Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
404 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 High pressure will move farther off the East Coast over the next few days allowing for continued above normal temperatures.
High pressure continues to build, clearing skies and bringing chilly overnight temperatures. High pressure and offshore flow has brought clear skies across much of the area tonight and chilly temperatures into the low to mid 30s for much of the interior. These winds are expected to diminish by late morning as high pressure continues to move eastward.
The highest probabilities of rain will be first relegated across western Kansas today, with higher precipitation probabilities spreading eastward late tonight across the FA.
603 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Cooler temperatures are in store today and Friday, but still slightly above normal for early November.
Dry weather settles in area wide on Friday as high pressure moves into the Great Lakes region.
High temperatures in the low to mid 70s. A weak surface cold front will be situated across the forecast area through much of the short term period. Cooler air then begins to push in from the north Friday night, bringing overnight lows back into the 50s.
Otherwise, with limited to no cloud cover expected overnight, low temperatures this morning look to fall into the low to mid 40s for the Delta, Valley, and foothills alongside 20s to 30s at higher elevations, equating to a roughly 10 degree drop off from the past few mornings. The remainder of the week ahead is then expected to be influenced by ridging aloft.
608 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 (Today through Friday) The synoptic regime is characterized by upper-level H500 ridging over the western Atlantic waters, with Hurricane Rafael beginning its westward turning towards the central Gulf of Mexico. Dewpoints in the low-70s indicate shallow depth of moisture within the boundary layer, which may help spawn a few showers where low-level convergence is locally maximized. Temperatures will generally remain in the low to mid 80s across the region. It will feel muggy today with dewpoints in the lower 70s, with a modest reduction into the mid/upper 60s by Friday.
643 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Cooler, but still above normal temperatures are expected today along with mainly dry conditions.
An upper level ridge will bring one more dry day to the area.
603 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 (Thursday through Friday) The stalled cold front should begin to retrograde today, which will allow for some scattered showers across the area. /44/ (Friday Night through Thursday) The bulk of this rainfall should work into the region by Friday night, as the upper-level low and cold front continue to push east.
Southeasterly surface flow will continue to advect warmer air and moisture into the region. A High Risk of Rip Currents is likely along the Lower Texas Coast Friday.
Weakening high pressure is located to the northeast. An inverted trough extending northeast from Rafael will be located over inland areas. Moisture will continue to pool along this trough axis. Shower chances will exist across the area, with the greatest chances inland along trough axis. Highs will range from the lower 80s over SE GA, to the middle 80s over NE FL.
Rafael will move into the middle of the Gulf of Mexico, and high pressure will be able to fill in the systemâs place.
The surface boundary will eventually come though the mid state, so we can expect rain-free weather tonight and Friday, along with nominally cooler temperatures. (Friday Night through next Thursday) Rain chances return to the forecast this weekend as the next low pressure system brings widespread active weather to Middle Tennessee.
402 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Cooler, but still above normal temperatures are expected today along with some morning lake effect rain showers along and north of the NY Thruway corridor.
255 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Dry weather settles in area wide on Friday as high pressure moves into the Great Lakes region.
1223 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Drier and cooler weather wins out to finish the week, with highs staying largely in the 60s. The week finishes out dry/cool as high pressure gains in prominence and sensible weather influence in the wake of a recent cold front's passage.
A weak trough at 850-700 mb tomorrow will help push the surface front through our area tomorrow. Weak 850 mb cold advection should give high temps that are cooler than today, with highs in the lower to mid 70s north.
1232 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Dry weather settles in area wide on Friday as high pressure moves into the Great Lakes region.
256 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Cooler, but still above normal temperatures are expected today along with mainly dry conditions.
Shower and thunderstorm chances will return Friday night into much of the upcoming weekend as an area of low pressure moves into the Mississippi Valley.
