Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
(This afternoon through Thursday night) Deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to depict upper level ridging expanding east and the core of ridging becoming centered closer to W TX. As a result, temperatures tomorrow will be warmer than today. Dew point temperatures in the 40s and 30s will make temperatures feel cooler than actual readings when not in direct sunlight. Gusty winds up to 20 mph and some afternoon cumulus development are possible each day, but no measurable rain chances are expected as large scale subsidence provided by high pressure at the surface and aloft keeps conditions quiet.
High pressure builds into the region for the remainder of the week.
With clear skies, temperature maximums today will remain near-normal, reaching the low-to-mid 80s as a result.
(Tonight through Thursday night) Upper level ridging will influence South Central Texas today and tomorrow with dry conditions and warmer than normal high temperatures continuing. Temperatures increase a few degrees tomorrow as upper ridging shifts a bit further east over the area bringing another day of near record temperatures that will need to be monitored.
High pressure at the surface, ridging aloft tilting our way from the Southern Plains, and the return of southerly low-level flow will promote high temps warming back into the upper 80s for the weekend - a solid 4-8 degrees above normal for mid October.
1142 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (Today through Thursday) An upper level ridge continues to dominate over Texas this morning. During this period the upper ridge will build a bit toward the northeast becoming stronger over Texas.
On Thursday, the weak disturbance will move through the region, bringing slightly cooler temperatures and a few showers.
Obviously, there will be zero rainfall to speak of with the dry air aloft, and temperatures are still on track to top out in the mid 80s west to the lower 80s east. Tonight will feature clear skies once again as temperatures fall into the low to mid 50s, with lows near 60 across the far south as the boundary layer remains mixed. As Milton moves across Florida and into the Atlantic by Thursday afternoon, surface flow is expected to become more northerly, while at the same time a subtle 500mb trough axis will swing through the region. Highs will be similar to today, but a few degrees cooler in the upper 70s east (Heflin) to the mid 80s in the southwest (Demopolis).
129 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 - Another frosty night expected tonight - Turning cooler through the weekend with a risk for showers Very tranquil weather across Southwest Lower Michigan this afternoon courtesy of a ridge of high pressure that is situated north/south through the state. - Another frosty night expected tonight High pressure at the surface remains in control of the area as we remain under the influence of stronger subsidence in the upper confluence zone downstream of the upper ridge over the upper Midwest. Freezing conditions are likely NE of Grand Rapids in the normally colder locations.
Otherwise this, in combination with surface ridging, will keep temperatures near- to- above normal as a result under mostly sunny/clear skies with maximums/minimums in the mid-to-upper 80s/mid-to-upper 50s respectively.
249 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (This afternoon through Thursday) At a glance: - Clouds today, clear tomorrow - Cooldown continues North and central Georgia remain post-frontal, with a steady stream of cooler, drier air continuing to settle in across the Southeast thanks to persistent northwesterly flow at the mid-levels. As it pertains to the tropics, the aforementioned cold front has settled just south of the Florida panhandle, serving as a quasi- barrier between the more Fall-like weather expected for our area over the next several days and the encroaching tropical moisture ahead of Hurricane Milton's landfall. Lows tonight night will be in the 50s (and the upper 40s for northeast Georgia!), and cooler still for Thursday night, in the 40s to lower-50s areawide.
Southwest flow will bring in even warmer air across parts of the CWA Thursday, especially SW to south central SD, before a cold front moves through. Highs will depend on the timing of the front, but expecting 70s across northeastern WY/northwestern SD/Black Hills to the lower 90s across south central SD.
(Tonight and Tomorrow) Our FA remains on the eastern periphery of ridging occurring across the intermountain west region tonight. While the overall chance of precip remains below 25%, the highest chances occur between 12-18z along and west of the Hwy 75 corridor.
1150 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (Today and tonight) Mostly quiet weather will dominate today and tonight as upper ridging remains situated over the southwestern CONUS.
There is a 65 to 100 percent probability of temperatures being above normals in the low 80s through the weekend. A broad trough dominates the Eastern Pacific this afternoon with ridging along the lee of the Rockies extending northeast into Northwestern Ontario.
Temperatures in the mid 70s this morning expected to reach the lower to upper 80s for highs this afternoon.
246 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.
309 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 * A large area of high pressure will bring dry and cooler conditions with light winds, and an increasing threat for frost conditions tonight and frost and freeze conditions Thursday night.
Lows tonight range from the mid 50s well inland to the lower/mid 60s near the coast, then Thursday night will be a bit cooler and range from the lower 50s inland to the lower 60s at the coast. Highs on Thursday will be in the lower to mid 80s. Have made adjustments based on the latest data for the High Surf Advisory, which will now be in effect from 10 pm Wednesday until 1 pm Thursday as surf heights will be subsiding through the afternoon.
