Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
324 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 Areas of rain will taper off through this morning as a cold front moves through the region.
Fog and showers continue this morning to the south of a warm front over the Ohio River Valley.
Dry weather returns Friday under high pressure before wet weather returns over the weekend. KEY MESSAGES: - Ice Storm Warning for the ridges through 11am. - Winter Weather Advisory for the lowlands along and north of I-70 through 7am. ---------------------------------------------------------------- The current conditions across the area indicate that the warmer air at the surface has finally shifted north as surface temperatures in northern WV and also Greene and Fayette of PA in the lower elevations have warmed above freezing and the freezing rain threat has come to an end. However, in the OH counties, there are now reporting some instances of freezing drizzle. The rest of the headlines are set to expire by 15Z today as the warmer air should be in place by 11am.
With a much lower wind profile across the state today, there won't be a push northward warmer air, so temperatures in the 40s will be limited to the Casper region and Sweetwater County.
At the surface, high pressure sits over the high plains region. The main snow event will occur later Friday, as the upper trough moves over the Rockies.
619 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 Areas of rain will taper off through this morning as a cold front moves through the region. High pressure and a drier airmass are expected for tonight and Friday.
(Now through Friday night) A closed upper low over the Lower Rio Grande Valley meanders east over the western Gulf today before heading south towards the Bay of Campeche. Water temps in the bays are around 60F, with water in the low to mid 50s flowing down the Mobile/Tensaw Rivers into Mobile Bay. Other water temps reported in smaller rivers around the forecast area are in the low 60s. Subsidence from upper high pressure over the Southeast will keep temperatures well above seasonal norms.
532 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 Updated at 427 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Dense fog this morning, with visibilities improving with passage of cold front this morning.
- Cooler temperatures arrive with a weak cold front today. (Today through Friday night) After yet another toasty February day, a backdoor cold front is set to bring temperatures closer to normal for much of the area today.
250 AM MST Thu Feb 6 2025 High pressure across the region will continue to slowly weaken over the next several days, but temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend while dry conditions persist.
Drier but cooler weather is expected through the weekend. As the upper level trough dips overhead, there is a very slight chance (15%) of thunderstorms locally increasing rain rates in Mendocino and Lake Counties, most likely early Friday morning. Westerly wind will also peak as the trough passes overhead with widespread, moderated peak gusts up to 35 mph most likely early Friday morning in exposed areas. Even along the coast, highs are expected to drop below freezing with lows in the teens for much of the interior. UKI has seen LIFR develop overnight, and this is expected to lift this morning to MVFR as the low approaches. Conditions then slowly deteriorate through the day as the low moves onshore, bringing LLWS through the afternoon and evening.
542 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 Fog and showers continue this morning to the south of a warm front over the Ohio River Valley.
325 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Sunny skies and light winds today with warmer highs in the mid to upper 40s.
If there is any hope of moisture from the descending trough, it will be across the Kaibab Plateau Friday afternoon/evening.
340 AM MST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Cooler today, then warmer on Friday over the urban corridor and plains.
520 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Cooler temperatures arrive with a weak cold front today. (Today through Friday night) After yet another toasty February day, a backdoor cold front is set to bring temperatures closer to normal for much of the area today.
Fortunately for SoFlo, a solid ridge remains in place over the E Gulf and the Florida peninsula, along with mid-level ridging remaining across W Caribbean. Forecast dewpoints remain in the upper 60s/lower 70s, which will help in having warm afternoon highs in the low-mid 80s.
A cold front moving through the region Friday will bring widespread gusty west to southwest winds to much of central and northern Nevada Friday.
The normal highs at this time of year are in the lower to mid 70s. With the weak to moderate onshore flow bringing in high dewpoint air (mid 60s to around 70Â°) over the waters with temperatures in the lower to mid 60s, fog is typically the result.
A cold front passage will then bring near to somewhat below normal temperatures for the weekend.
552 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Sunny skies and light winds today with warmer highs in the mid to upper 40s.
904 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Road conditions to improve into early afternoon from both salting operations and above freezing temperatures.
Updated at 331 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Dense fog this morning, with visibilities improving with passage of cold front this morning.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Bitter cold morning over the area with arctic high pressure over the area.
509 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 (Today through Friday) A 500mb cut off low will continue to meander east of the lower Texas coast through the remainder of the week. At the surface, expect southeasterly winds to prevail and become breezy during the afternoon hours both today and Friday as high pressure anchors near FL and low pressure swings through the Southern Plains.
High pressure across the region will continue to slowly weaken over the next several days, but temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend while dry conditions persist.
A weak high pressure axis across the area should promote a favorable environment for fog development again tonight.
Updated at 204 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Very warm temperatures continue today for most, with slightly cooler conditions off the Caprock.