(Tonight through Friday night) There is a deep upper level trough with a cutoff low over Arizona with southwesterly flow over Texas. At the surface a warm front has moved to the northern border of our CWA from the coast. This front has brought a warmer and much moister airmass. Temperatures are around five degrees warmer and dewpoints are 25 to 30 degrees higher than 24 hours ago. With this moist flow and the warm front there are isolated showers across the area. To the northwest of our CWA there is a cold front approaching and this front will be the focus for convection tonight. As the cold front provides lift it will generate thunderstorms some of which could be strong to severe.
1100 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Tranquil Weather Late This Week - Unsettled Pattern Ahead The low clouds have mostly dissipated other than at the lakeshore, although even there they look to be thinning and mixing out.
High pressure is situated across the central part of the country. The high pressure center will also move east through the period with the ridge building southward.
Upper level ridging is keeping skies clear, wind light, and temperatures warming.
(Rest of today through Friday) The synoptic regime is characterized by upper-level H500 ridging over the western Atlantic waters, with Hurricane Rafael beginning its westward turn towards the central Gulf of Mexico. Dewpoints in the low-70s indicate shallow depth of moisture within the boundary layer, which may help spawn a few showers where low-level convergence is locally maximized. Temperatures will generally remain in the low to mid 80s across the region. It will feel muggy today with dewpoints in the lower 70s, with a modest reduction into the mid/upper 60s by Friday.
(Tonight through Friday night) Key Messages: -High Rip Current Risk and Minor Coastal Flooding Continue -Coastal Flood Advisory Extended through 6 PM Friday With a northward advancing warm front, above normal moisture (PWAT's 1.
Winds have dropped everywhere with only a few stations in the higher elevations reporting gusts to around 20 mph.
232 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Warmer than climatology throughout the forecast - Breezy this afternoon with gales on Lake Superior.
Latest WV satellite imagery shows an upper level low across the White Mountains where a few high elevation snow showers are ongoing this afternoon. After the cold start Friday, temperatures will moderate Friday afternoon under full sunshine and be about 3 to 8 degrees warmer than today.
/EC/ The stalled boundary lying through western portions of Mississippi in conjunction with moist, Gulf return flow around the western flank of the subtropical ridge centered off the coast of the Carolinas will be our primary meteorological drivers for the near to mid term forecast. As the front washes out over the next few days, remnant weaker low level convergence is expected to persist amid continued increases in mid to upper level moisture channeled into the area by the flow around the aforementioned ridge. There looks to be a relatively weak cold front making its way into the area late this weekend, which will prompt reinforcement of thunderstorm/shower probabilities for the area.
/96 (Now through Friday) Upper ridging remains dominant across the Gulf of Mexico into the Bahamas helping to keep the forecast area under southwest to westerly flow aloft. Friday will be similar, with highs mostly in the lower 80's.
KNAPP (Thursday through Friday) The stalled cold front should begin to retrograde today, which will allow for some scattered showers across the area. /44/ (Friday Night through Thursday) The bulk of this rainfall should work into the region by Friday night, as the upper-level low and cold front continue to push east.
Despite very strong vorticity advection & plenty of upper level forcing, we won't have much moisture to work with as an occluding front over the lower & mid-Mississippi valley cuts blocks the flow of any Gulf moisture into the Upper Midwest.
Precipitation amounts look to range from a quarter to a half inch in most of central IL, with the higher amounts likely to be south of I-70. A high pressure axis from the Plains into the Midwest will continue to settle southward into, extending into central IL by around midnight. High pressure should remain dominant through Friday night, keeping conditions dry, while the cut-off low over the southwest US ejects into the Plains.
A weak surface cold front will be situated across the forecast area through much of the short term period. Cooler air then begins to push in from the north Friday night, bringing overnight lows back into the 50s.
pdf The region will be between high pressure to the northeast, and Hurricane Rafael over the Gulf Tonight. A trough will extend north from Rafael across inland counties.
