Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
(This evening through Saturday) The upper ridge will continue to spin over Baja Cali with weak northwesterly flow aloft. The cold front that came through last night is already down into the southern half of Texas. Tomorrow, temperatures will remain on the cooler side (from what we have been seeing all month), despite being still a few degrees above normal. Highs will generally range from the lower to upper 70s with light northeast winds veering to the south through the day.
(This evening through Saturday night) High pressure remains in control across the northern gulf coast this afternoon yielding scattered fair weather cu and afternoon highs a few degrees above climatological normals. As has been the case the last couple of nights, patchy, potentially dense fog development will be possible from late tonight into early Saturday morning with the highest probabilities of development along and east of the Atchafalya basin.
(This afternoon through Saturday) Four-State area observations at 10am are much improved with some air temps in the low to mid 70s with very limited fog. We still see a 1/4 mi report from Center with the coolest 61 around, but most of the worst is now 1/2 to 1 mile and going fast with winds mixing down drier and warmer air from aloft in the mid to upper 60s.
1253 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 High pressure will dominate the region through Saturday. A cold front will then move through the area later this weekend, followed by cool high pressure from the north.
High pressure remains in control with generally south or southeasterly flow persisting across the area.
1153 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Breezy and cooler today with seasonable temperatures through Saturday.
1151 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (Today through Saturday afternoon) A cold front is moving into southeastern New Mexico and the Permian Basin this morning. Temperatures behind the front will be about 10 to 15 degrees cooler than yesterday, but it will still only bring them back down to near normal for this time of year since well above normal temps have been seen lately.
231 PM MDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Areas of marginally freezing temperatures expected again tonight over the plains generally along and north of US 50. - Warmer tomorrow.
1216 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Near record high temperatures are forecast today, but a cold front will push into the region late in the day, bringing a small chance of light rain. - Dry and seasonably cool temperatures are forecast this weekend as high pressure shifts southward into the region. With high pressure quickly moving east today, southerly flow will bring increasing temperatures back into the area with highs in the lower to mid 80's. The aforementioned trough is expected to bring an increase in cloud cover today as well as the potential for scattered rain showers. A cold front will then move through the region from the NW this evening and overnight veering winds toward the northwest behind the front. High pressure settles in toward the north for the weekend along with northwest flow aloft.
After a cool start to the morning, high temperatures this afternoon are forecast to climb into the low to mid 80s across the majority of the area. With dewpoints increasing back into the 50s, lows tomorrow morning will be a bit warmer than today. Very little forcing will be accompanying the front with the primary trough axis to the north and east.
1136 AM MDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Warmer and dry weather for the weekend, with elevated fire weather conditions likely.
218 PM MDT Fri Oct 25 2024 KEY MESSAGES: * Upper level ridge will move across Montana this weekend with warm and dry weather.
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 * Today, a cold front will bring scattered showers to the region.
While broad mid-level ridging will continue to influence our region, weak mid-level troughing to our east will bring low chances (~20% or less) of showers tomorrow afternoon.
- Temperatures cooler for Today and Saturday, especially across the Big Country.
317 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A cooler airmass settles over the area for the weekend with daytime highs in the mid to upper 50s.
This evening, a warm front will bring showers to the Oregon coast and nearby areas. With a dissipating thermal trough, winds will switch to south this morning and increase fairly quickly through the day as a frontal system approaches. Conditions worsen as deepening low pressure moves by to the west and north this evening into early Saturday morning with south gales and very steep seas developing. The worst conditions will be closest to the low pressure (north of Cape Blanco and well offshore), but all areas are expected to see hazardous wind-driven seas at the very least, and as such, mariners are urged to remain in port.
1125 AM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 There will be a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms today as a cold front moves through the region. By the start of the work week, the high continues to shift east across our area and the region remains dry. However, as upper level ridging moves directly over the region and southerly flow sets up at the surface, strong warm air advection arrives and we'll undergo a significant warming trend. Daytime high temperatures reach the mid/upper 70s mid week before a cold front is poised to move through. A cold front will move southeast across the area later today and into tonight. Otherwise, expect VFR cigs to prevail today into tonight, although some periods of MVFR cigs may develop this evening in the wake of the cold front.
Additionally, broad mid level ridging is present over the SE CONUS. South Florida sits in the southeast portion of the mid-level ridge across the SE states. Temperatures will reach the mid to upper 80s each day, with the slightly warmer temperatures occurring towards the west coast and SW corner of the Peninsula under the E/NE wind regime.
(Through Tonight) A cold front is making slow progress southward across the forecast area this afternoon and will continue to do so into this evening. Quite the gradient in overnight lows can be expected given the movement of the front, with lower 40s along the Kansas border and the lower 60s in the southeast and in the Arkansas River Valley. Saturday's highs should be several degrees cooler than those seen today.
