Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
- Drier and cooler conditions are expected by Monday with a more significant cooldown by mid-week. A cold front is expected to impact the forecast area today. The actual cold front will bring another line across the area later in the morning and early afternoon with the potential for thunderstorms. The most impactful area-wide element will be gusty SW to eventual W to NW winds ahead of and coinciding with the cold front.
316 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - After the rain ends this morning it will be cooler than normal and dry through Monday.
Dew points rose from the lower 70s yesterday to mid 70s. Synoptically, the weather features of note at the surface are a high pressure system off the eastern seaboard and a developing low pressure system over the Great Lakes. Aloft, a mid latitude trough is digging south towards the Tennessee Valley while a broad ridge remains over Mexico.
156 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - It will be breezy and much cooler today.
231 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 A cold front will cross the area this morning resulting in showers, gusty winds and falling temperatures today.
- Another strong cold front Monday with north winds 20 to 30 mph, similar to today, and no precipitation. A subtle "comma head" feature was developing on satellite across south central Kansas, but as the phased mid-latitude cyclone (MLC) matures tonight, it will continue to pull away from our southwest Kansas region. The cold front, tied to the initial northern stream component of the now phased MLC, continued to drive quickly south across southwest Kansas. Heading deeper into the upcoming week, a large scale main polar branch ridge axis will develop across the Rockies and adjacent Great Plains.
Updated at 1236 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Gusty north winds this morning behind a cold front and cooler. - Windy on Monday before our next strong cold front passage with gusts up to 40 mph possible.
1051 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 Updated aviation portion for 06Z TAF issuance - Turning cooler on Sunday.
246 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cooler today compared to the last several days with highs in the 60s.
- Much cooler weather will be on tap for the week ahead.
328 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Forecast discussion for routine morning forecast issuance - Turning cooler today.
Updated at 1234 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cold front moves through Sunday bringing drier/breezy conditions. A cold front moving through North Texas will push into South Texas by sunrise Sunday. A cold front will bring fresh to strong north to northeasterly winds to the area on Sunday. A cold front moving through tomorrow will bring a drop in RH to low levels across much of the area - though coastal counties likely to remain above thresholds. Could see a brief overlap of some moderate winds with the low RH in the early afternoon, but looks like only a couple of hours before winds decrease to light levels, so will not issue an elevated fire concern statement at this time.
210 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 High pressure will remain offshore through tonight.
(Today through Monday afternoon) A departing upper trough has pushed a cold front through the area early this morning. Temperatures have been slow to drop immediately behind the front, but lows are still expected to bottom out in the lower 50s to upper 40s finally providing a seasonably cool morning.
Warmer and drier conditions will rapidly return early this week. A weak cold front is currently crossing the area.
1232 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Lows tonight will be near or just below freezing for many areas along and west of the James River.
With clear skies and light winds tonight, in addition to the drier and cooler air, temperatures will fall into the 50s by Sunday morning. With the cooler and drier air across the area, afternoon temperatures will be near normal Sunday and it will feel more like October than September at least for a day.
1201 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - A strong cold front moves through the area today with northwest winds gusting at 30-40 MPH behind the front this afternoon and evening. A cold front was just entering north central Kansas early this afternoon. Lift and moisture associated with the low will likely move far enough north to bring some showers and potentially an isolated thunderstorm to southeast portions of the area (generally south of I-35). Some sprinkles are also possible in the wake of the cold front with upper-level ascent and some steeper mid-level lapse rates moving through the cold air advection. Cooler, more Fall-like weather will hang on through the week. Another cold front moves through on Monday, but it appears this frontal passage will be dry with moisture remaining well of to the south and east.
- Turning much colder during the middle of this week with frost likely and freezing temperatures possible. An upper level trof was beginning to become negatively tilted from the Upper Midwest to west of the Mid Mississippi Valley. Mid level winds on the back side of the upper level trof were expected to become very strong near the base of the trof with GFS forecast wind speed overs 110 kts. A strong cold front associated with this system will move east across the area today and bring gusty winds.
Updated at 1230 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Breezy conditions behind a cold front this morning, as well as much cooler conditions. - Warm and breezy south winds briefly return Monday, resulting in limited fire weather danger, before a dry cold front passes through Monday afternoon. (Today and Tonight) The cold front is quickly pushing through the area this morning. Much of the CAM guidance is cooler than the NBM, but given ample sunshine, tend to think that these CAMs are slightly too cool. This will keep low temperatures a bit warmer, ranging from the upper 40s to upper 50s.
1018 PM MDT Sat Oct 18 2025 - Breezy conditions this afternoon - Sunny and trending warmer on Sunday - Windy on Monday, with low end precipitation chances.
