Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
657 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OK/TX HANDLE BORDER AND THE COLD FRONT WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST. THE LATEST SHORT RANGE MODELS PUSH THE CENTER OF THE HIGH QUICKLY INTO NE TEXAS EARLY THIS EVENING AND RELAX THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER SE TEXAS. /ISSUED 258 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER TROUGH DEPARTS.
THE COLD FRONT IS ROUGHLY LOCATED ALONG /OR JUST EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. AND TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S BY DAYBREAK. SOME BREEZY/GUSTY GRADIENT WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS THROUGH 06Z. CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 48 66 41 72 / 80 10 10 10 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 49 63 40 71 / 80 10 10 10 OAK RIDGE, TN 47 63 39 72 / 80 10 10 10 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 50 63 36 71 / 80 20 10 10 TN.
/ISSUED 306 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ A COLD FRONT NOW STRETCHES FROM NEAR GARY INDIANA TO MONROE LOUISIANA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT.
UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
/issued 238 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ Much cooler and less windy today following a cold front that moved through last night. Enjoy it while it lasts as winds quickly turn back to the south tonight as another upper trough drops into the northern Rockies. Downsloping winds along with a mid level thermal ridge will lead to temperatures back to near 80 degrees.
602 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 Low pressure system making its way through the Midwest today still has some light precipitation in its wake, mainly along and north of the I-74 corridor before sunset. Models with varied handling of the low level cloud cover, but expect a clearing trend to begin after 06-07Z.
740 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR FRIDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AS SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH FAR EASTERN KENTUCKY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL BE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH THE PRE FRONTAL TROUGH.
915 PM MDT THU MAR 24 2016 WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHED ACROSS THE REGION EARLIER THIS EVENING AND HAS NOW PUSHED WELL TO THE EAST.
1153 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND WIND GUSTS TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER COULD LINGER IN THE RIDGES DURING THE MORNING HOURS. FRIDAY NIGHT IS WHEN SKIES WILL TRULY CLEAR OUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
POOR BOATING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AS AN APPROACHING FRONTAL TROF OVER THE CENTRAL GOMEX COMBINES WITH A RIDGE AXIS THE FL STRAITS TO GENERATE A GENTLE TO MODERATE SRLY BREEZE.
THERE IS SOME LIGHT SNOW FALLING OVER THE HIGH MOUNTAINS RIGHT NOW BUT IT IS MINOR. MODELS HAVE AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHWEST. WITH A COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO BEFORE NOON FRIDAY. WILL BRING SOME 10-40% POPS INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH AND INCREASING MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW.
705 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SW LOWER MICHIGAN WILL RELAX. TO THE WEST OF THE NARROW RIDGE AXIS.
High pressure over Missouri Valley will push east through the night diminishing cyclonic curvature and allowing the clearing currently in eastern Iowa to push southward. Low pressure system making its way through the Midwest today still has some light precipitation in its wake, mainly along and north of the I-74 corridor before sunset. Models with varied handling of the low level cloud cover, but expect a clearing trend to begin after 06-07Z.
CLEAR AND COOL NIGHT AHEAD AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF OUR LATEST FRONTAL PASSAGE. GUSTY NWLY WINDS ARE USHERING DRIER AND COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTN RANGING FM THE LOWER 60S ACRS THE LAKES REGION TO THE MIDDLE 70S ACRS LOWER ACADIANA. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL THIS EVENING AS THE COOLER AIRMASS SETTLES OVER THE REGION.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SE TONIGHT AND THEN SW BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THRU KGUY AROUND 21Z FRIDAY. SLIGHT RIDGING AND SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP LOWS OVERNIGHT IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
/ISSUED 350 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP AGAIN TO NEAR FREEZING IN SOME PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL PICK UP QUICKLY TOMORROW AS THE HIGH MOVES FARTHER EAST. AND LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
WITH GUIDANCE SLOWING DOWN EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF PRECIP TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING DECIDED TO REMOVE ANY MENTION OF FREEZING RAIN. KEEPING LOWS JUST ABOVE FREEZING. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL AID IN MIXING. BEHIND THE LOW CAA WILL MIX DOWN NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 KTS.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST MS THROUGH 25. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOW THE COLD FRONT ADVANCING INTO CENTRAL MS AND NORTHWEST AL. ATTENTION WILL TURN TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. COOLER AIR WILL ARRIVE FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.