Discussion: Currently a few weak showers forming along a pre frontal trough over parts of southwest Virginia are trying to bring some precipitation to the surface. But with how dry the lower levels of the atmosphere are and how weak the showers appear on radar, much of this could be coming down as virga or drizzle. Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures Date Chattanooga Knoxville Tri-Cities Oak Ridge 10-25 84(2000) 82(1991) 81(2012) 83(1991) The cold front heading our way will bring with it another chance for some isolated showers tonight and into tomorrow.
This will also contribute to warmer than normal afternoon highs again today. An upper-level trough approaching the U. West Coast will see a building downstream ridge move across the Rockies and central CONUS over the weekend.
A cold front will bring cooler and drier weather to the Mid-South over the weekend. An approaching cold front will increase rain chances toward the later part of the week.
(This afternoon through Saturday night) Latest mesoanalysis indicates the cold front has made it into the southern mountains, if not to the river, resulting in a cool afternoon across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. WV imagery shows that the upper trough that dropped this front is currently moving through the MS valley. A ridge is centered over the Baja Peninsula. Saturday, the ridge builds a little farther east, and surface winds veer back to return flow, resulting in the start of a temperature recovery.
1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (Today and tonight) As of 2AM CDT the cold front was fixated along an axis that extends from Denver City to Paducah, where it is expected to clear the FA by daybreak. With the cooler airmass in place we can expect temperatures back to near seasonal normals today with daytime highs in the 70s under mostly clear skies.
- Above normal temperatures continue through the period South Texas will remain under the influence of a broad ridge of high pressure centered over Baha California Tonight through Saturday with dry conditions in the mid levels, light winds and higher moisture in the boundary layer.
(The rest of today ) A cold front currently stretches across northeast Oklahoma into southwest Missouri late this morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast for today after a couple days of record breaking heat. Gusty north winds behind the cold front will maintain a limited fire weather concern across northeast Oklahoma this afternoon.
118 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 A series of cold fronts will move through the region over the weekend with today being a dry day with plenty of sunshine.
305 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A passing cold front will bring increased rain and storm chances to the area this evening. The afternoon surface analysis shows a cold front still to our northwest. Also, while you can't rule out some thunder will cap this at slight (less than 20 percent) given the lack of instability and chances of seeing ice in the clouds is on the lower side based off most of the forecast sounding data. Saturday, we will see another round of cooler weather take hold, as high pressure pushes east in the wake of the cold front. This will give way northerly flow at the surface and keep afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s, which is closer to normal for this time of year.
1239 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Temperatures cooler for Today and Saturday, especially across the Big Country.
A cold front to the northwest of the area will slowly work its way across the state from north to south today and tonight. As this front moves through a weak H500 trough will progress east from the Central Plains toward the Ohio Valley. Behind the front, sfc ridging will build in from the north and cooler temperatures will be seen this weekend.
118 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A cold front will push through the region tonight, bringing a small chance of light rain late tonight to parts of southeast Missouri and far western Kentucky.
This will be courtesy of 500 mb high pressure anchored over Baja California and generally extended over the BRO CWFA. While this will produce dry weather for Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley today and tonight, isolated convection is possible on Saturday, mainly east of the Interstate 69C corridor, due to mid- level troughing along the Texas coast and brief mid-level weakness along the east coast of Mexico.
A trough across the middle portion of the United States pushes an associated weakening area of vorticity in conjunction with a cold front through this morning. The moisture plume will be on its way out of here during the afternoon as the cold front pushes away so expect decreasing clouds during the evening from west to east. Given the early arrival of the cold front, peak heat may be slightly displaced earlier meaning the residence time for high temperatures may not be as clean as we've had the last couple of days with the clear skies.
100 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 A cold front will push through the area tonight and Saturday leading to a chance of showers in the mountains.
Just a couple of spots from El Dorado to Monroe with potential upper 50s, and most of us in the low to mid 60s overnight.
1127 AM MDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Widespread frost and freezing temperatures are expected tonight.
Issued 239 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 Tonight through Saturday night: High pressure is gradually building in from the Northern Plains today. The cold air advection is expected to continue behind the cold front which will keep temperatures cooler through Saturday. High temperatures will be in the low 50s to low 60s as the high pressure system moves overhead. Overnight low temperatures are expected to fall into the into the low 30s with many areas expected to hit that freezing mark of 32.
Overnight lows should dip just below 70 inland, and remain in the low 70s along the immediate coast.
