Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
Upstream jet expected to buckle tonight into Monday, pushing strong height falls into the region, along with an attendant cold front. Forecast Details: Primary focus through the remainder of the daylight hours today revolves around increasingly gusty southwest winds, with the highest gusts through sunset west of I-75 and in particular near the immediate Lake Michigan shoreline. Lows tonight largely in the low-mid 40s before climbing to the low 50s for Monday.
905 PM PST Sun Nov 2 2025 A trough of low pressure will deepen offshore through the middle of the week, bringing cooler weather, breezier conditions, and greater coverage of low clouds west of the mountains. High pressure will reemerge at the end of the week, bringing in warmer conditions and cloud coverage closer to the coast. High temperatures will be similar most places by Monday and Tuesday, with the inland valleys seeing the greatest cooling around 5 degrees with widespread highs in the lower 80s.
No concern for freezing conditions early this morning, with a steady to locally gusty southerly breeze helping to keep temperatures from "bottoming out" over the coming hours (i. Across southwestern Oklahoma & north Texas, where influence from an expanding subtropical ridge will be more apparent, peak temperatures are likely to climb into the low-80s.
1235 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 High pressure provides dry weather through most of the work week.
High temperatures Monday and Tuesday are expected to be in the low to mid 80s across much of the region w/ pockets of upper 80s mainly west of IH-69C.
Amounts are expected to only be a few hundreths of an inch as much of the rainfall should evaporate before reaching the surface and given thermal profiles remain above freezing through around 6kft, any precipitation that falls is expected to fall as rain. Warming Temperatures and Dry In the wake of tonight's low pressure system, low-level ridging builds into the region through the beginning of the week allowing for generally dry conditions. Low level warm air advection increases Tuesday on the backside of the ridge, allowing 925hPa temperatures to reach 7-9C across the region based on the 02. There has been a decreasing trend in probabilities across our area in the NBM given the trajectory of the low, as deeper saturation and stronger forcing will exist north of this feature across northern Wisconsin.
The main story early this afternoon has been strong southwest winds proceeding a cold front. A better chance for precipitation at the surface arrives this evening following the cold frontal passage. There will be a 40% chance for scattered showers in the Arrowhead north of the Iron Range, as the lower levels saturate. Winds will finally ease Monday night into Tuesday morning as the trough that will be moving into western Ontario today propagates well to the east and zonal flow develops over the region.
High pressure will develop and move across the southeast, with winds transitioning to out of the west and southwest by Tuesday.
-Next cold front sweeps through on Monday with another round of breezy conditions. -Ridging builds back in following the front with breezes slackening in the second half of the week. High instability in the Straits due to warmer waters via the Gulf Stream allowed for a few particularly tall thunderstorms including some mesocyclone. Thereafter, the next ridge will build in and breezes will slacken.
Otherwise, temperatures will continue to moderate relative to the last few days in part due to the influence of an approaching ridge. Meister (Monday through Tuesday night) The subtropical ridge will translate eastward and expand in wavelength from tomorrow morning through Tuesday night. Our area will remain on the southern periphery of the mid-latitude westerlies, but enough influence is expected from the ridging to keep things on the sunny/clear side. Further south of the boundary, the ridge's influence will allow temperatures to soar well into the 70s to low 80s.
400 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 Rain and clouds move out later this morning as high pressure builds in from the west. Satellite imagery this morning shows an upper closed low and associated trough centered from WV to GA. Rain and clouds will move out of the area, and fog will dissipate completely later this morning as high pressure builds in from the Gulf states. This will support a sunny day with temperatures in the upper 40s to upper 50s for the mountains, and the low to even upper 60s east of the Blue Ridge. However, gusty west winds will support daytime wind gusts in the 20 to 30 mph range, so it feel even cooler.