A large ridge of high pressure sprawled across the eastern third of the CONUS will be our dominant weather feature tonight, Thursday, and Thursday night. This feature will bring light winds and clear skies to the area, both of which are conducive to both ridge valley temperature splits and valley fog.
122 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.
1020 AM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024 A weak upper trough is sliding through southern California today and weak upper ridging for the rest of the week. WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO Slight cooling of 1C of air mass, 20-21C at 850 mb on the coast, as the weak elongated upper trough passed through Socal.
High clouds will pass over the area today as a weak short wave trough passes by to the north. This feature will increase wind speeds, especially in the higher elevations of our northern mountains and over Owyhee County.
Broad mesocyclones have been associated with this activity, though have been overall unsuccessful so far in tightening up enough to warrant any tornado warnings for the island chain. Southerly breezes along the Reef are clocking in at near 30 knots with the highest gusts observed at Sand Key Light breaking 50 knots.
158 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Areas of frost and even sub freezing temperature are possible tonight and Thursday night before area temperature rises to end the week.
156 PM MDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Breezy and dry conditions are expected this afternoon and tonight before a cold frontal passage brings cooler temperatures and isolated shower activity on Thursday.
This will bring a chance for widespread freezing temperatures. Upper riding continues through tonight and tomorrow with southerly winds and warm air advection ahead of the cold front coming in Thursday night.
(Tonight) An upper level low over SE Canada continued slowly moving to the east. Troughing produced by this low along the eastern seaboard should gradually relax over the next few days as the parent low heads further to the east.
(This evening through Thursday) Upper level ridging and associated high pressure will continue to dominate over the region through the short term period. Meanwhile a deep upper level trough will continue to translate over the northeastern CONUS as Hurricane Milton makes landfall along the western FL peninsula. A few perturbations tracking down the eastern side of the ridge this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon may favor a few isolated thunderstorms.
That said, we are still expecting quite a few lows tonight in the lower to middle 30s in the advisory area.
129 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Canadian high pressure will extend from the middle MS Valley to the southern middle Atlantic today, ahead of a moisture-starved cold front that will move south across the region tonight.
The stubborn upper level ridge that has brought record high temperatures over the past couple of weeks has weakened a little over the past couple of days. This is due to a weak upper level trough that has come ashore across southern California, but it continues to wash out as it runs into the ridge.
Lows tonight range from the mid 50s well inland to the lower/mid 60s near the coast, then Thursday night will be a bit cooler and range from the lower 50s inland to the lower 60s at the coast. Highs on Thursday will be in the lower to mid 80s. Have made adjustments based on the latest data for the High Surf Advisory which begins at 10 pm this evening, then ends at 1 pm Thursday due to surf heights subsiding through the afternoon.
1215 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 - Another frosty night expected tonight - Turning cooler through the weekend with a risk for showers Very tranquil weather across Southwest Lower Michigan this afternoon courtesy of a ridge of high pressure that is situated north/south through the state. - Another frosty night expected tonight High pressure at the surface remains in control of the area as we remain under the influence of stronger subsidence in the upper confluence zone downstream of the upper ridge over the upper Midwest. Freezing conditions are likely NE of Grand Rapids in the normally colder locations.
(The rest of today ) Mostly clear skies will continue through the day today with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s.
Only additional edit was to Thursday morning getting lows slightly cooler than blended guidance, with a cooler bias applied to drainage locations across the Northshore, Coastal MS and West Bank areas. The highest waters levels should come with high tide which occurs during the night hours around 4am for most locations.
Beach/marine impacts from Hurricane Milton will continue along the Lower Texas Coast, with a Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until Thursday morning and a risk for dangerous rip currents remaining until Thursday evening. High pressure is in place over Deep South Texas for the duration of the short-term forecast period, and the region should continue to experience light N-NE winds, lower humidity, and clear skies. Low temperatures should range between the lower to mid 60s for the majority of the Valley (with slightly warmer low temperatures along the coast).
A ridge of high pressure is over the region that will continue the hot temperature trends. There is a lot of dry air in the lower levels as the morning 12z sounding shows and the large dew point depression at the surface. Over the next several days and into the weekend, the broad ridge will weaken slightly due to a weak low branching off the ridge. Minimum RH values will be 5-15 percent for lower elevations and in the low to mid 20s for higher elevations.
Unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions persist across the Cowboy State today, as high pressure dominates over the region. Highs will be in the low 80s east of the Divide and mid to upper 70s west of the Divide. Temperatures will remain well above normal for Thursday with highs still in the low 80s to the east and mid to upper 70s in the west.
The aforementioned front will keep things cloudy tomorrow (and slightly cooler) but still running well above normal.
