Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
348 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Warm through mid-day for areas along and south of I-70 today before a cold front brings chilly air in from the north. - Cooler for the remainder of the week with high temperatures mainly staying in the 40s.
523 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Warm through mid-day for areas along and south of I-70 today before a cold front brings chilly air in from the north. - Cooler for the remainder of the week with high temperatures mainly staying in the 40s.
As a low pressure system track east from the Mid MS Valley to the lower Great Lakes, the pressure gradient across the TN Valley will tighten, producing a SW wind up the Valley that may be gusty at times, up to 20 mph. By tonight, a weak trough is over the Northeast and a ridge is building into the Southeast. At the surface, high pressure is over the Southeast today and low pressure is over the Northeast. A weak cold front will slowly move through the Ohio Valley tonight.
Increase cloud cover will act as a blanket and trap warmer air at the surface. Most locations will reach into the low 80s with the coastal areas in the 70s.
254 AM MST Mon Feb 3 2025 Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected for much of this week, especially today and Tuesday with lower desert high temperatures in the low to mid eighties.
Ridging will be in place over Florida and a rather zonal flow aloft despite a subtle cutoff low over the far southwestern Gulf. The main talk will be several foggy mornings looking likely as moisture streams northward from the Gulf and ridging leading to clear calm nights. Other than that, hope you enjoyed the rather warm temperatures yesterday as highs will only get warmer as they climb into the mid and even upper 70s.
- Areas of fog and freezing drizzle will persist through the morning hours, with additional chances later this afternoon into early Tuesday morning. The surface cold front has sagged southward, stretching from NW WY through the NE Panhandle through central NE. Moist, upslope flow persists across the western SD plains and foothills where fog/freezing fog/freezing drizzle (and some light snow) will linger through the morning hours. Extended the Winter Weather Advisory for freezing fog/drizzle until 13z to account for morning commute impacts.
- Dry, warmer-than-average conditions will continue. A sunny to mostly sunny sky is expected for the remainder of the day thanks to quasi-zonal flow aloft and high pressure at the surface. High temperatures are generally forecast to be in the lower/mid 70s, which is 12-20 degrees above average across the CWA. Tuesday will be another sunny to mostly sunny day as high pressure persists. It will be just as warm, if not a couple degrees warmer, than today -- high temperatures ranging from the lower 70s to around 80.
(Today and tonight) Mostly zonal flow aloft will start to transition into more of a ridge across the region. This will result in even warmer conditions across the area this afternoon.
403 AM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 Warm and breezy conditions will be in place for today before a cold front moves through tonight. High pressure and dry conditions will be in place for Tuesday.
Southern stream upper trough remains anchored just south of Brownsville, Texas, with upper ridges centered over Cuba and the Intermountain West. At the surface, high pressure was centered over the Carolinas. Weak onshore flow will gradually increase moisture levels, with dew points in the lower and middle 60s by Tuesday afternoon.
654 AM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 Warm and breezy conditions will be in place for today before a cold front moves through tonight. High pressure and dry conditions will be in place for Tuesday.
A building mid level ridge over our region will support warm anticyclonic low level flow and high temperatures that approach +20 deg F anomalies (mid/upper 70s). The leading edge of some much cooler polar air will attempt to reach northern portions of the forecast area by Tuesday afternoon, but the ridge will tend to deflect the front and ensure continued above normal warmth along with a few showers. The synoptic pattern remains the same, quasi- zonal flow across much of the CONUS with a subtropical ridge centered over the Bahamas/Cuba, southerly windflow at the surface promoting moisture advection across the southeastern states and a surface front lingering across the Tennessee river valley.
505 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - One more day of warmer temperatures today will lead to continued ice movement and potential for ice jams.
Updated temperatures and dewpoints to more closely match the warmer observed trends. Have a wonderful Monday morning! (Today through Tuesday) Light southeasterly to easterly wind flow will continue through the short term period as high pressure builds back over the region. A warmer beginning of the week is expected with dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s and high temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Temperatures will remain slightly cooler near the immediate coasts due to sea breeze development.