(Tonight through Friday night) The main weather story in the short term period is mainly across the Lower Texas beaches and over the Gulf waters, as Hurricane Rafael begins to shift west late this afternoon into tonight. This will result in a high risk of rip currents and a potential for minor coastal flooding along the Lower Texas beaches beginning Friday. Persistent low level southerly to southeasterly flow will maintain humid conditions across the region, further enhanced by an upper level trough that is currently centered over the Four Corners region. This system is expected to translate across the Plains by tomorrow, which will allow for a weak cold front to approach Deep South Texas.
1231 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Tranquil Weather Late This Week - Unsettled Pattern Ahead The low clouds have mostly dissipated other than at the lakeshore, although even there they look to be thinning and mixing out.
A cooler night is anticipated with values settling in the upper 60s to low 70s (warmer at the coast). A mid level ridge axis becomes centered over the southeast U.
A corresponding ridge is bridging across much of the eastern third of the United States. The interaction of Rafael and the high supports breezy conditions continuing across the island chain on this early November Thursday afternoon. KBYX radar illustrates a cluster of showers and isolated thunderstorms centered between the Lower and Middle Keys, likely in the confluent zone between east southeasterlies to the west and easterlies to the east. Owed to substantial stratus across the island chain, temperatures remain in the lower 80s at most communities.
1200 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Cooler temperatures are in store today and Friday, but still slightly above normal for early November.
The main activity is focused in the vicinity of the Lower and Middle Keys, with MRMS derived, three- hour estimated rainfall totals between 1 and 3 inches in the vicinity of Sugarloaf Key and Cudjoe Key. Outside of this activity, skies are generally cloudy across the island communities, with temperatures generally in the lower 80s.
300 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Cooler and windier tomorrow as another cold front moves in from the north.
644 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Dry weather settles in area wide on Friday as high pressure moves into the Great Lakes region.
625 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 Cooler and windier tomorrow as another cold front moves in from the north.
An area of low pressure will continue to bring snow showers to parts of northeast Arizona through tonight. Look for dry weather, warmer daytime temperatures and chilly nights starting Friday and lasting through the weekend. Low pressure continued to spin over the border of southeast Arizona/southwest New Mexico during the afternoon. Over the coming 24 hours the low center will move northeastward becoming centered over the Oklahoma Panhandle by Friday afternoon. Showers wrapping around the north and west side of the low will gradually diminish as the low heads out of the state tonight. An additional 1 or 2 inches of snow accumulation for the highest elevations with mainly a dusting lower down.
523 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 Shower and thunderstorm chances will return Friday night into much of the upcoming weekend as an area of low pressure moves into the Mississippi Valley.
541 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 (Tonight through Friday night) Key Messages: -High Rip Current Risk and Minor Coastal Flooding Continue -Coastal Flood Advisory Extended through 6 PM Friday With a northward advancing warm front, above normal moisture (PWAT's 1.
A strong upper low which brought our area gusty winds and critical fire weather conditions has moved off to the south and east. A ridge of high pressure is building over area area is it does so.
515 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Drier and cooler weather wins out to finish the week, with highs staying largely in the 60s. The week finishes out dry/cool as high pressure gains in prominence and sensible weather influence in the wake of a recent cold front's passage.
617 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 Tonight through Friday: A record warm stretch of fall weather continues in the near term as a persistent mid level ridge remains locked in over the southeast CONUS. Just to our west, a powerful closed low over the southern Rockies will begin to move east resulting in some mid level height falls and increased cyclonic flow over our forecast area by late Friday. /EC/ Friday night through next Thursday: A soggy weekend is in store for the ArkLaMiss region as the closed low moves into the Southern PLains on Friday evening. Ahead of this trough, moisture will continue to increase across the Lower Mississippi Valley, and additionally with the influence of Hurricane Rafael increasing moisture along a subtropical ridge.