- Temperatures will be slightly cooler today and tonight, then will gradually warm up through the rest of the week. Currently at the surface, a weak low off the Mid-Atlantic coast is pulling a cold front into southern Florida, while high pressure north of the state is building into the southeastern US. The biggest temperature difference will be felt from around Interstate 4 north, where highs will only top out in the low to mid 70s today. During the rest of the week, the area of surface ridging will settle in north of the state, favoring generally northeast and east flow.
1205 AM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 * Dry conditions, light winds, and warmer than normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday. * Winds will increase and temperatures will decrease in the middle of the week as a low pressure system moves through the Great Basin.
- High temperatures across the lower deserts are expected to slowly cool from around 90 degrees early this week into the mid 80s by the end of this week with overnight lows remaining in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Expect the high clouds to last through the majority of the day, but they will be thin enough to allow a good amount of filtered sunshine and to keep daytime highs near 90 degrees across the lower deserts.
Midday WV imagery shows the broadening upper level trough and associated finger of the PFJ pushing across northern parts of the CWA and into Montana. Behind this Tuesday, ridging continues with above average temperatures for much of this next work week.
Breezy south winds on the northwest side of the ridge axis have bumped temps up into the mid/upper 50s with sunny skies. Temperatures dip into mid/upper 30s tonight but recover nicely into the mid 60s tomorrow afternoon as an upper level ridge expands northward. Tuesday looks to be the warmest day of the week with a WAA pattern taking temps into the low 70s.
1201 AM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 Updated at 1201 AM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 * High pressure will bring quiet and dry fall-like weather early this week * A weak weather system is expected to impact Northern Nevada during the mid-week portion of the forecast, resulting in breezy to windy conditions and light precipitation The current forecast is on track.
(Tonight through Tuesday night) A weak cold front should be located across the Panhandles to start the day today with northerly winds in its wake. Breezy southwest winds tonight through the day on Tuesday will aid in increasing WAA at H850 and temperatures will increase up to the low 20s Celsius by the afternoon.
The region is currently under a high pressure ridge aloft that will transition into a weak westerly zonal flow for the rest of the week. Afternoon highs will be in the lower to mid 80s across the lowlands with 70s and 60s in the mountains.
220 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 Rain and clouds move out later this morning as high pressure builds in from the west. Satellite imagery this morning shows an upper closed low and associated trough centered from WV to GA. Rain and clouds will move out of the area, and fog will dissipate completely later this morning as high pressure builds in from the Gulf states. This will support a sunny day with temperatures in the upper 40s to upper 50s for the mountains, and the low to even upper 60s east of the Blue Ridge. However, gusty west winds will support daytime wind gusts in the 20 to 30 mph range, so it feel even cooler.
Highs in the lower to middle 70s, lows in the 50s, dry air but not exceptionally so. We will increasingly drift away from that through the week as ridging aloft remains in control.
- High temperatures across the lower deserts are expected to slowly cool from around 90 degrees today into the mid 80s by the end of this week with overnight lows remaining in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Latest mid-lvl wv imagery and 500 mb streamline analysis reveals a high amplitude ridge centered over the Desert Southwest. Temperatures are expected to top out in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees across the lower deserts which is 5 to 7 degrees above average for early November. Upper-lvl moisture ahead of this trough will result in high clouds overspreading the region beginning around midnight tonight and persisting through Monday. On Tuesday, we should see a subtle shift and flattening of the upper level ridge allowing for a slight decrease in 500 mb hghts to around 585-587 dam.
Updated at 1052 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 - Widespread fog and areas of frost are expected to develop Monday morning, with temperatures falling into the low to mid 30s. - A warming trend will follow, with high temperatures returning to the low to mid 70s by late week.
The deep and strong upper-level trough's influence on the forecast is finally loosening as it approaches the east coast. Otherwise, the only other pertinent synoptic feature is a weak high pressure system centered around the Arizona/Mexico border. Also into the overnight, the aforementioned high pressure system is expected to continue moving eastward and approach the forecast area. After the high exits/erodes, ensembles have a largely zonal flow through the remainder of the forecast period and beyond. With the cold front Monday's highs will be a little cooler with nearly the whole CWA in the 60s. Lows are currently forecast to remain above freezing. With the high/zonal flow pattern, winds will remain light (<20 mph). A cold front will pass across southwest Kansas overnight between 06 and 09z.
