Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
Finally, on Thursday, daytime highs are progged to reach the low to mid 80s across the area (cooler near/along the coast).
An upper level trough is forecast to track across the region today. Although low level moisture will be lacking across the region, there will be enough upper level lift from the approaching trough to generate at least isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, mainly across the eastern half of the area. With the exit of the through, a weak cold front will push through the area this evening. Increasing cloud cover in our eastern counties toward daybreak should keep lows a few degrees warmer compared to our western counties.
- Dry but cooler until the weekend. Behind the cold front, observed wind gusts are highly variable but are closer to 35 mph than 45 mph. Of course, following this cold front, cool through at least Thursday morning with a trough overhead.
1201 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Lows tonight will be below or near freezing. There is an area of mixed vegetation susceptibility to the below freezing temperatures, so protect vulnerable vegetation.
Mild and dry conditions will prevail through the Easter weekend as high pressure dominates the region.
(Today through Thursday afternoon) The last lingering piece of an upper trough finally moves east of the area today allowing for broad, flat ridging to build in. Abundant sunshine will help mix modest westerly winds associated with the ridge to the surface causing breezy conditions and slightly warmer temperatures. Subsidence on the back of the departing trough will stabilize the atmosphere enough so that we will not see scattered showers and virga that have occurred over the past several days. Tonight a weak cold front sags south, entering the area after sunset. In fact, temperatures Thursday will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer than today with highs easily reaching the 70s to low 80s in the Pecos River and Rio Grande valleys.
300 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Cooler, drier weather for today and Thursday.
424 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A slow moving cold front will cross our region today, with scattered rain showers.
Other than an increase in cloud cover throughout the day, not much appreciable weather is expected thanks to sfc ridging in place. Some localized at/below freezing temperatures possible as well, mainly across northeast Arkansas.
The overall synoptic pattern remains rather amplified across the region this evening, with southwest flow aloft in between ridging to our south and troughing across the central part of the country. At the surface, high pressure is centered east of the state with an area of low pressure and associated cold front located to the northwest.
416 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (Today through Thursday) A stationary boundary is currently draped across our far southeastern counties as a cold front just to our west will be making its way through the forecast area today. Forcing for the cold front moving through today is lacking as the parent low is occluded and displaced far northward over southern Ontario. As a result, shower and thunderstorm activity will ultimately persist along and southeast of the stationary boundary over far southeast Georgia overnight tonight and through Thursday's morning hours as the cold front slowly sags southeastward. Ridgelines in areas of high terrain across north Georgia could see wind gusts approaching 35 mph through the day Thursday.
324 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Warmer temperatures are expected through the end of the week.
1042 PM MDT Tue Mar 26 2024 - Warming trend begins tomorrow and continues over the weekend before the next system moves in, bringing precipitation chances and cooler temperatures.
- Widespread sub-freezing temperatures tonight with most locations in the teens and 20s.
1202 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (This evening through Wednesday) Many locations dipped below freezing this morning, with the West Texas Mesonet at Sterling City bottoming out at 26 degrees! This afternoon has remained in the cool side despite the abundant sunshine. Temperatures as of the 2 PM hour are in the lower to mid 50s in the Big Country and the the mid 50s to mid 60s across the remainder of the area. For Wednesday expect more sunshine and warmer temperatures, with highs warming into the upper upper 60s to mid 70s. High res model guidance shows a few storms across our far eastern counties- with the higher coverage over portions of north and central Texas.
1200 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A cold front can be seen on IR satellite and radar passing through the area. Skies will be mainly clear overnight with winds decreasing closer to dawn as high pressure influences move in from the northwest. The wild card for today is how warm will afternoon highs get, the rain and cloud cover has kept things cooler but once we see some clearing things should warm up quickly. Highs should reach the upper 60s to low 70s except on the Plateau where it will stay cooler. We will remain in a troughing pattern on Wednesday and with the cold front off to our east it will be much cooler.
(Today through Thursday) An upper level trough will move overhead today. A surface boundary moving west near the Rio Grande early this morning will reverse course and move back east aided by the upper level trough this afternoon.
Western and northern Oklahoma should prepare for one last freeze as tomorrow morning we'll see lows drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s one more time before transitioning to a warmer pattern.
1222 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (The rest of tonight) Sfc ridging continues to settle across the region and winds will go light area wide overnight. Expectations remain for below freezing temps across NE OK and far NW AR with no changes planned to the ongoing freeze warning.
227 AM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Warming trend begins tomorrow and continues over the weekend before the next system moves in, bringing precipitation chances and cooler temperatures.
Aloft and upper level trough is moving into the area with a strong ridge across the eastern CONUS. High pressure will bring light winds to the area and combined with clearing skies across the north, temperatures will to at or below freezing for a good portion of the state tonight. High pressure will remain in control of the forecast for our area through the remainder of the short term with dry weather forecast. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be a few degrees warmer.
