Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
340 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Dry weather is expected to prevail through the week, as high pressure remains in control.
324 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Tuesday through Wednesday) Upper trough to the north of the FA will continue to displace the stagnate ridge that has been parked over the region the last few days. At the surface, a similar theme as high pressure becomes displaced east of the FA, resulting in a more southerly sfc wind through the afternoon.
A flattened ridge will continue to push mostly zonal flow across southern tier of the U. Mountain snow and some cooler temperatures have got the autumn mood going, but a stubbornly warm air mass still resides across the West Slope thanks to a lack of cold air intrusion and the zonal polar jet hanging to our north keeping the door closed on arctic air. Overnight lows will remain in the 40's for our low elevation valleys and around freezing and colder in the elevated mountain valleys. A PACNW trough coming ashore on Wednesday will amplify the ridging slightly and turn flow more southwesterly.
Flat upper ridge builds across the Rockies today and tonight, bringing generally dry and warm conditions to the region.
A quick moving weather system brings some light precipitation and mountain snow to southwest MT Wednesday night with warmer and dry conditions developing again late in the work- week into the upcoming weekend. /ISSUED 525 AM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ -Seasonably cool today with some patchy early morning low clouds and fog -Quick moving weather system takes a more favorable track to bring SW MT some light precipitation and mountain snow Wednesday night An upper level trough extending from central Canada southwest and west off the Pacific NW coast continues to shear/elongate E-W today as upper level ridging shifts into NW Canada.
703 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Wednesday morning.
607 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Northwest winds will gust to 25 to 35 mph by this afternoon in the wake of a cold front. - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal.
Drier and cool conditions will prevail across Western Washington into midweek as an upper trough weakens over the region.
A quick moving weather system brings some light precipitation and mountain snow to southwest MT Wednesday night with warmer and dry conditions developing again late in the work- week into the upcoming weekend. -Seasonably cool today with some patchy early morning low clouds and fog -Quick moving weather system takes a more favorable track to bring SW MT some light precipitation and mountain snow Wednesday night An upper level trough extending from central Canada southwest and west off the Pacific NW coast continues to shear/elongate E-W today as upper level ridging shifts into NW Canada.
First round of showers along the trough axis/cold front has moved into northwestern MN, and although the band has weakened there are still some low probabilities of lightning showing up. An amplified H5 upper trough continues to move across Saskatchewan and Manitoba this morning, which will merge with a weakening upper low in the Central Plains. Ahead of the main trough axis, a pre frontal trough is providing enough lift to accommodate light shower activity in eastern North Dakota. A weak thunderstorm or two is possible with this trough; however, instability continues to weaken and will struggle to support further thunderstorm development as the day progresses. Rain chances increase heading into midday as the main trough axis arrives and moves across the region. Much cooler air works into the area as the trough, and associated cold front, push to the east.
The slightly higher pressure and lighter winds will result in stable temperatures for central California through this week, albeit a few degrees warmer than average for this time of year. In the latter portion of the week, higher pressure from the south appears to build further to the north, breaking down the aforementioned zonal flow and contributing to warmer temperatures across central California.
631 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - A cold front will make it's way southeast across the area today. - Cooler temperatures (but still near normal) are expected Wednesday behind the front.
709 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today through Wednesday) High pressure and relatively dry vertical moisture content means ongoing fair weather will persist.
Better probabilities are found this weekend as the mid to upper level ridge axis lines up with amplifying heights over the desert southwest.
611 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today and tonight) In the wake of the upper trough will be weak west-northwesterly winds in the nearly zonal flow north of a broadly building ridge over Mexico. Areas along the caprock will drop into the 40s and lower 50s, while off the Caprock lows will remain slightly warmer in the mid to upper 50s.
559 AM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure aloft will continue building northward over much of New Mexico over the next several days.
402 AM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Warmer than normal temperatures and breezy conditions continue through Wednesday afternoon with little to no precipitation expected.
The short term forecast remains on track: High pressure has entrenched itself across the region bringing a more southerly wind and clear skies today. Temperatures look to trend a degree or two warmer today throughout the CWA, with dew points following suit, with highs in the low 80s and falling to the low to mid 70s after sunset. /OAJ/ The forecast for the upcoming week continues to feature dry and warmer conditions. Guidance continues to advertise a mid/upper trough pushing a cold front southward toward the area by this weekend, but indications are still that the front will stall as it approaches.
649 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Dry weather is expected to prevail through the week, as high pressure remains in control.
