Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
While temperatures Monday night cool back into the 30's, we should stay above freezing.
A Wind Advisory remains in effect across far NE GA given forecast higher speeds (35+ MPH) along the ridgetops. As the growing season has already been declared for all but far north GA, a Freeze Warning remains in effect for much of Central GA as forecast low temperatures will fall near or just below freezing. Forecast temperatures on Monday will be in the low to mid 60s during the afternoon and 30s overnights.
1247 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Expect temperatures this afternoon to be slightly warmer than yesterday with highs ranging from the mid 50s to low 60s. Another cold night is in store for the Mid-South tonight as Monday morning lows dip into the low 30s.
- A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for areas in northern Kansas where the highest confidence resides in seeing Extreme Fire Weather conditions.
From synopsis, broad ridging remains in place across the Florida Keys coastal waters, as a cold front slowly approaches from the north.
(Tonight) Dry weather and sunny skies have prevailed over the region today, as current temperatures range from the low to mid 50s. Please take steps to protect sensitive vegetation through the early morning hours as a large majority of north Alabama and southern middle Tennessee is forecast to fall to freezing and below.
Dry, sunny, cooler, and breezy today. Subfreezing temperatures expected near area wide tonight. Upper trough axis is sweeping past this morning, with continued backside northwest flow bringing a cooler airmass in today. Boundary layer will be favorable for momentum transfer down to the surface, so winds will be breezy across the region today, with the highest gusts located in the mountains into the far northeastern corner of our reach, Carter County, TN into Washington County, VA. Tonight the nocturnal inversion will bring about much lighter winds and temperatures will fall to below freezing for most.
(This evening through Monday night) An upper level short wave trough will pass over the Panhandles tonight with little fanfare.
(This evening through Monday) High pressure and dry weather will settle over the southeast states through the short term.
While strong synoptic scale forcing for ascent will overspread the region early Monday, a lack of substantial moisture in the lower half of the atmosphere should limit any precipitation.
Discussion: Northwest flow continues across the area tonight with ridging beginning to build in from the west. Winds become lighter overnight with most areas near or below freezing. Low/mid-level ridge axis will be across the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys on Monday afternoon with subsidence across the region. Surprisingly, the HRRR is on the higher end of guidance with the global models on the drier side.
142 PM MST Sun Mar 10 2024 Dry conditions and warmer temperatures are expected through the middle of the week. Another storm system could impact the area mid to late in the week with cooler temperatures and a chance of showers.
Drier conditions will follow the FROPA with winds shifting to a more northerly flow tonight, bringing another round of cooler/drier air advection. This will result in overnight lows cooling down into the low-mid 50s inland, and mid 60s near the coasts. For Monday, dry and seasonable conditions will return as high pressure expands over the SE CONUS. Thus, afternoon highs will remain a little cooler compared to previous days, generally upper 70s to lower 80s.
19Z surface analysis noted a ridge over eastern sections, which should depart this evening leading to a strengthening low level jet and strong low level warm advection.
High pressure will continue to build into the area, with winds from the northwest ushering in cooler air. Overnight, lows will drop to the lower 50s for SE GA, with NE FL seeing lows from the mid 50s to lower 60s, with the warmer temperatures along north central FL.
104 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Beautiful, yet cool conditions currently across the Four State Region with late morning temperatures ranging mostly in the upper 40s to the lower and middle 50s. Our winds are light north of calm with a 1025mb high pressure center just east of Denton TX. Skies will see an increase in clouds and while still cool, Monday starts off slightly warmer with similar numbers really.
1246 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Currently skies are clearing as ridging aloft moving through the area will help to clear out some lingering high clouds. Skies will be mostly clear throughout the day but some increasing cloud cover is likely overnight as a high pressure off to our west builds into our area. Expect a pleasant day with temps reaching into the low to mid 60s. Where clearer conditions exist, temps have dipped into the 30s in the cooler pockets across north MS and AR.