Surface analysis places a 1032 mb high pressure centered several hundred miles north of Bermuda, with the associated ridge axis following along a line extending from the central North Atlantic southwestward to central Florida. This places the Florida Keys in the southern periphery of the low-level ridge. The anomalously high geopotential heights will also keep the Florida Keys above normal for this period, with highs generally in the lower 80s, and lows in the lower 70s. From synopsis, a series of high pressure systems will continue to push across the eastern United States and into the western North Atlantic during the next several days.
At the surface, high pressure will remain over the southeastern US while low pressure develops on the Lee side of the Rockies and pushes into the Central and Southern Plains with conditions remaining warm and dry through Friday.
Cold front will shift back south Sat with another impulse supporting WAA later Sat into Sun, although temps will still remain below seasonal numbers most areas.
- Meteorological Overview: A low pressure system will be lifting north through the Western U.
1116 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Sunny skies and light winds today with warmer highs in the mid to upper 40s.
1236 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 A warm front will lift north today as high pressure rebuilds.
Expecting high temperatures to be about the same to maybe 5 degrees cooler than yesterday's maximums. If there is any hope of moisture from the descending trough, it will be across the Kaibab Plateau Friday afternoon/evening.
The sounding also sampled an anomalously high 500 mb geopotential height of around 589 dm, evidence of a strong ridge over the Florida Peninsula. From synopsis, a series of high pressure systems will push across the eastern United States and into the western North Atlantic during the next several days.
1108 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 (Today through Friday) A 500mb cut off low will continue to meander east of the lower Texas coast through the remainder of the week. At the surface, expect southeasterly winds to prevail and become breezy during the afternoon hours both today and Friday as high pressure anchors near FL and low pressure swings through the Southern Plains.
A high pressure system will then build into the area on Friday, providing dry weather.
Increasing showers/tstms are still expected later today, as a cold front approaches the area from the WNW. Even with the cloud cover/rainfall, afternoon highs look to climb mainly into the lower 70s/near 70F for most spots, as low level flow remains out of W/SW.
326 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Cold front arrives this evening with a brief increase in winds and falling temperatures.
(Today through Friday night) After yet another toasty February day, a backdoor cold front is set to bring temperatures closer to normal for much of the area today.
1149 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Road conditions to improve into early afternoon from both salting operations and above freezing temperatures.
1120 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 Updated at 1118 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Dense fog this morning, with visibilities improving with passage of cold front this morning.
111 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 Areas of rain will taper off through this morning as a cold front moves through the region. High pressure and a drier airmass are expected for tonight and Friday.
342 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 Quiet, dry weather is expected into Friday; gusty conditions expected along the ridges.
A cold front will move south to the I-20 corridor tonight and then lift slowly north Friday. Expect cooler temperatures across the northern Big Country with highs in the 70s.
The stalled front will become a cold front once again and is expected to move into north Alabama overnight and perhaps reach the I-20 corridor by Friday afternoon before stalling again. Lows tonight will be slightly cooler along the U.
A cold front is currently sinking southward across north MS and central AR, but it will stall across the northern part of the area over the next several hours. Areas north of the front may see temps dip into the 50s tomorrow morning, but most of us will remain in a warmer, more humid regime of low clouds and at times fog.
The weak 500 hPa closed low in the western Gulf will continue to fill as it moves into the eastern Gulf.
Low pressure will move northeastward into NorCal this evening, then exit to the east of the area late tonight into Friday morning. Freezing levels in the precipitation areas tonight west of the Cascades will be ~2500 feet MSL with snow levels down to around 1000-1500 feet. Snow accumulations are expected in the lower valleys, including Medford/Grants Pass, but the focus for heavier snow will be over NorCal/east of the Cascades, including Mt Shasta City, Montague, Alturas, Klamath Falls and Lakeview.
246 PM MST Thu Feb 6 2025 High pressure across the region will continue to slowly weaken over the next several days, but temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend while dry conditions persist.
400 PM MST Thu Feb 6 2025 Updated Aviation High pressure across the region will continue to slowly weaken over the next several days, but temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend while dry conditions persist.
409 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 A cold front will cross the area tonight.
(Tonight) Our main feature of focus tonight will be a cold front that has pushed into northwest Alabama this evening. Look for rain to move through overnight as temperatures drop into the low 50s south of the TN River and the upper 40s north of the river, where cooler air will move in behind the front.
Moisture continues to stream into central Caliofornia ahead of upper low just off shore.
- Several inches of heavy, wet snow may impact the lower elevations of Idaho county, including Riggins. As the low pressure digs into Oregon and Idaho, it will cause easterly winds in Montana to develop.
555 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025 - Cold front arrives this evening with a brief increase in winds and falling temperatures.
There is high confidence that temperatures will hover in the low to mid 60s in areas north of the boundary.
