Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
(Rest of Tonight) High pressure is building SWD across E Conus into the SE US in the wake of Milton's exit EWD into the W Atlantic. The latest guidance does not show any major changes for tonight in the current forecast with light/variable winds and lows from the middle/upper 40s far NE to the lower/middle 50s elsewhere. 08 Previous short-term discussion: (This afternoon through Friday) High pressure will prevail over the area through the short term with north to northwesterly flow bringing cool and dry air to the state. Thanks to the pressure gradient between this high and Milton, winds will be breezy today, weakening after sunset as the pressure gradient also weakens.
839 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 High pressure will build over Western Pennsylvania tonight, then drift south of the state on Friday.
These conditions will promote efficient radiational cooling of the boundary layer, with lows expected to be in the 45-50F range for most communities, but perhaps a few degrees lower in northeast AL/southern TN and a few degrees warmer (50-55F range) near our larger lakes (Guntersville, Wheeler, Wilson and Pickwick). Brief development of patchy fog will also be possible between 10-13Z, particularly west of I-65, where dewpoint temps will be a few degrees warmer.
Temperatures have dropped to near 80 degrees in most island communities, with dew points sitting very pleasantly in the lower 70s. As now post-tropical cyclone Milton moved further eastward this afternoon, our northwesterly winds have plummeted and gradually shifted to the northwest to north. Overnight, winds will continue to veer to the north to northeast as high pressure builds across the region, but will remain moderate.
Otherwise, look for a weak reinforcing push of cooler air as this system exits overnight.
625 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (This evening through Friday) Upper level ridging and associated high pressure will continue to dominate over portions of the southern CONUS through the short term period. Meanwhile off to our east, upper level troughing will continue to translate through the northeastern US, therefore allowing northwest flow aloft to prevail overhead. Similar to yesterday, a few disturbances riding down the eastern side of the ridge into the far southeastern TX Panhandle may lead to isolated thunderstorms this afternoon.
1100 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 High pressure will build over Western Pennsylvania tonight, then drift south of the state on Friday.
815 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Cool high pressure will build overhead from the northwest through Friday, then drift southward and settle over the Southeast states over the weekend.
(00Z TAFs) Lingering MVFR ceilings continue through most of east-central Florida as Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton moves eastward.
803 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (Through Friday) Breezy northerly winds behind a cold front will subside later this evening with mostly clear skies anticipated tonight. For tomorrow, expect more of the same but we'll see lighter winds and temperatures a degree or two cooler under sunny skies.
725 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Cool and dry high pressure will build overhead from the northwest through Friday, then drift southward and settle over the Southeast states over the weekend.
618 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (This afternoon through Friday) High pressure will prevail over the area through the short term with north to northwesterly flow bringing cool and dry air to the state. Thanks to the pressure gradient between this high and Milton, winds will be breezy today, weakening after sunset as the pressure gradient also weakens.
700 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 High pressure will remain in control of the region through Friday.
Conditions will follow a warming and drying trend through the weekend as an upper level ridge builds into the Pacific Northwest.
626 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 - After a above normal temperature day today temperatures will fall behind a cold front on Friday with a slight chance of some showers as it passes through.
A cooler airmass will settle into the region behind the front for the start of the upcoming workweek. Patchy frost will be possible throughout much of the CWA, with the highest likelihood in central and southeastern Ohio where advisory is. This will allow for temperatures to fall into the mid to upper 30s (with a few lower 30s possible) across our eastern areas and the lower 40s across our west. Temperatures on Friday will moderate a bit with afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s.
649 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (Tonight) As high pressure continues to filter into the TN Valley from the northwest, dry weather will reign overnight and low temperatures are forecast to drop into the mid 40s to low 50s.
However, can't rule out a low-lying/sheltered area dipping into the upper 40s again, which has support in the low end of probabilistic guidance. For the first half, temperatures will steadily warm above seasonal norms, upper 80s to low 90s, as ridging builds eastward into the weekend.
600 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (Tonight through Friday night) Ridging aloft will continue to build over our area in the short term. Subsidence under the ridging aloft and near to below average PWs keep rain out of the forecast and allow for mainly clear skies. The lowest humidities and strongest winds with some gustiness will be across the Edwards Plateau.
Radiational cooling will allow morning lows to dip into the lower 50s with the possibility of a few areas in the upper 40s. Quiet weather will continue as high pressure continues to dominate.
144 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure settles over the area today, then will be followed by a warmup over the weekend.
Highs today will be in the lower to mid 80s and based on yesterday's over achievement, may not be high enough.
