Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S. BUT MAY SEE SOME RAIN REACH THE GROUND TUESDAY EVENING AS LOWER LEVELS SATURATE AND 850 TO 700 HPA TROUGH MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN WI.
A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROFS WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF ALABAMA THIS WEEK.
AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THOSE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE MIN FORECASTS A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN PREVIOUS FCST AND AT.
539 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
918 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK FRONT. TO THE LOW TO MID 50S AROUND TAMPA BAY. TO THE LOWER TO MID 40S NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE HAS BROUGHT DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. AS HIGH PRESSURE IS REINFORCED BEHIND A WEAK FRONT.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER WAVE TRACKING INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH A MUCH DEEPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE NORTHEAST CONUS. A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL KS. BY WED MORNING THIS TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WITH NW FLOW ALOFT REMAINING OVER THE PLAINS. THE ECMWF ALSO STARTS TO CLOSE OFF THE LOW OVER THE OZARKS MON AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A PERIOD OF SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
WITH INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL TROUGH.
544 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE REGION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
921 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS MOVE OFF THE MAINE COAST THIS EVENING.
546 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015 /00Z TAFS/ Lee trough will be increasing Tuesday, with wind gusts of 18-20 KTS developing at KABI and KSJT towards noon Tuesday. /issued 343 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015/ (Tonight and Tuesday) Look for beautiful weather to continue for the next 24 hours, as high pressure dominates. Lows tonight will be slightly warmer than last night, as low-level flow from the south brings warmer air into West Central Texas. Highs tomorrow will be even warmer than today, mainly in the lower to mid 70s.
Tomorrow may be a tad warmer despite the increased high clouds with 925 mb temps up to 12C.
LATEST SATELLITE LOOPS CONTINUE TO SHOW UPPER TROF MOVING OFF TO THE EAST WITH NEXT SYSTEM ON ITS HEALS TRACKING EASTWARD OVER THE UPPER AND CENTRAL PLAINS. FOR TONIGHT WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST SHIFTING EAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND EASTERN SEABOARD BY LATE TUE AFTERNOON AND TUE EVENING. WITH THIS SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER THE LOWER HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN LAST NIGHT RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S INLAND AND THE MIDDLE 40S CLOSE TO THE COAST.
951 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015 EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED WEAK SURFACE RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. /ISSUED 355 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015/ AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST WE SHOULD SEE THE RETURN OF VERY LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS ACROSS SE TX BY LATE TOMORROW. 41 LIGHT WIND REGIME TODAY AND TOMORROW AS RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS SETX/COASTAL BEND SLOWLY WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEANWHILE SETTLE ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES AND CAROLINAS THROUGH MID-WEEK. HEIGHT RISES ALOFT AND ASSOCIATED STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND CLEARING OF BEHIND A POTENT UPPER LOW NOW CROSSING THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES. THE LOW OVERCAST WOULD BE ALMOST IMMEDIATELY REPLACED BY FOG WITH TIME. IT APPEARS THAT WHATEVER BECOMES OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE TRAPPED BENEATH A SHALLOW INVERSION NOTED ON THE 00Z MHX RAOB AND RESULT IN ONLY A SLOW LIFTING AND SCATTERING OF THE MOIST LAYER. EXPECT DRY/PLEASANT CONDITIONS AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CAROLINAS FROM THE WEST HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
UPPED THE WINDS IN THE GRIDS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THINGS WILL GET A LITTLE TRICKIER NEAR THE FRONT RANGE WHERE WE COULD GET MORE OF A LONGMONT ANTICYCLONE DEVELOPING DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON TURNING THE WINDS MORE TO A NE OR EVEN SE DIRECTION. TEMPS OVERALL FOR TOMORROW LOOK EVEN WARMER THEN TODAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER 70S. IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. AN ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA WILL APPROACH THE FLORIDA KEYS OVERNIGHT. RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR DUE TO THE VERY MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE COUPLED WITH THE APPROACH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
557 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015 A seasonably warm day is underway across the region this afternoon, with temperatures topping out in the low 60s in many spots--some 10-15 degrees above average. Temperatures may see a degree or two boost, with highs in the low to perhaps mid 60s area-wide.
834 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TUESDAY BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT.
714 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TRACKS NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
AS ANOTHER STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY STATES. 09 /ISSUED 248 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015/ TEMPS WARMED NICELY TODAY INTO THE LOWER 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES. LIGHT WINDS AND WEAK RIDGING ALOFT. TEMPS WILL FALL QUICKLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. TUESDAY WILL SEE SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE MIDWEST TUESDAY NIGHT.
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 35 62 38 58 / 0 0 10 10 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 34 58 38 57 / 0 0 10 10 OAK RIDGE, TN 33 59 37 56 / 0 0 10 10 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 33 56 32 55 / 10 0 10 10.