258 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Much cooler today, a brief warmup Monday, followed by more seasonal temperatures through at least midweek.
153 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 A cold front will cross the area on Sunday bringing breezy winds and the next chance for showers, with the possibility of a thunderstorm or two in the CSRA. A sharp mid-level trough with associated surface front is dragging across AL and MS early this morning. Given the trough orientation, height falls ahead downstream over our area are quite limited with only modest moisture advection. The wind fields from the surface to 700mb will steadily increase within the prefrontal trough early this morning as a line of scattered showers pushes into the area. 0" within the prefrontal trough along with surface CAPE less than 100 J/kg. Key message(s): - Sunny and dry on Monday with high pressure in place.
- More widespread elevated to critical fire weather looks to follow for the Southern Panhandles Monday ahead of a secondary cold front.
Updated at 1229 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cooler temperatures with highs in the 70s today. - Breezy westerly winds bring warmer temperatures and possible elevated fire weather conditions again Monday.
High pressure departs to the east today as a weak cool front pushes into the deep South. It will not be a significant cool down as wind flow quickly turns NE around building high pressure to the north. While it looks mainly dry late week, the onshore (E/NE) pressure gradient looks to tighten between high pressure to the north and lower pressure to the south. More seasonable temperatures in the low to mid 80s Thu- Sat. High pressure will continue to push seaward over the western Atlantic today as a weak cool front approaches from the northwest.
- A cold front will move through North and Central Texas this morning, bringing gusty north winds and much cooler temperatures.
The current synoptic setup shows upper level ridging stretching from off the central California coast southeastward through the Desert Southwest. A cut-off low has also developed over the past day or so well west of northern Baja and this system is forecast to remain nearly stationary through at least Monday having no effect on our region over the next 2-3 days. The ridge over our region will keep H5 heights at around 588dm through Monday, or just into the 90th percentile of climatology for this time of year.
- Gusty northwest winds to near 40 MPH are anticipated behind another cold front Monday.
552 AM MDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Warmer today. Less windy most areas, but still windy ridges/east slopes with low humidities.
638 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 A cold front will cross the area this morning resulting in showers, gusty winds and falling temperatures today.
542 AM MDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Sunny and warmer today - Windy tonight and Monday, with showers possible - Dry weather for the rest of the work week The departing upper trough is crossing the Midwest this morning, while ridging is setting up across much of the western CONUS. On the backside of this ridge, southwest flow will develop later this morning, quickly advecting warmer air back into the CWA. A strong cold front will cross the CWA tonight, bringing showers and gusty northwest winds. An upper low will cross ND during the day on Monday, with waves rotating across the CWA. The upper low will stall out over the Great Lakes region through mid week, with northwest flow persisting across the northern Plains. An approaching storm system will bring a strong cold front to the area tonight.
537 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated at 535 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Gusty north winds this morning behind a cold front and cooler. - Windy on Monday before our next strong cold front passage with gusts up to 40 mph possible.
303 AM MDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Sunny and warmer today - Windy tonight and Monday, with showers possible - Dry weather for the rest of the work week The departing upper trough is crossing the Midwest this morning, while ridging is setting up across much of the western CONUS. On the backside of this ridge, southwest flow will develop later this morning, quickly advecting warmer air back into the CWA. A strong cold front will cross the CWA tonight, bringing showers and gusty northwest winds. An upper low will cross ND during the day on Monday, with waves rotating across the CWA. The upper low will stall out over the Great Lakes region through mid week, with northwest flow persisting across the northern Plains.
610 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Much cooler today, a brief warmup Monday, followed by more seasonal temperatures through at least midweek.
637 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 A cold front will cross the area on Sunday bringing breezy winds and the next chance for showers, with the possibility of a thunderstorm or two in the CSRA. A sharp mid-level trough with associated surface front is dragging across the Deep South early this morning. Given the trough orientation, height falls ahead downstream over our area are quite limited with only modest moisture advection. The wind fields from the surface to 700mb will steadily increase within the prefrontal trough early this morning as a line of scattered showers pushes into the area. 0" within the prefrontal trough along with surface CAPE less than 100 J/kg. Key message(s): - Sunny and dry on Monday with high pressure in place.
648 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - A potent cold front will bring strong wind gusts as it crosses the area late tonight through midday Sunday.
645 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 High pressure will remain offshore through tonight.
610 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated at 1230 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Breezy conditions behind a cold front this morning, as well as much cooler conditions. - Warm and breezy south winds briefly return Monday, resulting in limited fire weather danger, before a dry cold front passes through Monday afternoon. (Today and Tonight) The cold front is quickly pushing through the area this morning. Much of the CAM guidance is cooler than the NBM, but given ample sunshine, tend to think that these CAMs are slightly too cool. This will keep low temperatures a bit warmer, ranging from the upper 40s to upper 50s.