1204 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (Rest of Tonight) High pressure is building SWD across E Conus into the SE US in the wake of Milton's exit EWD into the W Atlantic. The latest guidance does not show any major changes for tonight in the current forecast with light/variable winds and lows from the middle/upper 40s far NE to the lower/middle 50s elsewhere. 08 Previous short-term discussion: (This afternoon through Friday) High pressure will prevail over the area through the short term with north to northwesterly flow bringing cool and dry air to the state. Thanks to the pressure gradient between this high and Milton, winds will be breezy today, weakening after sunset as the pressure gradient also weakens.
140 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure will build overhead from the northwest today, then drift southward and settle over the Southeast states over the weekend.
202 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will build over Western Pennsylvania tonight, then drift south of the state on Friday.
336 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will build from the north bringing cool, dry weather over the next couple days.
These cigs should eventually thin/scatter out late this afternoon and into the evening, as this trough slips S of the region.
240 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure will build overhead from the northwest today, then drift southward and settle over the Southeast states over the weekend.
1237 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (Tonight through Friday night) Ridging aloft will continue to build over our area in the short term. Subsidence under the ridging aloft and near to below average PWs keep rain out of the forecast and allow for mainly clear skies. The lowest humidities and strongest winds with some gustiness will be across the Edwards Plateau.
1234 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Buoy 42020 indicates that leftover swell from tropical cyclone Milton is approaching the Lower Texas Coast from the east. A mid-level ridge remains in place over Deep South Texas, continuing the trend of drier air, light variable winds, and overall pleasant temperatures. High temperatures will get up to the upper 80s/lower 90s, and low temperatures will be in the mid-to-low 60s with areas along the coast seeing slightly higher low temperatures in the lower 70s.
(Today) Tranquil weather across the Tennessee Valley early this morning, with high pressure the dominant weather feature in the region promoting clear/calm conditions.
1257 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will remain in control of the region through Friday.
1029 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Buoy 42020 indicates that leftover swell from tropical cyclone Milton is approaching the Lower Texas Coast from the east. A mid-level ridge remains in place over Deep South Texas, continuing the trend of drier air, light variable winds, and overall pleasant temperatures. High temperatures will get up to the upper 80s/lower 90s, and low temperatures will be in the mid-to-low 60s with areas along the coast seeing slightly higher low temperatures in the lower 70s.
1236 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (This evening through Friday) Upper level ridging and associated high pressure will continue to dominate over portions of the southern CONUS through the short term period. Meanwhile off to our east, upper level troughing will continue to translate through the northeastern US, therefore allowing northwest flow aloft to prevail overhead. Similar to yesterday, a few disturbances riding down the eastern side of the ridge into the far southeastern TX Panhandle may lead to isolated thunderstorms this afternoon.
A cut-off low will move into Nevada this weekend forcing high pressure to build over the Northern Rockies.
1120 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 High pressure will build over Western Pennsylvania tonight, then drift south of the state on Friday.
The broad midlevel trough continues to sweep east along the Canadian border today, with yesterday's cold front washing out across the northern counties. The trough is still bringing a lot of midlevel cloud cover across the state, ruining the view of a strong aurora event. South to southwest winds will return today, but gusts will be held back as the trough moves east away from the region. Over the weekend a midlevel trough cuts off across Utah.
1231 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 - After a above normal temperature day today temperatures will fall behind a cold front on Friday with a slight chance of some showers as it passes through.
1200 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (This afternoon through Friday night) A broad and flat upper level ridge continues to influence weather in southeastern New Mexico and the Permian Basin in the short term.
High pressure remain in place over the southwest, keeping another day of very warm temperatures and dry conditions in the forecast.
125 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure will build overhead from the northwest today, then drift southward and settle over the Southeast states over the weekend.
346 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure settles over the area today, then will be followed by a warmup over the weekend.
Rapidly deepening upper low follows Sun night-Mon although depth/track of this feature in flux with more probable mid level forced deformation remaining north through srn/cntrl MI Sun night followed by a substantial cold advection burst/sharp lake aggregate thermal trough Mon with lake effect rains showers likely mainly northwest but again depth/srn extent of this sys influence uncertain. Thereafter strong ridging builds south with a hard frost likely inland Tue and Wed mornings. Stayed close to the existing TAFs amid high pressure in the short-term. Just beyond this TAF period, a cold front will approach KSBN.
Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton continues to pull away from the area moving through the western Atlantic with no other tropical threats to Florida on the horizon. Pleasant weather will settle into the region as strong high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states ridges southward over Florida. Comfortable temperatures also expected through the weekend with daytime highs in the low to mid 80's and overnight lows dipping into the 60's and low 70's.
117 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will build over Western Pennsylvania tonight, then drift south of the state on Friday.
(Today and tonight) Dry weather continues today as a large high pressure ridge through the mid and upper levels remains to our west, providing a deep northerly flow across the region. With light winds and little to no change in advection, and with full sun, we should see high tempertures today similar to yesterday - in the lower 70s north, mid 70s central, upper 70s south.
