Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
722 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 - Dry and seasonable weather to continue through Wednesday - Frost/Freeze Risk Continues Wednesday night - Increasing weekend showers, then cooler - Dry and seasonable weather to continue through Wednesday We are looking at a couple of dry days and seasonable temperatures by October standards for the next couple of days. NW flow aloft in the SW quadrant of the upper low complex over the region will continue to funnel down cooler air than we have been experiencing over the recent days. - Frost/Freeze Risk Continues Wednesday night High pressure will build down from the north Wednesday evening.
628 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday Night) With the passage of the cold front overnight, dry quiet and cooler (finally) weather will prevail across SE TX through the short term. but some locations to the W/SW could still see some readings into the lower 90s. Tomorrow night's low will be roughly the same, but perhaps 1 to 3 degrees warmer.
With the influence of high pressure filtering in from the NW, expect a beautiful fall day across the Tennessee Valley with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
616 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday) Mid-level ridging over Texas will continue to provide subsidence over Deep South Texas through the period. A Coastal Flood Statement may needed for later this morning due to the higher water levels.
A cooler weather pattern settles into the Pacific Northwest this week. A cold front will bring in cooler temperatures, light precipitation, and brief breezy winds today with associated showers continuing through Wednesday.
628 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday) Through the short term upper level ridging will remain just to the west and a trough and Hurricane Milton over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. Given the lower dew points and light winds, cooler low temperatures are forecast Wednesday morning, in the upper 50s to lower 60s across central and eastern areas, and upper 60s along the Rio Grande.
528 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday afternoon) The upper level ridge that has held over the Four Corners begins to shift to the east over the course of today. Wednesday is a near repeat of today, but temperatures climb another 1-3 degrees as the ridge broadens over West Texas and southeast New Mexico.
641 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 High pressure builds into the southern Mid-Atlantic region Tuesday into Wednesday.
1040 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 High pressure builds into the southern Mid-Atlantic region Tuesday into Wednesday.
Temperatures will warm into the low 70s again for the weekend. Today through Wednesday Night: Trough will move closer to the west coast and move into southern BC Wednesday afternoon. Wednesday temperatures cool 5-8 degrees with the trough moving into the region. Given the clouds will be moving out of the region through the night, we could have some below freezing temperatures, especially across the northern valleys.
541 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday) This morning is starting off rather cool across northern and central parts of the area, with temps in the low to mid 50s.
Very little, if any of this is reaching the ground outside of the higher elevations. At times, brief gusty winds may occur with evaporative processes due to the high based nature of this activity, and a deeply mixed environment.
This should also lead to temperatures that are cooler than the deterministic NBM offering and forecast lows tonight reflect the NBM's 25th percentile values.
1120 AM MDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Continued dry and unseasonably hot October weather is expected through the rest of the week as high pressure dominates the US Southwest weather pattern. Ridging flow aloft will remain in place over Arizona and New Mexico the rest of this week, leading to more dry weather and abnormally hot October conditions.
JPR A ridge of high pressure will bring a continuation of dry weather into the weekend.
Temperatures will gradually trend cooler through the week but will remain above average for this time of the year. The ridge of high pressure that brought us record warm temperatures continues to persist over the interior West and Rocky Mountains.
151 PM MDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Afternoon satellite imagery shows clouds continuing to build across eastern Idaho this afternoon, especially over the higher terrain. Daytime highs will top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s and tomorrow will likely be a few degrees warmer than today.
(This evening through Wednesday) Weak surface ridging will shift into east Texas overnight, with light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph. The light winds and clear skies will continue to allow good radiational cooling conditions tonight, particularly in the valley areas along the I-10 corridor and in the NW Hill Country, where temperatures may dip again into the lower to mid 50s. Highs in the lower 90s area expected Wednesday. (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Upper level ridging will result in above normal temperatures and dry conditions through the weekend. Highs will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal, in the low to mid 90s. Overnight lows will be about 5 degrees above normal, in the low to mid 60s.
Mid-level ridging remains centered towards our west while mid-level troughing across the Gulf in association with Major Hurricane Milton slides east towards Florida. A backdoor cold front as analyzed by the Weather Prediction Center has moved into portions of East Texas and advances into portions of our region tonight. The drier air will yield to slightly cooler nights and mornings while afternoon highs continue to run well above average and approach/break the daily record highs.
1019 AM MDT Tue Oct 8 2024 - Smokey/hazy skies through Wednesday - Dry and mild/warm through forecast period - Elevated fire weather conditions continue 07z surface analysis had lee trough from central MT to central WY and another trough from western ND through central NE. Water vapour loop had weak/compact upper low over the Black Hills with a few AC over northeast WY/southwest SD. Larger scale pattern had upper ridge from the southwest CONUS into the northern Plains. Effect of this ridge main forecast driver in the short term. Today/Wednesday, weak upper low strolls southeast of the region as upper/thermal ridge modestly builds into the northern Plains. Result will be warmer temperatures, some 15-25F above normal per forecast lower tropospheric profiles and ensemble MaxT guidance.
