Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
Temperatures will reach the lower 70s Friday afternoon with no rain expected. High pressure will remain in place over the middle Ohio Valley the entire near-term period. Tonight, with mostly clear skies and dew points into the middle 30s, overnight lows are expected to drop into the 30s across the higher elevations and the upper 30s to lower 40s elsewhere. This weekend, models are showing an upper-level low over the Great Lakes, another low pressure system over the southeast coastline, and a large area of high pressure over Bermuda. These two areas of low pressure should have minimal impact on the weather across our area, with most of the precipitation expected to be well east and north of our area.
- Cooler temperatures are on the way in the wake of today's cold front.
1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 (Rest of Today and Tonight) High pressure will remain the dominating influence today in the wake of a cold front that has brought cooler temperatures and drier conditions to the area.
- Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons Friday through the weekend.
Any activity will be relatively short-lived and generally shift from the NE to SW as the trough axis shifts towards Mississippi. With that said, there is a very low (10-15%) chance for precip across our far SE areas as a few ribbons of H5 vorticity wrap around an upper low to our east.
334 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across the Middle Atlantic through Friday.
Dry conditions, with surface dewpoints in the low 50s, will ensure that any shower activity is elevated (not surface based). Thursday: High pressure over the Northeast will continue to produce wedging in the lee of the Appalachians. Friday should be the coolest day of the week with CAA limiting afternoon high temperatures to the low 70s for most areas.
As the cold front sweeps through this evening winds dropping and RH rising above 50 percent area wide yielding a low fire concern compared to prior days. With increasing moisture at 850 mb shower chances will increase until the moisture meets up with the upper low in eastern, northeast MN into Ontario tonight. Cold front will move through this evening as the upper low tracks southeast with brief cold advection. Winds in MN fcst area 10-20 mph, gusty this morning/midday but a bit less in the afternoon But with the south wind dew points increase today so RH values stay 45 to 50 percent values on the low end in NW/WC MN. Over the weekend there will be a large upper trough moving eastward over the western half of the US and Canada.
* Dry conditions are expected through the weekend with highs in the low to mid 70s. Upper level ridging centered over Texas and Mexico extends north over the Plains this afternoon, with deep upper level troughing over eastern Canada and off the coast of the Pacific Northwest. Lows in the low to mid 40s are forecast for southern Kentucky. After the chilly start, the rest of Friday looks pleasant with afternoon temps warming into the low to mid 70s. Friday night will be partly cloudy, with lows ranging from the low/mid 40s in the Bluegrass to near 50 degrees west of I-65. ====== This Weekend ====== Mid and upper level ridging gradually builds in from the southwest over the weekend. Meanwhile, a potent low pressure system is forecast to track northeast across the northern Plains into Manitoba.
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1230 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Updated at 1227 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Warmer and drier conditions today compared to yesterday. - Possible elevated fire weather concerns this weekend due to warmer temperatures and breezy southerly winds.
Updated at 133 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Breezy northeast winds behind a wedge front usher in mostly cloudy and cooler conditions today with a couple of isolated showers not out of the question. - Cooler and breezy conditions persist on Friday. Friday will bring the coolest highs of the week with some areas struggling to reach 70 degrees and the remainder of the area in the low-to-mid 70s.
1229 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 -A cooler and drier airmass will be in place across Arkansas through the end of the workweek.
Temperatures have warmed quickly into the low to mid 80s already, with highs expected to reach the mid to upper 80s in most areas by later this afternoon.
214 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Gusty winds, coastal flooding, and hazardous marine conditions will impact the area as low pressure develops and moves along the Southeast Coast.
Unseasonably warm and dry weather will continue through Friday, with high temperatures running 10 to 15 degrees above normal and reaching the low to mid-80s in the valleys today and Friday. This warming trend is driven by strengthening southwest flow aloft ahead of an upper-level trough moving south along the Pacific Northwest coast.
153 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Strong Canadian high pressure centered over the eastern Great Lakes today will slide towards New England Friday, resulting in dry cool weather to prevail. Speaking of the cool weathre, widespread front will be possible tonight into Friday morning, as temperatures across the typical inland locations drop below freezing tonight.
151 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 A high pressure system will shift east across the region through Friday, leading to dry conditions. A weak low pressure system will drop down across the Great Lakes this weekend. This will keep a northeast flow over the region, gradually becoming weak as the high drifts further away tonight.
A compact wave crossing central Manitoba this evening will track southeastward across the Great Lakes region through Friday evening, with an associated cold front crossing the forecast area late afternoon through the evening. However, a ribbon of mid-level moisture extending from Minnesota to eastern Kansas should provide sufficient moisture for isolated to scattered showers with a mid-level front/weak trough nearing the area from the west late tonight. Overall shower/sprinkle coverage will then diminish in coverage and become quite sparse as the front/trough washes out over the area through the day on Friday.
