Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
Some light freezing drizzle also possible. The latest water vapor loop shows an upper low spinning off the CA coast with moist southwest flow streaming across the CWA. Upper low pressure over southern Canada was setting up a confluence zone over the northern CWA. Surface map and webcams showed a mix of rain/snow as temperatures were in the lower to mid 30s.
(This evening through Sunday) We'll be under weak ridging aloft for the short term, helping to keep our temperatures above normal and precipitation chances low. We will see some mid to high clouds today and tomorrow, as the low over the west coast shifts more south and east, strengthening our southwest flow aloft and increasing the moisture transport from the Pacific at upper levels. Sunday morning will see temperatures in the low to mid 60s, which is only a few degrees lower than our record warm low for the 31st. Sunday afternoon will be a bit warmer and breezier than today, with highs reaching into the upper 80s to near 90 and wind gusts up to 30 mph.
High pressure/upper ridging will continue to slowly shift east over the region, keeping dry and warm air in place. Will see an increase in high clouds overnight, as lows remain several degrees above seasonal norms only falling to the low to mid 50s.
The front will move northward as a warm front tonight as the low level jet strengthens.
1237 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (Today through Sunday) High pressure currently centered over Florida will drift eastward through Sunday. Lows tonight will be mild along with the high clouds and added moisture in place.
1114 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 As of 10:45 AM today, temperatures are gradually rising into the lower 70s under mostly cloudy skies. Later this afternoon, temperature maximums will approach the lower 80s.
(This evening through Sunday Night) Warmer than average weather will continue across the Four State Region through the rest of Easter Weekend. This is due to surface ridging having made its way further across the Mississippi River, maintaining southerly surface winds and warm air advection in the process. Temperature maximums and minimums will remain in the 80s/60s as a result with dew points also reaching the low-to-mid 60s.
An upper low off the central coast of California will dominate the weather over the San Joaquin Valley over the next 36 to 48 hours.
34/JFB (Now through Sunday) Dry and mild is the theme of the local weather through Sunday thanks to upper level ridging. Cooler marine waters will keep immediate coastal areas a few degrees cooler for Sunday highs.
1020 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 - Some light freezing drizzle in the northern Red River Valley and northwestern Minnesota this morning, creating minor travel impacts. Latest road obs showing temps still below freezing as well. Expect as temperatures continue to warm this morning, any lingering light freezing drizzle/mist impacts should begin to diminish by mid-day. From automated sites reporting BR and road reports with slick spots along our northern tier from Pembina to Lake of the Woods, we still seem to be getting some freezing drizzle in our northeastern counties.
For Sunday, slight increases to maximum temperature will be driven by WAA and a building midlevel ridge, though this will be blunted somewhat by persistent cloud cover.
1230 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (The rest of today) Relatively weak surface boundary has dropped into far northeast Oklahoma this morning bringing slightly cooler temperatures and a change to light northerly winds across the far northern parts of the forecast area. The surface boundary draped across northeast Oklahoma will also eventually begin to retreat northward this afternoon in response to a deepening surface cyclone over the High Plains of eastern Colorado and western Kansas. All of these factors will make the high temperature forecast difficult for northern parts of the forecast area, with late date recovery likely as the front retreats and skies clear this afternoon.
1250 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 - After a slightly cooler and quiet day, periods of light rain and snow return to the region tonight into Sunday.
Sunday will be another nice day with highs a couple degrees warmer than today.
1249 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 - Will be monitoring for a short period of freezing rain this morning across Taylor and portions of Clark Counties.
A ridge of high pressure will continue to bring warm and dry weather to the Mid-South this weekend.
/SEC (Today through Sunday) High pressure and dry conditions are anticipated through the short term period.
(This evening through Sunday) Our upper-level flow continues to remain out of the southwest as a closed low remains off the California coast. The one complicating factor will be mid and high cloud cover so wherever clouds remain thickest temperatures may end up a few degrees cooler.
