Aikyam-Lab/Synoptic-Bench huggingface dataset:
- A cold front is moving through North Texas this afternoon and will be accompanied by scattered showers mainly south of I-20. /NEW/ /This Afternoon through Wednesday Night/ Visible satellite imagery shows an expanding cumulus field mainly south of I-20 where low level moisture convergence has increased along and ahead of a cold front. Ever so slightly cooler but drier air will continue to spread south into tonight and Wednesday. Highs on Wednesday will range from the low to mid 80s along and north of I-20 with upper 80s across our southern counties.
1253 PM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025 Warm and dry conditions today with unsettled weather developing later this week bringing cooler temps, wetting rains, and breezy winds.
Multiple surface convergence boundaries ahead of the main cold front continue to sprout scattered light to moderate rain across western portions of the forecast region, and are expected to continue advancing eastward throughout the afternoon. During the late afternoon into overnight period an abundance of cloud cover should continue as the main cold front advances through the area, bringing moderate chances of precipitation (PoPs 50%-60%) for most of the forecast area.
1227 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - A return to dry weather and seasonally cooler temperatures will finish out the work week.
Ridging will remain the primary influence on weather conditions through the next seven days across the Four State Region. The evolution of this ridging will be the source of any subtle variations in weather conditions as a result after a weak frontal boundary passes through the area by the middle of the week. By the end of the week, ridging aloft will begin to shift east, aligning a reinforcing shot of drier air.
148 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Showers linger today along slow-moving front - Frost/Freeze for Tonight, Wednesday night - Showers linger today along slow-moving front The upper ridging of the past week is being replaced by a trough moving through the next couple days. An axis of marginal instability along with deep layer shear of 25 to 30 knots will be along southern Lower Michigan early this morning and transient bowing line segments could bring an isolated wind threat before the surface cold front clears that area.
1109 AM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025 * Dry conditions and a warming trend will continue today and Wednesday as high pressure builds across the region.
1200 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Areas of frost, freezing temperatures, and locally dense fog are present Tuesday morning.
332 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 Updated at 312 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Above-normal temperatures through tomorrow (Wednesday) ahead of a cold front.
Updated at 1242 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through Wednesday with cooler high temperatures. - Warmer and drier conditions expected by the end of the work week, with elevated fire weather concerns through the weekend as breezy winds develop. Moist upslope surface flow along with the mid-level moisture present will help influence cloud cover through much of the afternoon, we could see slight tapering off as we begin to warm up through the afternoon, regardless this cloud cover and lingering showers will help keep highs cooler.
151 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A passing cold front will bring widespread rain this afternoon through tonight. This front will be followed by dry and cooler weather through this weekend.
231 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Cooler tonight and tomorrow, followed by another warming trend through the weekend.
254 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A passing cold front will bring widespread rain this afternoon through tonight. This front will be followed by dry and cooler weather through this weekend.
Additional rain chances tomorrow from the Lower Trans-Pecos to the Davis Mountains (10-30%). - A cold front brings cooler temperatures today and tomorrow. (This afternoon through Wednesday night) Current surface observations depict a weak cold front slowly moving across the northern Permian Basin. Highs today top out in the mid-to- upper 80s for most, with 70s behind the stalled front and in the higher terrain. The best rain chances (10-30%) will likewise shift further south with the front, stretching from the Lower Trans-Pecos to the Davis Mountains.
1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Although the risk is very low (<10% probability), very isolated patchy frost may occur tonight in favored cold areas in the highway 20 corridor.
1102 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 High pressure will remain northeast of the area through Wednesday.
Updated at 1246 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Cooler temperatures through Wednesday. Scattering cloud cover combined with these conditions should help low temperatures tonight to fall into the lower 50s near the Kansas border to the mid 60s near the Red River.
Our expansive high pressure will continue to promote light winds and clear skies, which will set the stage for the coldest morning of the year so far. I have opted to go cooler than NBM to better represent what should happened. As a result, temperatures in the low to mid 30s is forecast across much of central & southern Minnesota. We've expanded the Frost Advisory further south to capture counties most likely to see Frost, those who fall in the low to mid 30s. The remainder of the week will experience a gradual warming trend in response to a ridge building back over the north-central CONUS.
- Lows are expected to drop into the mid to upper 30s across the higher elevations of the far east Tennessee mountains for the latter half of the week.
- A pattern change is expected by late this weekend, bringing cooler temperatures and precipitation chances. Calm winds and clear skies overnight will result in excellent radiational cooling into the lower 40s. As this occurs, southerly surface flow and a building mid-level ridge begin to influence our weather pattern.
258 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A passing cold front will bring widespread rain this afternoon through tonight. This front will be followed by dry and cooler weather through this weekend.
