Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
By Thursday night, the greatest PoPs will move back towards the I-30 corridor as the disturbance moves towards the northeast as weak ridging begins to develop across central Texas. I did come down slightly on overnight lows tonight based off what we were able to reach today but the overall theme of temperatures reaching the lower to mid 60s remains.
Today this was mainly from Devils Lake to Wahpeton Breckenridge to Park Rapids.
Overnight lows will hover around the low to mid 70s region-wide.
310 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Seasonal to warmer than seasonal temperatures continue to be the rule.
244 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Above normal temperatures will dominate the vast majority of the next 7 days, with briefly "cooler" temperatures in the wake of each disturbance.
108 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Precipitation chances remain low through Thursday under high pressure.
Have tempoed in thunder for all terminals this afternoon except TYR/GGG, although additional areas of -RA will remain possible here through early to mid-afternoon ahead of a slow moving upper trough over ECntrl TX, and attendant pair of MCV's over the Middle Red River Valley and far SE TX.
A stronger area of low pressure will swing across the region over the weekend, bringing below normal temperatures along with a slight chance of precipitation over northern areas. No precipitation is expected to reach the ground, except for the highest peaks north of the Vegas Valley, where an isolated shower will be possible.
Temperatures have crept up into the lower 80s with dewpoints holding steady in the mid to upper 60s, winds along the Reef are 10 to 15 knots, and cloud coverage still remains pretty sparse across our CWA. For tonight, our deep mean layer ridge will continue to be the main factor in keeping conditions similar to what we've been experiencing over the past several days. With this high currently in a weaker state, it is expected to start to restrengthen overnight where we could see another surge of winds returning to near 15 knots. The high will continue to restrengthen into tomorrow, resulting in another period of breezy conditions.
Afternoon visible satellite imagery shows a faint hint of a cyclonic circulation across south-central Oregon in association with an area of low pressure that continues to stream clouds over eastern Idaho this afternoon. Not expecting much precipitation with this system as it moves across the area but a few tenths of QPF could be realized across some of the higher terrain in the east/southeast highlands but most areas will likely be limited to a tenth or less.
With the quasi-zonal flow pattern in place, very stable temperatures are expected through the end of the week as afternoon highs top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s across most of the lower desert communities.
215 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure builds down out of Canada and into the Mid- Atlantic region through Wednesday.
1249 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure exits east today/tonight.
200 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Sensitive fire weather conditions with little to no precipitation through the week - Warm afternoon temperatures continue with highs in the 80s to low 90s - At least a Moderate risk for dangerous rip currents will exist at area beaches through late week Persistent pattern of dry/stable weather with high pressure in control over the western Atlc continues.
As daytime heating increases into the afternoon the low-clouds will lift with partly cloudy sky expected.
As the aforementioned trough pushes eastward tomorrow, a few isolated showers and storms are possible across the northern zones. Look for daytime highs in the lower 80s and overnight lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
136 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure will remain in place through Thursday with warm temperatures across the region.
1126 AM MDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - A few showers are possible over the higher terrain, mainly up north, today.
Our next weather system will arrive over the weekend, bringing gusty winds and cooler than normal temperatures to the region. A few weak returns are noted on radar, but this is likely virga, and no precipitation is expected to reach the ground except maybe a few drops on the highest peaks across southern Nevada north of the Vegas valley. Temperatures this afternoon will be 1 to 3 degrees cooler than yesterday, but still 3 to 6 degrees above normal. In addition to slightly cooler temperatures, we will also see breezy southerly-to-southwesterly winds pick up across area today and tomorrow with the strongest of these winds occurring in the western Mojave Desert where 30 to 40 mph wind gusts are expected.
The next chance of rain arrives this weekend as low pressure tracks near New England.
319 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure will exit off to the east tonight.
Ridging over our area will continue through the weekend.
A stretch of dry, sunny weather continues today and Thursday as high pressure remains over the region.
Any showers and isolated thunderstorms that manage to develop this afternoon will diminish and end this evening as the upper trough axis shifts east of the area. A weak upper short wave ridge will move in overnight into early Thursday morning with dry conditions, though marine stratus will likely revisit coastal locations/Coquille Basin (it's already forming near Cape Arago). The next upper trough digging offshore will allow the flow to back to the SSE on Thursday.
Slightly cooler temperatures and increasing southwesterly winds arrive for the end of the week and through the weekend.
213 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Precipitation chances remain low through Thursday under high pressure.
Have stuck with the NBM for this package, but bumped southeasterly winds this afternoon and Thursday afternoon to NBM90 with low pressure across the Southern Plains enhancing the pressure gradient a little.
1240 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure exits east today/tonight.
- Well above normal temps through Thursday with highs in the upper 60s and low 70s, but cooler temps by Lake Michigan.
644 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure will exit off to the east tonight.