156 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2024 A cold front will move through early this morning followed by cooler and drier high pressure through the early portion of the week. A warming trend is then expected mid week as high pressure shifts offshore. Rain chances will return late week as a cold front approaches. Today: A cold front bisecting the forecast area across SE NC and NE SC will continue slowly passing offshore early this AM to be followed by high pressure slowly increasing from the west. The pressure gradient will remain rather strong across the area as low pressure to the northeast strengthens as well. In fact, some inland spots could reach freezing, especially in SC near and west of Bennettsville which will be closer to the high and thus have lighter winds.
Enjoy the later sunset! (Today through Monday) Cold front continues its way southeastward today associated with the strong upper closed low along the east coast.
High pressure will then build into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley overnight into Monday.
125 PM MDT Sun Mar 10 2024 - Dry, warm weather continues through Monday under weak high pressure.
1239 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 (Rest of Today) A chilly start to the day across the Tennessee Valley, as current temperatures range from the low to mid 40s. High pressure will continue to settle across the region today, with temperatures remaining below normal thanks to northwesterly flow. Expect afternoon highs to be limited to the low to mid 50s despite abundant sunshine.
(Today and tonight) After a cool start this morning, warmer temperatures and quiet weather is expected through the next 24 hours. This will allow surface winds to turn back out of the south at 5 to 10 mph by late morning, and temperatures to be 5 to 10 degrees warmer, with most areas getting into the low to mid 60s. Tonight, with slightly increased moisture, and southerly winds of around 5 knots in most place, overnight lows will also be warmer, by 10 to 15 degrees, with lows ranging from the upper 30s to mid 40s. (Monday night through next Sunday) A continued warm up expected through midweek with a lee trough bringing south to southwest winds.
142 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Behind a cold front, snow showers and colder weather can be expected into this evening.
- Active weather returns for the late half of the week, with cooler temperatures and increased precipitation chances for much of the region. Upper ridge in place on Monday, with sunny to partly cloudy skies and above normal temperatures expected across southern Colorado. With deep mixing into really dry air, will also see dew points fall into the low single digits to quite possibly below zero Monday afternoon.
Looking at current water vapor imagery and model data, our area is in southwest flow aloft with mid and upper level clouds streaming ahead of a trough over western Idaho. Further west, there is an upper level low and associated cold front on the Washington coast.
High pressure will then build into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley tonight into Monday.
This will cause temperatures to rise back into the low to mid 70s for much of the region. Overnight temperatures Monday night will be similar to tonight, though add about two or four degrees to the low temperature.
Currently skies are clearing as ridging aloft moving through the area will help to clear out some lingering high clouds. Skies will be mostly clear throughout the day but some increasing cloud cover is likely overnight as a high pressure off to our west builds into our area. Expect a pleasant day with temps reaching into the low to mid 60s. Where clearer conditions exist, temps have dipped into the 30s in the cooler pockets across north MS and AR.
1037 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Beautiful, yet cool conditions currently across the Four State Region with late morning temperatures ranging mostly in the upper 40s to the lower and middle 50s. Our winds are light north of calm with a 1025mb high pressure center just east of Denton TX. Skies will see an increase in clouds and while still cool, Monday starts off slightly warmer with similar numbers really.
Surface observations from 18Z indicate that the cold front that brought the overnight and early morning clouds and showers to the region has now made it south of Naples. Cooler and drier air is now filtering in, with this afternoon's temps a solid ten degrees cooler than this time yesterday. The upper-level pattern is flattening out with broad, weak ridging aloft as sprawling high pressure settles in at the surface.
The areas of warmer temperatures across western Minnesota are forecast to see the higher winds with gusts up around 20 mph. On Monday we will increase temperatures even farther as a warm front passes through bringing us of next chance for seeing 70s. This is most likely along and near the Buffalo Ridge.