300 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 - A brief period of light freezing rain may create hazardous driving conditions along/north of a Rushville.
19z subjective surface analysis, as well as observational data, indicate a cold front from north of Fort Smith, to near Corning, A boundary was analyzed across southern Missouri. The previously mentioned front will move north as a warm front late Friday night and on Saturday. Will lean towards the cooler solutions, given recent successes of this practice.
A few lingering showers may develop overnight as the cold front pushes further into Mississippi.
Due to the low confidence on anything more than light to locally moderate snowfall, held off again on any kind of headline issuance for the Friday night to Saturday time period for these southern counties.
-Coulston /Issued 522 PM MST Thu Feb 6 2025/ - Meteorological Overview: A low pressure system will be lifting north through the Western U.
A broad 2 to 5 inches of snowfall is expected over the 24 hour period across this area with the highest totals expected across Petroleum County.
The hi-res and ensemble forecasts are keeping the low-level moisture in place tonight into Saturday morning. Afternoon temperatures are expected to remain just above normal, with highs in the in the low to mid 80s today and Saturday.
1115 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - A 30-50% chance of mainly light snow is expected across northeast Nebraska into west-central Iowa late Friday night into Saturday, with freezing drizzle transitioning to a wintry mix possible in parts of southeast NE and southwest IA (20% chance).
204 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 - Light freezing rain Saturday, mixing with/changing to snow. This expected cloud cover will likely keep highs in the lower to mid 30s today, but there is warmer air advecting into the region later this afternoon, so if there were to be more sunshine, high temps may end up a bit warmer than currently forecast. Despite the lower QPF amounts, the models have shifted to more of a light freezing rain, or perhaps freezing drizzle, for most of the local area. With temps perhaps warming above freezing south of the Illinois/Kankakee Rivers, eventually leading to light rain or drizzle for the southern cwa. As a result of these trends, have included freezing rain mention through most of northern IL, mixing with/changing to light snow.
Patchy sea fog may linger over the local Atlantic waters today while inland skies become mostly to partly sunny into the early afternoon as high temperatures warm into the low 80s. A passing short wave trough aloft will bring more passing high clouds. Mild low temperatures will trend in the 50s, about 10-15 degrees warmer than normal.
- Freezing drizzle possible Saturday morning across portions of northern Missouri.
At the surface, high pressure stretches across the Dakotas, resulting in light easterly winds over the CWA. However, cold airmass behind the low will result in highs Saturday only in the teens and lower 20s.
DESI probs for greater than 4 inches are quite low for much of the CWA, under 30 percent, with the highest potential over the northern parts of the CWA. Thus we will feature the highest amounts up towards Ludington, Evart and Harrison.
A cold front passage Saturday morning will then bring below normal temperatures for the weekend.
The front has made its way through the area, which will usher in a period of cooler temperatures for the day. These cooler temperatures will not last however as warm air advection brings in warmer 850mb temperatures on Saturday. Another cold front will reinforce the cooler temperatures and push out the front that has been wafting back and forth over the area the past few days.
Clouds will gradually build in overnight, keeping us slightly warmer for lows than we would have otherwise been, 8-18 degrees. Due to the low confidence, PoPs have been limited to less than 25%. Strong CAA behind the wave and surface front mean that our highs for Saturday will only climb slightly above the lows, in the upper teens to upper 20s.
However once the precip ends, there are some indications there could be some breaks in the cloud cover which will allow temperatures to drop below freezing later tonight into tomorrow morning. Thus, roads that are wet could become icy for the morning commute, especially on bridges and overpasses where surface roads temperatures will be lower. Low pressure is moving through the region this evening, bringing widespread snow to areas south of the Umpqua Divide, with light rain to the north in the Umpqua Basin. Freezing levels in the precipitation areas tonight west of the Cascades will be ~2500 feet MSL with snow levels down to around 1000-1500 feet.
A cold front is currently sinking southward across north MS and central AR, but it will stall across the northern part of the area over the next several hours. Areas north of the front may see temps dip into the 50s tomorrow morning, but most of us will remain in a warmer, more humid regime of low clouds and at times fog. /DL/ Tonight through Saturday night: An anomalously strong mid level ridge will continue support a persistent southerly flow pattern as we go through the remainder of the week and into the weekend.
1009 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 - While the Saturday storm system will mainly be a rain maker over much of central Illinois, there is about a 30-50% chance of measurable freezing rain from near Bloomington eastward.
