/west central SD associated with a central Canadian low will continue to slide southeastward this afternoon. and even into the early morning hours until the main trough axis pushes through. Upper ridging will build across the region for the weekend, bringing near to slightly below average temperatures and dry conditions.
647 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 The weekend will remain dry with afternoon high temperatures remaining in the low to mid 90's.
Temperatures have only cooled into the lower to mid 80s and will drop slowly into the upper 60s to lower 70s by morning. Discussion: Through this evening, an inverted trough from far northeast Tennessee. Main forcing will remain orographic forcing so best coverage across the higher elevations.
Forcing from upper trough moving into area producing wide band of precipitation. In addition, a jet streak is located on the eastern side of the trough.
Overall, lows in the lower to middle 60s look good but would not rule out upper 50s across northeastern sections. Some CAMs suggest the influence of this disturbance could spark a few showers across western portions of the area very late tonight into Saturday morning, but the dry air in place across the area should prevent this, or at least limit it to virga, and will continue with the dry forecast for now, and depict a gradual increase in mid and high level cloud both with the MCV and high level moisture with the approaching cold front that will likely spark a few showers and storms late in the short term. Temps will continue to trend a bit warmer ahead of the front per low level thermal progs, but this additional warming will be modest and temporary.
929 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure will dominate the forecast across the mid-Atlantic states into North Carolina through the weekend.
Upper trough is crossing the northern Rockies and moving into central Montana. A cold front over northwest/west central SD associated with a central Canadian low will continue to slide southeastward this afternoon. and even into the early morning hours until the main trough axis pushes through. Upper ridging will build across the region for the weekend, bringing near to slightly below average temperatures and dry conditions.
1036 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 The weekend will remain dry with afternoon high temperatures remaining in the low to mid 90's.
707 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure will allow for dry conditions overnight.
626 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 High pressure ridges in from the north through the weekend.
Dewpoints are in the low 70s across northeast Alabama and southern Middle Tennessee to the low 60s in portions of northwest Alabama.
900 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Upper ridging prevails across the area with mostly clear skies and light winds. /issued 318 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022/ Heat indices have remained below 100 degrees so far this afternoon with high temperatures in the low to middle 90s. RH's are in the low to middle 30s. A ridge will continue to build across the Midsouth tonight and tomorrow. High temperatures and heat indices should be a couple of degrees warmer than today.
228 AM MDT Sat Jun 25 2022 Upper trough currently over eastern Montana will move to the east this morning. High pressure moves into the area tonight with diminishing winds and a cool night with lows in the 40s.
southerly winds should stay up enough to keep low temperatures slightly warmer compared to this morning with forecast lows in the low to upper 70s. ahead of the much anticipated cold front forecast to move into the CWA Saturday evening.
424 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING SHIFTS OFFSHORE LATER TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY.
511 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015 MEAN TROF REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHERN MEXICO. MORE ISOLATED/SCATTERED PATCHES OF RAIN STILL ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WRAP-AROUND REGION OF THE EXITING UPPER TROF. WILL CONTINUE PLUNGING INTO THE BACKSIDE OF THE MEAN TROF OUT WEST.
407 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 FRONT PUSHING NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. AND THEN BACK SOUTH AS COLD FRONT SATURDAY.
THE ECMWF HAS BEEN CONSISTENT WITH SHOWING 925 MB TEMPS AROUND 8C OR WARMER. WILL USE THE WARMER MODEL GUIDANCE OF THE ECMWF.
AS THIS ENERGY CONTINUES TO DIVE SOUTH INTO MEXICO ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF A LONGWAVE TROF. EXPECT AN EVENTUAL MIGRATION OF THIS LOW BACK TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO WRN TEXAS.
SHWRS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM THE SW HEADING INTO THE EARLY EVENING BUT A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE TO MID CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MOST AREAS ON SATURDAY.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE OHIO VALLEY. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY AS SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM ATTEMPTS TO MERGE WITH NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH EVENTUALLY CLOSING OFF ACROSS EASTERN CANADA.
414 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 STRONG HIGH PRESSURE EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL GRADUALLY MOVE OFFSHORE TODY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
COLD FRONT JUST BEGINNING TO CLEAR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN AROUND 12Z SATURDAY EXPECTED TO LEAD TO MINS IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS PASSES BY THIS MORNING. ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF BAKER COUNTY AND THE WEST CENTRAL MTNS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY. WITH NORTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW DRAWING IN COMPARATIVELY COOLER AIR. THE HIGH SHIFTS SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE STATE ON SATURDAY. BRINGING DECREASING CLOUDINESS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.
DEEP LAYERED RIDGING REMAINS ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE EXTREME WESTERN ATLANTIC. A VIGOROUS INVERTED TROUGH HAS CREPT EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
EARLY THIS MORNING A MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ALONG THE CRP/HGX CWA LINE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH PRECIP EARLY THIS MORNING LOCATED JUST A FEW MILES TO THE NE OF THE CWA. SAID TROUGH AXES ARE PROG TO CONTINUE TO SWING NORTHWARD ACROSS SE TEXAS WITH AN AREA OF DNVA MOVING THROUGH S TX THIS MORNING ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH. AS OF WRITING FOG HAS BEEN TRYING TO DEVELOP ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH BUT FOG HAS SO FAR BEEN CONFINED PRIMARILY TO THE THE VICTORIA REGION.