(This evening through Monday) A return of southerly winds and abundant sunshine have led to a pleasant afternoon with temperatures currently in the low to mid 60s across much of the area. Lows tonight will not be quite as cool as last night, with temperatures 5-10 degrees warmer in most areas.
821 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2024 A much cooler night ahead with most areas expected to drop over 10 degrees compared to last night.
Current temperatures across the local area mainly range in the mid to upper 40s; although, a few spots remain in the lower 50s. For now, slightly raised forecast lows to generally be in the lower 30s (right around or just below freezing).
622 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Temperatures tonight will cool into the 30s across the Mid-South, with some locations at or close to freezing.
Otherwise, still looking at near freezing temps bu sunrise. While temperatures Monday night cool back into the 30's, we should stay above freezing.
626 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 (This evening through Monday) Dry conditions will continue through Monday, along with warmer temperatures. Temperatures will be a little warmer tonight, owing to slightly higher moisture and light south winds, with overnight lows mainly in the low to mid 40s. Near seasonal temperatures can be expected tomorrow, with afternoon highs in the lower 70s, with light south winds prevailing. (Monday night through next Sunday)Temperatures will be milder A continued warm up expected through midweek with a lee trough bringing south to southwest winds.
902 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 A 1024 mb ridge of high pressure is centered over the Mid-South this evening. GOES-16 satellite trends show some high cirrus moving across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley. CJC Temperatures tonight will cool into the 30s across the Mid-South, with some locations at or close to freezing.
While there will be enough mid and upper level moisture to produce some cloud cover and radar echoes, dry air in the lower levels will render precipitation to just virga and/or light sprinkles. Otherwise skies will clear around midday with the passage of the trough, revealing a sunny, warm, and fairly pleasant afternoon with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
- A quick temperature rebound gets underway Monday with dry weather and much warmer air expected through mid week. This low-midlevel warm advection combined with the loss of daytime heating will lead to strong static stability already by 04Z this evening. Model soundings also suggest a stray gust briefly touching 45 mph is possible before sunset as increasing mid level subsidence overlaps a well-mixed boundary layer and low level thermal trough, however spotty predictability on location and duration suggests holding off on a Wind Advisory for now. Renewed SW low level flow ensues to displace the low level thermal trough and carry warmer air into the Great Lakes from the mid MS valley. Guidance highs in the lower to mid 50s look good, even closer to the Lake Huron shoreline.
610 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 (This evening through Monday) Warmer, drier, and breezier conditions will continue the trend upward through the short term period. A closed off upper level low currently overhead will scoot off to the east tonight into Monday morning. Short wave ridging will then move overhead on Monday in advance of the next short wave trough moving across the Great Basin. Strong subsidence will move overhead on Monday due to the ridging. Warmer temperatures will also allow for deep boundary layer mixing. Stronger surface cyclogenesis will occur on Monday in southeastern Colorado in response to the short wave trough in the Great Basin. Increasing downsloping winds will also bring warmer temperatures with afternoon temperatures on the order of five to ten degrees above seasonal averages.
A weak upper trough near the coast reaches our area by Monday morning for a chance of showers in the valleys, but any amounts will be light. The trough exits to the east by late afternoon for a decreasing chance of showers.
As such, light southerly winds will persist, helping keep temperatures about 5-10 degrees warmer than last night -- temperatures generally dipping into the mid-upper 30s to near 40 degrees in spots.
Pleasant weather is expected mid week as ridging sets in. A succession of quasi linear convective systems ushered in a wet Sunday morning ahead of a cold frontal boundary. By late this evening, total snowfall accumulations are expected to be 5- 8 inches above 3,500 ft in northern Trinity County, with accumulations up to a foot on the highest mountain peaks. NBM is forecasting a high probability for wind gusts exceeding 35 mph along coast north of Cape Mendocino and on exposed ridges beginning around 5PM Monday.
* Clear and cool tonight with low temperatures below freezing Monday morning.