1220 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (The rest of today ) Mostly clear skies will continue through the day today with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s.
152 PM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024 A weak upper trough is sliding through southern California today and weak upper ridging for the rest of the week. WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO Weak 850-500 mb trough has allowed breaks in the marine layer this afternoon with clear areas over the water and beaches and only patches on the beaches. Slight cooling of 1C of air mass, 20-21C at 850 mb on the coast, as the weak elongated upper trough passed through Socal.
133 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (Rest of Today) An upper level low over SE Canada was producing a WNW-ESE flow across this region. This northwesterly flow should continue over the area into the end of the week, as this low slowly heads eastward. Under sunny skies, high temperatures later this afternoon should warm into the lower 80s.
Temperatures on Thursday will be about 2-3Â°F warmer as 850mb temperatures are closer to the 97. As a result, expecting widespread high temperatures in the low 90s with some mid 90s possible west of the Brazos River. so surprisingly enough the low temperatures may be a tad bit cooler on Thursday night than tonight for some (mainly across the Brazos Valley).
700 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (Tonight) An upper level low over SE Canada continued slowly moving to the east. Troughing produced by this low along the eastern seaboard should gradually relax over the next few days as the parent low heads further to the east.
There remains a risk for some patchy frost in the cooler interior Southern Tier valleys and North Country, especially if there's any prolonged clearing. High pressure and associated dry air will continue to build into the region Thursday completely ending any lingering shower activity by midday. Temperatures will be quite cool within a still rather chilly airmass with highs only in the 50s, with some upper 40s holding in across the higher terrain.
856 PM MDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Breezy and dry conditions are expected this afternoon and tonight before a cold frontal passage brings cooler temperatures and isolated shower activity on Thursday.
Breezy and dry conditions are expected this afternoon and tonight before a cold frontal passage brings cooler temperatures and isolated shower activity on Thursday.
723 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 * A large area of high pressure will bring dry and cooler conditions with light winds, and an increasing threat for frost conditions tonight and frost and freeze conditions Thursday night.
209 PM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Cool high pressure will build over the Inland Northwest tonight leading to decreasing winds through the evening and chilly overnight temperatures.
527 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 * A large area of high pressure will bring dry and cooler conditions with light winds, and an increasing threat for frost conditions tonight and frost and freeze conditions Thursday night.
Southern Oregon and far northern California will remain under west to southwest flow aloft, with generally weak high pressure in control.
(The rest of tonight) Isolated convection has been sustained from western KS through SW OK within the mid level trough axis.
618 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (Tonight and Tomorrow) Our FA remains on the eastern periphery of ridging occurring across the intermountain west region tonight. While the overall chance of precip remains below 25%, the highest chances occur between 12-18z along and west of the Hwy 75 corridor.
725 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.
Milton will continue to work east with the troughing pattern remaining over the east coast. We should see another weak s/w drop through tomorrow night reinforcing the slightly cooler and drier air in place. The drier air along with clear skies will aid in the radiational cooling overnight and lows should fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s again, can't rule out a few mid 50s but cooler morning lows could be on the horizon this weekend.
715 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Canadian high pressure will extend from the middle MS Valley to the southern middle Atlantic today, ahead of a moisture-starved cold front that will move south across the region tonight.
941 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.
(This afternoon through Thursday) At a glance: - Clouds today, clear tomorrow - Cooldown continues North and central Georgia remain post-frontal, with a steady stream of cooler, drier air continuing to settle in across the Southeast thanks to persistent northwesterly flow at the mid-levels. As it pertains to the tropics, the aforementioned cold front has settled just south of the Florida panhandle, serving as a quasi- barrier between the more Fall-like weather expected for our area over the next several days and the encroaching tropical moisture ahead of Hurricane Milton's landfall. Lows tonight night will be in the 50s (and the upper 40s for northeast Georgia!), and cooler still for Thursday night, in the 40s to lower-50s areawide.
528 PM MDT Wed Oct 9 2024 - Cold temperatures at or just below freezing are expected tonight across the San Luis Valley, with a Freeze Warning now in effect.
750 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Areas of frost and even sub freezing temperature are possible tonight and Thursday night before area temperature rises to end the week.
556 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (This evening through Thursday) Upper level ridging and associated high pressure will continue to dominate over the region through the short term period. Meanwhile a deep upper level trough will continue to translate over the northeastern CONUS as Hurricane Milton makes landfall along the western FL peninsula. A few perturbations tracking down the eastern side of the ridge this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon may favor a few isolated thunderstorms.
825 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 A cold front will move through the region overnight tonight.
With clear skies, light to calm winds, and low dewpoints in the 40s, low temperatures are on track to reach the low to mid 40s in southwest VA/northeast TN, upper 40s to mid 50s across east TN/southwest NC.
