Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
The upper level low is located across eastern Wyoming as a result precpitation continues to stream in from western South Dakota into western North Dakota. A warm front continues to lift across the southern James River Valley causing clearing skies and temperatures to jump into the 70s. Low pressure currently sits over northeastern Colorado/western Nebraska and will push up through the Dakotas today through tonight. Probabilities remain in excess of 70 percent that a large portion of western and north central ND will receive over an inch of total rain, with the highest probabilities over the northwest. In fact, the sun may even come out in portions of the south central and southeast, which combined with warmer air pushing up from the south, could create quite the contrast in temperatures today.
Dry conditions today as northwest flow aloft prevails behind a departing upper level low.
Dry conditions and cooler temperatures will continue through Friday. Overnight lows the next couple nights will continue to be chilly, with sub-freezing values in the high country and into the mid 30s for mid-range elevations like Winslow and Prescott.
(Today and tonight) High pressure that was sitting across the region will still remain the dominant weather feature. However, both the GFS and ECMWF push the center of this high further off to the east. Then, a broader trough will start to develop across the western U. (Friday night through next Thursday) Mainly dry conditions expected, with warmer than normal temperatures, but we will see weak cold fronts also move through the area.
Another nocturnal surge is expected tonight, followed by a general freshening breezes as high pressure builds across the eastern half of the U. High pressure sinking south over the eastern CONUS will keep shower coverage relatively low through Friday.
Updated at 1214 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 - Dry and mild conditions will continue today with cooler overnight lows in northeasters areas.
158 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 High pressure will remain across the region through Friday, offering continued dry weather conditions.
An area of low pressure is currently situated near the North Dakota/South Dakota border, to the northwest of Aberdeen, SD. Ahead of the low, an expansive area of rain associated with WAA advanced northward this morning, which has now pushed out of the FA. In its place, fog, drizzle and mist have formed ahead of the northward advancing warm front. To the south of the warm front near the tri state border area, temperatures have surged into the 70s with some peeks of sunshine as the dry slot works into the area.
Johns River Basin South of Duval County (Through Tonight) Ridging will extend across the region this period, from a high centered over the Great Lakes. A trough is expected to be along the east coast of local area. Onshore flow around the high will be enhanced by the trough, leading to elevated and gusty winds along the coast.
128 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 High pressure builds into the area through the end of the week and will remain in control through the weekend.
304 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 - A cold front will spread scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms (20-50% chance) from west to east across the area during the afternoon through nighttime hours.
Issued by National Weather Service State College PA 107 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 High pressure will build into the region through the remainder of the week.
1210 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 - Decreasing clouds today and remaining cool albeit slightly warmer than yesterday.
649 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 High pressure will remain across the region through the rest of this week.
637 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 - A cold front will spread scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms (20-50% chance) from west to east across the area during the afternoon through nighttime hours.
739 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Updated at 733 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 - Dry and mild conditions will continue today with cooler overnight lows in northeasters areas.
- The passage of a cold front is bringing cooler temperatures to the region. Satellite imagery shows that the low pressure system that has been impacting our region is now centered over eastern Wyoming. A cold front associated with this system has moved through the area, leading to much cooler, well below average daytime high temperatures. This will allow for strong radiative cooling overnight, dropping temperatures to below freezing for many areas, including valleys where Freeze Warnings are in place. Expect mostly clear skies, and slightly warmer, but still below normal high temperatures.
614 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Updated at 609 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 - Upper ridge over the area to keep us on the dry side over the short term.
A weak surface boundary passes east central Florida late today and into tonight as a "backdoor" cold front.
The southern portion of this activity is currently scraping the north edge of the Lower Keys. From synopsis, high pressure sinking south over the eastern CONUS will keep shower coverage relatively low through Friday.
Rest of the CWA appears to be in a bit of a lull on radar, but some very light showers/drizzle starting to redevelop along the Highway 2 corridor. Think that with the warm front lifting north any fog threat that far south will be short lived. An area of low pressure is currently situated near the North Dakota/South Dakota border, to the northwest of Aberdeen, SD. Ahead of the low, an expansive area of rain associated with WAA advanced northward this morning, which has now pushed out of the FA. In its place, fog, drizzle and mist have formed ahead of the northward advancing warm front. To the south of the warm front near the tri state border area, temperatures have surged into the 70s with some peeks of sunshine as the dry slot works into the area.
753 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 A reinforcing dry cold front has moved through the area, bringing slightly cooler temperatures into Friday. High pressure remains in place over the eastern CONUS with favorable radiational cooling conditions tonight.
