Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025 Broad low pressure along the Mid-Atlantic coast will showers, gusty winds, and high surf through Tuesday. The low will eventually push well out to sea by a front midweek.
635 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 - Scattered showers will continue into tonight; additional showers possible across central KS Tuesday - Dry and mild conditions for midweek - Rain chances return for late week into the weekend As of 2 PM Monday afternoon, broad southwest midlevel flow remains across the central Plains with deep troughing across the western CONUS and ridging within the MS valley. The associated cloud debris will keep temperatures much cooler with highs expected to top out in the 60s across central KS. Transitioning beyond Tuesday, midlevel heights will amplify and retrograde across the lower Plains.
-A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for the Lower and Middle Keys. Otherwise, winds have begun freshening from east to west as high pressure begins to slowly fill in behind a broad low pressure system sitting off the Mid- Atlantic and New England Coasts. From synopsis: A low pressure system will continue to move off the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic coastline overnight. High pressure builds in behind it across much of the eastern United States.
735 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 - Dramatically cooler Monday with increasing clouds and rain showers. - Scattered rain showers continue Monday night and early Tuesday as a warm front lifts north across SW KS. - Decreasing clouds and warmer Tuesday afternoon.
Overnight lows will be slightly higher tonight, in the low 50s. Temperatures will continue to warm into the work week thanks to High Pressure, so unfortunately we won't be getting any closer to fall-like temperatures except in the mornings. (Tuesday Night through next Monday) Dry weather through the work week because of the aforementioned high pressure system lingering over us. That high pressure will flatten into the weekend, leaving us vulnerable to a trough moving in from the west. This trough appears to be of decent strength in the extended guidance, but it is too soon to say whether we will see any hazardous weather because of it. The strength and position of the trough continues to shift with subsequent runs of guidance, as it typically does at this time frame.
736 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025 A coastal low will slowly drift offshore through mid week as dry and warmer high pressure builds in across the region.
- Above average temperatures will continue through the remainder of this week with persistent ridging in place.
124 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A coastal low will drift offshore through mid week as dry and warmer high pressure builds in across the region.
/NEW/ /Through Wednesday/ The dominance of a mid level ridge will continue to be the primary story in the short-term, with above-normal temperatures and dry conditions expected through the midweek period. /NEW/ /Wednesday Night Onward/ The ridge will shift east during the second half of the week as a West Coast upper trough works its way slowly east towards the Plains.
450 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A ridge of high pressure should allow for a dry remainder of the week. A dry front then pushes across midweek with cooler temperatures behind it.
Weak high pressure building into the region, combined with offshore flow, and will bring cool and dry conditions to the western Washington on Tuesday and Wednesday.
The primary concern for this forecast will be with the increased thunderstorm threat this weekend, but before then, it will be more of the same through the work week with an unusually strong subtropical ridge remaining fixed over the Southern Plains to Lower MS Valley region. Either of these solutions would provide sufficient lift/moisture/instability for storms to develop and organize ahead of a cold front in the last Sat/Sat night time frame, but the ECMWF suggests a scenario that is more supportive of severe storms given stronger low level wind fields and deep layer shear and the potential for great instability.
208 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Mostly Dry Until Late Week - Weekend Shower/Storm Chances - Mostly Dry Until Late Week A weakening cold front is coming through mostly dry today, but some mid and low level cloud cover will persist into Tue morning. This precipitation will be produced amid midlevel lift and moisture (above 700 mb) crossing the ridge and spreading over relatively dry low-level air. Wed is expected to be the coolest day of the week with highs in the lower 60s, which is pretty close to mid October normals.
As we head into the weekend, a deep area of low pressure will move through the Ohio Valley region, bringing gusty winds and rainfall. The combination of the high to our west and the deep low off of New England will continue northeasterly flow across our region and winds will be around 10 MPH throughout the daytime hours. Tuesday night remains dry, with overnight lows falling again to the low 50s/upper 40s. Concurrently with this, at the surface, a dry cold front passes through and temperatures on Wednesday cool slightly, rising to the upper 60s/ low 70s.
A dry cold front moves through on Wednesday, bringing clear skies, breezy northerly winds and much cooler weather.
328 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A primarily dry cold front will cross the area tonight. High pressure will then build behind the front on Wednesday and persist through the end of the week.
202 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure will build through Wednesday leading to a warming trend. A passing dry cold front Wednesday night will usher in the coolest air since Spring.
222 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Low pressure south of New England drifts east today with high surf gradually diminishing today.
116 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - High pressure keeps us dry and seasonally mild for the rest of the work week.