648 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Precipitation chances remain low through Thursday under high pressure.
645 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure exits east tonight.
645 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Seasonal to warmer than seasonal temperatures continue to be the rule.
An upper trough will continue to move across the area through Thursday. Moisture with the trough is limited, confining the showers to areas along the Nevada border this evening. Shower chances increase to 20-50 percent in central Idaho as the core of the trough shifts to our east, along with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Temperatures trend warmer on Thursday with highs approaching 70F in the lower valleys.
Deep layered ridging remains in control with the western flank of a lower to mid level ridge overhead and under the descending branch of a broad upper trough. Ridging will continue to dominate the local setup through the overnight period.
412 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 A light southwesterly to westerly flow pattern aloft will persist through tonight as an upper- level ridge remains in place over the western Atlantic. The ridge finally begins to break down on Thursday as another ridge builds over Mexico/south central US.
- Noticeable temperatures gradient Thursday with cooler 50s and lower 60s north and upper 60s to perhaps 75+ south.
511 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Above normal temperatures will dominate the vast majority of the next 7 days, with briefly "cooler" temperatures in the wake of each disturbance.
746 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 (Through Thursday) Ridging over our region persists during this period, enabling warm and muggy conditions to continue as subsidence and southerly flow from the Gulf persists.
923 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 High pressure will exit off to the east tonight.
WRKSFD FXUS61 KALY 082300 AFDALY National Weather Service Albany NY 7:30 PM EST WED APR 23 2025 Dry weather, with warmer than average temperatures will continue for the next few days.
733 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Much warmer over most of the area through tomorrow.
735 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Precipitation chances remain low through Thursday under high pressure.
A greater potential for showers and storms will come Friday afternoon into Friday night as a cold front moves through the region. High pressure will build in for the weekend. The increasing cloud cover from the south will result in temperatures being warmer in northern counties today. There will be a lull in the wake of this, but showers and thunderstorms will develop quite a bit Friday afternoon as a short wave and cold front approach from the west. Best coverage in precip will be during the evening timeframe as a complex of storms develops ahead of the cold frontal boundary, with perhaps some isolated cells developing out ahead of this complex. Cold front sweeps through the fa Friday night, ushering in a cooler air mass to start the weekend.
but POPs will decrease at the end of the short term as ridging aloft moves over AR.
Lows tonight will remain in the lower to mid 70s with increasing clouds. A mid- level ridge from the south amplifies over South Texas on Friday, reducing rain chances to less than 10% due to increasing subsidence.
412 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 - Above normal temperatures will dominate the vast majority of the next 7 days, with briefly "cooler" temperatures in the wake of each disturbance.
1227 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 (This evening through Friday) A warm front was situated acrs north-central and northeast AR this aftn.
121 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry and very warm today under high pressure.
Temperatures will be on the cooler side Thursday as a result of the scattered precipitation.
Some light snow accumulations of an inch or two may be possible over the higher elevation Black Hills through Friday morning, while the rest of the FA can generally expect rain, or possibly a mix late tonight with no accumulations.
Temperatures for this short-term will continue to run in the upper-70s to mid-80s, with overnight lows tonight dropping into the low-60s.
The highest POPs (50%-60%) are over the northern Hill Country and northern I-35 Corridor. Tonight a bit of weak upper level ridging will suppress convection by around midnight.
Winds become breezy to windy this weekend, arriving with cooler temperatures as a system moves to the north. Winds will start to pick up a little on Friday as an approaching trough starts to move into Arizona.
Warm front draped along the KY/TN border will continue to support a few stray showers overnight, but should stay south of the Cumberland Parkway. An east-west warm front draped along the length of the Commonwealth this afternoon has introduced a slightly more moist atmosphere and light southerly breezes to the southern half of central Kentucky. The pool of chilly air that gave us our cool temperatures this morning has pushed off to the east, so low temperatures tomorrow morning will be several degrees warmer in the 50s. Tomorrow the entire region will be in the warm sector as tonight's warm front pushes north into IL/IN/OH.
(Thursday through Friday) Our region is in between perturbations so to speak with the remnant area of forcing moving out across the Lower Miss Valley and our next upstream area of ascent currently moving out of NW TX and SW OK attm.
(Today) RAP13 and a few other models show strong upper level forcing move northeast through the area along and ahead of a upper level trough axis that has developed over northwestern Tennessee. This trough axis moves very slowly to the north into SW Kentucky this afternoon. Lowered highs a tad from guidance into the lower to mid 70s mostly, with a few upper 70s in far NW Alabama due to expected coverage or rain and clouds.
- High pressure this weekend brings dry conditions.
102 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 - Above normal temperatures will dominate the vast majority of the next 7 days, with briefly "cooler" temperatures in the wake of each disturbance.
