Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
A passing weather disturbance and cold front will produce windy conditions, with High Wind Warnings in effect through this afternoon for wind prone locations of southeast Wyoming. Tonight into tomorrow should see a decrease in wind speeds with the upper level ridge beginning to build eastward, with the upper level closed low across the Canadian Border continuing to push eastward into the Great Lakes by the nighttime hours and thus easing the gradients across our zones.
Diurnal temperatures are warming nicely with 15z temps already ranging in the middle 70s to the lower 80s.
- Cooler temperatures expected on Sunday with gusty winds from northwest up to 20 MPH in the afternoon. Relatively quiet weather pattern with the main concern this afternoon is with the fire weather concerns which is resulting from the combination of strong southwesterly winds along near the surface along with the the amplified ridge in the upper levels allowing for increasing temperatures with rising pressure heights. For tomorrow, cooler temperatures are expected across the area as a cold front pushes overnight moving from northwest to southeast across our area. However, it will be noticeably cooler compared to todays temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 70s and shift of the winds from southwesterly to northerly. While cooler temperatures expected tomorrow, this is still generally 5-10 degrees warmer than normals.
1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather are expected through the weekend as high pressure dominates.
Highs on Sunday look to be in the low to mid 80s across entire area.
- A dry cold front ushers in much more comfortable air Sunday. The next in the parade of dry cold fronts will be near I-70 about 7 pm, along US 50 by 10 pm, and clear the Oklahoma border by midnight. Cool surface ridging will be in control through Sunday, with northeast winds prevailing.
Low temperatures were slightly warmer this morning thanks to some increased smoke cover, especially in mountain valleys. Light winds with dry conditions and cooler daytime high temperatures will continue today and tomorrow, with higher elevations seeing breezy afternoon westerly winds on Sunday.
A mid/upper trough is progged to linger just north of the Great Lakes area through the middle of the week keeping northwest mid/upper flow over the Central Plains. A cold front will usher in a wind shift to the north this evening and tonight.
Sunnier skies and warmer conditions are on tap for Sunday with highs in the low to mid 90s inland and in the upper 80s along the immediate coasts. As Milton continues on its relaxed pace towards the Yucatan Peninsula later on Sunday, drier air will push into Southeast Texas and help keep apparent temperatures (what it will feel like) similar to the highs.
This will keep northeasterly drying flow around in the low-levels, with potential for efficient mixing this aftn. Morning 12Z soundings indicated decent drying in the 850-700mb layer RH, so aftn dewpoints should be able to fall into the low- mid 60s (62-66F) this aftn.
The cold front has moved across portions of the state this morning, with varying effects ahead and behind it. These winds will decrease finally this evening as the midlevel trough continues east across the Canadian Prairies. Cooling from the front will be short-lived across northern WY, as H5 ridging builds right back across the central US starting tomorrow.
1156 AM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Aviation Section Updated Area lies beneath a NW flow aloft in the wake of the strong upper level wave and surface cold front that moved through the region overnight. Hoenisch Today due to the cold front that moved through temperatures will be at about seasonal averages with breezy conditions. An upper-level ridge moves over North-central, Central, and Southwestern Montana on Sunday. As a result the High Wind Warnings for the area have been cancelled. As a result of the cold front that passed through yesterday evening through early this morning and an associated upper-level trough temperatures will be at about seasonal averages today across North- central, Central, and Southwestern Montana. On Sunday an upper-level ridge moves over North-central, Central, and Southwestern Montana.
16 Previous short-term discussion: (This afternoon through Sunday) Central Alabama is sandwiched between low to mid-level ridging centered over the Midsouth and inverted troughing over the Gulf of Mexico.