A cold front is oriented north-to-south across the eastern portion of the forecast area with light, northerly surface winds in its wake. Dry air will settle in through the day behind the front, with highs in the lower 60s to lower 70s. High clouds associated with the upper-level cold front passage will increase through the morning and afternoon. The airmass will continue to dry out on Thursday as a sprawling area of high pressure stretches from TX to the OH River Valley.
Temperatures fell into the low twenties and teens across eastern Nebraska by 3 AM. An upper trough passing from the Dakotas into Minnesota this morning will keep cold air over the region today.
After the passage of a surface reinforcing cold front overnight, a cooler airmass will be filtered into the region this morning. Overall, expect high temperatures to top out in the lower to mid 60s due to the clouds and cooler airmass. A cooler night is also in store tonight, as lows are forecast to dip into the upper 30s to lower 40s.
(Today through Thursday) A mid-level ridge over the area continues to slide eastward today as an upper level trough moves into the central US. The cold front with this incoming trough will slowly wash out as it progresses through the Florida Peninsula, evidenced by weakening theta-e advection in its approach. A bit cooler on Thursday with the anticipated frontal boundary passage so expect highs in the lower 80s across all of South Florida. Overnight lows will be quite warm, in the lower to mid 70s.
(Today and tonight) Water vapor imagery showed the base of a broad upper trough was shifting slowly across West Texas early this morning with one embedded impulse noted over the central TX Panhandle. The low is forecast to redevelop southeast into the southern Rolling Plains later this afternoon all the while the stationary front creeps to near the Highway 84 corridor while dividing milder and occasionally breezy NW winds from cooler E-NE flow. Strong height rises take hold overnight ahead of ridging for tomorrow. The stationary front meanwhile will become a cold front tonight while settling into the Permian Basin and eastern NM before ultimately washing out tomorrow morning.
Today Currently early this morning, deep troughing is centered to our west with a cold front along and just west of the Cumberland Plateau ahead of high pressure. Tonight Tonight, the frontal boundary will clear the area with high pressure becoming centered just west of the Mississippi River Valley. During this time, stronger subsidence and CAA can be expected with notably cooler temperatures.
This is in response to a longwave upper-trough moving across the Plains. 0 inches) and convergence strengthens with a passing warm front. Have continued with 15 to 25 percent of rain/storms today/this evening with the highest chances across our north- northwest counties.
238 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Hard freeze this morning with low temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
352 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - High pressure will deliver a fair amount of sunshine and less wind to the area today. Temperatures will remain chilly but begin to modify the rest of the week as southerly flow draws in a warmer air mass.
319 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Quiet conditions prevail today, with highs 15 to 25 degrees below normal in the lower 20s to mid 30s.
These showers are expected to gradually diminish as a ridge of high pressure briefly extends into the Northern Rockies, bringing about a short period of tranquil conditions into this afternoon. Later this afternoon, a deep closed low approaching the West Coast will alter the flow to southwesterly, bringing light precipitation into north-central Idaho. Snow levels will ascend to around 5000 feet tonight before dropping to 3000-3500 feet on Thursday morning following the passage of a cold front.
356 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 Warm temperatures and periods of showers are expected through Thursday as a weak cold front slowly moves across the region.
- Below normal temps start to warm up Wednesday onwards as high pressure builds in.
(Today through Thursday) Water vapor imagery this morning reveals a mid to upper level trough swinging across the state. At the surface, east- northeasterly winds remain in place as high pressure lingers to our northeast. With that said, the lower levels will be rather dry so we may just end up with virga. Looking at tonight, onshore flow will begin to return as high pressure moves east. Upper level ridging builds in by on Thursday as onshore flow continues at the surface. Lastly, will allow the High Risk of Rip Currents to expire at 12Z this morning.
904 PM PDT Tue Mar 26 2024 Weak ridging will bring minor warming on Wednesday. This will be short- lived as a strengthening low pressure system from the north moves into the area later this week.
304 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Seasonably cool temperatures expected today, before warmer temperatures arrive through the end of the week.
1119 PM CDT Tue Mar 26 2024 (Tonight through Thursday night) High pressure over the Plains will continue to build into the region at the surface bringing a dry continental air mass to the forecast area.
210 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A slow moving cold front will cross our region today, with scattered rain showers.
With the ridge passing through the area, light and variable winds are expected, starting the day out of west/northwest before slowly turning southerly during the evening and overnight hours. Hi-res guidance is in decent agreement in flurries passing approximately along the highway-32 corridor. A weak warm front will stall out across the area which will raise afternoon high temperatures to the upper 40s to low 60s. With southerly flow continuing for the rest of the day and night, low temperatures will be warmer, only falling to the the mid 30s to mid 40s overnight.