High temperatures today will reach the mid-50s to mid-60s late this morning and early this afternoon before the cold front associated with our approaching storm system sweeps across the state. Skies will clear with upper level ridging continuing through at least Thu afternoon. At that time, an upper level trough will be moving through the eastern Pacific, trying to move onshore.
618 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - A potent cold front will bring strong wind gusts as it crosses the area late tonight through midday Sunday.
Vigorous trough will swing out into the northern Plains late Sunday and into Monday. Cyclogenesis is anticipated east of the high terrain in the WY/SD/MT border region. The associated cyclones cold front will swing southward into the central High Plains during the day on Monday. Moisture will be limited, so no precipitation is expected with the passage of the cold front. Into the later half of the upcoming week, the next system of note is the current cut-off low that is situated well off the southwest coast of California. It isn't until the influence of the next Pacific trough that will eventually pick it and move eastward. In response to the approaching trough and low pressure development across the northeastern New Mexico to southwest Kansas vicinity, Gulf moisture will advect northward into the High Plains.
628 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cooler today compared to the last several days with highs in the 60s.
837 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - A potent cold front will bring strong wind gusts as it crosses the area late tonight through midday Sunday.
648 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Warm today, but a cold front moves into the region tonight. Cooler and more unsettled weather moves in behind this system with chances for showers through the week. Southwest flow will increase today out ahead of an approaching cold front. Rain showers will continue through Monday morning and much cooler conditions will move into the region behind this system. about 20 degrees cooler than what our highs will be today.
443 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Gusty north winds and cooler temperatures are expected today and tonight behind a cold front.
638 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance - Turning cooler today.
Major pressure gradients with the approaching cold front will result in windy conditions across portions of the Cascade Gaps and surrounding areas.
959 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 A cold front will cross the area this morning resulting in showers, gusty winds and falling temperatures today.
645 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - After the rain ends this morning it will be cooler than normal and dry through Monday.
Otherwise most areas within the Freeze Warning are experiencing at or below freezing temperatures. Weak ridge moving across the state today has lessened winds and brought colder temperatures. Areas with light to calm winds are seeing temperatures at or below freezing, while areas with a light west wind remain above freezing. This ridge moves eastward today bringing a warming southerly flow to the area today.
620 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated at 609 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cooler temperatures with highs in the 70s today. - Breezy westerly winds bring warmer temperatures and possible elevated fire weather conditions again Monday.
632 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Widespread below freezing temperatures this morning. Otherwise most areas within the Freeze Warning are experiencing at or below freezing temperatures. Weak ridge moving across the state today has lessened winds and brought colder temperatures. Areas with light to calm winds are seeing temperatures at or below freezing, while areas with a light west wind remain above freezing. This ridge moves eastward today bringing a warming southerly flow to the area today.
158 PM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Gusty winds expected through this evening behind a strong cold front, along with much cooler temperatures.
Updated at 1022 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Wind gusts of 20-30 mph are expected this afternoon, in the wake of the cold front.
Updated at 122 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Strong south winds Monday morning shifting to the north behind a cold front in the afternoon/evening with gusts up to 40 mph possible.
A cold front is on the move through SE Oregon this morning with showers developing along and ahead of the front. Increasing instability and lapse rates aloft along with lowering freezing levels could support a thunderstorm in the late afternoon-early evening (1500-2000MT). Shifting to SW-NW 10-25 kt gusts to 20-35 kt behind the cold front. A cold front will bring rain showers between Sun/16z-21z. Shifting to NW-W 8-15 kt gusts to 20-25 kt behind cold front this afternoon.
A line of showers and storms is moving across the Florida Big Bend and into northeast Florida this afternoon ahead of a cold front over the southeast U.
- Strong north winds with a dry cold front Monday.
Updated at 245 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - A roller coaster of temperatures is expected through the weekend as a series of cold fronts intrude upon the region.
154 PM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Warm today, but a cold front moves into the region tonight. Cooler and more unsettled weather moves in behind this system with chances for showers through the week. Southwest flow will increase today out ahead of an approaching cold front. Rain showers will continue through Monday morning and much cooler conditions will move into the region behind this system. about 20 degrees cooler than what our highs will be today.
- Cooler today compared to the last several days with highs in the 60s.
- Cooler temperatures this week with some cold nights. The trough axis will swing through in the afternoon and that will bring a very low chance for a pop up shower mainly in northeast areas, otherwise dry conditions will settle in. Colder air is building in behind the front and compared to yesterday we will see much cooler highs, as much as 20 degrees cooler with highs in the 60s.
