Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
- Two low pressure systems will bring a plethora of precipitation types across the area in two rounds. A weak cool front will sag southward pendant to an area of low pressure traversing Ontario from west to east tonight. For the moment, however, leaned toward a cooler solution for this forecast and nudged temps even colder for typically cold locations. Abundant sunshine is forecast for Thursday as high pressure briefly takes hold.
613 PM CDT Wed Mar 26 2025 * Warmer end to work week - 70s to low 80s - Normal highs around 60.
731 PM EDT Wed Mar 26 2025 High pressure will move over the area through Thursday before shifting offshore bringing warmer and moister conditions later in the week.
935 PM EDT Wed Mar 26 2025 High pressure will move over the area through Thursday before shifting offshore bringing warmer and moister conditions later in the week.
Have a wonderful Wednesday night! (Rest of today through Thursday) A frontal boundary is seen on sfc analyses stretching across northern Florida, while drier air gradually filters at the low-mid levels today. Behind the front, drier air will descend upon the area as broad high pressure across the SE CONUS moves in. Afternoon highs today should reach the low-mid 80s across much of the eastern half of SoFlo today, and even some upper 80s around the Gulf coast. Thursday may see a light cooling effect from the stronger northerly winds, but probably just a few degrees cooler.
Despite a shift to more southeasterly winds as the high exits the Eastern Seaboard, not expecting any major improvements in moisture through tomorrow. 96 (This afternoon through Thursday) 500mb analysis shows a broad trough along the east coast today with NW flow aloft across the CWA. The trough in the mid levels is expected to persist through tomorrow but will shift offshore tomorrow night as ridging builds in from the west. The boundary should continue to push southward overnight as high pressure builds in from the north. The high center currently across the central US will move eastward through tomorrow and then offshore the coast of the Carolinas tomorrow night.
(Rest of tonight and Thursday) Upper ridging will remain to our west as the Tennessee Valley remains between this feature and troughing over the northern Atlantic. While dry air remains anchored at the sfc with the help of high pressure over the Appalachians, clear skies and light winds will allow temperatures to cool into the low to mid 40s tonight. Dry weather will continue through Thursday as the aforementioned ridge shifts slightly farther east, and low to mid level southerly flow continues to advect warmer temperatures and begins advecting slightly better moisture into the Tennessee Valley.
1229 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 (Rest of tonight and Thursday) Upper ridging will remain to our west as the Tennessee Valley remains between this feature and troughing over the northern Atlantic. While dry air remains anchored at the sfc with the help of high pressure over the Appalachians, clear skies and light winds will allow temperatures to cool into the low to mid 40s tonight. Dry weather will continue through Thursday as the aforementioned ridge shifts slightly farther east, and low to mid level southerly flow continues to advect warmer temperatures and begins advecting slightly better moisture into the Tennessee Valley.
200 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 High pressure will move over the area through Thursday before shifting offshore bringing warmer and moister conditions later in the week.
2) Colder temperatures tonight will mean mixed precipitation, including freezing rain near the Canadian border.
106 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 (Rest of today through Thursday) A frontal boundary is seen on sfc analyses stretching across northern Florida, while drier air gradually filters at the low-mid levels today. Behind the front, drier air will descend upon the area as broad high pressure across the SE CONUS moves in. Afternoon highs today should reach the low-mid 80s across much of the eastern half of SoFlo today, and even some upper 80s around the Gulf coast. Thursday may see a light cooling effect from the stronger northerly winds, but probably just a few degrees cooler.
Northwesterly flow aloft remains as an upper level ridge continues over the western CONUS with an upper trough over the northeast. For tonight, overnight lows will remain in the mid to upper 50s across the area, with the warm front continuing to lift northeast of the area.
A southerly flow rounding the high should become more pronounced a couple of hours after sunrise. High temperatures will be warmer, rising into the mid/upper 70s, nearly 10 degrees above seasonable norms near 70.
344 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Warmer today with continued warmth through the weekend.
1105 PM CDT Wed Mar 26 2025 * Warmer end to work week - 70s to low 80s - Normal highs around 60.
Most notably, the anticipated increase in wind speed was somewhat delayed this morning thanks to a slightly weaker high pressure system over the eastern United States and the atmosphere decoupling overnight. From synopsis, building high pressure over the southeastern United States will freshen northeasterly to easterly breezes this afternoon across the Florida Keys waters.
This is due to troughing that has entered across northern Mexico into Texas.
705 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Seasonal temperatures are expected today, followed by significantly warmer conditions Friday through the weekend.
- Isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, favoring the high terrain, but amounts are expected to be minor.
The forecast package we have sent out this morning reflects this change, but the higher pressure building in will still lead to freshening breezes today and tonight. These elevated winds will stick around through Friday night as the heart of the high pressure pushes eastward over the Atlantic.