/ISSUED 657 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OK/TX HANDLE BORDER AND THE COLD FRONT WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST. THE LATEST SHORT RANGE MODELS PUSH THE CENTER OF THE HIGH QUICKLY INTO NE TEXAS EARLY THIS EVENING AND RELAX THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER SE TEXAS. /ISSUED 258 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER TROUGH DEPARTS.
757 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND BRING A COOLER AIRMASS TO END THE WORK WEEK. MESO ANAL SHOWS THE WARM FRONT HAS MOVED BACK NORTH OF THE BORDER WITH JUST THE HINT OF SOME RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL COLD AIR REMAINING OVER NERN AREAS. FRIDAY WILL BE SEVERAL DEG COOLER THAN TODAY OVER ABOUT THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA.
636 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 FOR 00Z TAFS /ISSUED 340 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ WITH MEAN WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. WEAK RIDGING WAS NOTED ALONG THE WEST AND EAST COAST.
1100 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA WITH GOES VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING CLEARING WORKING IN FROM MN/NORTHWEST WI AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WERE IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 30S WITH NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10-20 MPH ADDING A BITE TO THE AIR. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. FRIDAY WILL SEE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MID/HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE EXCEPTION BEING NORTH OF I-90 WHERE A LIGHT WINTRY MIX MAY BE SEEN AS LOW TEMPERATURES HOVER RIGHT AROUND THE FREEZING MARK.
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL BE PASSING TCL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE LOWER CEILINGS IN THAT LOCATION BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON THE VIS ISSUES WITH THE FRONT PUSHING TOWARDS THE AREA.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE OR THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. COLD FRONT SURGED SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS OVERNIGHT RANGING FROM THE LOW-MID 40S OUT WEST TO LOW 50S NEAR THE COAST. SO IT LOOKS LIKE LOW TEMPS IN THE LOW-MID 50S WILL BE THE RULE ACROSS THE RGV AND RANCHLANDS. SURFACE WINDS VEER BACK TO SE IN RESPONSE TO TROUGHING IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. DEWPOINTS RISE BACK TO THE LOW 60S.
724 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE HAS SURGED INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER COULD LINGER IN THE RIDGES DURING THE MORNING HOURS. FRIDAY NIGHT IS WHEN SKIES WILL TRULY CLEAR OUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
COLD FRONT ABOUT TO CLEAR THE FAR SE CORNER OF THE CWA AS OF THIS WRITING. TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE BEHIND THIS FRONT BUT WILL STILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15-20 KNOTS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE PUSHING THROUGH PVW BETWEEN 03-06Z DURING WHICH TIME A WIND SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST WILL BEGIN. WE SHOULD SEE SPEEDS PICK UP AS LEE TROUGH TIGHTENS TO OUR WEST. LOW WILL SINK SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CWFA WITH TIME THOUGH COLD FRONT SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH 00Z SAT.
843 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 00Z WATER VAPOR AND H4 RAP ANALYSIS SHOWS A SLOWLY DEAMPLIFYING NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION. THE MAIN ENERGY FROM THIS TROUGH WILL BE PASSING TO THE NORTH OF OUR REGION AND CURRENTLY IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO LIFT OFF ACROSS AL/GA/CAROLINAS. THE SYNOPTIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH HAS BEEN SUPPORTING AN EXTENSIVE QLCS CLUSTER OF STORM THIS PAST AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WORKING QUICKLY ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NOW NORTHEAST GULF COAST. THIS LINE OF CONVECTION MAY BE ABLE TO CONTINUE TRANSITIONING EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL MORE HOUR BY UTILIZING THE LOWER LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS OWN PROPAGATING COLD POOL. COLD FRONT STALLS TO OUR NORTH ON FRIDAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY ALSO LEAD TO SOME SEA FOG OVER THE COOLER WATER AREAS PRIMARILY NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.
