Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
241 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (This afternoon through Wednesday) Key Message: - Dry weather with warmer than normal temps will continue through Wed. The upper low N of the Bahamas will shift farther offshore. The weak upper ridge over the local area will linger through Wed. At the surface, the ridge of high pressure from the mid-Atlantic states to the lower MS Valley will weaken as a weak, dry cold front approaches the area from the NW late Wed. High temperatures on Wed will range from the lower 70s in the NE mountains to the mid 80s in the SE.
1244 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Northwest winds will gust to 25 to 35 mph by this afternoon in the wake of a cold front. - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal.
1011 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Rain showers and breezy to windy conditions are expected today as a cold front moves through the area. UPDATE Cold frontal boundary is now through all but the southern James River Valley of ND. Winds will rapidly diminish this evening as the sun sets and high pressure begins working into western ND. High pressure is transitory, so while mostly clear skies are expected, winds likely won't become totally light through the entire night.
Upper level ridging will remain in place on Wednesday keeping dry conditions in place. 850 mb temperatures will be a degree or two higher compared to today which will result in highs climbing into the lower 90s. By the end of the week, an upper level trough is expected to move into the central plains.
Also, with a short wave ridge moving overhead today and drying aloft, the chance of showers for the rest of today was removed from the North Idaho Panhandle.
Discussion: Short wave energy swinging by to our north will flatten out the upper ridge over our area during the short term period, and a weak and moisture starved cold front will sag southward toward our area on Wednesday.
221 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - A strong cold front will lead to some minor shower chances through this evening across central Minnesota and western Wisconsin.
We can thank increasing geopotential heights within an upper ridge for the late October heat and dry conditions, but some minor changes are on the way.
High pressure ridging will keep dry conditions with above average temperatures once again today.
(Through Wednesday) A high pressure remains over our region bringing clear skies and a continuing warming trend. There is potential for patchy fog in Valdosta early tomorrow morning due to lingering moisture and cooler morning temperatures, but it quickly dissipates as the sun heats the surface.
Indeed, our middle to upper 80s today will likely nudge upwards a little more tomorrow to the upper 80s and around 90 as mid-level ridging rebounds a bit from a dent given by a passing northern stream trough.
(This evening through Wednesday Night) Benign conditions will prevail tonight into Wednesday night as the quasi-zonal flow aloft and mid level high pressure (with very dry air) dominates the local weather pattern. For tonight, the inland low temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 60s, although a few spots in and near the Piney Woods region may be closer to the upper 50s. Similar nighttime conditions are expected Wednesday night, with lows mainly in the low 60s and a chance for areas of patchy fog overnight.
Despite this, temperatures are expected to rise above normal, reaching the low 60s in the valley. A fast-moving upper-level trough and cold front are still on track to arrive Wednesday afternoon and evening. Overall, the impact appears minimal, as snow levels remain high ahead of the cold front within the precipitation band. The system's fast movement will somewhat limit rainfall, with the highest amounts (around 0.
111 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
1243 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will cover the region tonight. A cold front will cross the eastern United States Wednesday with little to no precipitation, but leading in cooler air. Key Message: - Tranquil weather continues High pressure will reside over the area into Wednesday morning. Southwest flow tonight above the lower elevations may keep ridges milder in the mid 40s to lower 50s, while valleys and rural farmlands drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Key Messages: 1) A dry cold front will move across the region Wednesday night followed by a high pressure system.
212 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
1037 AM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Warmer than normal temperatures and breezy conditions continue through Wednesday afternoon with little to no precipitation expected.
The only thing worth mentioning is the tail end of a cold front advecting into the area over the weekend. Temperatures could be a tad lower over the weekend, but will quickly rebound back to what we've been seeing as the entrenched high pressure regime reestablishes itself over the forecast area.
305 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Dry weather is expected to prevail through the week, as high pressure remains in control. A warming trend will continue through midweek before a dry cold front slides through Wednesday night. A second cold front moves through this weekend, followed by cool high pressure. High pressure over the southern Appalachians will maintain quiet and dry weather through Wednesday. High pressure begins to weaken tomorrow and drift southward as it does so. No significant change to the high temperature forecast with highs around 80. A weak, dry front moves through the area Wednesday night, with lower dewpoints and northerly winds behind it as high pressure briefly develops to the north.
High pressure currently dominates the region and will be in place through the weekend.
216 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Cooler weather is expected on Wednesday for most locations except the eastern Ozarks.