(Today through Tuesday Night) The near term will begin with low level moisture increasing ahead of a cold front approaching from the Plains. North of the front, temperatures will be cooler than today, and may be lower than what is indicated in the going forecast. This will happen as a large area of high pressure advances from the upper Midwest to the Ohio Valley and the mid-Atlantic states.
Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected for much of this week, especially today and Tuesday with lower desert high temperatures in the low to mid eighties.
541 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - A cold front will makes it's way through the area this morning, with temperatures changing little throughout the daytime hours. - Breezy winds expected behind the cold front with winds gusting 25-30mph.
300 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Ongoing light freezing drizzle and/or light snow/flurries are expected to wind down by around sunset this evening.
The strong ridge over the state today will get suppressed slightly southward Tuesday through the end of the week as a trough off the west coast moves eastward.
However, a cold front over the central Plains will slowly drop SE into the Mid South region tonight into the day on Tuesday. These clouds will also help to keep temperatures reletively mild tonight, with lows in the low to mid 50s being common.
Tomorrow's temperatures are trending cooler with the advent of cold air settling further south.
- Unseasonably warm temperatures will give way to a cold front Monday afternoon. Midday surface observations and radar imagery clearly depicted a sharp cold front slicing southward across SW KS. The cold front is pretty close to on schedule, maybe an hour or two early. Temperatures will continue to follow non- diurnal trends and fall through this afternoon as the cold front proceeds, expecting to be through Elkhart no later than 6 pm. Updated forecast for Tuesday will show temperatures struggling into the 30s, with many northeast locations failing to reach freezing.
(This evening through Tuesday) Temperatures are running 20 to 25 degrees warmer than normal this afternoon, with the record high temperature of 82 degrees broken at both Abilene and San Angelo. For Tuesday, models have come into some better agreement on the potential for a shallow, but rather potent, cold front moving into our northern counties late tonight, and affecting high temperatures in the Big Country and northern Concho Valley. So, an overall cooler day, but much colder across the Big Country behind the cold front. Currently, we have highs ranging from the mid 60s into the lower 70s roughly north of a Sterling City to Clyde line, but highs could be even colder than that if the front makes better progress south.
(Tonight through Tuesday night) High pressure influence over the eastern Gulf is resulting in southeasterly flow at the surface. There is a weak, meandering closed 500 hPa low in northern Tamaulipas that won't introduce increased PoPs but will continue to, in addition to anti-cyclonic flow around the eastern Gulf high pressure, increase PWATs across the region.
1202 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 (Today through Tuesday Night) The near term will begin with low level moisture increasing ahead of a cold front approaching from the Plains. North of the front, temperatures will be cooler than today, and may be lower than what is indicated in the going forecast. This will happen as a large area of high pressure advances from the upper Midwest to the Ohio Valley and the mid-Atlantic states.
- A cold front will makes it's way through the area this morning, with temperatures changing little throughout the daytime hours. - Breezy winds expected behind the cold front with winds gusting 25-30mph.
- Chances for freezing drizzle and potentially some freezing rain/light snow mixed in at times, over the far south late Tuesday night and area wide Wed/Wed even.
1005 AM MST Mon Feb 3 2025 Updated Aviation Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected for much of this week, especially today and Tuesday with lower desert high temperatures in the low to mid eighties.
- Unseasonably warm temperatures will give way to a cold front Monday afternoon. The exception to this will be across our northeast zones where a backdoor cold front will move through early enough for only 60s to be observed for highs. This cold front will sweep through the remainder of the forecast area this evening shifting winds to the east to northeast.
1139 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 * A strong cold front will move through the region today.
255 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Colder tonight and Tuesday as a cold front moves through central Indiana from the northwest.
Expect highs in the lower to middle 80s with some locations in the far southwestern CWA approaching 90 degrees this afternoon.