LOW-LEVEL RIDGING ALONG THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD PROVIDING FAIRLY DEEP EAST-SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS ECFL THIS MORNING. SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS WILL WEAKEN AND SLIDE EASTWARD OFF OF THE COAST AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER FLORIDA WILL RETROGRADE WWD OVER THE GOMEX AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE WRN ATLC.
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT 08Z SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MN WITH COOL FRONT INTO EASTERN CO. UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. SURFACE ANTICYCLONE MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/CWA BRINGING PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. LEE TROUGH/WARM FRONT DEVELOPS FROM CENTRAL MT INTO SOUTHWEST WY TONIGHT WITH LOWER TROPOSPHERIC WARM AIR ADVECTION ON BACK SIDE OF HIGH. LEE TROUGH/WARM FRONT MOVES EAST WITH TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF IT.
HIGH TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO TREND WARMER OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN COUNTIES WHILE WESTERN COUNTIES REMAIN NEAR STEADY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE STATE WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WITH THE WEDGE STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE DAY RAIN CHANCES WILL FURTHER INCREASE WILL COOLER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION. WEDGE OF COOLER AIR WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE SATURDAY.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE OHIO VALLEY.
MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER LOW. AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIDES EAST. IT LOOKS TO PHASE WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT WILL ENSUE THIS MORNING AS SURFACE RIDGING SLIDES DOWN THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS. PESKY TROUGH AXIS WHICH HAS BEEN WITH US WILL STILL BE IN PLACE ORIENTED FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO SINALOA WHERE A CUTOFF LOW WILL RESIDE.
THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE A COLD FRONT POISED TO TRAVERSE THE PANHANDLES THIS MORNING. /ISSUED 430 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015/ WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDTIONS TO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES TODAY.
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE NEW MEXICO BORDER TODAY.
THE LATEST WATER IMAGERY INDICATE A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 20N AND 130W. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING FROM THE RIDGE CENTER THROUGH THE BAY AREA AND INTO EASTERN WASHINGTON. A TEMPERATURE OF 87 DEGREES IS PRODUCED MUCH WARMER THAN OUR FORECAST TEMPERATURE OF 84 DEGREES FOR FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WORK EAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TODAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 07Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SPREADING MOISTURE AND ITS WARM FRONT INTO KENTUCKY. BUT EVEN THESE WERE NOT ENOUGH TO PREVENT A SMALL RIDGE TO VALLEY TEMPERATURE SPLIT FROM DEVELOPING EARLIER IN THE NIGHT AND THIS WILL LIKELY NOT MIX OUT UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE. THIS PROCESS WILL BRING ENERGY INTO KENTUCKY THROUGH 00Z BEFORE IT GETS PICKED UP BY A SOUTHEAST MOVING TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES IN THE NORTHERN STREAM. THIS WILL DELAY THE EXIT OF THE MID LEVEL ENERGY UNTIL LATE SATURDAY IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE PASSING OF THE 500 MB TROUGH AXIS. GIVEN THE HIGHER QPF AXIS SETTING UP TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE THE FFA FOR THIS AREA.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
340 AM MDT FRI MAR 13 2015 Brief high pressure over the region today will allow temperatures to warm well above normal, maybe even eclipsing some of the temperatures felt earlier this week.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH FRIDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY. AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH UP THE THE LOWER MS VALLEY. ASSOCIATED DRY AIR RIDGE. FEATURING SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE 20S AND 30S ACROSS THE AREA COUPLED WILL CONTINUE RIDGING ALOFT WILL PROVE DIFFICULT FOR ANY MEASURABLE PRECIP TO MAKE IT INTO THE AREA BEFORE 12Z. AND THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOW TO MID 50S. WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. WITH A SFC COLD FRONT PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CAROLINAS BY 12Z SUN.
623 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING SHIFTS OFFSHORE LATER TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY.
332 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015 THE 08Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED THAT A WARM FRONT WAS ANALYZED TO BE EXTENDING SOUTHEAST FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. TEMPS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT WERE IN THE MID-UPPER 60S WITH LOW-MID 60S DEWPOINTS NOTED ACROSS CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTHERN ALABAMA. EXPECT THAT MORE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY NEAR THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY. DUE TO THE HIGH POTENTIAL FOR MORE PRECIP TODAY. THE MODELS FINALLY LIFT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WELL NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
337 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015 A WELL DEFINED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM WEST OF HOUSTON INTO THE NORTHERN GULF EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TRACK NNE ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BY TONIGHT AS THE FORCING FROM THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.
A weak cold front Friday afternoon will result in winds increasing out of the northeast to around 10 to 12kt, with brief gusts possible.