108 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 - The threat of freezing drizzle has ended across the far north as temperatures have warmed and low level dry air has moved into the area. Latest road obs showing temps still below freezing as well. Expect as temperatures continue to warm this morning, any lingering light freezing drizzle/mist impacts should begin to diminish by mid-day. From automated sites reporting BR and road reports with slick spots along our northern tier from Pembina to Lake of the Woods, we still seem to be getting some freezing drizzle in our northeastern counties.
Discussion: In the upper levels, weak ridging or nearly zonal flow will remain in place.
There remains an upper level low over the central coast of California. This upper level low continues to bring light showers into our area this afternoon. Models then continue to show the upper level low over the coast of California to split and move overnight into Sunday. Models show the northern portion of the upper level low to move over northern Utah bringing ample moisture Sunday into our area, especially along the Utah border and the southern border with Wyoming.
219 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 A high pressure hovering over Florida will continue to promote surface ridging across the southeast CONUS region.
(The rest of today) Relatively weak surface boundary has dropped into far northeast Oklahoma this morning bringing slightly cooler temperatures and a change to light northerly winds across the far northern parts of the forecast area. The surface boundary draped across northeast Oklahoma will also eventually begin to retreat northward this afternoon in response to a deepening surface cyclone over the High Plains of eastern Colorado and western Kansas. All of these factors will make the high temperature forecast difficult for northern parts of the forecast area, with late date recovery likely as the front retreats and skies clear this afternoon.
Courtesy of sprawling high pressure and drier mid-levels, a quiet evening continues across the Florida peninsula. After a relatively cool start this morning, temperatures have warmed up nicely and will top out in the lower 80s.
738 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 A high pressure hovering over Florida will continue to promote surface ridging across the southeast CONUS region.
625 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 A ridge of high pressure will continue to bring warm and dry weather to the Mid-South this weekend.
720 PM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (Rest of today through Sunday) It'll be a beautiful weekend across South FL as high pressure to our east will remain in control. Light E/SE flow will result in warmer temps in SW FL today and Sunday, with high temps overall across South FL ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Despite veering this far over the past day and a half, the ridge the incoming airmass wrapping around the ridge is still quite dry and not very heated. Dew points remain shy of 60 and temperatures are in the lower to mid 70s. The above factors, along with unidirectional flow and dominant ridging through the lower levels has prevented anything resembling a shower through the evening. Short Term Update - The previously mentioned ridge will shift further east southeastward into the Atlantic. Expect overnight lows to settle into the lower 70s with dew points creeping up a degree or three. A ridge across Florida will maintain east to southeasterly breezes, ranging from gentle to moderate near and north of the Keys, and moderate to fresh over the Florida Straits.
717 PM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (Through Sunday) With high pressure settled over the northeast Gulf and the FL Peninsula we'll remain under mostly clear skies and dry conditions. Expect overnight lows generally in the upper 40s to low 50s with daytime highs generally in the low 80s.
(Tonight) The previous forecast remains on track as high pressure continues to influence the Tennessee Valley, resulting in dry weather and mostly clear skies. Otherwise, low temperatures are forecast to fall into the low to mid 50s throughout most areas with a few locations potentially dipping into the upper 40s.
Lows will drop to the mid 50s over NE MS where winds will be lightest to the lower 60s over the Delta. A ridge of high pressure will continue to bring warm and dry weather to the Mid-South this weekend.
701 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (This evening through Sunday Night) Warmer than average weather will continue across the Four State Region through the rest of Easter Weekend. This is due to surface ridging having made its way further across the Mississippi River, maintaining southerly surface winds and warm air advection in the process. Temperature maximums and minimums will remain in the 80s/60s as a result with dew points also reaching the low-to-mid 60s.
Snow amounts will be highly elevation dependent with some lower valleys seeing no accumulation to between 1 and 2 feet of snow in the higher mountain ranges.