210 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across the Middle Atlantic through Friday.
Mid to upper level ridging continues to build in the central CONUS and now encapsulates the Mid-Mississippi Valley. In the low-levels, weak cold air advection will give way to warm air advection overnight. A cold front or two may dent the warming trend in portions of the CWA north of I-70 during the next 7 days. The first cold front will approach the area tonight.
An upper trough, and associated cold front, will bring cooler and drier air into the area this evening and overnight.
150 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 A high pressure system will shift east across the region through Friday, leading to dry conditions. A weak low pressure system will drop down across the Great Lakes this weekend. This will keep a northeast flow over the region, gradually becoming weak as the high drifts further away tonight.
600 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Updated at 549 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Possible elevated fire weather concerns this weekend due to warmer temperatures and breezy southerly winds.
The leading pre-frontal trough is currently crossing the Red River Valley shifting winds to westerly. An upper trough, and associated cold front, will bring cooler and drier air into the area this evening and overnight.
618 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 (This evening through Friday night) An upper level ridge encompasses much of the center of the country with troughing on the east and western sides of it. The CWA is right between the center of that ridge axis and trough to the east.
618 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Cooler and drier conditions will return by tomorrow as the area is sandwiched between a developing coastal low to our east and a strengthening ridge of high pressure to our west.
High pressure continues slowly departing the area to our east. That sets up warm air advection to come in behind and that'll allow some high to mid level decks to come in as a cold front washes out to our west to end the day Friday. Expect the low and surface levels to have plenty of dry air that should keep VFR conditions prevailing.
644 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Patchy fog possible tonight behind a cold frontal passage, but widespread or dense fog is not expected.
608 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 (Rest of Today and Tonight) High pressure will remain the dominating influence today in the wake of a cold front that has brought cooler temperatures and drier conditions to the area.
Overnight, clouds will begin to increase ahead of the next storm system, resulting in slightly warmer overnight lows. With a 500 mb high over Texas and a trough off of the west coast, moist southwest flow will dominate.
608 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 -A cooler and drier airmass will be in place across Arkansas through the end of the workweek.
Temperatures climbed to around 10 degrees above normal today, thanks to pronounced southerly flow aloft ahead of a low pressure system residing along the PNW coast. Temperatures are expected to be nearly as warm Friday as they were today, except in Harney County where the cold front is expected to arrive in the afternoon and evening from the west.
620 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons Friday through the weekend.
Temperatures should get fairly chilly tonight in the 30s and low 40s, but widespread freezing conditions are not expected. UPDATE The leading pre-frontal trough is currently crossing the Red River Valley shifting winds to westerly. An upper trough, and associated cold front, will bring cooler and drier air into the area this evening and overnight.
746 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 High pressure provides dry and cool conditions into the upcoming weekend. The next chance of rain arrives this weekend, as weakening Great Lakes low pressure combines forces with a developing coastal storm system. The highest probabilities of frost/freeze remain within the advisory/warning area. Given the topographic complexity of the area, note that insulated valley may pool cooler air more efficiently than ridgetops. Still, the Laurel Ridges in particular are tricky - the ridges are a bit more likely to hold on to wind overnight, and nearby valleys may experience a bit of a downslope effect from the easterly flow, if it remains strong enough. This supports freezing or just below temperatures mainly to the north of Pittsburgh and in eastern Tucker County, and this is where the Freeze Warning has been placed.
With a stationary low pressure system near the PacNW coast, this will influence the upslope flow to continue light showers across the WA/OR Cascades through tonight (15-30% chance). However, tomorrow is when the upper level trough gradually makes its way across our forecast area with a frontal system. The lower elevations will most likely have less than 0.
(Rest of tonight and Friday) The upper level pattern shows the Southeast under a trough with ridging out to our west. A vort max is dropping south and east along the base of the trough axis near the AL/GA state line. Northerly to northwesterly flow aloft continues to advect in a cooler and drier airmass. As a result, low temperatures tonight will dip down into the low to mid 50s.
- Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail through this weekend. The forecast is generally on track for tonight, but have made some adjustments to cut low temperatures a bit based on recent cooler trends in obs/guidance. /EC/ In the wake of a weak cold front, drier air is already advecting into our region and will continue to do so through the weekend as upper ridging builds just west of our area. Though this dry regime will still allow for seasonably warm days, with highs ranging from near normal to slightly above normal, it will also make for cooler overnights and mornings. Cooler, meaning.
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across the Middle Atlantic through Friday.