A passing weather disturbance and cold front will produce windy conditions, with High Wind Warnings in effect through this afternoon for wind prone locations of southeast Wyoming. Additionally, the High Wind Warning expired on time at 6pm, as winds decreased to well below High Wind Warning criteria. Tonight into tomorrow should see a decrease in wind speeds with the upper level ridge beginning to build eastward, with the upper level closed low across the Canadian Border continuing to push eastward into the Great Lakes by the nighttime hours and thus easing the gradients across our zones.
High pressure will continue over the southwest US and southern OR/NorCal will be on the northwest periphery of this high. High temperatures trend warmer on Sunday as the ridge axis nudges northward, and this will be the hottest day of the forecast period.
628 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024 (This afternoon through Sunday night) A short wave trough transiting the prairie provinces this afternoon will send a weak cold front down into the Permian Basin after sunup Sunday.
705 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 A weak cold front will move southeast across central and southern NC this afternoon and evening.
A mid/upper trough is progged to linger just north of the Great Lakes area through the middle of the week keeping northwest mid/upper flow over the Central Plains. Meanwhile, a cold front is draped across northern KS and will move through the area this evening and overnight.
A cold front is expected Sunday night, bringing much more seasonable temperatures. Temperatures today are once again rather summerlike, and tomorrow will likely be a degree or two warmer, putting us close to daily record values. (Sunday Night through next Saturday) A dry cold front is poised to sweep across Middle Tennessee Sunday night.
807 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024 - Eastern portions of the CWA will see a bump in wind speeds again late tonight with a secondary cold front passage.
633 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024 -Cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) are expected on Sunday. A cold front continues to progress southward through the area this afternoon. Sun-Sun night: A cooler airmass. will foster much cooler (albeit near- average) temperatures. Upper ridge over the Four Corners to start the period will expand north and eastward through the end of the week.
- A weak cold front Sunday night will mark the return of slightly cooler weather, but temperatures will still remain near to above normal. Early evening surface observations and satellite imagery show another abnormally warm fall day wrapping up with very light east-southeasterly winds areawide and a decaying field of cumulus lingering over the region, despite the upper level ridge in place. Another mild night is on tap for tonight with lows generally in the 60s, though parts of the Metroplex are likely to hover in the lower 70s through daybreak. Surface analysis shows a dry cold front nearing I-70 in Central Kansas. /Issued 239 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024/ /Sunday Night Onward/ This upcoming work week will feature the continuance of mostly above-normal temperatures and dry conditions as upper level ridging dominates the western 2/3rds of the CONUS.
706 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024 - Cold front tonight will bring cooler air to the area for Sunday. Cold front racing westward across the plains will bring a brief period of gusty (25-35 mph) e-ne winds to areas mainly along and north of the Arkansas River through about 9-10 pm, then winds subside overnight into Sunday morning. Red Flag conditions will diminish this by this evening, as a cold front arrives from the north. Upper level high pressure will build back across the region on Sunday. Cooler air behind tonight's cold front will lead to afternoon highs on Sunday in the upper 60s to mid 70s across the Plains.
820 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Weak high pressure will build in from the north and northeast through Sunday.
550 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024 (Tonight) A stalled upr trough lies to our south as evidenced by a SWRLY stream of clouds hugging portions of the northern Gulf and across the FL peninsula through southern Georgia and the southern Carolinas. Closer to home, we are largely under the influence of a broad area of high pressure, centered over the eastern Great Lakes region into SE Canada. The cooler and drier portions of the bulk of this air mass did not quite make it into our area as evidence by the high dew points/humidity and patchy low clouds today. Temperatures appear set to reach around 90 degrees again today in the normally warmer locations.
408 PM PDT Sat Oct 5 2024 High pressure will result in areas of late night and morning valley fog with mostly sunny afternoons and pleasant temperatures for the next several days.
Muggy conditions continue tonight, with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s.
Current satellite imagery reveals a cold front across western Minnesota this afternoon. Temperatures have warmed up nicely this afternoon with most locations in the 70s and lower 80s ahead of the cold front.
