"Furthermore , as usual your analysis is ridiculously limited . Arizona and Arkansas , two states with anti-gay measures , voted for McCain electorally . Florida voted for Obama by a margin of 51 % . If we go with some easy/sleazy assumptions for quick math , that means that if about 2 % of those voting for Obama decided they did n't want gay marriage , then the anti-gay marriage initiative would pass ."
"And your analysis is flat out lacking . What everyone else seems to realize is that the reason Obama won is because of FAR higher turnout , many by African American voters . ( Who more tend to be ... taa daa ! ... Democrats ! ) There is definitely a considerable discrepancy in Obama supporters and gay marriage supporters . Of that , there can be no doubt . And your anaysis of the FL situation is completely removed from reality . FL requires a vote of over 60 % for an amendment to pass . It would n't pass at 59 % , let alone 50 . So not only do you demonstrate a lack of even knowing what was needed there , it does n't even fit as an apt comparison ."
"Florida voted for Obama by a margin of 51 % . If we go with some"
"Obama won is because of FAR higher turnout , many by African American voters"