A large ridge of high pressure sprawled across the eastern third of the CONUS will be our dominant weather feature tonight, Thursday, and Thursday night. This feature will bring light winds and clear skies to the area, both of which are conducive to ridge valley temperature splits and valley fog.
Temperatures currently range from the upper 50s to upper 60s, or about 1 to 2 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Expect lows to bottom out slightly warmer with readings in the upper 40s across our far northeastern counties with lower 50s elsewhere.
(Rest of tonight) A subtle mid-level vort max will progress slowly southeastward from the Ozarks overnight, embedded within a weakening belt of WNW flow aloft surrounding an upper low over southern Quebec/northern New England. At the surface, a weakening ridge (initially across the Lower OH Valley) will be reinforced by a stronger dome of high pressure building south-southeastward into the Great Lakes (in the wake of the departing upper low to it northeast). This will maintain a tight pressure gradient and slightly stronger NNE winds across the TN Valley, which should result in overnight lows a degree or so warmer (compared to last night).
There remains a risk for some patchy frost in the cooler interior Southern Tier valleys and North Country, especially if there's any prolonged clearing. High pressure and associated dry air will continue to build into the region Thursday. Temperatures will be quite cool within a still rather chilly airmass with highs only in the 50s, with some upper 40s holding in across the higher terrain.
RW (This afternoon through Thursday) At a glance: - Clouds today, clear tomorrow - Cooldown continues North and central Georgia remain post-frontal, with a steady stream of cooler, drier air continuing to settle in across the Southeast thanks to persistent northwesterly flow at the mid-levels. As it pertains to the tropics, the aforementioned cold front has settled just south of the Florida panhandle, serving as a quasi- barrier between the more Fall-like weather expected for our area over the next several days and the encroaching tropical moisture ahead of Hurricane Milton's landfall. Lows tonight night will be in the 50s (and the upper 40s for northeast Georgia!), and cooler still for Thursday night, in the 40s to lower-50s areawide.
329 PM MDT Wed Oct 9 2024 - Cold temperatures at or just below freezing are expected tonight across the San Luis Valley, with a Freeze Warning now in effect.
358 PM PDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Cool high pressure will build over the Inland Northwest tonight leading to decreasing winds through the evening and chilly overnight temperatures.
608 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Areas of frost and even sub freezing temperature are possible tonight and Thursday night before area temperature rises to end the week.
634 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (Tonight through Thursday night) Upper level ridging will influence South Central Texas today and tomorrow with dry conditions and warmer than normal high temperatures continuing. Temperatures increase a few degrees tomorrow as upper ridging shifts a bit further east over the area bringing another day of near record temperatures that will need to be monitored.
611 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024 (This afternoon through Thursday night) Deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to depict upper level ridging expanding east and the core of ridging becoming centered closer to W TX. As a result, temperatures tomorrow will be warmer than today. Dew point temperatures in the 40s and 30s will make temperatures feel cooler than actual readings when not in direct sunlight. Gusty winds up to 20 mph and some afternoon cumulus development are possible each day, but no measurable rain chances are expected as large scale subsidence provided by high pressure at the surface and aloft keeps conditions quiet.
148 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Areas of frost and even sub freezing temperature are possible tonight and Thursday night before area temperature rises to end the week.
Warm and tranquil weather can be expected the rest of the week under a mean ridge of high pressure. A slight cooling trend begins this weekend with the arrival of an upper level trough from the eastern Pacific Ocean.
(Today) Weak E-W oriented upper trough axis drifting into the NE OK today will bring some increase in mid cloud cover, along with low chances for a few showers and isolated thunder.
150 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Tropical cyclone Milton will pass by well to our south and southeast through today.
1111 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 Areas of frost and even sub freezing temperature are possible tonight and Thursday night before area temperature rises to end the week.
1219 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (This afternoon through Thursday night) Deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to depict upper level ridging expanding east and the core of ridging becoming centered closer to W TX. As a result, temperatures tomorrow will be warmer than today. Dew point temperatures in the 40s and 30s will make temperatures feel cooler than actual readings when not in direct sunlight. Gusty winds up to 20 mph and some afternoon cumulus development are possible each day, but no measurable rain chances are expected as large scale subsidence provided by high pressure at the surface and aloft keeps conditions quiet.
1214 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 (This evening through Thursday) Upper level ridging and associated high pressure will continue to dominate over the region through the short term period. Meanwhile a deep upper level trough will continue to translate over the northeastern CONUS as Hurricane Milton makes landfall along the western FL peninsula. A few perturbations tracking down the eastern side of the ridge this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon may favor a few isolated thunderstorms.
138 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.