Enjoy your Easter! /33/ (This evening through Sunday Night) Warmer than average weather will continue across the Four State Region through the rest of Easter Weekend. This is due to surface ridging having made its way further across the Mississippi River, maintaining southerly surface winds and warm air advection in the process. Temperature maximums and minimums will remain in the 80s/60s as a result with dew points also reaching the low-to-mid 60s.
Much warmer temperatures are expected overnight with lows only dropping into the 50s for much of the eastern Tennessee Valley. Discussion: In the upper levels, weak ridging or nearly zonal flow will remain in place.
628 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (This evening through Sunday) We'll be under weak ridging aloft for the short term, helping to keep our temperatures above normal and precipitation chances low. We will see some mid to high clouds today and tomorrow, as the low over the west coast shifts more south and east, strengthening our southwest flow aloft and increasing the moisture transport from the Pacific at upper levels. Sunday morning will see temperatures in the low to mid 60s, which is only a few degrees lower than our record warm low for the 31st. Sunday afternoon will be a bit warmer and breezier than today, with highs reaching into the upper 80s to near 90 and wind gusts up to 30 mph.
Latest surface analysis has a 1020mb center of high pressure over the northeast Gulf. The south wind combined with the increase in cloud cover will help hold temperatures several degrees warmer than this morning. /22/ A high pressure hovering over Florida will continue to promote surface ridging across the southeast CONUS region.
616 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 (This evening through Sunday) Our upper-level flow continues to remain out of the southwest as a closed low remains off the California coast. The one complicating factor will be mid and high cloud cover so wherever clouds remain thickest temperatures may end up a few degrees cooler.
This makes sense since this area is along the western periphery of high pressure and where best moisture return has been taking place from the west.
pdf High pressure will gradually drift eastward over the course of today and tonight with stable conditions persisting over the forecast area bringing dry weather and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies through the period.
A warm front off to our south will result in isentropic upglide/ascent resulting in development of rain showers mostly near to south of the I-96 corridor tonight.
1219 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (This evening through Sunday) Our upper-level flow continues to remain out of the southwest as a closed low remains off the California coast. The one complicating factor will be mid and high cloud cover so wherever clouds remain thickest temperatures may end up a few degrees cooler.
A broad area of snow expected to develop tonight with impulse ejecting front western CONUS trough. Best lift is shunted southward as northern stream trough slides through Montana.
Temperatures along the island chain are in the lower 70s, with comfortable dewpoints in the upper 50s, and winds on land from the east to southeast at 10 to 15 mph. Surface analysis depicts high pressure centered over the western Atlantic, with a ridge extending westward across the Florida peninsula and along the northern Gulf coast. Aloft, deep ridging is located over the central and southern Gulf, with generally zonal flow over much of the CONUS downstream of a deep cutoff low spinning off the Southern California coast. High temps will be a few degrees warmer than Saturday, reaching the lower 80s, although dewpoints in the lower 60s will keep the humidity in check.
120 AM EDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Through Sunday) With high pressure settled over the northeast Gulf and the FL Peninsula we'll remain under mostly clear skies and dry conditions. Expect overnight lows generally in the upper 40s to low 50s with daytime highs generally in the low 80s.
Temperatures will warm up quickly once again with highs in the low to mid 80's. As we start our next work week high pressure will be pushed off into the Atlantic as temperatures start to warm up.
102 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (This evening through Sunday) We'll be under weak ridging aloft for the short term, helping to keep our temperatures above normal and precipitation chances low. We will see some mid to high clouds today and tomorrow, as the low over the west coast shifts more south and east, strengthening our southwest flow aloft and increasing the moisture transport from the Pacific at upper levels. Sunday morning will see temperatures in the low to mid 60s, which is only a few degrees lower than our record warm low for the 31st. Sunday afternoon will be a bit warmer and breezier than today, with highs reaching into the upper 80s to near 90 and wind gusts up to 30 mph.