646 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Updated at 253 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024 - Cold front comes through late tonight with cooler yet above normal temperatures Sunday to normal cool night temperatures. An upper wave trough digging across the U. Northern Plains & Upper Midwest Regions will be pushing another dry cold front across the Central Plains this evening and into northern Oklahoma early Sunday morning. A Pacific air mass with drier but only temperate cooler air will lag a bit behind Sunday's cold front. Expecting southern Oklahoma and western north Texas to remain pre-frontal at least early in the afternoon so expecting a persistent forecast there with highs again in the lower 90s.
(Tonight) High pressure both at the surface and aloft will continue to build in tonight across the TN Valley. The clear and and calm conditions will allow temps to drop down into the mid to low 60s, with the cooler temps north of the TN River.
655 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024 (This evening through Sunday night) High pressure exists over the area today, once again, thanks to lingering ridge aloft. A temporary break in the upper level pattern is forecast to unfold tonight as a cold front enters through the combined Panhandles.
-Cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) are expected on Sunday. With the upper ridge still working southeast over the CWA, winds going/continuing light as well as clear skies, thinking temps will drop further than previous forecast. A cold front continues to progress southward through the area this afternoon. Sun-Sun night: A cooler airmass. will foster much cooler (albeit near- average) temperatures. Upper ridge over the Four Corners to start the period will expand north and eastward through the end of the week.
819 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Warm and dry conditions will continue through the rest of the weekend under the influence of high pressure over the Northeast states.
Low temperatures will correspondingly decrease slightly, from the lower to mid 70s tonight to a few upper 60s to lower or mid 70s Sunday night.
An upper ridge will continue to dominate through Sunday, accompanied by mostly clear skies, light winds, and a warming trend.
A weakening cold front will move into the southwest Panhandle where it will become stationary.
For most of the area this morning skies are clear, but a secondary cold front moving into central MN is bringing with it some northwest wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph and a batch of cyclonic flow stratus.
Only a few record temperatures were set today and tomorrow should be similar as the high remains strong and in control of the region's weather.
A weak frontal boundary extends into our area with high pressure to our northeast. Sunday Heading into Sunday, the aforementioned northern system will continue progressing eastward with its associated cold front advancing towards the Ohio River Valley. High pressure will still remain in control during the day with a more southerly shift in winds by the afternoon.
High pressure is also centered over the mid-Mississippi Valley. Through the mid levels high pressure is stretched over Texas and across the mid-Mississippi Valley as well. A dry and cooler forecast is anticipated for the end of the short term into the extended.
A warming trend will continue through Monday as a weak upper level ridge moves through the area. An upper level trough and associated surface cold front will drift southward from British Columbia through the beginning of the week and weaken, bringing light rain chances through most of the week.
High pressure will result in areas of late night and morning valley fog with mostly sunny afternoons and pleasant temperatures for the next several days.
1034 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024 - Cold front tonight will bring cooler air to the area for Sunday. Cold front racing westward across the plains will bring a brief period of gusty (25-35 mph) e-ne winds to areas mainly along and north of the Arkansas River through about 9-10 pm, then winds subside overnight into Sunday morning. Red Flag conditions will diminish this by this evening, as a cold front arrives from the north. Upper level high pressure will build back across the region on Sunday. Cooler air behind tonight's cold front will lead to afternoon highs on Sunday in the upper 60s to mid 70s across the Plains.
(This evening through Sunday) Warm and dry weather will continue into Sunday, as upper level high pressure dominates.
A mid/upper trough is progged to linger just north of the Great Lakes area through the middle of the week keeping northwest mid/upper flow over the Central Plains. A weak cold front will continue to move southward from central into south central and southeast Kansas overnight into Sunday morning.
320 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 - Gusty winds to usher in cooler weather to the Northwoods.