This low has contributed to near record precipitable water and a broad cyclonic wind field across the Keys area. The low over Cuba will remain nearly stationary overnight, but expand northeastward into the Keys. Meanwhile, an upper level trough will amplify over Florida and the eastern Gulf. The Keys will remain well within this low's cyclonic flow.
736 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Canadian high pressure centered over the eastern Great Lakes will slide towards New England by Friday, resulting in dry cool weather. Widespread front will be possible tonight into Friday morning, as temperatures across typical inland locations drop below freezing.
710 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 A high pressure system will shift east across the region through Friday, leading to dry conditions. A weak low pressure system will drop down across the Great Lakes this weekend. This will keep a northeast flow over the region, gradually becoming weak as the high drifts further away tonight.
746 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Cooler temperatures are on the way in the wake of today's cold front.
626 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail through this weekend. In the wake of a weak cold front, drier air is already advecting into our region and will continue to do so through the weekend as upper ridging builds just west of our area. Though this dry regime will still allow for seasonably warm days, with highs ranging from near normal to slightly above normal, it will also make for cooler overnights and mornings. Cooler, meaning.
East to northeast winds will continue breezy on Friday with speeds between 15-20 mph and gusts up to 30 mph, thanks to a continued enhanced pressure gradient from a broad and anomalously strong high pressure system over the Northeast U. With the normal high temperature at Brownsville/South Padre Island International Airport (KBRO), anomalies through next Friday will continue to run slightly warmer than normal levels.
104 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Cool and dry high pressure lingers over the region today with below normal temperatures sticking around.
(Today) A weak upper low was situated over the central AL/GA border. During the course of today, the above mentioned upper low should slowly move E-SE. This high should move offshore today, resulting in an easterly flow. Under partly cloudy skies, another seasonably warm day is expected, with high temperatures rising into the mid 70s (trending a bit warmer west, a bit cooler east).
Based off latest guidance, temps will struggle to get above 70s today for that area but the remainder of the area should stay in the low to mid 70s for highs with less cloud cover the further north you go. As a result, cloud cover will also push further northeastward allowing the high pressure to fully settle into place and limit cloud cover and thus start our warming trend with highs in the mid to upper 70s across the area.
Upper ridge will continue to build in the central U.
1243 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. Temperatures will be a tad warmer with afternoon highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. The closed low will be moving off toward northeast Ohio at the start of the extended and will be in the process of being absorbed by a broader area of low pressure off of the Atlantic coastline. Closer to the surface, a weak cold front will be pulled through the region, though sensible impacts will be minor and any isolated showers will taper off by the overnight. Meanwhile, to our northwest, a robust area of low pressure will be moving through southern Canada, allowing for continued warm air advection.
236 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail through this weekend. Expect afternoon highs to peak into the low 80s areawide. Global guidance continues to show upper ridging building to the west of our area looking into Saturday. The building upper ridge combined with drier air advecting across the southeast CONUS will allow for dry and quiet conditions to persist across our CWA through the weekend.
Overnight water vapor imagery reveals a clearly defined low pressure system centered just off the coast of the PacNW. This low will be slow to push onshore, but once it does, expect a nice dose of gusty winds and mountain precip as the region gets its first real taste of an autumnal weather system. The S/SW winds aloft leading this low have introduced intermittent rain showers across the Cascades and east slopes over the past day, and this will continue into today as models generally keep this low stationary until around Friday evening. Mid-level winds generally depict a moisture advection profile that mostly favors areas west of the Cascades, so while the mountains stand to see good chances at wetting precip, NBM probabilistic guidance depicts more modest amounts of QPF for the lower elevations.
Dry conditions, with surface dewpoints in the low 50s, will ensure that any shower activity is elevated (not surface based).
A weakening cold front will approach the area today and move across the area tonight. Winds will begin to shift westerly this evening and then shift northerly with the cold front later this evening and overnight. The increasing clouds may keep temps a bit cooler, perhaps mid 60s across northern IL but if the clouds are not as thick and/or precip dissipates faster, this may allow for warmer temperatures, which could warm into the lower 70s across the southeast third of the cwa. Despite the cold front, much of guidance has warmed low temps several degrees for Saturday morning.
Temperatures should get fairly chilly tonight in the 30s and low 40s, but widespread freezing conditions are not expected. UPDATE The leading pre-frontal trough is currently crossing the Red River Valley shifting winds to westerly. An upper trough, and associated cold front, will bring cooler and drier air into the area this evening and overnight. An upper low is expected to form, in the Central and Northern Plains, then lift northeastward, providing an axis of precipitation and possibly an isolated thunderstorm. Despite the high moisture levels and strong forcing, rainfall totals look to remain generally around or less than 0.