- Additional storm chances persist late Friday evening and again this weekend as a cold front moves through the region.
643 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Warmer today with continued warmth through the weekend.
An upper level trough currently centered over Sonora state in northwestern Mexico will move over Texas on Friday. Mid level impulses out ahead of the trough provide forcing for multiple rounds of rain through Friday morning, then the rains begin to end from west to east Friday afternoon as the trough passes overhead.
As an upper level low moves in along the west coast today, southwesterly winds will increase across NV. Mountains of Humboldt County will have a 40-70% chance of wind gusts reaching or exceeding 58 mph, which is the low end of High Wind Warning criteria. Cooler air moves in over the region late Friday evening and overnight with snow levels lowering to valley floors.
Later today, a deep trough will edge offshore across the Pacific Northwest and usher in precipitation potential to the Central Sierra Nevada. 5 inch in the higher elevations of Yosemite National Park ending 11 AM Friday.
811 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 High pressure surface and aloft will hold over the region today and Friday. Over the weekend, an U/L disturbance will push across the Lower Mississippi Valley and southeast U.
Upper-lvl ridge will continue to provide dry conditions for the region. A mix of clouds and sun are expected with afternoon temps reaching the lower 80s.
However, rainfall amounts will be the highest along the I-10 corridor with a low chance of localized 1+ inch amounts where mesoscale forcing will be more favorable. Otherwise, expect cooler conditions today with highs in the upper 60s and 70s.
716 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Seasonal temperatures are expected today, followed by significantly warmer conditions Friday through the weekend.
Low temperatures overnight are forecast to drop into the upper 40s to mid 50s, with warmer temperatures remaining mostly west of I-65 where cloud cover will move in sooner.
1213 PM MDT Thu Mar 27 2025 KEY MESSAGES: - Gusty winds and isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening with a cold front. Friday will be much cooler as a trough moving into Washington and Oregon today moves over Idaho and Montana. This will mark a change to a week or more of cooler, unsettled weather. As the low slowly progresses eastward, it ushers in a return to cool, showery Spring weather.
A change to cooler and breezier conditions begins on Friday as a West Coast trough begins to approach the region. West Coast trough will begin flattening the ridge that has been in place over us over the last few days starting tomorrow.
1243 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Warmer today with continued warmth through the weekend.
- Another chance for severe weather is expected this weekend as a cold front sweeps through the Midwest.
The ridge axis will continue to hug the coast overnight with light and variable winds expected for most places.
Updated at 209 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Cooler, but still warm today with low chances for showers and a few storms.
Breezy winds are anticipated, along with temperatures some 15 degrees cooler than today, and closer to seasonal normals.
Meanwhile, the atmosphere is priming itself to eject a low pressure system off the CO Rocky Mountains.
- Friday will begin a cooler and active period, with widespread mountain snow and lower elevation rain and snow for the weekend. At the surface, low pressure developing across central MT this afternoon will move off to the east tonight as a Pacific cold front moves across the area this evening. A colder airmass and high pressure spreads south from AB and SK across most of the north-central MT plains behind the departing low tonight with the cooler airmass extending further south and west across central and southwest MT for the weekend.
The culprit would be a 1030 mb high pressure system over the Carolina Coastline that is moving east into the Atlantic.
129 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 High pressure moves offshore Friday, with southerly flow providing above normal temperatures heading into the weekend.
The primary mid-upper trof axis is currently situated across nctl Mexico.
As we go into our Friday high pressure will continue to push into the Atlantic but at the same time we will be seeing a developing system in the midwest.
pdf Dry weather continues as central high pressure shifts further out into the Atlantic off the Carolina coast with PWAT values around 0. Daytime highs will get into the upper 70s to low 80s with overnight lows cooling into the low 50s over inland southeast Georgia and into the mid to upper 50s over inland northeast Florida.
1233 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Upper-lvl ridge will continue to provide dry conditions for the region. A mix of clouds and sun are expected with afternoon temps reaching the lower 80s.
A low pressure system from Mexico will continue its track into/across southern Texas and Louisiana overnight into tomorrow. Overnight lows will fall into the lower 60s to upper 50s.
302 PM MDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, favoring the high terrain, but amounts are expected to be minor.
852 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Rain chances increase late Friday morning and continue into the evening with a passing warm front.
A combination of drier and windier conditions have made current conditions fairly pleasant outside with temperatures in the mid 70s and dewpoints maxing out in the lower 60s. From synopsis, high pressure over the Carolina coastline will continue to freshen breezes across the Florida Keys waters with fresh to strong breezes expected tonight.
635 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Updated at 632 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Cooler, but still warm today with low chances for showers and a few storms.