306 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 Tonight through Friday: A record warm stretch of fall weather continues in the near term as a persistent mid level ridge remains locked in over the southeast CONUS. Just to our west, a powerful closed low over the southern Rockies will begin to move east resulting in some mid level height falls and increased cyclonic flow over our forecast area by late Friday. /EC/ Friday night through next Thursday: A soggy weekend is in store for the ArkLaMiss region as the closed low moves into the Southern PLains on Friday evening. Ahead of this trough, moisture will continue to increase across the Lower Mississippi Valley, and additionally with the influence of Hurricane Rafael increasing moisture along a subtropical ridge.
528 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 (Tonight through Friday night) The main weather story in the short term period is mainly across the Lower Texas beaches and over the Gulf waters, as Hurricane Rafael begins to shift west late this afternoon into tonight. This will result in a high risk of rip currents and a potential for minor coastal flooding along the Lower Texas beaches beginning Friday. Persistent low level southerly to southeasterly flow will maintain humid conditions across the region, further enhanced by an upper level trough that is currently centered over the Four Corners region. This system is expected to translate across the Plains by tomorrow, which will allow for a weak cold front to approach Deep South Texas.
- Cooler and dry this weekend then warmer. (Rest of today and tonight) A nearly stationary upper low near the Arizona/New Mexico border is still expected to move slowly eastward tonight into Friday.
/SAS/ Tonight through Friday: A record warm stretch of fall weather continues in the near term as a persistent mid level ridge remains locked in over the southeast CONUS. Just to our west, a powerful closed low over the southern Rockies will begin to move east resulting in some mid level height falls and increased cyclonic flow over our forecast area by late Friday. /EC/ Friday night through next Thursday: A soggy weekend is in store for the ArkLaMiss region as the closed low moves into the Southern PLains on Friday evening. Ahead of this trough, moisture will continue to increase across the Lower Mississippi Valley, and additionally with the influence of Hurricane Rafael increasing moisture along a subtropical ridge.
Looking at the WV imagery, Hurricane Rafael continues to move westward through the central Gulf of Mexico with an upper ridge situated over northern Florida.
732 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 (Rest of today through Friday) The synoptic regime is characterized by upper-level H500 ridging over the western Atlantic waters, with Hurricane Rafael beginning its westward turn towards the central Gulf of Mexico. Dewpoints in the low-70s indicate shallow depth of moisture within the boundary layer, which may help spawn a few showers where low-level convergence is locally maximized. Temperatures will generally remain in the low to mid 80s across the region. It will feel muggy today with dewpoints in the lower 70s, with a modest reduction into the mid/upper 60s by Friday.
537 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Warmer than climatology throughout the forecast.
857 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 The cold front has pushed off to our east and will see dry conditions the remainder of the night. The low clouds will stick around all night and into tomorrow morning before they start to break up. Lows tonight fall into the lower 50s in northwest areas with mid to upper 50s across much of the area.
Outside of that ongoing heavy and a lighter showers along a weak trough that should move into the SE GA coast through the first-half of the night. After a record setting warmth today temperatures are slowly pushing into the upper 70s; lows are forecasted to only fall to the lows in the low 70s. pdf The region will be between high pressure to the northeast, and Hurricane Rafael over the Gulf Tonight. A trough will extend north from Rafael across inland counties.
306 PM MST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Warmer and mainly dry conditions into the weekend, small rain/snow chances over far SE Montana and over the Absaroka/Beartooth Ranges.
High pressure continues to build, clearing skies and bringing chilly overnight temperatures. Gusty winds have diminished as high pressure continues to move eastward with southerly winds due to arrive late tonight into the Friday early morning hours.
Eventually the wind fields will respond to approaching upper level low and become more southerly but in the meantime only limited eastward expansion of more significant rainfall is expected though most of tonight.
The upper-level low has crossed into New Mexico as of this morning, lingering showers and clouds over eastern Arizona will continue to dissipate as the low continue to move eastward. A couple flurries over the higher terrain, namely the Chuska and White Mountains, could be possible through the early afternoon, but any amounts should be light.