350 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 Above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather are expected through Monday as high pressure dominates. A cold front should move through Monday night with a few showers possible before high pressure brings cooler and drier weather for most of the week. Breezy conditions and hazardous marine and surf conditions possible mid week as tropical cyclone Milton likely brushes the area. Cooler and drier weather then on tap late in the week. Weak high pressure will remain situated across the area through the near term forecast period.
425 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 Showers and thunderstorms will be possible later this afternoon and through the evening with a passing cold front. Noticeably cooler temperatures and dry conditions are expected Monday and through the work week. The severe weather threat should rapidly decrease by 00Z and lingering thunderstorm/precipitation threats should clear the Laurel Highlands into the WV mountains before 10 PM with the passage of the cold front and the loss of surface heating. KEY MESSAGES: - Dry conditions resume, with much cooler temperatures. ------------------------------------------------------------------- A much cooler air mass will return to the area behind the mentioned front with temperatures dropping some 20 degrees for highs on Monday, ending up in the low 60s. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Dry conditions will continue the remainder of the week as high pressure remains the dominant feature.
- Low temperatures this morning may be near to slightly below freezing, especially across portions of the southwest and northwest.
A cold front is expected Sunday night, bringing much more seasonable temperatures. Temperatures today are once again rather summerlike, and tomorrow will likely be a degree or two warmer, putting us close to daily record values.
A cold front moves through Monday night, ushering in a cooler and drier air mass for the remainder of the work week.
Taking a look at some synoptic features around the CONUS, a compact upper low is shown pushing its way east across the northern Great Lakes, weak zonal flow set up over much of the southern third of the country, mid-level ridging building across the PNW and deepening tropical low that continues to fester in the Gulf. Across Kansas, a cold front has made its way through the area and beginning to advect in a cooler and dry airmass from the north.
Water vapor imagery tonight reveals an upper level trough departing the region, with a deep ridge building from the Great Basin northeastward toward the Rockies and Plains. Temperatures broadly range from around freezing at higher elevations to the lower 50s over our eastern tier. Clear skies, calm winds, and falling temperatures may support patchy frost in some locations this morning--likely confined to those that have already experienced sub-freezing temperatures this season. High pressure shifts eastward to the eastern Dakotas through the day. From Monday through midweek, midlevel/upper-level ridge axis gradually tilts from oriented south-to-north from the Four Corners through the Rockies to oriented southwest-to-northeast into the Plains.
209 AM MDT Sun Oct 6 2024 - High pressure will keep dry conditions in the forecast with near record-highs expected.
A mid level high pressure system currently centered over N TX, will shift south through tonight with the center forecasted to be across S TX by Sunday. Temperatures will be slightly above normal on Sunday with the ridge overhead and a drier airmass in place. By Sunday night, lows will be slightly cooler and much closer to normal values.
(Today through Monday afternoon) WV imagery this morning still shows a weakness in the upper ridge in the form of an inverted trough that is having little effect on West Texas and Southeast New Mexico other than keeping highs a bit cooler each day than they otherwise would be. That said, highs this afternoon should be very similar to yesterday's, if not a degree warmer at ~ 7-9 F above normal. A cold front will approach the area but, like the last one, looks weak.
- Slightly cooler today due to weak frontal passage - Well above average high temperatures and mostly dry conditions will continue through this week. (Today through Monday night) Cold front which is currently just entering the far NW Panhandles will be surging across most of the area through 18 UTC, but will put on the brakes just south of the area given the parent upper trough will move across the great Lakes region well NE of the area.
(Today) A cold front will move south across the area this afternoon and evening.
1219 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024 (This evening through Sunday night) High pressure exists over the area today, once again, thanks to lingering ridge aloft. A temporary break in the upper level pattern is forecast to unfold tonight as a cold front enters through the combined Panhandles. Overnight, a cold front will sweep through most of the area and exit south Texas Panhandle by Sunday morning. Day time highs on Sunday are expected to drop to the 70's and 80's, with a few places in the far southeastern Texas Panhandle staying in the lower 90's.
