Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
311 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 - Cooler temperatures today and tomorrow. Sinking motions producing lower-level divergence in association with this anticyclone will inhibit cloud development (which is fostered by rising motions), keeping skies mostly clear throughout the day. Looking aloft, the GFS is showcasing upper-level (H500) ridging centered over the desert southwest. Due to our region being downstream of the ridge axis, upper-level convergence is occurring in the upper troposphere, which also aids in weather pattern remaining tranquil. Overnight lows are expected to be near-normal with temperatures bottoming out in the mid to upper 40s with the exception of more urban areas which will be in the lower 50s tonight. As the aforementioned upper-level ridge axis progresses east, temperatures will increase steadily through the workweek.
The drier air promoted by Milton and a mid-level ridge will keep rain-free conditions in place through Monday night.
(Today through Tuesday Night) Dry quiet weather will prevail across SE TX the next couple of days, with the main difference with today and tomorrow being cooler temper- atures. A building upper ridge over the western CONUS along with the approach of a backdoor cold front will make for favorable conditions for another warm/hot day today. Otherwise, we are still on track for the passage of a cold front (from the NE) overnight to- night. This cooler/drier air mass should usher in the return of fall (perhaps even actual fall if you will) on Tues. Highs this afternoon will range from the lower to mid 90s across the CWA. around 60 to the lower 60s across the southern half.
Outside of that, high pressure remains in control with temperatures still above seasonal norms.
Short term forecast will focus on the return to above normal temperatures and dry weather for the foreseeable future, with a flat upper level ridge remaining firmly in place across the Intermountain West and High Plains. Regardless, will likely see temperatures a good 5 to 10 degrees warmer on Monday as compared to the weekend, with daytime highs in the mid 70s for southeast Wyoming and into the mid 80s for Western Nebraska. Otherwise, prolonged warm and dry conditions expected for the remainder of the forecast period, with daytime highs in the high 70s to mid 80s on Tuesday and continued fire weather concerns, as the upper level ridge remains firmly in place.
Temperatures this afternoon and tomorrow will rise into the low to mid 80s with overnight lows in the 60s.
Northwest flow aloft continues and with a degree or two of warming at 700 mb, high temperatures will be slightly warmer for most locations. Continued relatively mild with the warmer than normal airmass and with enough low level mixing. Minimum temperatures for most locations will be slightly warmer than Monday night.
For tonight, expect mostly clear skies with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s inland and in the low to mid 70s along the coast. Sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 90s are on tap for Monday. A weak cold front is still progged to push across Southeast Texas Monday night into early Tuesday morning. generally in the low to mid 60s over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region, and in the mid 60s to low 70s elsewhere.
(Today and tonight) Upper level high pressure will remain overhead today and tonight as will a deep dry air mass leading to a continuation of warm temperatures and fair weather. Slight weakening in the ridge with lower geopotential heights and thicknesses as well as a lack of an upslope component to surface winds should lead to high temperatures about three degrees cooler on average from yesterday's apart from the northwestern zones which were behind a weak cold front yesterday and will see a slight increase in temperatures today as winds come back around to the south.
1154 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 - Northwest winds bring cooler air into the region that drops temperatures down closer to normal for the early week period. - Dry weather and cooler temperatures hold through mid week.
956 PM PDT Sun Oct 6 2024 Quiet weather is expected through the middle of the week as high pressure builds into the Pacific Northwest. Tonight through Monday night: The region will remain under southwest flow aloft on the western periphery of a ridge anchored over Central Montana. Afternoon highs will top out in the upper 60s to mid 70s briefly each afternoon which are 5-10 degrees warmer than averages this time.
Otherwise, the only clouds expected today would be a few to scattered mid and high clouds moving in late with some upper energy moving through the upper trough. After a much cooler start this morning, sunshine will boost temperatures back into the upper 60s to around 70.
1156 PM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024 (Tonight through Tuesday night) Hurricane Milton is slowly moving east across the southwest gulf while high pressure is draped across the deep south into the mid- Atlantic. A cold front is moving southbound across the southern plains and mid-Mississippi Valley. Aloft, moisture streaming northeast from Milton and ahead of a trough. A ridge is over West LA and TX while a trough is over much of the eastern CONUS.
130 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Dry conditions will return for the remainder of the upcoming week as high pressure builds across most of the United States. The cold front has pushed through the remainder of the southeast CWFA. In the CAA pattern, lows will range from the mid 40s north to the lower 50s south. Temperatures will be considerably cooler with highs in the mid and upper 60s. High pressure parks over the Ohio Valley for most of the upcoming week.
The upper ridge will progress along with light SW flow today through Monday, bringing warm temperatures. As the ridging continues, winds will be lighter Monday with warming temperatures.