256 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 The short term forecast remains on track: High pressure has entrenched itself across the region bringing a more southerly wind and clear skies today. Temperatures look to trend a degree or two warmer today throughout the CWA, with dew points following suit, with highs in the low 80s and falling to the low to mid 70s after sunset. /OAJ/ The forecast for the upcoming week continues to feature dry and warmer conditions. Guidance continues to advertise a mid/upper trough pushing a cold front southward toward the area by this weekend, but indications are still that the front will stall as it approaches.
101 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - A cold front will make it's way southeast across the area today. - Cooler temperatures (but still near normal) are expected Wednesday behind the front.
1233 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Dry weather is expected to prevail through the week, as high pressure remains in control.
pdf The region will be between high pressure ridge to the north northwest, and remnants of former Tropical Storm Oscar to the southeast through Tonight. Weak troughs will develop in this flow, and produce the potential for a few showers.
Another system will move through tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours and will usher cooler air into the region. Lows will generally range from the lower to upper 50s, but a few 40s can not be ruled out in our far east/southeast where wind flow will be the weakest and some decoupling may occur. While temperatures will rise into the upper 60s to middle 70s, as the cold front moves into the region temperatures will begin to drop.
637 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Tonight through Wednesday night) Seasonal temperatures and rain-free conditions will prevail across Deep South Texas through the short term period as the region remains under the influence of mid-level high pressure. 4 inches across Deep South Texas, with the higher amounts closer to the immediate coast.
922 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Below freezing temperatures return tonight.
612 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (This evening through Wednesday) Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the short term as the region remains under the influence of relatively flat upper ridging and associated zonal flow aloft. On Wednesday, a weakening backdoor cold front over KS/OK will attempt to work into the region, with most hi-res guidance indicating an easterly wind shift making it to the edge of the Caprock by midday. This lends some uncertainty into the high temperature forecast for Wednesday afternoon, but overall we expect slightly higher sfc-500mb layer thicknesses and modestly warmer 850mb temps to result in highs still peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s off the Caprock, with mid to upper 80s west of the escarpment.
846 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
(This afternoon through Wednesday) Key Message: - Dry weather with warmer than normal temps will continue through Wed. The upper low N of the Bahamas will shift farther offshore. The weak upper ridge over the local area will linger through Wed. At the surface, the ridge of high pressure from the mid-Atlantic states to the lower MS Valley will weaken as a weak, dry cold front approaches the area from the NW late Wed. High temperatures on Wed will range from the lower 70s in the NE mountains to the mid 80s in the SE.
(Now through Wednesday) A combination of an upper low off the East Coast and upper level high pressure over old Mexico and the western Gulf of Mexico will create dry northwesterly upper flow over the Southeast through mid week. Temperatures remain well above seasonal norms, with high temperatures are expected to range from the low to mid 80s today, mid to upper 80s on Wednesday. Low temperatures tonight and Wednesday night are expected to range from the low to mid 50s well inland, upper 50s to around 60s south of I-10 to the coast.
612 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Cooler weather is expected on Wednesday for most locations except the eastern Ozarks.
701 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Wednesday morning.
858 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Water Vapor Satellite trends this evening show a mid-level trough moving through the Middle Mississippi Valley. Temperatures are slightly warmer than 24 hours ago with 60s prevalent near the Mississippi River and middle 50s to around 60 degrees near the Tennessee River.
658 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal.
1034 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure persists today.
833 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather tonight.
708 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (Tonight through Wednesday night) Broad upper level ridging and dry conditions will continue across the region. With a thermal ridge in place, temperatures continue their slow warming trend.
502 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (This evening through Wednesday) Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the short term as the region remains under the influence of relatively flat upper ridging and associated zonal flow aloft. On Wednesday, a weakening backdoor cold front over KS/OK will attempt to work into the region, with most hi-res guidance indicating an easterly wind shift making it to the edge of the Caprock by midday. This lends some uncertainty into the high temperature forecast for Wednesday afternoon, but overall we expect slightly higher sfc-500mb layer thicknesses and modestly warmer 850mb temps to result in highs still peaking in the upper 80s to low 90s off the Caprock, with mid to upper 80s west of the escarpment.
537 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Wednesday morning.
Winds are also set to decrease as the cold front progresses farther east into Wisconsin, coupled with rising pressure across North Dakota.
828 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Dry weather is expected to prevail through the week, as high pressure remains in control. A warming trend will continue through midweek before a dry cold front slides through Wednesday night. A second cold front moves through this weekend, followed by cool high pressure. High pressure over the southern Appalachians will maintain quiet and dry weather through Wednesday. High pressure begins to weaken tomorrow and drift southward as it does so. No significant change to the high temperature forecast with highs around 80. A weak, dry front moves through the area Wednesday night, with lower dewpoints and northerly winds behind it as high pressure briefly develops to the north.