1150 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND BRING A COOLER AIRMASS TO END THE WORK WEEK. EASTERLY FLOW WITH COOLER AIR ACROSS THE FAR EAST. FRIDAY WILL BE SEVERAL DEG COOLER THAN TODAY OVER ABOUT THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA.
WITH THE COLD FRONT ITSELF MAKING ITS WAY EWD ACROSS THE I-65 CORRIDOR. THE COOLER/DRIER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE OF THE FRONT IS LAGGING A BIT. THE INFLUX OF COOLER/DRIER AIR OUT OF THE MIDWEST SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CLOUD BREAKS HEADING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HRS. AS COOLER AIR RETURNS TO THE CNTRL TN VALLEY. THE COLD FRONT IS ENTERING FAR NW AL CURRENTLY AND WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. STUMPF /ISSUED 340 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ WITH MEAN WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. WEAK RIDGING WAS NOTED ALONG THE WEST AND EAST COAST.
MODERATING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW PERIODS AS HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC GETS NUDGED FURTHER EASTWARD. THE LOW TEMPERATURE MEASURED AT THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WAS 57 DEGREES.
and most short range guidance is not particularly bullish on dropping temperatures below freezing under the cloud cover. Low clouds will be slow to clear from west to east tonight and will likely not clear west of the low level ridge of axis which will be just west of the Mississippi River at 12Z.
914 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR FRIDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AS A SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH FAR WESTERN COUNTIES.
725 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 TONIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD, WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING, AS A COLD FRONT ENTERS WESTERN NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA. THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY AND FAIRLY MILD, AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE EAST COAST. AS THE MAIN SURFACE COLD FRONT SLIDES STEADILY EASTWARD FRIDAY, WE SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, END FROM WEST TO EAST BY THE MIDDAY AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND, AS A LARGE RIDGE SURFACE AND ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES, WE'RE LOOKING AT DRY WEATHER.
DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S ACROSS ALL BUT OUR FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL BE PASSING TCL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE LOWER CEILINGS IN THAT LOCATION BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON THE VIS ISSUES WITH THE FRONT PUSHING TOWARDS THE AREA.
753 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 UPDATED THE FIRST PERIOD OF THE FORECAST TO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND SOME COASTAL AREAS. A FEW OF THESE COULD BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING TO SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. /ISSUED 412 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ GRAVITY WAVE INDUCED SQUALL LINE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT HAS BROUGHT SOME DRAMA TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
POSSIBLY THE BEST SHOT AT ANOTHER SHOWER AT A TERMINAL WILL BE WITH THE LIFT ALONG A COLD FRONT JUST NOW MOVING INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
A COLD FRONT WAS CROSSING CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WAS VERY CLOSE TO INTERSTATE 59. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL BE PASSING TCL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE LOWER CEILINGS IN THAT LOCATION BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON THE VIS ISSUES WITH THE FRONT PUSHING TOWARDS THE AREA.
936 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
A cold front will be dropping south into western Kansas by late day which will result in decreasing winds during the afternoon along and north of this cold front.
AS SFC RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD SSE INTO TX AND ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. DID LOWER MIN TEMPS A TAD AS THESE AREAS ARE TRENDING A LITTLE COOLER THAN FORECAST.
1150 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 AVIATION LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW AND THEN TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
816 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 TONIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD, WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING, AS A COLD FRONT ENTERS WESTERN NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA. THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY AND FAIRLY MILD, AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE EAST COAST. AS THE MAIN SURFACE COLD FRONT SLIDES STEADILY EASTWARD FRIDAY, WE SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, END FROM WEST TO EAST BY THE MIDDAY AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND, AS A LARGE RIDGE SURFACE AND ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES, WE'RE LOOKING AT DRY WEATHER.
WITH THE COLD FRONT ITSELF MAKING ITS WAY EWD ACROSS THE I-65 CORRIDOR. THE COOLER/DRIER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE OF THE FRONT IS LAGGING A BIT. THE INFLUX OF COOLER/DRIER AIR OUT OF THE MIDWEST SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CLOUD BREAKS HEADING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HRS. AS COOLER AIR RETURNS TO THE CNTRL TN VALLEY. COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE AREA/OR THE I-65 CORRIDOR.