935 PM MDT Sun Oct 6 2024 - Cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) expected today. the center (ridge) of which extends northward from the northern Rockies to the Northwest Territories and Nunavut. Meanwhile, at lower latitudes (25-35N), an active southern stream jet in the Pacific will usher a positively tilted trough ashore the southern Pacific Coast /Baja, CA/ Mon- Mon night. will back to the west Mon-Mon night as the aforementioned southern stream trough progresses ashore the southern Pacific Coast. Upper ridge moves little through the week with dry conditions and above normal temperatures.
357 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 A cold front approaches today and then slowly crosses the region late tonight through early Tuesday. Upper level low pressure then remains across the region through mid week Cold/occluded front approaches the region today. Blocking over Greenland will result in upper low remaining over Quebec Province thru the end of the short term period. Thinking that skies will be on the order of moclear and/or partly cloudy Tuesday night but with winds under 5kts cannot rule out the potential for valleys over the North Woods to drop to freezing and possibly below.
This high pressure system remains in control over our region through tonight (and beyond). With the clear skies and light winds, radiational cooling will be enhanced, and we are expecting low temperatures to the middle to upper 30s for areas north of the Highway 30 corridor, with lower 40s to the south.
1223 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (This evening through Tuesday) A large area of upper high pressure continues centered over the southwest U. An upper low will traverse across the Canadian border through the period. The upper high in the southwest U. A dry cold front near the Missouri border will move through the state tonight. Winds will shift to the north and this will bring slightly cooler and drier air to the state. Temperatures will be cooler on Monday and Tuesday. Lows tonight are expected in the lower 50s to mid 60s and mid 40s to mid 50s Monday night. Highs Monday will be in the lower 70s to mid 80s and then in the lower 70s to near 80 degrees on Tuesday.
/22/ Weak ridging aloft will remain wedged into the region from the west. A closed mid/upper level low pressure system currently moving east across Ontario Canada, will continue to move east across southern portions of Hudson Bay into Quebec through Monday. Highs on Monday will range from the lower 80s north, where cooler air will begin advecting into the area behind the aforementioned cold front, to around 90 in the south ahead of it. In addition, with high pressure surging into the area in the front's wake, and what's now Hurricane Milton moving northeast across the central Gulf of Mexico, the pressure gradient will begin tightening across the region Monday. Given continued dry conditions, we will see an uptick in fire risk, driven primarily by breezy conditions as a dry cold front pushes across the area Monday into Tuesday.
156 AM MDT Mon Oct 7 2024 - Cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) expected today. the center (ridge) of which extends northward from the northern Rockies to the Northwest Territories and Nunavut. Meanwhile, at lower latitudes (25-35N), an active southern stream jet in the Pacific will usher a positively tilted trough ashore the southern Pacific Coast /Baja, CA/ Mon- Mon night. will back to the west Mon-Mon night as the aforementioned southern stream trough progresses ashore the southern Pacific Coast.
Semi-permanent ridging remains in place over the southwestern CONUS. Early this morning, temperatures continue to cool into the 40s with low-lying areas already in the low 40s due to efficient radiational cooling of the dry airmass in place with calm winds. Due to this dry air remaining in place, look for days to warm quickly which helps keep above normal temperatures in the forecast through the period as H85 temperatures range from 15-20C along the northeastern periphery of the dome of high pressure over the southwestern CONUS.
(Today through Tuesday) Through the short term upper level ridging will remain just to the west and trough and Hurricane Milton over the Gulf of Mexico.
734 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Dry conditions and noticeably cooler temperatures are expected through much of the work week. KEY MESSAGES: - Dry weather and cooler temperatures. Clearing should be fairly rapid behind the front as it continues east of the ridges this morning, followed by an increase in stratocumulus out of northeast with increased cold advection aloft. In the wake of the front, cooler air arrives today and Tuesday with cold advection the wake of the front.
Isolated to scattered high based showers capable of gusty, erratic outflow winds remain a potential through Tuesday with warmer than normal conditions.
The past month or so, if I could name the weather it would be, with a few exceptions, "The Everlasting Ridge. The mainly dry pattern looks to continue through most of the forecast period as the ridge holds for the most part. Wind should not be sufficient elsewhere despite the low humidity.
1040 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 * A cold front will pull eat of the region today, with cooler, drier air being ushered in on a breezy northwesterly wind.
(Today through Tuesday) This system should help continue to bring some very nice dry air down along with a cold front.
621 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 - Cooler temperatures today and tomorrow. Sinking motions producing lower-level divergence in association with this anticyclone will inhibit cloud development (which is fostered by rising motions), keeping skies mostly clear throughout the day. Looking aloft, the GFS is showcasing upper-level (H500) ridging centered over the desert southwest. Due to our region being downstream of the ridge axis, upper-level convergence is occurring in the upper troposphere, which also aids in the weather pattern remaining tranquil. Overnight lows are expected to be near-normal with temperatures bottoming out in the mid to upper 40s with the exception of more urban areas which will be in the lower 50s tonight. As the aforementioned upper-level ridge axis progresses east, temperatures will increase steadily through the workweek.