1246 AM EDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Rest of today through Sunday) It'll be a beautiful weekend across South FL as high pressure to our east will remain in control. Light E/SE flow will result in warmer temps in SW FL today and Sunday, with high temps overall across South FL ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s.
1239 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 Latest surface analysis has a 1020mb center of high pressure over the northeast Gulf. The south wind combined with the increase in cloud cover will help hold temperatures several degrees warmer than this morning. /22/ A high pressure hovering over Florida will continue to promote surface ridging across the southeast CONUS region.
316 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 * Strong to Severe thunderstorm risk area has shifted eastward but still looks like southeast Kansas could be impacted Current satellite water vapor imagery shows a healthy upper level low pressure system spinning over the eastern Pacific just off the coastline of California early this morning.
Cooler by late week with shower chances returning. (Today and tonight) The low pressure system responsible for yesterday's active weather is located just offshore from the Central Coast early this morning. The combined elevated moisture/instability along with weak troughing nearby should be sufficient to kick off a few showers and thunderstorms during this time, with the high-res convection allowing models suggesting the eastern Santa Clara hills through the San Benito Mountains and far eastern Monterey County as the most likely locations for convective initiation. By tonight this threat will have ended with the trough departing and a return to quieter weather. High temperatures today will be seasonally cool and mostly in the lower to mid 60s.
Moving into the week ahead, a brief period of upper level ridging looks to build in over interior NorCal.
1202 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Tonight) The previous forecast remains on track as high pressure continues to influence the Tennessee Valley, resulting in dry weather and mostly clear skies. Otherwise, low temperatures are forecast to fall into the low to mid 50s throughout most areas with a few locations potentially dipping into the upper 40s.
For areas west where clearing first occurs, highs will be more in the low to upper 80s, with the low 90s across our far southwest reaches in Maverick and Dimmit Counties. Increased temperatures also accompany this breeze with highs from the mid 90s across the far west into the Rio Grande Plains to the low to mid 80s in the Hill Country and areas east.
A broad area of snow expected to develop tonight with impulse ejecting front western CONUS trough. Best lift is shunted southward as northern stream trough slides through Montana. Upper ridge builds mid-week with warm and breezy conditions.
High pressure will continue to keep weather dry through early this week.
634 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Today through Monday) High pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to provide southerly to southwesterly flow over the area. We will should remain dry through Monday afternoon, as the high pressure remains in place to our east, but we will also become more humid over time and see an increase in clouds.
708 AM EDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Today through Monday) The pleasant weekend will wrap up heavily influenced by the body of high pressure to our east and upper level ridging. Temperatures will continue rising, by a degree or two, with highs in the low to mid 80s this afternoon. Dew points will peak in the low 60s keeping the afternoon RH comfortable (40-50%) and holding off Florida's warm and humid for the meantime.
The first feature is the low pressure system that will be tracking across southern Idaho into Wyoming causing some wrap around shower activity across Lemhi county into southwest Montana. Snow will be mainly confined to the higher terrain, but Butte and Leadore could receive up to an inch of new snowfall on non-paved surfaces.
The CAMS remain on the high side with QPF, even suggesting a frontogenetic band could setup in the vcnty of I90, at least according to the HREF. But what affect will near freezing temperatures have on road surfaces and what not? For now will forego any headlines, but pass along concerns to following shift. Lastly, drier air is expected to infiltrate the region from north to south Monday afternoon, and thus temps will likely be a bit warmer Monday due to the expectation of some sunshine.
850 mb thermal ridge centered over our area combined with gusty south-southwesterly winds will result in temperatures peaking in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
- Dry, warmer weather returns for the rest of the week. Farther south, a frontal boundary has become stationary from souther KS through central MO, extending eastward from a low pressure center across southeast CO. Otherwise, an easterly surface flow continues today with mostly cloudy skies, and highs from the mid 40s in northeast NE, to the lower 60s across southeast NE and extreme southwest IA. For tonight, there remains a chance of scattered showers, with the highest chances across northeast NE. Breezy northeasterly surface winds prevail Monday with highs in the lower to middle 40s in northeast NE, and the lower to middle 50s in southeast NE and southwest IA.