(This evening through Tuesday Night) A nearly zonal to flat ridging upper level regime will continue through Tuesday Night across the Southern Plains and Lower Miss Valley. The only fly in this ointment so to speak is a very shallow cooler airmass currently working its way southward across SE KS into N OK. The eastern flank of this boundary could backdoor south and west into more of SW AR by Tuesday Night but a majority of the region will not experience any impacts from this shallow, cooler air which will for the most part remain locked to our north.
Main high pressure ridge is centered just off the GA/SC coast and is expected to sink slowly south to central FL by Tue afternoon. This ridge will keep things dry through the short term but we will begin to see a little moisture return Mon night into Tue.
352 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 A cold front will move through the area tonight. High pressure will build in Tuesday and Tuesday night. Cold front extending from southern Michigan to central Missouri this afternoon will slide through the region tonight. High pressure will build southeast into the Great Lakes during the period. There will be a fairly good gradient in highs, partly dependent on how the low clouds decrease.
1258 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 Warm and breezy conditions will be in place for today before a cold front moves through tonight. High pressure and dry conditions will be in place for Tuesday.
149 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Temperatures fall this evening behind cold front.
Updated at 205 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Cold front moves into the area this evening - High uncertainty in temperatures persists this week.
(Rest of today through Tuesday) The influence of high pressure will remain over the region through Tuesday with a warm, moist air mass holding.
Easterly winds become more southerly/southeasterly tonight as surface ridging elongates into the central Gulf, another round of widespread fog is on tap through most of the area. Ridging remains draped through the northern Gulf coast Tuesday with winds becoming west to northwest as a weak frontal boundary sags into central Alabama and Georgia. Lows tonight will fall into the lower 50s and highs Tuesday will reach the mid/upper 70s.
1114 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - One more day of warmer temperatures today will lead to continued ice movement and potential for ice jams.
Coastal trough over the Atlantic waters continues to weaken while high pressure ridge will remain in control and this will shift the onshore East to Northeast surface flow this afternoon/evening to a more light West to Northwest surface flow during the overnight hours.
1112 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Warm through mid-day for areas along and south of I-70 today before a cold front brings chilly air in from the north. - Cooler for the remainder of the week with high temperatures mainly staying in the 40s.
241 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 At the risk of sounding like a broken record on repeat, another night of mostly dry and quiet weather conditions is in the forecast for this evening as model guidance from both the GFS and the NAM continue to highlight a mid-level ridge over the southeast CONUS. Global guidance does show a cold front over the Tennessee River Valley inching closer to northern portions of our forecast area by Tuesday afternoon. The mid-level ridge will tend to deflect the front leading to above normal temperatures in the mid/upper 70s areawide along with a few scattered showers. Model consensus still supports quasi- zonal flow that will continue across much of the CONUS with a subtropical ridge centered over the Bahamas/Cuba.
This setup with the cold front passing to the south Tuesday morning in north-central Idaho, and a plethora of moisture moving overhead, is a good maptype for heavy snow.
The weather will remain dry over South Florida for the overnight hours as the ridge of high pressure builds into the region. (Rest of today through Tuesday) The influence of high pressure will remain over the region through Tuesday with a warm, moist air mass holding.
926 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 A cold front will move through the area tonight. High pressure will build in Tuesday and Tuesday night. Cold front beginning to move through our eastern IN/west-central OH counties late this evening. The coldest temperatures will be near and north of I-70 as locations here will dip to near or below the freezing mark. High pressure will build southeast into the Great Lakes during the period. There will be a fairly good gradient in highs, partly dependent on how the low clouds decrease.
410 PM MST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Areas of fog and freezing drizzle possible tonight into Tuesday morning. - Cooler temperatures persist through the week, with periodic chances for light snow. Tonight into Tuesday morning may see some areas of light freezing drizzle or freezing fog over western SD as soundings show similar thermal profiles compared to last night.