Lowered highs slightly into the lower 60s, which is in line with recent model guidance. a large area of high pressure will build into the Midwest, with clear skies. Overnight lows to drop into the lower 30s north of Hwy 30, to the upper 30s south. high pressure will be in control, bringing dry conditions and seasonable temperatures to the region.
Can't rule out some locations getting into the lower 90s later this afternoon.
Analysis charts show weak high pressure (1019mb) over the Gulf of Mexico and the state of Florida. Current temperatures are generally in the mid 60s to mid 70s near the coast with the low 60s to low 70s inland. A dry and a seasonable to slightly above normal day is expected with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s under mostly to partly sunny skies.
Dry and seasonable weather is expected today before warmer temperatures and breezy to windy conditions move in this weekend.
A short term warming trend begins Friday with high temperatures rebounding from the mid week cold front into the upper 60s.
This is shortly followed by substantial building ridge aloft through the ern us, ewd of large amplitude wrn troughing in time. Rapidly moderating temps follow in this transition with near record highs possible Tue-Wed corresponding to max extent of low level thermal ridge that expands into the wrn OH valley. A brief period of MVFR cigs remain possible early this afternoon immediately along and behind a cold front.
This is shortly followed by substantial building ridge aloft through the ern us, ewd of large amplitude wrn troughing in time. Rapidly moderating temps follow in this transition with near record highs possible Tue-Wed corresponding to max extent of low level thermal ridge that expands into the wrn OH valley. Subsidence/high pressure will return to the region overnight along with a much drier airmass.
628 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A cold front will push through the region tonight, bringing a small chance of light rain late tonight to parts of southeast Missouri and far western Kentucky.
1018 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A passing cold front will bring increased rain and storm chances to the area this evening. The afternoon surface analysis shows a cold front still to our northwest. Also, while you can't rule out some thunder will cap this at slight (less than 20 percent) given the lack of instability and chances of seeing ice in the clouds is on the lower side based off most of the forecast sounding data. Saturday, we will see another round of cooler weather take hold, as high pressure pushes east in the wake of the cold front. This will give way northerly flow at the surface and keep afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s, which is closer to normal for this time of year.
601 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (This evening through Saturday night) High pressure remains in control across the northern gulf coast this afternoon yielding scattered fair weather cu and afternoon highs a few degrees above climatological normals. As has been the case the last couple of nights, patchy, potentially dense fog development will be possible from late tonight into early Saturday morning with the highest probabilities of development along and east of the Atchafalya basin.
Now our eyes are to the northwest as we watch a cold front sag southward.
741 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 A cold front will push through the area tonight and Saturday leading to a chance of showers in the mountains.
Issued 900 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 High pressure will move into Iowa overnight, then slowly east southeast across the region Saturday into Saturday night. Wood Issued 239 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 Tonight through Saturday night: High pressure is gradually building in from the Northern Plains today. The cold air advection is expected to continue behind the cold front which will keep temperatures cooler through Saturday. High temperatures will be in the low 50s to low 60s as the high pressure system moves overhead. Overnight low temperatures are expected to fall into the into the low 30s with many areas expected to hit that freezing mark of 32.
The front will likely stall and wash out across central Alabama as the upper trough moves away.
652 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A cooler airmass settles over the area for the weekend with daytime highs in the mid to upper 50s.
619 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (Tonight) High pressure continues to promote clear conditions across the Tennessee Valley this afternoon with near record highs possible.
Zonal flow is in place through the mid and upper levels with the lower level ridge modest and spanning the Gulf of Mexico. The lower level wind profile remains moderate but with a hint of backing.
546 PM MDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Areas of marginally freezing temperatures expected again tonight over the plains generally along and north of US 50. - Warmer tomorrow.
637 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (This evening through Saturday) The upper ridge will continue to spin over Baja Cali with weak northwesterly flow aloft. The cold front that came through last night is already down into the southern half of Texas. Tomorrow, temperatures will remain on the cooler side (from what we have been seeing all month), despite being still a few degrees above normal. Highs will generally range from the lower to upper 70s with light northeast winds veering to the south through the day.
751 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - A passing cold front will bring increased rain and storm chances to the area this evening. The afternoon surface analysis shows a cold front still to our northwest. Also, while you can't rule out some thunder will cap this at slight (less than 20 percent) given the lack of instability and chances of seeing ice in the clouds is on the lower side based off most of the forecast sounding data. Saturday, we will see another round of cooler weather take hold, as high pressure pushes east in the wake of the cold front. This will give way northerly flow at the surface and keep afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s, which is closer to normal for this time of year.
617 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 A cold front will bring cooler and drier weather to the Mid-South over the weekend. An approaching cold front will increase rain chances toward the later part of the week.