301 AM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Warmer than normal temperatures and breezy conditions continue through Wednesday afternoon with little to no precipitation expected.
549 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today through Wednesday) An upper level ridge centered overhead or just off to our west with a moist southerly lower level flow describes the short term. With a thermal ridge in place, temperatures continue their slow warming trend, possibly approaching record highs on Wednesday.
413 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Northwest winds will gust to 25 to 35 mph by this afternoon in the wake of a cold front. - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal.
510 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
644 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Southerly flow on the back side of high pressure will offer dry weather and unseasonably warm conditions.
644 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Rain showers and breezy to windy conditions are expected today following a cold front that has passed through the forecast area. Cold frontal boundary is now through all but the southern James River Valley of ND. Winds will rapidly diminish this evening as the sun sets and high pressure begins working into western ND. High pressure is transitory, so while mostly clear skies are expected, winds likely won't become totally light through the entire night.
922 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Dry weather is expected to prevail through the week, as high pressure remains in control.
644 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will cover the region today and tonight. A cold front will cross the eastern United States on Wednesday with little to no precipitation, but leading in colder air.
648 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today through Wednesday Night) An upper level low is currently located over the Central Plains making its way towards the Great Lakes region. this will likely bring a cold front across the state later today into Wednesday. High pressure will build in behind the front, continuing those calm and dry conditions across the state.
(Today and tonight) A sizable area of high pressure centered over the Mid-Atlantic states continues to maintain subsidence and northeast low-level flow across the region today and tonight. Highs above average in the lower to middle 80s away from the coast today. The lower Suwannee continues to fall through action stage.
858 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Not a lot of changes in forecast philosophy for the next several days as broad high pressure centered over the E CONUS remains in firm control of the region. Expect passing showers each day embedded in the generally NE flow, gusty at times, as SoFlo remains in the SE periphery of the high. Have refreshed temps to reflect the slightly cooler trend across the Atlantic metro areas. The mid to upper level flow out of the N/NW will bring in dry air, but breezy E/NE flow in the low levels will bring in enough moisture to support isolated to scattered showers (20-30% PoPs) across the Atlantic waters and East Coast metro each day. Tonight's lows will range from the low 70s over the interior and Gulf Coast, to the mid 70s over the East Coast.
606 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
939 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will cover the region today and tonight. A cold front will cross the eastern United States on Wednesday with little to no precipitation, but leading in colder air.
1006 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Southerly flow on the back side of high pressure will offer dry weather and unseasonably warm conditions.
While a lull has fallen over the island chain and its nearshore waters (likely due to decoupling of the atmosphere along with being in lee of mainland Florida), current conditions outside are stubbornly humid as temperatures are in the upper 70s with dewpoints in the lower 70s. The high in the southeast US will retreat north allowing for some slackening of winds for the rest of the work week.
630 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today and tonight) A sizable area of high pressure centered over the Mid-Atlantic states continues to maintain subsidence and northeast low-level flow across the region today and tonight. Highs above average in the lower to middle 80s away from the coast today.
617 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure across our area will weaken and then shift offshore through Wednesday. A strong cold front crosses our area Wednesday night.
Models show weak high pressure building in across the area today behind an exiting cold front. High pressure will be short-lived as models show another system starting to move through late Wednesday. Temperatures today will be cooler than yesterday behind an exiting cold front but slightly above seasonal normals. By Wednesday temperatures will rise 4 to 8 degrees over today as our area will be in southwest flow aloft ahead of the next cold front.
942 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure across our area will weaken and then shift offshore through Wednesday. A strong cold front crosses our area Wednesday night.
553 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today through Wednesday) 500 mb high pressure is anticipated to be the dominant weather feature over Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley throughout the period.
625 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today) The upper level pattern will modify a bit today as ridging becomes less pronounced as a closed low tracks northeast through the upper Midwest and into the Great Lakes. This will have little impact on weather locally, as high pressure remains dominant at the surface keeping dry air in place.
602 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 The forecast for the upcoming week continues to feature dry and warmer conditions. Guidance continues to advertise a mid/upper trough pushing a cold front southward toward the area by this weekend, but indications are still that the front will stall as it approaches.
955 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Over the past couple of days, moisture has been on the increase in the lower levels. This lower level moisture has led to some thick morning low clouds across the Nature Coast where moisture is slightly higher.