AREAS OF FOG WILL BE ALONG THE HIGHWAY 77 CORRIDOR TONIGHT. AM GOING ON THE LOW SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR MINIMUM TEMPERATURES AS EXPECT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES (OR VERY HIGH CIRRUS) AND LIGHT WINDS OFF THE SURFACE.
632 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS MOVE OFF THE MAINE COAST THIS EVENING.
809 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL LINGER WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN U. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
South winds will keep readings several degrees warmer than last night, which is well accounted for in the going forecast.
437 PM MST MON DEC 7 2015 WEAK RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TOMORROW. SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THIS RIDGE WILL PROMOTE CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CWA. THE HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON THE CLOUD COVER SITUATION AS MOST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT CLOUD COVER WILL BE SLOW TO EXIT THE REGION. HIGHS WILL LIKELY REACH THE LOWER 60S.
615 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. BUT THE GROUNDS ARE ALSO QUITE WARM AND THE LOWER CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN TO OUR NW. TEMPS WILL BE SOME 8-10F COOLER THAN LAST NIGHT.
A COLD FRONT RIPPED THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AND IS NOW EXITING THE FORECAST AREA AND PRECIPITATION TEMPORARILY ENDING. THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE QUICKLY LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
520 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015 FOR 00Z TAFS /ISSUED 248 PM CST MON DEC 7 2015/ TEMPS WARMED NICELY TODAY INTO THE LOWER 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES. LIGHT WINDS AND WEAK RIDGING ALOFT. TEMPS WILL FALL QUICKLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. TUESDAY WILL SEE SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE MIDWEST TUESDAY NIGHT.
910 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST TUESDAY MORNING AND STAYS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE AND MOVES NORTHEAST.
STILL MAY BE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE FAR NORTHWEST CWA LATE TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION TYPE EARLY ON IS A BIT TRICKY AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY BE JUST COOL ENOUGH FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN.
822 PM EST MON DEC 7 2015 NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN INVERTED TROUGH AND WEAK LOW OFF THE SOUTHEAST US COAST WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT COOLER AND DRIER AIR IN OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER TONIGHT. INVERTED TROUGH OFFSHORE IS PRODUCING A WEDGE OF NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S TONIGHT STILL LOOK REASONABLE AND ONLY MINOR TWEAKS WERE MADE.
THE CEILINGS ARE AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS MN. IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH. QUITE MILD TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S.
BUT THERE HAS BEEN A BREAK IN THE HIGH WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WIND PRONE AREAS.
RIDGING AT ALL LEVELS IS IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER IN THE NEAR TERM. LOOK FOR A WARMER OVERNIGHT FOR MOST AREAS(UPPER 50S WEST). THE COMBO OF THE LOW LEVEL FRONTAL FORCING AND SOME DECENT LIFT ALOFT FROM THE SE MOVING UPPER TROUGH.
400 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT.
251 AM MDT SUN OCT 11 2015 UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO FLATTEN OVER COLORADO AS UPPER TROF NOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST RAPIDLY SWEEPS ACROSS NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY. DESPITE THE TROF. AIRMASS WILL STILL REMAIN QUITE DRY ESPECIALLY AT THE LOW LEVELS. MAIN IMPACT WITH THE TROF WILL BE INCREASING GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OVER MOUNTAINS AND LOCATIONS BORDERING WYOMING AND NEBRASKA.
248 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015 Mostly clear and dry conditions expected to continue today as the CWA will remain in between high pressure to the east and a developing trough in the western plains. to the lower 80s in the west. Still looking fairly quiet this week, with upper pattern transitioning toward a building ridge across the West Coast and a cooler northwest flow into the Midwest.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL HOLD OVER EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY. WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SLIDING ACROSS UTAH.
333 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015 H5 ANALYSIS FROM EARLIER THIS EVENING HAD A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO NRN ALBERTA IN CANADA. LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. BROAD NWRLY FLOW EXTENDED EAST OF THE RIDGE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM SRN LAKE MICHIGAN. RIDGING ALOFT. H85 TEMPS WILL SURGE INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S CELSIUS BY 21Z THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO WARMER MIN TEMPS IN THE EAST WHERE MID 50S ARE FORECAST. THE DRY FORECAST CONTINUES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK AS RIDGING TAKES UP RESIDENCE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS AND PROGRESSIVE NW FLOW OVER THE PLAINS USHERS PERIODIC FRONTS THROUGH THE REGION.
THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS SRLY BNDRY LYR WINDS RETURN LATER TODAY AS SFC RIDGING SHIFTS E OF THE AREA. H850 RIDGING WILL BUILD E OVER THE REGION. THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE E INTO THE NRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THE DEEPENING LOW SHOULD AMPLIFY THE ATTENDENT TROUGH SWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE CONTINUED TO LEAN ON THE DRIER SOLUTIONS AS FORCING ALOFT WILL BE WEAK GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE MAIN TROUGH WILL REMAIN WELL NE OF THE REGION.
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE BLUE MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDS TO SUBSIDE IN 2-3 HOURS WITH HIGHER WINDS PERSISTING AT RIDGETOPS. DECREASING WINDS OVERNIGHT AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS DECREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT. A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT, WITH THE SYSTEM'S COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH DURING THE EVENING. A BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION SUNDAY BRINGING ANY LINGERING MOUNTAIN SHOWERS TO AN END. THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE SOME LIGHT PRECIP REACH THE WASHINGTON CASCADE EAST SLOPES LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE RIDGE.
622 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
556 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015 Mostly clear and dry conditions expected to continue today as the CWA will remain in between high pressure to the east and a developing trough in the western plains. to the lower 80s in the west. Still looking fairly quiet this week, with upper pattern transitioning toward a building ridge across the West Coast and a cooler northwest flow into the Midwest.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE WITH WESTERLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW KEEPING TEMPERATURES VERY MILD. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY. BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN TIGHT ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST SD WHERE THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXTEND INTO TONIGHT. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE TRICKY GIVEN THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT. TEMPS WILL REACH THE LOW 70S. QUICK MOVING UPPER TROF SHIFTS EAST WITH RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE AREA AGAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS WESTERN AREAS WITH A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINING ACROSS NORTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AFTER 2 AM. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN TODAY. WENT WITH THE COOLER SIDE OF GUIDANCE LOWS.
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL THEN REACH NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL BE CUT SHORT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT SURGES IN FROM THE N AND NE.
THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING DOWN THE PENINSULA HAS LOST MOST OF ITS DYNAMICS AND THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE THAT IF IT CAN INTERACT WITH AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON COULD DEVELOP A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. /ISSUED 352 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2015/ A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON SUNDAY BEFORE WASHING OUT OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA ON MONDAY.
LATER IN THE WEEK THE MODELS BRING A CLOSED LOW INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WHICH MAY IMPACT THE REGION. RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.
Winds will become variable around 09Z at BVO as cold front approaches. Temperatures this afternoon will likely be running a good 10 to 15 degrees above normal as gusty southwest winds develop with highs in the lower 90s likely over portions of Eastern Oklahoma. A weak cool front will move into Northeast Oklahoma early Monday morning in association with upper low moving east over the northern plains and into the Great Lakes region. Temperatures are still expected to warm into the lower 80s behind the front Monday afternoon with gusty north winds. Above normal temperatures are expected to continue through the middle part of the work week as upper ridge slowly builds eastward into the southern plains.
A LOW PRESSURE TROF WILL WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE ROCKIES EARLY THIS MORNING. VERY STRONG WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KTS GUSTING TO 60 KTS WILL AFFECT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND EASTERN GLACIER COUNTY WHILE THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR THE HI-LINE AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT THAT SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE GREAT FALLS AREA AROUND 09Z. MONDAY WILL BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA.
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH MONDAY AND POSSIBLY GENERATE LIGHT RAIN FOR SW WASHINGTON.
WITH RECENT RAINFALL ON THE WEST SIDE AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND TODAY'S FRONT IFR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST, AROUND THE COAST RANGE AND INTO THE UMPQUA BASIN OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
227 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015 High pressure will move southeast of the area today with return southerly flow resulting in warm temperatures today and Monday, mild tonight (dry weather).
418 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 CURRENTLY - A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OFF CAROLINA COAST EXTENDS A TROUGH ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS. FORECAST - THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN SWING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
216 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY EVENING.
/issued 209 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015/ An upper low off the Baja Peninsula will continue to retrograde tonight which will allow weak upper ridging to expand over southeast New Mexico and west Texas. But before the ua ridge becomes established, moist ambient conditions in the Davis Mountains may still yield a few thunderstorms through max heating this afternoon, aided somewhat by upslope flow and very modest instability. Temperatures will rise 5 to 10 degrees above normal Sunday as the ua ridge takes over, but an ua trough moving over the Midwest will send a cold front south into the area Monday, and drop high temperatures closer to normal along and north of Interstate 20.