A few gusts over 30 mph remain possible at the highest elevations of the NE mountains for the next couple of hours, with a gradual decrease in winds through the remainder of the night. A Wind Advisory remains in effect across far NE GA given forecast higher speeds (35+ MPH) along the ridgetops. As the growing season has already been declared for all but far north GA, a Freeze Warning remains in effect for much of Central GA as forecast low temperatures will fall near or just below freezing. Forecast temperatures on Monday will be in the low to mid 60s during the afternoon and 30s overnights.
543 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 (This evening through Monday) A return of southerly winds and abundant sunshine have led to a pleasant afternoon with temperatures currently in the low to mid 60s across much of the area. Lows tonight will not be quite as cool as last night, with temperatures 5-10 degrees warmer in most areas.
A decreasing trrend is expected to continue through the night as high pressure continues to build over the area. Discussion: Northwest flow continues across the area tonight with ridging beginning to build in from the west. Winds become lighter overnight with most areas near or below freezing. Low/mid-level ridge axis will be across the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys on Monday afternoon with subsidence across the region. Surprisingly, the HRRR is on the higher end of guidance with the global models on the drier side.
The Gulf and Bayside waters started with SSTs in the lower 80s this afternoon before the cold front pressed through. Temperatures are in the lower to mid 70s, and should not fall much lower than 70 overnight due to the warm SSTs. So, dry, cooler, and much less humidity for the remainder of the night.
706 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2024 Cooler and dry weather expected early this week, before a warming trend into midweek as high pressure shifts offshore.
943 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2024 High pressure will build into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley overnight into Monday.
529 PM MDT Sun Mar 10 2024 - Dry, warm weather continues through Monday under weak high pressure.
915 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2024 * Clear and cool tonight with low temperatures below freezing Monday morning.
620 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 (Tonight) Dry weather and sunny skies have prevailed over the region today, as current temperatures range from the low to mid 50s. Please take steps to protect sensitive vegetation through the early morning hours as a large majority of north Alabama and southern middle Tennessee is forecast to fall to freezing and below.
High pressure building into the Southeast will keep precipitation chances out of the forecast overnight. Much cooler tonight, as northerly winds advect cooler, drier air into east central Florida. Overnight lows will fall into the lower to mid-50s, with upper 40s possible across northern Lake and Volusia Counties. North to north-northeast winds increasing to 20-25kts overnight offshore and 15-20kts nearshore, as high pressure builds into the Southeast. Winds 9-12kts overnight will remain 10-14kts through the afternoon, with the highest winds along the coast.
646 PM CDT Sun Mar 10 2024 (This evening through Monday night) An upper level short wave trough will pass over the Panhandles tonight with little fanfare.
(Today and tonight) High pressure at the surface and aloft will control the weather in the short term, with fair and dry weather today and tonight, with reduced winds.
Temperatures along the Island Chain are currently in the lower 70s with some locations near 70 degrees. Dew points are more comfortable in the lower to mid 60s in the wake of the front yesterday afternoon.
19Z surface analysis noted a ridge over eastern sections, which should depart this evening leading to a strengthening low level jet and strong low level warm advection. Moisture return will eventually be sufficient into Tue night as the low level jet increases and interacts with the weak boundary, but this should mainly be south and east of the forecast area with less potential southeast versus previous expectations.
- Light snow showers possible across the high mountains late Monday into early Tuesday. Upper level ridge over the region will weaken and slide off to the east overnight. Mild west-southwest flow aloft will replace the ridge late tonight and Monday. Temperatures will be mild tonight with most locations along the Urban Corridor staying above freezing. For Monday, highs are expected to be in the lower to mid 60s across northeast Colorado. High clouds will be increasing through the day as short wave trough approaches the region. West-southwest winds increase over the higher terrain.
High pressure returns tonight through the middle of the week as temperatures rapidly warm to well above normal. Another area of low pressure could impact the region towards the end of the week. The large mid-level low continues to move east away from the region today as deep ridging builds in its wake. The far western periphery of this ridge and some weak ridging aloft keep conditions dry through mid week.