Temperatures are already falling close to freezing in portions of Minnesota. This will drive freezing temperatures into the upper 20s for locations mainly east of the Red River Valley.
640 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Increasing cloud coverage across southwest into central Nebraska will hold highs in the lower 60s across these areas Wednesday.
626 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 Updated at 624 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through Wednesday with cooler high temperatures. - Warmer and drier conditions expected by the end of the work week, with elevated fire weather concerns through the weekend as breezy winds develop. Moist upslope surface flow along with the mid-level moisture present will help influence cloud cover through much of the afternoon, we could see slight tapering off as we begin to warm up through the afternoon, regardless this cloud cover and lingering showers will help keep highs cooler.
634 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - A return to dry weather and seasonally cooler temperatures will finish out the work week.
This will drive freezing temperatures into the upper 20s for locations mainly east of the Red River Valley.
618 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Cooler tonight and tomorrow, followed by another warming trend through the weekend.
618 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Lingering low clouds will occur into this evening and overnight in the wake of this mornings cold front.
638 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 Updated at 636 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Cooler temperatures through Wednesday. Scattering cloud cover combined with these conditions should help low temperatures tonight to fall into the lower 50s near the Kansas border to the mid 60s near the Red River.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: NE Montana will remain under the influence of an upper ridge pattern over the next few days. As the flow aloft transitions more to the southwest as the ridge slides east, expect warmer temperatures to spread across the northern High Plains. As this ridge continues to drift downstream, a Pacific NW trough and closed low will deepen and become a greater influence on the weather across NE Montana.
Atlantic ridging stretching westward through the far southeastern United States, along with weak troughing just south of the Keys is resulting in gentle to moderate northeast to easterly breezes across the Keys and most surrounding waters. Moisture remains quite elevated, likely partly due to the troughing. The ridge to our north will pull further out into the Atlantic overnight, but the pressure gradient will remain supported by a strong high spreading down the eastern United States. The combination of Atlantic ridging to our north and weak troughing near and south of our area is contributing to moderate northeast to easterly breezes across most Keys waters. The position of the troughing will result in weaker breezes across the Florida Straits.
Effective radiative cooling with clear, calm conditions continues overnight as the upper-level ridge of high pressure continues to take place over the Pacific Northwest. Lows tonight will be a tad warmer than last night, so not expecting as much freezing tonight. Areas across the higher terrains and the deep sheltered valley areas will see lows dip just below/at freezing (30-50% confidence).
The cold front is forecast to begin reaching the coast Wednesday afternoon, with a 30-50% chance of showers.
Issued by National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 402 PM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025 * Dry conditions and a warming trend will continue today and Wednesday as high pressure builds across the region.
628 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Mostly dry weather and cooler (more seasonable) temperatures are expected through the remainder of the work week. A much cooler airmass has moved into the region in the wake of a cold front with temperatures back to more seasonable levels (to even slightly cooler than normal).
737 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A passing cold front will bring widespread rain this afternoon through tonight. This front will be followed by dry and cooler weather through this weekend.
However, subsidence associated with a building mid level ridge across the state of Texas will result in a notable airmass gradient across the Northern Ranchlands, with more limited moisture content. As a result, the highest precipitation chances each day will reside across most of the Rio Grande Valley and immediate coast, which coincides with the axis of highest precipitable water values.
720 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Frost/Freeze for Tonight and Wed Night, Chance Frost Thu Night - A Little Warmer and Mostly Dry Late Week into the Weekend - Frost/Freeze for Tonight and Wed Night, Chance Frost Thu Night Frost and some spots of 2-meter temperatures near 32 are anticipated tonight in the highlands of interior central Michigan, mainly northern Newaygo, Mecosta, northwest Isabella counties and northward.
615 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - A cold front is moving through North Texas this afternoon and will be accompanied by scattered showers mainly south of I-20. /Issued 109 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025/ /This Afternoon through Wednesday Night/ Visible satellite imagery shows an expanding cumulus field mainly south of I-20 where low level moisture convergence has increased along and ahead of a cold front. Ever so slightly cooler but drier air will continue to spread south into tonight and Wednesday. Highs on Wednesday will range from the low to mid 80s along and north of I-20 with upper 80s across our southern counties.
Updated at 804 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - Above-normal temperatures through tomorrow (Wednesday) ahead of a cold front.
Persistent post-frontal cloud cover has limited our high temperatures today with temperatures only reaching into the lower 60s so far. High pressure centered over Nebraska is building in behind the front. Aloft, the upper-level trough axis extends across the Central Plains and into the Upper Midwest as the deep trough slowly traverses the Great Lakes Region. Dewpoints this afternoon will remain in the lower 50s across the forecast area with dews falling into the mid to upper 40s by Wednesday afternoon.
The cold front is forecast to begin reaching the coast Wednesday afternoon, with a 30-50% chance of showers. The better chance for rain will be as the upper trough continues swinging southward towards the weekend.