841 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 High pressure will remain across the region through Friday, offering continued dry weather conditions.
712 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 High pressure slowly builds in at the surface through Friday as an area of low pressure tracks southeast of Nova Scotia.
Locally for eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois, forecast highs are in the upper 70s to lower 80s which is about 15-20 degrees above normal for mid October! A cold front will slowly approach the area from the WNW into tonight, leading to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly after 7 PM in the west, and around or after midnight along/east of the Mississippi River. This will lead to cyclogenesis across the Lower Great Lakes region, likely shunting the heaviest rainfall to our east later Saturday into Saturday night.
- A cold front will pass through the Mid-South Saturday night, bringing the threat of strong to severe storms.
1241 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - A cold front will spread scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms (20-50% chance) from west to east across the area during the afternoon through nighttime hours. - Cooler, but still seasonably warm temperatures anticipated behind the initial cold front Friday with a secondary push of cold air bringing below normal temperatures and gusty winds (up to around 40 MPH) to the area Saturday.
1226 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Updated at 1222 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 * Dry and tranquil weather conditions with warmer than normal temperatures are expected to prevail through next Friday.
- A strong dry cold front with gusty north winds of 35 to 40 mph possible Saturday.
Updated at 1010 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 * Dry and tranquil weather conditions with warmer than normal temperatures are expected to prevail through next Friday.
- Chances for showers and thunderstorms (some strong) return late weekend with the arrival of a cold front. Expect temperatures to be 5-10 degrees cooler in the northeast GA mountains.
(Today through Saturday) Yet another cool and comfortable morning is expected to start the day Friday, with morning temperatures in the lower to middle 60s. Surface moisture will be on the increase in response to a trough over the Four Corners.
A weak upper level trough will slowly progress through the region over the next 24 hours, but dry conditions will keep clear skies and slightly below normal temperatures in place. Expect some gradual warming to occur each day through the weekend with lower desert highs mostly topping out in the lower 80s today and mid 80s on Saturday.
The highs in the 80s Saturday should be close to the record high of 86 at Ft Wayne set in 1908. Several factors continue to look favorable to support the development of severe storms including strong mid level winds, a strong cold front, and a highly amplified upper level trof becoming negatively tilted. This system will have a lot of energy in and near the base of its trof.
- Lows for Saturday night will be near or at freezing ranging in the 30s.
- Cold front will bring another shot for precipitation early Saturday. Current upper air models and Water Vapor show upper ridge axis east of the forecast area towards the Great Lakes region, while upper low sits over Wyoming. Precipitation will linger into this evening as the upper low swings up into ND tonight. Following passage of this system, forecast area will briefly be in dry zonal flow, with a short- lived warmer Friday, as highs jump into the 60s for most places. Late Friday into Saturday morning a clipper system swings down from the northwest, bringing cooler temperatures back in as well as some light precipitation chances Friday night into Saturday morning. Some light snow may also be possible in the higher elevation Black Hills areas Saturday morning.
1035 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Updated aviation portion for 06Z TAF issuance - Temperatures will trend warmer late this week, with highs in the middle 60s to middle 70s Friday into Saturday.
140 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure will remain across the region through Saturday.
Overnight lows will be a few degrees above seasonal normals, in the low to mid 60s.
138 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Dry and cooler conditions are expected today with temperatures warming up on Saturday ahead of the next storm system.
- The passage of a cold front is bringing cooler temperatures to the region. Satellite imagery shows that the low pressure system that has been impacting our region is now centered over eastern Wyoming. A cold front associated with this system has moved through the area, leading to much cooler, well below average daytime high temperatures. This will allow for strong radiative cooling overnight, dropping temperatures to below freezing for many areas, including valleys where Freeze Warnings are in place. Expect mostly clear skies, and slightly warmer, but still below normal high temperatures. Northwesterly flow ahead of the invading upper ridge will keep things dry and on the cool side of climatology Saturday.
209 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure slowly builds in today while a low tracks southeast of Nova Scotia.
110 AM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Strong NNW winds will develop in the wake of a cold frontal passage during the day on Saturday.
- Showers and thunderstorms are likely tomorrow late afternoon into Saturday as a cold front slowly moves into and through the region. - Much cooler temperatures arrive Saturday night behind the cold front.
Fog development expected for the San Joaquin Valley (along the Highway 99 corridor) Friday (40-50% chance for quarter mile visibility) and Saturday (20-30% chance for quarter mile visibility). High pressure now becoming the dominate weather feature with clear skies, warming temperatures and morning fog being observed. These conditions will persist through the weekend while the ridge of high pressure remains anchored over the West Coast.