- Cooler air accompanying the mid-week system will lower snow levels to 6,000 to 7,000 feet, meaning rain in the valleys and rain-snow mix likely in the mid-elevations. Temps will remain mild ahead of a cold front approaching the region from the northwest. However, upper slopes and ridges could see a few gusts of 20 to 30 mph.
Through Today: Our flow aloft will become near zonal today as a closed low moves farther east of our region and ridging aloft moves over our CWA from the west.
- High pressure will prevail through the week resulting in quiet weather and slightly above-normal temperatures. (Tonight through Tuesday) Water vapor imagery shows a storm track well removed from North Texas with mid level ridging building in across the Southern Plains. This will keep the weather quiet to start the week with high temperatures Monday about 5-10 degrees warmer than yesterday.
310 AM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 * Dry conditions, light winds, and warmer than normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday. * Winds will increase and temperatures will decrease in the middle of the week as a low pressure system moves through the Great Basin.
550 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 High pressure provides dry weather through most of the work week.
412 AM MST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Warmer Tuesday with elevated fire conditions South Park and at lower elevations near the Wyoming-Nebraska border.
- Seasonably warm for much of the week with cooler conditions for the weekend.
Temperatures ranged from the lower 30s to lower 40s. Given these readings already in the lower to middle 30s, a good coverage of frost is anticipated by daybreak. Beyond Monday, an upper ridge will settle in across the Gulf coastal states with H500 flow becoming zonal over a good portion of the CONUS.
A jet streak that traversed the northern states has pushed a weak cold front into Kansas this morning. Slightly cooler temperatures are predicted in the wake of the front today, with highs mostly in the 60s. Much warmer weather is forecast for Tuesday as the low to mid level flow becomes down slope, allowing afternoon temperatures to reach into the 70s to near 80. From a pattern recognition standpoint, temperatures get warmer than expected in these regimes so that some places could reach or exceed 80.
510 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - High pressure will prevail through the week resulting in quiet weather and slightly above-normal temperatures. (Tonight through Tuesday) Water vapor imagery shows a storm track well removed from North Texas with mid level ridging building in across the Southern Plains. This will keep the weather quiet to start the week with high temperatures Monday about 5-10 degrees warmer than yesterday.
High pressure, currently over the Pacific Northwest, slides southeast through the Plains today.
For the past several days, long range models, esp the GFS, have had much variation in the strength of these waves and resultant low pressure as the come off the Pacific and across the Rockies into southern Alberta.
- Meteorological Overview: A progressive pattern continues across the Northern Rockies to start the week, with a largely zonal flow undulating back and forth between subtle ridging and troughing. Initial ridging today will keep much of the day dry, though weak troughing and Pacific moisture begin to work in toward the late afternoon.
456 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Dry weather continues today with light winds and highs in the low to mid 60s.
A low amplitude ridge has set up over the Western portion of the United States. There's an upper level low that is making its way from the California/Nevada border and pushing into the Rocky mountains.
-North to northeast breezes will start to freshen across the western waters this afternoon as the next cold front approaches. Temperatures are in the lower 70s with dew points near 70 degrees. The main story going forward will be an approaching cold front later today. This front is connected to a developing area of low pressure off the North Carolina coastline.
Tonight, we will be warmer as ridging builds into the area.
559 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 Rain and clouds move out later this morning as high pressure builds in from the west. Satellite imagery this morning shows an upper closed low and associated trough centered from WV to GA. Rain and clouds will move out of the area, and fog will dissipate completely later this morning as high pressure builds in from the Gulf states. This will support a sunny day with temperatures in the upper 40s to upper 50s for the mountains, and the low to even upper 60s east of the Blue Ridge. However, gusty west winds will support daytime wind gusts in the 20 to 30 mph range, so it feel even cooler.