721 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 High pressure moves offshore Friday, with southerly flow providing above normal temperatures heading into the weekend.
547 PM MDT Thu Mar 27 2025 - Isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, favoring the high terrain, but amounts are expected to be minor.
With increased high cloud cover, expect lows to be several degrees warmer tonight, dropping into the upper-40s to lower-50s areawide. The ridge axis will continue to hug the coast overnight with light and variable winds expected for most places.
A series of troughs passing mainly north of our area will begin at the end of this week.
Early evening IR satellite imagery is showing mostly clear skies across west central and southwest Florida as broad high pressure continues to ridge into northern Florida.
836 PM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Rain chances increase late Friday morning and continue into the evening with a passing warm front.
1215 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Updated at 1209 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - Cooler, but still warm today with low chances for showers and a few storms.
1210 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 A warm front today brings some showers and a significant warming trend.
The trough axis will finally slide east of the Continental Divide later this morning and early afternoon, allowing cooler temperatures to settle in over the region. Some indications are that a mid-level low pressure system will develop over southwestern Montana (Yellowstone Low), which is typical for this time of year.
A change to cooler and breezier conditions begins on Friday as a West Coast trough begins to approach the region. A large trough of low pressure is pushing on the West Coast this evening. The trough passage is expected between 18Z and 00Z with increasing clouds, winds, and only slight chances for showers. West Coast trough will begin flattening the ridge that has been in place over us over the last few days starting tomorrow.
High pressure surface and aloft will hold over west central and southwest Florida today.
350 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure moves offshore today, with southwesterly flow providing above normal temperatures heading into the weekend.
This certainly allow gusty southwest winds aloft to mix down to the surface which resulted in gusts of 45 to 60 mph across SE Oregon and far SW Idaho, to include the lower Snake Plain.
1235 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 A low pressure system from Mexico will continue its track into/across southern Texas and Louisiana overnight into tomorrow. Overnight lows will fall into the lower 60s to upper 50s.
1205 AM MDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - Isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, favoring the high terrain, but amounts are expected to be minor.
105 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure moves offshore Friday, with southerly flow providing above normal temperatures heading into the weekend.
Elsewhere, areas along and east of I-55 will see highs in the low 80s. Overnight lows will drop into the low/mid 60s areawide.
818 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure surface and aloft will hold over west central and southwest Florida today. Tonight and Saturday: An U/L disturbance will push slowly across the Lower Mississippi Valley and will begin shear out as it moves across the southeast U.
1008 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure and dry conditions will continue through the short term.
An upper low is centered off Vancouver Island with a trough extending into the region. Temperatures will trend slightly warmer on Saturday but remain close to normal values for this time of year.
448 AM MDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - Following a cold front departing SE this morning with a mix of rain/snow showers, another round of showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon with breezy winds. - A more organized system moving in overnight tonight into Saturday morning keeps precipitation chances going as a cooler airmass supports a continued mix of rain/snow showers.
- Meteorological Overview: A large low pressure center off the Pacific coast of Canada and the Pacific Northwest will keep a moist southwest flow aloft with embedded disturbances over Montana through the weekend. One disturbance exiting the area along the Hi-Line already brought some measurable snowfall to at least the Cut Bank area overnight, while low clouds and patchy fog spread over the remainder of the plains behind a Canadian cold front.
758 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure moves offshore today, with southwesterly flow providing above normal temperatures heading into the weekend.
623 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure moves offshore today, with southwesterly flow providing above normal temperatures heading into the weekend.
The mid- to upper-level trough responsible for this rain will continue to move to the northeast. While we desperately need the rain, as the trough moves to the northeast, the rain will come to an end from west to east this afternoon and evening. High temperatures for today will continue to be a little cooler, mid-70s to mid-80s, thanks to the cloud cover that will hang around much of today. Clouds will clear out for Saturday, leading to warmer temperatures with highs in the 80s to low-90s.
The high pressure that has caused these elevated winds is still slowly pushing eastward over the Atlantic, so winds wont begin to come down until late tonight. Regardless of the lower confidence with respect to areal coverage, guidance continues to trend more favorable for shower activity happening within our CWA. We mention the low possibility though due to the influx of visitors for weekend activities.
We expect low clouds to impact much of the area today, especially along and east of the Kansas Turnpike as we remain on the northern periphery of the Southern Plains trough but better chances for precipitation are expected to remain south of the area. Another mild day is anticipated with above average temperatures but a decrease in thickness and decrease in insolation will yield highs in the 70s for much of the area although parts of central Kansas may see highs climb into the low 80s. A negatively tiled trough is progged to lift over the Central High Plains on Saturday with steep mid-lvl lapse rates spreading downstream over the Central Plains. By the time the deeper moisture arrives, much of the convection should be oriented along the cold front during the evening hours on Sat.