However, despite the low level moisture, CIMSS Precipitable Water scans measured an environmental PWAT around 1 inch. A high pressure system over the eastern CONUS is sinking south towards the Florida peninsula and tightening the pressure gradient.
- Cold front moves through Sat through Sat evening bringing some of the coolest temps so far this fall on Sun morning. Meanwhile, upper ridging extends through the Mississippi Valley. At the surface, cold front extends from Northeast Nebraska into northwest KS. Cold front will push east today, and by this afternoon will extend from eastern Nebraska into central KS and finally into the OK Panhandle. Cold front is forecast to stall Fri night and by Sat morning will extend somewhere near the KS Turnpike. Cold front will progress southeast Sat afternoon and will make its way across southeast KS during the late afternoon.
Friday night into Saturday, confidence is very high (>90%) that a temporary ridge of high pressure will move over the Pacific Northwest. The main item to note will be poor to moderate overnight RH recovery for mountain areas, especially the higher mountains. The next chance of widespread precipitation will be associated with a robust low-pressure system that is slated to arrive Saturday into the weekend. A warm frontal passage is anticipated Saturday morning through afternoon, passing from southwest to northeast.
Scattered showers, possibly some thunder, and windy behind the cold front in the afternoon and evening.
- A strong cold front moves through on Saturday with northwest winds gusting at 30-35 MPH behind the front during the afternoon.
A weak surface boundary passes east central Florida late today and into tonight as a "backdoor" cold front. High temperatures mostly range the low 80s each day, but some areas across the far interior may touch the mid 80s. Cooler morning low temperatures arrive Saturday with values in the low to mid 60s across the interior and mid to upper 60s along the coast.
Issued by National Weather Service State College PA 147 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure will build into the region and keep it dry through Saturday.
156 AM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Strong NNW winds will develop in the wake of a cold frontal passage during the day on Saturday.
214 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure building in from the northwest will usher in the coolest air since Spring through the end of the work week.
Offshore flow will continue through the end of the week and keep warmer and drier pattern in place. Offshore flow will continue to establish over the area today as a ridge of high pressure to the north builds over the region. With the latest model solutions indicating a few spots approaching 30 knots, there is a chance that local gusts to 45 mph could develop this morning, but these areas are likely to stay isolated across the higher terrain. The real story will be the warmer temperatures developing today and into Saturday.
- Northwest winds gusting 30-40+ mph expected behind a cold frontal passage Saturday.
The cold front passage today will result in breezy to locally windy west to northwest winds through the Cascade gaps (gusts around 30-45 mph) and the Columbia Basin (gusts around 25-35mph). Dry conditions with light winds will briefly return to the forecast area late Friday through Saturday morning as an upper level ridge pushes across the PacNW (confidence 80-90%).
628 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Dry and cooler conditions are expected today with temperatures warming up on Saturday ahead of the next storm system.
The freeze warning remains in effect through 9AM this morning as colder air has moved in thanks to cold frontal passage yesterday. Some midlevel clouds have formed over the northern valleys, however, and will likely keep temps above freezing there overnight. A dry, upper level trough will move overhead today but no precip is expected. We might see a few clouds over the higher terrain but that should be about it. Northwesterly flow ahead of the invading upper ridge will keep things dry and on the cool side of climatology Saturday night.
637 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Warm temperatures for today with continuing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms as the cold front moves through the Northland.
630 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Updated at 624 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 * Dry and tranquil weather conditions with warmer than normal temperatures are expected to prevail through next Friday.
524 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure building in from the northwest will usher in the coolest air since Spring through the end of the work week.
721 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure will remain across the region through Saturday.
- Warmer than normal temperatures are expected through Saturday ahead of a cold front. Periodic showers, a few thunderstorms, continue Longwave upper trough over central and northern Plains will advance eastward through the weekend. With temperatures aloft cooling ahead of the upper trough, should get some showers as disturbances eject downstream in southwesterly flow aloft and low level convergence increases as a cold front moves into SE MN. Saturday, aforementioned front will finally be ushered out of the area during the day as the main body of the upper trough swings eastward. Warmer than normal temperatures today and tomorrow Today, warm advection regime described above show lead to highs in the 70s and potentially (20-80% per 17.
441 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Warm temperatures for today with continuing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms as the cold front moves through the Northland.
409 AM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 KEY MESSAGES: - Gusty northwest winds today will follow behind the departing low pressure system.
540 AM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Seasonably cool today, turning colder late Saturday with at or below freezing temperatures over most of the plains.