-On and off chances for storms remain in the forecast until a cold front moves through early Friday. There could be a break in precipitation Thursday morning and midday before a more obvious mid-level wave and a surface cold front move across the area late in the day.
Calmer conditions are likely Thursday afternoon through Friday as low pressure moves to the south.
Cooler temperatures in the 40s prevail especially up around Koochiching county where a layer of low clouds is swinging through, associated with low pressure moving east. A brief period of quiet and slightly cooler weather is expected Thursday with the coldest temperatures found around Lake Superior with light east-northeasterly flow. An upper level trough with some broad warm air advection is expected late tomorrow afternoon through Friday morning.
144 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 High pressure will exit off to the east tonight. A better chance of showers and thunderstorms are expected Friday into Friday night as a cold front moves into the region.
- A cooler, and wetter pattern will follow this weekend's disturbance and bring back higher relative humidities and lower temperatures. This will allow temperatures down there in the lower elevations to creep into the low 80s.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop along the dryline by early to mid afternoon across the Trans-Pecos region near the higher terrain of West Texas. Expect overnight lows in the low to mid 60s. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s.
High temperatures today and Friday are expected in the 80s to the lower 90s under a mix of sun and clouds. Elevated seas along the Lower Texas Coast will result in a Moderate Risk of rip currents at the local beaches through the period.
1158 PM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Much warmer over most of the area through tomorrow. 0 C/km mainly supports the low potential for thunder and the low hail threat. Weakening low pressure tracks across Lake Superior tonight, pulling a warm front across the central Great Lakes with prevailing east to southeast wind shifting to southwest by Thursday morning. The system's cold front then seeps southward across the area on Thursday before stalling across the southern Great Lakes into early Friday. More organized low pressure will track into the region on Friday with stronger northerly winds possibly leading to Small Craft Advisory conditions on Lake Huron.
156 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 High pressure across the area this evening will shift offshore overnight into Thursday, with a warm front lifting northward across the area Friday night.
An afternoon seabreeze will keep coastal locations a few degrees cooler.
353 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry and very warm today under high pressure.
Atlc ridge axis to our north will produce an East wind flow. Max temps in the lower 80s at the coast due to wind flow off surf temps in the mid 70s, but reaching the upper 80s interior. The high pressure ridge axis settles southward across central FL Sat which will loosen the pressure gradient and lower the wind speeds and gustiness.
1130 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 - Seasonal to warmer than seasonal temperatures continue to be the rule.
Today's weather will be fairly similar to yesterday's albeit a degree or two cooler and slightly less windy. Gusty southwesterly winds will pick up across the region tomorrow as a low pressure system approaches the West Coast. This low pressure system will move through the Desert Southwest over the weekend bringing cooler than normal temperatures, elevated winds, and increased chances for isolated showers with it. Cloud cover will increase throughout the day as clouds begin to push in from the west ahead of a larger trough set to impact the area over the weekend.
802 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry high pressure will continue through the weekend with warming temperatures into the 90s for highs.
451 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 (Thursday through Friday) Our region is in between perturbations so to speak with the remnant area of forcing moving out across the Lower Miss Valley and our next upstream area of ascent currently moving out of NW TX and SW OK attm.
A dry weather system will influence the region this weekend, bringing breezy to locally windy conditions and cooling temperatures into the upper seventies to around eighty degrees for a day or two across the lower deserts.
1019 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry and very warm today under high pressure.
At the same time a thin layer of cirrus is moving in from the west ahead of an approaching upper trough. The upper trough will move towards the forecast area resulting in a chance for showers and isolated storms along and west of the Cascades. Additionally, the HREF calibrated thunderstorms also shows the highest vales along and west of the Cascades mid to late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening.
634 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 (Today) RAP13 and a few other models show strong upper level forcing move northeast through the area along and ahead of a upper level trough axis that has developed over northwestern Tennessee. This trough axis moves very slowly to the north into SW Kentucky this afternoon. Lowered highs a tad from guidance into the lower to mid 70s mostly, with a few upper 70s in far NW Alabama due to expected coverage or rain and clouds.
Lows remain in the lower to middle 60's tonight and Friday night.
There isn't much shear today (around 20 kt), but there is ample DCAPE around (800-1000 J/kg), and freezing levels are low. An afternoon seabreeze will keep coastal locations a few degrees cooler.
A weak cold front had pushed just southeast of the forecast area early this morning and much drier air had moved into NC WI, where dew points in the lower 30s. The showers were developing in an area of low-level frontogenesis near the slow moving cold front, and within the RRQ of an 85-90 kt jet streak. Dry conditions prevail over the weekend as a large high pressure system builds into the western Great Lakes.
High pressure will maintain warm and dry conditions through Thursday.
749 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry and very warm today under high pressure.