This occurs as a trough begins to dip into the northeastern CONUS and upper ridging develops along an axis right on the eastern side of the Rocky Mountains.
Freezing temperatures are forecast across all areas with low/mid-20s to low teens forecast for east side and 20s for most of west side. Even the coast will get a chance for some of the freezing temperatures with a near 100% probability to see this tonight. With the freezing temperatures, wet roads have the potential to have slick spots.
540 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Ongoing light freezing drizzle and/or light snow/flurries are expected to wind down by around sunset this evening.
However, a cold front over the central Plains will slowly drop SE into the Mid South region tonight into the day on Tuesday. These clouds will also help to keep temperatures relatively mild tonight, with lows in the low to mid 50s being common.
Lows tonight will be warm (11-18 degrees above normal), only dropping into the low to mid 50s.
553 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 Updated at 205 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Cold front moves into the area this evening - High uncertainty in temperatures persists this week.
543 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 At the risk of sounding like a broken record on repeat, another night of mostly dry and quiet weather conditions is in the forecast for this evening as model guidance from both the GFS and the NAM continue to highlight a mid-level ridge over the southeast CONUS. Global guidance does show a cold front over the Tennessee River Valley inching closer to northern portions of our forecast area by Tuesday afternoon. The mid-level ridge will tend to deflect the front leading to above normal temperatures in the mid/upper 70s areawide along with a few scattered showers. Model consensus still supports quasi- zonal flow that will continue across much of the CONUS with a subtropical ridge centered over the Bahamas/Cuba.
634 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Colder tonight and Tuesday as a cold front moves through central Indiana from the northwest.
202 PM MST Mon Feb 3 2025 KEY MESSAGES: - A slow moving upper trough in southern Canada will keep Arctic air in place through the end of the week.
244 PM MST Mon Feb 3 2025 Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected for much of this week, especially today and Tuesday with lower desert high temperatures in the low to mid eighties.
507 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 Tomorrow's temperatures are trending cooler with the advent of cold air settling further south.
514 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Temperatures fall this evening behind cold front.
600 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 (Tonight through Tuesday night) High pressure influence over the eastern Gulf is resulting in southeasterly flow at the surface. There is a weak, meandering closed 500 hPa low in northern Tamaulipas that won't introduce increased PoPs but will continue to, in addition to anti-cyclonic flow around the eastern Gulf high pressure, increase PWATs across the region.
Lows will range from the lower 50s over SE GA, to the mid to upper 50s across NE FL. Coastal trough over the Atlantic waters continues to weaken while high pressure ridge will remain in control and this will shift the onshore East to Northeast surface flow this afternoon/evening to a more light West to Northwest surface flow during the overnight hours.
540 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 (This evening through Tuesday Night) A nearly zonal to flat ridging upper level regime will continue through Tuesday Night across the Southern Plains and Lower Miss Valley. The only fly in this ointment so to speak is a very shallow cooler airmass currently working its way southward across SE KS into N OK. The eastern flank of this boundary could backdoor south and west into more of SW AR by Tuesday Night but a majority of the region will not experience any impacts from this shallow, cooler air which will for the most part remain locked to our north.
A broad area of high pressure is centered to the south over Mexico with high clouds streaming into Arizona around its northern periphery. Highs will be in the low 80s to mid 80s for most valley locations. After Tuesday the ridge begins to shift east easing height anomalies a little over Arizona.
636 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 A cold front will move through the area tonight. High pressure will build in Tuesday and Tuesday night. Cold front extending from southern Michigan to central Missouri this afternoon will slide through the region tonight. High pressure will build southeast into the Great Lakes during the period. There will be a fairly good gradient in highs, partly dependent on how the low clouds decrease.
214 PM MST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Areas of fog and freezing drizzle possible tonight into Tuesday morning. - Cooler temperatures persist through the week, with periodic chances for light snow. Tonight into Tuesday morning may see some areas of light freezing drizzle or freezing fog over western SD as soundings show similar thermal profiles compared to last night.
