Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
With ridging over most of the area, expect temperatures to be several degrees above normal, with inland areas in the mid 90s.
(Today) As of this writing, a dry cold front was moving in a NW-SE manner across the area. The cooler airmass filtering in, despite more sun will result in high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s, with a light northerly flow.
1255 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - A dry cold front will move through the Northland preceded by gusty winds on today. - High pressure and cooler temperatures Thursday through the rest of the work week. Tonight, the cold air mass that kept us cool today will move off to the east and warmer temperatures will return on Wednesday. Highs will be in the low 70s for most, with areas near the Canadian border remaining in the upper 60s. Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds will pick up overnight ahead of a dry cold front moving northwest to southeast Wednesday afternoon and evening. Thursday, another high pressure settles in the Northern Plains, and the cooler temperatures will return.
1204 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - While a series of cold fronts will move through the region through the weekend, at or above average temperatures are expected to prevail.
Tonight and Wednesday After a prolonged period of above average temperatures, seasonable temps have at last settled in across the forecast area this afternoon following cold frontal passage early this morning. Northwest winds began to ramp up through the late morning and early afternoon as the pressure gradient tightened up along the leading edge of building high pressure over the northern Plains. Expect warmer weather to return tomorrow as southerly return flow ushers in temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s (~5 to 10 degrees above average for early October). Winds will be on the rise tomorrow afternoon as the pressure gradient tightens along the back edge of departing high pressure.
Temperatures today will be around normal due to the passage of the cold front.
1152 PM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024 - Brief Period of Cooler Conditions - Warmer By End of the Week - Mostly Dry Conditions Next 7 Days Surface cold front has cleared the area and has provided Autumn like conditions across the area. General H5 ridging expected to remain in place across the western third of the CONUS, promoting weak zonal flow across our region. Strong AVA regime and subsidence will allow a prominent surface anticyclone to slowly meander the central CONUS through much of this week, with the center crossing into the lower Missouri River Valley sometime Wednesday morning into afternoon.
(Today through Thursday) Radar, satellite and surface obs show a cold front continues moving southeastward across the midstate and is almost out of our forecast area at present.
Thursday: By Thursday, a much warmer air mass advects into the Ozarks region.
Muggy conditions are forecast overnight while temperatures fall into the low to mid 70s. High pressure building down the eastern seaboard will produce a light but steady onshore flow Wednesday and gradually increase through late week/weekend as pressure gradient tightens.
913 PM MDT Tue Oct 1 2024 Slightly cooler temperatures and lighter winds are expected for Wednesday and Thursday.
1130 PM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024 - Some of the coolest air of the season is on tap overnight, with widespread lows in the lower 40s.
SKC conditions were noted along and behind a cold front, subjectively analyzed at 19z from just north of Fort Smith, to near Jonesboro. This front will continue southward late this afternoon and overnight, brining and cooler and drier air mass to the forecast area.
Wednesday night, Cooler air will filter in behind the front as wind become northeast.
Temperatures are already almost 15 degrees cooler than the previous night. As the core of high pressure settles in, winds are likely to go light and variable for much of the afternoon.
(Today and tonight) Upper level ridging builds in from the west today, leading to a drier air mass moving in.
1123 PM CDT Tue Oct 1 2024 (This evening through Wednesday Night) Warm and quiet conditions will persist through the next couple of days as a dry E/NE flow continues in response to high pressure lin- gering over Middle MS River Valley. Highs tomorrow will peak in the lower 90s at most locations. a bit cooler along the coast (in the mid to upper 80s).
607 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will work into the region and allow for several days of quiet weather.
A weakened low-level ridge axis reaches west to near South Florida. The radiational capital of the Keys (BPK) is down to 74, burrr, while most of the island chain is in the lower 80s.
Well above average temperatures along with light winds and little to no precipitation will persist through the weekend as high pressure dominates the Southwest. Tranquil weather conditions are taking place across northern Arizona this morning with high pressure remaining in place. Surface to mid-level moisture looks to increase slightly for this afternoon with cumulus clouds beginning to build over the high terrain after 11 am MST.
646 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure shifts east this morning as a cold front approaches from the west.
1100 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will work into the region and allow for several days of quiet weather.
646 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 (Today through Thursday) Radar, satellite and surface obs show a cold front continues moving southeastward across the midstate and is almost out of our forecast area at present.
520 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will remain over the area today. A weak cold front will cross the region late tonight.
626 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - High confidence for dry weather pattern persisting for several days along with warmer than normal temperatures Warmer temperatures will return to the region today and especially on Thursday with 90s coming back into the forecast. In the wake of each upper level wave racing east across the northern plains into the Great Lakes a couple cold fronts will move southward into Kansas.