524 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Updated at 524 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Widespread fog and areas of frost are expected to develop Monday morning, with temperatures falling into the low to mid 30s. - A warming trend will follow, with high temperatures returning to the low to mid 70s by late week.
227 AM MST Mon Nov 3 2025 KEY MESSAGES: - Temperatures stay slightly warmer than normal with mostly dry conditions this week.
/Issued 214 AM MST Mon Nov 3 2025/ - Meteorological Overview: A progressive pattern continues across the Northern Rockies to start the week, with a largely zonal flow undulating back and forth between subtle ridging and troughing. Initial ridging today will keep much of the day dry, though weak troughing and Pacific moisture begin to work in toward the late afternoon.
This will in turn cause the high temperatures to increase over the region by the mid week to the upper 80s and lower 90s. By the end of the week, the high temperatures for most of the region is expected to be in the low to mid 90s. Near the end of the forecast period, there are some models that bring a frontal boundary close to the area and some models have to front move through the area and bring some slightly cooler temperatures.
937 AM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 * Dry conditions, light winds, and warmer than normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday. * Winds will increase and temperatures will decrease in the middle of the week as a low pressure system moves through the Great Basin.
- High pressure will prevail through the week resulting in quiet weather and slightly above-normal temperatures. (This afternoon through Tuesday) A couple of beautiful early November afternoons are in store for North and Central Texas as mid/upper ridging dominates the weather pattern over the next several days. Expect plentiful sunshine and widespread afternoon highs in the 70s both today and Tuesday with a few locations across the Big Country inching into the low 80s.
243 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Warmer and dry conditions can be expected through most of this forecast period. A seasonably warm mid level ridge will be the primary influence over the Deep South region, and this will tend to deflect potential cold fronts away from our forecast area.
-North to northeast breezes will freshen across the forecast area this evening as the next cold front continues to drive southward. -Breezes will slacken mid to late week as high pressure over the southeast pushes out onto the Atlantic and a trough swings through the eastern United States. A cold front advancing through the area will result in freshening north to northeasterly breezes this evening. Temperatures are in the lower 70s with dew points near 70 degrees. The main story going forward will be an approaching cold front later today. This front is connected to a developing area of low pressure off the North Carolina coastline.
Daytime highs are a few degrees cooler than yesterday, but still seasonably warm as 500 mb heights sit above normal for early November.
Updated at 1114 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Roller coaster of temperatures expected through the week with multiple cold fronts progged to track through the region. (This afternoon through Tuesday) Current surface wind observations indicate the weak cold front is intersecting northeast to southwest across the far southeastern Texas Panhandle and South Plains. Upper ridging over the region will allow the temperatures to climb to the mid 70s across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle and lower 80s over the southern Rolling Plains this afternoon. The upper ridging will push to the east of the CWA this evening, shifting winds to the southwest through the overnight hours.
107 PM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 A cold front will sweep across our region this afternoon with a period of showers and gusty southwest winds.
A passing cold front will bring rain showers to the area over the weekend.
(Tonight through Tuesday night) All remains quiet in the short term forecast as mid-level high pressure resides over the region.
An upper closed low over the eastern US will continue to push northeast over the atlantic as dry northwesterly flow continues over the area. High pressure has gradually built over the central US today and will continue through Tuesday. By midweek this upper high will gradually flatten out over the deep south as more westerly to slightly southwesterly flow develops ahead of the next upper trough. This will support gradual warming period with highs climbing back into the 70s and lows slowly reaching the low 60s by the weekend. No rain chances on the horizon until late in the weekend when a rather subtle upper trough moves across the eastern US.