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) As we reach the weekend here at home and the boundary layer slowly swings around to the south, we should climb into the low 80s in the afternoon.
High pressure will drift very slowly east- southeast through tomorrow, with light northerly winds persisting. Expect clear skies and Wednesday morning low temps in the low to mid 40s. Temperatures Wednesday afternoon will likely end up slightly warmer than today due to increasing 1000-850 mb thicknesses. Expect afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s east of I- 65 and mid to upper 70s along and west of I-65.
1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday Night) With the passage of the cold front overnight, dry quiet and cooler (finally) weather will prevail across SE TX through the short term. but some locations to the W/SW could still see some readings into the lower 90s. Tomorrow night's low will be roughly the same, but perhaps 1 to 3 degrees warmer.
Outside of that, tranquil weather conditions will persist through the short term period as a drier, continental airmass advects into the region along with high pressure in place from the sfc to the mid levels allowing for plenty of subsidence. A cold front is expected to sweep through the forecast area on Wednesday. This will help to advect additional cooler and direr air into the region. Things will be a bit cooler Wednesday night behind the cool front.
Above normal warm temperatures and dry conditions will continue today as high pressure dominates over the region. High pressure will prevail across the region throughout the week with the CWA staying in the northern fringe. Temperatures are expected to gradually warm through the week with highs in the low to mid 80s east of the Divide for the second half of the week. Overall, cooler temperatures and precipitation chances are looking very unlikely at this time.
(This evening through Wednesday night) High pressure continues to dominate the Panhandles for the remainder of the work week with temperatures well above normal and keeping conditions mostly dry. So it may not even rain, but we would get those strong wind gusts that would cool us off from the 90s into the low 70s without any rain.
1206 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (The rest of today ) Mostly sunny and warm conditions are expected through the remainder of the day with highs mostly in the low 80s.
240 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Canadian high pressure will extend from the middle MS Valley to the southern middle Atlantic through Wednesday, ahead of a moisture- starved cold front that will move south across the region Wednesday night.
1146 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday afternoon) The upper level ridge that has held over the Four Corners begins to shift to the east over the course of today. Wednesday is a near repeat of today, but temperatures climb another 1-3 degrees as the ridge broadens over West Texas and southeast New Mexico.
Current Water Vapor and upper air analysis shows upper ridge from the southwest CONUS into the northern plains. Surface analysis shows a weak trough over the WY/SD border this afternoon. Ridge will continue to bring well above normal temperatures through mid-week, with highs Wednesday staying in the 80s.
Although a cold front has technically pushed through parts of Southeast Texas, it still feels rather warm out there. west of the Brazos River), we'll still see temperatures top out mainly in the upper 80s with a few spots in the low 90s. Low temperatures tonight will drop down mainly into the low to upper 50s for most inland locations, except for around the Houston metro area and along the coast where low temperatures will fall in the low to upper 60s. Technically, Wednesday may be warmer by about 1-2Â°F, but close enough for copy- pasta.
234 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (This afternoon through Wednesday) At a glance: - Clear and dry - Cooldown continues North and central Georgia are officially post-frontal, with a steady stream of cooler, drier air to settle in across the Southeast thanks to persistent northwesterly flow at the mid-levels. As it pertains to the tropics, the aforementioned cold front will settle across the northern Florida peninsula, serving as a quasi- barrier between the more Fall-like weather expected for our area over the next several days and the encroaching tropical moisture ahead of Hurricane Milton.
955 AM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Subtle cooling into Wednesday but then remaining similar the rest of the week as a weak upper ridge persists.
High pressure will flatten further on Wednesday ahead of a weak weather disturbance. Gusts to near 40 mph are possible across southwest Montana and Lemhi county, but the probability of wind this high is only around 30 to 40 percent.
(This evening through Wednesday night) A quick synoptic analysis shows an upper level trough draped across the Great Lakes and extreme northeastern US, Hurricane Milton just north of the Yucatan and broad ridge across the remainder of the US. The CWA falls on the eastern edge of the ridge and western edge of the trough. As the trough pushed farther southeast over the last 24 hours, drove weak cold front through the local area. Dewpoints about 15 degrees lower than previous days means much cooler morning lows as well as no more muggy conditions for now.
1207 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday) Through the short term upper level ridging will remain just to the west and a trough and Hurricane Milton over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. Given the lower dew points and light winds, cooler low temperatures are forecast Wednesday morning, in the upper 50s to lower 60s across central and eastern areas, and upper 60s along the Rio Grande.
Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through the weekend as high pressure builds into the Mid-South.
1124 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today through Wednesday) Mid-level ridging over Texas will continue to provide subsidence over Deep South Texas through the period. A Coastal Flood Statement may needed for later this morning due to the higher water levels.
another possible Wednesday night - Cooler With Increasing Weekend Showers - Frost Advisory Tonight. - Cooler With Increasing Weekend Showers High pressure holds over the region keeping conditions quiet and dry through the end of the work week.
1200 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (Today and tonight) More of the same is in store as the forecast area remains under mid to upper level ridging, a deep dry air mass remains in place, and south to southwest winds mostly stay at 10 mph or less as the surface pressure gradient remains weak. A slight increase in thickness values point to slight warmer high temperatures today.
245 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.
(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Deterministic and ensemble guidance show upper ridging over the western CONUS remains in place but with core of ridging expanding east into tomorrow. All of this means we can expect southerly winds today into tomorrow night, with warmer temperatures tomorrow as the core of ridging develops closer to the area. No rain is anticipated as large scale subsidence provided by the upper ridging and quiet surface pattern prevail.
(This evening through Wednesday) Subtropical ridging will continue to slowly slosh eastward over the Rocky Mountains throughout the next 24 hours. A weakening, mid-level cold front will pass overhead tomorrow, and may generate shallow virga showers as observed today. Winds will also slosh southwestward by the afternoon hours as the lee cyclone meanders over the TX PH tomorrow afternoon.
Longwave troughing across the Northeast through the Central Appalachians will keep us between major trough/ridge systems bringing us near normal temperatures.
128 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 - Dry and seasonable weather to continue through Wednesday - Frost/Freeze Risk Continues Wednesday night - Increasing weekend showers, then cooler High pressure will bring fair weather to the area this afternoon. No sensible weather changes associated with this trough other than some scattered cumulus clouds. NW flow aloft in the SW quadrant of the upper low complex over the region will continue to funnel down cooler air than we have been experiencing over the recent days. - Frost/Freeze Risk Continues Wednesday night High pressure will build down from the north Wednesday evening.
We remain under overall ridging aloft, with a weak trough just west of our forecast area. High pressure will also remain in the area at the surface, with a weak pressure gradient through most of today resulting in light and variable winds until late this afternoon or evening. (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Upper level ridging will result in above normal temperatures and dry conditions through the weekend. Highs will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal, in the low to mid 90s. Overnight lows will be about 5 degrees above normal, in the low to mid 60s.
349 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 An upper level low will remain across the area through mid week.
137 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 High pressure builds into the southern Mid-Atlantic region Tuesday into Wednesday.
Unseasonably warm temperatures continue into mid week with daytime highs on Tuesday and Wednesday in the low to mid 80s. The boundary will do little to unseasonably warm temperatures as afternoon highs will climb back into the low to mid 80s Tuesday.
With clear skies, temperature maximums today will remain near-normal, reaching the low-to-mid 80s as a result. The high pressure will settle in tonight with low to mid 50s by this time tomorrow and less wind along with, and our minimum RH will tumble into the low to mid 20% range for the rest of this week.
1104 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Forecast is on track today with high pressure and dry air across the region. Discussion: High pressure continues to settle atop the region with mostly clear skies a product of strong subsidence. However, it will be rather chilly this morning with widespread temperatures in the low 50s to mid 40s. High pressure will continue to dominate throughout the period.
Temperatures will cool into the 60s for the end of the week, with overnight lows in the lower to mid 30s.
1222 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 - Dry and seasonable weather to continue through Wednesday - Frost/Freeze Risk Continues Wednesday night - Increasing weekend showers, then cooler High pressure will bring fair weather to the area this afternoon. No sensible weather changes associated with this trough other than some scattered cumulus clouds. NW flow aloft in the SW quadrant of the upper low complex over the region will continue to funnel down cooler air than we have been experiencing over the recent days. - Frost/Freeze Risk Continues Wednesday night High pressure will build down from the north Wednesday evening.
- Near-average temperatures will return in the wake of a dry cold frontal passage this weekend.
130 PM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Subtle cooling into Wednesday but then remaining similar the rest of the week as a weak upper ridge persists.
Water vapor satellite imagery show a broad high pressure ridge over the intermountain west. There is a weak low pressure center off the southern California coast that is advecting moisture into Southeastern Arizona. A trough is poised to develop along the Pacific coast and starting the cascading effect of lowering height anomalies down across the region. The results in cooler temperature and getting close to seasonal normal for mid to late October. Minimum RH values will be 5-15 percent for lower elevations and in the low to mid 20s for higher elevations.