1152 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016 VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
BUT STILL THINK WE SHOULD SEE SOME NICE DROPS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEFORE CLOUDS COMING IN FOR THE EAST AND WITH THE COLD FRONT COMING INTO THE NORTHWEST. A BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND NORTHEAST FROM THIS LOW WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PCPN DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.
OBS TREND ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA ARE RUNNING A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN THE FORECAST. WITH AT FREEZING TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. /ISSUED 350 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016/ HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP AGAIN TO NEAR FREEZING IN SOME PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL PICK UP QUICKLY TOMORROW AS THE HIGH MOVES FARTHER EAST. AND LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
907 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016 A COLD FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND WIND GUSTS TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT AND ATTENDANT LINE OF ENHANCED SHOWERS IS NOW ENCROACHING UPON THE FAR WESTERN FRINGES OF THE CWA. COLD AIR SEEMS TO BE LAGGING A BIT BEHIND THE LINE OF SHOWERS THIS EVENING IN A SECONDARY TROUGHING AXIS FROM ROUGHLY DETROIT TO INDIANAPOLIS. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER COULD LINGER IN THE RIDGES DURING THE MORNING HOURS. FRIDAY NIGHT IS WHEN SKIES WILL TRULY CLEAR OUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
AS LARGE SCALE FORCING HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE RFQ OF A 110KT UPPER JET AHEAD OF THE TROUGHING EXTENDING FARTHER W FROM WRN KS INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES. WITH THE CONVECTION QUICKLY DIMINISHING FROM W TO E AFTER 12Z THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE LATER TONIGHT AND RAPIDLY PUSHES E THROUGH THE AREA.
THE WINDS CONTINUE TO REMAIN ON THE BREEZY SIDE LATE THIS EVENING HOWEVER THEY SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE AHEAD OF THE ENSUING COLD FRONT. HOWEVER SOME JET STREAK INFLUENCE MAY OCCUR LATE TONIGHT IN TANDEM WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE HELPING TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDER.
858 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2016 RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT. FRIES COLD FRONT WILL BE A QUICK MOVER. DRIVEN BY THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN PROGRESSIVE FLOW. COLD FRONT PASSES SWIFTLY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN AIRMASS DUE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE COAST LATER THIS EVENING.
1040 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2016 A COLD FRONT CROSSES THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.
930 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2016 ANOTHER QUIET WX NIGHT AS A HI PRES RIDGE OVER THE WRN ATLC/ERN GOMEX KEEPS A DRY STABLE AIRMASS OVER FL. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM BERMUDA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL GENERATE A GENTLE TO MODERATE SE BREEZE.
WARMER AND WETTER PATTERN RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND.
CLOUD COVER OUT OF THE SW HAS ALSO MANAGED TO SPREAD OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AS AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH AXIS OVER THE MID PLAINS TAKES AIM AT THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY STATES. WITH READINGS PREDOM IN THE LOWER/MID 60S. WELL ADVERTISED COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH PATTERN OUT W WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EWD AS THE LATE MORNING HRS THU PROGRESS. VFR CONDS PREVAIL FOR NOW ACROSS THE AREA WELL IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE MID/SRN PLAINS STATES. A LINE OF SHRA/TSRA IS ALSO XPCTED TO DEVELOP ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
SFC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THRU ALL TAF SITES. /ISSUED 504 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/ A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA TODAY AND WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ROW OF COUNTIES IN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE FRONT WILL CLOSE OFF THE LOW AND MOVE IT EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA. AS THIS LOW MOVES OFF. WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD IN BRIEFLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THE HIGH WIND WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A WIND ADVISORY. HOWEVER! THE HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF CENTRAL KS UNTIL 1 AM CDT. COUNTIES THAT REMAIN UNDER THE HIGH WIND WARNING ARE RUSSELL. OTHERWISE COOLER BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD ACROSS KANSAS ON THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM.