Temperatures are in the lower 80s currently and will continue to creep up slowly as the day continues on. Moderate to fresh winds will continue through tonight as high pressure sits over the Eastern U. From synopsis, a broad high pressure system over the eastern United States will promote moderate to fresh northeast breezes through the end of the work week. As a strong, second area of high pressure builds across the Eastern Seaboard over the weekend, winds will increase once again, becoming fresh to strong.
The current weather pattern remains pretty persistent with ridging to our north and slightly drier conditions in place for today and Wednesday. The rest of the work week, persistent ridge of high pressure weakens allowing frontal boundary associated with an upper level trough sliding into the Northeast to to approach the Peninsula. Highs in the low to middle 80s and lows in the 60s.
1145 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure persists today.
A broad high pressure system in the eastern US will keep our winds elevated through tonight and a Small Craft Advisory is in Effect for the Straits and deep Gulf. The high will retreat to the north causing the winds to slacken during the week, although the breezes will still be moderate during that time. Thereafter, another area of high pressure will build in by this weekend bringing back a round of fresh to strong breezes lasting through the weekend. From synopsis, a broad high pressure system over the eastern United States will promote moderate to fresh northeast breezes through the end of the work week. As a strong, second area of high pressure builds across the Eastern Seaboard over the weekend, winds will increase once again, becoming fresh to strong.
Daytime temperatures will range from the low 80s along the coast, mid 80s across the Coastal Bend and low 90s over the Coastal Plains to the Rio Grande Plains. Lows tonight and tomorrow night will range from the low 60s north to the mid 70s along the coast. Very low chances for showers (near zero) across South Texas and the Gulf Waters as the region remains under the influence of high pressure.
1131 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Wednesday morning.
Upper level ridging will remain in place on Wednesday keeping dry conditions in place. 850 mb temperatures will be a degree or two higher compared to today which will result in highs climbing into the lower 90s.
Daytime heating has allowed a few Cu to pop over the higher terrain as well and that's about it. Flow has become zonal across the CWA and will become more southwesterly tomorrow afternoon ahead of the next trough. Forecast lows are a bit warmer than yesterday which might be just enough to keep any appearance of fog at bay.
SP (Tuesday through Wednesday) Upper trough to the north of the FA will continue to displace the stagnate ridge that has been parked over the region the last few days. At the surface, a similar theme as high pressure becomes displaced east of the FA, resulting in a more southerly sfc wind through the afternoon.
High pressure that was over us yesterday has pushed off to the east but is still influencing our weather. A short wave trough is moving through the Great Lakes, this is helping to bring southerly winds 5-10 mph today. A few low clouds may move in overnight with a boundary that is associated with that trough. Highs will remain warm pushing into the low to mid 80s. A deeper trough will be pushing into the Great Lakes and this will push a cold front south.
This will force a cold front, currently taking shape over the western Dakotas, south into the area. Highs will be a few degrees cooler across the north, but still toasty down south.
(This evening through Wednesday) Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the short term as the region remains under the influence of relatively flat upper ridging and associated zonal flow aloft. On Wednesday, a weakening backdoor cold front over KS/OK will attempt to work into the region, with most hi-res guidance indicating an easterly wind shift making it to the edge of the Caprock by midday. This lends some uncertainty into the high temperature forecast for Wednesday afternoon, but overall we expect slightly higher sfc-500mb layer thicknesses and modestly warmer 850mb temps to result in highs still peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s off the Caprock, with mid to upper 80s west of the escarpment.
- Gusty northwest winds will be in the excess of 30 mph in the wake of the cold front.
Breezy and gusty conditions continue as the pressure gradient remains tight across Florida between high pressure over the Eastern US/North Atlantic and Tropical Storm Oscar pushing into the open Atlantic from the Bahamas. Hazardous boating conditions will persist through mid-week, due to high pressure lingering over the eastern US. This ridge is maintaining gusty northeast winds over the local Atlantic waters. While the ridge will weaken through Wednesday, winds 15-20kts, with gusts up to 25-30kts will remain possible.
220 PM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 KEY MESSAGES: - The weather pattern will bring alternating periods of warmer and cooler temperatures over the next several days.
(Tonight through Wednesday night) Seasonal temperatures and rain-free conditions will prevail across Deep South Texas through the short term period as the region remains under the influence of mid-level high pressure. 4 inches across Deep South Texas, with the higher amounts closer to the immediate coast.
We are under the influence of high pressure and a generally barotropic pattern.
135 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Wednesday morning.