- A quick temperature rebound gets underway Monday with dry weather and much warmer air expected through mid week. This low- midlevel warm advection combined with the loss of daytime heating has led to strong static stability already at taf time.
High pressure then build in, with a warming trend and generally dry weather for the middle of the week. Wrap around moisture on the back side of an upper level low allows lake enhanced snow showers to continue early this morning. Skies begin to clear as drier air moves in with high pressure beginning to build in during the afternoon. Quiet pattern continues into Tuesday with warmer air beginning to settle back into the region.
1232 AM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024 (This evening through Monday night) An upper level short wave trough will pass over the Panhandles tonight with little fanfare.
400 AM EDT Sun Mar 11 2024 High pressure will build over and offshore the Southeast through midweek. Winds shifting from NW during the day to westerly in the early evening- as well as relaxing to light winds, will support low temperatures to be a few degrees warmer than last night, although still in the mid to upper 30s. At the surface, high pressure centered off the GA/FL coast, will continue to influence the region with clear skies and light winds. Lows Tuesday night will be in the low to mid 40s. An upper ridge building across the central northern CONUS will create zonal flow across central NC through mid week, then ridging builds across the Southeast through the end of the work week.
1216 AM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024 (This evening through Monday) Warmer, drier, and breezier conditions will continue the trend upward through the short term period. A closed off upper level low currently overhead will scoot off to the east tonight into Monday morning. Short wave ridging will then move overhead on Monday in advance of the next short wave trough moving across the Great Basin. Strong subsidence will move overhead on Monday due to the ridging. Warmer temperatures will also allow for deep boundary layer mixing. Stronger surface cyclogenesis will occur on Monday in southeastern Colorado in response to the short wave trough in the Great Basin. Increasing downsloping winds will also bring warmer temperatures with afternoon temperatures on the order of five to ten degrees above seasonal averages.
A decreasing trend is expected to continue through the night as high pressure continues to build over the area. Discussion: Northwest flow continues across the area tonight with ridging beginning to build in from the west. Winds become lighter overnight with most areas near or below freezing. Low/mid-level ridge axis will be across the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys on Monday afternoon with subsidence across the region. Surprisingly, the HRRR is on the higher end of guidance with the global models on the drier side.
High pressure across the SE US will build overhead by Tonight. Temperatures will be below normal with highs in the low 60s to low 70s.
This light precipitation is due to a large upper level low swinging across the Southern Plains. This disturbance finally breaks down today and exits to the east with weak ridging building into Tuesday. But with increased moisture in the low levels from the southeasterly winds, patchy fog is possible Tuesday night. High temperatures this afternoon will be in the low to mid 70s across the region. Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 50s for much of the area. Tuesday will be even warmer thanks to the weak ridge aloft with high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s and low temperatures in the low to mid 60s Tuesday night.
125 AM EDT Mon Mar 11 2024 Gusty mountain winds will taper off in the late morning today as cooler high pressure pushes into the region. High pressure will maintain dry conditions through much of the workweek and the return of springlike temperatures Tuesday.
1247 AM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024 (This evening through Monday) Dry conditions will continue through Monday, along with warmer temperatures. Temperatures will be a little warmer tonight, owing to slightly higher moisture and light south winds, with overnight lows mainly in the low to mid 40s. Near seasonal temperatures can be expected tomorrow, with afternoon highs in the lower 70s, with light south winds prevailing.
Winds should be light, however, so the fire weather threat should remain at a minimum with weak ridging moving in overhead. With the ridge pattern, temps will be on a warming trend this week, with highs today in the mid 50s east to mid 60s west. Lows tonight will be a little warmer but still in the mid to upper 30s. A weak upper trough will move through overnight, but not expecting much from it as moisture is very low, and dry conditions will continue Tuesday with weak ridging/zonal flow aloft with warmer high temps in the 60s.