1049 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2016 HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL WEAKEN THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
/ISSUED 252 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/ Fire and severe weather concerns dominate the forecast for the next 6 to 9 hours, with a dryline sitting just west of the forecast area and a cold front moving through the panhandle region. Below normal temperatures will follow the aforementioned cold front for Thursday and Thursday night.
MAIN FEATURE CONSISTS OF A SHARP TROUGH/CLOSED LOW FEATURE EJECTING EASTWARD AND CURRENTLY SPINNING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
The dryline has stalled near a KBVO TO KSNL line with a cold front lurking to the west across central Oklahoma.
WITH THE APPROACH OF A SURFACE PRESSURE TROF. AROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. /ISSUED 634 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/ AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. 0 C/KM OVER TOP OF A PLUME OF SURFACE DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE NAM AND TO A LESSER DEGREE THE GFS ON THE HIGHER END OF INSTABILITY WITH THE ECMWF KEEPING CAPES LESS THAN 500 J/KG.
Showers and thunderstorms will exit western Arkansas over the next couple of hours as a cold front sweeps through the area. The dryline has stalled near a KBVO TO KSNL line with a cold front lurking to the west across central Oklahoma.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING, CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN MT, WILL MOVE EAST OF THE DIVIDE OVERNIGHT, RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS WITH A MIX OF CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS OUR REGION.
/ISSUED 306 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/ AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. 0 C/KM OVER TOP OF A PLUME OF SURFACE DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE NAM AND TO A LESSER DEGREE THE GFS ON THE HIGHER END OF INSTABILITY WITH THE ECMWF KEEPING CAPES LESS THAN 500 J/KG.
WITH THE APPROACH OF A SURFACE PRESSURE TROF. AROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. /ISSUED 306 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/ AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. 0 C/KM OVER TOP OF A PLUME OF SURFACE DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE NAM AND TO A LESSER DEGREE THE GFS ON THE HIGHER END OF INSTABILITY WITH THE ECMWF KEEPING CAPES LESS THAN 500 J/KG.
DUE TO THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT. ADDED AN ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE FOR THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT MID THURSDAY MORNING. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITHIN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL YIELD TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND SWEEPS THROUGH. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE TEMPERED TO MORE MODERATE LEVELS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT COURTESY OF THE COLD FRONT.
/ISSUED 248 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2016/ A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWFA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPS WILL BE WARMER THAN NORMAL.
Sfc winds have veered to NW as the cold front arrives, and will gradually continue to diminish overnight. /issued 215 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/ Upper pattern has a strong upper level closed low swinging across the Rockies today and onto the plains.
1141 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2016 RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT. FRIES COLD FRONT WILL BE A QUICK MOVER. DRIVEN BY THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN PROGRESSIVE FLOW. COLD FRONT PASSES SWIFTLY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN AIRMASS DUE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
A strong upper level storm system and associated cold fronts were sweeping across the central plains this afternoon.
CENTRAL PLAINS CYCLONE CONTINUING TO UNDERGO CYCLOGENSIS WITH STIFF PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA KEEPING WINDS OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS PLAINS COOL FRONT APPROACHES.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SHIFTING TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA AS A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. PACIFIC COLD FRONT ALONG THE NW COAST WILL SPREAD LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES LATE TONIGHT AND OVER MOST REMAINING ZONES THURSDAY.
Our forecast area will remain under the "protection" of a deep layer ridge overnight, with fair skies and low temperatures in the lower to mid 50s.
THERE COULD BE A SEVERAL HOUR LULL IN STRONGER WINDS TONIGHT BEFORE WINDS QUICKLY SHIFT TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY ONCE AGAIN WITH A COLD FRONT PASSAGE. STILL HAVE SOME STRONGER SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF AN ENSUING COLD FRONT. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WINDS SHIFT TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY AGAIN.
634 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016 A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM CONTINUE TO BE CENTERED ON RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. WE COULD SEE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 1/2" ALONG THE HIGHWAY 77 CORRIDOR AND COASTAL PLAINS. NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER AIR SPILLS IN FROM THE NORTH.