619 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - Warmer temperatures today with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Issued by National Weather Service Huntsville AL 950 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Tranquil weather across the ArkLaMiss this morning, with high pressure promoting clear/dry conditions. Soundings show a dry profile, with subsidence from the ridge winning out, resulting in very minimal cloud cover this afternoon. Ample sunshine (despite the weak northerly flow behind the front) will push our high temperatures into the mid/upper 80s (south and east) to the lower 90s (north and west).
422 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - Warmer temperatures today with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Cooler air continues to filter in behind the passage of a cold front late yesterday. This will result in noticeably cooler highs around the upper 60s to low 70s. Temperatures are already almost 15 degrees cooler than the previous night. As the core of high pressure settles in, winds are likely to go light and variable for much of the afternoon.
642 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 (Today) As of this writing, a dry cold front was moving in a NW-SE manner across the area. The cooler airmass filtering in, despite more sun will result in high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s, with a light northerly flow.
633 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 (Today and tonight) Upper level ridging builds in from the west today, leading to a drier air mass moving in.
523 AM MDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will remain in control bringing above average temperatures and dry conditions to the Borderland.
537 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 (Today and tonight) The flow over North America has become more zonal with a flat ridge extending from California to East Texas and eastern Oklahoma. This ridge will expand eastward along the Gulf Coast while a weakness develops in it over the southern High Plains. Low level warm advection will result in temperatures warming back into the upper 80s to lower 90s, in line with conditions before yesterday's cold front. Surface winds are likely to remain closer to 10 mph overnight which will help lead to a relatively mild night and low temperatures near 5 degrees warmer than normal.
920 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A cold front will continue to pass through the region today. High pressure will follow with a few dry days expected heading into the weekend. KEY MESSAGES: - The cold front will continue to exit over the Laurel Highlands this morning, clouds will start to clear early afternoon. ------------------------------------------------------------------- A cold front is currently tracking across the Laurel Highlands this morning. Light precipitation is noted along the ridges with upsloping under northwest flow. Temperatures will take a cooler turn for Thursday morning as the core of the cooler airmass moves into place. KEY MESSAGES: - Drier with highs still above average and lows much cooler.
646 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A weak cold front crosses the area today with dry high pressure filtering into the region behind it on Thursday.
246 AM MST Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will continue to encompass much of the western United States over the next several days, promoting dry and unseasonably hot conditions with afternoon highs near or exceeding record levels.
High pressure will remain in control bringing above average temperatures and dry conditions to the Borderland.
(Rest of Today) Lingering fog across the eastern half of the area has now lifted with the passage of a weak cold front to the south. Clearing skies should prevail across the mid TN Valley in the wake of the front, as slightly cooler/drier air filters into the region from the north.
From synopsis, high pressure straddling South Florida will maintain gentle breezes across the Florida Keys today and tonight.
622 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - While a series of cold fronts will move through the region through the weekend, at or above average temperatures are expected to prevail. While light winds and very dry airmass associated with this high will foster a chilly start to day, a high-level deck of cirrus overhead is likely to keep early morning lows a couple of degrees warmer than previously though. This will allow a warmer airmass to work back northward into the region today and especially by Thursday. Accordingly, expect high temperatures to rebound back into the lower 70s this afternoon under mainly sunny skies. A weak surface cold front will be approaching the WI state line later in the day.
434 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Today into next Wednesday Today northwesterly flow will advect slightly colder air into the area as a weak cold front continues its track southeastward. The slot of low-level moisture evident yesterday will continue to be pushed south as dewpoints drop into the lower 50s in the northwest to the mid-60s. In addition to the subsident dry air,ridging aloft will mitigate cloud cover and subsequently limit the amount of cooling. The weak cold front passing through the area today will limit high temps to 80s today. Thursday flow aloft will become southerly as ridging builds over the southern states and a southern stream develops over the region.
700 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will build in through late week. High pressure will build over eastern NC while offshore low pressure continues to push eastward today, making for an overall pleasant/dry day. High pressure will continue to build in overnight as low pressure moves further offshore. Cooler overnight with lows falling into the low 60s inland and mid/upper 60s for the beaches.
930 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will remain over the area today. A weak cold front will cross the region late tonight.
946 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A weak cold front crosses the area today with dry high pressure filtering into the region behind it on Thursday.
1150 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 (Rest of Today) Lingering fog across the eastern half of the area has now lifted with the passage of a weak cold front to the south. Clearing skies should prevail across the mid TN Valley in the wake of the front, as slightly cooler/drier air filters into the region from the north.