A persistent upper ridge will continue to bring mostly sunny skies and well above average temperatures to the area today, with highs in the mid 90s.
Mid-level ridging will begin to move in from the west on Saturday increasing temperatures by a couple of degrees. High temperatures will be running around 10 degrees above normal with afternoon temperatures getting into the low to mid 90s. Low temperatures tonight will a tad more seasonal, about 5 degrees above normal, with lows in the low to mid 60s for most of the area and low 70s at the coast. Temperatures Saturday night will be a few degrees warmer with lows in the mid to upper 60s for most of the region.
The higher pressure that has nudged in from our north will allow for just a slight chance of showers today.
(Today through Saturday) Mostly zonal flow is occurring over the OH Valley and New England with a weak upper trough extending from the Mid-Atlantic region across GA and along the Gulf Coast. The trough will gradually weaken through Saturday. This feature will continue to move away, as a high pressure ridge shifts S over the area. As a result, have blended the NBM with cooler adjusted MET and MAV MOS guidance for overnight lows. The Atlanta urban heat island will see lows closer to 50, while the NE mountains drop into the lower 40s. High temperatures on Saturday will be slightly warmer than today, with readings ranging from the lower 70s in the NE mountains to the upper 70s elsewhere.
Rapidly deepening upper low follows Sun night-Mon although depth/track of this feature in flux with more probable mid level forced deformation remaining north through srn/cntrl MI Sun night followed by a substantial cold advection burst/sharp lake aggregate thermal trough Mon with lake effect rains showers likely mainly northwest but again depth/srn extent of this sys influence uncertain. Thereafter strong ridging builds south with a hard frost likely inland Tue and Wed mornings. High pressure will remain in place for most of the day before yielding to a low moving across Ontario and into Quebec. Tonight, a weak cold front will approach resulting in a wind shift to the north-northeast.
(Today and tonight) Dry weather continues today as a large high pressure ridge through the mid and upper levels remains to our west, providing a deep northerly flow across the region. With light winds and little to no change in advection, and with full sun, we should see high temperatures today similar to yesterday - in the lower 70s north, mid 70s central, upper 70s south.
Meanwhile a low pressure system to the west will approach the area today and tonight. Satellite imagery currently shows this low 700 miles off the southern Oregon coast near 41N 136W. As this low tracks eastward today, high clouds will spread over the area. Models continue to support the low tracking inland along the Oregon/California border Saturday morning and afternoon. Cooler temperatures are also in store on Saturday with high temperatures trending closer to seasonal norms with highs in the 60s to 70s across most inland valleys.
(Rest of Today) High pressure was situated over the Ohio Valley bringing clear/dry weather.
Light southerlies have developed early this morning, and these are expected to increase late this afternoon ahead of a leading cold front, with SSE gusts up to 20 to 30 mph possible across ridges in Humboldt county late tonight. Short and mid range models are coming into better agreement on the highest rainfall occurring along the Mendocino coast/King Range, especially with added orographic effects due to southwesterly flow. 5 inches from Del Norte to southern Mendocino County, with over 2 inches possible in the higher elevations of the King Range.
1028 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure settles over the area today, then will be followed by a warmup over the weekend.
411 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Today and Tonight: Another rather dull forecast is on the docket the next couple of days, with high pressure continuing to be the dominating meteorological regime. Lows will be in the mid 50s F, with the west trending a few degrees warmer than the eastern periphery. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 80s F with the same general gradient reflected with slightly warmer temperatures off to the west, and cooler temperatures in the east.
626 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will build from the north bringing cool, dry weather over the next couple days.
646 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 - A cold front today will cause temperatures to fall tonight.
630 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Cool high pressure will build overhead from the northwest today, then drift southward and settle over the Southeast states over the weekend.
(Today and tonight) Fairly quite weather through today with an increase in clouds as an upper level low approaches the coast. Tonight, expecting increased moisture as the upper level low nears the coast with possible post frontal drizzle and/or light rain.
720 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will drift south of Pennsylvania today.
541 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (Today through Saturday) High pressure is currently centered over West Virginia and expands through the Tennessee Valley. The high will continue to expand and build across the southeast through the evening hours tonight. We will need to monitor for patchy river fog that may develop on Saturday morning, with the cooler temperatures and warm water. On Saturday, the high begins to contract from the northwest as a front tries to work through the Midwest.
- Breezy northwest winds behind a cold front Saturday.
441 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 - A cold front today will cause temperatures to fall tonight.
941 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will drift south of Pennsylvania today.