Continued dry and unseasonably hot October weather is expected through the rest of the week as high pressure dominates the US Southwest weather pattern. Weak push of cooler air out of the east has moved in overnight, allowing for a subtle cool down today. Deterministic models are in good agreement that a stubborn upper high will remain fixed over Arizona/New Mexico through at least the next 7 days. There is some modest moisture stuck under this suppressive weather pattern, which should allow for some afternoon/evening cloud cover over the high elevations each day.
1029 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 A cold front exits the area early this morning. Breezy conditions are expected this afternoon and evening in the wake of the front as high pressure builds over the region. High pressure will remain in control with below normal temperatures Tuesday through late week. Cold front is about to clear the southern tip of St. a few degrees cooler than Monday night, so the potential for frost continues.
637 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (Today through Tuesday) Through the short term upper level ridging will remain just to the west and trough and Hurricane Milton over the Gulf of Mexico.
Temperatures will increase into the upper 80s given the lack of cloud cover before decreasing into the low to mid 80s on Tuesday.
/NEW/ Update: A cold front is currently situated near highway 82 with a sharp dew point gradient observed along and north of the Red River. The cold front will be dry (no precipitation) and only bring a modest cool down; particularly in the afternoons.
553 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 A cold front approaches today and then slowly crosses the region late tonight through early Tuesday. Upper level low pressure then remains across the region through mid week Latest radar reflectivity imagery shows some spotty light rain is pushing into northern and western areas at this hour. Blocking over Greenland will result in upper low remaining over Quebec Province thru the end of the short term period. Thinking that skies will be on the order of moclear and/or partly cloudy Tuesday night but with winds under 5kts cannot rule out the potential for valleys over the North Woods to drop to freezing and possibly below.
614 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (Today and tonight) At the surface, high pressure sits to our north while a frontal boundary sits well to our south. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s for much of the region, except perhaps the low 80s for the SE FL Big Bend where cloud cover will hang on the longest.
631 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Several disturbances will bring scattered showers under a trough through mid-week. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week. The cold front which moved through the region early this morning will continue to shift eastward. Given the airmass coming in temperatures look fairly slow to rise today with most locations getting into the low 60's. A strong upper level low continues to dive into Ontario and Quebec with northwest flow behind tonight. Temperatures tonight look to fall into the low 40's for most locations. Another mid-level disturbances rotates around the trough into the region Tuesday. Once again the highest chances look to be just downstream of Lake Ontario. Temperatures look to struggle to around 60 as well with the cooler airmass in place.
848 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Dry conditions and noticeably cooler temperatures are expected through much of the work week. KEY MESSAGES: - Dry weather and cooler temperatures. In the wake of the front, cooler air arrives today and Tuesday with cold advection the wake of the front.
(Rest of Today) The cold front has pushed south of our area and clear skies are forecast today as a result with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This is the first day of a relatively cooler pattern that will continue through the week.
Hot weather is expected once again today around interior NorCal, as upper level ridging will dominate the synoptic pattern today. A weak embedded trough will also move through the area later today, which will promote around a 5-15% chance of showers across the higher elevations of the Sierra, mainly along and south of I-80. With the weak trough's arrival this evening, we will start to see temperatures slightly falling on Tuesday, with highs in the mid to upper 90s across the Valley and 80s for the higher elevations. Offshore troughing will begin to develop, and the Delta Breeze and its cooling affect will make a triumphant return Tuesday evening, helping lower overnight temperatures and reducing the HeatRisk for Tuesday.
(Today and tonight) Temperatures across lower elevations are running a couple of degrees warmer than this time yesterday morning. However, the good news is that temps at higher elevations are running a few degrees cooler than 24 hours ago. As such, and with the higher confidence of deeper onshore flow this evening, all Excessive Heat Warnings have been downgraded to Heat Advisories in effect until 11 PM today, and the Heat Advisory along the coastline is no longer in effect.
Values will be in the low to mid 80s over the plains and the 70s over the mountain valleys.
High pressure will bring warm and sunny conditions Monday afternoon.
953 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Several disturbances will bring scattered showers under a trough through mid-week. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week. The cold front which moved through the region early this morning will continue to shift eastward. Given the airmass coming in temperatures look fairly slow to rise today with most locations getting into the low 60's. A strong upper level low continues to dive into Ontario and Quebec with northwest flow behind tonight. Temperatures tonight look to fall into the low 40's for most locations. Another mid-level disturbances rotates around the trough into the region Tuesday. Once again the highest chances look to be just downstream of Lake Ontario. Temperatures look to struggle to around 60 as well with the cooler airmass in place.