917 PM EDT Fri Oct 25 2024 A cold front will move across the region late tonight into early Saturday morning. Another large area of high pressure building in for the weekend.
pdf High pressure ridge will extend across the region through Tonight.
544 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (This afternoon through Saturday night) Latest mesoanalysis indicates the cold front has made it into the southern mountains, if not to the river, resulting in a cool afternoon across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. WV imagery shows that the upper trough that dropped this front is currently moving through the MS valley. A ridge is centered over the Baja Peninsula. Saturday, the ridge builds a little farther east, and surface winds veer back to return flow, resulting in the start of a temperature recovery.
656 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (Through Tonight) A cold front is making slow progress southward across the forecast area this afternoon and will continue to do so into this evening. Quite the gradient in overnight lows can be expected given the movement of the front, with lower 40s along the Kansas border and the lower 60s in the southeast and in the Arkansas River Valley. Saturday's highs should be several degrees cooler than those seen today.
Otherwise cooler temperatures area wide especially compared to recent days.
(Today through Sunday Night) The cold front will continue to sink south across the state today with chances for isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm remaining in the forecast. Temperatures will be cooler than the past few days, except across far southern AR today ahead of the front.
Discussion: A cold front was situated just to our northwest early this morning.
A pleasant weekend is on tap behind this morning's cold frontal passage.
Upper level high pressure builds east Sunday and along with increasing westerly mid level flow causes temperatures to increase back up above normal. Subsidence associated with the upper high will prevent any rain chances in the short term.
324 AM EDT Sat Oct 26 2024 - Pleasant and seasonable conditions for the weekend with highs in the mid 50s and lows near freezing Sunday morning.
1119 PM MDT Fri Oct 25 2024 - Areas of marginally freezing temperatures expected again tonight over the plains generally along and north of US 50. - Warmer tomorrow.
446 AM EDT Sat Oct 26 2024 - Rain chances tapper off and clouds clear behind a departing cold front today. Highs are forecasted to generally remain in the low to mid 60s.
Water vapor imagery highlights a long wave trough in Mexico, west of a mean-layer ridge centered over the Yucatan and the Gulf of Mexico.
1241 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2024 - Temperatures cooler for Today and Saturday, especially across the Big Country.
Cloud cover will start to build from the west as a result of this front which will help hold afternoon highs in the lower 80s over our northern zones. At the same time, the previously mentioned cold front will be in the process of dropping down into the area from the north. By Sunday, afternoon highs will drop a few degrees across the north with temperatures ranging in the upper 70s and low 80s, slightly above climo as the previously mentioned weak cold front continues to push further south across the north. This scenario appears likely especially given multiple days of dry weather along with dewpoints in the low 60s areawide. Heading into the midweek, global guidance highlights a slightly stronger upper-level trough pushing east across the Plains along with a eastern ridge pattern.
350 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2024 - SLightly warmer, dry, and breezy conditions expected for today with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
(Through Tonight) A cold front is making slow progress southward across the forecast area this afternoon and will continue to do so into this evening. Quite the gradient in overnight lows can be expected given the movement of the front, with lower 40s along the Kansas border and the lower 60s in the southeast and in the Arkansas River Valley.
- Mid-week rainfall potential followed by much cooler/drier weather for Halloween. However, gradual warming will commence on Sunday as ridging aloft over the West shifts eastward across the Plains.
Cooler temperatures are expected behind the front, but temps should remain around 5 degrees above normal for this time of year.
This is a bit faster than previous timing and alright with potential to fall towards the lower end of NBM ranges (low to mid 20s for colder spots).
310 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2024 - Cooler through Saturday but a warming trend starting Sunday.
Although the official forecast will reflect dry weather, HRRR model guidance does suggest some highly-isolated spots of showers over the lower Texas coastal waters and the three immediate coastal counties later this morning and into the afternoon. This entire scenario will be courtesy of 500 mb high pressure anchored over Baja California and generally extended over the BRO CWFA.
The fog forecast continues to remain on track with the highest confidence in fog development occurring along and north of the I-4 corridor. Mostly dry weather is forecast over the local Atlantic with weak high pressure in place over the state of Florida.
1029 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024 (This evening through Saturday night) High pressure remains in control across the northern gulf coast this afternoon yielding scattered fair weather cu and afternoon highs a few degrees above climatological normals. As has been the case the last couple of nights, patchy, potentially dense fog development will be possible from late tonight into early Saturday morning with the highest probabilities of development along and east of the Atchafalya basin.
High pressure will produce another carbon copy tomorrow with fog expected again in the morning. A weak inverted trough will approach the western Gulf Coast on Sunday, but should remain far enough south with moisture too limited to have any impact to our area.