Patent ID: 11887020
Assignee: ENNEW TECHNOLOGY CO., LTD.
Field: Computer technology (Electrical engineering)
Classification: CPC G | IPC G

Claim 0:
1. A thermal load prediction method for facilitate efficient scheduling of boiler steam usage, comprising:
configuring a plurality of prediction states and error thresholds respectively corresponding to the plurality of prediction states, and forming a prediction model corresponding to a target steam user;
calling the prediction model to predict first thermal load magnitudes respectively corresponding to a plurality of testing time periods, wherein the target steam user uses boiler steam in the plurality of testing time periods;
determining, according to the first thermal load magnitudes respectively corresponding to the plurality of testing time periods, relative prediction errors respectively corresponding to the plurality of testing time periods;
forming a state transition probability matrix according to the relative prediction errors respectively corresponding to the plurality of testing time periods and the error thresholds respectively corresponding to the plurality of prediction states, and determining a state confidence probability of each prediction state of the plurality of prediction states in each future time period of future time periods according to the state transition probability matrix;
calling the prediction model to predict second thermal load magnitudes respectively corresponding to the future time periods, wherein the target steam user uses the boiler steam in the future time periods; and
for the each future time period, determining a thermal load range corresponding to the each future time period, according to each second thermal load magnitude of the second thermal load magnitudes corresponding to the each future time period, the state confidence probability of the each prediction state in the each future time period, and the error thresholds respectively corresponding to the plurality of prediction states, wherein the target steam user uses the boiler steam in the each future time period; and
scheduling the operation of the boiler steam according to the thermal load range with minimum difference between supply and demand of the target steam user.