- Cooler Tuesday-Wednesday with temperatures rebounding again late in the week. Associated cold front draped to the south across northern Ontario, the central U. By Tuesday night, low pressure begins to show signs of materializing lee of the Rockies with a developing warm front stretched from the Plains into the mid-MS Valley. High temps expected to be a good 10+ degrees cooler than today in many areas -- largely spanning the 50s -- save for some low-mid 60s creeping in near Saginaw Bay.
(Today through Wednesday) Ridging and high pressure will be the main story for the short term with dry and sunny conditions expected through the period. With the pattern dominated by high pressure and little to no cloud cover temps will easily warm to the low to mid 80s today at ~10 degrees above normal. Tomorrow will see much of the same weather with temps in the low to mid 80s (~10 degrees above normal) and clear skies.
1131 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025 High pressure will build through Wednesday leading to a warming trend. A cold front Wednesday night will usher in the coolest air since Spring.
Current cold frontal boundary just east of Michigan continues to progress eastward today, allowing for a cool/dry air mass to settle into the region. At the same time, low pressure lee of the Rockies returns some light shower chances later tonight as a warm front spans across the plains into the Mississippi Valley. Biggest feature that will be noticeably different than yesterday is the cooler air airmass from the NW returning temperatures to near climo averages for mid October. Winds remain from the northwest with breezy conditions building in the afternoon as pressure gradient force winds pinch the midwest from high pressure NW of Lake Superior.
As for rain chances, models indicate that the high pressure aloft currently centered over S TX will move northeast of the area as a mid level inverted trough approaches the TX coast from the east on Tuesday. This may be just enough for a low chance of showers along the sea breeze Wednesday afternoon combined with the trough tracking west across the region.
1104 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025 High pressure slowly exits to the east through Tuesday while a coastal low tracks well to the south from the Mid-Atlantic coast.
Updated at 1033 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 - Life-threatening rip currents are expected Tuesday and again this weekend along beaches of the lower Texas coast. A strong 500mb low swings inland along the West Coast and into the Rockies by late this week, nudging the ridge across Texas out into the northern Gulf.
1231 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Updated at 1230 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Life-threatening rip currents are expected Tuesday and again this weekend along beaches of the lower Texas coast. A strong 500mb low swings inland along the West Coast and into the Rockies by late this week, nudging the ridge across Texas out into the northern Gulf.
(Today through Wednesday) Sunny and unseasonably warm conditions are expected to continue today and tomorrow as the deep-layer ridge builds over the ArkLaTex. Weak height rises will occur today, allowing highs to reach about a degree or two warmer than yesterday with many locations warming into the mid 80s. North to northeasterly surface flow and clear skies will support a cool night with lows in the lower to mid 50s. Some of the cooler valley locations in our northeast may fall into the upper 40s shortly before sunrise. The ridge axis will shift slightly east as a deep upper-level trough begins to move towards the Four Corners.
- Weak cold front brings low chances (10-20%) for rain this weekend. However, lows should be a touch warmer than yesterday morning with mainly lower 60s east to near 70 west across the Rio Grande Plains. Highs are expected to be similar to Mondays and maybe a few degrees warmer with many areas reaching the lower 90s.
Temperatures warm back into the upper 70s to low 80s once again as of ridge of high pressure remains just to the west. Wednesday will be much of the same, with slightly warmer temperatures and dry weather.
359 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A primarily dry cold front will cross the area tonight. High pressure will then build behind the front on Wednesday and persist through the end of the week.
A weak backdoor cold front will move onshore the east coast of Florida on Wednesday. High pressure surface and aloft will build over the region late in the week with clear skies and daytime highs a few degrees above climatic normals.
1200 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Dry and warm conditions are expected Tuesday with a building ridge.
140 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure will remain in place through Wednesday before a reinforcing dry cold front moves through Wednesday night, with temperatures several degrees cooler behind the boundary. The upper level pattern remains amplified across the CONUS, with our departing nor'easter/coastal low off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and a strong mid/upper level low pushing into central California. This is having an amplifying impact on downstream ridging to our west, with heights forecast to rise across the region today. 850 hPa temps look to be around 12C, which should yield highs in the low 80s for many, give or take a degree or two. Key message(s): - Dry cold front passes Wednesday night.
1157 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 - Cooler temperatures with highs mainly in the 60s today and tomorrow.
329 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Forecast discussion for routine morning forecast issuance - Cooler temperatures today and Wednesday, with a warm up late in the week.
A few showers may clip the northwestern part of the state Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as a low pressure system moves by to the north. Approaching Low pressure system from California is providing some shear to the area making things a little interesting this afternoon. Starting tonight into tomorrow the approaching closed Low over California will start bringing in some drier air which will finally dry out the state from this subtropical air mass. By Tuesday afternoon this Low will hook to the northeast from Santa Barbara, pass just north of Las Vegas and head into the Great Basin, weakening as it does.