Overnight lows will be noticeably warmer than those seen today, aided by a modest increase in moisture - in northeast Oklahoma anyway - compared to the post-frontal values from yesterday. The downslope component to the low level winds will increase the warming potential. Highs tomorrow will soar into the lower to mid 90s in most areas except for the climatologically cooler locations in far northwest Arkansas.
Early morning Cape sounding shows more moisture in the lower levels so should see a little earlier onset of showers as the sea breeze pushes inland, developing into thunderstorms.
1140 AM MDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will remain in control bringing above average temperatures and dry conditions to the Borderland.
250 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - Dry with warmer conditions Thursday.
Near to sub- freezing temperatures possible Thursday night, mainly in the north.
The heat is further exacerbated by dewpoints in the mid 70s and light southeasterly winds promoted by a weak high pressure somewhere off the east coast of the Florida Peninsula. The only variable in favor of rain is the decent amount of CAPE, likely generated from our warmer temperatures. The previously mentioned high along with a developing low pressure in the Bay of Campeche will freshen east to southeast winds tomorrow.
(Tonight) Other than some fair wx cu that has developed over much of the mid TN Valley, near seasonal/tranquil conditions prevail heading more into the afternoon hrs this Wed following the passage of a weak cold front earlier today. Lingering cloud cover should then diminish later this evening, as high pressure out of the Plains states builds eastward into the Midwest/OH Valley states. Temps into early Thu should trend a couple of degrees cooler compared to the last few mornings, with lows more in the upper 50s/near 60F.
1236 PM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - While a series of cold fronts will move through the region through the weekend, at or above average temperatures are expected to prevail. While light winds and very dry airmass associated with this high will foster a chilly start to day, a high-level deck of cirrus overhead is likely to keep early morning lows a couple of degrees warmer than previously though. This will allow a warmer airmass to work back northward into the region today and especially by Thursday. Accordingly, expect high temperatures to rebound back into the lower 70s this afternoon under mainly sunny skies. A weak surface cold front will be approaching the WI state line later in the day.
406 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Dry Thursday under high pressure.
Relatively high pressure will keep mostly sunny/clear skies in place for the majority of the time period, with the exception being cloud cover starting to move in later in the day Thursday. Temperatures then look to warm back into the low to mid 70s for most areas south of the bridge Thursday afternoon, with slightly cooler highs in the upper 60s across the eastern U. Pattern Synopsis and Forecast: Longwave troughing will support relatively quiet weather with occasional chances for precipitation through the weekend.
Buckles in fast zonal flow along the US/Canada border will send a couple of cold fronts through.
345 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A slow moving, weak cold front will dissipate across the area tonight, with showers slowly diminishing.
111 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Drier weather settles in behind a cold front with temperatures a bit above normal into the weekend.
352 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will build across the region and allow for dry weather through the end of the week.
207 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A weak cold front crosses the area today with dry high pressure filtering into the region behind it on Thursday.
Winds relax overnight tonight as a ridge of high pressure builds over the Northern Rockies.
Issued by National Weather Service Huntsville AL 209 PM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will continue to build into the ArkLaMiss tonight into Thursday morning, with clear/calm conditions forecast in most locations. Lows in the low to mid 60s will be more common across central Mississippi and the Pine Belt where a modified Gulf air mass will remain in place.
1105 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure shifts east this morning as a cold front approaches from the west.
208 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will work into the region and allow for several days of quiet weather.
124 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Dry Thursday under high pressure.
(Tonight through Thursday night) Ridging will continue over most of the area tonight with a very low chance of showers (<10%) over the waters. A broad trough over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and southern Gulf of Mexico will move further into the Gulf of Mexico, increasing our moisture. This will combine with a mid-level trough/cut-off low that will drift to the east across the area resulting in low to moderate (10-50%) rain chances will increase for Thursday night over the waters.
Well above average temperatures along with light winds and little to no precipitation will persist through the weekend as high pressure dominates the Southwest. High pressure will continue to dominate the weather over northern Arizona today with well above to record breaking high temperatures. There is just enough moisture to continue low chances of showers and thunderstorms over the higher terrain from around Flagstaff to the White Mountains. Tranquil weather conditions are taking place across northern Arizona this morning with high pressure remaining in place. Surface to mid-level moisture looks to increase slightly for this afternoon with cumulus clouds beginning to build over the high terrain after 11 am MST.
Upper level ridging will continue to flatten across the region while a more active pattern continues across northern CONUS. Overnight lows will remain warmer than previous in the upper 50s to 60s as winds remain slightly elevated around 10 mph. These breezy downsloping winds in combination with a slight increase in thickness heights will lead to a rather warm day in the low to mid 90s on the Caprock and upper 90s off the Caprock.