Fog and stratus should lift by mid morning revealing mostly sunny skies and another warm day with highs in the low to mid 80s. The western flank of the Atlantic ridge remains in place across east central Florida producing warm and dry conditions. Winds remain light in vicinity of the ridge axis, with predominant synoptic flow out of the south to southwest, turning onshore in a sea breeze each afternoon around 10 mph. Temperatures are forecast to continue 5-10 degrees above normal with highs reaching the low 80s along the coast and mid 80s inland. A series of weak cool fronts are forecast to push into the deep South but Atlc ridge prevents them from reaching central FL. High pressure ridge axis is forecast to remain across central FL and the adjacent Atlc waters through the weekend resulting in light winds.
The big question is how far north the warm front will lift on Friday. Synoptic models are more aggressive, bringing warmer air back in from the south while the NAM and CAMs tend to keep the front farther south.
1020 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 The mid-evening sfc analysis indicates that our cold front has returned back SSE into the Nrn sections of the region, extending from a TRL/JDD/OSA to near a DEQ, S of a MWT, to ADF and PBF line as of 04Z.
Yet another reinforcing trough will keep us in the cold for mid- week, with a few flurries and temps below seasonal averages.
For tomorrow morning, calm winds in conjunction with temps and dewpoints in the low 60s, expecting ideal conditions for fog development again tomorrow morning. Temps tomorrow will again rise into the low 70s over the northern portions and close to 80 over central GA. Low tonight will only dip down into upper 50s to the low 60s, not offering much relief to these above normal temps overnight.
Lows tonight will fall into the low 20s, with increasing east winds ahead of Saturday's system.
with mid to upper level high pressure extending across Mexico and the Gulf.
Temperatures along the Island Chain are in the lower to mid 70s with dew points in the mid to upper 60s. From synopsis, a series of high pressure systems will continue to push across the eastern United States and into the western North Atlantic during the next several days.
1020 PM MST Thu Feb 6 2025 Updated Aviation High pressure across the region will continue to slowly weaken over the next several days, but temperatures will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through the weekend while dry conditions persist.
1051 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2025 The mid-evening sfc analysis indicates that our cold front has returned back SSE into the Nrn sections of the region, extending from a TRL/JDD/OSA to near a DEQ, S of a MWT, to ADF and PBF line as of 04Z.
1237 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 (Tonight) Our main feature of focus tonight will be a cold front that has pushed into northwest Alabama this evening. Look for rain to move through overnight as temperatures drop into the low 50s south of the TN River and the upper 40s north of the river, where cooler air will move in behind the front.
A weak low pressure center will move east along the front today. The highest pops will be across the higher elevations of north GA.
Near record warmth continues with highs in the lower 80s inland and 70s along the Atlantic beaches. Patchy sea fog may linger over the local Atlantic waters today while inland skies become mostly to partly sunny into the early afternoon as high temperatures warm into the low 80s. A passing short wave trough aloft will bring more passing high clouds. Mild low temperatures will trend in the 50s, about 10-15 degrees warmer than normal.
The weather pattern remains almost the same with zonal flow aloft and southerly flow at the surface as the high remains centered across the eastern Gulf. Near record breaking temperatures can be expected, though probabilistic guidance only gives a 10 to 25 percent chance of the high being at or above today's record.
A stationary front will bisect the Midsouth today, separating warm and humid air to the south, and cooler air to the north. Today's high temperatures will range from the mid 40s over northeast Arkansas to the lower 70s over northeast Mississippi. The front will lift north as a warm front tonight, resulting in mild and humid conditions over all the Midsouth on Saturday.
451 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 Updated at 449 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 - Another reinforcing cold front arrives Saturday.
515 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 A stationary front will bisect the Midsouth today, separating warm and humid air to the south, and cooler air to the north. Today's high temperatures will range from the mid 40s over northeast Arkansas to the lower 70s over northeast Mississippi. The front will lift north as a warm front tonight, resulting in mild and humid conditions over all the Midsouth on Saturday.
Much cooler and drier air will begin to advect across the area today. The ECMWF EFI is indicating high confidence in very cold conditions with the potential (20% chance) of some record breaking cooler temperatures some nights along the coast. Low along the coast will most likely be just above freezing with lows below 30 in much of the interior except in valleys where fog may help keep warmer conditions.
Low pressure across the Pacific Northwest will push inland but will remain well to the north of our area.
High pressure across the region will continue to bring above normal temperatures through the weekend with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70s, while dry conditions persist.
(Now through Saturday night) A closed upper low meanders around over the western Gulf into the weekend. Southerly to southwest low level flow continues over the Lower Mississippi River Valley and southeast, keeping the boundary layer moist.
At the surface, expect light to moderate southerly to southeasterly winds to continue, becoming gusty this afternoon and Saturday afternoon as broad high pressure across the Gulf interacts with low pressure across the Southern Plains. High temperatures today and Saturday will range from the 70s at the beaches, mid to upper 80s across the coastal counties and the lower 90s across the western portions of the CWA.
531 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2025 - A brief period of light freezing rain may create hazardous driving conditions along/north of a Rushville.