Expect weather conditions similar to today's on Tuesday as the high remains strong to our east. Will continue to monitor high temperatures as it may run a couple of degrees warmer than today.
655 PM EST Mon Feb 3 2025 (Rest of today through Tuesday) The influence of high pressure will remain over the region through Tuesday with a warm, moist air mass holding.
Updated at 202 AM CST Tue Feb 4 2025 - Cold front brings slightly cooler temperatures to the Permian Basin today with record highs expected again out west.
1122 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - Drizzle/freezing drizzle expected Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Low clouds to return overnight with lows forecast to fall into the low to mid 60s.
(Today through Wednesday) The influence of high pressure will remain over the region through the short term forecast period with a warm and humid conditions persisting.
1058 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025 - There will be period of light freezing rain in areas north of I-70 late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
102 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2025 Wintry precipitation is tapering off from northwest to southeast as drier air moves in behind the surface cold front.
This morning will have the lowest wind chill values with that cold high pressure causing light winds. The incoming low pressure is creating widespread snow in Montana right now, although not sure what is making it to the ground. After 3am CT, a snow band is forecast to Be Legendary and move through the western half of North Dakota, limited by the high pressure center to the north and east.
Wednesday, a surface warm front will advect warmer air across the area and increase our moisture. With warmer temperatures and more moisture comes instability: namely SBCAPE values across the area of 300 - 500 J/kg.
Clouds spread into the area overnight ahead of a cold front, slight chance of light showers/sprinkles in mountains and SW VA. Clouds will likely be stubborn in our area under a strong inversion in the lower levels, and the main impact will be a warm start to Tuesday with many locations in the valley staying in the upper 40's or lower 50's through sunrise. Even with highs today expected to be around 5 degrees cooler than yesterday, we're still experiencing temperatures 10-15 degrees above seasonal normals.
Low pressure is forecast to dig southward off the coast tonight causing the frontal zone to become more north-south oriented Tuesday and keeping most of the Idaho zones mild and eastern Oregon relatively cold. The low pressure will come inland Tuesday night and move the whole frontal zone eastward as a cold front early Wednesday.
110 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2025 A cold front will move through the area tonight. High pressure will build in Tuesday and Tuesday night. Cold front beginning to move through our eastern IN/west-central OH counties late this evening. The coldest temperatures will be near and north of I-70 as locations here will dip to near or below the freezing mark. High pressure will build southeast into the Great Lakes during the period. There will be a fairly good gradient in highs, partly dependent on how the low clouds decrease.
/57/ (This evening through Tuesday Night) A nearly zonal to flat ridging upper level regime will continue through Tuesday Night across the Southern Plains and Lower Miss Valley. The only fly in this ointment so to speak is a very shallow cooler airmass currently working its way southward across SE KS into N OK. The eastern flank of this boundary could backdoor south and west into more of SW AR by Tuesday Night but a majority of the region will not experience any impacts from this shallow, cooler air which will for the most part remain locked to our north.
Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected for much of this week, especially today and Tuesday with lower desert high temperatures in the low to mid eighties. The Desert Southwest remains under the influence of broad, anticyclonic flow, with high pressure currently centered over northern Mexico. Thermal profiles have warmed quickly in response to this upper level ridging. As a result, forecast highs for today and Tuesday will peak in the lower to middle 80s across the lower deserts, which is near daily records for Phoenix (see Climate section. Sunny skies should prevail by Tuesday afternoon, so despite heights aloft decreasing as the upper level ridge shifts further east of the forecast area, forecast highs only drop a couple degrees.
- Warmer than normal temperatures through the end of the week with no significant rainfall expected. Temperatures and dewpoints in the lower/mid 60s expected to remain over the cooler waters (ranging in the 50s to near 60) across the coastal waters, inland lakes & bays, will be the main contributor of the fog formation. with mid to upper level high pressure extending across Mexico and the Gulf.