Large-scale ridging will maintain its hold over the majority of the southern CONUS.
(This evening through Thursday night) A cold front has basically stalled over LA just right south of the I-12 corridor.
Temperatures have been noticeably cooler this morning after the cold front went through last night. Highs tomorrow will be 7-10 degrees warmer than today.
Lows will be near freezing but mainly staying slightly above. It will be much cooler on Thursday behind the cold front currently passing through Idaho with highs in the 50s to lower 60s mountains and 60s to lower 70s in valleys. Will have light winds under high pressure.
(This evening through Thursday) Continued upper-level ridging will remain the dominant feature through Thursday, with generally warm and dry conditions expected to stick around for at least another 24 hours.
(This evening through Thursday Night) The warmer than normal temperature regime continues this afternoon with bright sunshine and temperatures in the low/mid 90s. The trough, currently over the central Gulf, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
A weak front is still on track to move through this afternoon, bringing elevated wind gusts and slightly cooler temperatures tomorrow.
333 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure through Thursday night.
High pressure will continue to encompass much of the western United States over the next several days, promoting dry and unseasonably hot conditions with afternoon highs near or exceeding record levels.
- The probability is increasing for an increased fire risk over the weekend depending upon the timing of the cold front. Otherwise expect the warmer than normal and dry conditions to continue through Thursday.
1157 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 An upper ridge will begin building into the area today.
233 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Dry Thursday under high pressure.
159 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 - Dry with warmer conditions Thursday.
222 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A weak cold front crosses the area today with dry high pressure filtering into the region behind it on Thursday.
The front should push south of the CWA by early Thursday as high pressure builds in from the north. The high center currently located across the Mid Mississippi River Valley will quickly move east overnight and then offshore by midday Thursday.
- Warmer temperatures today with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
1236 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 High pressure will remain over the area today. A weak cold front will cross the region late tonight.
(Rest of today through Thursday) A respite from an more active weather pattern continues across South Florida as we remain anchored underneath a mid-level ridge aloft. Accordingly, the highest chances for showers and storms today will be focused around the Lake Okeechobee region, coincident with the most available moisture, and inland portions of the peninsula where sea breeze collisions will occur. With a mid-level trough advecting into the western Atlantic waters offshore of the mid-Atlantic/northeastern United States on Thursday, with mid-level ridging remaining situated over our region. Maximum temperatures will reach the lower to mid 90s in most areas both days with overnight lows in the 70s.
- Another (dry) cold front's passage puts us back into the lower 70s for the first half of the new work week. With high pressure shifting east tmrw, we'll eventually veer around to some return flow southerlies and begin to warm up a tad. We maintain our dry air mass with highs moving toward 80F tmrw, and into the lower to middle 80s heading into/thru the weekend.
241 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 A cold front washes out before crossing the area tonight with little in the way of precipitation.
Issued by National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1157 AM CDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Tranquil weather across the ArkLaMiss this morning, with high pressure promoting clear/dry conditions. Soundings show a dry profile, with subsidence from the ridge winning out, resulting in very minimal cloud cover this afternoon. Ample sunshine (despite the weak northerly flow behind the front) will push our high temperatures into the mid/upper 80s (south and east) to the lower 90s (north and west).
157 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 An upper ridge will begin building into the area today.
(Tonight through Thursday night) High pressure is stacked through the atmosphere over Texas this afternoon. High pressure will remain in control. Low temperatures tonight will be two to three degrees cooler than last night.
1222 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 Dry Thursday under high pressure.
Record high temperatures and dry weather will continue through the week as a strong area of high pressure remains parked over the Desert Southwest. Another hot day on tap as high pressure remains situated over the Desert SW. Outside of the hot weather, some mid level moisture trapped under the ridge will bring a few afternoon clouds to mainly the higher terrain. Forecast thinking has also changed little, as high pressure remains locked in place for a bit longer, resulting in unseasonably hot temperatures.
Very weak low pressure at H300 looks to move over the region today into tomorrow with the main jet max moving up from the Northern Plains up into Ontario tomorrow. These winds are downslope which is aiding in bringing in a warmer airmass to the Panhandles with highs in the 80s to low 90s at this time. The frequency of wind gusts should become less prevalent overnight, however, with a LLJ of 40 to 45 kts strengthening overnight, breezy southwest winds will likely continue and warmer overnight lows are forecast for tonight when compared to last night. Going into Thursday, a weak and slow moving cold front will start to enter the northern Panhandles during the daytime hours. The main push of cooler air will lag behind and should not have that much of an impact on daytime highs for tomorrow.