(Today and tonight) All of the models continue to show high pressure as the dominate feature across the region. Lows will be down into the low to middle 60s.
148 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Updated at 144 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 * A few strong thunderstorms are expected in Eastern Nevada Friday afternoon into Friday evening * Precipitation chances increase Saturday into Saturday night as a trough of low pressure passes across Northern Nevada * Much cooler this weekend (Today through next Friday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of low pressure will remain just offshore of Oregon Friday. A trough of low pressure will pass eastward across Northern Nevada Saturday into Saturday night, resulting in elevated precipitation chances.
1224 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 - Patchy fog possible tonight behind a cold frontal passage, but widespread or dense fog is not expected.
130 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across the Middle Atlantic through today, then shift offshore tonight and Saturday. Low pressure will develop near the SE coast today and move north along the NC coast over the weekend. *Crisp and cool Sprawling Canadian high pressure extending south down the Eastern Seaboard will yield one of the coolest nights of the season with low- level thicknesses tonight forecast to fall around 1340 meters.
1222 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail through this weekend. The forecast is generally on track for tonight, but have made some adjustments to cut low temperatures a bit based on recent cooler trends in obs/guidance.
208 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across the Middle Atlantic through today, then shift offshore tonight and Saturday. Low pressure will develop near the SE coast today and move north along the NC coast over the weekend. A large Canadian high pressure (1033+ mb) will continue to extend down the eastern seaboard into NC today and tonight, even as the core of the high shifts off the New England coast. Cloudiness will increase especially this afternoon and tonight as low pressure develops off the FL coast.
- Cooler and drier weather expected through this weekend.
218 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 High pressure will drift off the New England coast today, providing another day of dry weather. Temperatures will trend a little warmer this afternoon after a chilly start this morning.
Dry air may delay the start initially, but within the southwest flow ahead of the front moisture advection should help saturate the lower levels. Southwest winds ahead of the front will be breezy with gusts around 20 to 30 mph with the highest gusts along the lakeshore. Chances for rain have decreased overnight into Saturday as the closed low is now tracking further east. Total rainfall amounts of a trace to around a quarter of an inch are expected with the highest amounts north of I-96.
1241 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Cooler and drier conditions will return by tomorrow as the area is sandwiched between a developing coastal low to our east and a strengthening ridge of high pressure to our west. Highs will drop down into the 70s inland to around 80 near the coast on Saturday as a backdoor cold front moves through. From that point on, temperatures will steadily increase each day as the coastal low lifts into the North Atlantic and the large upper level high over Texas gradually builds eastward over the area.
Upstream, a surface cold front is advancing across eastern Manitoba and the central Dakotas. Upstream cloud cover, ahead of the surface cold front, will start to thicken in western/northern areas later tonight. With the low level jet ramping up after sunset, showers are expected to start developing in the warm sector, just ahead of the front, after 00Z this evening. Consensus of the 12Z guidance stalls out the upper low over the eastern lakes this weekend; a little further east than recently progged.
With a stationary low pressure system near the PacNW coast, this will influence the upslope flow to continue light showers across the WA/OR Cascades through tonight (15-30% chance). However, tomorrow is when the upper level trough gradually makes its way across our forecast area with a frontal system. The lower elevations will most likely have less than 0. By Saturday, we will start seeing widespread showers as the trough sweeps through the forecast area.
159 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across the Middle Atlantic through today, then shift offshore tonight and Saturday. Low pressure will develop near the SE coast today and move north along the NC coast over the weekend. A large Canadian high pressure (1033+ mb) will continue to extend down the eastern seaboard into NC today and tonight, even as the core of the high shifts off the New England coast. Cloudiness will increase especially this afternoon and tonight as low pressure develops off the FL coast.
The upper level ridge axis is expected to continue moving over the Great Plains through Saturday, advecting dry into the Tri-State Area after the lower level moisture begins to decrease throughout the day today. For the weekend, an upper trough is forecast to move through the Western United States and swing through the Northern Plains.
The highest chances for measurable rain (15-30%) will be west of roughly I-55.
(This evening through Friday) An upper-level ridge remains over west Texas this afternoon and should continue through at least tomorrow. Given the weak pressure gradient with light and variable winds, low temperatures should be in the low 60s.
Warm air will advect in towards the late morning with a passing warm front, with E-SE flow shifting south-southwest through the period. A cold front approaches KSBN around 00z, then crosses through KFWA by Saturday morning.
Overnight, clouds will begin to increase ahead of the next storm system, resulting in slightly warmer overnight lows. With a 500 mb high over Texas and a trough off of the west coast, moist southwest flow will dominate. Saturday the ridge will be shifting eastwards as a Pacific trough moves into the region.