We have a ridge axis overhead that's squeezed between the northern stream up across Canada and a cut-off low that has been unloading copious amounts of snow on the mountains of New Mexico and Colorado. For the rest of today, we'll remain between the northern stream and cut-off low , which will support mostly sunny skies and highs well into the 50s, a perfect excuse to start the 3- day Veterans Day weekend a little early! For the weekend, as our ridge shifts into the Great Lakes, it will finally allow the cut-off low to depart CO/NM.
1223 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 (Rest of today through Friday) The synoptic regime is characterized by upper-level H500 ridging over the western Atlantic waters, with Hurricane Rafael beginning its westward turn towards the central Gulf of Mexico. Dewpoints in the low-70s indicate shallow depth of moisture within the boundary layer, which may help spawn a few showers where low-level convergence is locally maximized. Temperatures will generally remain in the low to mid 80s across the region. It will feel muggy today with dewpoints in the lower 70s, with a modest reduction into the mid/upper 60s by Friday.
Water vapor imagery early this morning indicates that the upper level pattern will become more amplified into today, strengthening the upper ridge that is centered to the west of the forecast area, near the Mississippi Valley. A cold front will begin to move into the area tonight which will lead to cooler temperatures tonight, although still well above average as cold advection will be limited, in the mid-50s north to low 60s south.
PWB Shower and thunderstorm chances will return Friday night into much of the upcoming weekend as an area of low pressure moves into the Mississippi Valley.
Precipitation amounts look to range from a quarter to a half inch in most of central IL, with the higher amounts likely to be south of I-70. Auten A high pressure axis from the Plains into the Midwest will continue to settle southward into, extending into central IL by around midnight. High pressure should remain dominant through Friday night, keeping conditions dry, while the cut-off low over the southwest US ejects into the Plains.
A few locations in the Lower Keys have seen a tenth of an inch or less of precipitation. Rain chances is also expected to diminish, especially as drier air moves in through the lower levels.
200 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 A back-door cold front will sag slowly south across NC through the afternoon and early evening.
1031 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Drier and cooler weather wins out to finish the week, with highs staying largely in the 60s. The week finishes out dry/cool as high pressure gains in prominence and sensible weather influence in the wake of a recent cold front's passage.
These clouds should diminish/lift with the onset of the daytime hrs, as weak upper ridging over the lower MS Valley/Midwest regions continues to move east.
A series of weak storm systems will bring cooler weather over the weekend. Another weak offshore push is expected later tonight into early Friday, but for the most part expect wind gusts to remain near or below 25 mph, with isolated higher gusts over the upper ridges and other wind-prone locations. Some wind sheltered interior valley and desert areas will see cold temperatures near freezing tonight, with both the Antelope Valley and Salinas Valley under a Freeze Warning tonight into Friday morning.
Due to the low probability, will not mention in any forecast.
1135 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 - Warmer than climatology throughout the forecast.
1243 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 Dry weather settles in area wide on Friday as high pressure moves into the Great Lakes region.
During this time the upper-level pattern will flatten, keeping surface ridging to the north and east.
Discussion: A cold front is currently moving through the region. Winds have already shifted but the lower dew points are lagging behind, currently over Middle Tennessee and Central Kentucky. Rain chances will be near zero as high pressure builds into the Ohio Valley. In the upper levels, ridging continues over the Southeast. Highs will be a bit cooler than yesterday in the lower to mid 70s in most locations with light northerly winds behind the cold front.
Fortunately, temperatures look to continue to warm into the upcoming weekend as high pressure builds back in over the region. A large and potent low pressure system that is bringing snow to portions of eastern CO and northern NM is expected to remain too far south for any impacts to the area.
200 AM MST Fri Nov 8 2024 - Mainly warmer and dry conditions into the weekend.
352 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 A cold front will move in from the north today, which will result in some scattered showers for Central NY.
1029 PM CST Thu Nov 7 2024 The cold front has pushed off to our east and will see dry conditions the remainder of the night. The low clouds will stick around all night and into tomorrow morning before they start to break up. Lows tonight fall into the lower 50s in northwest areas with mid to upper 50s across much of the area.