The upper level patten has started to shift into the next (slight) ridging pattern. This will be a much more relaxed ridge than previous ridge set-ups earlier this season, causing a drying trend, but not giving the area as much of a warm up.
530 PM MDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Dry weather continues through Wednesday with slightly cooler temperatures expected across the southeast Plains.
720 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure persists today.
623 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - A strong cold front will lead to some minor shower chances through this evening across central Minnesota and western Wisconsin.
We are a good 5f to 8f warmer than 24 hours ago. This trend should continue with tonight's lows a bit warmer than last night. High pressure that was over us yesterday has pushed off to the east but is still influencing our weather. A short wave trough is moving through the Great Lakes, this is helping to bring southerly winds 5-10 mph today. A few low clouds may move in overnight with a boundary that is associated with that trough. Highs will remain warm pushing into the low to mid 80s. A deeper trough will be pushing into the Great Lakes and this will push a cold front south.
As a result, light winds and clear skies have allowed temperatures to plummet quickly from daytime highs in the lower 80s down into the upper 50s to lower 60s as of 9pm.
636 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - A cold front crosses bringing rain this afternoon and overnight with a brief switchover to light snow in some places Wednesday morning.
715 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure will cover the region tonight. A cold front will cross the eastern United States Wednesday with little to no precipitation, but leading in cooler air. Key Message: - Tranquil weather continues High pressure will reside over the area into Wednesday morning. Southwest flow tonight above the lower elevations may keep ridges milder in the mid 40s to lower 50s, while valleys and rural farmlands drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Key Messages: 1) A dry cold front will move across the region Wednesday night followed by a high pressure system.
An upper level trough stalled along the Pacific Coast will slowly move inland throughout the week, maintaining cooler conditions with periods of light shower activity through mid-week.
744 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
708 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 (This evening through Wednesday Night) Benign conditions will prevail tonight into Wednesday night as the quasi-zonal flow aloft and mid level high pressure (with very dry air) dominates the local weather pattern. For tonight, the inland low temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 60s, although a few spots in and near the Piney Woods region may be closer to the upper 50s. Similar nighttime conditions are expected Wednesday night, with lows mainly in the low 60s and a chance for areas of patchy fog overnight.
Mild to warm conditions are in place with temperatures near 80 and dew points in the lower to mid 70s. Short Term Update - As the mentioned ridge weakens and the low pulls further away, the local pressure gradient will continue weaken. Expect overnight lows to be in the mid to upper 70s with dew points remaining in the lower to mid 70s.
842 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
600 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - An elevated fire danger will develop on Wednesday behind a departing cold front as N/NW winds gust 20-25mph and minimum relative humidity values dip into the 30-35% range.
1221 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 - Cooler temperatures Wednesday, followed by near record high temperatures Thursday. At mid afternoon A cold front extended from northeast Nebraska into south central Kansas. As a mid level trough progresses eastward across the northern Plains and Manitoba, the front will continue to move southward shifting the winds to the northwest later this afternoon and evening. Good warm advection is noted as heights wise and a thermal ridge extended northeast into northeast Kansas sending temperatures to around the 90th percentile for late October. This will equate to high the lower to middle 80s. The highest probabilities (50-70%) reside where moisture will be highest in east central Kansas Thursday evening.
Current WV imagery depicts drier air filtering into the region as upper level ridge builds to the west. As the high moves out of the region, modest pressure gradient will set up across the CWA with breezy southerly winds as a result. Upper level wave will make it to the region by late Wednesday with attendant cold front pushing into the region.
158 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024 A cold front crosses this evening into tonight, then cool, dry weather returns Thursday.
Otherwise, the front will only bring slightly cooler temperatures and a switch to breezy northerly winds this afternoon across the north.
Then a cold front will cross the region tonight with widely scattered showers but much cooler weather for Thursday.
A dry cold front will turn winds more north- northwesterly overnight tonight. Wednesday should be another quiet day with winds becoming lighter as a weak ridge moves across our area. With the cooler northwesterly flow, temperatures will peak only in the mid 60s. On Thursday, an upper-level trough moves through, ramping up low-level warm-air advection and moisture advection out ahead of a developing surface front.
An 850 mb thermal ridge and clear skies will allow highs to increase into the upper 80s to mid 90s this afternoon.