820 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Rain chances increase today with the passage of warm front. KEY MESSAGES: - Above average temperatures today - A passing warm front will increase shower chances - Isolated thunderstorm possible ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rising 500mb heights today will pull a surface warm front northward through the region.
300 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Dry through most of the weekend with high pressure residing offshore.
130 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Rain chances increase today with the passage of warm front. KEY MESSAGES: - Above average temperatures today - A passing warm front will increase shower chances - Isolated thunderstorm possible ------------------------------------------------------------------- A surface warm front is moving northward through the region.
Building high pressure continues to slowly uptick our winds.
203 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 A warm front today brings showers and significantly warmer weather.
pdf High pressure ridging continues over the area with central high pressure shifting further out into the Atlantic off the Carolina coast. Daytime highs will get into the low 80s with coastal temperatures getting into the upper 70s. overnight lows will cool into the upper 50s to low 60s over much of the area, staying slightly warmer along the coast.
A cold front will cross the region into this evening bringing with it gusty winds along with chances for a few light showers and sprinkles across northern Arizona.
A broad trough of low pressure will continue to produce cool and showery conditions into Saturday.
122 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 High pressure off the east coast will provide southerly winds to bring above normal temperatures for the weekend.
A low pressure system will track through Idaho and along the southwest Montana-Wyoming border this weekend, a pattern we call a Yellowstone Low.
227 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - Breezy and warmer into tonight and Saturday.
The main upper-level trough that brought copious amounts of rain to the region over the past couple days is now overhead and moving off to the east this afternoon.
Meanwhile, a large upper level trof will carve out across the interior west. A Pacific front and dryline will also move across the region as the low does. As far as precipitation goes, well the low is not in the best location for us to get significant moisture out of it.
222 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - Slight risk (Level 2 of 5) for a few severe thunderstorms Saturday evening as a cold front moves across the area.
The lower RHs and windy conditions has also caused us to issued a Red Flag Warning for most of the area.
1227 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Rain chances increase today with the passage of warm front. KEY MESSAGES: - Above average temperatures today - A passing warm front will increase shower chances - Isolated thunderstorm possible ------------------------------------------------------------------- A surface warm front is moving northward through the region.
315 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - A wintry mix of freezing rain/drizzle, snow, and sleet will be possible across the north this afternoon into the early evening hours.
302 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - A mix of freezing drizzle and snow continues near the Canadian border into this evening.
Overnight lows are expected to be in the lower 60s under cloudy skies. The trough will continue to progress through the area, bringing numerous showers and isolated t-storm chances on Saturday.
At the surface, high pressure has moved off the southeast coast is an situated across the western Atlantic. A cold front will begin to push out of the four corners region tonight and move east across the central US tomorrow and tomorrow night. Some scattered showers are possible late tomorrow afternoon and into the overnight hours as the mid level low pressure system moves east across the area.
Today have seen continued showers move through much of the western half of the state as high pressure.
712 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - A mix of freezing drizzle and snow continues near the Canadian border into this evening.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Low pressure off the Pacific NW coast will send in periodic disturbances to the area.
an upper low is centered off Vancouver Island with a trough extending into the region. Showers will decrease late tonight into Saturday as onshore flow weakens and the upper low retreats to the north. Precipitation clears the area by Saturday afternoon, and temperatures will trend slightly warmer but remain close to normal values for this time of year.
For Saturday, southerly winds and ridging in the upper levels will contribute to warming temperatures.
A mid-level trough will continue to move across the southern plains as it continues its track eastward. Overnight lows are expected to be in the lower 60s under cloudy skies. The trough will continue to progress through the area, bringing numerous showers and isolated t-storm chances on Saturday.
Dry weather and sunny skies will follow, with highs in the lower 80s.
There is even a small cluster of isolated showers that zoomed through the southeast edge of the Florida Straits to the tip of the Lower Keys bringing a brief sprinkle of rain to our office in Key West.
628 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 - Slight risk (Level 2 of 5) for a few severe thunderstorms Saturday evening as a cold front moves across the area.
912 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Dry through most of the weekend with high pressure residing offshore.
Current temps readings in the lower 70s for SE GA and NE FL, with coastal sites sitting in the upper 60s. Lows temps for are expected to drop to the upper 50s for most locations, with coastal sites and some locations in the Suwannee Valley region dropping the lower 60s. pdf High pressure ridging continues over the area with central high pressure shifting further out into the Atlantic off the Carolina coast. Daytime highs will get into the low 80s with coastal temperatures getting into the upper 70s. overnight lows will cool into the upper 50s to low 60s over much of the area, staying slightly warmer along the coast.
731 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Rain chances remain elevated this evening with a passing warm front.
611 PM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Rain chances remain elevated this evening with a passing warm front.