A cold front approaches tonight and will cross through Monday morning. High pressure presently sits just to our north, providing light winds and clear skies and bringing us our coolest night in nearly a month. Some patchy fog early this morning looks likely in the Delmarva where the low levels are a bit more moist, but otherwise, generally clear conditions should prevail today. The cold front currently crossing the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes will enter our region tonight and clear us Monday morning.
Cooler conditions return to the region Monday behind a dry cold front expected to traverse the Midsouth today.
For tonight, an upper trough will move across the Great Lakes/upper Ohio valley.
(Today through Monday Night) High pressure will continue to build in from the north through the short term period, and this will result in both increased deep layer subsidence and drying throughout the atmospheric column. The dry airmass will also support a fairly large diurnal range with highs easily climbing into the mid to upper 80s and even into the lower 90s around Baton Rouge both today and tomorrow, but lows will cool into the upper 60s and lower 70s tonight and even fall further into the upper 50s and low to mid 60s by tomorrow night.
210 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 Weak high pressure will build across and offshore the middle Atlantic and Carolinas through tonight. A strong but moisture- starved cold front will move across the region on Monday. Canadian high pressure will follow and extend across the middle Atlantic through the rest of the week. Although there is the potential for fog or low clouds anywhere tonight, the higher dewpoints to the east favor those locations to have any dense fog develop. Weak mid/upper ridging will extend east from the Desert Southwest into the Deep South. At the surface, ridging extending from New England into the Mid-Atlantic will weaken and push east on Sunday, switching the flow from northeasterly to southerly. A strong cold front will cross the Appalachians on Sunday night.
Thru the night and into Mon mrng, the frnt should move thru the FA, w/ Nrly winds ushering in much drier and cooler air.
- Cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) will be present today and Monday. Short Term (Today & Tomorrow) Current upper level analysis depicts a closed low traversing southern Manitoba with low amplitude riding building over the western CONUS. The aforementioned low helped to push a cold front through the area yesterday.
- Cooler today and Monday but still near normal temperatures. - Perhaps some frost tonight north central and west and a few locations may drop to near freezing by early Monday morning.
While Milton isn't expected to affect the region directly, the cyclone will produce NE winds that will begin to increase the risk of rip currently to moderate on Monday.
352 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024 Today and tonight: Currently, satellite and water vapor imagery depict dry conditions across the Lower Mississippi Valley region as we remain on the western side of a low level ridge. This low level ridging will increase N/NW flow into our area and continue to promote dry conditions. Cloud cover will remain minimal, with the greatest chance of isolated to scattered cloud cover being in the Pine Belt region, where the greatest moisture exists NW of the ridge. Tonight, dry conditions are expected to prevail with lows in the lower 60s. Patchy fog will be possible in the east as weak moisture advection may occur along the ridge axis.
A second stronger cold front extends southwest from a parent low in the south central area of Canada into the western Great Lakes region and through the state of Kansas. But today, high pressure will dominate the forecast much of the day over the Tennessee Valley.
(Today through Monday) Central Alabama remains on the northern edge of weak mid level troughing and a moisture axis along the Gulf coast. Weak impulses within the trough and ripples in low level easterly flow have allowed for a few showers to develop this morning across southeast Central Alabama. A trough will move through the Great Lakes tomorrow, pushing a dry front into the area.
- A cold front will move through the region this afternoon and evening, bringing highs in the upper 60s and low 70s for tomorrow and Monday. A cold front currently extends from Grand Island northeast to Sioux City. This front will continue to push southeast across our area bringing a cooler and very dry airmass in from the northwest. Behind the cold front, temperatures will top out in the low 80s before cooling this evening. There will not be any precipitation from this cold front. A high amplitude longwave ridge will build into and persist over the central CONUS tomorrow through the end of the forecast period.
Mornings will remain relatively comfortable, but don't expect much relief in the way of rain or cold fronts any time soon.