(Today and tonight) High pressure will continue redeveloping across the State of Texas today.
Right now, this pattern isn't conducive to seeing any surprise pockets of freezing rain where it stays colder overnight. Wednesday begins with a closed upper low in place across central Nevada with broad upper troughing in place across eastern Idaho.
159 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure will extend into the region this week. A dry cold front will drop south through the area Wednesday night. Another cold front could impact the area late in the weekend. Mid-level troughing will move off the Eastern Seaboard, while ridging builds in from the Central U. The High will bring our area dry conditions. Lows will be in the mid 50s far inland, to the lower 60s near the coast.
Cooler, but still near normal, readings for Tuesday and Wednesday, with a warm up for late in the week. North to northeast winds will bring cooler temperatures on Tuesday, as highs only rise into the 50s across the north and around 60 across the Fox Valley and lakeshore.
124 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Dry and warm conditions are expected Tuesday with a building ridge.
650 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible through the day with cooler temperatures - Fog potential Wednesday morning across the northern Sandhills into north central Nebraska - Temperatures warm on Wednesday with the next chance of showers and thunderstorms, with the chance for isolated severe storms The main concerns in the short term will be precipitation chances through today and the cooler temperatures, along with fog potential early Wednesday morning. As a sw trof moves into the area will see shower activity increase this morning. Kept temperatures trending cooler as the combination of showers and increasing low cloud coverage through the peak heating hours is expected, highs will generally be in the 50s to low 60s. For Wednesday, it will be a brief warm-up as WAA increases with the lifting warm front.
616 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure will remain in place through Wednesday before a reinforcing dry cold front moves through Wednesday night, with temperatures several degrees cooler behind the boundary. The upper level pattern remains amplified across the CONUS, with our departing nor'easter/coastal low off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and a strong mid/upper level low pushing into central California. This is having an amplifying impact on downstream ridging to our west, with heights forecast to rise across the region today. 850 hPa temps look to be around 12C, which should yield highs in the low 80s for many, give or take a degree or two. Key message(s): - Dry cold front passes Wednesday night.
617 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A coastal low will drift offshore through mid week as dry and warmer high pressure builds in across the region.
656 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure will build through Wednesday leading to a warming trend. A passing dry cold front Wednesday night will usher in the coolest air since Spring.
642 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A ridge of high pressure should allow for a dry remainder of the week. A dry front then pushes across midweek with cooler temperatures behind it.
722 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure will extend into the region this week. A dry cold front will drop south through the area Wednesday night. Another cold front could impact the area late in the weekend. Mid-level troughing will move off the Eastern Seaboard, while ridging builds in from the Central U. The High will bring our area dry conditions. Lows will be in the mid 50s far inland, to the lower 60s near the coast.
High pressure at both the surface and aloft remains firmly in place across the forecast area. /19/ The primary concern for this forecast will be with the increased thunderstorm threat this weekend, but before then, it will be more of the same through the work week with an unusually strong subtropical ridge remaining fixed over the Southern Plains to Lower MS Valley region. Either of these solutions would provide sufficient lift/moisture/instability for storms to develop and organize ahead of a cold front in the last Sat/Sat night time frame, but the ECMWF suggests a scenario that is more supportive of severe storms given stronger low level wind fields and deep layer shear and the potential for great instability.
For the rest of today into Wednesday, the CAMs and HREF output are in better agreement showing the upper level low moving into the central CA coast by the early afternoon. The low then tracks into Mineral and Esmeralda counties by the late evening, and into northeast NV by Wednesday afternoon.
956 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Low pressure south of New England drifts east today with high surf gradually diminishing.
630 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Updated at 630 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Moderate risk of rip currents are expected through this evening and again this weekend along beaches of the lower Texas coast. A strong 500mb low swings inland along the West Coast and into the Rockies by late this week, nudging the ridge across Texas out into the northern Gulf.
649 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance - Cooler temperatures today and Wednesday, with a warm up late in the week.
Weak high pressure building into the region, combined with offshore flow, will bring cool and dry conditions to western Washington today and Wednesday.
A deep northerly flow today with generally dry conditions will continue, with a weak frontal boundary/trough moving south over the area late today through tonight. Therefore, started the high rip current risk for northeast FL now, and hazard products have been updated.
/Issued 1246 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025/ /Through Wednesday/ The dominance of a mid level ridge will continue to be the primary story in the short-term, with above-normal temperatures and dry conditions expected through the midweek period. /Issued 1246 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025/ /Wednesday Night Onward/ The ridge will shift east during the second half of the week as a West Coast upper trough works its way slowly east towards the Plains.