By late afternoon, the approaching cold front and mid level short wave is expected to initiate storms over western and central Iowa, which could quickly evolve east/northeast, reaching our western counties in the 5 -7 PM time frame. Tonight, storms will gradually shift east, with support from the mid level short wave and slowly advancing cold front.
527 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 - Above normal temperatures will dominate the vast majority of the next 7 days, with briefly "cooler" temperatures in the wake of each disturbance.
214 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry high pressure will continue across the area through the weekend.
Boundary layer stabilization and the exit of the trough should end most showers by midnight, with a lull in rain chances from around midnight until after sunrise Friday morning.
Today's weather will be fairly similar to yesterday's albeit a degree or two cooler and slightly less windy. Gusty southwesterly winds will pick up across the region tomorrow as a low pressure system approaches the West Coast. This low pressure system will move through the Desert Southwest over the weekend bringing cooler than normal temperatures, elevated winds, and increased chances for isolated showers with it. Temperatures will be a few degrees cooler today than yesterday, but readings will still average 4 to 6 degrees above normal this afternoon. Cloud cover will increase throughout the day as clouds begin to push in from the west ahead of a larger trough set to impact the area over the weekend.
134 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry and very warm today under high pressure.
(Tonight through Friday night) Upper level ridging looks to build across the Southern Plains through the short term period, support broad subsidence across the area. Low temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 70s tonight and Friday night, while high temperatures Friday afternoon are expected to reach the upper 80s to low 90s.
Calmer conditions are likely this afternoon through Friday as low pressure moves to the south. At the same time a thin layer of cirrus is moving in from the west ahead of an approaching upper trough. The upper trough will move towards the forecast area resulting in a chance for showers and isolated storms along and west of the Cascades. Additionally, the HREF calibrated thunderstorms also shows the highest vales along and west of the Cascades mid to late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening.
There is also a very low chance (10%) for isolated thunderstorms in the higher terrain of Mexico and in the Trans Pecos to make it eastward into Val Verde County Friday evening before weakening.
Moving into tonight, overnight lows over are expected to slide into the low-to-mid 60s. Throughout Friday, daytime highs will rise into the upper 80s in inland locations, with sea breezes keeping coastal locations relatively cooler.
Gusty southwesterly winds will increase across the region tomorrow as an area of low pressure approaches the west coast. On Friday, a large and fairly deep trough will approach the West Coast, spreading high clouds and gusty southwest winds across the region.
438 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Fast moving low pressure will cross the region tonight. High pressure crosses the region Friday.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Early this afternoon, weak low pressure that crossed by to our north last night now sits well downstream over Quebec. This boundary will ultimately become the focus for upstream low pressure to ride along later tonight through Friday bringing additional wet weather to northern Michigan. Focus transitions to late tonight through Friday as aforementioned low pressure organizes over the Plains and quickly tracks east through the southern Great Lakes/Ohio Valley. Lows tonight falling into the 30s far north and through the low-mid 40s across much of northern lower.
1224 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 - Above normal temperatures will dominate the vast majority of the next 7 days, with briefly "cooler" temperatures in the wake of each disturbance.
However, the low levels will start to moisten back up this afternoon as showers begin to push in from the west that are currently in central MN. Tonight we will gradually see a low pressure system lift northeast through the southern Great Lakes area.
245 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Dry and very warm today under high pressure.
Afternoon temperatures today and tomorrow will range in the mid 80s northeast to the 90s out west but will be a few degrees warmer tomorrow. Overnight lows will hover around the low to mid 70s region- wide.
219 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 - Storm chances remain for tonight into Fri morning as cold front moves through the area.
Lows tonight and Friday night range from the lower 60s inland to the mid 60s near the coast, and patchy late night fog is possible. /29 Northwesterly flow aloft will be in place at the start of the period as an upper-level ridge builds from Mexico into the central US.
conditions will significantly deteriorate later Friday and particularly Friday night when a cold front will support widespread showers and possible thunderstorms.
However, the low levels will start to moisten back up this afternoon as showers begin to push in from the west that are currently in central MN. There is still some model uncertainty when the low clouds and rain would arrive late tonight into early Friday morning. Tonight we will gradually see a low pressure system lift northeast through the southern Great Lakes area.
A weak ridge across the area today will make for mostly clear skies and above average temperatures. This is in response to a developing upper level low pressure system off the California coast. More active weather is expected on Friday as moisture and dynamics increase across the forecast area ahead of the closed low.
High pressure will maintain warm and dry conditions through Friday.
Southwest flow over the region will increase over the coming days as a pressure gradient tightens downstream of a deepening eastern Pacific trough.
Satellite has shown more cumulus building below cirrus this afternoon as an upper trough moves closer to the area, especially in Jackson and Siskiyou counties. Tomorrow's precipitation will also extend to areas east of the Cascades as the upper trough undercuts our area as it moves into central/southern California.