Issued by National Weather Service State College PA 853 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 *A frosty morning gives way to increasing clouds today as high pressure maintains its grip on upstate NY.
959 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure will build across the area today and then move offshore this weekend.
1057 AM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Strong NNW winds will develop in the wake of a cold frontal passage during the day on Saturday.
225 PM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 KEY MESSAGES: - A reinforcing cold front will allow gusty northwest winds to continue into tomorrow and a chance of rain to move through tonight.
155 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure brings dry weather through Saturday, with a chilly night tonight followed by a stout warmup.
Drier and warmer conditions will build in through the end of the weekend.
(This evening through Saturday) High-res CAMS continue to indicate a few thunderstorms developing in the higher terrain to our west late this afternoon and trying to sneak into our western counties. Will keep any mentionable PoPs out of the forecast given the low confidence but will continue to monitor through the remainder of the afternoon and evening. The highest PoPS will be in the Big Country and northern Concho Valley, with rain chances tapering off further south toward the I-10 corridor. Storms should clear our area by the early afternoon as the trough exits off to the east.
112 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across and offshore the Middle Atlantic states through Saturday.
Updated at 1136 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Rain to return to the forecast this weekend associated with a cold front moving through the area. (This afternoon through Saturday) Tonight through Saturday afternoon, high pressure continues, so conditions will be fairly dry overall and warm with highs in the upper 80s.
As alluded to, we have an ongoing wind surge occurring due to a high pressure building along the eastern half of the U. From synopsis, a high pressure system moving towards the southeastern CONUS form the Great Lakes will support breezes freshening to moderate to fresh today and tonight.
307 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - A cold front early this afternoon brought a band of showers and thunderstorms and slightly cooler temperatures through the region. - Breezy during Saturday afternoon and evening behind a reinforcing cold front.
Clearer skies tonight and light winds will allow for another chance at frost in the lower Snake Plain.
401 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure builds in tonight with warm air advection with this weekends temperatures expected to be above average.
Offshore flow will continue through Saturday and keep a warmer and drier pattern in place.
203 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 *A frosty morning gives way to increasing clouds today as high pressure maintains its grip on upstate NY.
1242 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Warm temperatures for today with continuing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms as the cold front moves through the Northland.
300 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Windy with cooler temperatures behind a cold front Saturday.
1132 AM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Seasonably cool today, turning colder late Saturday with at or below freezing temperatures over most of the plains.
751 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure builds in tonight with warm air advection with this weekends temperatures expected to be above average.
631 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - A cold front early this afternoon brought a band of showers and thunderstorms and slightly cooler temperatures through the region. - Breezy during Saturday afternoon and evening behind a reinforcing cold front.
627 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Updated at 618 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Rain to return to the forecast this weekend associated with a cold front moving through the area. (This afternoon through Saturday night) Tonight through Saturday afternoon, high pressure continues, so conditions will be fairly dry overall and warm with highs in the upper 80s.
705 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Canadian high pressure will build across and offshore the Middle Atlantic states through Saturday.
413 PM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - A cold front moves south through the area tonight, producing scattered rain and snow showers.
Cold front through today bringing light rain and breezy gap winds 2.
- A cold front moves south through the area tonight, producing scattered rain and snow showers.
813 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure takes a hold of the weather pattern this weekend bringing less wind and warmer afternoon temperatures.
- Windy Saturday with cooler temperatures behind a cold front.
Winds will slowly subside this evening and into the overnight as the pressure gradient slackens and high pressure moves in from the coast. Cold front through today bringing light rain and breezy gap winds 2.
This high, interacting with a weak frontal boundary stretching from the eastern Bahamas northeastward to the central North Atlantic has supported freshened breezes and building seas over the past 12 hours.
Updated at 1207 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 - Cold front brings briefly drier air Sunday.
400 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 - Breezy winds this afternoon and evening behind another cold front.
A large and initially broad upper trof over the central CONUS amplifies substantially and takes on a negative tilt while progressing into the eastern states through Sunday morning. This system is expected to bring a region of strong deep layer lift quickly across the forecast area late Saturday night into early Sunday morning which will likely manifest as a line of active convection, with a cold front moving through immediately thereafter.
1129 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Updated at 1127 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - A cold front will pass through the Mid-South Saturday evening, bringing the threat of strong to severe storms.
224 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025 High pressure will gradually slide offshore late today and tonight.
306 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 - Strong cold front today will bringing gusty north winds of 40 mph and significantly drier air.
- Mild and mainly dry weather can be expected throughout the work week ahead as high pressure is forecast to build and remain in place.