The northeasterly flow will take over the PacNW through tomorrow as the upper level trough begins moving eastward through California and the Four Corners. These conditions will promote sub-freezing temperatures to remain for both aforementioned areas with a Freeze Warning in effect for until 9 AM PDT this morning. Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 may continue for Kittitas Valley with Yakima Valley joining in with temperatures as low as 32 degrees for tomorrow night. The Foothills Blues Mtns-OR might have low temperatures reach to sub- freezing tomorrow night, but confidence is low (<30%) on the extent.
626 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Low pressure south of New England drifts east today with high surf gradually diminishing.
403 AM MDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Scattered showers mainly over the mountains this morning, then warmer and drier.
549 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 (Today through Wednesday) Sunny and unseasonably warm conditions are expected to continue today and tomorrow as the deep-layer ridge builds over the ArkLaTex. Weak height rises will occur today, allowing highs to reach about a degree or two warmer than yesterday with many locations warming into the mid 80s. North to northeasterly surface flow and clear skies will support a cool night with lows in the lower to mid 50s. Some of the cooler valley locations in our northeast may fall into the upper 40s shortly before sunrise. The ridge axis will shift slightly east as a deep upper-level trough begins to move towards the Four Corners.
407 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible through the day with cooler temperatures - Fog potential Wednesday morning across the northern Sandhills into north central Nebraska - Temperatures warm on Wednesday with the next chance of showers and thunderstorms, with the chance for isolated severe storms The main concerns in the short term will be precipitation chances through today and the cooler temperatures, along with fog potential early Wednesday morning. As a sw trof moves into the area will see shower activity increase this morning. Kept temperatures trending cooler as the combination of showers and increasing low cloud coverage through the peak heating hours is expected, highs will generally be in the 50s to low 60s. For Wednesday, it will be a brief warm-up as WAA increases with the lifting warm front.
354 AM PDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A low pressure system continues to move south of the Pacific Northwest into northern California, allowing skies to stay clear and offshore flow to increase this afternoon.
615 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Above average temperatures will continue through the remainder of this week with persistent ridging in place.
749 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A primarily dry cold front will cross the area tonight. High pressure will then build behind the front on Wednesday and persist through the end of the week.
146 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - High pressure keeps us dry and seasonally mild for the rest of the work week.
1228 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Cooler temperatures today and Wednesday, with a warm up late in the week.
141 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 * Cloud cover decreases this evening with some lingering clouds in the Lower Susquehanna Valley into Wednesday morning.
123 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A primarily dry cold front will cross the area tonight. High pressure will then build behind the front on Wednesday and persist through the end of the week.
- Fog possible tonight ahead of a warm frontal passage, could be locally dense especially along and north of I-80.
130 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025 High pressure remains in place through Wednesday before a reinforcing dry cold front moves through Wednesday night, with temperatures several degrees cooler behind the boundary. Satellite imagery is showing just a few clouds out there this afternoon, mainly over the eastern Midlands due to remnant clouds from the exiting low pressure. Expect similar conditions the rest of today and tonight as high pressure continues to build in the region. - A dry cold front moves through late Wednesday into Wednesday night ushering in a cool, dry air mass.
1254 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 (Rest of Today and Tonight) Temperatures have climbed into the lower to mid 70s in many areas. Temperatures should fall into the lower to mid 50s again tonight with clear skies.
- Early indications of another cold front arriving this weekend. (This afternoon through Wednesday) Upper level high pressure becomes pretty much centered right over our area today, which will dominate our weather pattern through the short term. With many areas seeing RH values into the low 30s Tuesday, some potentially touch the upper 20s, and rising up some into the upper 30s to mid 40s.
* Temperatures will be well below normal most of the week, with freezing morning low temperatures across the Owens Valley and Southern Great Basin Wednesday morning.
Updated at 1230 PM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Drier and cooler tonight with some low clouds by Wednesday morning over the far southwest South Plains.
An upper level Low over southern California will track northeast tonight and tomorrow, however the only impacts to our area will be a few showers overnight through noon Wednesday in far northwest Arizona.
As the low pressure system tracks further inland today, we will continue to see impacts areawide. Wrap-around bands of precipitation late this evening and through early Wednesday morning will keep light showers across W NV, the Sierra south of the Tahoe Basin, and along the US-395 corridor from Reno down to Bridgeport. Near normal highs for mid-October are also expected to return by this weekend with afternoon highs back up into the low 70s and mid 60s for valleys and higher elevations, respectively.