A fair weather forecast with temperatures increasing to the mid 70s despite the cloud cover suggests forecast daily highs in the lower 80s are still valid for island communities. Overall, the morning update was a persistence forecast as the mid-level ridge to the southwest will require a few days to move east. Moderate east to southeast breezes will prevail through Monday, as high pressure moves slowly offshore over the western Atlantic.
627 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Today and tonight) Cirrus continues to stream overhead atop a ridge early this morning. Surface obs show a warm front lifting northward with low 60 dewpoints behind it.
High pressure will also remain across the western Atlantic through the short term period of the forecast.
(Today and tonight) Cirrus continues to stream overhead atop a ridge early this morning. Surface obs show a warm front lifting northward with low 60 dewpoints behind it.
Elevated warm front was extended from central IL into central IN early this morning. A brief lull in precipitation is expected late Sun night into Mon morning as we await a much stronger push of energy, associated with the deep trough parked right now over the SW US.
A warm front off to our south will result in isentropic upglide/ascent resulting in development of rain showers mostly near to south of the I-96 corridor tonight. Some mixed pcpn type issues are expected across our far northern fcst area tonight where thermal profiles will be cooler.
610 AM EDT Sun Mar 31 2024 An area of strong high pressure and upper ridging keeps the region dry through the weekend with above normal temperatures into the early part of the week ahead.
Today, highs will continue to range in the upper-70s to low-80s, as upper-level ridging begins to slide off to the east. However, widespread rainfall is still not anticipated until Monday night with the cold front.
Cloud cover is expected to hang around into tomorrow as our southwest flow aloft continues to bring in moisture ahead of the upper level low over California. The 850 mb thermal ridge will weaken slightly and shift a little east for Monday, allowing our temperatures to drop a few degrees for most of the area. We could still see some activity along the front, but the strength of anything will be limited be the lower instability.
This will keep lows tonight in the lower to mid 60s.
These clouds will limit cooling tonight with overnight lows only dipping down into the low to mid 60s -- a more summer-like feel especially given dewpoints increasing into the lower 60s.
By tonight, local guidance suggests road temperatures could drop below freezing. Monday will kick off a quick warming trend so road conditions will improve quickly as the low clouds break up. Before the low clouds break up and clearing skies prevail, another round of fog is expected tonight into early Monday morning (mainly in eastern Montana). Within this, there is a very low chance for freezing drizzle as mid levels quickly dry over eastern MT, but overall weak to no ascent looks like it will keep this from occuring. A dry cold front will move through during the afternoon turning winds out of the northwest.
1219 PM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 (Today through Monday) High pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to provide southerly to southwesterly flow over the area. We will should remain dry through Monday afternoon, as the high pressure remains in place to our east, but we will also become more humid over time and see an increase in clouds.
(Rest of today through Monday) Quiet weather will continue through Monday as high pressure in the western Atlantic remains in control. Afternoon high temps will be in the low to mid 80s. High temps will be in the lower 80s across the east coast metro with some mid/upper 80s likely over inland SW FL.
224 PM EDT Sun Mar 31 2024 The setup over the region this afternoon features high pressure over the Atlantic and ridging building aloft.
253 PM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024 With the main low pressure system bringing snow to Wyoming and southern Montana, we in northeast Montana remain far enough removed from that influence, that the low stratus cloud deck is beginning to break up today. This pattern change will signal the beginning of a strong warm up under the influence of a building ridge of high pressure from the west.
34/JFB (Now through Monday) Upper level ridging will persist through Monday. This results in above normal low temps tonight and a very mild day on Monday with highs topping out in the low to mid 80s with upper 70s at the immediate coast.