Updated at 1255 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - There is a moderate risk of rip currents along the Lower Texas beaches through at least Monday evening.
1211 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - It will be breezy and much cooler today.
1233 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated at 1022 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Wind gusts of 20-30 mph are expected this afternoon, in the wake of the cold front.
This shift back to seasonal conditions was thanks to strong cool air mass which pushed a cold front that politely, yet firmly moved through the region last night.
Ridge top convergence/upslope showers were persistent along the Washington Cascades in the western sections of fire zones 694 and 695.
1228 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cooler today compared to the last several days with highs in the 60s.
Although temperatures have already risen to the upper 80s to low 90s areawide, cooler temperatures remain in the forecast for tonight, primarily for the northern half of the CWA. Lows will range from the mid to upper 50s over the Victoria Crossroads to the low 70s along the coast tonight.
1219 PM MDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Warmer today. Less windy most areas, but still windy ridges/east slopes with low humidities.
Dry, sunny conditions continue this weekend as the Desert Southwest remains under an upper level ridge, while a cutoff low remains well removed from our area west of the northern Baja Peninsula.
159 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - High pressure will spin the wind dial overnight with a wide range of temps from a chilly start to above average afternoon.
Though this morning's 12z KKEY sounding sampled dry air aloft, these showers are punching through that due to a trough supporting lift. Although temperatures are in the lower 80s, the dew points are in mid to upper 80s making for a swampy day outside. Outside of convection, winds will continue to gradually slacken as high pressure shifts easterly into the Atlantic. From synopsis, high pressure over the western Atlantic will move away from the US coastline today which will allow a lingering frontal boundary to lift north across the Florida Keys. Expect drier air and lighter winds mid week while low pressure builds over the eastern CONUS.
Current GOES-West visible satellite imagery depicts a band of clouds pushing through the forecast area as a trough crosses the Pacific Northwest. Dry weather and near normal temperatures prevail this weekend, as no precipitation is expected from the trough. Breezy north to east winds will develop behind the passage of this trough tonight through Monday.
- A ridge builds over the region causing mild conditions through most of the week. - Stable conditions under the ridge will promote valley fog this week. A ridge builds over the region early this week, causing warmer temperatures in the mountains and stable conditions.
1258 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated at 1252 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Gusty north winds this morning behind a cold front and cooler. - Windy on Monday before our next strong cold front passage with gusts up to 40 mph possible.
This period still has the upper level ridge breaking down as an upper level trough arrives at the OR-WA coast. During the high pressure period, wind should be light, with the only worry some fog after the short term period storm. A cold front associated with our approaching storm system sweeps across the state today.
221 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cooler and drier weather is expected this week with the potential for frost midweek. High pressure building through the Southern Plains behind this morning's front has led to the breezy northwest winds today. As that high pressure axis shifts east tonight we'll see winds die off considerably this evening, though maybe not to completely calm. But tomorrow the high moving east and another cold front approaching from the west cranks the winds back up again, this time out of the south/southwest. Kimble Monday night's front brings an even cooler and even drier air mass behind it.
254 PM MDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Cold front passing through the region this afternoon/evening, is bringing scattered showers, mountain snow, and breezy conditions.
1221 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 Updated aviation portion for 18Z TAF issuance - Turning cooler today.
- Drier and cooler conditions are expected by Monday with a more significant cooldown by mid-week. Cold front is moving across the region this afternoon with a line of rain, and a few embedded thunderstorms, directly along the frontal forcing. High pressure will be centered over the region with a clear sky, lighter winds, and cooler, more seasonable temperatures.
1228 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Much cooler today, a brief warmup Monday, followed by more seasonal temperatures through at least midweek.
Though this morning's 12z KKEY sounding sampled dry air aloft, these showers are punching through that due to a trough supporting lift. Although temperatures are in the lower 80s, the dew points are in mid to upper 80s making for a swampy day outside. Outside of convection, winds will continue to gradually slacken as high pressure shifts easterly into the Atlantic. Dew points rose from the lower 70s yesterday to mid 70s. Synoptically, the weather features of note at the surface are a high pressure system off the eastern seaboard and a developing low pressure system over the Great Lakes. Aloft, a mid latitude trough is digging south towards the Tennessee Valley while a broad ridge remains over Mexico.
Updated at 1225 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 - Decreasing winds and cooler temperatures today. - Gusty south winds return Monday morning and early afternoon, resulting in limited fire weather danger, before a dry cold front passes through Monday afternoon. By late this afternoon, eastern OK will already be on the back side of the high, with winds switching back to southerly direction. As another cold front approaches Monday afternoon the gradient will weaken and winds decrease.