204 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Southerly flow on the back side of high pressure will offer dry weather and unseasonably warm conditions.
Since the cold frontal passage last week, we've been seeing moisture gradually increase across the area. A weak trough located over the Great Lakes will help to push some of that moisture a bit further south beginning tonight. Perhaps the most noticeable change will be slightly cooler overnight low temperatures as the lower humidity will allow temperatures to fall into the lower to middle 60s through the end of the week.
220 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - An elevated fire danger will develop on Wednesday behind a departing cold front as N/NW winds gust 20-25mph and minimum relative humidity values dip into the 30-35% range.
1219 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today through Wednesday) 500 mb high pressure is anticipated to be the dominant weather feature over Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley throughout the period.
The southern extent of a trough of low pressure will brush Northern Nevada Wednesday evening and Wednesday night, resulting in the likelihood of light precipitation north of I-80. Tonight through Wednesday night A ridge of high pressure over the Silver State will move eastward into the Rocky Mountains tonight. A trough of low pressure will progress eastward through the Pacific Northwest Wednesday. The southern extent of the aforementioned trough of low pressure will brush Northern Nevada Wednesday evening and Wednesday night, resulting in the likelihood of light precipitation north of Interstate 80.
/16 (Now through Wednesday night) A combination of an upper low off the East Coast and upper level high pressure over old Mexico and the western Gulf of Mexico will create dry northwesterly upper flow over the Southeast through mid week. Temperatures remain well above seasonal norms, with high temperatures are expected to range from the low to mid 80s today, mid to upper 80s on Wednesday. Low temperatures tonight and Wednesday night are expected to range from the low to mid 50s well inland, upper 50s to around 60s south of I-10 to the coast.
250 PM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Dry weather continues through Wednesday with slightly cooler temperatures expected across the southeast Plains.
1245 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today through Wednesday) An upper level ridge centered overhead or just off to our west with a moist southerly lower level flow describes the short term. With a thermal ridge in place, temperatures continue their slow warming trend, possibly approaching record highs on Wednesday.
206 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Wednesday morning.
1114 AM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure aloft will continue building northward over much of New Mexico over the next several days.
Another system will move through tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours and will usher cooler air into the region. While temperatures will rise into the upper 60s to middle 70s, as the cold front moves into the region temperatures will begin to drop.
- A few sprinkles to light showers will be possible this evening and overnight behind the cold front, mostly along the Missouri River Valley. A cold front is almost done moving through the area, only having to clear a few NW Iowa and SW Minnesota counties as it continues to traverse southeastwards. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 30s are expected along and north of I-90, a touch warmer in the upper 30s to mid 40s south of I-90. By the afternoon hours, areas west of I-29 will see the return of southerly winds which will start to advect warmer temperatures back into the region.
(Tonight through Wednesday night) Broad upper level ridging and dry conditions will continue across the region. With a thermal ridge in place, temperatures continue their slow warming trend.
240 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - A cold front crosses bringing rain this afternoon and overnight with a brief switchover to light snow in some places Wednesday morning.
1252 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure persists today.
1213 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Today and tonight) In the wake of the upper trough will be weak west-northwesterly winds in the nearly zonal flow north of a broadly building ridge over Mexico. Areas along the caprock will drop into the 40s and lower 50s, while off the Caprock lows will remain slightly warmer in the mid to upper 50s.
1024 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Northwest winds will gust to 25 to 35 mph by this afternoon in the wake of a cold front. - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal.
(Rest of today through Wednesday) Current synoptic scenario continues through the next couple of days with broad high pressure centered over the E CONUS in control of the regional weather. Expect passing showers each day embedded in the generally NE flow, gusty at times, as SoFlo remains in the SE periphery of the high. Tonight's lows will range from the low 70s over the interior and Gulf Coast, to the mid 70s over the East Coast.
An area of high pressure will dominate the weather across the southwest, bringing above normal temperatures, light winds and dry conditions.
325 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal.
1239 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Rain showers and breezy to windy conditions are expected today as a cold front moves through the area. A few rain showers continue to linger across the south along the cold front, and could linger through the afternoon. A secondary trough could then bring a few showers to the north this afternoon into this evening. UPDATE Cold frontal boundary is now through all but the southern James River Valley of ND. Winds will rapidly diminish this evening as the sun sets and high pressure begins working into western ND. High pressure is transitory, so while mostly clear skies are expected, winds likely won't become totally light through the entire night.