512 AM MDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Continued dry and unseasonably hot October weather is expected through the rest of the week as high pressure dominates the US Southwest weather pattern. Weak push of cooler air out of the east has moved in overnight, allowing for a subtle cool down today. Deterministic models are in good agreement that a stubborn upper high will remain fixed over Arizona/New Mexico through at least the next 7 days. There is some modest moisture stuck under this suppressive weather pattern, which should allow for some afternoon/evening cloud cover over the high elevations each day.
605 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (Today through Tuesday Night) Dry quiet weather will prevail across SE TX the next couple of days, with the main difference with today and tomorrow being cooler temper- atures. A building upper ridge over the western CONUS along with the approach of a backdoor cold front will make for favorable conditions for another warm/hot day today. Otherwise, we are still on track for the passage of a cold front (from the NE) overnight to- night. This cooler/drier air mass should usher in the return of fall (perhaps even actual fall if you will) on Tues. Highs this afternoon will range from the lower to mid 90s across the CWA. around 60 to the lower 60s across the southern half.
518 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 - Northwest wind brings cooler air into the region that carries temperatures down closer to normal for the early week period. - Dry weather and cooler temperatures hold through mid week.
607 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (Today and tonight) Upper level high pressure will remain overhead today and tonight as will a deep dry air mass leading to a continuation of warm temperatures and fair weather. Slight weakening in the ridge with lower geopotential heights and thicknesses as well as a lack of an upslope component to surface winds should lead to high temperatures about three degrees cooler on average from yesterday's apart from the northwestern zones which were behind a weak cold front yesterday and will see a slight increase in temperatures today as winds come back around to the south.
552 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (Today through Tuesday) A cold front is entering Central Alabama this morning evidenced by a thin line of reflectivity on radar and northerly surface winds and lower dew points across Tennessee.
631 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Dry conditions and noticeably cooler temperatures are expected through much of the work week. KEY MESSAGES: - Dry weather and cooler temperatures. Clearing should be fairly rapid behind the front as it continues east of the ridges this morning, followed by an increase in stratocumulus out of northeast with increased cold advection aloft. In the wake of the front, cooler air arrives today and Tuesday with cold advection the wake of the front.
319 AM PDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Quiet weather is expected through the middle of the week as high pressure builds into the Pacific Northwest. Today: The ridge pattern from over the weekend will shift East. The highs for the day will be in the upper 60s to 70s.
HRRR smoke models are consistent that this will be upper level smoke with the higher concentration of surface smoke more in eastern Colorado. As a result MaxT temps were lowered a degree or two with the filtered sun as highs will be in the lower to mid 80s.
The surface front will continue moving toward the northern Gulf Coast with just enough upper level support from a longwave trough situated over the Great Lakes and northeastern states. Temperatures will also be warmer as a result to the south, as highs will top out in the mid 80s along and south of the I-85 corridor.
This, in combination with surface ridging, will keep temperatures near-to-above normal as a result under partly to mostly clear skies with maximums/minimums in the mid-to-upper 80s/mid-to-upper 50s respectively.
This is further illustrated by cooler conditions along and west of the Cumberland Plateau.
125 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 A cold front will move across into early afternoon. A series of cold fronts will then pass through into mid week.
1120 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 * A cold front will pull eat of the region today, with cooler air being ushered in on a breezy northwesterly wind.
Any showers or cloud cover will help localized areas stay slightly cooler than temperatures over the weekend. Once this weather system exits, our high pressure ridge doesn't bounce back right away as another weather system approaches the Pacific NW for the end of the week.
105 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Dry conditions and noticeably cooler temperatures are expected through much of the work week. KEY MESSAGES: - Dry weather and cooler temperatures. In the wake of the front, cooler air arrives today and Tuesday with cold advection the wake of the front.
1142 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024 (Rest of Today) The cold front has pushed south of our area and clear skies are forecast today as a result with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This is the first day of a relatively cooler pattern that will continue through the week.
High pressure continues to prevail across the region bringing with it above normal temperatures and dry conditions. High pressure will dominate across the region throughout week with the CWA staying in the northern fringe. Temperatures are expected to gradually warm through the week with highs in the low to mid 80s east of the Divide by the second half of the week.
141 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 * A cold front will pull eat of the region today, with cooler air being ushered in on a breezy northwesterly wind.
301 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024 Cooler and drier air settles in as high pressure builds in for much of the coming week. Discussion: The Canadian air mass following the earlier cold front is settling in and and providing a clear sky and stable airmass. Low temperatures are expected to be in the lower 40s towards the mountains and upper-40s/lower-50s towards the Piedmont. Key Messages: 1: Quiet and slightly cooler weather start this workweek A large dome of high pressure with a cool and dry Canadian airmass will sit overhead for this forecast period.