FEEL DECENT CONFIDENCE IN SHORT RANGE/MESOSCALE GUIDANCE GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. MILD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AS BROAD RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE WRN HALF OF THE U. A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE TUE- THU SYSTEM.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO POTENTIAL FLOODING THROUGH TOMORROW AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY CONTINUES ITS TRACK TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN WISCONSIN TODAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH SOUTHERN WISCONSIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. A THERMAL RIDGE WILL POKE INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT. KEEPING IT MUCH COOLER RIGHT ALONG THE SHORE. COOLER AIR WILL ARRIVE IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. TEMPS TONIGHT WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE 30S TO AROUND 40 WITH HIGHS ON SATURDAY STILL REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SHORT TERM: (Through Late This Afternoon) Rain continues to move through much of the forecast area early this morning ahead of the upper level low centered over the TX Panhandle, and in a region of low level warm air advection, theta e advection and moisture convergence on the nose of a southerly low level jet.
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND WILL AND PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT.
312 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015 SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SATURDAY.
THE HIGH RES MODELS REFLECTIVITY DEPICTIONS SUGGEST WAVES/BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NNE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE UPPER SYSTEM AND SURFACE REFLECTION OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL ENCOUNTER A NORTHERN STREAM TROF LATER TONIGHT/SATURDAY AND CONSOLIDATE OVER THE AREA. BEST CHANCE POPS SATURDAY WILL DIMINISH FROM NW TO SE IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER TROF.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEP SOUTHERLY FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER TX/LA SLOWLY DRIFTS NE. WE STILL HAVE SOME MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ALOFT THIS MORNING THAT IS SUPPRESSING SHOWER ACTIVITY. BUT THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE MORNING AS THE RIDGE RETREATS TO THE NE AND A MIDLEVEL VORT MAX MOVES THROUGH. A DOWNSLOPE LOW LEVEL FLOW MAY HELP WARM TEMPS IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS INTO THE LOWER 60S.
417 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015 ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS ON TAP FOR THE REGION AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT MARCHING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WAVE WILL PUSH EAST TODAY DRIVING THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
621 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 AVIATION FAIR AND MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT. FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT WILL HELP TO BOOST MAX TEMPS INTO THE LOWER TO PERHAPS MIDDLE 50S. A CONSENSUS OF LATEST SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT MOST IF NOT ALL RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW AND COLD FRONT TONIGHT SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF LWR MI. A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS WILL ADVECT IN ON NW WINDS BEHIND THAT SYSTEM SATURDAY.
308 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTH INTO ARKANSAS TODAY. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S. THESE FEATURES WILL DROP SEVERAL TRAILING COLD FRONTS THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN A VARIABLE TEMP REGIME.
MOST OF THE HIGH CLOUDS HAVE EXITED TO THE EAST AND SOUTH AS THE COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH. NET RESULT WILL BE TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN ON FRIDAY BY 6-10 DEGREES. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD AND THEN RETURN FLOW SETS UP SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS IN ERN ND IN THE AFTN. ALSO WARMER AIR RETURNS AS HIGHS REACH THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. THEN A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUN AFTN-EVE.
High pressure over the region will continue with dry conditions expected for the next 24 hours.
333 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY OVERNIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY WILL BRING MOISTURE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL BRING A MIX OF RAIN.
A GOOD 15-20 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. AGAIN 15-20 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW OVER WESTERN MEXICO STILL PROGGED TO CUTOFF AND RETROGRADE TO SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THRU MON. THIS LEAVES SHORT WAVE TROUGH ZIPPING SE THRU UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST CONUS THIS WEEKEND AS PRIMARY DRIVER OF SENSIBLE WEATHER OVER THE AREA. MOIST PLUME AND WEAK WARM/MOIST ADVECTION SHOULD STRETCH OUT OVER GULF COAST AND SRN GA 00Z SUN WITH COLD FRONT ASSOCD WITH MIDWEST SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO TN VALLEY. COULD SEE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF PREFRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE STATE SATURDAY.
336 AM MDT FRI MAR 13 2015 A VERY WK DISORGANIZED UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE SE OF THE CWA TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH READINGS WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
153 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVERNIGHT. NEXT LOW PRESSURE/RAIN FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
Warmer temps expected in the northwest where fewer clouds and no pcpn is forecasted. Cooler temps will be in the east and south where more clouds and pcpn will be. High pressure will build into the Midwest and has previously resulted in a dry forecast with warm temperatures through the weekend.
410 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 STRENGTHENING WEDGE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH THE INFLUX OF COOLER AIR AT THE SURFACE AND RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION.
337 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015 SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE TROUGH HAS BEEN WEAKENING AS IT DRIFTS TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY WITH THE LOWER TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS A LITTLE HIGHER.
646 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015 A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTH INTO ARKANSAS TODAY. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S. THESE FEATURES WILL DROP SEVERAL TRAILING COLD FRONTS THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN A VARIABLE TEMP REGIME.