(Rest of today and tonight) A few more breaks in the clouds than previously thought, however still think even with the erosion of the lowest clouds, there will remain quite a bit of mid/high clouds to limit insolation today. Temps have trended cooler as well and much of the north and perhaps even southward toward I-40 may struggle to climb out of the 60s this afternoon. However, cooler, drier airmass will allow temperatures to drop into the 50s across much of the area with a few low 60s along the Red river. Meanwhile, upper ridge begins to expand back northward from the southwest into the Plains wednesday into Thursday, which will mark the start of another warming trend that will continue into the weekend.
253 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Isolated showers and storms possible Thursday morning - Warming trend begins today through the weekend As of 3 AM Wednesday morning, midlevel ridging was advancing from the western US into the Plains. On the western periphery of the high pressure, southerly low-level flow has return to the High Plains. VAD wind profiles across the High Plains reveal profiles between 850mb and 700mb.
Have continued low 15-20% to account for the low chance that this activity precipitates and reaches the ground.
1225 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Mostly dry weather and cooler (more seasonable) temperatures are expected through the remainder of the work week. A much cooler airmass has moved into the region in the wake of a cold front with temperatures back to more seasonable levels (to even slightly cooler than normal).
(Today) Mostly quiet conditions are expected today under the influence of post-frontal high pressure.
A cold front will work through the area today, with a 20-30% rain chance across southern and southeastern counties that should end by sunset. Cooler, drier air will build in behind the front, bringing another taste of fall to Central Alabama by Thursday.
130 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 A passing cold front will bring widespread rain this afternoon through tonight. This front will be followed by dry and cooler weather through this weekend.
248 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Frost/Freeze Conditions Again Tonight - Upper Low with chance of showers late week - Frost/Freeze Conditions Again Tonight Surface ridging is overhead tonight with optimal radiational cooling conditions. Widespread frost and freezing temperatures expected across much of the forecast area, possibly cold enough to put an end to the growing season, which is about a week from its climatological end. Some frost is also possible Thursday night as surface ridging slowly retreats east.
- Drier conditions with cooler mornings will return during the latter half of this week. Near term guidance continues to show the weak cold front shifting southward across our CWA. Afternoon highs will peak into the low/mid 80s areawide. The weak cold front will continue to shift southward and eventually out of our CWA heading into Thursday. With the cold front out of our area, there will be a noticeable decrease in both moisture and humidity.
Effective radiative cooling with clear, calm conditions continues overnight as the upper-level ridge of high pressure continues to take place over the Pacific Northwest. Lows tonight will be a tad warmer than last night, so not expecting as much freezing tonight. Areas across the higher terrains and the deep sheltered valley areas will see lows dip just below/at freezing (30-50% confidence). Our next weather system will originate from the Gulf of Alaska, as a trough digs south through the mid-week, gradually transitioning into a low pressure system through Thursday.
(Today through Thursday afternoon) WV imagery this morning shows the upper ridge has developed a bit farther west over the past 24 hours, putting West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under zonal flow aloft. Latest CAMs and NBM now portend highs this afternoon ~ 2-4 F above normal, which is still cooler than highs of the past couple of weeks. Highs Thursday afternoon should be a couple of degrees warmer than today, due to the wind shift and increasing thicknesses.
Lows tonight will be cooler (which is typical; the second night after a cold frontal passage is usually the coolest). Mixing that occurred during the day Wednesday will help dry out the lower atmosphere (evident with dew points dropping into the 20s).
415 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Dry, cooler conditions can be expected today and into the upcoming weekend after showers exit east of the ridges this morning. KEY MESSAGES: - Showers exit east early this morning - Cooler temperatures and breezy conditions today --------------------------------------------------------------- Surface analysis shows the crossing cold front currently south and east of PGH and is progged to be largely east of the ridges by daybreak. KEY MESSAGES: - Overnight lows may result in morning frost or freezing conditions ---------------------------------------------------------------- Winds will lessen this evening as surface winds decouple and the pressure gradient weakens as the high center nears from northwest of the local area. Dry and cooler temperatures continue Thursday as the mentioned high continues to transition east and large scale subsidence limits cloud development.
Same on ND side of the valley with north valley mid 30s but local personal weather stations and NDAWN shows some below freezing temps in between Grand Forks and Fargo.
-A cooler and drier airmass will filter into Arkansas through the end of the workweek.
Updated at 1050 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 - High pressure will build into the region bringing cooler temperatures for the remainder of the week.
Warm, dry, and sunny conditions today will give way to cooler, cloudier, and wetter weather beginning tomorrow and continuing through the weekend.
932 PM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025 * Dry conditions and a warming trend will continue today and Wednesday as high pressure builds across the region.