Temperatures were generally in the 50s this morning away from areas very close to the warmer water temperatures. The longwave trough will progress eastward over the next 36 hours and be near the Atlantic Coast Thursday evening. The main impact this trough will have is to produce a period of clouds this afternoon and evening based near 600 mb, which will generally be between 10K and 15K feet. Once the clouds associated with the trough move away later this evening, the weather for tonight and Thursday looks pretty nice, albeit a bit on the cool side.
Forecast soundings indicate flurries/light snow showers will continue throughout the day today, particularly across central/eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin as the upper low moves through. Clear and cool conditions persist into Thursday, but temperatures will begin to moderate as a ridge moves overhead late Thursday.
- Much cooler air returns tonight through Wednesday night, which could lead to a flash freeze scenario after a couple days of liquid precipitation. - Temperatures warm back into the 40s and 50s for highs later this week, with increased rain/snow/freezing drizzle chances over the weekend. The breezy W/NW winds will help keep our temperatures below freezing through Thursday afternoon. The March sun angle should be enough to lead to some melting during the day tomorrow, which would end up refreezing overnight.
305 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 * Quiet, cool, then warmer to round out the work week * Couple of precipitation chance windows - Fri PM/Sat AM, Sun PM - Mon * Seasonable temps weekend onward Quieter conditions will broadly prevail to round out the work week as upper level troughing slides eastward and is replaced by height rises and eventual ridging. Aforementioned height rises/ridging will return southerly flow/WAA to the region and push mid level temperatures back toward and above 0 deg C. Regardless, warmer than today either way.
249 AM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024 MORNING DISCUSSION: The trough influence over eastern Montana that has dominated our colder than normal and wetter pattern will begin shifting to the east, with a transient ridge building in from the west today and early Thursday.
934 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Seasonably cool temperatures expected today, before warmer temperatures arrive through the end of the week.
516 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (Today and tonight) Water vapor imagery showed the base of a broad upper trough was shifting slowly across West Texas early this morning with one embedded impulse noted over the central TX Panhandle. The low is forecast to redevelop southeast into the southern Rolling Plains later this afternoon all the while the stationary front creeps to near the Highway 84 corridor while dividing milder and occasionally breezy NW winds from cooler E-NE flow. Strong height rises take hold overnight ahead of ridging for tomorrow. The stationary front meanwhile will become a cold front tonight while settling into the Permian Basin and eastern NM before ultimately washing out tomorrow morning.
629 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (Today through Thursday) An upper level trough will move overhead today. A surface boundary moving west near the Rio Grande early this morning will reverse course and move back east aided by the upper level trough this afternoon.
621 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - High pressure will deliver a fair amount of sunshine and less wind to the area today. Temperatures will remain chilly but begin to modify the rest of the week as southerly flow draws in a warmer air mass.
626 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (Today through Thursday afternoon) The last lingering piece of an upper trough finally moves east of the area today allowing for broad, flat ridging to build in. Abundant sunshine will help mix modest westerly winds associated with the ridge to the surface causing breezy conditions and slightly warmer temperatures. Subsidence on the back of the departing trough will stabilize the atmosphere enough so that we will not see scattered showers and virga that have occurred over the past several days. Tonight a weak cold front sags south, entering the area after sunset. In fact, temperatures Thursday will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer than today with highs easily reaching the 70s to low 80s in the Pecos River and Rio Grande valleys.
Dry, warmer and breezy conditions today will transition to more active weather beginning tonight as the next weather disturbance and cold front move into the region.
622 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 Mild and dry conditions will prevail through the Easter weekend as high pressure dominates the region.
735 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 Warm temperatures and periods of showers are expected through Thursday as a weak cold front slowly moves across the region.
609 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (Today through Thursday) Water vapor imagery this morning reveals a mid to upper level trough swinging across the state. At the surface, east- northeasterly winds remain in place as high pressure lingers to our northeast. With that said, the lower levels will be rather dry so we may just end up with virga. Looking at tonight, onshore flow will begin to return as high pressure moves east. Upper level ridging builds in by on Thursday as onshore flow continues at the surface. Lastly, will allow the High Risk of Rip Currents to expire at 12Z this morning.
This will result in a warming trend that will continue through the end of the workweek, with each subsequent day rising about ten degrees warmer than the previous day.
(Today through Thursday) A stationary boundary is currently draped across our far southeastern counties as a cold front just to our west will be making its way through the forecast area today. Forcing for the cold front moving through today is lacking as the parent low is occluded and displaced far northward over southern Ontario. As a result, shower and thunderstorm activity will ultimately persist along and southeast of the stationary boundary over far southeast Georgia overnight tonight and through Thursday's morning hours as the cold front slowly sags southeastward. Ridgelines in areas of high terrain across north Georgia could see wind gusts approaching 35 mph through the day Thursday.