- Temperatures will be slightly cooler tonight, then will gradually warm up through the rest of the week. A mid/upper-level trough is swinging off the southeast U. At the surface, a frontal boundary is pushing south of the state as high pressure builds in over the southeast. Winds will fall off a bit tonight, allowing temperatures to drop in the mid 40s north to upper 50s to lower 60s south, then highs will be a few degrees warmer than today as high pressure starts to slowly shift eastward and winds take on a more easterly component.
- A series of dry weak cold fronts will continue, with occasional wind shifts, but no major temperatures flucuations are expected.
A west-northwest breeze this afternoon will start to subside overnight tonight except along the higher ridges as high pressure builds in from the southwest.
Updated at 1218 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - It will be chilly Tuesday morning, with lows in the low to mid 40's.
Issued by National Weather Service Charleston WV 113 PM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 Zonal flow aloft brings a series of moisture starved and weak cold fronts today and mid week. KEY MESSAGES: - Breezy cold front brings a few light showers north of I-80 this afternoon. --------------------------------------------------------------- Weak cold front passes through this afternoon with isolated to scattered light showers along and north of I-80. High pressure then builds into the region tonight with clearing skies but it will remain rather breezy through the evening. The wind will likely keep temps from dropping below freezing, except for the most sheltered valley locations.
(Rest of today and tonight) Ridging will dominate the Southern Plains through today and tonight.
- Tranquil and dry with temperatures gradually warming towards the low 80s by the weekend.
-A strong cold front could bring much cooler conditions later this weekend. A cold front will move through northeastern KS Tuesday night.
1129 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Dry weather continues today with light winds and highs in the low to mid 60s.
Mid-upper level ridging will dominate area wx thru the work week. Mid-upper ridging will somewhat weaken and be displaced southward Thur-Fri as a weak trof tracks eastward across the Plains.
-North to northeast breezes will freshen further across the western waters this afternoon as the next cold front begins moving in. -Breezes will slacken mid to late week as high pressure over the southeast pushes out onto the Atlantic and a trough swings through the eastern United States. A ~1025 mb high centered over the southeast will drive a cold front southward through the Keys today and this evening. There will be a slight chance for showers ahead of the cold front. Robust high pressure over the southeastern United States will drive a cold front southward through Keys waters this afternoon.
120 PM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 Coastal low pressure will strengthen while tracking just offshore of the NC coast this morning. High pressure will follow and build across the Southeast through mid-week. Expect fairly uniform highs in the lower to mid 60s, accompanied by mild NWLY gustiness of 15 to 20 mph. Another Pacific-sourced high will build in from the Lower MS Valley Monday night. Under weak cold and dry air advection, lows will generally fall into the lower 40s, with some mid to upper 30s possible in the Piedmont's cooler outlying/rural areas.
- A series of dry weak cold fronts will continue, with occasional wind shifts, but no major temperatures flucuations are expected. A jet streak that traversed the northern states has pushed a weak cold front into Kansas this morning. Slightly cooler temperatures are predicted in the wake of the front today, with highs mostly in the 60s. Much warmer weather is forecast for Tuesday as the low to mid level flow becomes down slope, allowing afternoon temperatures to reach into the 70s to near 80. From a pattern recognition standpoint, temperatures get warmer than expected in these regimes so that some places could reach or exceed 80.
1035 AM MST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Warmer Tuesday with elevated fire conditions South Park and at lower elevations near the Wyoming-Nebraska border.
(This evening through Tuesday night) Cold front stalling out and expected to retreat in the coming hours, as winds have come down a bit and are more in the 10-15 mph range with some gusts 20 to 25 mph.
1239 PM EST Mon Nov 3 2025 A dry cold front will cross the area this afternoon, followed by high pressure and dry weather for Tuesday.
- A series of dry weak cold fronts will continue, with occasional wind shifts, but no major temperatures fluctuations are expected.
- Temperatures rebound slightly above normal into most of the work week, becoming cooler than normal by the weekend. The winds should gradually diminish this evening and overnight due to the loss of diurnal mixing and tendency for ridging to build in from the south.