1248 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Cooler tonight and tomorrow, followed by another warming trend through the weekend.
Tonight and Wednesday: Quiet weather expected as the region as a trough deepens along the coast pushing the ridge east over Montana. The trough continues to deepen through Wednesday as a Low positions itself off the coast. The Low will stay in place through the weekend.
245 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Slightly cooler temperatures and mostly sunny skies are expected through Thursday with temperatures around seasonable normals. For today and tomorrow, the area will continue to find itself at the southern edge of the high pressure, leading to cooler temperatures. Expect highs to top out in the low to mid 70s, which is near/slightly above normal for this time of year. With clearer skies and calmer winds (especially east of Highway 65), overnight lows through Thursday night will be cooler, reaching the low 50s for the majority of the area, and the mid to upper 40s over the eastern Ozarks. Once we get past Thursday, midlevel heights will begin to rise as an upper level ridge builds back up over the Plains and slowly pushes east through the weekend.
Weak secondary cold front is moving across the area early this morning. Water vapor imagery shows the upper trough axis moving east of Lake Michigan now, with forecast soundings showing crashing inversion heights this morning over the lake.
329 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Dry and cooler with near normal/seasonal temps today through Thursday.
With the high pressure little pressure gradient and therefore light winds and clear skies.
-Cooler temperatures and much drier air will be seen in the coming days.
1221 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 A cold front will push off the coast today.
Northwest portions of the CWA will see highs in the lower 70s while southeast portions will see highs in the mid 80s.
Tonight - Frost Potential A high pressure system over the Great Lakes and eastern Ontario will result in another night of clear skies and unseasonably cool temperatures. 00z models continue to show that a cold front will move southeast through the Upper Mississippi River Valley.
1230 AM PDT Wed Oct 8 2025 * Dry conditions and a warming trend will continue through today as high pressure builds across the region.
Currently a slight ridging pattern is over the western and Northern Plains areas of the country. An upper level low and trough are moving into the Pacific Northwest. At the surface yesterday's high pressure sits near Duluth, Minnesota. With the influence of that high pressure still, most of the Northern Plains are forecast to be cloudless today. Today, the high pressure will move into Wisconsin, while a low pressure in Alberta moves southeast. High temperatures will start a slight warming trend today with the ridge pattern. The ridge will start to amplify through the end of the week, causing temperatures to warm mainly to the 70s.
(Through Wednesday) Current mid-level satellite water vapor imagery reveals the elongated upper ridge spinning over the Atlantic and westward to northwest Mexico. Mid-level moisture associated with Hurricane Priscilla off the coast of southern Baja Cali Sur surges northeast along the western periphery of the ridge. Southerly surface flow may return to southern Oklahoma and western north Texas with warm air advection heating temperatures into the lower to mid 80s, while areas under northeasterly surface flow with a longer duration in lingering cloudy cover may remain in the 70s.
233 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 A cold front will move across the area later today and tonight.
305 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Sunny and Cooler Today.
Surface observations are showing current temperatures in the lower 80s, and dew points in the mid to upper 70s. CIMSS Vorticity shows stacked energy through the low and mid levels, and this will be the lifting mechanism.
316 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 -Overnight low temperatures fall below freezing tonight.
- Tonight, patchy frost south of the Iron Range and localized freezing temperatures over portions of northwest Wisconsin are possible.
Updated at 124 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - Above-normal temperatures through tomorrow (Wednesday) ahead of a cold front.
Upper level high pressure centered over the northern Gulf coast shifts west as an upper trough develops over the East Coast, bringing northwesterly flow to the forecast area by the weekend. A drier and cooler airmass moves south over the Southeast for the end of the week into the weekend in response.
406 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Dry, cooler conditions can be expected today and into the upcoming weekend after showers exit east of the ridges this morning. KEY MESSAGES: - Showers exit east early this morning - Cooler temperatures and breezy conditions today --------------------------------------------------------------- Surface analysis shows the crossing cold front currently south and east of PGH and is progged to be largely east of the ridges by daybreak. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Winds will lessen this evening as surface winds decouple and the pressure gradient weakens as the high center nears from northwest of the local area. Dry and cooler temperatures continue Thursday as the mentioned high continues to transition east and large scale subsidence limits cloud development.
Wednesday and Thursday: Quiet weather is anticipated over the next couple of days as a trough digs down the West Coast, eventually forming a closed low. Wednesday morning will be another chilly one with morning lows ranging from the low 30s to low 40s across the region. Smoke and haze from the Lower Sugarloaf and Labor Mountain fires will continue to impact the Wenatchee area. The low remains just offshore Wednesday night and Thursday sending weak waves of moisture across the Northwest. Increased moisture in the atmosphere Wednesday night will keep temperatures a bit warmer Thursday morning in the low to upper 40s.