301 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Tonight: Expect those cool breezes to continue into the overnight hours tonight as post-frontal high pressure builds into the region. Otherwise expect low temps in the lower to mid 50s under these clear skies.
This has spawned relative humidity values as low as 20-25%, with the lowest across portions of southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri.
140 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Forecast is on track today with high pressure and dry air across the region. Discussion: High pressure continues to settle atop the region with mostly clear skies a product of strong subsidence. However, it will be rather chilly this morning with widespread temperatures in the low 50s to mid 40s. High pressure will continue to dominate throughout the period.
Cooler temperatures in the upper 70s will be realized across the far northern counties this afternoon, while southeast locations such as Troy and Eufaula heat up once again into the mid 80s with a tad higher humidity. With a drier more northerly flow across northern and western counties overnight, locations such as Hamilton and Gadsden are still expected to drop down into the lower 50s with good radiational cooling and calm winds. With a little more low-level moisture, Troy and Eufaula will drop into the lower 60s by daybreak on Wednesday. We'll see upper level heights slightly increasing during the day on Wednesday as the ridge over the Four Corners broadens eastward just a bit. As a result, highs will be a little warmer, especially across western counties topping out in the mid 80s.
A stubborn upper level high will remain near the Arizona/New Mexico/Mexico border this weekend. An upper level ridge axis extents northward/poleward from the primary center of the high to our south.
Surface winds: variable around 10 kt or less, except SW 10-15 kt this afternoon across the higher terrain.
Similar conditions are expected Wednesday, except for an uptick in afternoon winds as our first weak system flattens the ridge and introduces more southwesterly flow over the region.
Coverage of these showers is sparse and has therefore allowed for temperatures in the Lower and Middle Keys to already reach into the upper 80s while ongoing cloud cover and rain restricts Upper Keys temperatures to the upper 70s to lower 80s. A stationary front is parked over South Florida as dry air descends with deep layer troughing extends down the Eastern Seaboard. This means that most of the rain (especially for the Lower and Middle Keys) has likely already fallen as we find a lull in activity for the rest of the day. By the end of the weekend, we return to a normal pattern with ridging building in the western North Atlantic and easterly breezes along our Reef once more.
(The rest of today ) Mostly sunny and warm conditions are expected through the remainder of the day with highs mostly in the low 80s.
Based on guidance performance this morning and the present dew points at area sites, trended 1-2 degrees cooler than guidance across the region. This, in combination with surface ridging, will keep temperatures near-to-above normal as a result under partly to mostly clear skies with maximums/minimums in the mid-to-upper 80s/mid-to-upper 50s respectively.
900 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Canadian high pressure will extend from the middle MS Valley to the southern middle Atlantic through Wednesday, ahead of a moisture- starved cold front that will move south across the region Wednesday night.
However, a weak and dry cold front will start to move into SE Oregon and far western Idaho in the afternoon with temperatures cooling a few degrees in these areas.
615 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (This evening through Wednesday) Subtropical ridging will continue to slowly slosh eastward over the Rocky Mountains throughout the next 24 hours. A weakening, mid-level cold front will pass overhead tomorrow, and may generate shallow virga showers as observed today. Winds will also slosh southwestward by the afternoon hours as the lee cyclone meanders over the TX PH tomorrow afternoon.
629 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (This evening through Wednesday night) A quick synoptic analysis shows an upper level trough draped across the Great Lakes and extreme northeastern US, Hurricane Milton just north of the Yucatan and broad ridge across the remainder of the US. The CWA falls on the eastern edge of the ridge and western edge of the trough. As the trough pushed farther southeast over the last 24 hours, drove weak cold front through the local area. Dewpoints about 15 degrees lower than previous days means much cooler morning lows as well as no more muggy conditions for now.
AC3 Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through the weekend as high pressure builds into the Mid-South.
A clear, cool, and quiet night across the region as high pressure continues to dominate. High pressure will drift very slowly east- southeast through tomorrow, with light northerly winds persisting. Expect clear skies and Wednesday morning low temps in the low to mid 40s. Temperatures Wednesday afternoon will likely end up slightly warmer than today due to increasing 1000-850 mb thicknesses. Expect afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s east of I- 65 and mid to upper 70s along and west of I-65.
527 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024 (This evening through Wednesday night) High pressure continues to dominate the Panhandles for the remainder of the work week with temperatures well above normal and keeping conditions mostly dry. So it may not even rain, but we would get those strong wind gusts that would cool us off from the 90s into the low 70s without any rain.
840 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 Canadian high pressure will extend from the middle MS Valley to the southern middle Atlantic through Wednesday, ahead of a moisture- starved cold front that will move south across the region Wednesday night.
1002 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024 High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the weather through the end of the week.
Forecast trending toward the lower side of guidance for overnight lows is on track and the evening update will incorporate observed trends.