117 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024 High pressure will cover the region tonight. A cold front will cross the eastern United States Wednesday with little to no precipitation, but leading in cooler air. Key Message: - Tranquil weather continues High pressure will reside over the area into Wednesday morning. Southwest flow tonight above the lower elevations may keep ridges milder in the mid 40s to lower 50s, while valleys and rural farmlands drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Key Messages: 1) A dry cold front will move across the region Wednesday night followed by a high pressure system. A northern upper level low will graze our region by Wednesday night into Thursday morning and will bring a particularly dry and underwhelming cold front.
(Today through Thursday) A broad mid-level ridge initially centered over the Baja California region extending eastward into Deep South Texas will provide subsidence across the region through Thursday.
1249 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 - A cold front crosses bringing rain this afternoon and overnight with a brief switchover to light snow in some places Wednesday morning.
347 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024 High pressure and dry air over the eastern US will keep the forecast dry through the week.
1236 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 (Tonight through Wednesday night) Broad upper level ridging and dry conditions will continue across the region. With a thermal ridge in place, temperatures continue their slow warming trend.
A fast moving cold front will arrive tonight. Ahead of the front we will see temperatures in the 60s to near 70 in many of the lower valleys. Temperatures on Thursday will be 15 to 20 degree cooler than Wednesday.
Dry, westerly flow to the north of an upper high over northeast Mexico will keep the region warm and dry tonight. Upper high retrogrades west the next couple days, centering over Baja California and maintaining a fetch of dry air and increasing heights aloft over New Mexico and far west Texas.
1108 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Water Vapor Satellite trends this evening show a mid-level trough moving through the Middle Mississippi Valley. Temperatures are slightly warmer than 24 hours ago with 60s prevalent near the Mississippi River and middle 50s to around 60 degrees near the Tennessee River.
Winds will diminish this evening as high pressure moves into the region. Southerly return flow will advect in some warmer air, and temperatures will warm into the 60s and lower 70s. This will bring some gusty winds and cooler temperatures for Thursday (50s/60s).
Thus, while the northwest flow aloft pushes in drier air, the low level E/NE winds will bring in enough moisture to assist with shower development in addition to frictional convergence effects along the coast.
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Warm and dry weather continues as low/mid level ridging persists across the Deep South.
122 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024 A weak and dry cold front will cross our area late Wednesday into Thursday with reinforcing high pressure spreading over the region in the front's wake.
315 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024 A weak and dry cold front will cross our area early Thursday with reinforcing high pressure spreading over the region in the front's wake.
Tonight, a weak, dry cold front will move through the midstate and knock temperatures down closer to normal on Thursday, with lows in the mid 40s to low 50s and highs in the 70s to near 80.
Rain chances increase Thursday morning, followed by cooler air during the afternoon and evening.
The prevailing surface southerlies on the western gradient of the high will continue to advect gulf moisture northward, allowing for surface dew points to increase dramatically when compared to the last few days. As if the increase in humidity was not bad enough, afternoon max temperatures will be two to possibly three degrees warmer as we introduce temperatures a degree or two above 90 deg F. For now, this looks to be primarily oriented across portions of SW Arkansas as a cold front backed by high pressure across the Upper Midwest, will stall near or just south of the I-30 corridor.
(Today and tonight) Following yesterday's record high at Lubbock, today should get close to tying the record of 91 as thicknesses remain largely unchanged downstream of weak ridging aloft. This should keep highs from getting out of hand today, yet we'll still side warmer than NBM given its recent cool bias. As surface ridging peels out of KS and northern OK this evening, southerly winds will become more prominent which in turn will pull a shallow layer of richer dewpoints northward overnight.
High pressure over the eastern US will weaken and push offshore, as a low pressure system associated with the remnants of Oscar moves moves northeast well east of the area.
At the surface, a cold front will begin to push into northern Arkansas tomorrow morning.
- A quick moving system brings cooler temperatures and rain/mountain snow chances Wednesday night through Thursday morning. - Dry and warmer weekend. Seasonal to warm highs generally in the upper 50s to upper 60s occur today and tomorrow, with tomorrow being the slightly warmer day. This system brings cooler temperatures and precipitation chances.
1156 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 - Temperatures will be warmer than normal for the rest of the week, with highs toward the end of weekend 10 to 20 degrees warmer than normal. Upper level jet max around 100 knots is nosing into western SD this afternoon, with also a broad upper trough across southern Canada nosing southward into the Dakotas. At the surface, high pressure will be building in this evening, bringing an end to the windy conditions by sunset or shortly after. Southerly breezes look to remain in place Wednesday night out ahead of an approaching low pressure system, so, lows will stay fairly "mild" with lows in the 40s for most areas.
419 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024 - Rain chances to start the day as a cold front sweeps through.