As a result of the intrusion of this cooler airmass, expect temperatures to be 10-15F cooler than yesterday east of the Laramie range, but about the same to the west since the front will not get far over the range. Ridging tries to take over again on Saturday, but it will be hampered by a weak vort-max moving through early in the day. In between the two pushes of high pressure, we'll have a slight warm up for Saturday, with highs 5-10F warmer than today.
617 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (Today through Saturday) An upper level ridge continues to dominate over Texas this morning. Dewpoint temperatures are 5-10 degrees higher, but are still in the middle 40s to the lower 60s. With the higher dewpoint air in place, minimum relative humidity will be a little higher today than it has been over the last few days.
Tonight's weather will be benign as the weak upper ridge continues building over the PacNW. With the ongoing ridge continuing Friday onwards, a closed low will be moving towards the southern portion of OR thus changing the westerly flow to more southwesterly. The NBM showing temperatures hedging towards the low 70s, just a few to several degrees above average.
- Cold front on Saturday could lead to some showers and even a rumble of thunder across portions of the area. Upper level ridging tries to build into the area from the west today, bringing warmer air into the area. North of the area, a cold front is expected to pull south towards the area in the short term. This cold front is denoted by a sfc wind shift, but much more noticeable in the thermal fields at H92 and H85. The main forecast problem for today are the high temperatures. With the higher temps and somewhat lower Tds, our RH will fall into the 20s today. In what seems to be a rather predictable outcome, we warm again during after a cold front moves through this weekend. The best chance for this will be mainly along the highway 20 corridor.
Overall, expect dry conditions today with highs climbing into the low to mid 80s. Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton continues to pull away from the area moving through the western Atlantic with no other tropical threats to Florida on the horizon. Pleasant weather will settle into the region as strong high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states ridges southward over Florida. Comfortable temperatures also expected through the weekend with daytime highs in the low to mid 80's and overnight lows dipping into the 60's and low 70's.
547 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will drift south of Pennsylvania today.
Highs today will be in the lower to mid 80s and based on yesterday's over achievement, may not be high enough. Saturday will be even warmer still thanks to that southwest wind, with highs in the mid 80s.
719 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton continues to pull away from the area moving through the western Atlantic with no other tropical threats to Florida on the horizon. Pleasant weather will settle into the region as strong high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states ridges southward over Florida. Comfortable temperatures also expected through the weekend with daytime highs in the low to mid 80's and overnight lows dipping into the 60's and low 70's.
515 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 - Quiet but warm conditions Friday and Saturday, with highs in the low to mid 90s.
* Low pressure will bring some cooling over the weekend with a few light showers possible for northeast CA and far northwest NV. A persistent high pressure ridge will bring another dry and unseasonably warm day that will only be accented by presence of a late afternoon and evening west to southwest breezes.
Highs this afternoon will also be trending lower, with Valley and delta temperatures ranging from the low to mid 80s, upper 70s to low 80s in the foothills. The latest NBM has high temperatures Saturday 5 to 10 degrees cooler than today, generally in the 70s in the Valley, 2 to 7 degrees below normal.
550 AM CDT Fri Oct 11 2024 (Today) Tranquil weather across the Tennessee Valley early this morning, with high pressure the dominant weather feature in the region promoting clear/calm conditions.
Model guidance is showing even lower pwats today and Saturday as mid- level ridge axis remains west of the region providing a deep (500mb- sfc) north-northeast flow. Even at the lower layers limited moisture resides as the 925-850mb layer mean RH is 40-60% which does not support much cumulus. At the surface, a ridge of high pressure extends from the Mid-Atlantic states southwest along the Texas coast keeping a light northeast to east surface flow. Overnight conditions continue to be on the cool to mild side with lows in the 60s, except the low to mid 70s at the beaches.
935 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure will build from the north bringing cool, dry weather over the next couple days.
Early morning's weather will be benign as the weak upper ridge continues building over the PacNW. With the ongoing ridge continuing Friday onward, a closed low will be moving towards the southern portion of OR thus changing the westerly flow to more southwesterly. The NBM showing temperatures hedging towards the low 70s, just a few to several degrees above average.
924 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 High pressure and dry conditions will persist today. (Today through Saturday) Mostly zonal flow is occurring over the OH Valley and New England with a weak upper trough extending from the Mid-Atlantic region across GA and along the Gulf Coast. The trough will gradually weaken through Saturday. This feature will continue to move away, as a high pressure ridge shifts S over the area. As a result, have blended the NBM with cooler adjusted MET and MAV MOS guidance for overnight lows. The Atlanta urban heat island will see lows closer to 50, while the NE mountains drop into the lower 40s. High temperatures on Saturday will be slightly warmer than today, with readings ranging from the lower 70s in the NE mountains to the upper 70s elsewhere.
Strong subsidence associated with mid-level ridging will suppress any clouds. In general, temperatures will reach the low to mid 90s with 80s into the higher terrain.