109 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR A COLD START TOMORROW MORNING. THE HIGH WILL THEN MOVE EAST OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. UPPER AIR FLOW CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES AND A MEAN TROF OVER THE EAST. LATEST IR SATL IMGRY SHOWS CIRRUS SPILLING OVER THE RIDGE DROPPING SE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. SUNDAY ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PINCH OFF OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ALLOWING THE JET STREAM TO PULL NORTH TAKING THE COOLER WEATHER WITH IT. MONDAY NIGHT A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA DROPPING THE TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
141 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED SLOW WARMING TREND INTO MONDAY. MARKEDLY COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT INTO MIDWEEK. AND HIGHS TODAY WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S. QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TO THE START THE PERIOD. THIS SHOULD YIELD HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH. SIGNS WOULD SEEM TO POINT TOWARDS NEAR AND EVENTUALLY BELOW TO POSSIBLY WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS ENERGY FROM STRONG LOW PRESSURE OFF THE PACIFIC NW COMES INLAND AND EVENTUALLY CARVES OUT YET ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LOW SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
418 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT NORTHEAST JUST OFF OF THE COAST THROUGH MONDAY.
120 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR WEATHER THROUGH MONDAY.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON COLUMBUS DAY PRIOR TO A WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD ENTER NORTH TEXAS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY.
Temperatures this afternoon will likely be running a good 10 to 15 degrees above normal as gusty southwest winds develop with highs in the lower 90s likely over portions of Eastern Oklahoma. A weak cool front will move into Northeast Oklahoma early Monday morning in association with upper low moving east over the northern plains and into the Great Lakes region. Temperatures are still expected to warm into the lower 80s behind the front Monday afternoon with gusty north winds. Above normal temperatures are expected to continue through the middle part of the work week as upper ridge slowly builds eastward into the southern plains.
FAST MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA TODAY/TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH BY THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE LOW PUSHES FURTHER EAST SUNDAY EVENING. WILL KEEP THE HIGH WIND GOING OVER MUCH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. A COOLER DAY IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING FRONT WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ON TAP.
634 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT NORTHEAST JUST OFF OF THE COAST THROUGH MONDAY.
OTHERWISE SHOULD BE A QUIET DAY TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS. MODELS STILL DONT WANT TO RAISE HIGHS TODAY TOO MUCH COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AND 850MB TEMPS ONLY GET ABOUT 2C WARMER TODAY. NEXT TROUGH STILL LOOKS TO IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
356 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDES A DRY CLOSE TO THE WEEKEND TODAY BEFORE DRIFTING EAST TONIGHT.
DRIER AND COOLER THIS WEEK. STACKED LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SE ATLANTIC SEABOARD WILL BRING A COOLER AND MORE STABLE NORTHERLY FLOW TO THE LOCAL AREA. GRADUAL EROSION OF THE LOW CLOUDS IS EXPECTED FROM THE WEST INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. BUT CLOUD COVER WILL FLIRT WITH OUR EASTERN ZONES THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RETROGRADES SLIGHTLY BEFORE KICKING OUT THE NE MONDAY. THEN TONIGHT INTO MON EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS INLAND WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OFFSHORE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA. TEMPS WILL BE BELOW CLIMO WITH MAXES IN THE LOW/MID 70S ACROSS OUR EASTERN ZONES UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH HIGHS NEAR 80 FROM LAKE CITY TO OCALA.
A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST AWAY FROM THE AREA THIS MORNING. IT HAS ALREADY PUSHED A COLD FRONT THROUGH. THESE WINDS WILL BRING IN MUCH COOLER AIR THIS MORNING. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE AROUND 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. WEAK RIDGING WILL TAKE OVER AND BRING 4 TO 8 DEGREES OF WARMING MONDAY. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS MORNING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTH.
THE FORMATION OF THE LOW HAS BEEN IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF A DEEP MIDLEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AN ANTICYCLONIC BRANCH OF THE POLAR JET AND A DAMPENING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRUCTURE WILL PUSH EASTWARD. THE ARRIVAL OF THE RIDGE WILL RESULT IN STEADY WARM AIR ADVECTION FOR THE DURATION OF TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOME 7 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WITH READINGS REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S. THE LOW LEVEL THETA E PLUME WILL KEEP CONDITIONS MILD.
306 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT PASSES MONDAY NIGHT.
425 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY EVENING.
427 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
313 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015 Northeast winds high in the troposphere keeping cirrus in place over eastern Kansas, though water vapor shows winds veering to the west head of a strong upper level trough entering the Pacific Northwest. Guidance very similar in the warmer air upstream reaching into the local area overnight into the afternoon hours as the upper trough quickly pushes east into the Northern Plains.
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT.
652 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND ALLOWS FOR FAIR WEATHER THROUGH MONDAY ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND. WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE COASTAL PLAIN MONDAY NIGHT.
143 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 AVIATION HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER MICHIGAN TODAY WILL SHIFT SOUTH TONIGHT REACHING THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY. THE WIND WILL BECOME GUSTY ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.
245 AM PDT SUN OCT 11 2015 Winds will subside today as the cold front responsible for the gusty conditions moves into the Upper Plains states.
420 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY EVENING.