A cold front is oriented north-to-south across the eastern portion of the forecast area with light, northerly surface winds in its wake. Dry air will settle in through the day behind the front, with highs in the lower 60s to lower 70s. High clouds associated with the upper-level cold front passage will increase through the morning and afternoon. The airmass will continue to dry out on Thursday as a sprawling area of high pressure stretches from TX to the OH River Valley. Martin/FFC The aforementioned area of high pressure will continue to influence the weather across the Southeast while upper-level ridging prevails.
The last of these upper 30s and lower 40 will move east with the high pressure after tomorrow. The NE winds will remain light and shift to E/SE early tomorrow with warmer lower 70s bringing us back to average.
943 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A pair of weak cold fronts will pass through the region today.
640 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 In the wake of a cold front some clouds and cooler temperatures can be expected today. High pressure will begin to build into the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys tonight, and will extend across the region into Thursday.
629 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Hard freeze this morning with low temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
707 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 (Today through Thursday) A mid-level ridge over the area continues to slide eastward today as an upper level trough moves into the central US. The cold front with this incoming trough will slowly wash out as it progresses through the Florida Peninsula, evidenced by weakening theta-e advection in its approach. A bit cooler on Thursday with the anticipated frontal boundary passage so expect highs in the lower 80s across all of South Florida. Overnight lows will be quite warm, in the lower to mid 70s.
834 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A few light showers are expected this morning and late this evening as a slow moving cold front crosses the region. Light showers may develop along the ridges with upsloping after 6pm. With deep southwesterly flow throughout the day, delaying the cold front progression to early tomorrow morning, near to above average temperatures are expected. The higher terrain may experience a few light showers between 6pm to 10pm due to upsloping as sfc winds shift west. Cold advection finally arrives tonight as temperatures dip below freezing for the high terrain and northern/western half of the forecast area. Clouds will begin to gradually clear overnight as drier/cooler air infiltrates the region.
1013 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 Warm temperatures and periods of showers are expected through Thursday as a weak cold front slowly moves across the region.
(Rest of Today) Current temps have started to rebound into the lower 50s this Wed morning from their earlier lows mainly in the lower/mid 40s. Temps will continue to climb into the 60-65F range later today, as high pressure out of the Plains states begins to build into parts of the region. An upper trough pattern dropping into the western Gulf Coast will also allow for an increase in cloud cover heading into the afternoon period.
958 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A pair of weak cold fronts will pass through the region today.
Other than some increasing high clouds this afternoon, should be a nice day with max temps in the low 60s to mid 70s.
624 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Seasonably cool temperatures expected today, before warmer temperatures arrive through the end of the week.
* Quiet, cool, then warmer to round out the work week * Couple of precipitation chance windows - Fri PM/Sat AM, Sun PM - Mon * Seasonable temps weekend onward Quieter conditions will broadly prevail to round out the work week as upper level troughing slides eastward and is replaced by height rises and eventual ridging. Aforementioned height rises/ridging will return southerly flow/WAA to the region and push mid level temperatures back toward and above 0 deg C. Regardless, warmer than today either way.
633 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Warmer temperatures are expected through the end of the week.
Quiet weather is still in place while satellite obs show an approaching cold front currently situated over the Gulf, stretching northeastward into the Carolinas. With current temperatures near 80 degrees and plenty of sunshine along the island chain, afternoon highs are still on track to reach the lower to mid 80s. Southeast light to moderate breezes this afternoon will veer to the south tonight through early Thursday ahead of the next cold front which will blast into the Keys Thursday afternoon. Expect a period of strong breezes Thursday afternoon and Thursday night on the back side of the cold front.
619 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Quiet conditions prevail today, with highs 15 to 25 degrees below normal in the lower 20s to mid 30s.
642 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 A slow moving cold front will cross our region today, with scattered rain showers.
638 AM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Cooler, drier weather for today and Thursday.
1011 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - High pressure will deliver a fair amount of sunshine and less wind to the area today. Temperatures will remain chilly but begin to modify the rest of the week as southerly flow draws in a warmer air mass.
(Tonight through Thursday night) High pressure will remain in control as ridging builds in from the west. High temps on Thursday will be in the lower to mid 80s with a few low clouds. The forecasted temps will start out slightly cooler than normal but will trend to near normal after tonight, especially Thursday into Thursday night as southeast winds steady up.
102 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 - Hard freeze this morning with low temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
Warmer temperatures and increasing shower and storm chances later this weekend. Clouds are dissipating quickly now, but have played a big role in keeping temps a bit cooler through the first half of the day.